Searching for Ceiling - Week 4 2026

0:00Week 4 brings us a 12 game main slate with seven of those games carrying a game total of 44 points or fewer. Justin Jefferson, DeAndre Swift, Devonta Smith, Mike Evans, all have not practiced this week. Ladma Kanki picked up an injury of foot injury on Wednesday. Devon H.Anne, Torres ACL, Breeze Hall is out, Adonai Mitchell is out, Mason Taylor, all out. These injuries create opportunity for us, but the game totals are kind of pulling us in the other direction. I am Hilo and this is searching for ceiling presented by one week season and sharp football analysis. One week season. As always, I am joined by the great Rich Rebar. I remembered to unmute your mic. So we're off to a smashing start, dude. Talk to me about week three. We were kind of all over things, man. Yeah, I was, I was, another is a good week three. I'm always pleased when I get off to a good start because I'm someone that usually gets better as the season goes on.

1:03The way I do my work, which is more like an evidence-based approach. Right, right. You usually picks up seam. Yeah, you know, usually picks up seam. So anytime we can get on some things early in the week, although some of the evidence has led us the two weeks to some of the better plays. Like Jeremiah Love, we discussed on the show last week trying to be ahead of where we were going to get to this week with Jeremiah Love. And that worked out good too. So I'm always happy to have early season success, even though I was basically a piece away in the last two weeks from like really having a good time. So you're telling me we were talking before we jumped on here. It's like we are just keep sniffing it and you and I are not like heavy volume players as far as rosters go. We're more concentrated, you know, putting five to nine-ish weekly rosters in play. So when that bank does happen, man, and I know it's coming, it's going to be glorious. One week's season was all over the leaderboards last week, dude. We shipped the spy. We shipped the baby spy. We shipped the $50 single entry. We were all over the leaderboard of the slant, the $9.

2:04It was it was a good week for for the hashtag brand, man. So we're jumping into week four now. Holy smokes were a quarter of the way ish through the regular season. And we're starting to get into all these injuries like we had injuries weeks one, two, three. But there are some big names that are not going to be on this slate. We also have a smaller than normal main slate, 12 games with the London game. That's going to continue into when buys start in week five. So the slates are going to continue shrinking shrinking. We have all these injuries, but we have seven of the 12 games on the main slate that have low game tools. Talk to me about like from a macro perspective, how are we kind of approaching this mindset wise? Yeah, I would love all three of these prime time games. I'm including the London game is like just the prime time games. It's a one off right on the slate. I really actually like I do love all those games. I just get me just downs. I particularly love that Falcon States game.

3:05I wish that came was on this slate too as well. But it does leave us with kind of you know, no Jamir Gibbs, no Beige and Robinson, right? You know, obviously the lines in general have been a team that you know two of the three weeks have been. You know, you could onslaught those games and have like really just strong performances just by playing those games just in totality. So missing those definitely things a little bit leaves a little more fragility, but it also leaves the slate wide open. I joke to you guys like this is a high low slate to me. Yes, it's a little more wide open. Anytime the field wants to start playing like these mid range running backs, I know your eyes get kind of lit up. You know, you're like, all right, you guys are going to play these guys. You want to be like the field wants to play, you know, the Aaron Jones is and the Braille and Allen's. So you know, so that was my first thought in this slate, but it is more wide open. I am also looking to be not just part of the show to give advice, but so can advice because I'm a little indifferent about what I want to do this slate as well. So I want to you know, preens some knowledge off of you because like you said, I only play, you know, usually six to nine lineups based on how many quarterbacks are my quarterback polls usually drives the number of lineups I make.

4:13Right. And this week right now, I'm sitting right now at eight quarterbacks and I got to get this thing down. I got this thing down. Yeah, so let's talk about it. Let's dive in. And I'm probably going to like, I'm going to talk you into fewer quarterbacks. And then I'm going to drop a favor at the end that's going to like, oh, maybe I need to expand it a little bit more. So we'll see how that goes. Let's start with the game with the highest game total because I think it is very, very pertinent to how we want to go about approaching this slate, how we want to game plan and attack this slate. Obviously, we have a Jaguar's team who has averaged over 31 points per game since their by week in 2025. They've come out continuing to roll that, you know, the stone is rolling down the hill here. They're picking up speed. They're continuing to produce offensively. And we have an opponent in the bangles who we know can kind of shoot out with the best of them if they are forced to do so. So how are you approaching, do you have a read on this game? How it is likely us to play out?

5:17Because we know the upside is here. So tell me about kind of the nuts and bolts of the matchups on the other side. Yeah, I believe we're going to see some really hyper efficient passing in this game. We've got two quarterbacks that are the best at, you know, limiting pressure based on in different ways. Obviously, but offensive system get it, you know, burrow is a, you know, still playing supremely in the passing game under shotgun gets the ball out quick. And we have two defenses that are predicated on pressuring the quarterback to have success. And when they don't pressure the opposing quarterback allow big plays for the Jaguars. This has been ongoing for two years. The bangles were still trying to figure out exactly what their defense is, but they have a couple of injuries to safety is banged up. There's slot cornerback, Jalen Davis is out this game. Dex Hill is going to move into the slot. So I believe we're going to see hyper efficient passing from both of these quarterbacks. And when we have that, we have kind of the game environment here, I think to have a lot of upside and a lot of juice in the receiving game.

6:18Now, this is a harder game to like fully onslaught because the bangles are always expensive. If you want to run bangles doubles, it always is costly. And the field is finally starting to price park watch, but he's not priced up enough. But they're finally starting to get to, and the pricing discrepancy on burrow and Lawrence, I think is probably the biggest story of this game. Because I actually prefer burrow, but I think Lawrence, because he's $900 cheaper on draft kings is going to be the more popular play. So that's the way we can try to get unique rounds game, but I firmly believe that both these quarterbacks are going to have really high proficient passing games. Yeah, when I break it down this game, I look at kind of how each team is likely as to attack. And we know that Zach Taylor and the bangles are more or less, they're not looking to maximize scoring with all of their early positions. They're kind of, they go into the game, they get a feel, and then Zach Taylor is very good at like making those adjustments. Kind of in stark contrast to a guy like Mike McDaniel, a quick tangent here. Mike McDaniel is like one of the best game planners in the league, but he is atrocious at like adjusting on the fly.

