A Numbers Game | September 18, 2026 | Hour 1

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1:53London Town. London Town. Was that for the first for the college football? Yeah, but you know, Chris Felica, he's turning it into a whole trip somehow. Yeah, he's there for actual work. But then theater. Is it Everton? Is that where you go to a Prem game? Yeah, some Prem game. Yeah. Speaking of that Paul Carwell joined us today, talk for him. We do have of course Steve, Fesik, Fesik Fridays. You know, for a while this morning, I was like, oh, maybe Fesik doesn't have that much on his mind. Oh, no, he's got a lot on his mind. He's got bets too. He's got bets. He's got thoughts about survivor. He's got thoughts. Now, I won't make a vow because I have taken some in coming the last few weeks that I'm being too mean to Steve, Fesik. So I'm going to try to be a little less objectionable or a little kinder in my objections, I should say. It'll be as as objectionable, but would kinder in my objections. I brought this up on the megapod with Todd Will and and Cleave. I'm like, hey, you know, like people say I'm being too mean to Fesik and all three of them like shouted me down like, no, keep being mean. So maybe I will say I'll go. The problem is we love Steve. And I am one of the biggest offenders of him. I feel like I'm thinking,

2:57yeah, it's going to be nicer to Steve, but you can't help it when he just like alley you've set himself up for it. He just, he just, you know, what it is. He just steps in itself. He is. He is an actuary by trade. So his, he has an actuarial brain. And I don't think I even articulated it well. I'll say about myself last week. There are certain things he says that I just, I just feel are so close to the son that it that it alienates a broad group of our listeners. So I will try to be more articulate and in my objections. Steve will be here later. He's got tons on his mind. Really almost exclusively about football today. Dr. Bob speaking of football, we'll be joining us. How about Bob's casual roll in on Monday? He gives a whole dissertation on the chiefs and on the Broncos and on the game. And at the end, he's like, yeah, I kind of lean under bang, bang at the end. And then West Reynolds with the Rare Friday appearance, college football with West Reynolds, who's going to try to pick up where a Felica will not be. That's right. That's right. He's got college football duty. Thank you, West. Appreciate that. And then something

3:57we don't normally do. But I'm going to do here momentarily is we're going to redux our survivor segment from early in the week. We don't usually do the same segment twice a week. But we kind of botched a couple of those schedules and the whole survivor thing. We have played game of telephone. I do the stuff. Sent to Kelly. Kelly sends it in and then something happened after. Yeah. All right. I screwed it up. You I don't think you did. It's my it's my job to make sure all that stuff's accurate. So I screwed it up. Kelly Billen screwed it up. No, I don't think you did. Anyway, let's start with the game last night because I'll know if you saw this, but the Buffalo Bills beat the Detroit Lions last night 41 31 in a game that was not nearly that close as that fair. Yeah. Yeah, but I mean, that is the final score. But I'm just saying did it feel like it was that close? Let's say the back door was open. Yes. The back door was open. I don't know how to perfectly describe it, but did it all of a sudden feel like a game in the fourth when it

4:58became a 10 point game. Yeah, I don't know about a game, but on the spread, it became a game. Right? Because there was now those moments where I'm like, how is this a 10 point game? Like how does Detroit have a chance to cover the offense finally woke up right? I'm going to go through all the details, but what was it? Three touchdowns in a row. We could do a real quick Buffalo first first drive 10 plays 85 yards. All in from one seven, enoughing bills less than six minutes in. Also, like real crime, stop your real quick. Should we have all just known like brand new stadium. I mark stadium. Crescent, the house that Josh Allen built him was built for Josh Allen, right? Like this is all created around him. The intro was like almost over the top last night of like him running out onto the field. We all should have known he was just scoring the first touchdown. Is there anything you love more than Josh Allen? Seriously, anything in your life, you have a dog? He's the most entertaining product on television. So seven period, not the NFL, not sports television, whatever your favorites, whatever your favorite show is your favorite movie, Josh Allen's more entertaining, man. Seven nothing bills after Detroit, three down Buffalo after Alan misses an open

6:01Shakir deep. No matter a place 79 yards, Alan, a Palmer wide open behind the defense from 43 out of 14, nothing late first quarter. Did you first think Josh, what are you? Where are you throwing the ball? I was like, wound up and just launched it. I was like, there's no way there's anybody down there. And there's a bill down there. Detroit, I guess we could sort of say these, these two things ended up being the key to the game because if Detroit was going to win this, they would have had to have just held serve every time. They had a match serve, right? But they got broken a couple times when in a drive that started out promising with Gibbs runs of 16 to 9, they got it the second and one at the Buffalo 41, but then it ended miserably because golf, impossibly, this is the thing with Jared golf. impossibly, he didn't feel the rush. It's not a blind side rush. It's like right there. Does he have no peripheral vision? See, this is where I thought you had a great text last night. I thought I had a great text to him. I'm like, he just sucks. Sometimes like Jared golf can be great. Sometimes he just sucks. When there's no pressure, he is great. When there is pressure, he becomes very ordinary. And I'm being

