Macroeconomic Insights into 2023 & Beyond | Rosanna Prestia Ep.13

Episode 13

Let us begin, the macroeconomic policy landscape has shifted rapidly during the past year, with policymakers facing an unusually uncertain environment. We are inevitably part of a global community with many moving parts filled with growing tensions and uncertainty coupled with worsening global outlook. Some permanent output losses are expected in many economies.

Are we headed for more global economic challenges and, if so, which industries are most affected?

We are in a global community with all nations interrelated so when a major contributor to the global economy has economic restrictions it impacts the world economy significantly. Global growth has slowed and US and China (the 2 top GDP contributors to the world output) have large impacts. Thus, China's economic restrictions will most likely contribute even further to global slowdown.

How are China's economic restrictions impacting the world economy?

We can all agree that inflation remains obstinately high and has become more widespread. Consumer prices began rising significantly late last year in 2021 and have continued in 2022 at an uncomfortable, alarming pace exceeding central banks targets in not only the US but most of the largest global economies.

Could we expect a pivot in 2023?

Earnings are under pressure. As rates rise, we experience not only rises in costs of debt and capital for businesses, but future valuations are also diminished, and growth is further slowed adding to compressed margins.

What are the best sectors to watch during and after a recession?

Is stagflation a possibility?

 

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