Fantasy Football Week 4 Key Questions: Breakouts, Bounce-Backs & Must-Start Matchups (Ep. 2236)

0:00This is an I Heart Podcast. Guaranteed Human At Edward Jones, we believe Rich means opening yourself to new possibilities. That's why your dedicated financial advisor meets you where you are, helping you move forward with confidence. Let's find your Rich. Edward Jones, member SIPC. Hello, everybody. Welcome into the fantasy post-football podcast. I'm Ryan Warmley-Joyne to this Friday morning by Pat Fitzmore, I said Derek Brown. We are talking some week for key questions and fits the Cleveland Browns. Our first place in the AFC North, no team in the NFL has more wins than them. I want to quickly talk about that game last night. I didn't actually get to watch it. I was out of the house last night, but obviously I was following along. The Browns are three and one on a three game winning streak here, Fitz. And Todd Munkin, like coach of the year, Dishon Watson. He's certainly not going to win something like comeback player of the year, but it's working better than I expected it to. I've had a friend from another country who was starting to get into football and wanted

1:00to adopt an NFL team. I might recommend the Cleveland Browns. As a team that look, get in on the ground floor of a team that has been a, I won't say historic failure because obviously in the 50s and 60s, the Browns had some awesome teams, even in the 70s and 80s. Like things are really pointing in the right direction for this team. A lot of exciting talent on defense. Their young pass catchers, she's Denzel Boston, Casey Konsepsy on Harold Fanon, incredible. Quinch on Judgans, not bad. I'd love to see what he could do once this line gets going. And all you have to do is get the quarterback thing right and Dishon Watson actually playing passively so far this season for the Browns. So man, things are really looking up for the Cleveland Browns for a change. And like their fans deserve it. And they've been through the ringer. This hold the Sean Watson thing has been a nightmare. Finally nice to see Dishon Watson winning games for them. Yeah, that was, that was fun to see.

2:02And someone might have had the money line on the Cleveland Browns. Someone that we are excited for. DeVro, is this like a Todd Munkin credit? Is this a credit to the roster that's around the Sean Watson? Is it a credit to Watson? Not that we want to go out of our way to, you know, give him too many props. Where do you kind of point to as what's been successful so far for the Browns this season? Man, I think part of this has been schedule because I don't think any of us believe that the Steelers are a good football team. The Panthers defense is horrible. The Buccaneers and Baker Mayfield can't seem to get out of their own way. And Todd Bolzes is going to be fired very quickly this year. So I don't want to throw cold water on the Browns. Their schedule has helped them though. But are they outperforming expectations? Yes. And I'll point to the defense. I think the defense where it was like losing Miles Garrett, okay, knowing what we know now. Miles Garrett will probably have, you know, the issue wouldn't have been part of the past. Where it's anyway, Jared verse, the secondary, all of the parts of pieces playing well.

3:02I think the defensive backbone of this team is what's quietly carrying them. Dishon Watson is playing somewhere in the vicinity of League average quarterback right now. But yeah, Browns are very surprising. I don't want to go out of my way and be like, oh, they're amazing. And I was actually going to counterpoint and ask Fitz at the very beginning. This friend, do you like this friend? Or is this like a frenemy like that you're recommending the young talent? They've rebuilt the right way. I mean, how good they have good to the the trade of the number one pick to the Jaguars. Now that I hope he's not, I hope the injury last night wasn't serious. But Mason Graham had been playing some really good ball before he went out. How good does the verse trade look right now? I mean, they're loaded for bear on draft capital. Like this rebuild has been really impressive. They're not wrong. Andrew Berry is really in his bag. They're doing to your point, air drop a quarterback into this. And for everybody that didn't, because I just want to for us to stretch just a little bit,

4:06Fitsy, people didn't give Denzel Boston enough love in the pre draft process. That can also be true. He shouldn't have fallen to the second round. Fits just has a saucepot for the Browns because he was in college back when he watched Jim Brown play. So he's always really liked that. My I couldn't help it. On the other side of this one fits. Is there any sort of fancy takeaway on this from the Steelers? Like Roman Wilson 60 yards in a touchdown. You know, 60 plus yards in a touchdown in his last two games. You know, he's at six targets in each of those games. Anything there anything anywhere else on the Steelers side of things. Do you want to hit DK Metcalf? I think it's been getting a lot of shade. And we should probably remember that he's pretty good and probably as a fantasy starter. Most weeks, Jalen Warren, really good. Like he needs to be the lead guy, not Rico, Donald Man. He's just so much better than Rico. And I just don't think we should go overboard on the Steelers passing offense. Cause I think it was how Michael who dropped the stat last night that it was what Aaron Rogers.

5:06First 300 yard games and 18 starts last 18 starts or whatever. So it's just they're going to be weeks when the passing offense is pretty dysfunctional. Like it was against the Patriots in week two when they scored three points and just couldn't move the ball. Yeah. The other thing I want to want to take away from this too is Michael Pittman, Jr., I think is close to if not dropable. He's not part of the offense. There's a definitive coverage reason why he's not part of the offense because he's going to be either too high beater and they have played nothing but like single high teams. But to that point, crap ton of single high teams still on the left on the ledger and then upcoming weeks. So whether it's the foot injury or the coverage stuff, he has not been a part of this offense. But also, Darnel Washington, maybe touchdown or bus streamer moving forward. Like his red zone involvement has been insane. Two catches for 15 yards for Michael Pittman, by the way, just to give us that one. All right, let's get into our key questions here for week four, the rest of the slate.

6:07A reminder for everybody that all of our weekly consensus rankings and tiers can be found at fantasypro's.com slash rankings. We have a London game guys. I think it's six of the next seven weeks. If I'm not mistaken, that we have one of these early window games, 9 30 AM Eastern, obviously, 6 30 AM Pacific. So that's a tough one for the West Coasters. Coltette commanders is this first one. The commanders impressed against the Seahawks defense last week, pulling off the upset over the defending Super Bowl champs. Can the offense stay hot with Marcus Mariotta in London against the Coltette bro? Yes, I absolutely think you can. Mariotta played out of his mind last week. I think he's a fantastic streaming option at quarterback, much less like I think he could be a top to a quarterback this week. The Colt defense has been got awful. He was QB 13 last week. Mariotta was and he didn't even run. And we know that like that's basically like his best asset. Terri McClore and Stefan Diggs, like all the parts or pieces for the commanders offense are really in a good spot here. Like if Jekori Kroski Marit does gets another 15 to 17 opportunities and gets the end zone, like he's an RB2.

7:14So I don't want to say like this is a start. If you got him kind of commanders game, but this game is could be a low key shootout because I don't think out that either of the defenses on either side can offer pushback. Fitz, what do you make of the Colt defense as a matchup for your fantasy managers, just in terms of like first two weeks, they face the Ravens and the chiefs and that's going to be really difficult for a lot of defenses. In week three, they face the Texans. That's going to be pretty easy for a lot of defenses. The probably the truth is that they end up somewhere in the middle, but where are they at in your opinion in terms of a defense to be going up against with your fantasy player? I don't think they're in the middle. I think they're near the bottom and the Texans just made them look respectable. I know the chiefs and Ravens are really tough matchups, but yeah, Colt's defense right now 31st in yards allowed per play, 6.5 yards per play, only the Cardinals are worse and only by a smidge. Colts are 30th and defensive DVOA, 30th against the run, 28th against the pass. They're linebackers, I think are the worst in the league.