7:21And we saw that in weeks one and two, primarily those two weeks where they lost players during the game to injury. So Zach Taylor is a little bit like the opposite end of that spectrum. Like one of the worst, I'm not the worst. I mean, this is hyperbole, but like not a very good game planner, very, very good at making those in game adjustments. So I look to that as being like what is the path for additional upside to kind of be coaxed out early from the bangles. From the bangles. And I think it would come through Liam Cohen's offense. And this is an offense that continues to start fast. Liam Cohen is a complete coach. He is very good at game planning, very good at game managing and making those in game adjustments. If the, you know, like I just picture how do I get the maximum upside here. And it's like I want like the Jaguar is to lose the toss take it, get the football first, march down the field and score. That's like, let's go. So in that you mentioned the fact that the bangles have some injuries in the secondary.

8:22You mentioned the fact that they have now an improved pass rush. They made a ton of adjustments this off season along their defensive line. One of those was bringing in sexy dexie dexie dexer Lawrence to kind of be a run stopper at nose tackle. We have on the other side a Jaguar's team that is under performing expectations as far as blocking run blocking metrics go. We have a hyper efficient back in basal to who's in a lead-ish back roll seeing 60, 65% of the opportunities. But he's being hyper efficient getting hit at or below in the line of scrimmage on a high percentage of his runs. But he's very much in the same bane as Jalen Warren who we've seen we saw last night where he is near the top of the league in yards after contact per attempt. So again, if I'm like trying to picture how this game goes off the injuries in the secondary for the bangles, the slot corner fill in. It's like Parker Washington, bro. Like I just want all the Parker Washington.

9:22You do. On the other side, there's a very interesting setup because I've seen a lot of talk about this side of the matchup this week saying I'm paraphrasing here. Something to the effect of every team to play the Jaguars through three weeks had their highest rush rate over expectation. Yeah. I call. I call Bologna on this. I let's let's add some context, shall we? They played to Sean Watson in his first game since week seven of 2024 in week one. They played and that was a blowout win by the Jaguars. They played the Broncos with the new offensive play collar in week two that is still looking to get his footing in week three. Another blowout game against the new England Patriots team that is looking, grasping at straws here to find their identity in their way. So they haven't had a normal real like a real game environment where we've seen.

10:24Yeah. So I call Bologna like this is a team that is top three in most metrics against the run extremely difficult to run on. And they are second in deepest eight out allowed and they have allowed the most explosive pass plays through three weeks 23.2%. So I look at this and I'm like, I'm looking my chops and it's not just Jamar chase on the other side like T Higgins with a 13 plus eight out like he should have some room on the perimeter to get some stuff done. I'm really excited about a mini correlation of Parker Washington T Higgins. Talking about the run games, you see any interest there. So that is why I'm more drawn to the burrow side of this matchup is that I believe any any teams going to have success running the ball. It will be the it'll be the Jaguars versus the bangles. They because two and creates his own yards where one chase brown doesn't know it's not that kind of back. And we talked about this. You know, I'm going to keep using this Jaguar stat until it finally doesn't happen, but they've allowed two running backs since the start of last season to rush for 70 yards.

11:29And both those backs are Jonathan Taylor. You know, they've allowed five running backs, Russia 60 yards like this is a pass funnel to me. And like you said, we haven't seen it, but I wrote this up and it's like we're going to see it for the first time because the bangles. Bangles have thrown the ball over pass or expectations and all three games. They're second in the NFL. They're going to be driven to pass. And then the burrow stuff like I talked about like, you know, it's hard to pressure broaks the infrastructure of their offense. You know, all off season they told us like they're going to play more under center, but they're only getting under center more to run, which actually think is a problem for the run game because they're actually teeing off. They're dropping me. They have a 75% run rate when they go under center like cool. Like I think every every head coach understands like what's happening. But you can't pressure broaks. He's always in the shotgun any such a quick processor anyways. But then the Jaguars don't pressure the opposing quarterback. And then you kind of let on and remind you like you said the quarterbacks that they face like this is bonix to Sean Watson and this version of Drake may that we've seen these first three games are 23rd and completion rate 30th and yards are passed 29th and yards per completion.

12:34And you're going in skies that create explosives on their own as well. So that is why I'm initially drawn to the bangles side first because I don't believe they're going to have success running the football regardless. I don't know how much success the Jaguars totally will have, but I think that they will have more because they have a running back that can create his own yards. That's what leads me to say like I was my first inclination was to go with burrow doubles in this game. I like both quarterbacks. Yes, absolutely. Yeah, here's why so what do we need from Trevor Lawrence? We need him, you know, not very mobile quarterback. He does have the ability to escape and we've seen that particular in the green zone over the past two seasons. You can use some sneaky touchdowns. Yeah, yeah, yeah, but with this team scoring, averaging over 31 points per game. And you know, this is a 19 or what a 13 game sample since their by week in 2025, averaging over 31 points per game in that sample. I'm actually saying like I'll play a $5,900 quarterback on a team that has upside to score five touchdowns.

13:38And I'll be like, okay, taking that to the bank and just let like touchdown variance. Take me take the wheel from there in that same discussion. We talked about both quarterbacks now from this game and we're we're spending a little extra time on this box. I think it's important. Both tight ends and I say both tight ends both tight ends that are in a route the most for each team because it's like there's some new one. To that discussion. Are very interesting to me within game stacks of this game. Brent Strange is in a route at the third highest frequency for the Jaguars through two weeks. You know, pushing 75%. So I'm interested in strange the results have not been there yet in the box scores, but anybody in an offense like has high powered as this one that is in a route at that frequency. I want to have interest in he's priced at only 3200 on DK. You can easily double stack him with with Trevor Lawrence and Parker Washington and kind of just do whatever you want after that on the flip side like we have these.

14:39Like scoring suppression for tight ends against Jaguars metrics that we're looking at the issue is like my Kisickey is not a tight end. So I think it's a big slot, a big slot wide receiver. He's kind of shared the slot role with Dante Myers last week. They were if you add up there route participation. So it was roughly 100%. So to me like my Kisickey is a guy with the propensity of this Jaguar is defense to kind of give up things over the middle of the field to players that are not tight ends based on how they kind of run their defense. So I think it's interesting to me too as kind of a big slot receiver that I think you can mix in to lower the you know combined cost of these Bengal stacks. Any closing thoughts on this one before we move on. No, the only other guy that you know that you get is in play probably here is the Kobe Myers, but I do think to Kobe Myers the way. I think that's the question kind of split that Z slot role and I do think that will probably see Myers find DJ Turner the most of the two.

