Ep. 4209 Democrats Are Starting to PANIC… and Here’s WHY!!!

0:00Sarah Hernandez fights for working families. As a teacher, Sarah Hernandez helped students go to college. And when I attacked her community, Sarah Hernandez provided free legal help to immigrant families. Sarah Hernandez will fight for more housing, solutions to homelessness and a more affordable California. Vote Sarah Hernandez for Senate. Add paid for by Gro California. Add Committee's top funders Christian Larson and Timothy Draper, not authorized by a candidate or a committee controlled by a candidate. Support is available 24-7 with VerboCare. We're here day or night, ready whenever you need help, because a great trip starts with the right support. The Liberal Globulous Order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age. John Dr. Steve Turley joined me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-vinylization of conservative civilization.

1:03This is Turley Talks. Something extraordinary is happening beneath the noise surrounding the 2026 midterms. For months, Democrats and their media allies have been promoting poll after poll, suggesting that the election was just slipping away from the Republicans. The voters are turning against Trump that a blue wave is building and that November will devastate the GOP. But now CNN's own chief data analyst has uncovered a set of numbers that tells a radically different story. And when you combine those numbers with what's actually happening in the early voting, you can understand exactly why more and more Democrats are starting to panic. Stick them to the very end of this video because the polls are saying one thing, but actual voter behavior is beginning to say something else entirely. And if that behavior holds, November could deliver the shock of the political year.

2:03Hey, gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your patron professor here to keep you sane amidst all the insanity with breaking news and analysis, you're not going to get anywhere else. You know what to do? Make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button. Also, now that is really good coffee. We've got something very special brewing for the Turley Talks family. And you're going to want to be the first to hear about it. Join the Patriot Alert Network through the link below. And I'll let you know when it's ready. All right, let's dive right in here, gang, in the midst of all of the puke polling slop that the legacy media is desperately trying to sell their dwindling audiences. More and more outlets are beginning to hedge. Even CNN is starting to admit that something very different is happening beneath the surface. Look at in presidential elections that look, the Republicans are gaining versus where they were eight years ago during Trump's first midterm election.

3:05Take a look here. GOP gains in party registration margin versus election day 2018. In Arizona, the Republican margin versus the Democrat, Republicans are up four points. How about Nevada? Republicans up five points. How about North Carolina? Republicans up eight points. How about the Commonwealth, the Pennsylvania? Republicans up seven points. So when you take a look at how people are actually registering, this is not polling data compared to where we were eight years ago. Republicans are doing considerably better in what are the swing states, at least normally in presidential elections. Okay, so someone could look at this. We can underscore that. The Republicans are in their best position on party registration going into a midterm in 20 plus years. Now, you've been with this channel for a while now, and if not, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button. But if you've been with us, you'll know this is old news. CNN is only now just catching up to this. We've been reporting on what even the New York Times called several months back, the Democrat voter registration crisis between 2020 and 2024.

4:09Democrats lost 2.1 million registered voters while Republicans gained 2.4 million, a net swing of 4.5 million voters in four years. And since then, things have only gotten worse. In 28 key battleground house districts, Democrats lost over 275,000 registered voters between November 2024 and May of this year shrinking their 733,000 voter edge in those districts to now a Republican advantage of over 4,000 registrations. Voters are fleeing the Democrats. And the key here is that this is not polling data, so-called data. These are real people making an actual decision about how they identify politically. And in the very states where Democrats need to demonstrate that they're rebuilding their coalition,

5:10the registration data says the opposite. So the legacy media narrative, the fake news fabrication, says the country is racing toward the Democrats, but the actual registration trends say the exact opposite. The country is moving towards the Republicans. And we're literally seeing the fruits of this in real time, in all the early voting that's been going on particularly in the state of Ohio. Now, in our video yesterday, we analyzed the returns from the first day of in-person voting in Ohio. Remember, we don't have to rely on polling for the midterms. Voting has already started. Forget the polls. Voting has already started. And Ohio is historically an important bell weather state. What happens in Ohio tends to accurately foreshadow what happens in Iowa and Alaska and Texas and the like. And so on Tuesday, we had our very first day of in-person early voting in Ohio.

6:15And the importance of in-person early voting is that it offers an early snapshot of turnout enthusiasm and the electorates partisan and demographic composition, especially when compared with similar past elections, say in 24 and 22. And if you saw our video yesterday, you'll know that Democrat turnout has plummeted almost everywhere. Throughout the Buck Eyes state, most particularly in their blue counties. Okay, I'm analysts were pretty stunned, especially in light of all these absurd polls. And also pretty stunned to find a drop of about 30% turnout for Democrats from 2024 for their in-person early voting. Again, particularly in Democrat counties, whereas in Republican counties, it's slow but study. They're voting upwards about 90% turnout from 2024.