8:15And so yeah, the two guys, I think I'm most excited about for the commanders this week. Looks like there's a good chance for shot white misses this game with the shoulder injury. So this could be a pretty good spot for jacory crosskey merits, even though he has not had a run of longer than 11 yards this season and is averaging only three yards per carry. And then Stefan digs like the Colts have really been getting worked over by slot receiver so far. And I don't think that means you can't play Terry McClure. And I think he's a reasonable play too like sauce gardener isn't a matchup to be feared anymore, but digs the Colts have been getting pummeled pretty good by slot receivers. To your point also, Fitsy about Bill, I'm not saying the bill was played well. This is a big offensive line problem for the kids. That's the problem. Dude, he has the second highest rate of all running backs to least 20 carries of getting hit at or behind the line. But to the point, the Colts have gone at the fifth most yards before contact for attempt.

9:15So he might have some running lanes in this game. And it's not ideal that I think the commanders have already rolled out Sam Cosme for this game. Oh, yeah. So yeah, not a good offensive line, but weakness against weakness. We've been bringing it up all week, but just to throw it out there, just a query of crosskey merit did have a 48 year touch down around Colts right on a penalty. So those numbers would have looked even better or different against a Seattle last week if that had to stay at stood. Debro Stefan digs, why does she were 31 too high, too low, just right? Too low too low too low too low. I've got him. I'm going to be above consensus right now. Where do I have digs? Uh, Stefan digs. I've got him at wider seaver 28. So just a shade above, but if we flip over the cards, like depending because we also need some injury stuff, like some clarity on some players. So like when it's all said and done for final Sunday rankings, he might be like borderline, like blow in wider seaver to and I'm not going to be surprised if he produces as a wider seaver to because

10:16just for everybody at home right now, Stefan digs is the wider seaver 17 and fantasy points per game. Let's go to game number two Titans at Ravens. We all kind of expect. I hope you all kind of expect that the Ravens are kind of rolling this one. So just for fun, let's predict Derek Henry's stat line for his first ever game facing the Titans. They bit of your revenge game here. He has talked about this week that, you know, he doesn't view it in that light. It's just, you know, another week and he has, you know, out of respect and love for his time there. But still, it's his first time facing the team that they want to resign. So I think we can maybe have some fun with this. Debra, I'll start with you. What's his outline going to look like? So one of the few things the Titans have actually done is play run defense. They're allowing the fourth lowest explosive run rate 13th lowest Russian success rate, seventh lowest zone yards per carry and Derek Henry, almost 58% zone runs. Now all that being said, Derek Henry is probably going to sniff in the neighborhood of 20 opportunities in this game. I'll give him, I'll go high level view here. I'll give him 20 touches, 95 total yards and he gets to the ends on the least once.

11:21Yeah, the amount of work he gets in this one, I think is interesting fits. Because on the one hand, you could say, okay, the Ravens want to like really let Henry show out against his former team. On the other hand, they need him for the long haul. And this feels like a game where if they go up early, maybe they can dial it down because he's he's been getting tons of touches. He has two games already this season through three weeks with at least 24 carries. I would imagine that they would like to lower that number a bit if they can at least early in the year and kind of save them a bit for December. What do you think the stat lines going to look like? I'll say pretty good volume 129 rushing yards one touchdown. Okay. So a big week. Yeah. By the way, I was just revisiting the Titans years for Derek Henry. So eight seasons 93 touchdowns. And I mean, obviously Derek Henry is going to wind up in the Hall of Fame. But like, can you imagine what the career might have looked like if he hadn't been the backup to Demarco Murray first first two seasons? He had four, four starts in his first two years in the league because Demarco Murray was ahead of him.

12:23And he only started when Demarco Murray was banged up. But then once he got going in what 2018 is first years as starter. Six seasons his last six years with the Titans five 1000 yard rushing seasons, including at 2000 yard rushing season in 2020. And the only miss was in 2021 when he broke his foot in week eight. At the time he had 937 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns through eight weeks. And just how everybody remembers two kindly in 2018. He was also splitting work with Dion Lewis. And he knows things that should have never happened to Derek Henry. That uh, that 2018 or starting of 20 to that 2021 season where he got hurt where he played eight games. Fitz, he still finished the RV 16 on the season. He played half the year. It was off to such a good start. Can I just say that like I honestly don't know if we've ever respected Derek Henry enough as much a respect as we're giving him like right here because how many years in the fantasy community was like, oh, he doesn't catch passes.

13:26He doesn't catch enough passes. Oh, Derek Henry and and we're like, but he's not in the reuse of the receiving game. And Derek Henry is just a friend savage man. Yeah. I always kind of scoff a little when I hear talking heads say like, Oh, Derek Henry is like the last, you know, great Hall of Fame running back because the people don't care about the running game anymore. I'm like, listen, Jim here Gibbs and B. John Robinson are amazing. Like there are other guys coming through who could be on this level. But he is just so fun to watch a Hall of Fame or who's like in his 30s. Still basically borderline playing like his prime is really good. Gibbs and B. John are modern NFL running backs. Like personified, whereas Derek Henry is a throwback to the 1970s thrown into the modern era. And it's kind of fun to watch. Yeah. Oh, it's amazing to watch. I just threw my hands up about three or four years ago. And I was just like, okay, fine. Derek Henry is an RB one and he is an outlier until he decides to see it not work before I'm going to bet on it, not working. And and it's cool. It's him and Lamar in the same backfield has been absolutely as cool as everybody expected.

14:28Like I mean, still this year he's still 11th amongst running backs in yards of the contact for attempt. That it's insane. He's insane. All right. Let's go to what may be a closer game here. Patriots at bills. Drake May has had a nightmare start to the season. He's QB 31 through three weeks. Consensus rankings haven't punished him too much yet, though. He's QB 14 and ECR. Is that too high too low or just right for May against this bill's defense fits? I am at QB 12. I still think Drake May is good at football. I get that people are frustrated. The Drake May investors, they're people in the fantasy pros discord asking me if they should start Kirk cousins over Drake May this week. And they seem unsatisfied when I tell them that I would still start May. And like of course, cousins could absolutely outscore May this week, but I'm, I'm making the bat on May 11 times out of 10 over cousins. And I don't want to make too many excuses for May. He has not been good this year, but did have a brutal road matchup against Seattle and week one.