7:04kind, but this was a rush. I don't even think a required peripheral vision. Right. Yeah. And he gets a nail. But this is the type of game, right? Like first half, very, very, very shaky. That might even be a nice word. And second half, he looked pretty good. Fumbles Detroit would recover. But that was followed by a snap. He couldn't handle and they had to punt. Yeah. I didn't want to overset. All right, Buffalo men matriculated third and sixth of Detroit. Nine Allen forces a pass in while rolling to the side. Like it's deflected and picked by a scene. Uh, gets gets picked. But but yes, scene pardon me, holds Coleman first and goal after another defensive hold to plays later, Alan and Knox from one out 21 and nothing bills at this point in the game with 11 48 11 the second quarter. Detroit has had had the ball for four minutes and 45 seconds to Buffalo's 13 27. It was 16 to one in first downs. It was 209 to 10 in totally arts. You know what? I think my only criticism of Josh Allen is last night. This is play number one of about three in this game where it's Josh just just run the ball. I just run the ball. What are you doing? I'm glad you said that there are there are many times with Josh Allen will do a

8:04rollout and the deep there is no way it can be defended because the linebackers like do I go after them? Do I go back? What do I do? Right? You just don't know. And Josh Allen will almost just arbitrarily raise the level of difficulty by deciding to pass the football. Yeah, it's it's like when you're going to basketball game wide open lane to the rim and it's like you know what I'm going to go for a fancy layup instead of just dunking the ball. Just dunk it. 21 and nothing to try to finally get off the Schneid 12 play 70 yard 645 off the cloth off the clock. Goff to Gibbs from 11 out 21 seven and Buffalo though cook for 25 30 and seven on the drive. Second of three Detroit six knocks hold Hutchinson DJ Moore heard on the play. Dunman next play Alan to concade from 13 out 27 seven bass would miss the extra point wide left. Detroit and this is another one right? They get to third and one at their own 48. A delay and then a sack. So those are two drives early in this game where if they were going to compete they had to capitalize on those short yarded situations. And as my dad used to

9:06say Jesus Christ that are going their own way. Whatever there's more than one. There was two or more consecutive plays that go the wrong direction. 27 10 Buffalo at the half and then it was just sort of like Detroit scored the first time they had the ball. They had it first and the second half 11 plays 74 yards. They converted to fourth and five of the Buffalo 40 golf to Laporta for 18 four plays later golf to St. Brown to make it 27 17 and you're like how was this a 10 boy game? And every time it even even remotely get close to that Buffalo 15 plays 75 yards took eight 22 off the clock. Alan in from two 34 17 Detroit from there. You know, they got to fourth and three of the Buffalo 12 they committed a delay of game. They still went for it. Were you surprised? They went for it. Yeah. 17 and it's fourth and I'm like, well, you guys really go for it. They got bailed out by defensive hold anyway. But I was like, what do you do a Dan Campbell from being honest? Eventually after a PI in the end of that was completely uncatchable past the Laporta, by the way, go off to Laporta from one out 34 24 and then finally Buffalo punt. I mean, here the

10:07backdoor was completely open right 34 24 Detroit had the ball from their own 10 and then they chose to have a three it out there. Yeah. Buffalo eight play 61 yards, cook in from one 41 24 and then Detroit seven play 68 yards after converting a 20 yard pass on fourth and 18 to Tisla three plays later off to St. Brown from 27 out. That's your final 41 31. We have a we have a number of superlative tweets about this game. Sure do. Which if Kelly had his choice, he wouldn't be here this morning. He would just tweet all these out and have people argue about them. Don't worry. I already started doing that on Twitter. I already started that on Twitter. Uh, what was it? Let's go cleave TA first. Andrew. Let's get the it. Let's get the lion's side out of it before we just roll through like seven Josh Allen ones. Well, the lion's side is really the biggest one to me. I know you love. This is the biggest cleave TA. This is pathetic. Here are the lion's defensive drives drive since half time of the week one Saints game, excluding the end of half slash game drives with limited time left. They have given up 71 points in six quarters plus that overtime period last week. 71 points in six quarters plus O T. That's

11:1210 touchdowns and one field goal on just 14 drives. Only one none end of half drive has ended to punt. Every single drive started in the opponent's own territory. So there were no cheap short drive touchdowns among them. 10 touchdowns and one field goal on 14 drives. Only one none end of half drive has ended to punt. You know, I've been I've been right about a lot of things through week one in the offseason. The bears, the Niners, I could be completely wrong about these lions. This defense is dreadful. Here's the Josh Allen. That's tough, man. You're ready for the Josh Allen. Cabal. Let's do it. Let's do it. I know I'm not sure how much you enjoy these ebo knows with two rushing touchdowns tonight. Josh Allen passes Corey Dylan is now tied for 18th all time. If he maintains his three year rolling average, he will pass Jerome Betis by the end of the season, reached the top 10 by week nine of next year. Be top five all time by the end of 2028 in terms of rushing touchdown quarter back Josh Allen quarter back Josh Allen 18th all time past Corey Dylan last night and sing. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Next

