10 fantasy data points you need to know for Week 4

0:00Big show for you here today. Ray Garmin joins me for the week four data dumping. We got a lot to get into here. Ashton Gentie struggling with Russia, Unfficiency despite the fact it's getting a ton of volume. We break down what that means. Plus, Zay flowers absolutely breaking the efficiency charts. Garrett Wilson is it finally happening. Tons of storylines to get into a lot of rest of season ranking, update talk and speaking of updates. Yeah, we got an update on the league. All right. The Yahoo fantasy league. We'll talk about that at the end of the show. We'll talk about somebody's three and oh, no spoilers, though. All that and more coming up on today's show. Let's get into it. You've spent all week digesting injury reports, power rankings and IG posts. Now you've convinced yourself everyone else is wrong. That's time to prove just how wrong they are on polymarket. Traeger football predictions against other fans and see what the market actually thinks. Take your position before kickoff. Then when the game starts, keep trading live as every drive gives you something new to argue about change your mind, exit whenever you want

1:03or combine multiple trades into one with polymarket combos now live in the app. And once Monday comes, you can start arguing all over again, download the polymarket app. New customers use promo code pi lawn deposit $10 and get $50 to trade instantly. 18 plus C polymarket terms of service for more information about restrictions and eligibility. The polymarket app is an independent affiliate of polymarket US and not CFTC regulated. Trading always involves risk, complete loss, going to curve. The $50 offer is issued as non withdrawal, while trading credit for you son the platform. What's going on, everyone? I'm Matt Harmon. Welcome to the Yahoo Fantasy forecast. And it is a hell of a day to talk ball and join him to do just that is Ray Garvin Ray. What's going on, man? It's going on Matt week four NFL season. We're here. It has been an interesting one and every time we get on the show to talk through things that have happened, players, teams, situations, I always have a good time,

2:06Matt. So I decided to get into it today and talk through some stuff to help the people out in the YouTube comments and everybody that watches or listen to the show after the fact, Matt, it's a great day. It's a great day. Let me get a vibe check from you here. Three full weeks into the season. We're about to enter week four here. This is the show where we usually kind of turn the page from the previous week to the next week. And this is right about the time, Ray, when I bring this up all the time, Adam Harstead from football guys, he has several years ago. I don't know if he's updated this sense that kind of found that the first four weeks of the season season, long ADP is still more predictive than what we are seeing in the current moment. We looked at some data from JJ Zacharyson after week one. I believe that things do eventually start to crystallize really at some of the positions like wide receiver though. It's not till midway through the season that there's a strong correlation to the current results of the way it's going to end the season here. So just again, vibe check from you so far on how the season has gone sort of where are

3:07we at? And like, what are some situations just off the cuff here that you're like, I don't know if I'm like buying this or kind of that you're raising an eyebrow at and kind of want to see more from. I mean, I think one of the low hanging fruit, easiest answers to this question is, is Chicago Bears this wide receiver room, the tight end room, everything that we talked about in the off season, everything that we thought we knew about these three wide receivers. And then yet, I saw you talking on the show last night, I believe the number 14. It was always Khalif Raymond. We should have known that if anybody was going to be the almond rouse St. Brown, it was going to be Khalif Raymond. I think overall, man, like your elites superstar players, by and large are the elite superstar players, right? Outside of Pukinakoo has not played, but Jackson Smith and J. Vado, Bowers as soon as he got on the field, he was awesome. It brought us been great. I really think it's those, you know, hell, right when you get around to round two, man, I don't, I still don't know what to make of this season.

4:11By and large, I think that's what makes this show so fun. I think injuries have played a big part in how we feel about roles and situations. I think there are some spots where we're getting some better performances than we expected. And then more, more so, I think there's some spots where we thought we would get some good performances, a good team situations that have not come to fruition. And that's what makes things even more confusing, frustrating, that variance of fantasy football. I think that's the bigger thing, Matt, is as much as we try. And I promise you all out there listening, watching, following all the content that we put out both written and video, we are trying our best to sit through all of this information to give the most actionable stuff. But at the end of the day, football is going to football. And in one of the most violent sports that we have, I think variance, right? The things that you cannot account for, the things that charting or usage or data cannot tell you, like you just have to be prepared for that to happen inside of the fantasy season.

5:15And more importantly, Matt, how do you adjust when new information enters the fold? How do you adjust when a Khalif Raymond pops up? Do you just cover your eyes and ignore it? Are you like, you know what? Like, maybe, maybe this is part of how it's going to be. So that variance of the game of football is always just, it's always right there in front of us. Yeah, 71 yards per game for Khalif Raymond so far. I think it honestly might have been our, it's, it had to be one of our least watched shows from August. And I even said this at the time that it was a, it was a very June coded August episode that I did with Nate Tyson during the, again, the middle of the month. And it was fantasy vultures, like guys who are going to be better in real life than in fantasy. But you know, might affect fantasy distribution. Again, probably one of our least watched shows in August. I get it from a, from a title perspective, not the most clickable YouTube one, but we talked about Khalif Raymond as a guy in that episode that is better in real life than in fantasy. And now he's better in fantasy than we might have thought because of some of that value

6:18that he brings to the table here. So yeah, it's certain situations like this, you know, there's always a chance that we get to week 17 and we think back, man, wasn't it crazy to call some leveling through the first two weeks of the season was averaging 11 yards per game and Khalif Raymond was 71 yards per game. There's a chance that that happens. There's also a chance that he hangs around all season long because it's working for the offense. That's something that I always, you know, want to put a premium on when it's working for the offense and shoot it was really working for the Bears last night against the Philadelphia Eagles. That's something that we always have to consider here. Just again, I think you're right to point out that a lot of the superstars have been as expected. It is some of these kind of secondary actors, even this rounds four to five, the six wide receiver range that I really liked picking from. There's been some okay hits so far, but not really one guy, you know, that off the top of my head that is absolutely crushing those expectations, the rounds four to five wide receivers. And like again, it's been fine.

7:18Some of the guys there have been okay. You know, a jail and a lot of comes to mind where he's had one really good week and two less so weeks. You know, that's always going to happen at the wide receiver position. But you know, it's Christian Watson has been great from that range, maybe a little bit after Parker Washington, depending on your league format. I mean, he had like a seventh round ADP for a long time on Yahoo. It's actually been some of the guys going later that have really boosted Garrett Wilson, the guy that maybe nobody wanted to draft from that range because it's a jet. You know, that he's actually been really good so far. So, you know, we'll see as kind of as the NFL turns as fantasy turns how some of these things are sticky and what not. We're going to discuss some of those situations here today on the data dump as we always do. We each share five stats you need to know heading into the given week. And we also wrap up this episode with a recap of what's going on in the Yahoo fantasy leagues. I'm very interested things going on in the Yahoo fantasy league. We'll discuss that at the end of the show. But for now, Ray, let's get into it. Let's get to the week four data dump.