15:31That's the toughest matchup you can have for a quarterback. Wasn't really that bad against Pittsburgh and week two only needed to throw 22 passes. Didn't have any touchdown. So like statistically unsatisfying. And then last week, yeah, just a terrible game against the Jaguars. And I do think not having AJ Brown is a limiting factor and his offensive line hasn't played well. They've kind of picked up where they left off in the playoffs last year. But I still think May is good. He's still as the running ability. I mean, his Kirk cousins going to get you any rushing production like May had a 21 yard touchdown run wiped out by a holding penalty last week. And this week, I think what you like about Drake May is that the Patriots are going to have to try to keep pace with Josh Allen and the bills and the bills are going to be without Christian Benford. They're best cover man. So I do think there's a ray of hope for Drake May this week. Drake May looks broken on some level, Debro. And yet I feel like just on principle, if you're in any kind of league that values quarterbacks,

16:34super flex format, dynasty, whatever, it just feels like he on principle is probably a smart person to try and buy at a low cost because the upside, even if there's no guarantee that he gets to that upside this season, the upside is just so immense for a player like this. Yeah, I don't disagree with that. I think in any dynasty format, I don't know anybody that's going to be selling him. Like low enough to like get rid of him. Like I know Fitsy, if we have men in the leagues, you're not getting rid of him as most people do because again, we're only four weeks into the season or we will be four weeks after Sunday into the season. So it's a small sample size. No, AJ Brown is doing a lot of, you know, disservice for Drake May, but he is not playing well. He's pressing, but to say all of this, I think there is a ray of hope that Fitsy like laid out here perfectly. No Christian Benford does a ton of things for Drake May and the coverage matchup for him this week, you have two receivers in Romeo, dobs and Mac Hollins that are very good against too high. And so looking at the coverage matchup for Drake May, like I'm at ECR right now.

17:38I've got him at QB 14, but I mean, you tell me he's a QB won this week trying to keep pace with Josh Allen. I'm not hating that at all. You two and I are in a dynasty league together that where I have Drake May and Justin Herbert as my two quarterbacks. And somehow thank you Kenneth. I'm two wins this season, but with those two at quarterback every weekend has been really painful. I see your quarterback situation and I'll show you mine and mine's way worse on that league, by the way. Yeah, losing Jackson dark did me no favors. Yeah, I wasn't going to call you out for that. The winner of the fantasy football championship belt giveaway is Cook Daddy 29. Please get in touch with our customer support agents at mailbag at fantasy pros.com with a screenshot of your YouTube account page while logged in. Once we confirm it to you, we'll get you your prize again, congrats to Cook Daddy 29. If you want a chance to give your fantasy league the ultimate championship upgrade courtesy of our good friends at trophy smack the number one destination for epic fantasy football hardware. Then this is your shot. We are now giving away a 26 to 36 inch custom football trophy.

18:42It's a massive centerpiece built to make your league championship feel like a big deal. On the best part, you can make it your own choose your top or personalize the center and front plaques, customize the columns and create a trophy that represents your league to enter. All you need to do is subscribe to the fantasy pros fantasy football YouTube channel right now. Drop a comment below on any of our videos and that is it. We'll be announcing a winner right here on the channel to be sure to turn on notifications so you don't miss your chance to claim your prize. All right. Next game up guys, Jets at bears. Just an easy one here. Where are you guys ranking? Braylon Allen as the Jets starting running back this week against the bears. We expected Brisa Audenau play that has been official now made officially is ruled out for this game. So where is Braylon Allen ranked for you, Debro? RB 19. I just looking at him as a volume based RB two with a good matchup in this one. And you know, I love the way that that Braylon Allen's always categorized is like a big thumper. Like dude, he doesn't run to his size. He hasn't since college.

19:42Like he doesn't break a ton of tackles this year. He has zero explosive runs 1.89 yards of contact for attempts. So like the per touch efficiency, I don't think it's going to be amazing for Braylon Allen. However, long he keeps this starter's chair for the Jets until Brisa's back, but the matchup is awesome. And like the bears still can't stop the run. Nine Ties explosive run rate, highest rushing success rate. So I think Braylon Allen's sniffing somewhere in like the 15 to 18 opportunities category. And if he gets into the ends on this week, it'll be probably a top 15 back just based off volume. He's RB 21 in the half VP our consensus rankings here. Fits unlike my joke about you watching Jim Brown at college. You actually did watch a lot of Braylon Allen in college because he is a Wisconsin badger. What is your, what are your thoughts on sort of his early career so far and what you expect to see at him? Yeah, D. Bro nailed it. Like Allen is the 235 pound back who sometimes thinks he's a 200 pound back and would rather allude guys than run over them. And it's funny though, every once in a while, he'll remember how big he is and just bury some poor corner back who's coming up to try to make a tackle on him.

20:47And that's always fun to watch. But yeah, like I'm a little lower than D. Bro I'm at RB 21. And I guess I have no beef with RB 19. I think that could be spot on. The question is just how much of the Jets going to mix in Isaiah Davis. Because we had heard Aaron Glenn talk about this maybe being a three headed backfield before the season. Isaiah Davis has only played special teams so far this season, no offensive snaps. Now that's going to change this week because they're going to need someone to occasionally relieve really brave when Allen, but how occasional. Because the matchup is good. I know the Bears haven't been quite the defensive post-over. People expected them to be in the Eagles offense made the Bears defense look very good last Monday night. But this is still not a very good Chicago defense. The Bears are 28th and DVOA against the run. They're giving up 4.8 yards per carry to running backs. Pretty good matchup for Braille and Allen and maybe he does get like 20 touches entirely possible.

21:51Yeah, and in the fourth quarter of FITC he played 72% of the snaps. I think you're going to see around like a 65, 70% snap rate for Braille and Allen. And to your point, the only reason I have him at RB 19 is more of like just a state of the running back position. Like I don't know if Aaron Jones holds up another week with an 80% snap count. Buckierbing, how much does he play? Amari and Hampton, Game scripted out, David Montgomery dealing with Woody Marks. Like I think Braille and Allen, I feel really good about his volume workload. That's the only reason I have him as high as I do and the matchup. It might be surprising to some. I mean, we remember how young he came into the league. Still only 22 years old, Braille and Allen. He's going to be 22 the entire season. He was once in 23 until January. He was the youngest player at any position in his draft class. Yeah. He could even drink. He couldn't even drink and getting NFL paychecks. I also find it surprising I'm looking at his career stats right now that he only has four rushing touchdowns in his career because I feel like it has happened more often that I want a breeze hall touchdown and I look up and it's Braille and Allen.

22:54But I guess it hasn't actually happened that often. It's just in my head. I just remember the times it does happen. It's funny because he could play Derek Henry in a movie, but he doesn't run like Derek Henry. Yeah. No, no. Braille and Allen has always been a dancing bear going back to college where you're just like, bro, lower your shoulder and he's like, but I can juke move. I can jump cut. And it's like, no, no, dude, you can't. Don't do that. Let's go to maybe the best game on the Sunday slate. Jags at Bengals, the total 51 and a half and a spread of just two and a half points. So a very fun game that we're expecting. So just have fun with this. Give me a final score prediction and a player of the game fits. I'll say Duval pulls this one out in a nail bite or 24 to 23 comes down to the last possession and player of the game. I'll say Trevor Lawrence. Like he's been pretty good. Hasn't thrown 30 passes in a game yet this season. So the fantasy stance are not like eye popping, but I think Liam Cohen gives Trevor the opportunity to let his hair down.