12:15I'm going to stat lines real quick. 2131 last night, 248 yards and three touchdowns through the air. 14 carries for 69 yards and two touchdowns. Josh Allen first player with five plus passing touchdowns and three plus rushing touchdowns through two games of a end of a season and NFL history about this one from Buffalo Bill's PR tonight is Alan's fourth career game with three plus passing and two plus rushing touchdowns in a game. Cordell Stewart slash the only other player to ever tally multiple such games that NFL history. That's awesome. The cordell is still up there in those. Yeah, go cordella. And that cordell on me. I think go card is going more on this game. Survivor as well. It's a numbers game at Vista. These sports betting network. Every game day you show up for your team. Now it's your time. Ask your prescriber about we go V some magla tied injection 2.4 milligrams. A G L P 1 call 1 8 3 3 4 week OV or visit we go V dot com to view the

13:19medication guide and to learn more about we go V. Why wait? Get 12 months free when you sign up for Uber one for students for a limited time only with deals this good. Everyone wants to be a student. I'm going back to college for zero dollar delivery fee up to 10% off orders and 5% Uber credits back on rights. Not whatever you think colleges for sign up for Uber one for students now and get 12 months free. 12 month free membership offer for eligible students who aren't members available while supplies last year through 102126 subject to change or cancellation. Revocable due to fraud if not an eligible student. A number is game on V. Send V sports betting network. Gats you have a notice football is bad. Become a Vista pro subscriber today. Get instant access to our updated NFL betting guide at college football betting guide and the same betting tools professional bettors rely on your subscription also includes every best best from Vista's experts in one place

14:22plus our expert leader board real time betting splits from draft Kings to circa AI power up prop projections and match up tools proven betting systems power ratings and analysis 24 seven video on the Vista watch app get started for just 999 or say 50% with a Vista pro annual subscription head to vc.com slash subscribe now that's vsin.com slash subscribe a couple things that I didn't mention one Kelly Bill and kind enough to purchase me unbeknownst to me a McDonald's hash brown. Hey I didn't a single McDonald's hash brown they forgot one for you. So I'll give regular order is two hash browns okay for you ever come to the studio as I say it back here to McDonald's hash browns what do I say I'm using Florida and then what was the other thing already on our day Josh Allen bought the hash browns I really did he bought all he bought him for was the other oh the other thing is I left out that I left out the headline was going through what's on the show today you know what I forgot to mention set we have dark bets we do have dark bets we're just filled Bob it has provided us with dark spets that's right darks bets I believe is how you say that um we have tweets

15:23reading the book that's how good a guy fillers too he was like I don't he is cool if you can't make time for me here's the bet it's like cool well throw him out wait think acts asks about the cleaf t.a. Detroit line set it goes obviously a talent void but this is a scheme and structural issue isn't it um it's problem it's probably all over the place that's right I mean you have but just going with who's on this roster you're talking about both starting safeties that were out week one in Kirby Joseph um uh I'm a blank and branch you got those two guys up there on IR they're going to be out for a while so this is going to stope in issue and then they continue to get uh corner backs hurt nickel back got hurt last night looks like he'll be out for a while DJ Reed did play he was questionable 10 alach from Australia Herbstreet and and the company think Dion Dawkins weight lost 45 pounds down to a lean 340 makes him lean and mean what does that make the great Kelly Bidlin weight loss mean a lean mean betting machine loved you guys all week thank you 10 alach from Australia yeah no you catch that well on the broadcast early last night no I didn't hear I was

16:26in the airport so like was oh yeah you were all over the place like Dion Dawkins okay 40 what was it 45 pounds and he's down to 340 yeah it's felt like is that an offseason weight like he wasn't playing it that way last year was he 385 pounds oh thanks I don't think so no emu Doug post number 197 good morning and happy Friday Gents my favorite modern Jew and Gentile pairing let's make some money today there you go what's your favorite of all time that's his modern era one he's like uh morey povich and cutie jung Shrek Mcfee FSU legend key on Coleman seems to file a remember how to use his hands at MVP Josh Allen keep Kelly under control today I'll try Josh Allen down and from MVP numbers to what what is he down to plus 350 bills uh wins superbowl and and uh aFC plus 850 to win the superbowl checking on conference okay by the way I don't know about you but that's a if you like if I if you had to go bet Gil right now either them to win

17:26the aFC or to win or for him to win MVP which would you bet plus 410 for them to win the aFC I do MVP first it's like not even close right I just just remove the regular or the the post seasons from this conversation easy for to easy LFC title records uh Felica isn't going to just some prem game he's going to Liverpool at Bournemouth have some respect sorry our bad I couldn't remember which one json h 11 oak Kelly Josh or jamus can only have you can only love one he says those are the rules wet Willie Cologne bold take by Kelly Josh Allen is the most entertaining thing on TV when Steph Curry exists you're right wet Willie yes our stuff Brian point shaker listening to Kelly talk about Josh Allen is very similar how guilt talks about eager except one is one six lambs and the other has a one a superbowl that's the fair clapback that is the back yeah I can't argue it Darren Frazier when I first heard you saying you try to be nice to the fessic my response was why I absolutely I absolutely love Steve and his appearance is great radio is great radio like Archie Bunker any this sometimes the tension amplifies the affection let's go okay I'll be me