8:18Yes, science. My calculations are correct. You're going to see some serious. As always, Ray, I see the floor to you and let's hear what's your first data point. Yeah, let's talk about a player that was drafted at the beginning of sort of the draft process in round one and then an injury kind of scared people off of him and he fell. And then right before the season, he kind of started to get that steam back up. And Ash and Gentie starting running back of the lost Vegas Raiders and you see right here, Raider on a lost arc. Ash and Gentie, the volume is there. He is a volume based running back. He ranks six amongst running backs right now with 63 carries on the season. But his 206 rushing yards have translated to only 3.3 yards per carry, which is 38 amongst qualified rushers. The efficiency for this second year running back has declined quickly each week of the season, 4.4 yards per carry in week one.

9:20And then 2.3 in week two, 2.9 in week three. And Ash and Gentie, yes, he has yet to score a Russian touchdown this season. And you see right here on the screen, his longest run, only 15 yards, Matt Harmon. Despite those 63 attempts, he's only produced nine rushing first downs, a 42.9% rushing success rate. And according to Sumer Sports, he had a brutal negative 0.29 EPA per rush attempt through week two, a 34.1% success rate. Only 56 yards on 19 carries in week three. And what's most concerning is no explosive plays from Ash and Gentie. He's not forcing missed tackles. He's not breaking tackles. He's getting targeted at a decent clip in the receiving game, but he's dropping a lot of passes. He's not converting those into usable yards. And then we saw Mike Washington get on the field in week three in a shootout versus the Raiders versus excuse me versus the New Orleans Saints and played so well that the coaches

10:22already come out to say he's earned some more opportunity in this offense. At the end of that game, you did see Ash and Gentie on the sideline on the bench getting his ankles worked on, ankles taped up. So maybe this is something where he's still not quite 100% from the prayer circle and the candles and turn down the music at practice when he got injured. But this is a little bit of a problem here for Gentie, not so much so that you are going to bench him. You're not going to plan because if you're going to get 20 plus opportunities again, you'll just bank on the volume. But I think the bigger fantasy takeaway is if Mike Washington does start to get some sort of role inside of an offense so far is been really good. I would say Clint Kubiak, if you had to give me a vote for early coach of the year, be Clint Kubiak and the three in a row Raiders. I know they've got a tough task this week. Like what are your thoughts on Gentie, Mike Washington and is he still lingering from this ankle injury that he had coming into the season?

11:24I would guess so, right? They can call it a low high ankle spray or whatever you want to call it, but it did seem like it was a high ankle spray to some degree, maybe on the lower variety, whatever. Still, it takes a minute for those guys to get back into full operational shape. We talk about it as usually a six week injury. So Gentie's still probably not 100% back from that. If he still has some lingering effects, that wouldn't be so surprising to me. And that can easily be the explanation. He's also not a guy that's going to be overwhelmingly explosive with his runs as it is. The Raiders are, they're actually from an offensive efficiency perspective, pretty solid. 18th in the combined metrics that I look at, but it is the dropback EPA that's really lifting that eighth in dropback EPA, 23rd in rush EPA, they're 27th in explosive playrate. They're not going to get a lot of explosives with this offense, even though Kurt Cousins has pushed the ball down the field in a pretty decent variety here.

12:25So yeah, I mean, I think he's a guy that might never be the most explosive runner in the world, but I do think the ankles getting taped up at the end of that week three game. I think that makes a lot of sense here. It is funny, Ray. The Raiders are 3 and 0. Ashton Gentie from a fantasy perspective is still a top 10 back in points per game. Eighth among running backs behind only Gibbs Walker, Henry, Robins and Taylor Swift, McAfry. And yeah, we're still a little like, is there meat left on the bone? You could almost kind of take that as a positive in a way. Yeah, you could. And I think that we're at that point now in this season with multiple running backs where a lot of trade questions are happening. Do you trade for him in seasonal leagues? Do you trade him away? And I do think that there are some pivots that you could make with Ashton Gentie if you didn't trust what was happening or you have a fear that Mike Washington, I mean, it just, again, let's just talk ball here, the eye test, right? When I'm watching that game, that was one of the games I had to cover for the Sunday night

13:26recap show. Man, it looked like a whole different running back when Mike Washington was back there. You're like, oh man, like, whoa, this dude's got some serious, serious juice. So I wanted to preface this by, I'm not, I'm not insinuating or suggesting Benchham or he's, he's not going to score your points because he's touching the ball 20 plus times a game. But Clint Kubiack and company came out already and said, hey, we got to get Mike Washington on the field a little bit more. So in this kind of spot where people are starting to react, whether it's Hampton, whether it's whether it's Jadairian Price, you see him on the screen or Ashton Gentie, like this is a big name. He's still a big time volume kind of king. But if you could make a move in your league, like I wouldn't, he's not the type of running back that I say he's untradable. Like no way I would not move Ashton Gentie. I'm keeping him no matter what. I'm a little, I'm hoping he gets healthy, but it's been a little underwhelming despite the fact that he's getting all the volume still.

14:28Yeah, very fair. I definitely think the one takeaway as we're having this conversation because I agree with you about Mike Washington and I mean, even dating back to the preseason, it's like you should get this guy on the field more because whereas I said Ashton Gentie, you might never be a true explosive back. Mike Washington definitely is. Now, can Mike Washington handle all the work, the grinder carries? Maybe not. Can he do what Ashton Gentie can do as a receiver? I don't know about that. And that is something to really flag here that's been fascinating to me with Gentie. I was talking about ariards per target at the running back position. Typically, you just see these guys getting short area targets and the whole deal. That is not the case for Ashton Gentie. He is one of just 10 running backs with a 1.0 or higher ariard per target mark. He is at 1.81. The other few of the guys that are over that only have a small handful of targets that I don't even have double digits. Cam Skataboo, David Montgomery, Tony Pollard.

15:29So 16 targets overall for Gentie, 1.8 ariards per target. Now, he's dropped three passes. As you mentioned, he also has two touchdowns as well. So there's definitely a guy in there that's been really impactful as a receiver. A producer Collins, Acius, and a doc is Gentie slash Washington this year's Stevenson slash Henderson. I actually think Ray, and I made this comparison at one point during the preseason. I think there's a real argument to be made that Gentie is a souped up version of Zack Sharbonay. And Mike Washington is maybe a poor man's Kenneth Walker. And we saw this group with Seattle, obviously last year with Clint Kubiak, if that makes sense. I'm smiling and I'm laughing because both of those are really good. Those are both really good. Would it be worse if I said Gentie is the Najee Harris to the Jalen Warren that is Mike Washington? I mean, you look at these backfields where there's two guys. And I think the biggest fear, here's the biggest fear if you have Ashen Gentie, is that Mike Washington actually does start to get, let's say, 8 to 10 touches a gang.