23:54So to speak in this game throws 35 or more times and has 300 plus yards and three T days. That's my prediction. I feel like this game will tell us a lot about actually kind of both of these teams, but really the Jags is what I'm looking at because yes, they have a couple of blot wins this season. It was against week one to Sean Watson and it was against a really struggling Drake May. And then they lost pretty handedly, you know, in Denver, which is a tough place to play. I feel like we don't quite know just how good this Jags team can be yet and playing at Sinci. I think we'll give us a better idea of that. Debra, what do you expect out of this game? I was just waiting for you to make some kind of hair joke. I feel like I was going to catch a stray after that. So now I got on my snarky jokes out of the way towards Fitz already. Yeah. Okay. All right. Well, I'll wait for later in the show because I know it's coming. You're going to let me let my guard down. But dude, I think this game is going to be a shootout. I'm going to just go high watermark here. I think it's 31 28 and I am taking the Jacksonville Jaguars. I think that they win this game and I'll go with the low hanging fruit for a team that hasn't been pushed to have a monster output on an offense yet or at least going to counter

25:01punch and go back and forth with the team yet. I think we're going to see a blow up game for Parker Washington. I think we're due for it. And the matchup also leans itself that way. Like we know DJ Turner is lurking on the outside. So Jacobi Myers, Brian Thomas Jr. Josh Cameron. Good luck. Parker Washington versus Cincinnati in the slot. Cincinnati is quietly given up the seventh most charts per target and the seventh most fantasy points per opportunity to opposing slot receivers. Jalen Davis, their slot corner has not been good. He's quietly been terrible amongst 25 qualifying slot corners. He's given the 11th highest EPA per target up and the fourth highest step of separation. So I think this is where we finally see Parker Washington erupt with 100 yard game and multiple scores. Yeah, that would be really fun. And I think very possible in this one. And I had to get that contract on man. That price is only going up. Yeah. Where is that park watching your rank? I mean, obviously everybody's starting him, but just I curious. Where is he ranked? Oh, I've got him aggressive.

26:01I mean, he's the side of top 10. And he's here. Why do you see for seven? I know. He's why I just even nine and he's see our fifth. Where's he for you? 10 for me. And I might have to come up. I hate being below you. See our in Parker Washington. Yeah. It doesn't feel a fun right now to be below on him. Let's go to Cowboys at Texans. This should be a matchup of strength on strength with the Cowboys offense facing the Texas defense though. Houston hasn't really lived up to the air into the bargain so far this season with their defense. How do you see this game playing out high scoring back and forth of fair or more slower, lower scoring game fits? Can I go somewhere in the middle? Like I know the Texans haven't been great defensively, but I've no doubt this is still one of the best defenses in the league. So it's strength against strength when the Cowboys have the ball, but it's kind of weakness against weakness when the Texans have the ball. The Houston offense might be slightly better than last year, but still isn't good and the Dallas defense. It has the potential to be better than it was last season, but it's a really banged

27:02up unit right now, especially in the back end. Maybe Joey Porter suits up for the Cowboys this week. I don't know how many snaps he would play when he's just learning Christian Parker system. Nico Collins possibly back for the Texans, which would further stress that beaten up Dallas secondary. Yeah. I want to see if George Pickens can get it going in this game. He's tough matchup. Maybe this isn't the weekend for Pickens to break out, but his investors, I know, are growing impatient. Where are you ranking Pickens, Fitz, before he toss it to Zebro? Because he's water see for 15 in the season. I'm on right on. That's where I am. I'm on ECR. Okay. Yeah. It's been frustrated for me. His three finishes so far this season have been water see for 66, water see for 41, water see for 27. Really, he hasn't had any touchdowns yet, which there's only so much you can do to overcome that with catches and yards. Zebro, where are you at in this game? I've got the answers for all of this. George Pickens break out weak, baby. Okay. I'm calling it right now.

28:03I think he's going to have a monster game and this all goes to the coverage stuff. And the reason George Pickens hasn't had a monster game, if you look at the coverage splits between him and CDLAM over the last few years between single high and two high, CDLAM is a two high guy. Dallas has played a lot of two high teams thus far. George Pickens is going to erupt because the Houston Texans play single high at the third highest rate, 67% in the NFL. George Pickens this year versus single high, 54% target per route run rate, 3.54 yards per route run. If you combine this year and last year as well, if people want a larger sample, George Pickens versus single high, 30% target per route run rate, 3.56 yards per route run. He eats it alive. You can even go back to Steelers splits and George Pickens had it then too. So I think this is the Pickens game. I think this is going to be a high scoring affair with the fact that Nico Collins is back in this game is massive for the Texans ability to try to keep pace with the Cowboys in this

29:06game. If he wasn't in this game, then I would be much more of like, does this total need to come down just a little bit? Who do you prefer, Debro, between Nico or Pickens if you could only start one this week? Pickens. It's a quarterback play, man. I'm not taking back or CJ Stroud. I'm taking pickens one spot ahead of Nico. The one thing that worries me about the Cowboys though, like, and it, you know, Debro makes the good point about coverage. But like we haven't seen Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter just rack a game for an opposing offense yet. And those guys are like capable of that in any week where it's just the opposing quarterback has zero time to throw. None of the pass catchers are going off because the quarterback is under such duress. At Edward Jones, we believe Rich isn't about having life all figured out. It's opening yourself to all the possibilities. That's why your dedicated financial advisor provides long term planning built around you, meeting you where you are and helping you get closer to where you want to be.

30:10So no matter where you're starting from, you can move forward with confidence. The key to being Rich is knowing what counts. Let's find your Rich. Edward Jones, member SIPC. It's not just electric. It's Toyota Electric. And during Toyota's Easy Choice sales event, going electric is easier than ever. Right now, save instantly on a new Toyota EV with special incentive programs for first time EV buyers and prior EV owners. Choose the sleek BZ, the adventurous BZ Woodland or the Sporty CHR. But don't wait, these special savings won't last. We make it easy. Toyota, let's go places. With the AMX Gold card, earn four times points at restaurants and enjoy every night out to the fullest. Apply today at americanexpress.com slash explore dash gold. Terms and points cap apply. You spend all week digesting injury reports and power rankings.

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32:13We're expecting him to play, but that's a nice tool if anybody is ever trying to make those early week decisions. I need to tell everybody about this new prediction market called polymarket. It's a stock exchange for sports buying in and selling out on your terms. When your team goes down to 20%, you can buy in and sell it off at 40% when they come back to double your money. They are so confident you'll never go back to the other guys. They're giving you a free $25 on your first trade when you deposit just $10. Now they've launched a new feature called squads, a group chat where you can see what everyone is trading on. So download the polymarket app today and use FPPOD when you sign up. That's FPPOD to get $25 free after you deposit just $10. Okay, next game. Cardinals at Giants. Guys Jeremiah love had the best game of his young career last week against the Niners with 19.4 half PPR points and an RB7 finish. Are you ranking him against the Giants and also were you ranking him rest of season fits? I'm an RB11 this week and RB11 rest of season and I do realize those are pretty conservative

33:16rankings. The Giants were terrible against the run last year. I think they might be more of a neutral matchup this year. They were pretty good against Javante Williams in week one, sort of got run over by the Rams in week two, but the Giants offense wasn't doing its part to keep the Rams offense off the field in that game. And then the Giants just stuffed the Titans running game last week, although that's really no great feat. So the Giants, their run defense currently 10th in DVOA. I think that's falsely high. But last year they were dead last and they're better than that this year. And then RB11 for Jeremiah love rest of season might be conservative, but the Cardinals really don't have any incentive to give love 20 to 25 touches a week when they're still in sort of come up mode and not really contending for anything this year. Although Michael the Florida does seem to have the Kyle Shanahan gene where he just can't stop giving his lead guy that many. I mean, we saw Jeremiah love get way too much work in his first preseason game.