18:29uh okay laser gentlemen survivor redux we don't usually do this twice in a week we use to save this for Tuesdays which we did on Tuesday but again we we messed it up a little bit with a couple team schedules but here's the deal we do this every week in survivor essentially what will go through is the biggest favorites of the week we won't do every team obviously we'll just go through the biggest favorites of the week generally speaking five and a half points or more and we will go through their schedule right their future value in other words to try to assess what might be some of the optimal survivor plays in the given week this happens to be a week Kelly where there's eight yeah favorites that are kind of big right five and a half or more they're about um still not love it many of these skills so but I think I've settled on what my picks are we'll put them all up on the screen from largest favorite to the lowest was the Patriots five and a half when we did this on Tuesday and essentially I put a green check mark between before the ones that I believe I will actually have a survivor entry on or two the red x's are I'll you know there are

19:31possibilities but I'm not going to play them for reasons I will state and then there's the gray sort of side to side what's like I don't I won't hate you for playing it but I don't know if I will the green check marks are actually and it doesn't always work out this way they're the largest ones well at least in the case of the nine or 13 and a half point favorites hosting the dolphins uh to me one of the big reasons why the nineers are a play for me at least in one survivor entries because if you look at their schedule really like what's better than this no it is November eighth week nine home game against the the Raiders better I don't know that it is there's not many more opportunities use the nineers so to me like it's not two square bear to play them yeah I mean it's a terrible spot coming back from Australia right but it is and I've talked and I've talked about that with coming back from a long journey like that that I think it's gonna hurt them on the on the backside but it is the dolphins it is the dolphins and I think they will be one of my plays this week a lot of backside and back door on the show this morning so far this morning uh Bucket Ears eight and a half point favorites against Cleveland again the Bucket Ears don't really have that much future value

20:33I put it and some of this is going to be subjective right I'm going to include some teams in what I think is future value that you don't agree with and I'm going to omit some teams that you think should be part of the future value discussion right for me home game Pittsburgh week six I don't know I'd rather play this one me too I think at this point it's at least one for me Gil if not multiple injuries entries on the bucks it's I love that because especially with this this one it's all depends on how you feel about the NFC South right like if you are so confident exactly right that the Saints Falcons or Panthers are so much worse than yeah maybe there's some more future value which is why I did not include them because I'm not convinced me either any of these teams are better than the other the two teams well do the four teams that you know are big favorites but I I crossed them out for this week the Ravens are eight and a half point favorites against the Saints you can play the Ravens at home against the Titans week four you can play them now they're going to use the circus survivor sort of schedule I know they go A and B when it comes to Thanksgiving week in Christmas week I'm gonna go one through 20 here so this is really the circus survivor

21:38week 18 of 20 if you will home game against Cleveland so they got a home Tennessee they got a home Cleveland later do the Ravens I'd rather not play them here agreed Rams seven point favorites now against the Giants when we did earlier seven and a half is this ticked up to seven and a half he there are there are both sevens and seven and a half south they're mainly sevens okay so Rams I'm really not sure what we're getting with the Rams they do have a road game against the Raiders coming up in late October week seven and then remember with circuit there's a Thanksgiving and Christmas consideration with the ramifications right is this the easiest pass of the week for the big favorites yeah I never really consider I think it is to just because of the travel how they look the future value and then skipping to the bottom chiefs host the Colts chiefs are at Miami next week they're home against the Jets week nine they also play Thanksgiving and if they if you really were alive let's just say you made it all the way to the final week 20 of 20 in January got look out late that is January 18th is still the regular season yeah remember Super Bowl is

22:39on Valentine's Day this year that's a home game against the Raiders so I'm not really wanting to play the chiefs the Patriots were actually a real big consideration for me against the Steelers this week actually took the Patriots in the end and millions um but you got a home game against the Raiders week five you got a home game against the Jets week six again if you got all the way to the end you have a home game against the the dolphins I didn't end up taking the Patriots the two that I'm Kelly that I'm sort of like if you played them good on you I'm just not going to the Chargers in the proverbial must win situation in week two where your gauntlet schedule begins next week and you already lost one of the Cardinals you have to beat the Raiders I think a lot of people are going to take the Chargers in survivor despite the Chargers killing people last week that number's got to be way down though from what it would have been oh I think so I think I'm spread in three wide this way my three entries I'm going three different teams that I do think I'm going to be in on the Chargers yeah I'm thinking about I don't know if I am that's why there's the gray back it you know horizontal arrows because there is a home game against the Jets there's an