16:36I'm not going ridiculous, but if he's getting 8 to 10 touches a game and he's explosive, like this, this is going to pull the ceiling down from what we all thought Gentie could be because we're still holding on to that draft capital. We're thinking about that Boise State tape and can this be a 30 carry guy, a hundred and fit. And we saw some of the big games last year. And I'm not putting all of this on Gentie's skill set. Gentie's the injury, just it affects how you play. And this Raiders team doesn't look like they're trying to slow down anytime soon. So from a team perspective, it makes a lot of sense to get Mike Washington on the field. Don't put him in your starting lineup yet, but I would absolutely be looking on waivers to see if he were out there just in case. And it gives me some confidence that if Gentie had to miss if something happened to the ankle, they probably would just fire Mike Washington up and say, let's go see what you can do. Oh, yeah, he is 34% rostered right now as Mike Washington, that good number has to be

17:36a lot higher because if anything did happen to Gentie, they say, hey, we're looking at 3.2 yards per carry on Ashton Gentie. And we think that is injury based. Let's give this guy a breather because they don't even have a buy until week 13. They have a pretty late buy here. Let's go ahead and give him a couple of weeks, maybe get him back to 100%. Maybe he misses a game where, okay, it's the Jets in week eight or the Niners in week nine, something like that. Mike Washington is going to be a guy that everybody wants to start in fantasy because I think he can be really impactful as a lead back for this team in addition to just being a compliment for Ashton Gentie. Yeah, he should be pretty close to 100% roster. I think I've got him sticking around on a couple of benches and definitely he is not somebody I will be dropping at any point for any of the, let's go check. Let's go chase the dolphins back. And he's worth it. Right? Like you use a roster spot on him. Like you're just like, I'm fine. I know I'm not going to play him right now. But I've got no problem having him on the bench, no problem, especially if he does become somebody that is a change of pace back that you can tell yourself a story about how he

18:38has some, what the heck flex appeal at some point along the way. Last thing before we move off this topic, let me ask you an unfair question on scale of one to 10. What's your level of confidence that this is not a fluke for the Raiders? Reino start the schedule going forward. Chiefs, Patriots, bills, Rams, jets, Niners, Seahawks all the way through to week 10. Then they just to complete it before they have that week 13 by Broncos Brown. So it's a mixed bag of a schedule. What's your level of confidence that this is not a fluke? They're going to beat New England. I think they're going to give Kansas City a run. Buffalo, we saw them act a little crazy. I think they're a better team than we thought. Are they undefeated? They're going to run the table probably not because defensively they can still be had. But this is a much better team and the culture, the way that they're deploying. I mean, Brock Bowers, just having him back changes the map as well.

19:42Scale of one to 10, I'm going to be fair to Las Vegas. I'm going to give him a five. I'm right in the middle with him. I'm a straddle defense here, Matt. I'll give him a five. I don't think it's a fluke, but I also don't think they're going undefeated for the next five or six weeks. I don't believe that's going to happen either. I'd agree with that. I'll give it a six. Somewhere between a five and a six, maybe a five and a half and a six. I don't think that I would still be surprised if they make the playoffs at some point. We don't run out of gas with Kurt Cousins, who's definitely played well, but is also put the ball in harm's way. I think at some point, we want to see him in Doza here. But hey, that can also sort of stave off this being a fluke if they get him in there. He actually improves the quarterback play. Not that Kurt Cousins has played poorly, but there's still just some things you look at from an offensive standpoint that you'd say, okay, this might be a little fluke. They score a lot of points per drive. They don't possess the ball pretty consistently. There is a massive gap. The third highest gap between their dropback EPA and their rush EPA. Actually, a genty improving actually could really go a long way to making this feel a

20:45little more stable. Yeah, definitely a fantasy hold. Not a guy I'd be selling. If he has a couple slow weeks, maybe they get merressed here. We'll see how that goes. Okay, I want to go to my first data point here. This is a guy who was definitely drafted earlier than the rounds four to five to six wide receiver range. One of the guys that when he's been out there, he has been absolutely worth it. That is Zay Flowers. I was tweeting about this earlier in the week, noting that Drake London was second in the NFL in yards per route run. If you look at wide receivers with 50 plus routes on the season after just one game with Michael Pennix, just one. That's all it took in our Drake London second most efficient receiver in the league. Somebody asked me where would Zay Flowers rank on the list? They said he would have to be first. Indeed, he would be first. I cut the minimum to 20 routes to find out. Zay Flowers nine just absurd. 9.36 yards per route run. Wide receivers 20 or more routes on the season. JSN is second with 4.35.

21:46Then it's Drake London with that 3.86. So yeah, he's number one by a lot more than double the number two receiver there. He has a first down on 44% of his routes. He's been targeted on 48% of his routes. I mean, Zay Flowers is absolutely breaking the efficiency charts right now. Of course, he's been a part time player. You know, he had, and I don't mean that in terms of his role. He just hasn't been in the field consistently because of injuries, everything like that. You look at a guy that has been, you know, again, it was the injury in week one. He only played a half. And then this past week, he was kind of more sprinkled in to the mix here. But we're showing the route chart on the screen here. And this is just so perfect about him in this offense. So many movement routes. They line him up all over the formation. Ray, I mean, if he stays healthy, man, he is just going to absolutely go crazy. I think he's a top 10 receiver rest of season in fantasy rankings. Matt, this is one man.

22:47We're about to tut our horn here because I've been doing this show with you for two years now. And I feel like a couple of times a year, we just have this Zay Flowers love fest. And it, it never quite hit the level that it's finally feeling like it's about to hit right now. But you and I have been very big Zay Flowers guys. And I'm just happy to see it come to fruition for Zay right now. Right now in my Trinity score usage tracker, he's got the fourth highest Trinity score amongst wide receivers right now in the NFL, the only wide receivers being utilized by their team. More than Zay Flowers right now. Jackson, Smith and Jigba, of course, Chris O'Lava, the Vante Adams barely edges them out. And then he and CD Lamb have the same usage score. I've got Zay Flowers right now. I updated this before last week's game. So this was before week three is rest of season projections. I got them at 12, 45 yards, seven touchdowns and around 16.1 points per game. He's averaging about 21 points per game right now.

23:48And that's with missing one. So when you're talking about how bullish am I on Zay Flowers? Yes. And this is part of the reason why we talked about this is sometime in the preseason. You and I both like Rashad Bayman, but the reality is since 2024, Lamar Jackson does not prioritize the wide receiver to an offense. When there's two receivers out there, he's primarily throwing to the number one guy. And even him running, I believe he only played like 20 something routes, 20 something snaps. Last week, he's still at 84 yards, right? The Cowboys still said, hey, last play, let's play man-to-man coverage and just give him a wide open 30 yard catch. And he's awesome. And when he's on the field, Lamar Jackson is going to hyper target him. Just stay on the field, Zay. Just make sure that Hammy is good, get in the cryo chamber, do whatever you need to do, keep that hamstring intact. You got one of the most efficient quarterbacks in NFL history with Lamar Jackson. And there just aren't that many threatening options on this team for them to move the ball to down the field. It's Zay Flowers, Zay Flowers, Zay Flowers on Witchieman.