34:18And plus at some point, we might get a prolonged Carson back audition at quarterback late in the season, which might not be positive for the Arizona offense. Debra, where are you at on love? By the way, just in terms of the consensus ranking, sees RB 10 for this week, RB 13 rest of season. So fits just behind consensus for this week, just ahead of consensus, rest of season. I've got him at RB 14 for this week and rest of season. I have my RB 15. And I just want to give Fitz flowers to lead this off of what I'm going to discuss about love. We kind of batted it back and forth last week about like, why is Jeremiah love? And I gave the Cardinals both barrels. And I was like so idiotic blah, blah, blah, blah. Apparently it was just the injury because he was a bellcat last week. So shout out to Fitz for being ahead of the curve on that one I was behind. But dude, I will be at consensus or above on Jeremiah love like right now in rest of season.

35:19So I need to come up on my ranking because to Fitz's point, I'm not scared of the Giants run defense. Man, they've given up the seventh highest explosive run rate and the sixth highest rushing success rate. I think this is another game where Jeremiah love has a really good outing and he is the clear bell cow apparently. So while rest of season, I do have concerns about the Cardinals offense. The only thing where Fitz and I differ right now is like if they stay competitive, I think we see percent for the rest of the year are barring an injury. Like I don't think Carson Beck is is a long term answer quarterback. Neither do I, but that schedule is brutal. Like they can be a respectable team and still only win like four games this year. And I just feel like at some point, there's no incentive not to give Carson back a couple of starts. You know what I mean? Just to see what you're what sort of hand you're holding before next year's draft. Debra, did you say you want to be above consensus on love? I do. Because he's RB 10. Jaylen Warren was RB 9. He's already played obviously.

36:20And then it's like kind of the eight usual suspects ahead of him Gibbs Robinson Walker, McCaffrey, Henry Taylor, cook and genty. So I'm not sure how much higher you can really move unless you want to knock down one of those bigger names. I mean, I would say I'm more concerned about genty and spags trying to just take away the run and stuff because it's like the two pillars of the Raiders offense. Okay, Bowers and genty take those away and what do you have left to beat us? So I'm probably going to drop genty and I'll, you know, I'll kind of sift through the rest of this and stuff. But I do think love has a massive game this week. Okay. So I'm going to Rams at Eagles. The Eagles looked bad against a Bears defense that we all expected to be one of the worst in football this season on a scale from one to 10. What is your panic level on Philly right now? Can they bounce back against a good Rams team, Debra? 6.5. That's that's about where I'm at. And I'm more worried about the defense than I am about the offense. Like and I know that sounds like kind of strange. But I think Jaylen Hertz learning this new playbook and all the parts of pieces in between.

37:21I think that we're going to see a better improved offense as we move through the season as opposed to what we're seeing right now. But on the other side of it like Philly outside of Tereq Wolven and Quinyon on the outside. What are they doing? Well, like the run defense has improved some the middle of the field. They're not defending it well. Cooper Dijin is playing some really rough football right now and they don't have a pass rush. So I'm more worried about like this vaunted Eagles defense that we were expecting coming into the season. And that as a crap ton of talent has it really played up to the bar yet. Fitz. I'm in a 7. I'm glad Debra pointed out the fact that maybe we should give the Eagles a little bit of grace early in the season because they are like the offensive M.O. is just changing. It's not just different play calling. It's like trying to have Jaylen Hertz play under center more. It's a change. It's probably going to take some time to take hold. The part that worries me is that like the Eagles offensive line is just they used to have

38:25one of the best offensive lines. If not the best offensive line in the league, I don't even know if it's average right now. Like so far this year it's been below average. The Eagles ranked 24th in the run blocking metric adjusted line yards and they are 26th in the past blocking metric adjusted sac rate. And I know they are putting in a new scheme to moving on from their old offensive line coach Jeff Stoutland. And supposedly like it's an easier scheme for them to digest. There's less for the offensive lineman to read pre snap. But man so far the performance has just been pretty disappointing. And maybe no Devante Smith this week. I know he wasn't practicing as of Thursday. So boy going up against the good Rams defense. You'd have to ratchet up the panic meter or just a little higher after this game. So you're point fancy like no Smith this week. No Dallas Goddard still out like that missing some of your most talented players also McIle and not being there for preseason and training camp.

39:27And you could see it in the data. The Eagles are still kind of struggling like how do we best utilize this player. So they're trying to figure it out real time of like how do we deploy this guy? It's a lot of moving around chess pieces around the board for the Eagles right now. Yeah. So you guys were a six and a half and a seven when I put together this question I was thinking about a six for myself. So we're all kind of in the same range here. And I mean it's really like this isn't meant to be a knock on Jalen Hertz. It's just when you think about the strength of the Eagles team as they've been so good the last few years. It's the offensive line of the defense. The defense has not lived up to expectations and the offensive line like you said fits has been not right bad. And so if those are sort of the pillars of your organization and they're not performing I think it's fair to have some level of maybe panics too strong a word but concerns certainly just quickly before we move off this game where you guys ranking Don Tavian Wix with all the other players out. And I don't think that I don't think that I think Devon to Smith has been all been pretty much ruled out for when you're for playing in this pretty pretty unlikely plays.

40:28I don't have in wix. By the way Devon to Smith in our are they playing to a 15% chance and I think that'll go down today. I bet he gets through without today. Don Tavian wix. I'm probably he's going to be in the White receiver three category for me like I'm going to have him swimming somewhere in the same pool of like Stefan Diggs and mecca Buka Jamo somewhere around there so somewhere in like the White receiver 28 20 White receiver 28 to 30 kind of category. He's White receiver 39 right now. So you're going to be well. I think you could be a White receiver to this week based off a target volume like who else is catching for. I've got him 39 and I will not come up like the ECR is going to come up on him when Devon to Smith has scratched. I'm not coming up. That's as high as I can go with this offense looking the way it has. Okay. Packers at Buccaneer's next game up Tampa Bay is without Baker Mayfield of course but the Packers have also been a train wreck this season. Sorry Fitz. How interested are you in starting a mecca and Buka this week Pat because I mean again

41:29it is the seems like it's the opposite of a you know unstoppable force meeting a movable object. This is a stoppable force meeting a very movable object in fairness. The Packers defense was pretty good against the Vikings in week one up until the very end and against the Jets in week two then fell apart against the felcons. No question. I've got a Buka White receiver 34 and I do kind of regret having ranked him one spot ahead of Denzel Boston. Like the the chances with Jalen Daniels and how weird is it that the first quarterback from the class of 2026 to make a start is the undrafted rookie free agents. That's pretty wild. Yeah. Sooner than Fernando Mendoza the number one pick and the drag is crazy. So I've got a Buka White receiver 34. I don't think there's a great chance of him getting five or more catches. It's all about whether he can make a big player to you are exactly aligned with consensus. He is why receiver 34 in ECR. Debra where are you at?