15:42Especially these are also the number one and two teams and 12 personnel rate in the NFL. And we'll see a Borker chair. I think it just had illness he mispracticed yesterday, but I think it was just an illness and it wasn't anything to be a flag or he would miss time because that's what's hurt Brian Thomas, and playing so much 12 personnel that they're playing Josh Cameron for his run blocking. So you're not seen as much you know Brian Thomas junior on the field and that's led the Jacobi Myers having like these 95% route rates the past two weeks. So he would be the only other guy that's just playing enough snaps that maybe is on the board is like a due to tack along the Lawrence, but I agree with you that the tight ends are probably the way that to free up either side. So the bangleside because you do have to pay more for the quarterback and the starting in the big receiver. Then you do parker Washington. That's why I think people will build Jaguars teams more forward than burrow teams is because it's just it's more affordable. I think the the pricing of this game and the the negative talking points that I've seen around the industry. So far this week I don't know if we're going to see a ton of ownership here to be honest really the big talking points I've seen are like how the Jaguars are facing.

16:50Have your run with rates and like how the. Yeah, and the how the pace of each team is like a snail's pace like this is going to be one of the slower pace per play games in the league this week, but like I don't care. I really don't care. So I mean it's like it's the one thing about one thing about like play volume now to is sometimes you have good offenses like you control your own value like efficiency and value are intertwined. It's like the Saints dude the Saints run a lot of plays and they play fast, but they also have like a shit little bad plays just why they have to run a lot of plays. Is like the old Russell Wilson thing like when Russell Wilson have no pass by you efficiency and inefficiency also has a marriage and correlation to value. Right. I was going to the Jaguars have no value. I was going to bring up the 49ers like they're averaging like 58 offensive plays for game. It's like yeah they're scoring 30 plus points every week. Because I get seven yards of play. Yeah. Same same. So yeah, we we we counter those negative talking points.

17:53But your mark chase I think is the scariest player in the slate to me in both ways probably right. Yeah, I mean I am terrified. I think he has like like slate breaking outcomes in this game. Oh yeah, like 100%. I think he could have like an 18 to 20 target game at like a high end outcome. This is a very interesting discussion. I'm going to bring in a new tool that we've developed. We we teased it a couple weeks ago. I think one week season. This is the stack one. So we're here at the homepage. We'll come on over here down to stacks under more tools. And I want to show you something real quick. Let's just pull up. She's can't type under pressure. Let's just pull up Jamar chase and you it brings down the drop down of all the players that are tied to him. And let's pair him with Joe burrow and kind of look at their hit rates here. We can scroll down over the last 27 games played together. They've hit a 4x salary multiplier on their already elevated salaries at a 19% frequency.

18:55A 5x salary multiplier at an 11% frequency. These are bonkers numbers. I'll show one more here to kind of highlight the functionality of this tool. Let's look at the 49ers and we'll talk about this game next, but I'll throw a three player stack here. Brock, Pertie, Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle. Look at this dude. This three person stack with elevated salaries has hit a 4x salary multiplier at a 27% frequency. And this is data since the beginning of 2025. So there's only 11 games or these three were on the field together in that sample. But that's a massive like that's a massive hit rate for guys with this hefty of a salary. We'll use that to transition now to the 49ers. Talk to me about this spot for them only their side of the skin. Yeah, this is an interesting spot for them because you know, obviously they've run really hot these past two weeks and they've done the assignment on teams.

19:58We expect them to really throttle the Arizona Cardinals and Miami dolphins. They play play not only do they play passive defense in terms of rushing the pass there. But they are also teams that very much they match personnel with what that plays in the 40 90's hands. Right. We talked about that. Yeah, they they these are two defenses that when we knew going into each match up they would do this because they had face an opponent that runs a similar offense before facing the 49ers and they also match their heavy personnel with base defense and the other Shanahan system is predicated on you matching our run personnel because we're going to throw out of that personnel and throw with the really high end efficiency. And that's what the 49ers have done to two teams that they should do that too. This one is a little bit more interesting. The Denver Broncos have really been battle tested to open the air. I mean they face Patrick from a homes and think about Patrick homes is look like the two weeks since that Broncos game. They face Trevor Lawrence thing. Oh, when he's looked like those two games outside of Bronco games and Matthew Stafford did have a lot of yardage but didn't really play well in that game on Sunday night.

21:03He had a sub 60% completion rate. He needed 55 pass attempts to get his yardage. Brock Perties never thrown more than 40 pass pass attempts in a game. They held all three of those quarterbacks is a sub 60% completion rates. And low end yards yards or pass attempts. So I do think that there could be some potential here like because we know Perties not going to run this high. He is an efficient quarterback like we just talked about that marriage of efficiency and value. He's always been a guy that like exceeds expectations. But I think this is a spot where he comes back from some like that lofty expectations. He's been outkicking his production by like only Josh Allen is ahead of him and points over expectation right now. And we go back to week one when he faced a Rams team. It's been really good to he only had six yards for pass attempt and 200 yards. We've got guys banged up everywhere on this offense again to I do think this is a little bit of a regression spot for Pertie. But I do think that it's a good spot for both McCaffery and Kittle concur. I mean Mike Evans in the in the cold open has not practiced yet this week. He's either going to miss or probably pick up a new injury for the third time in three as many games.

22:05I'm just kidding. Yeah, please don't. Yes, seriously. But you look at like who else is on the field running routes and it's like like Jacob Cowell Cowell. What is his name? Cowell. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, it's like Jordan Watkins. Right. Like. Brandon Cook's is going to be up this game. Yeah, yeah, that's a new one. I like that because it actually gives them a vertical element that they will otherwise not have. To open up the middle of the field for guys like Kittle and McCaffery. But I look at the spot and I'm just like, man, we're never really worried about the 49ers scoring points. We're typically worried about like the less than concentrated nature of their offense. That's changed this week. So like I'm very interested in, you know, you're not going to need a ton of of your portfolio to be over the field this stack, but like just running Pertie Kittle and CMC together. Not forcing them, preing back, just saying they have another efficient game. I think is is well within reason on a slate where we really don't have like a glaring spot to go to like we had last week.

23:16So it's kind of where I'm at with that. Do you have any interest on anything Broncos? No, it's a real bummer because like last week was we've been on the 49ers, the injuries too. And but the Broncos just so hard to diagnose like where you want to go. Because the one thing where he Morris has been awesome at even going back to last year, like he takes away those middle of the field crossers, man, like he just really shuts those down. And that's like when Waddle was really getting over on the Jaguars. That's where he was hitting hitting a lot of his shop plays. So they run a compartmentalized backfield. Like if you want to even play the ob into. It has like the best end of the match up because of all the defensive line injuries. Like dude, he's got a score to touchdowns minimum for you to because he doesn't catch any passes. We saw the same work like the same split that we've always seen when Dobbins was on the field last week. The Broncos ran the ball 70% of the time. And when Harvey was on the field, they threw the ball 80% of the time. And then but they all mixes in. And so like it's just really hard to play a guy like Dobbins and like a tournament setting because he only has one path to of relevancy and it's scoring a lot of touchdowns.