24:51Fifth best offense right now in terms of the combined efficiency metrics. There for the fourth best team in my static score as well. They're pushing all the right buttons. There's a ton of motion, a lot of heavy personnel. They're getting under center, 10 tie-as rate, play action, 10 tie-as rate, motion, 10 tie-as rate, fourth motion rate, fourth motion at the snap. And that is what I think is key here because if you look at Zay Flowers, I was pushed back on people with this, they say, Zay's small, he's a slot-based player. He's actually not, he's never been a slot-based player in his entire NFL career before. He's been more of a Z receiver. But so far in the two games that he's played, 55% snaps in the slot, 10% in the backfield in week one. And then this past week against your Cowboys, 82% snaps in the slot. And again, he's been targeted six times in each game and he's caught five in each game and he's dropped one pass, which was against the Cowboys. He had a drop in that game. So, he's just like, everything is going his way. He's been super highly targeted. The yards after catch has been there. The deep passes has been there.

25:53Declan Doyle calls this game right now, Ray. Like he thinks Zay Flowers is one of the best players on the planet because everything is designed to get him the good stuff. And even like Bateman is in the slot on 26% of his snaps in week three, which is unusual. He's usually a guy that's been sub 10%. Mark Andrews is third on the team in routes with 13 in week three. He's running, I saw this on Fantasy Points data today. He's running some of the deepest routes at the tight end position. He's a little bit of like a sacrificial player to open things up for the wide outs, which is unusual, right? So it's just very highly concentrated. Bateman is on the field for 91% of the routes. Zay Flowers 64%. That's obviously going to go up once he's healthier. The ball is going to Zay over and over again. Bateman is like a supporting actor and Lamar is playing awesome. So everything to me just says yes on Zay Flowers. I said top 10 receiver rest of season rankings. That might be honestly conservative.

26:54You look at the schedule these next two weeks a real quick, just both throw back to you. Titans, Falcons, like these two next two games, these healthy could be firework fest as well. Matt, I was just going to push you a little bit. I mean, do you want to go a little higher? I don't know if there are nine receivers that I would want over Zay Flowers rest of season. I mean, about right now, I mean, of course, Jamar Chase, you've got Jackson Smith and Jigba, Amin Rouse St. Brown, you know, a healthy Nico Collins if he's out there. But I don't know how many other receivers I would want. And I think a lot of people are still a little, I think they're still a little afraid. Matt to put Zay in that range, put to put him in that category. You know, Chris Olave is definitely up there because we, you know, he's kind of been a guy that people know has been good, but it hasn't, it hasn't really kicked the way it needed to. I know he was a pro bowl receiver last year, but I mean, maybe six receivers, seven receivers

27:56that I'd take over Zay Flower, healthy Zay Flowers rest of season. Yeah, I think it's JS and I think it's Jamar. I think it's Amin Rouse St. Brown. Those are the ones for sure. Probably CD Lamb. Yeah, maybe Chris Olave and then I think I kind of think that's it. Pukinakua, I don't think so, not with the way that he is currently injured right in this moment. Drake London, maybe an interesting conversation. Now that Michael Penex is in there and, you know, Michael Penex, I gotta see it versus somebody other than Green Bay, but maybe Drake, maybe Drake. Very, very fair. You know, and maybe we can also say we should see it with Zay for someone to get other than the Colts and the Cowboys, probably two of the worst defenses in the NFL, but nevertheless, you know, sorry, sorry, right? Nevertheless, I do think we're in, we're in pretty lockstep. Here, somewhere between five to seven is where Zay flowers would be for me in rest of season rankings. Okay, let's get to your second data point. Where are we going? All right. Let's talk about more receivers that, and I remember us having this conversation and we

28:57were a little, even me, I'm just like, is it, could it finally happen? Garrett Wilson's been in the league for five years now, five years now, and he has never, had a season over 15 fantasy points on a per game basis, but it might be happening now because Geno Smith, Matt, is playing quietly, really, really good football, leads the NFL, almost 76% completion percentage, which is unreal. Garrett Wilson, last week, 13 targets, 36% target share, Kenyan Cedeek with Mason Taylor being hurt, eight targets, 22% share for the Ricky. These two combine for almost 60% of the targets, and 66% of Geno Smith's passing yards, and two of his three touchdowns. Again, Adnan Mitchell's got a damn club on his hand. Breast haul is going to miss time right now. Mason Taylor is out, which just gives more opportunity. Like, can we, like, what, jets? Like, do we finally kind of want some jets?

29:57And is this, finally, the year we get elite, ask Garrett Wilson? When I started tracking usage a long time ago, Garrett Wilson, the first videos that I did, I had no tool. I was just using fantasy points data before the new data suite. It was Garrett Wilson, Nico Collins, and Chris Olave, just looking at their isolated metrics and how good they were. I'm like, man, if this dude ever gets a quarterback and maintains this level of usage, he can be a superstar, and it's been like 14 points, 14 points, kind of mediocre. But now he's averaging 19 points a game right now. Garrett Wilson, that is. And we talked about the people that are missing inside of this offense. I had no clue. It was going to take Frank Wright to unlock this thing. But Garrett Wilson, I mean, we're talking about how high rest of season, and it still doesn't feel like the fantasy community in general has kind of caught up to how competent, and dare I say, how good this jets passing attack looks for Garrett Wilson, and maybe as

31:00well, Kenyan Sadeek, who's going to be everybody's favorite waiver wire target at the tight end position this week, very impressed by how Gina Smith is playing no interceptions on the season either to go along with that 75 and a half percent completion percentage. Like, is this finally the Garrett Wilson season that we have wanted for years unfolding before our eyes, Matt? I think it might be, you know, the Yahoo fantasy social team put the graphic out where I can't remember who I was on with. I think I'm not really can't remember who it was. I might have been Chris Allen. I'm not sure where I said, you know, I know I could get hurt again with Garrett Wilson, but I think I'm ready to get hurt again this year. And you know what? I don't think I'm going to get hurt again this year. He's ball on, he's ballin, man. You know, the targets are there, the opportunities there. As we're showing here, like the route chart is, it's a good mix of layups. You know, like we're seeing a lot of routes that are under 10 yards close to the line of scrimmage.

32:00Geno's getting those out on time, but there's also these deep out cuts over the middle. His touchdown catch was fantastic. Now again, they're coming off a game against the Detroit lines where everything is going to be shootout city. It's going to be a big 12 game against the Detroit lines every single week indoors. Their secondary can't cover anyone. Their offense can score points. We know the whole deal there. That being said, Garrett Olsen is awesome. Geno Smith has played incredible football. The schedule is not too bad going forward. Talk about a, you know, another game that they against the Bears this weekend. That could be another high flying affair. There's just a lot to like about the way Geno Smith is playing right now. And if he can continue to hang on, I think Garrett Wilson can continue to hang on as a wide receiver one in fantasy because the talent has always been there. You mentioned the usage has always been there. People, it felt like this offseason, the first time people kind of finally tried to galaxy brain them in selves into a take about, well, actually, maybe it's a little bit of like Garrett Wilson. He's just not that good. Give me a freaking break. Use your eyeballs and watch the guy play. He's awesome. And he's playing extremely well right now.