7:16So you can see that video for a full analysis of day one. Well, yesterday was day two of early voting. And gang, if you thought things couldn't get worse for the Democrats, think again. Take a look at Shelby County. Now in fairness, Shelby is deep red, very Republican. I'll show you some blue counties in a moment, but this will give you a real sense of what's actually going on right now as the voting has started. Like yesterday, this chart is courtesy of Tonerus Hughes on X. He's giving the single best Ohio election analysis out there. Very good stuff. On day one, Democrats made up 29% of the in-person early vote, while Republicans made up 45%. Again, this is a red county. But look at day two. Democrats fell six points to just 23% of the in-person early vote, whereas Republicans gained by nearly 10 points to 54%.

8:20So that's a 16 point Republican advantage on day one, which then doubled into a 31% Republican advantage on day two. Now, if we go over to Miami County, Miami County, Ohio, again, another hardcore Republican strongholds, Trump plus 40 territory. But again, you'll know this is the same pattern. On the first day of this in-person early voting, it was 34% Democrat, 40% Republican. On the second day, Democrats fell to 30% whereas Republicans rose to 43%. It was 6% Republican advantage on day one that doubled to a 13 point Republican advantage on day two. Here's a blue county. This is Athens County. They voted for Kamala by upwards to 25 points. Their first day of in-person early voting was 68% Democrat, 5% Republican. But look at day two. Democrats dropped to 63% and Republicans jumped to 13.

9:24Same with Kayahoga, another deep blue county where Cleveland is. Their in-person early vote on day one was down 37% from day one of 2024. And then as of yesterday, it dropped another 25% on day two. Again, all of this courtesy of the wonderful work of Tonerous Hues on X. So whether we're looking at red counties or blue counties, we're seeing the same thing. I mean, we could keep going on and on here. The voter registration advantage that the GOP has been racking up across the nation over these last several years is yielding its fruits here. Sarah Hernandez fights for working families. As a teacher, Sarah Hernandez helped students go to college. And when I attacked her community, Sarah Hernandez provided free legal help to immigrant families. Sarah Hernandez will fight for more housing, solutions to homelessness and a more affordable California.

10:25Vote Sarah Hernandez for Senate. I'd paid for by Gro California. I have committees top funders Christian Larson and Timothy Draper, not authorized by a candidate or a committee controlled by a candidate. A colossal monster, a city in ruins, no way out. Except inside of the all electric Toyota CHR, Juncho Starsin, Escape. Test drive Toyota's new all electric family today. Toyota, let's go places. Discover top rated stays loved by guests. Rate at highest by real guests through authentic reviews. Verbo. Book of Vacation Rental, loved by guests. The Democrat turnout has plummeted, here's the key. It is plummeted, proportionate to the Democrat voter registration plummets. This is what we might call the inevitability of voter registration. Right, we all learned this the hard way last year in the elections of Virginia and New Jersey.

11:29Right, when all was said and done with all the maybe we can do it, maybe we can pull it off. When all said and done, there was simply not enough registered Republicans in those two states to win the day. Bottom line, voter registration is a bitch as it's been said. At the end of the day, it all comes down to which party has the most voters. And as long as they come out, there's nothing the minority party can do about as long as the majority party comes out. There's nothing the minority party can do about it. And that appears to be exactly what we're seeing here in Ohio. And if you can believe it, it gets worse. The early vote indicates something even more dire for the Democrats. And that is exactly what we're about to find out. As you know, I make predictions for living. Elections, markets, where this whole country, the world is headed. And I'll be the first to tell you, a prediction is still a prediction. Right, turn on the TV and everybody's going to tell you exactly what the market does next quarter.

12:30And sometimes they get it right, but mostly. Now, let me tell you what I'm seeing. There is one corner of the American economy where I don't have to predict a thing because the outcome is already written down. It's actually baked into the cake. It's called a tax lien. And here's how it works. When people fall behind on their property taxes, the county still needs that money for the schools, the roads, the sheriff. So the county sells that unpaid tax bill to an investor. And from that moment on, the debt is now owed to the investor with interest. And that interest rates not set by your bank. It's not set by Wall Street. Certainly not set by the Fed. It's set by state law. In some states, 12 to 24% written right into statute and secured by real American property. Now, here's the part almost nobody talks about. The owner gets a deadline and that deadline is written into law as well.

