
Este hombre acaba de resetear la inversión del siglo
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“This man has 2 million dollars to be able to tell the public what you're going to hear. It's Daniel Cocotailo, a small organization without any luxury business that is dedicated to one thing. I can't confirm it, but I hope it's called the CoCo Oracle.”From the transcript
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Un Podcast Sobre Bitcoin — Este hombre acaba de resetear la inversión del siglo. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
This man has 2 million dollars to be able to tell the public what you're going to hear. It's Daniel Cocotailo, a small organization without any luxury business that is dedicated to one thing. I can't confirm it, but I hope it's called the CoCo Oracle. In 1991, I wrote a document titled, How it will be in 2016, where it was written year by year and with incredible evidence that we would see the artificial intelligence and the impact it would have on social level. A seminal document that was evaluated in OpenAI in 2022 and the attention of the planet.
Among them, the current vice president of the United States that was captivated by the Nazis of CoCo and considered it his guide for artificial intelligence. A year ago, CoCo ended up limiting OpenAI and accepted to lose 2 million dollars in equity to be able to criticize the actions that its company, and the rest of the sector is taking over. Action was conducted to an artificial intelligence that was aligned with humanity, the greatest risk that we face as a species. And the last days, CoCo has returned to the ports this time with a new prediction, the most serious one that has ever been made, and the one that was made in 2018. These statements were the catalyst of a series of events that culminated in the union of the intelligence intelligence cupel in its desire to train the growth of the IA. On September 12th, Dario, a model and chief of the Anthropic, published a title titled, We must mark the rhythm of the border, where it says that the industry must train the speed to which the capabilities of the intelligence could improve. And the mask, minutes later, gave the reason to Dario. Dario is the right one.
And Sam Alman from OpenAI shared the same feeling, I agree with Dario in which we have to pause the border. The three bosses of the three companies, punters, in the artificial intelligence union, are in their desire to train the growth of the same product that they are building. Three people that only one day could not be born, two of them in fact, are in juiciness, now they are together to make a common face. This prediction is the most important thing that has happened since the launch of the race for this technology in 2022, and this should be the most surprising. The desire to train does not go from the potential of the artificial intelligence, nor does the predictions, nor does any impact that this technology will have in society. This is the policy. In the last days, we have seen declarations of the two main parties in the United States, the Republican and the Democratic Party pushing two visions or positions for the intelligence intelligence question.
The Republican would move swiftly to secure and reassure the American people, rush inspectors into frontier labs, fortify the nation against bioterrorism, demand legislation from Congress, and lead the world toward an AI treaty. While from the Republican side with Donald Trump, they are able to accelerate the risk of investment and growth, from the Democratic side, the agenda is elected, such as the President John Ossof, the Democratic Party senator in the state of Georgia, is completely opposed. Regulation, licenses, control. We have to see today, as the electoral victory of a band or the other will define the future of the investment in the largest asset of the planet, the US national companies and how the consequences of this new political battle change completely the investment panorama. In particular, the most relevant asset in this market and at the same time, the least affected by this, Bitcoin. So, if you are a fan of the 90's, because the only thing that comes to mind is the one that deserves to follow, at which it is the best movie of the story. In an interview with almost 20 million views on the day of a century, Coco shared his most dark prediction for the future of humanity.
For example, everyone could die. You know, this is the classic class of control scenario or one version of it. Coco was a teacher in 7 days. In 1st December, this investor involved in the development of Anthropic and Public a message on Twitter. In him, he did not know that the people who are building artificial intelligence, as his exemplary, are betting on our lives. They, I quote, honestly believe that the one who could kill us all before the end of the decade. With this message, his first tweet in the platform reached 180 million people more than 15 of us who have all of us together in our lives.
This with a story with 8 months of life, some scenes of followers and no previous content, so that they later say that the dream of the American did not exist. Literally, a day after posting this message, Cochón had become a media celebrity and was immediately invited to the main and informative platforms of the country. Like the CBM and the CNN, where he was interviewed that same night. This interview, in particular, is especially illustrative, because it is surely the first interview you see in your life, in which the interviewer responds to the questions that the interviewer has asked. And not as it is usual, that the interviewer responds. Specifically, when did your feelings about this technology change? Was it something about the rate of progress that you've seen? Yeah, so I think it's really important to just look at the rate of progress.
I hope you liked Cochón, because something tells me that it will be a lot of later in the next few years. However, what these interviews do not say, and surely in none other, is how exactly we are going to love all the members of the artificial intelligence. Talk about the possibility of creating a super virus, let infrastructure and remember the incident that has also caught attention in the last few months. The hacking phase, where artificial intelligence and software were made to pass an exam. Now, some people in a test environment are not controlling the experiment of the human species, there is a jump that doesn't have to be explained. Luckily, in memory of the fact that we have an professional miracle, Coco, the man of the two million, in his documentary 2001, made up with all his predictions. Well, not with all, but in one, which is the one that interests us.