33:01Yeah, I don't get it right. Like we finally get the thing that everybody has been clamoring for for years. And people are still a little skeptical, still a little hesitant. In my usage tracker, he's got the seventh highest overall usage for a wide receiver in the NFL right now. Like they are using him like an elite receiver. There it is right there. I know I could get hurt again, but I think I'm willing to get hurt. That was from Matt Horman on dressing Garrett Wilson. And you said it, right? You were willing to take that risk. And again, Geno Smith doesn't have to be, he doesn't have to be Josh Allen. He doesn't have to be Lamar Jackson. What he needs to do is understand the assignment. And when you look at the jets, like there are no, especially with Adnan Mitchell out there, no nats. It is very concentrated. It is the ball is going to a couple of people and the route deployment of Garrett Wilson are the things that you want to see. And Geno's pushing the ball down field. Like he's, again, he's not Josh Allen, but he's, he's a lot better than, especially

34:06what they had under center last year. And then trying to deal with the Aaron Rogers, BNN, BNHR, them trying to backfill that position. Again, quietly, he is feeding Garrett Wilson. And we are finally getting a season where I do think he will clear finally 15 fantasy points per game this season. Yeah, the good news is that the jets are, you know, not crazy in terms of some of the schematic buttons that they're pushing, but they are getting under center a decent bit. There's a little sprinkling of heavy personnel, which we know concentrates the targets to the perimeter receiver. And yeah, to your point about the nats for these guys, I actually think everybody here is kind of worth there. You know, wait, at this point, 80 missiles, a guy that in the first two weeks of the season, 25% targets per out, actually more than Garrett Wilson. He's a viable number two receiver that is going to command some defensive attention, especially because he runs those vertical routes and can clear things out when Garrett Wilson needs the layups. You know, obviously there's no Omar Cooper Jr.

35:07But Kenyans to Deek, man, he's another threat. Like, this has been a problem for Garrett Wilson to do where he could concentrate the targets, but also concentrate all of the eyeballs on him and they just can't sustain drives. Could this jets team? But now I mean, the Deek looks awesome. I want to talk about him here for a second, too. Seven catches 105 yards in a touchdown in week three. He's another guy that is super low roster. Of course, if you're listening to this on Wednesday morning on the audio feed, you already know that this is changed. But if you're watching us live right now on YouTube, which by the way, if you're watching with this live on YouTube, interactive the chat. Tell us where you would rank some of these guys rest of season. Let us know and subscribe to the channel. Of course, 20% rostered in Yahoo Leagues right now as we head into the waiver, waiver run on Tuesday night. I can't imagine there's too many tight ends. Like I pulled up my rankings here for week four. Ray, Sedeck was a guy instantly had to launch up. I mean, I'm definitely playing him over guys, you know, that were drafted much higher, like Tucker craft, Colson Loveland. I'll take the chance on to Deek in week four ahead of those dudes. One thousand percent.

36:08I'm looking at the usage for the tight ends right now. Including week one. So I'm not even filtering for what he did last week, but the only ones that have higher overall team usage or Bower's McBride, Kelsey, Concage, Shultz, Juan Johnson, George Kittle, Harold Fanon, Jr. And he is right there layered on top of Tyler Warren and Isaiah likely, which I think he will fly past likely after this week. Oh, yeah. And you know, we continue to talk about Tyler Warren and how they finally used them more last week out of necessity. But again, right, not knocking Ad9 Mitchell, because we didn't even know the field he played well, but the fact that again, I think people are underestimating this. Braille and Allen ain't taken, receiving work from any of these guys. Like, Bree saw, yes, there was a game this season. I believe week two, Bree saw led the jets in receiving that will never happen with Braille and Allen. That is it will never happen with Braille and Allen. They are not going to use him as a past catching weapon three for three yards. That's what he got you in week three.

37:09He'll get an uptick in Russian volume, but I am not anticipating Geno Smith funneling targets to Braille and Allen. I mean, it could be easy but an option city for Kenyan Sedeek, who is a crazy athlete at tight end position. I saw a lot of people saying people over thought this went a little bit with Kenyan Sedeek. And I got to want to go that far. Tight ends is rookie tight ends in general are a little tricky, right? Especially when you're not Brock Bowers right out the gate. And Tray McBride took a year before he started to pop off. But I just think that everything is aligning perfectly for Sedeek and Garrett Wilson to sort of really step up and dominate this jets passing attack. Yep. I think I couldn't agree more with that. Six yards after catch per reception. Six point four to be exact for Kenyan Sedeek. He's been a guy that can create some laps and get some down to the opportunities. He's running the routes. 57% route participation. Pretty much what you want. 41% snaps into slot two. That's another key thing for Sedeek is he's essentially their slot based option, especially while Oomar Cooper Jr. Is banged up.

38:10Yeah, I think this is a fantasy starter right now at the tight end position. And you know, this goes back to the show we did with Nate last week where the jets are a viable offense now. They are 13th in the combined offensive efficiency metrics. That's a 17 spot improvement from where they were last year. Like we can care about the jets. Sixth best time of possession. At 12th in success rate and 14th in explosive play rate. They're actually moving the ball and getting some big place here. So we are trusting our jets. What could possibly go wrong? Okay. Last one before we get to the break here. Sort of sticking on the theme of recalibrating, rest of season rankings. How many fantasy quarterbacks would you honestly take over Brock Purti right now? Again, I don't think it is very many. Match up caveats here are notable. However, through three weeks of the season, Brock Purti has authored two of the best quarterback games of the season so far from an adjusted net yards per attempt perspective against the dolphins in week two 14.86 adjusted net yards per attempt.

39:13That's number one. Number two is Brock Purti against the Arizona Cardinals 13.96. So yes, obviously those teams are not good. However, he's just this is what you do. You do great things against bad teams. You smash the cupcakes. That is what Brock Purti and the Niners have been doing right now. I mentioned the offensive efficiency metrics. They are number one. So far this season again, matchups matter here, but to be totally fair to call balls and strikes in the spirit of radical candor. The Niners are not 100% healthy either. They're losing guys every single week. Trent Williams goes down in week three. Mike Evans misses some time. I mean, they're playing cadarral, Hodge, a ton of snaps in week three and still Brock Purti looks amazing. So, you know, Ray, I'll throw the question to you about who would you rather have over Brock Purti? I mean, it's Josh Allen. Lamar, I think the conversation begins after those guys. I think it, I think that's, it ends there.