23:40at Miami later and then the Eagles were the other ones I think I mean I have the Eagles and bets I have the Eagles in in in millions I don't know how the Titans are scoring but there's so many opportunities to use the Eagles there's home Carolina which is you know maybe you think Caroline is but you know not not as good as this one home Pittsburgh there's a Thanksgiving and there's a Christmas with the Eagles as well so I wouldn't hate you I wouldn't hate it if you played the Eagles here either to be honest with you so that's how I break it down and people are going to you know obviously everybody has their opinions on the schedule what what represents future value what doesn't but that's essentially what we do a survivor every week and so for me there will be a Niners there will be a Buckeneers not sure what I'm doing with a third I think see I think I'm splitting them Niners bucks Chargers my three entries but I don't know man that bucks the bucks one is definitely my favorite and I might end I might end up with a couple on there diversification is great right yeah because you're less likely to get knocked out but you're also more likely to shed right I mean and if you if you told me I'm sitting here you know week three

24:42and I've got Pittsburgh and Buck the bucks clear on one ticket that's oh man I'm feeling good about that we should all be shoving on one we're playing this right we've got the onions yeah probably should be going okay coming back our guest cavalcade begins on a numbers game right here and visa these sports betting network numbers game on visa these sports betting network think about the McDonald's hash brown Kelly is is also good for you until that's right yeah very health oh I'm sorry we're in it uh believe it or not there is a way to beat the sports books but it's not locked survives it's simple find an edge bet it repeat B2B analytics gives you access to their model projections for every NFL college football spread in total so let's you see the edge and cover probability for every team and updates as the lines move they send their official bets directly to you but also have free tools and educational resources on their site scan the QR code or go to btb-analytics.com and use code vsin for 10% off that's btb-analytics.com you're looking at me like you want to say something

25:44I wasn't looking at you I'm looking at Steve the day oh is that a is that a plethora jacket oh yeah it's a little sheen to yeah okay by the way they're talking about LSU Sam Levin surprisingly oh upgraded upgraded it's questionable oh boy I guess I guess they were all over the lane just messing around I shout out to I know you bring up the dogs all the time I thought I thought ESPN has a great little lane kiffin like one hour special running here this week or just basically just the the resume and history of lane kiffin at this point I watched it before Thursday night football last night yeah like I know every stop right but when you rewatched it in an hour like documentary style you're like oh my god forget how much this guy is done in college football and in the NFL and how many different places he's been in his career it's wild. Felica loves the guy by the way every time he goes because that lovely he he is a very interesting guy I mean all my experiences at F.A. you talking that guy he is exactly what you get until his dad one of the great assistant

26:46coaches of all the different rules for society Kelly loves Josh also loved one gills dad makes an appearance thank you I love I love I love what it makes appearance also all organic never planned LFC title records we got our first kishan johnson shout out ready for this he says shout out to kishan johnson who went six and one and john Hanson who went four and one on the vc and pro picks page last night pays to subscribe oh there you go there you go I think kishan kishan and I well we're pretty similar in a lot of ways yeah but I think I read and bills bill ladies newsletter this morning that he was two yards away from hitting on Josh Allen's passing yardage for a same game parlay as was I it's like a 21 to 1 SGP I can't tell you to a part I know basically the same guy right Jim Molecki morning gentlemen just wondering if anybody caught the bear naked ladies singing the Canadian national anthem start the game long time listener love the show Jimmy from Wisconsin I did not I am so glad this got brought up I kind of even sent out like a little tweet on it last night I was going to see if I was going to get any blowback bear naked ladies do Canadian national anthem

27:49right now and we have some lovely lady do the American national anthem the bear naked ladies were awful awful awful oh I didn't see it go wrong yeah yeah I wasn't expected I just like it was it was not good singing not good singing you're saying yeah like that guy says no you the Canadian national anthem I think is a melody is nicer than the star spangled banner I think I think America the beautiful is nicer than the Canadian national anthem but I actually I prefer the melody of the Canadian national anthem it's hard to mess that one up it's a beautiful song I agree with everything you just said it was just like the the level of singing I thought was better with the the Randall American woman we had out there mr. clean kicks for 20 gill kill my boys once again smack and parlise thanks to you guys and Superman Josh Allen up about 1200 this week thanks to you and the V sentine way to go mr. clean kicks Mikey drama 21 at the beginning of the megapod you guys were talking about how easy it is kick of field goal I was thinking you should get someone at the network to accept this hope nobody gets hurt and then J ride gill a question for Steve when

28:50a fes is going to start a campaign when his fes is going to start a campaign to get tied into the sports betting hall of fame the best live betting person ever there you go all right well ask him hey man okay I'm so glad we got that tweet I thought like I was the only person to notice the national anthem what should we do here should we have you read these should we have me read these all double dark yeah you take this is Phil Bob it by popular demand people wanted darts bets oh we we have darts bet we have darts bets I will give the backstory we got a lot of tweets on this world series of darts is going on and it starts I believe in about a few hours here so we wanted to get these in early and we talked about I said I bet I said true dinsick definitely has a dark guy and dinsick did say he does have a dark guy but he didn't want to share it so feel Bob it hit me up because hey I got a darts model I bet it all the time all right is it these five these five okay we got we got five head to heads here uh Callin rides I'm gonna go with yeah these are all matchups today all matchups today series of darts Callin rides over bettomo Sakai thank you nailed it thank you