24:22And it's just hard to bet on right. It's just like you have no other outs. And then like last week we knew we could play like Jeremiah love for the combo usage. And we knew we could play Michael Wilson at his price and his target potential. Waddle would be the one guy you can kind of coax yourself into, but I don't love like his particular like route tree for this match up. But he would be the one guy they just spread the ball around so much that it's kind of frustrating. But I do think Bo Nick's will have a good game. I think he will have a solid game. I just don't know how you how you pair him with anyone. Right. I'm with you there. I'm much more interested on the concentration on the on the other side. You mentioned scoring a lot of touchdowns as a way to score a lot of fantasy points. I want to talk about some guys that I do think will score a lot of touchdowns this week. I'm going to lead us to the bills and we've seen Josh Allen what six rushing five rushing touchdowns through three games just observed observed levels. What I think is interesting about this spot and it'll lead us to who I think might score a lot of touchdowns for the first time this season.

25:28The bills combination of Josh Allen and James Cook has seen nine carries inside the five yard line. That would tie Derek Henry for the most through three games so far this season. Why do we like Derek Henry because he has the potential to score a lot of touchdowns. We have Josh Allen who with like 10 minutes left to go in the fourth quarter of their win over the chargers took a helmet to the knee. I know like coaches have been saying like he's fine. They just that's their buzzword for describing him this week is like every time they're asked in the media is like he's fine. Okay, cool. Thanks. But like I have to think is there a world where some of those like Josh Allen carries inside the five they go like, okay, you know, we got James Cook. We'll just get him like off tackle and like protect Josh Allen a little bit. I don't know. I think it's at least interesting. Another aspect of that that I think is interesting is we've seen the explosives from James Cook.

26:28We have yet to see the explosives turn into long touchdowns. So this team continues to get tackled inside the 10 inside the five at the one. We haven't seen James Cook did that last week again, but they gave him the ball again. So I was like, yeah, you did it. You did it. So that's very interesting to me. There's a lot of like speculation in that it's loose analysis. But I think it's at least interesting to consider James Cook here at 7400. He's priced almost a thousand below Derek Henry priced 300 below CMC. They're going to pick up ownership thoughts on James Cook this week. It's interesting one, especially in the context of Derek Henry, right? Who people are going to want to play. It's just the Titans. Well, he's a huge home favorite against the Titans, but man, that offensive line is a wreck right now. And you saw the end of it. He couldn't even have efficiency against Dallas. God second box. Oh my gosh. Got in the box. Well, they're I mean, they're on their fourth center now this season.

27:30Looks like they're going to get Ronnie Stanley back at least two, but Andrew Voorhees now is going to move into the starting lineup. He started last year. He was terrible. Derek Henry's yards of four contact have like precipitously dropped all three weeks because the state of the offensive line. So I like it. I like it in context of the James Cook leverage versus Derek Henry's going to be immensely more popular just for from some narrative street and obviously the Ravens, you know, being at home. But like we're asking young bad players to block Jeffrey Simmons in the interior. So there's a chance that we could be running to some inefficiencies still to you. I think we're going to get a lot of volume there, but James Cook could have a lot more success. I believe on individual carries an upside to so if we have this Josh Allen fact, remember they ran Dawson knocks and the touch push after Josh Allen's injury to right last week. So Josh Allen was never going to miss this game. And I think he'd have to have his leg come off for him to actually miss a game at this point because he's been such an NFL iron man. But will we just see him run around like will that be as part of the game plan. I don't know. Maybe you just can't coach that out of him like the scrambling stuff, but you can reduce some of the design stuff.

28:35So maybe that's what just gets James Cook going, but James Cook. We know is a hyper efficient, you know, really good back. It's just I wish they wouldn't have lied to us about the receiving stuff this summer. They tried it. They tried it like in the first half of week one. And then they're like, yeah. Yeah. And then Ty Johnson, Ty Johnson, Johnson came back last week in his role, just immediately back to where it was last year. So we were we were lied to that was another lie that we were we were spun from coach speak in the offseason. But even then with James Cook, he's still last week saw a hefty, you know, opportunity share with Ty Johnson back like Ty Johnson is going to see the clear passing situation role now. But I'm like, that's okay. I think with a guy we and that's the reason that like I'm glad you brought up Derek Henry in this discussion is we can view James Cook like Derek Henry. I like the matchup much better for James Cook. I think that he has similar touchdown equity based on the things that we know the speculation that we went through. Yeah. You can increase that leverage even further by pairing one of Derek Henry's teammates with James Cook and just say like, I'm going to bet on the touchdowns coming from far out through safe flowers.

29:48Why do I want to bet on safe flowers? Yes. He is the most efficient wide receiver. And he has like 41 routes run. That's like less than a normal games worth of routes run. But the efficiency dude, he is more efficient than JSN so far and again, very small sample. But this is at least worth talking. This is a wide receiver who could be in the Jamar chase pricing tier, I think in five four or five, six weeks. I want to be on that as well. And I think playing him with James Cook is a very interesting way to generate some some simple leverage. And then you can pretty much do whatever you want the rest of the roster. Foughts on that. I love safe flowers on this slate, especially because Derek Henry is going to be popular. And look, I know like said, Derek Henry's going to get value in this game. I am counting on that. But also like if he is like at his price like to really, you know, shadow realm you with a score like he's going to have to score two to three touchdowns and be like a fish at rushing.

30:48I think there are questions with the state of offensive line and this matchup. The Titans even going back to last year are a team that do play the run well because of Jeffrey Simmons. And I think he's got an advantage in the middle. And I think Zay flowers has a clear advantage on the outside in the interior actually because he is you know running 68% of his routes in the slot. Declan Doyle's had a clear plan for Zay flowers like getting him in space. And he's an electric player when he has the football in his hands. And yeah, he's one of these guys I want to be there before the before like the I want to be ahead of the 80% route participation game before it happens. Right. And this is a perfect slate. I think designed to play a lot of Zay flowers. He's off the entry for is that accurate. Yeah, he's been practicing in full. I think he's a need just fully go. So yeah, he was already I guy I've already written him up as a top tournament play. So yeah, same page same guy of I'm all locked it as a flowers. I'm with you. I think we have to at least talk about the state of the running back position real quick for its influence on the slate. We mentioned Jeremiah love. We mentioned Braylin Allen.