40:14I think it's Josh Allen. It's Lamar Jackson and it's Brock Purti. You see on the screen right here, 297 yards, four touchdowns. Matt, he did this on 15 completions. I don't even, Matt, if I just told you going into the week, hey, Brock's only going to complete 15 passes this week, you'd be like, I don't know. What happened? Yeah, what happened? Yeah, 300 yards, 34 rushing yards, anti-added rushing touchdown called back on an egregious, awful holding call on George Kittle. Here's the thing. Brock Purti's been efficient, man. He has been efficient and for whatever reason it took up people a long time to get past the fact that he was Mr. A relevant that they traded up for trade lands. If you had to vote for NFL MVP today, I don't know how Brock Purti's not sitting at the top of the list for most folks because he has had to deal with a ton of adversity around

41:16him. He's got to get himself to field. Debo Samuel, second on the team in receiving yards, and he didn't even get a target in the game. How does that happen, right? This offense to play design, Brendan I. You've better thank Kyle Shanahan for scheming him up and when you just think about the season when I. You had 1300 yards, he had a hundred targets. Not 100 resetsions, a hundred targets that season, that is how efficient this Kyle Shanahan and often says, and I mean, if he does this, if Mike Evans has to miss any amount of time and he's throwing the ball to Jordan Watkins and whoever Jacob Cowling and whoever else they sign. Matt, how many? Alan Lamar? I can't, I don't have anyone else, Matt. There's no one else. Now, to play Devil's advocate here or maybe to present the other side of the equation, we mentioned all these injuries, does the damn break at some point

42:16and does it break this week and next against definitely much tougher defensive competition. They got Denver at home this week, then they go to Seattle in week five. This will really test some of this because those are too much tougher defenses. Now, the Broncos are a little gettable. You know, they're kind of, they'll butcher a good bit. They heated up Stafford and obviously they got Stafford a good bit of times, but Stafford also got some passes off down the field. That can certainly happen for Brock Pertie. injuries in the Rams receiver core as well. Seahawks were gettable against Marcus Mariotto, but was that just kind of a weird road trap game? Potentially, I would be shocked if that happened against the Niners in week five in Seattle. So definitely big tests here for Brock Pertie, but someone that right now is for sure a QB1, you're starting every single week. You're not really thinking about it and we can reassess if he doesn't have good games against these next couple weeks. But then again, before the buy and week eight, he gets the commanders, he gets the Falcon. So there's a lot of gettable spots here for Pertie.

43:18Yeah, and then he gets the Raiders and then he gets the Cowboys. So I mean, is he going to go for 300 yards on 15 completions versus those teams? Probably not, but you know what, man? If there were an offensive coordinator that I trust to put together the best possible game plan for their quarterback to have success, it's Kyle Shanahan. And these two are in lockstep right now with how they're calling plays, how they're executing the offense. And Brock Pertie's legs, I don't want to diminish this. I mean, I would love to see the next gen stats on that run. He was rolling Brock Pertie. I mean, I'm looking like, is that Mike Vick out there? We got Mike Vick rolling out there for San Francisco, but to your point, he's a fantasy QB1 and we talk about it every week, Matt, is this a team that could trade for a receiver at some point? Just they have no choice because they are so banged up. I'm sure we could think of a couple that could be available in their services I think could be used by San Francisco. So we'll see.

44:19We'll see. You know, Kyle is a tough receiver grader, but they have made mid season trades before. They traded for a manual Sanders the year that they went to the Super Bowl and lost against Kansas City Chiefs the first time. So it's definitely not unheard of. There are certainly some potential disgruntled receivers out there. So something to monitor. And yeah, you did mention the name Brandon, I mean, man, guys got to be, I know he's having fun. Dancing to the, you know, the commanders win against the sea locks on his Instagram. But my God, I probably should have played his cards better and maybe he'd be a part of this team right now, but water under the bridge, water, and we technically is still on this team. He technically is on the roster. So, yeah, any change of heart there, folks? Any change? No, probably not. All right, we're going to get to our first quick break. We come back, we're rolling through more storylines, more stats you need to know heading in a week for. We'll get into that right after this. MUSIC MUSIC Honey, that flu keeping you up. Did you take Nikol and Sense flu? No, I got this.

45:21OK, I don't got this. Yeah, you need Nikol and Sense flu. Undo your flu with Nikol and Sense flu. Nikol and Sense flu provides powerful relief of your flu symptoms so you can sleep. You do got this. Nikol and Sense flu. The nighttime sniffling aching aching fever best sleep with a flu medicine. Use his directed Keep Out of Reach of Children. MUSIC All right, we're back. Let's get into it here, Ray. What is your third data point heading into week four? Yeah, I just want to say, man, I think it's important in life to find somebody in life that loves you the way that Sean McVeigh loves Kyron Williams. It doesn't matter if he drops the ball, fumbles the ball. Kyron Williams is inevitable to be on the field and be productive for us in fantasy football. Will the real Rams please stand up? And I know they were kind of playing catch up to a degree last week versus the Denver Broncos. But Kyron Williams, six to seven targets, 70 yards in week three,

46:24more receiving yards than Jameer Gibbs or Christian McCaffrey, 88 Russian yards on the ground, 158 yards from Scrimmage without scoring a touchdown. And we know that he commands that gold line work. But when you look at this Rams team, right, dropping back 59 out of 82 plays last week, 72% dropback rate, 25 routes to Blake Horms 13. Horm has a role on this team, but it ain't the valuable one, right? It's still Kyron Williams. And now that we're dealing with the Rams team, and I don't know how you feel about everything that seemingly comes out or does not come out about Pukin' Nukua, he's hurt, Terrence Ferguson banged up, Kobe Parkinson banged up. I'm looking at Kyron Williams like, could he be just like a super sneaky running back to just be dominant with his work in the receiving game, partly due to injury, necessity, the Rams want to run a lot of heavier personnel sets. And when you look at that running back distribution, it is Kyron Williams is the pass catcher here.

47:25He is one of the most utilized and deployed running backs in a receiving role right now in the NFL, surprisingly about 11 points per game for Kyron Williams. It's coming from the receiving game for him this season, which was shocking to kind of dive into, but I'm looking at this Rams high-flign attack who got Matthew Stafford, got Tay Adams doing this thing out there, but without Pukin' without Terrence Ferguson, short Tyler Higby saw that uptick in usage, but I'm looking at Kyron Williams like, you got kind of like a mini wide receiver in your running back spot. And one of the things I'd always say is, there's a difference between running backs who catch passes and running backs who can be deployed as pass catching weapons. I still don't think Kyron Williams is what you would classify as a pass catching weapon, but he's a lot better than just like a dump-off option for the Rams right now, for an offense that we think to be pretty good, that's hurting right now, like how aggressive should we be on ranking, prioritizing Kyron Williams moving forward,

48:28especially with some of the injuries that the Rams are facing on their offensive side of the ball. Yeah, I have missed my 12th running back this week, ahead of some decent names here. I mean, I'd rather have Kyron Williams and say one Barclay right now based on what I've seen from the Eagles offense. It comes down to this pass catching role that you're talking about here. This is a really good find by you. And it's interesting, we talk about those running back Ariard Protarget marks earlier. Kyron Williams 4.92, which he sixth and routes overall 4.92 Ariard's Protarget. That's crazy high, again, I know that doesn't seem like much, but at the running back position, again, among guys that have double digit targets, number two is Devon H. Ann 2.4. Christian McCaffrey is number three 2.0, Jameer Gibbs number four, 1.95. We mentioned action genty, 1.81. Only six guys have double digit targets and are over one Ariard. Pachute, only those guys are over 0.7 Ariard's Protarget.