29:55uh minus 230 on Callin rides uh his model fair prices minus 311 so value on the minus 230 if you want to lay that price Nathan Aspenall over Raymond Smith he could be making these names up for all I know minus 290 at seasors his model fair prices minus 442 those are two huge favorites start check the book so so these are real okay or at least the book is the book is recognized and then is real isn't there an Aspenall in UFC also yeah Tom right guys Tom Aspenall all right and now here's some dogs for you though he he hooked you up on the dogs Damon Heta over James Wade plus 140 you can find these at seasors by the way model fair price plus one 18 so value on the plus 140 on Damon Heta HETA girl in price over Brody Kling minus 275 another big favor but he's got this one at minus 632 good god wow and then the big dog on the board Danny Nopper over Luke who don't want to try this one the goat this is the Luke with the 19 year old it looks like he's 38 draft kings and the score has a five to one for those who have access his model fair prices plus 371 so a big dog but shouldn't be that big of a dog so five to one on Danny Nopper rides Aspenall

30:59Heta price and Nopper in head to heads I don't know if I bet Nopper Luke that Luke Littler guy don't he doesn't lose man you know lose yeah can I just you and Damon Heta at plus 140 no yeah I'm gonna bet all these actually baseball small thank you Bob it for sending these in baseball we got we got uh was it one two three we got 10 days left a major league baseball regular season 10 days left most teams have nine games left raise have 10 games left because they have the double header next week against the Yankees first of all September wins can we just let's just update that real quick red socks and red socks and blue days are three wins back they got eight wins they're not even on the board raise pod raise Dodgers 11 and 4 11 and 4 11 and 5 Yankees and Brewers both have 10 wins Yankees are 10 and 4 Brewers are 10 and 5 and then pirate Tigers Guardians all with nine wins my season long win totals were two of them there was the Guardians under in the Rangers over it does not look good especially after the Rangers gacked that lead against the red socks yesterday

32:02which again might have helped our September but at that point I was just rooting for the Rangers to get another win so we get to our season win total over um baseball season win totals preflop were always the surest thing in the world and then the Guardians defied us last year with a ridiculous over not as ridiculous this year but as you look at the standings right now in major league baseball we have an absolute just battle in both the AL central and the AL West um the rest of it you know division wise is kind of is you know Katie bar the door although against the Yankees I guess the Yankees still have something to say about that but the race have a five game lead over the Yankees I mean we're getting to the point where that four game set even if the Yankees were to sweep them it might not end up mattering of course raised don't want to have to endure that and find out if it matters in the end but the white socks and Guardians dead heat tie 78 and 75 atop the AL central remember the white socks excuse me is it's the Guardians who have oh man I'm already forgot from our thing yesterday white socks white socks these right now

33:06the time break that's right white socks have the time breaker so the Guardians technically in the number three wild car position but again 78 and 75 they've each got nine games left in the season and then in the West the Astros with a one game lead over the Rangers remember this is the division even we still could have two divisions technically that have 500 or losing records winning the division this one the Astros are 77 and 76 you're it on went yard yesterday Rangers 76 and 77 one game back Astros minus 330 to win the division yeah those teams not only fighting for the division but also fighting for the final wild car position remember that the Guardians currently inhabit does that not feel like a little aggressive pricing Astros or Rangers yes that's 250 absolutely one game absolutely it does I know we're running out of days here that affects these things but it is again if the if the playoffs work to begin now right the buys in the American league would be the Tampa Bay rays and the Chicago white socks at this moment right and then the

34:10also the three six would be the Yankees even though the Yankees have the second best record in the American league but they'd be a wild card the Yankees would be the third what the first wild card number three seed they would take on the they would take on the no pardon me I keep getting this wrong white socks guardians Yankees red socks Yankees white socks guardians right yeah no Andrew confirms wait why would that be because the white socks right now are the number two division leader now you guys right what I'm okay we're having conversations off arrow we shouldn't have the the the braze would be the number one C because they have the best record the number two seed would be the next best division winner which would be the moment the whites yeah I'm correct yeah you're right right so the so we the Yankees right it would be the Yankees hosting the guardians at this excuse me the Yankees hosting the red socks at this moment I don't think that's right Andrew keeps feeding me

35:10stuff in there I don't think that's correct it would be the oh that's right the third division winner would take on the guard is that you you are right about this one it would be the third division winner which right at this moment would be the Astros hosting the guardians and the Yankees would take on the red so Yankees red socks that's like the only lock series right now right at four five in the American League man I said right now now it's in my head from early we got that was exhausting I got it geez I think that means we screwed that up the other day no we didn't we didn't we didn't well we screwed up the American League with nationally is it is easier brewers Dodgers one two seeds right now braves would take on the Padres three six right now and then the four five would be the Phillies Cubs series nationally it's much easier to navigate American League changes every day yeah oh boy park our print next on a numbers game every game day you show up for your team now it's your time