31:54I mentioned Deandre Swift who they had a walk through on Wednesday. He did not practice on Thursday. Have you seen an update yet on Deandre Swift status? I have not and I just we're not going to kind of bend Johnson to give us anything. I think use right at this like knowing Ben Johnson at this point. It's funny like these coaches that have this. Just like you know, you can't believe it was Todd Bulls, right? Like when he went bucke you're every new point of fourth corner. He's like well, he's not hurt. I'm like, yeah, okay, Todd. He's not on the injury. And then he's the first one day and he's on the injury report. And Ben Johnson's another one of these guys that just you know, he's never going to give us anything useful at this point. But we just we have to wait and see today. We're recording this at noon. It's 1230 Eastern and there I just scoured and there's still nothing on like from today. So that's just one you have to kind of you know, keep your ears on the ground. But because if Deandre Swift is out common on guys should see a massive workload with Rochant Johnson, the only other backup roster right now.

32:56That is way more interesting to me than a guy like Braylon Allen. You need things to go really, really right for Braylon Allen to return a GPP worthy score this week. When I got has many more paths to upside. So I would be highly interested. He's even cheaper at 4900. He could have a massive influence on kind of the state of the slate and where people are looking to go. People will be drawn to if Swift is inactive to simply playing like Jeremiah love with common on guy and saying I'm okay eating chalk here. I'll just differentiate elsewhere or not. We know. But that's something to keep an eye on as we go through the rest of today. Absolutely again. Okay. Do you want to talk about the chiefs and the Raiders? I'll throw that over to you. I mean, do you do you have an angle you want to talk about outside of doing a mini stack of Kenneth Walker Brock powers? No. No, I don't.

33:56I started this week and digging into this game. Just thinking like, okay, I'm spags. How the hell am I going to game plan for Brock Bowers? I could not come up with the damn thing, dude. I have no idea what's best. A lot of coordinators feel the same way. The Saints try through everything. They were throwing cool aid McKinstree at Brock Bowers at one point in the game. Like they were trying like Brandon Staley was really trying to like he tried a lot of things. It just didn't work out. Yeah, it's like, are you going to have like Bolton? Like are you going to have the linebackers dropping here? They're going to open up so much stuff for like Ash and Genting and like the Raiders offensive line is absolute trash. So maybe that is what they do. They just like drop their linebackers play them more center of the field and like trying condense the But like Brad Brow is going to move everywhere. He's going to move. He's going to be everywhere. He's going to be like he's just so like I have no idea. Are you going to put like Lajaria Sneed on him who's like I think it's bottom five in fantasy points allowed per route run in coverage.

34:59I don't know man. There's nobody that can match up with Brow is here in that discussion. It's very interesting. He fits very easily with if you're using these cheap running backs that we talked about. Is there any angle here you see to differentiate off of that? No, not really. It's just like you know if you're going to play how how do we get to like all the big price dudes like if you want to play bowers and then you still want to play chase or you want to play JSN. Obviously you're running real low on money at that point. But yeah, bowers as a guy definitely want to get in. I think Bowers Walker just makes a ton of sense of just from like a game environment stance. Yeah, I got nothing else to add there. I mean that's what I said if there's another play here, but that's that one's pretty clean. Yeah, we had to talk about it. It's a 47 and a half game total. We talked about it. We talked about the Patriots and the bills and other high game total. We talked about the Broncos and 49ers and other high game total. Let's talk about the Cowboys and the Texans. Dude, is this just the George Pickens blow up spot?

36:00It could be if the Texans do what they do, but like no one does this against the Cowboys is a thing. Maybe the Texans have hubris and they're like our guys are good enough where we will just come out and play single high. But no, but usually the teams that don't that they come out of that when they play the Cowboys for this you know reason right. It's the same thing we see with the Bengals right. It's it's why the Bengals don't get a lot of it either is because you have two guys that are just so good that you have to play over the top coverage. So if we do get a bunch of single high like that's where that I mean DAC is always going to challenge. He's going to get picking chances to win if it's ever one on one. So yeah, if we get that that'll work out we it's interesting about the Texans to this year is in the Eagles are doing this too where they've kind of changed what has worked for them in the past and and are kind of following more like ongoing defensive trends instead of just doing what was really good for their personnel before. The Texans have really cut their man coverage rate half from last year. They're playing a lot more cover three single high like we just you know you're leading to and just like what why are we doing this like stick to what you were awesome at.

37:06Before yeah. So it stood out to me and then you look at George pickens against single high it's like see they're both capable and not capable they're both a borderline elite against man coverage but like if you throw you if you throw cover three George pickens is going to eat dude. His metrics against cover three of the last two seasons with Dallas have just been absolutely bonkers insane. I like I'm going to keep an eye on his ownership but I like his pricing tier which is probably in this dichotomy of like the how the slate is shaping up we want to be spending up at high price wide receivers we want to be saving the field is going to want to be saving a little bit of cash. And at running back we want to be playing Brock Bower's we want to be playing Tremick bride we're not going to see a lot of ownership I don't think on this mid tier specifically away from guys like Parker Washington. Yeah, so that's why I really like safe flowers that's why I really like George pickens here the match up we think and again we might see something different from the Texans but we think the match up is going to be elite here so I'm okay especially at lower ownership taking that.

38:17Chance that we do in fact see heavy cover three rates because pickens would just eat man and I'm yeah we're expecting the cobwebs to still score on in a tough match up like it's the same thing like even even the 49ers like you know we we expect him to score points though. The the Texans are the bend but don't break mantra right like they want to keep the play in front of them we've seen a little bit increased rate of single high usage this season which is kind of biting them in the butt. But we've seen them break more frequently than we're used to this season so yeah something to keep in mind they're like one of the worst third down defenses which is shocking right they're breaking yeah we're not used to seeing that anything from the Texans like what do you expect to see from Nico here. I would have been really bullish what's interesting is I mean I still am like interested he's he's actually really cheap on fandall I know we don't really ever touch on fandall very much that he is he is supremely priced down over there though compared to DK so like he has a little more intrigue there to plus he's a little touch down to but you know that the trade of joy Porter is interesting because Christian parkers playing a lot of man coverage and he's moving his corner backs around so I I think that he's just going to get thrown to the fire immediately in shaft.