42:29I'm a little bit higher up. Got him at White receiver 30 and this is only because. A Buka has been playing way better football than his stat lines and his fantasy points per game suggest like right now amongst 88 or excuse me 86 qualifying White receivers. He's 19th in separation 15th and we're out win rate. The problem with a Buka is a Baker Mayfield problem. He has the 12 lowest amongst 88 qualifying White receivers. The 12 lowest catchable target rate. So I look at Juleen Daniels starting and I'm like okay he might not be amazing. But I don't know if he can give a Mekka Buka less catchable targets than Baker Mayfield has been doing. So I honestly he might be an improvement this week. He might. Mekka Buka might see more catchable targets and if that's the case to fit this point like yeah the packers have been in a roller coaster for a defense. They're allowing the 12 most charts per target in the six most fantasy points per opportunity to perimeter wide receivers. This could quietly be a really good game for Mekka Buka but again like this is assuming

43:34at least league average quarterback play for Jalen Daniels and that might be an assumption way too far than I'm making. So for you Debro I know the answer for fits like Buka or Don Taving Wix who would you rather start sounds like Buka because you said because you said he's about you know given where he's ranked it's similar to where you said you're probably going to bump Wix up too. So but you'd rather have it Buka. Yeah I've got him right above Wix right now. Okay. Yeah. Before we get to the next game fantasy pros users can now get 30 days of betting pros premium absolutely free unlock powerful NFL betting tools including the prop that cheat sheet prize picks optimizer and the brand new parlay wizard you can even sink your sports books to track all your bets live in one place start your exclusive 30 day free trial in the betting pros app or a betting pros dot com slash apps with code fp one month that's the number one not written out that's betting pros dot com slash apps and promo code fp one month. Let's get to the late afternoon sleep here guys dolphins at Vikings. Ollie Gordon was the big waiver pick up of the week with divine HN out for the season.

44:37Now the dolphins have to face an angry Brian Flores defense. Whereas Gordon ranked for you this week. Debro right now he is RB 36 and wherever ECR is comes Sunday morning I want to make sure I'm below it because I feel like we're going to get rug pulled with Ollie Gordon or it's the least possible right now. He was the big waiver wire pick up because everybody's like oh he got all the work and stuff and blah blah blah he's going to be the starter. Shaylin Wright was out and he has been the RB two on the step chart this week. Jaylin Wright who was out of that game with a foot injury and a stinger had a limited practice to open the week and had a full practice. So I think that we're going to see Jaylin Wright. He might be the starter for the Miami dolphins this week or at least at bare minimum if he is active splitting work with Ollie Gordon this week because if you look just throughout the entirety of the season like I know we've only gotten seven offensive snaps for Jaylin Wright but Ollie Gordon didn't get any offensive snaps excuse me he got four offensive

45:38snaps in week one and he basically hasn't done anything and he's been behind Wright the entire time on the step chart and oh by the way Ollie Gordon hasn't been good since 2025 he has 1.84 yards of to contact for attempted an 8% mistackle rate so I think this could be a rug pull situation I don't want to start Ollie Gordon. Fits. I don't know if I agree that Jaylin Wright has always been the number two behind Devon H and it seems like the dolphins have kind of oscillated on that since 2025 when they drafted Ollie but like it could be right I feel like the dolphins don't know whether they like Jaylin Wright or dislike Jaylin Wright and like Gordon hasn't been good but I don't think Jaylin Wright's been particularly good either so I agree though it's a very ambiguous situation right now I've got Ollie Gordon RB 34 and right RB 42 and I have no idea if that's right and I really don't want to play either against the Bryan floor as defense

46:39I mean the Vikings have allowed I think the 6th fewest rushing yards and they're going to be we've talked about the revenge narrative with Brian Flores going against the team that fired him oh and not only did they fire him after three years as their head coach they fired him and we're later found to have been talking to Sean Peyton about the head coaching job before they had fired Brian Flores so yes Brian Flores is going to be dialing up everything and probably pulling everything out of his bag this week against the poor undermaned Miami dolphins who don't have Devon HN. There is a morbid curiosity in watching this defense going up against the dolphins offense I mean how how many times in NFL history do we have a coach who is suing the other team who is already one of the blitz heaviest coaches in the NFL going up against a woefully undermaned offense like it is going to be some a sight to watch. I think shot is I think the implied Vegas total for Miami is 13 points and that seems wildly aspirational. I'll take the honor. Yeah. Are you are you guys interested in starting Malik Washington just

47:43in the idea like a PPR league and the idea you might get a lot of empty calorie catches or Erickson brought this up that if you're going to blitz I mean that might mean Malik Willis going to his hot rod guy a lot of the time which is probably going to be Malik Washington so I but that might mean a stat line like six for 53 so I do have him sort of like I think high end wide receiver four low end wide receiver three somewhere in there playable but maybe in PPR not really in like standard or half PPR what I be honest he's he's back to back in ECR with dot saving wicks actually there in that kind of late 30s ranking range since we're going to the Malik Washington rabbit hole can I give a little bit of shine to Chris Bell because if I if I'm going for the for a flex play out of one of these guys out of this past kitchen core I'm firmly Chris Bell over Malik Washington like Malik Washington's beginning all these empty PPR calories and this high target share I again we have to monitor the news and stuff and a lot of

48:47this comes down to like the health of Chris Bell's knee he had a 64% route share and a 19% target share last week I think they're there if his knee complies we could be living in a world where the route share goes up yet again this week and maybe he takes the 20% plus target share this week away from Malik Washington and he's a decent flex play because while Minnesota has been awesome on a defense and they've been insane they're also giving up the 11th most yards for target and the 10th most fantasy points for opportunities perimeter wide receivers so there is hope for Chris a lot of that was against the Packers where they were sending the house at Jordan Love Love would manage to complete throws to Christian Watson and Matthew golden and there were only like three guys in the defensive backfield to try to tackle those dudes so there were some huge plays in that week one game for the Packers I think that's kind of like skewing that stat I just I would much rather of the short and generally I agree like Chris Bell would be the guy probably want in season long more than Malik Washington just because Washington we know the upside isn't really much of

49:51anything but against the Vikings like I want the short area receiver not the downfield guy well the point about Chris Bell a lot of crossers and stuff where he's just been asked to run away from guys so yeah yeah next game chiefs at Raiders a surprisingly fun one it's a three in no record for the Raiders they're one of the early contenders for surprise stories of the year they now get their toughest matchup yet so far in the also undefeated chiefs it felt to me when I was putting together the show sheet that most players in this game are either pretty obvious starts or pretty obvious sits so I just wanted to keep it simple go ahead and pick this game against the spread chiefs minus four and a half and the total 47 and a half fits will start with you I'm going to take the Raiders and the under like I think they make this a game and one of the reasons like Max Crosby has been playing so insanely well the whole Raiders defense really and like as well as the chiefs have been playing they are starting an under-affected rookie fridge and a left tackle and their right tackle is

50:53not especially good and I think that could be a problem on the edges this week against the Raiders Debra I agree with Fitsy on the under I'm taking the chiefs and I think they cover in this one and this isn't like Raiders hate and stuff like that but this is just going back again to the spags of it all I think spags like for a defensive coordinator that prides himself on like literally it's I'm going to take away your best player I'm going to do that the Raiders have two pillars of this is their entire freaking offense is Brock Bauer's and Ashton Gentie so I'm not saying you can eliminate either one of those players fully from the game plan but can you throw enough potholes on the road to where it makes it very difficult yes and it's not like her cousins isn't a limited quarterback so I think the chiefs can cover I think this is probably an uglier game than a lot of people expect and to the Max Crosby of it all I think he is going to be in the backfield religiously staring down at my homes as he sacks in this week so so Debra are you like fading Brock Bauer's