49:32Because Kenneth Walker is 7th and he's at 0.61. So abnormal down field usage for Kyron Williams maybe need to dig more into the specifics on that. But I mean, this has not been normal for his NFL career. This is definitely a different wrinkle. Wonder if there's something to it. I mean, you look at just him from a receiving perspective. He actually did get going a little bit down field last season to 2.66 Ariard's Protarget, which was a market difference from his first three seasons. He had 50 targets, 36 catches for 281 yards. So far, Ariard has 12 targets, 11 catches, 106 yards, 35 yards per game, which is up from 16.5. So definitely a jump up from a receiving usage standpoint for Kyron Williams, which, yeah, I mean, they need to find ways to move the ball through the air. I wonder how much of this has been on check downs versus design stuff. You don't have to do a deeper dive on that. But yeah, really good, good, good note by you here because his receiving usage has been unique, not just the results, but the way they're doing it too.

50:33I went back just to go back a little bit, 2021 and 2020. I went back to those Notre Dame receiving stats. But his final two seasons in college, 77 receptions, averaged 8.7 yards in his career at Notre Dame. So coming out, I know he was not drafted high, but this is a player who can catch the ball. Again, I mean, I kind of started this off by saying he's not a pass catching weapon, but I had no clue that you said the second Ariard running back was 8.2. So he's doubled up the second guy in Devon 8.10. Yeah, I mean, again, you've got Matthew Stafford, the reigning NFL MVP, you've got a good offense, and then you've got consolidation and concentration. You don't have to agree that Kyron Williams is one of the best receiving running backs in the NFL. I think if you put a pole out there, most people would say, no, right? If you just put his Kyron Williams, one of the best receiving running backs in the NFL, I guarantee you the pole would probably say no, but you start looking at some of these numbers, Matt Harmon.

51:34And I'm like, we already know that Sean McVeigh trusts him to run the ball between the tackles and at the goal line. If he can command a little bit more opportunity in the receiving game, I saw one of the tweets on there from Ian Hartitz. Like he is, I want to say underrated at the position in what he can give you right here, Russian success rate. Kyron Williams in 2023. So this is RB, NFL RB leader in Russian success rate, defined as runs that have gained 40% of yards require first down. Kyron Williams 2023, 60%. Kyron Williams led in 2025, 63%. And right now, 63.2% Kyron Williams at the top. So not one of the guys that you consider one of the best, it is pretty frustrating because I can also put a graphic up here, running backs who have fumbled the most over the last three years and Kyron Williams names would be at the top of this list, but Sean McVeigh loves him, any trust him. So I think for fantasy, here's a question for the audience and for you.

52:36Right now, Matt Harmon, Rest of season, Kyron Williams are the aforementioned in the show, Ashton Gentie. Hmm. Um, I think I'll go, I think I'll go Kyron there. I mean, there's always, there's, there's, there's always the specter that, you know, Blake Kwarim is going to take work from him, but yeah, I think I would go, I think I would go. You think, right? Like, yes, 11 points per game for Kyron right now is going through the air. He is being used like a pass catching weapon in the receiving game and it might be out of necessity, but what they have not done is they haven't used Blake Kwarim like that, right? So even if Kwarim is taking some work on the ground, they have not deployed him in the receiving game, the way that they're using Kyron Williams. So it's again, sometimes you just, if you take a step back and kind of look at it,

53:39I know that the initial question, you're like, oh, it's, it's got to be genty, right? It's got to be genty and then you start looking around and you're like, hell, it might be Kyron Williams, you know, and I didn't mean to put you on the spot, Harmon, but that's, that's how undervalued I think Kyron Williams is right now, especially with what's going on in this Rams offense. Yeah, listen, it's a really, it's a really interesting one. I think it's fascinating and I'm, I'm in on it. I'm in on the Kyron Williams stuff. Again, just a little dive on the, on the actual targets here. So he has two targets, two and two point five area yards per target on check downs, according to fantasy points data. He has 10, it has 10 other targets that are not check downs, 5.1 area yards per target on, on those in particular. So yeah, a lot of interesting stuff going on with the Kyron Williams usage as a receiving standpoint. So yeah, I think it's Kyron Williams over action genty. I'm not 100% convinced on that, but I, I think it is. I'd have to think more on that one. Okay, my third data point heading into week number four,

54:41Terry McLoren, he got going in week three, despite a tough matchup. I certainly hand up did not see this one coming Terry McLoren, 88.6% route participation. No one else had higher than 77%. He had a 30% target share. It was 23% for Stefan Diggs. Very concentrated between those two guys. So why did this happen for Terry McLoren against the Seattle Seahawks? Couple things to note here. One, they have indeed moved Terry around more this year. Now, Diggs is the primary slot guy that's for sure. But 21.6% slot rate is Terry McLoren's highest since 2021 on the season. That's pretty electric, right? That's good to see. The other thing that was different in week three than the previous weeks, Traylon Berks actually ran more routes than Antonio Williams for the first time this season. And if you just look at the targets per route run, I think this really shows you the difference between these two guys. Traylon Berks, his average depth of route is very, very deep.

55:42Whereas Antonio Williams actually gets some of the designer stuff. He's going to get some quick looks. 10.5 targets per route, a 10% target per route rate for Traylon Berks. In week three, it's 40% for Antonio Williams who ran the same amount of routes as Deami Brown. When it's Traylon Berks, is that third receiver? That's going to funnel looks to Terry McLoren because I know Berks had a touch show. Week three, but he's Traylon Berks. He's not getting a lot of opportunities, not separating the whole deal. Antonio Williams, he does get some looks. He does get some playing time. And when he does, he gets a football because he has been separating. So really strong indication here that McLoren, when it's Berks is the third receiver, and we'll see what it looks like this week, he can get more of those looks. The targets are going to go his way as opposed to when Williams is on the field. He's been a highly utilized player from a target's per route perspective. So we'll see about that over the course of the season. I think that's part of the explainer. In addition to the fact that they have indeed moved him around more. He had a vertical route, a corner route, a couple of them from the slot. I think that actually will keep up here as well. So big game for Terry McLoren against the Ceeox.