39:34No need to be cool so I don't know Nico Collins I actually do believe and I I think it's going to be a hey we brought you in the building late in the week. We'll coach you up on some of the scheme but like we you're going to guard. This we because this is your this we'll get you up on the game plan for future week fine things you do your jobs take this guy away because also that team has no other field, throwing to wide receivers, CJ Shred of 17 to 41 passing to wide receivers. Like, not good. The other guy is just aren't winners, man. And you know, obviously it's not their follow. They lose Jaden Higgins, you know, the preseason, like, you know, stuff happens. They tell us out. Tank Dells, they refuse to play Jalen Noel. So the addition of Joey Porter did throw this game into like a different state for me. Because I would have been a lot more bullish. I think I Nico Collins than I am now. He can win versus anyone. I'm not saying he's like a complete fadie there. But when Joey Porter, Jr., the back half, he was the best cornerback in football outside

40:37of Christian Gonzalez, the back half of last year, the final 10 games last year in his coverage, 17 catches on 40 targets. No touchdowns. He's allowed one touchdown in coverage since the start of 2023. Yeah. I mean, I really, I really do believe that there, and maybe he's just rusty, because he isn't played. Like, there's just a variable. It's just, it just, it just threw something into this matchup where I was like, oh, Nico's going to come back and just destroy this Dallas secondary. Like, look at every good, every good receiver that, and non-good receiver, it's facing. They've been hyper efficient. You know, and even neighbors was just under three yards throughout run against them. Diggs over T.R. Trowell and McCorn was the wide receiver nine unexpected points that week. They just couldn't throw a ball in the end. So near him, they flowers at six yards per out last week against them. Like, it's a terrible defense. But that trade did throw me, throw a little bit just like, they're like, oh, man, not going to adjust all this stuff. Yeah, everyone's got a plan to get punched on the face. We're over here like, ah, try and dip in the dodging dude. I also like that discussion. I completely, I'm completely on the same page with you.

41:39I also think that we could see Nico Collins used a little bit like say flowers was last week where, you know, route participation 40, 50 something like that percent. This is a guy with a lengthy history of soft tissue, particularly hamstring injuries. I don't know. And there, it would be a little different. I think if they were sitting at two and one, even one and two, this is like a team fully in desperation. So how much do they push him? I don't know. But that wrinkle of Joey Porter coming over, I mean, he got the deal was like agreed to at like midnight on Wednesday and something like that. Insane, dude. That was a fun, fun thing to wait. Yeah, I imagine that back is going to feel really good. Now that you've traded. Oh, yeah, I couldn't, I can't make it through a practice. Oh, I got traded out. Yeah, I'm good to go. Okay. Let's talk about the Rams and the Eagles because there's a lot of moving pieces here. We'll cover this game and then we'll go into hidden hammer range, clean up stuff.

42:39Puka expected back. Devonta Smith expected out. Dallas Goddard is out. Like do you have interest in Don Tavian wicks here? Do you have like what are we doing with Philly? The full fade. Full fade in the Eagles. Same page. They're awful. It's awful offense. It's been awful for over a year. Like it's not a three game sample. Right. This is, this is, this is look the exact same as it has the last 20 games. And that's a different offensive coordinators. So it's awful. Another team that lied to us, they're, they're not using any play action. They're not under center. Jalen hurt still isn't throwing over the middle of the field. They're not throwing to say a quant bar. Maybe he gets some extra targets because of the injuries and trickle down. But like, this is a dysfunctional offense. I don't want to play any guys. They should bring in like Cam Skatavu or like somebody like him to just like deck Jalen hurts. Did you see the look in his eyes? After he got decked on the sideline last week, he came back like a man possessed. And it was, it lasted for one drive. And they scored their loan touchdown of the game on that one drive.

43:42But dude, he was like hyper focused. And it was after he took that massive hit down the sideline. And the Rams defense has been awesome. Like it's like, I know they like, they've been built up as like a super team, but like dude, the Brock Pertis six yards for pass attempt. Bohnix last week had a really weird fantasy game because Bohnix was pretty bad in that game. Five and a half yards or pass. He had two two point conversions, a sneak for a rushing touchdown. Like the way the fantasy points were scored were weird. But yeah, if he has one like like bugaboo with the Rams defense is that they're not getting pressure or they're not getting quarterbacks on the ground. They're 12th and pressure rate there. 29th and sac rate. That's like the one thing, but their past defense has been excellent. They won't have Jalen Watson, but I don't think that's really going to hurt them here that much. Trent McDuffie's been incredible this season. And they said that the Eagles offense like, what are we betting on? Sayquan, since the start of last year, he has three top 10 scoring weeks. Three.

44:43That's about as many targets as he has to. Yeah. And going back to the, the past 11 games at Jalen hurts one top six scoring week four top 10 weeks. Like there's no upside of these guys. What's sealing are we chasing? I ain't, I'm with you. And this is where I was going. Rams defense. It is 2600 man. Oh, yeah. I heard that. Also, like let's talk defense real quick. I thought the Vikings would be like 40% on this week. They're not. I don't understand. Why? Are they? What are they 4K? Yeah. But still, it don't matter. Look. That's going to be a blood bath, brother. Dude, I know even if you didn't have the narrative street of, you know, Brian Flores and Sidler, but Malik Willis is a sack eater, dude. Like, like going back to college, like his pressure to saccharate is astronomical. Like you could have a seven to seven eight sack game here. Yes. I'm going to talk. I'm going to save this for Hidden Hammers.

45:43We'll talk to the Vikings. The Vikings, the Vikings, the Vikings. Yeah. No, that's a hidden in plain sight, Hammer. Like just play this. I don't understand. I don't understand. I think we are just so conditioned to not pay up at defense. It's like, I want raw points and they are the best chance to give me those raw points. I'll make it work. Interesting. For Rams, the ad, I didn't know that I didn't see that they were 26. 2600. That's my paydown is the Rams. I think, like, I'm going to barbell defense this week and it's going to be those two, I think. Just those two, Rams, I think. Yeah, I think so, legitimate. Yeah, but are we in a spot where Pukas is just going to be this week's Bowers? I don't know, dude. I don't know. I don't have a good read on that situation. I don't either. Okay, I was going to ask, like, they're calling it not to do with his soas or whatever it was. Now it's a groin. Like, I see that. I'm not one of the, I don't know anything. I'm not educated in this in the medical space, but all of the Twitter doctors seem to be

46:46in agreement that like this is an extension of that injury and that it's just short of like a sport tournament, that they're calling a sport tournament, but I don't know. It's getting excited. I don't have any degrees or anything. It's, I don't know how to, I don't know how to diagnose or analyze the situation at all other than saying, like, if Pukanakua is Pukanakua, he can do Pukanakua things. But like, I don't know. I'm at a loss, honestly. I have no idea how to view this situation. I might try and force him on a roster or two, just because he's Pukanakua. But like even then, like, the, the Eagles' back end is probably the strength of their defense this season. So, I don't know, man. I was hoping you had something for me, man. No, I, I don't know. I was just wondering, yeah, yeah. Same pace there. He's been good in all these matchups against Fangio, but Fangio's had no answer really for this is not fair. This is not fair. This is, this is the Eagle's secondary looked terrible against Ben Johnson, not Case