51:57in the rankings in anticipation of this I mean there's only so far you cannot go I mean there's only so far you can fade him so I mean like if you got him you're starting him but like he's going to get target volume the question is you know how successful is he with that target fall so yeah I mean nobody has to make this decision but like would you rank him behind Tramick bride for this week or are you I mean I got him behind Tramick bride but I mean you're talking about the top yeah I mean again it's not really like an actionable bit of advice I was just curious kind of way we fall asleep okay let's go to the next game here Chargers at Seahawks Gendary and Price fumbled in week three against the commanders and never really had the chance to get going after that are you willing to start him against a struggling Chargers team he's ranked RB 30 in ECR for the week he has not finished that high in any game this season he's been RB 35 RB 42 and RB 70 in his first career games in the NFL so is that RB 30 ranking too high Debra Hell yes I'm not I'm not playing anybody from the Seattle backfield because the work has been split up three freaking different ways and Jeterian prices put the ball on the ground two times

53:00the last two games and found the doghouse I don't want to play anybody from the Seahawks backfield at all because I don't know where the freaking ball is going like hold on let me ask you guys this so Jeterian price missed practice Thursday with a chest injury and I know he's been questionable with the chest injury wanted to playing through it I don't know if it was like exacerbated or whatever or if it's just maybe he really is in fumble jail now because that was the second straight week with a fumble so if Jeterian price is inactive for this game would you be willing to start a manual Wilson against the Chargers that I would do because also to your point Fancy George Hualani is on the injury report so is he kind of dinged up if we get that type of clarity then yes you can interesting me being a manual Wilson because also trust with the coaching staff he did had the high volume week and so proving trust if we get more clarity then yes I will be in on a manual Wilson but if price is active and Hualani's active so say I don't want enough say we get

54:03no Jeterian price how would you rank these three guys a manual Wilson JK Dobbins Alvin Camara I mean you Wilson over both of those guys and then probably Camara ahead of Dobbins because Dobbins is going to get his early down work but he it's no passing game work and if he has no touchdown then you're hating life so I think I'm with you I think I'm with you there yep I I think I'd rather start Dobbins than Camara I know that's not the main part of the question which is the Seahawkside just on the chance that he gets a touchdown I think it feels more likely but if he doesn't get that touchdown you're getting five points and he's been what are you getting from Camara he's been bad but the 49ers they're pretty beaten up up front so maybe this is like there's a ramp hope for those guys are all back-to-back to back in consensus by the way Dobbins Camara and you know price obviously the standard for your example is Wilson but those guys are back-to-back to back in you see all right now price did actually move down to rb 31 are they playing tool on fantasypro's dot com gives them like a 50 50 chance of playing with the limited

55:06practice Wednesday and let's see what he does on Friday's day yeah so that's something to keep an eye on for sure it's a year point though like fits he like a price is out of this game yeah a manual Wilson he could get 20 opportunities in this game like that would be insane to see we've seen him before already this year he's getting the goal line work for sure yeah yeah yeah yeah let's go to the next game here speaking of the Broncos Broncos at 49ers Jalen Waddle has either had a really big game or done absolutely nothing with no middle ground through his first three games with Denver is this week more likely to be another stud performance or another dud deep row well let's talk about the real of it he's done nothing in two of those three games because Boenix has been awful in all three of those games so he's gotten high into alpha target shares in two of those games outside of the week one wet fart that Davis had Davis web had so I think Jalen Waddle has a fantastic game in this one and this all just goes to I don't believe the 49ers can cover the slot they've given up the third most yards per target fourth most fantasy points for opportunity to slot

56:08receivers you look at the coverage matchup San Francisco's got single high at the eighth highest rate against single high since week two and Denver you know Sean Payton had the tab Davis web on the shoulder and say hey you remember we got Jalen Waddle right since week two Jalen Waddle has had a 40% target per route on rate versus single high so I think this is a good game for Jalen Waddle assuming Boenix can get targets somewhere in the vicinity of Jalen Waddle if it's wide receiver 19 too high too low just right what do you expect I'm at wide receiver 24 I just I don't like what I've seen out in next so far and I worry that like wild inconsistency is going to be the new normal for Jalen Waddle against concerning that I feel less good about Jalen Waddle every week that I did when he was playing with to a tongue of I lower you know it's just man we thought he was going to be this great new toy for the Broncos and it's just been week two it was great I don't know it's it's too early maybe I'm just being too much of a wet blanket on this but I know

57:09I'm a little concerned about what I've seen from the Denver offense I've got him a wide receiver 19 too Fitsy and that that more of well I'll probably at the bump up up a little bit because I still have Devonta Smith in the ranks so Waddle goes up to wide receiver 18 or 17 depending also about what we see from Jalen Coke or if you play as or not and stuff so like I'm not I'm not far apart with you in the ranks and I absolutely agree with you bonix has looked terrible this year so he's the guys I have him behind right now the four guys I have in front of Jalen Waddle are Josh Downs Michael Wilson Mike Evans James and Williams and I really like the situations and the matchups for Downs Wilson and James and Williams and Evans is just going there out of respect Are those names deeper than when you hear them like that you would strongly disagree with any of those or No, I mean I don't necessarily do disagree with any of those names like the guys right ahead Jalen Waddle in my rankings right now I've got Ted Romick Mill in ahead of him like I DJ Moore T Higgins

58:13like I think we're living in the same area code Fitsy and I and could I see big game for Michael Wilson this week absolutely because I'm scared of the Jalen corner at all any 12 team league I think you're starting Jalen Waddle and a 10 yeah you're starting him 10 team in a 10 teamer you might be making flex decisions between you know Jalen Waddle and Bucky Irving or something yeah or Jalen Waddle and DJ Moore or something like that let's go to Sunday night football Lions at Panthers I keep talking about this in all the shows as we got cannot remember the last time the Panthers hosted Sunday night football game so this is going to be kind of fun to see these two defenses it's also going to be fun because I think we're going to see a lot of points the consensus total reflects that sort of attitude at 50 and a half last I looked is there anybody in this game that you guys want to actually be fading relatives to consensus since there's so many expectations for high scoring D-bro no I'm not fading anybody I think the one interesting player and Fitsy kind of brought his name up a second ago that I want to bring up in this because considering the start of the season a lot

59:13of people are probably going to fade him as Jamison Williams but JC Horn I R Mike Jackson I R Carolina has no corners also Detroit has not been using Jamison Williams versus single high this year he has it's he has an 11% target per round run rate Carolina runs single high at the fifth highest rate I think we see a bounce by game from Jamo because Carolina no healthy starting corners also Jamo last year against single high bread bar bread can't talk bread and butter apparently like I mean dude single high last year for Jamo 22% target per round run rate 2.31 yards per round run so I think this is a big bounce back game for Jamo that's and I think the fantasy points data sweet mentioned that well they've got Jamo still top 20 I believe an expected fantasy points even though he's like wide receiver 55 and a half point PPR scoring there is no one I am seriously fading here I'm one spot below consensus on Bryce Young who has been great he's averaging