13:34The law is there to have your back. If they pay, you get your money back plus the interest. If they never pay, the law gives you a path to the property itself. Now think about that. Two outcomes and both of them are spelled out before you put in a single dollar. That's not prediction. That's a position. Now, if you've been with me this year, you know my friend Jay. He's been doing this for years now and teaching regular, hardworking folks how to do it too. And you've watched him buy a tax lien live right in front of you. But every time you only saw half the story, the buy. So this time, I asked Jay for the other half. The part nobody ever shows you, what actually happens when the owner does not pay. So next Tuesday, October 13th at 8 p.m. Eastern 5 p.m. Pacific. Jay is hosting a free live masterclass. He's going to buy a real tax lien live on the call and then walk you step by step

14:34through how that deadline gets enforced when the bill never gets paid. Now here's the catch that live purchase happens only once in real time. There's no replay of it. When it's done, it's done. Again, this Tuesday, October 13th, 8 p.m. Eastern 5 p.m. Pacific. Register now at Turklyclass.com, text Turkly to 72,000 that's 7200 or scan the QR code to save your spot. The reason why we're seeing the Democrat share of the vote go down and the Republican share go up is because of the exact pattern we saw in 2024 with Kamala. The Democrats are actually in the process of cannibalizing their vote. In other words, because they're most hardcore voters, what we might call super dems, because they're all coming out and voting up front. They're voting early in mass, mainly on the first day.

15:34The Democrat vote then begins to noticeably dissipate and erode as their super Democrat vote gets exhausted. Whereas by contrast, super Republicans come out and vote when, predominantly when, on election day, where Republicans have always dominated, which is preceded by slow and steady early vote leading up to the day. This is why Democrats historically try to rack up these huge margins through early voting, both in person and through mail because they're voting demographics can't compete with the Republicans on election day. But in doing that, they only end up cannibalizing their vote and having their highest propensity voters vote early, they risk giving everything they got at the very beginning of the election cycle with no more votes to draw from. Whereas Republicans front load their votes, their early votes, with their load of no prop voters, voters who've only voted once or not at all on the last four elections, load of no propensity voters.

16:43Republicans run a get out the vote campaign like Cliff Bologna of doors, wins, wars and the Pennsylvania chase, who use supported by the way with record breaking support over the weekend. God bless you guys. So Cliff organizes the get out the vote where they knock on the doors of low prop to no prop Republican voters. Then they make sure they send their votes in, bank their votes early, and then we just sit back and watch our high propensity voters voters that come out in every election come out and mass and vote on election day. So that's the pattern we're seeing playing out here again in these midterms. We saw it in 2024. We're seeing it again appears to be at least as far as Ohio's concern. We're seeing it in these midterms and to make it even worse. As we just saw, even their super dems aren't coming out like they need to. Right? Again, go back to Kayahoga County, one of the bluest counties in Ohio.

17:47Their first day of in person voting was down nearly 40% from 2024. I mean, this is an object disaster for the Democrats. It's a train wreck. And so the most immediate explanation for what's happening there is looping right back to the voter registration crisis that we've been following this channel for a year and a half. If Democrats have truly lost so many voters. I mean, we're talking millions nationally gang. Then we shouldn't be surprised if they're simply not showing up to vote since they're not there in the first place. And I'm not even going to mention the millions of deportations that have been happening. You know what I'm saying? So you know, this has happened to Republicans, by the way, in the past. We used to dominate the six states in New England, where I'm from originally George W. Bush, one, George George, George Herbert Walker Bush, one, the majority of those electoral votes of New England back 40 years ago in 88.

18:51They're gone now. Those voters are gone. Democrats have blown past Republicans and voter registration in five of six of the six New England states. Just New Hampshire, where Republicans still outnumber Democrats barely. But that's why we don't win New England anymore because they're simply aren't enough Republicans to come out and vote. That's exactly what we're seeing here in Ohio. And then by implication, Iowa and Alaska. I mean, we're seeing it. We're seeing in Florida right now. I mean, there's just no Democrats anymore left in Florida. And we're most certainly going to be seeing it in Texas when early voting starts in a couple of weeks. And these ridiculous polls with Tallahfreak will finally be flushed down the toilet. So make sure to check back regularly with this channel because we're going to be keeping our eyes locked in on Ohio. And then several other states as the early voting returns start coming in. So what do you guys think? Are you pumped? Are you ready to do this? Let me know in the comment section below. And as always, make sure to smack that bounce subscribe button for breaking news and analysis.

20:03You're not going to get anywhere else. Love you guys. God bless. Thanks so much for listening to this episode of the Turley Talks podcast. Don't forget to subscribe. Leave us a five star review and share this episode with your friends. Help us defeat the fake news media and rank as the number one news and commentary podcast all over the world. Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age. Sarah Hernandez fights for working families. As a teacher, Sarah Hernandez helped students go to college. And when I attacked her community, Sarah Hernandez provided free legal help to immigrant families. Sarah Hernandez will fight for more housing, solutions to homelessness and a more affordable California vote Sarah Hernandez for Senate. Add paid for by Groke, California. Add committees top funders Christian Larson and Timothy Draper not authorized by a candidate or committee controlled by a candidate.

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