47:47Kingdom. Well, it's, it's, you know, and it's not, it's not Vic Fangio's M.O. Right? Like, he's kind of the bin, though, the coordinator there. It's ushered in this era that has, then Mike McDonald's taken like a bridge further, right? Of the, you know, the quarters, the, the match coverage. But it's interesting when you look at the Eagles' actual personnel, like, they should be playing more aggressive man defense and they don't. Yeah. I think that's a solve for them a little bit, but like, they're helping actual opponents by just sticking in this, like, you know, yeah, this is my dog, my dog agrees as well. Yeah. You tell us, man. Yeah. All right. Any other spots that you want to talk about in the, we're kind of not, we're at the end of our rope here as, as far as game environments go, but we've got like the Cardinals, we've got any other offenses that you think you want to jam about here real quick? Well, the way I usually play, like I said, like game onslaughts, I only have two and we, and the other one that I have is when we talk about it, where I think where we can,

48:49because Jaguar is bangles, you still can fit in with the tight ends, like you kind of onslaught that game and still have pieces to move and still get in a really high piece. But this Cardinals Giants game is the other one that I have. Like, you can really play it. You could get JSN and or Chase in a lineup around this game, pretty easily still and play all the pieces. It's not like, obviously there's a high fail rate for this game, but all the Cardinals, Cardinals pieces are good. And you have leverage, right? Like if Jeremiah Love ends up steamed up by the end of the week and like he's a popular play, you have just a Berset, Michael Wilson, Tremac Bride, leverage opportunity. Jeremiah Love is also a player. I think it could be played with Berset. And on the other side, I think Skataboo and this is not going to be for the faint of heart. I think Malik neighbors is in a really great spot this week. Fantastic spot on paper. If we just boil like that, the assumption there is that like James Wilkinson is forced to do like James Winston's stuff because God, they managed to hell out of him last weekend. We knew it would happen to.

49:49Yeah, there was weather and there it's Matt Nagy effect. At what point do we say like we need to drop the training wheels? I don't know. I don't know. It could happen this game. If that does, I love neighbors again in another player in that like mid range of wide receiver pricing that lets you do a little things a little bit differently here. We also, and like no one's really overly expensive. Like the highest skill position player in this game is Tremac Bride. But even then at 6500, like he probably should be another 800,000 more expensive if we were just comparing him to like all pass catchers. Like if he were a wide receiver, he would be 7500. I don't know. Yeah. You can play any type of events in this game too. Yeah. So like Michael Wilson back to the well with Michael Wilson, the role is there. Now if we're loading up this game, we're typically like programmed to force a quarterback. Do you think that's required this week?

50:50I'll, I'll can't leave it open ended question there for you. No, I don't think it has to be. But I think if you are playing one of them, the only way they let Winston do anything fun is if the cardinals are doing just a fun stuff. So I would much rather play the Berset side still. Right. I'm with you. I was messing around with like how, because I was drawn to this game as well. I was kind of like, how do I attack this? And then the field isn't going here. So it's not a matter of. Berset's really cheap too though. So that's right. Right. And the problem for me with Berset is like the paths to like a three score game are much lower than other places. And he's not much cheaper than say Trevor Lawrence. That's kind of my hang up there. But like I was messing around with like love Wilson neighbors and thinking like, I don't think I need a quarterback from this game here. Even if I'm attacking it that way. That was where I was at. Yeah, but neighbors was on my board for hit in hammer.

51:51So I'm glad that. Okay. Look at that. I mean, Will Johnson's the one I are. Obviously he's not an easy click for a lot of people. Yeah. Well, like the target market share was there last week, even in this like confined role. I mean, you look at his spray chart last week. It was like everything was within five yards of the line. It was the lowest. It was the lowest step of target of his career. It was gross. That was the game plan. Yeah. And it made sense. I mean, the wind was crazy. But that's what Matt and Aggie and the Greg Rominer, they want to do like they don't want fun jamus. Like they don't want us to let it. They don't want that out of the bag. So, but did you, did you see the box? They cut to the box after jamus through that red zone interception two weeks ago. And he was just like, don't do that, dude. So yeah, it was very clear how they were going to manage. Yeah, I mean, there's a couple spots this season that I think people like think are just static. Like you talk, we talked about the Jaguars, right? Like how their defense is operated. And like we have to add context like what these teams have done in a small sample in

52:54like the game environments. Like the bears are another team that like a lot of people like, well, this is what the bears look like. I'm like, no, we don't have any answers. Yeah, the bears because they played a crazy ass game. They scored 50 points and had like six rushing touchdowns. And then next week they played Brian Flores and a Montsu. Caleb's hamstring comes off and then you have to play their third string quarterback on the road. And then you're probably going to play at their number two quarterback this week. Like we're not going to have any answer still like on the bears. Like it's still going to be a very fluid offense. I think for the remainder of the season, because I, you know, see people saying, well, it's locked in like this role for Clea frame and so I think I'm like probably short term for this week. It is but like I something like their whole offense and the way it's going to operate is completely fluid. Yeah, 100% with that understanding, like do you have interest in Luther bird in potentially 5200 this week? Not as much as some of the guys we talked about just from like an upside stance, like I much prefer like paying up for like a flower ceiling week, even a neighbor ceiling week versus like a bird in, but in context of the burden versus Raymond who's going to be popular because it's just like the way he, he unlocks so many guys on the slate and

53:57people would just like, well, I'll take my nine points and get out of here because we did see the one difference from the bears. And I believe this will happen even if agent starts in this game is like the first read targets are going to go way up in this offense with just like a pocket quarterback and agent is more mobility than Keenum, but he's going to throw the ball on time more. Kayla literally has the lowest rate of throws within two and a half seconds that the past two years. And 25% of his throws are within two and a half seconds of the snap. We saw case Keenum last week. He was at a 57% rate. I think Beijing will be in that area. And those plays help guys like burden and Raymond get targets. I'm a little, I'm still a little concerned about like the overall ceiling outcome for a guy like burden here because I still think it will be more of those like intermediate targets, like the shallow intermediate targets that he's getting out of turn in. So you probably need like a huge yak play like involved in there too. But I do think it's going to be a good volume game for Luther Burton. Yeah, that's kind of where I was at as well.