1:00:17313 passing yards of game he's thrown 7 TD passes he's QB 6 in fantasy scoring right now and the lines have given up 979 passing yards and 9 touchdown passes they've given up the most fantasy points the quarterbacks but there there are some concerns with the panthers offensive line which really struggled against the Browns pass rush last week guard Damien Lewis is out with an elbow injury that's kind of a key injury and rookie right tackle Monroe Freeling has a concussion so he probably won't play that's what worries me about potentially short circling Bryce Young so I'm ranking Young is you know a low and QB one I think he's what QB 9 and consensus rankings I'm like is he that I think so he's either 9 or 10 and I'm one spot lower on him then consensus he's currently 10 right I'm at 11 yeah okay I've got Bryce Young and QB 12 I share Fitz's concern also add what if Gail and

1:01:18Coakard doesn't play this week so there are some concerns about Bryce Young like Fitsy straight up right now Bryce Young or Jordan love that you got I do have I think I've got Bryce Young like one spot higher um same but if Coakard gets ruled out I'm moving Jordan love above him I actually have got I've got two spots higher what a Matthew Stafford or Bryce Young Fitsy Young what about Young or Hertz because Hertz is behind him in consensus Young overheard yeah okay like Hertz Hertz the rushing production has not been great and I feel like he is not comfortable playing under center as much as he has been okay before we get to the next game I need to get your guys is prop bet cheat sheet picks for Sunday night football would do this every week Fitz will start with you what's your favorite bet from the prop bet cheat sheet this week for this game it's a three star bet Darren Waller going over two and a half receptions we've got him projected for 3.1 and Detroit has been getting clubbed by tight ends this year they've given up I mean tons of

1:02:24receptions tons of yardage and they have given up touchdown catches to six different tight ends including the likes of Jeremy Ruckert and Dawson Knox so yeah Darren Waller over two and a half receptions this week really deep I should have gotten to you first because you guys are handholding on this and you did get to the sheet first and say you also we're in a lot we can we can dance down the same golden path here I'm totally with it with Fitz he like Darren Waller over 26 and a half receiving arts three star bet and we got a projective of 29 receiving arts I think that projection is also going to go up depending on what you know happens with Jalen Coker if he's in or he's out so you need to head and go bet the overs for both these immediately as well as like Fitz he's talking about Detroit you could go bet the the anytime touchdown for Darren Waller too just all the Darren Waller bets this week because Detroit has given up the most receiving touchdowns to opposing tight ends and the six most yards per target to the position so yeah Darren Waller he might not be a rap god but he's going to be very good in fairness this week there's our top prop bets for

1:03:26son and I football courtesy of the betting pros prop bet cheat sheet find the best NFL player prop bets with the betting pros prop bet cheat sheet quickly compare lines from leading sports books against our daily NFL projections to uncover the props offering the most value makes smarter prop betting decisions all season long at betting pros dot com slash props all right guys my name I football fun game Falcons at Saints I'm really looking forward to this one couple of great receivers in this game especially with Chris Alave and Drake London both ranked inside the top six at the position this week in ECR let me get it updated to exactly where they are a La Vie wide receiver for London is wide receiver six who do you guys like better in this one D. Barrett start with you Alave I'm just taking the better quarterback I love is do you just set your watch by him he's freaking good this year I yeah I'm going to love me I think that's fair I also do think that Michael Pentax will throw the ball maybe a billion times to Jake London in every game they play you know wrong what do you think it's you like better so I've got a la Vie at

1:04:28wide receiver four pan London at wide receiver five the Falcons defense has been an extreme past funnel the season opponents have thrown on the Falcons on 72.2% of their offensive snaps no other defenses had opponents thrown them more than 68% of the time um Atlanta has faced an average of 43.3 pass attempts per game the Falcons enter week four having given up a league high 604 receiving yards to wide receivers and Chris Alave already leads the NFL and targets with 36 and now he's going up against this extreme past funnel defense oh and by the way the Falcons best coverman AJ Tarell on injured reserve so I've got to go Alave here but as for London he is now played 13 career games with Michael Pentax Jr in those 13 games mind you well under a full season worth a football 91 catches 1356 yards and eight touchdowns you can find uh stats like that with the with our with or without them tool fantasy pros dot com where you can see the splits

1:05:33with different players in the field and you know what does Jake London do when Michael Pentax is playing stuff like that you can see more cool stats like like fits to stop there who do you guys like to win this game by the way I just think this is a really fun Monday night game despite it being two one in two teams the spreads two and a half you know saints at home are favored I like the over 47 and a half what do you guys make of this one fits I think the saints are the class of the NFC South and plus this is going to be kind of an emotional night for them I think it's the 20 year anniversary of them coming back and playing in the uh super elves after Katrina good call yes deepro yeah I'm taking the saints um shout out to Steve Pleason I think the saints are going to be highly motivated it could be emotional game I think they're going to put up a crap 10 points all right we'll go ahead and wrap things up there thanks everybody for checking out our week four key questions best of luck setting your lineups this weekend for deepro and fits I'm Ryan Waremley we'll see you again next time thanks for listening to the fantasy pros fantasy football podcast if you love the show the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on apple podcasts at

1:06:36fantasy pros dot com slash review or on Spotify follow us on x instagram and tiktok at fantasy pros and subscribe to our youtube channel at youtube.com slash fantasy pros and at Edward Jones we believe rich isn't about having life all figured out it's opening yourself to all the possibilities that's why your dedicated financial advisor provides long term planning built around you meeting you where you are and helping you get closer to where you want to be so no matter where you're starting from you can move forward with confidence the key to being rich is knowing what counts let's find your rich Edward Jones member s i p c monday nights are the final line-up

1:07:41sweat maybe you need one catch or maybe the other teams kicker is about to decide your week fantasy brings the chaos so let de jorno handle dinner with de jorno pizza ready before kickoff you can settle in for restaurant quality taste fresh from your own oven while staying locked into every snap stock up on de jorno over the weekend so the only thing you sweat is your lineup it's not delivery it's de jorno you spend all week digesting injury reports and power rankings you use your morning to watch personalities debate on talk shows now you've convinced yourself everyone else is wrong it's time to prove how wrong they are on polymarket trade your football predictions against other fans and see what the market actually thinks then when the game starts keep trading live as every drive gives you something new to argue about makes it whenever you want or combine multiple trades into one with polymarket combos now live in the app and once monday comes you can start arguing all over again download the polymarket app new customers use promo code rover deposit

1:08:42ten dollars and get fifty dollars to trade instantly a team plus the polymarkets terms of service for information about restrictions and eligibility the polymarket app is an independent affiliate of polymarket us and not cftc regulated trading always involves risk complete loss can occur the fifty dollar offer is issued as non withdrawalable trading credit for use on the platform save with digital deals at vans and albertsons this week at vans and albertsons jennyo ninety three percent lean ground turkey is three ninety nine per pound sold in a three pound tray with digital coupon limit two packages and a one pound package of strawberries is one ninety nine with digital coupon plus Kellogg's giant size cereal twenty two point six to twenty nine point five ounces selected varieties are two ninety nine each with digital coupon limit three hurry in visit vans or albertsons dot com for more deals and ways to save this is an i heart podcast guaranteed human