But before we see it, we are going to see how it is built and a relapse, who talks, who puts the words in the mouth, and what is left behind of all that, and you have the power to do this. But you are certainly not doing it, so the relapse is built for you, where you are, and what do you like to see on the internet? It is an information that you deliver as such, and how it is, but you could create a real alternative to protect you in this way. That is why I use Proton-VPN, with Proton, traffic via a traffic jam and your direction is visible to you so that it is in the middle, Proton does not guard the registers of what you do for its own architecture, of work, and also brings an extra little knowledge, and it is that you get to the whole online content independently of the geographical limits. If you can see the link in the description or in the comment section, you can find out the test without compromising, and with us in the description of the account, www.barrahwpn.com, because you can choose the story you think about yourself. How was it in 2021? This was asked in 2021, 12 months before, what was the chat GPT? What time? Their answers were asked in a document where I made predictions, years to years, until 2016, of what happened with artificial intelligence.
It was written that in 2022, for example, they would start to get chatbots of fun, but erratic and superficial consumption, the first version of artificial intelligence. It also said that in 2025 and 2006, it would be what denominated the bureaucracy of prompts, exactly what we call agents, when it was written, there is still this word. And it was done for the 2005, which is the important thing to be the size of the model, and it would be the speed and its power of reasoning in chains. This happened at the end of 2024. Honestly, the Thio is worth for those who were able to get through these advances, that in the rest of the world they have appeared in magic, it is not a little. Now, if the key in the development of the technique, this is typically the impact that these advances would have at the social level. For example, I predicted that the different political blocs would create their own chatbots of different ideology, geoblocked, i.e. in the United States, one would have one, Russia would have another, China, one different. I also left a fairly random prediction, that the right chatbots would go very behind the border.
It seems that Coco has dominated the south, but what interests us is her prediction about the impact that these chatbots would have in the field. The thesis that this technology would slowly move to more working workers without doubt, the most commented prediction, the most worrying and at the same time the most erroneous. In fact, the most visible interview in the podcast of the day of a CIO, where Coco appeared, is another interview about artificial intelligence, where they explained to a year ago how I and I will end up with the employee, this has more than 20 million views. However, this is not only not happening, but in some cases it would be just the opposite. The employee is going up to the rhythm that the artificial intelligence grows. A reality that has not prevented Coco from saying literally the end of the employee between 2018 and 2019. Again, the companies are not trying to cause mass unemployment as step one. That's like step three after step one, automate themselves.
Step two, have this recursive self improvement to get to super intelligence. Step three, expand out into the economy and automate everything. The artificial intelligence will be improving itself. Once it has a great capacity of human, it will be when it comes to the economy and it will eliminate all the jobs of one day to another. A theory that, in a certain way, would give another meaning to Coco's future, but that, for luck, has no sense. There are many jobs that should be able to move before reaching super seillan. In fact, there is no job for anyone who needs that level, all jobs of today, that supposedly would be lost, like the human human, human human human beings. Amodely, the CEO of Anthropic fails in the same sense that Coco claims the technical advance but leaves the social impact. In his last document, he says that a December of salineat models, we don't know who would be salineat, will take the Internet control within six to twelve months, causing 200 million dollars a year.
Again, he doesn't explain what he means to take the Internet control, I hope he pays me something for my newsletter. Coco and Amodely share the premise that the change of paradigm, singularity, will be the best of the models. But where have we heard this before? It's literally the premise of Terminator 2. A idea that it is great in the movie, but there are two basic questions that matter outside the fiction. First, what does a intelligence mean to be better at the same? It should be defined that it is better, we could say that it is better when an objective is advanced, but the important thing is to be objective. It is marked and it can be used to mark its own objective, and how it will be optimized by that objective is really the best. Let's put an example. In this video, in the 80s, the fight between two video formats,
VHS and Betamax. Betamax took them here, Morita, the founder of Sony, the man who invented the Wolfman, a threat. Against him, another intelligence, the desizu Othacano, engineer of Jota Vc, who presented the VHS. Sony's intelligence was better than the Jota Vc, and Betamax was a better product, which would develop a superhuman and a superhuman to which you could create the best video recording. However, among the two, the one that was imposed was the second. The first was technically better in all, only allowed to record one hour while the VHS allowed to record two sounds, and the public wanted to record movies like Terminator. To improve sound is good, auto-mejor is better, but what to improve is the important thing, so the IA can't eliminate all the employee and much less of one day. And the second question that obvious is where the energy comes from. You can't create an intelligence that is auto-mejorable in the same way as before. The production of the coconut miracle takes the best resource, as if it were free, when reality requires megabatios, requires time and requires to check that something is useful.