36:12ask your prescriber about Wigovie some magla tied injection 2.4 milligrams a GLP one call 1 8 3 3 4 Wigovie or visit Wigovie dot com to view the medication guide and to learn more about Wigovie why wait get 12 months free when you sign up for uber one for students for a limited time only with deals this good everyone wants to be a student I'm going back to college for zero dollar delivery fee up to 10% off orders and 5% uber credits back on rides not whatever you think colleges for sign up for uber one for students now and get 12 months free 12 month free membership offer for eligible students you aren't members available while supplies last year through 10 21 26 subject to change or cancellation revocable due to fraud if not an eligible student a numbers game on visa these sports betting network gill Alexander Kelly Bidley is the numbers game right here these in these sports betting

37:14network live from circle resort casino down town laws they guess in Nevada that's right um three of these three tweets here doctor actor KJ that rando Kelly were speaking about who was singing the national anthem last night the American national anthem only Kervalo the voice of Molana in the original movie thank you doctor K actor KJ I knew someone would have the answer for me Johnny Ringo says gill guardians equals Kelly Steelers yeah kind of feels that way now oh you know what I was kind of feels that way not that I haven't thought that before but literally when you were saying at this past segment I was thinking that same thing too uh prime time Leon Sanders yo right not sure what's funny or right gill's constant use of the crutch right or his declaration that he hates when people use that word as a power move right am I right or right let's go Cowboys P's right do I say right a lot no I said it once earlier though and brought attention to it I think he's joking about that oh okay LFC title records FYI found PCA to get to the 40 40 milestone at roughly minus 190 on prediction markets all right so pico Armstrong is three stolen bases shy of 40 40 we've talked

38:18about it many times he would be if he gets three more stolen bases the seventh 40 40 guy in major league baseball history whereas Mickey Manly used to say well if I knew that was going to be a thing out at john million times I believe he said so PCA is three stolen bases shy of that yeah thanks for the update on that LFC which is it's minus 190 to the yes again nine games two steel three bases how hard could it be um and then the other one we've been tracking of course you are on Alvarez for triple crown or the triple crown in the American League remember Krawi Stremsky 1967 we went most of our lifetime waiting for another triple crown winner we finally got one in Miguel Cabrera of the Detroit Tigers in 2012 that's the only triple crown winner since you Shremsky did it in 67 you're done with with a ding dong last night adding to his uh to his numbers and all that comes associated with the home run he is now tied for batting average so he's T1 on batting average how do we play this many baseball games we have guys tied for batting average at the top credible these

39:21things called decimals yeah I know um and then uh he's one home run behind Caminero one behind Caminero 41 to 40 and he's three RBI behind Pitalanzo Pitalanzo man all right Pitalanzo started very slow yeah look what he's doing so Alvarez is that close to a triple crown again nine games left in the season he could still do it he is minus 6,000 a win a L MVP and again all the the one thing that I just pushed back on as people say oh he might not be MVP okay but the numbers are he's still first an OBP and slugging and obviously OPS also I mean just how many stats do you have to get you have to have and I know he doesn't okay he's a DH but you can't be that dominant across the board and not win MVP my opinion we'll see I've been wrong before so there's that going on Paul Car joins us now courtesy the progressive progressive progressive guest line he is the true media networks are I believe is his title you follow on Twitter at Paul Car he's always here to talk prim but first before we get into the premier league Paul Car as something to say about the game

40:26of survivor what would you like to say about survivor Paul survivor is dumb and I hate it and I never liked playing anyway and it's not just because I have the chargers and week one no done set like that at all um it's okay I'm sure I'll be hanging out with you on the sidelines about three and a half weeks Paul yeah yeah I hear you the week one whoo that's always a tough one um you're also a dolphins fan and where do we stand on that yeah yeah speaking of dumb and hey to yeah um I mean I had oh I had more hope before week one than I do now I guess put it that way like if you can't look like you got a shot against the Raiders and week one then it's gonna be a long season now we're playing the Niners who are obviously much better the Raiders even though they're coming back from Australia um yeah not a lot of optimism left that a lot of optimism okay um now you're doing something this week in the premier league that you have I don't believe you've done before yet this year what is it I am not fading whole city one way or the other I've faded them in different

41:29ways uh I got one of them we got it under but I think the other I was one in three basically fading whole city so I'm off whole city this week because I'm playing Newcastle who's been pretty bad themselves to start the season so you know exactly what's gonna happen now right it was gave Kelly made this joke off here I see it is Newcastle five nil easily that is what it's going to happen the one week you don't bet against them they're going to look absolutely terrible for sure go away Newcastle two and a half or something because yeah it's gonna happen just watch what what's seriously though like how much better are they than you thought and why are they that much better I mean the underlying numbers aren't a ton better I mean they're expected gold difference is like minus two and a half or so bottom five or six in the league uh I think the defense is just held up a little bit more I mean there's some walk there just running well because but their attack really hasn't done much of anything so it's probably just that they're finishing better than expected they've got five goals on about three and a half expect the goals so yeah they've just been a little lucky on both ends and then a little bit better and that you