54:59And especially with a lot of the attention on that game on the other side because of the just the sheer number of injuries. I was trying to get like, is there a guy that I want to play on the bears? My answer was like, I don't know still. So I wanted to hear your thoughts on that. All right, hidden hammers. Is there any guys that we did not talk about yet? The only guy that we didn't talk about is that I think is pretty interesting here is Sam Darnold. Okay. The field already wants to play JSN like they want to play him and the CX can't run the ball. Like they are dysfunctional running team. And we'll see if anything, anything changes, you know, when they get Zach Sharver and a back, but he's not, he obviously can't come back this week. They're playing this three man rotation. The chargers have actually been okay against the run outside of James Cook, who, you know, James Cook's always going to be as efficiency against good defense all the time. And then when you look at the amount of too high that, you know, Chris Aliri's been running

56:00this year. I mean, you know, Sam Darnold, since the start of last year is number one in NFL and yards were passed him as too high. Whether you want to call that a JSN set or Darnold's that. So be it. That's where we're playing. We're playing, you know, with him anyways. So, yeah, I think Darnold is relatively interesting. If everyone wants to play a JSN and not get to Darnold, if that's how we just, you know, be different versus the JSN teams. I like that shout. We were on that at OWS last week too. So like if you're playing JSN, you probably should at least consider Darnold and then he put up 30 plus. And he's had like spike weeks. So it's just like a random thing. And obviously, like I said, you call those JSN weeks or not, but he's had these big three, four touchdown games. Yeah. All right. You ready? Like put your seatbelt on real quick. I'm waiting, I'm waiting the whole time. All right. All right. One of my favorite salary savers that allows you to spend up everywhere else on your roster is Chris Bell. Okay. So the opposite side of that Vikings defense discussion, but what are the Vikings?

57:03We know they're going to blitz. Was it you guys? You didn't warn that talked about the rate at which backs are into block against the Vikings this season? Was that, did I see that with you guys? I don't know if it was us, but I talked about it last year at Jamir Gibbs when they played them. I remember this being a big thing. Yeah. So it's like double the league average of running backs into blocks. You have to. We don't have Devon H. Ann anymore, who's an undersized back that might be actually better for this pass offense. Now let me explain. Oligordan is a 225 behemoth of a back and is a well respected and graded pass blocker. I think, and I, over the course of like fab and the season long stuff, I have Jalen right well ahead of Oligordan rest of season. But for this week, I think we see Oligordan see a pretty significant snapshot. Mm-hmm. They're not going to be able to run the football with Oligordan. He is a 225 pound plotter with four six one speed.

58:03So what do they do? They're probably going to have be forced to throw the football. What also are some tendencies of the Vikings defense? They are susceptible to the back end if they're not getting that pressure. So what is that? What is that led to this season? They are giving up the second highest explosive play rate through the air. We've seen teams kind of attack them downfield. Christian Watson had those two long catches when they played the backers. You're like, you see it on tape. You see it in the stats as well. So like Chris Bell is a guy that is running these deep crossers. He's running these upside inducing routes. And Malik Willis has the deepest eight out in the league as far as when he does throw the football. So if we get a 32 to 36 pass attempt game from Malik Willis, I think Chris Bell has massive upside here and he's priced at only 3700. We're probably going to see people prefer like Malik Washington, but he's kind of more of a short intermediate and kind of gadgety, Debo Samuel light. We have Caleb Douglas who was not practiced this week.

59:05I didn't mention him in the injuries, but like he hasn't practiced yet this week, didn't play last week with an equal injury. Dude, talk me off this ledge, man. I can't, man. I can't. He's just a cheap guy and create his own yards after the catch. We saw him have that slant for his big gain last week. You remove H&M from the offense. He's got a 24 yard catch and run because that's what, so Chris Bell, like going back to college because like he got some weird comps because his body type because he's he's a 225 pound receiver. But he's not like a straight line speaker. He needs like a ramp up. He's like a locomotive. Like he's got to get going. Like he's not a zero to 60 guy, but he's like hard. He's hard to tackle when he's actually like up there. Like when he's actually like getting to max speed. That's why he was always good at Louisville. Unlike these shallow drags. So in college football, you see a lot of plays where like Zachariah Branch, they would just like throw him the ball behind the line of scrimmage because they can just like quickly create yardage. But Chris Bell, they couldn't give him like screens because he isn't have like that big

1:00:08boost. They would have to run him on like these shallow drags where he would have to pick up momentum and then get the ball and like like he's that type of player and we saw that last week. He had that slant and like he's really hard to tackle when he gets moving. Yeah. I like that because you can also hit some of those like meshes and stuff like that too on those blitzes where you know, he's almost like coming underneath. So yeah, I mean, he's so cheap. I mean, I would never push back on that and create his own yards and no one's going to want to play him. So I'm going to give you, I'm going to layer onto that just for a second. We want to order back. Yes. So what about adding the equalist to this discussion? Oh boy. I know. It's a great your brave your brave. It feels so gross because we want to play all these high price like Josh Allen's on the on the slate, the March actions on the slate. Like if you just play like a just a two man pairing like Malik Willis is 4900 and then a 3700 wider seabird you could play JSN with Jamar chase if you wanted to. You could do some really funky stuff. When you played what would perform want you to play Malik Willis here more than Jalen

1:01:13Daniels. I think Jalen Daniels is not an NFL quarterback or at least Malik Willis we know he can at least throw the ball deep. Like I will I watch the tape on Jalen Daniels. Yeah. Like his his mechanics are all wonky dude and he like he looks like I don't he's not to the level of like a Philip Rivers, but like he looks like his entire body is like struggling when he's launching a football deep. So like and that just like that game environment that and I'm sorry we're over time here, but like that game environment between the Packers and the Buckeneers is like I think we're going to see two teams that are just trying not to lose a game. And there's like let's just get through this one. We're not going to do anything crazy like small advantage Packers within that structure, but like I don't see any upside with Jalen Daniels. He might add four or five fantasy points on the ground. That could get him to 10 fantasy points if he rushes for a score, but like where is the upside? Because Malik Willis, he can get the upside and you're making the same bet on one of his past catchers that can get him to that upside.

1:02:15I think is a very different discussion like it'd be a little different if like Jalen Mcmillan were active for the Buckeneers that like downfield type guy. They just don't have that right now. So that's where I'm at. Gotcha. All right. He is rich. You know where to find him over at Sharp football analysis. I am high low over at one week season. This was week four of searching for ceiling. Until next week y'all. We'll see you.