One human, however, does everything this time, while the background is thinking if it will arrive to see the game of Madrid this night, and the best thing is that to work, you only need a good entry-code. Like this, the Zamora's background. Now, that the team in the social impact and exaggeration in the real capacity of that technology doesn't want to say that artificial intelligence is not going to have an impact, or that this people don't know what to talk about. The repercussion of that technology is, and it's going to be very beastly. In just two months, for example, thanks to these models, they have found vulnerability in the middle of the services in Bitcoin, and I logic is to think that this is only the beginning and we could see attacks to more generalized services. But one thing is, what makes technology, and another very different is our response to what makes technology. I find that, to read, equally, the current situation and future, to build our own Oracle, we need a correct framework to understand that this technology is really. And in essence, these companies sell intelligence that extracts the material that composes chips. They are like a solution, you have to change the oil for intelligence.
This intelligence is there and there is to extract. There is to do it, you need to spend energy. Therefore, an extractive industry with a very real and electric cost and a very electric factor, such as it is very exposed to the access to resources, to those chips and others, as to the competition, to what others have done. And if we understand it like this, it is easier to understand what is really happening. When the three bosses of the main companies, Amoday, Alman and Elon Musk, are together to propose a freno to the extraction of new intelligence to cover the capacity of current models, regulate the industry and create licenses, what is looking for is to create a barrier for the entrance of new competitors and a limit to the demand of their resources, in the way that they control the alpha of their costs. In essence, what they are looking for is to use the fear to capture the market. If users can't access other models, they will have to pay more for the agency and if there are other companies that have license to operate, they will also have the costs of extraction. Independently, if you think it's good to do it or it's bad, it's not, because it's bad, and it's already...
The level here is that thanks to this apparent, reasonable, goalscorded, it's only been two days before the future of this sector that will change completely the investment scenario. And none of the two of us extinguishes, which is good. Let's see first the case in which the industry does not regulate and we all say, let's say, as far as now. We will call it the Donald scenario. According to a study by Jason Furnham in Harvard, the 92% of the economy in the early age of 25 was artificial intelligence, data centers, chips, etc. Without this, the growth would have been 0.1%. On the other hand, 34% of the capitalization of the EPSP 500 and 26% of the business companies are concentrated in the expo-states to artificial intelligence companies, not to the companies that sell artificial intelligence. If you think that the company is not the only one who is interested in the companies that sell artificial intelligence, but to all the industrial-owned industry that allows its functioning,
to which we find Juan. Jason Juan, CEO of Envidia and who logically shows up very often against any type of control that reduces the investment. The growth is sold and is in the center of the political agenda of Donald Scott and also this is the first day of Donald's scenario and this week the only one. There is no angle with which you can face this posture. Politically, it does not make sense to propose an anti-credits agenda. But Coco and Cochon changed this. Against the massive stakes of our times. The second day proposes to control the access to extra-air intelligence. Coco plans this possibility in his prediction.
In fact, it is his plan to avoid the rebellion of machines. It is estimated as a model that the only thing we can do as a kind of Extinction film is to train the development. In this scenario, the companies of IA, like Anthropic and OpenAI, win, because they translate expenses and eliminate competition while the ones who depend on them lose, for example, Envidia. That is why the immediate answer to the essence of popularity of this second day was fall. And what scenario will be imposed? Obviously, this can not be seen. But if we can tell you that at some point, it will win both. Now, in the first day, the second, perhaps, will be imposed on the 2018 elections, which occurs in the mid-term, this next November, will be given to the polls. And if the regulation that is coming, what we are going to see is the end of the massive investment in artificial intelligence. The uncertainty of a free party of money. And where will that money end? Remember, those 2 million dollars that Coco sacrificed to tell the truth to the world, I finally finished them by covering them. And I think to make it even more than him,
if I say that that money, I did not put it in Bitcoin. It was an active one for me, more benefit than the best investment in the world, at least until now, it is a little worse thanks to him. Let's see if his Oracle works better than mine. Before I record a video, exactly how you are seeing today, but obviously not exactly the same, because today is yesterday. I leave you comment that there is a news that you have seen, there is a news that goes, you have seen that it goes, you have seen that it goes, that it is fast, I have said it this time. If you are subscribed, this news is written. I promise you to receive emails, obviously. And in the next one, as a matter of fact, as a matter of fact, I have a good support for this topic, and it is very likely that this is written. So I do not know if they will give it to you, I have a couple of angles in mind, obviously. But I do not know which one. In any case, it will be one extremely spectacular. So I invite you to subscribe if you do not miss it. You will never be able to read it. And you will be not so smart as you could have been. Extra smart. Well, let's get started. Recording something that happened so late, but in 1959, at that time, Xerox will show you, in the first time on television,
a machine that nobody wanted. Xerox, 9.14, the first photo of paper paper that worked for several. The invention of a Tachers Terkarson had been rejected by a large-scale of large companies that did not see the market to this that people always have things at home. Xerox is the calculation that a client would give me about 2000 copies a month. But finally, what happened is that the clients were photocopying with the same size. 10,000 copies, about 100,000 copies. This year, 20,000 copies a year. In 1925, at 14,000,000,000, in 1966. It multiplied by 700 in only 11 years. The photocopy dollar. It was simply every time photocopy. The technology was improving. The experts were wrong to predict what humans would do with that technology in our houses. This is what always happens. And there it is. Sayonara, baby.
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