42:30know adds up they've stolen points they're in what is it fourth place right now I think yeah fourth place with eight points and wasn't sure they were going to get to like 20 25 so there's still the second favorite to be relegated but uh they're off to a good start you bank those points early and you can ride that to the end of the season sometimes favorite to get relegated is uh commentary cities like minus two 70 or something like that wow a new would promote a team don't have a point yet and then it's whole city still okay um let's get you your three pack of ways how do we do last week in the prim there we do we went one and two last week we got Arsenal win to know and did not get the other two okay we have one today we have one tomorrow we have one Sunday one game a day one match a day what is today yeah let's start this weekend with some goals shall we uh brinford Chelsea over three and a half plus 125 this is this afternoon at least central time Chelsea's been an over team all season 19 goals in four games three other games vet four plus goals the other one have three and that was against Arsenal so that's yeah that's like five against normal team total uh both these teams

43:33Chelsea brinford are top seven and expected goals per game total over three each one of the big reasons is just shot volume third and fourth and total shots for game this season Chelsea's midfield is their weak spot and that's where brinford's been really good this year's and gare to transfer coming in has been really good there Chelsea has firepower up top but that midfield is just questionable so i think this will be an open game as most Chelsea's have been this season uh if you want just kind of a sign of how open this is both teams to score is minus 250 or so i must say and play that but that's how open this game is expected to be so over three and a half plus 125 over three and a half goals today um as we flash up the Premier League futures by the way we should point this out as well as interrupting the uh the flow here for a pause plays i'm just curious if you have anything here that's noteworthy is it Arsenal or man city and everybody else is that really how breaks down for i think so i mean yeah Chelsea if you want to get saucy outside shot but yeah i mean Arsenal and city are tied on points already at the top 12 points each through four games they both won them all uh if you like city i mean i kind of do i already have them in pocket from before the

44:36season uh but that's the way i would go i don't think there's a lot of value in minus 144 whatever it is for Arsenal they're the better team but not not that much and an injury here or there could kind of ruin that season what about the uh to finish top four column is there a yeah what about Liverpool there Paul are they like if they really fall it off that much i mean they have not been impressive and they had a pretty listless snowmill draw with film i mean they're an eight they're only two points out of fourth and fourth is third and fourth are leads in whole city so it's not like they have fallen off a map from are they gonna make it perspective so minus 125 i would want probably plus money that to play little pull top four okay i definitely not there's still think i still think they're not as good as man united and i don't think the gap between them and like brighten is all that big all right back to the three pack once again today Brent for Chelsea over three and a half goals at plus 125 tomorrow Tottenham takes on aston villa how are you playing that we're going under here under two and a half even money uh Tottenham and villa played eight total

45:37games this season they have combined a score one more goal than you and Kelley and i have scored this season not good not good now the underlying numbers aren't that bad but they're still 19th and 20th last and next to last in the league and expected goals this season villa is dead last in shots Tottenham is dead last in shot quality i mean i think both these teams will get better over the course of the season there's a lot of turnover a lot of holes to fill injuries that are people are still recovering from but they're not there yet and even though the defenses on both sides aren't great i'm happy to take even money on under two and a half this is definitely one of those look if these teams combine to score three goals after combining for one all season i will tip my hat and take the l but i'm taking under two and a half here okay uh so we have one over one under let's break the tie on sunday with leads in crystal palace we're taking another over here this is over two and a half minus 135 palis has been disappointing this season they're down in 16th place leads if i mentioned there in third been a pleasant surprise palis is struggles really start on

46:39defense i have american chris richards in the back it's not why they're struggling but he's not off to a great start they've given up 11 goals most in the league through four games a lot multiple goals in all four games given up a ton of shots like a most of any team uh leads takes a lot of shots fifth most uh or sorry they've given up shot a lot of shots as well the fifth most so no though neither one of these teams has really been great offensively they have both been fairly patient if you want to be optimistic and have good shot quality so over two and a half i'll take the juicy number minus 135 okay uh once you get three pack brunford chelsea over three and a half goals today plus 125 tomorrow toton amast and villa under two and a half goals at even money and then sunday leads crystal palace over two and a half goals at minus 135 you're a three pack of premier league pick from paul car thank you paul and uh good luck with the dolphins well sunday not too much luck don't have them win because a lot of people are going to have the niner's in sir great teams cover that's great that's right great teams covered thank you paul appreciate it

47:39i will come back our whip around every NFL game week number two in the national football league beyond the bills and lines of course that's next on a numbers game right here at visa in these sports betting networks every game day you show up for your team now it's your time we go we go we go ask your prescriber about we govi some maglatide injection 2.4 milligrams a glp one call 183 3 4 we govi or visit we govi.com to view the medication guide and to learn more about we govi why wait we go we go we get 12 months free when you sign up for uber one for students for a limited time only with deals this good everyone wants to be a student i'm going back to college for zero dollar delivery fee up to 10 percent off orders and 5 percent over credits back on rides not whatever you think colleges for sign up for uber one for students now and get 12 months free 12 month free membership offer for eligible students you aren't members available

48:42while supplies last year through 10 21 26 subject to change your cancellation revocable due to fraud if not an eligible student