56:43And he has a nice match up on week four against the Colts. Yeah, this is one I think we were all... I don't think anybody was out on Terry McLoren after the first two weeks. I just think people kind of end there. I was nervous. I'll admit. Yeah, that's what I mean. It's just kind of like, hey man, what's going on here? So to see him bounce back to the tune of nine targets, six catches, 77 yards in a touchdown and buy for the highest and most heavily utilized wide receiver. Against the very difficult match up, I think hatsip to Marcus Mariotta, who is clearly, I'd say probably the best backup quarterback in the NFL and looked very functional back there. I'll be at home. I know it was only 183 yards, three touchdowns, but this is against the the reigning Super Bowl champs. This defense that is all world in Marcus Mariotta was efficient. He got the ball to his big time guys. Yeah, Traylon Burke scored, and I think with him, because I think it was last week. It was last week's game.

57:44Was that when they played the Cowboys? He almost caught a touchdown in that one. He had like one deep shot in the game, but he's not going to be a big target earner in the offense. Like, Burke says a role, go do some stuff, open it up. And maybe that helps out Terry McClaren to a degree, but good for scary Terry, because he's a really good receiver. I mean, somebody that you talked about those middle-round wide receivers at the beginning of the show, when we were talking about after like round five, some of those guys at you, you wanted to play well. You thought that Jayden Daniels could elevate them, and you get some better production than where you were drafting them. I think this was a really positive step in the right direction for McClaren. It was good to see him getting the end zone. I watched his body language. It looked like a sigh of relief for him when he got the end zone. He was like, yeah. And man, I'm still good. I know it's been a little rocky. He's somebody that you and I talked about going into the year last year. You had asked me, you were like, Ray, are you a little nervous about him? He didn't play all training camp?

58:45And I was like, ah, no, mad. Everything would be good. And it wasn't good, right? He looked rusty. He did not look to himself. If we can get Terry McClaren playing like he did a couple of years ago, I think that's good for everybody in fantasy football as well as for the commanders. Yeah, no doubt. And I think some of the routes that he's running right now, I charted his week two game, 32% slant, 19% curl, 19% dig. It's less of the vertical, I mean, now we had a couple of big vertical wins in week three against the Seahawks. He actually got it. It was mostly Josh Job, according to Sumer Sports. Four targets, three catches, 41 yards in the touchdown on Josh Job. But like these quick slants that we're seeing here, some of the in brick quick in breakers, stuff like that. That's new for McClaren, who usually was running more vertical route trees. So shout out to Marcus Moriota, play the good game in week three. We might get Jayden Daniels back at some point. He did avoid having surgery, at least it's going to pass on having surgery. So we'll see how that one goes. But good for Terry McClaren to get off the map. And I do think he's someone that you can consider starting against the Colts in week four, because that's a getable defense that plays a lot of man coverage.

59:47And Terry's always been a good man coverage receiver. Okay, right. Let's get to your fourth data point heading into week four. Yeah, this might be one of the most pleasant surprises that one of the ones he positions in fantasy football. John Johnson's playing like one of the best tight ins in the NFL. Tyler Schuck right now is averaging a league high 44 pass attempts per game. His 917 passing yards second in the NFL. And that level of volume for this Saints team has led John Johnson to 19 targets is 173 yards. Both top six marks amongst the tight end positions. John Johnson has received five of the Northern Saints 11 targets inside the 10 yard line, giving them that premium money down role inside of the inside that goal line area that red zone area for Tyler Schuck. Last week 31 routes to no offense 17. I don't know if you knew this map, but there was an NFL record set in that game. Six touchdowns between the tight ends in that game. Has it happened since 1981? I was not even alive when the last time that that happened.

1:00:49Six damn touchdowns by the tight end position. But I think this there are a couple of things here. One, it feels really good because he was somebody that was drafted outside of probably like the top 15 wide receivers coming into the season. He was good last year. He actually played with Tyler Schuck for a season in college. That's how old the both of them are. More importantly, Tyler Schuck. But you want Johnson is is quietly playing like one of the best tight ins in football. And that's with him fumbling the game away at the end of the year. He's third and overall total points in in PPR formats. Like you feel great about Juwan Johnson. And Devon Valey has been a really good number two kind of compliment to Chris Olave. But he's not a true like a true volume threat for anybody else in that offense. Which ancillary side note should make you feel really good. If Jordan Tyson can get back on the field. But right now, I mean, Juwan Johnson in my opinion. He's locked and loaded starting tight in weekend and week out. Like I'm not overthinking this one. He was good last year. He's in one of the best roles right now.

1:01:50And the environment is extremely fruitful with how much they throw the ball. I got no arguments on this one. Schedules good coming up here. They have the Falcons this week. Now they have the Vikings in week five. That's going to be a tougher matchup. But you know, you can get that team over the middle of the field. If you can solve some of the zone coverage looks. So there's that there. I would also say too, just look at the routes run. I mean, because of how many plays the Saints run and the pace at which they play. 45.7 routes per game for Devon Valey. Number one in the NFL. Chris Olave 44. I agree with you, Jordan Tyson. If he can get back there, he's he's going to be playing a lot. But then Juwan Johnson's 35. That's second at the tight end position. Is Juwan Johnson behind only Tremick bride 36. Brock Bowers only played one game. But he ran 35 routes. Like these are the guys. The only other one who's like runs a ton of routes. It just doesn't get any looks. This Kate Otten. And which is interesting enough because 34.7 routes per game. But for the most part, you're on the field running around that level at the tight end position. You're going to be involved. You're going to be involved a ton.

1:02:52Speaking of being involved a ton, my fourth data point heading into week four. Jalen Warren was a workhorse in week three. And it was pretty damn good results for Jalen Warren. There have only been seven games so far this season where a running back has seen over 90% of the backfield touches for his team. James Cook against the Lions. A hundred percent. Jonathan Taylor against the Ravens. 96% Devon H and against the Raiders. 94% Jonathan Taylor. Once again, 93% Jameer Gibbs against the Saints. 92 Jameer Gibbs against the Bills. 92 Jalen Warren against the Bengals. 90.9% 91%. I mean, that's the type of stuff you get into the Jonathan Taylor. The James Cook, the Jameer Gibbs usage. These are guys we were drafting in the first two rounds of fantasy drafts. If you throw H and in the mixed urban for the most part. These are all first round picks in fantasy. The average point scored in those seven games. 21.5%. If Rico Doudal is out, Jalen Warren is in your fantasy lineup and you don't ask any questions about it.

1:03:59I honestly, this was fun to see. And this was against the defense that people were starting to think, hey, this extra Lawrence lead front, you know, Bucky Irving didn't do much. And next week they didn't do much and then Jalen Warren. And it should have been a bigger day. I mean, he had a landmine in the field and fell down. He should have scored a touchdown in this one. I'll just say this. There was some chatter on X that like Eli Hayden-Rike was going to get touches and all of that. And folks, he's locked and loaded. He's locked and loaded in your lineup. I thought he looked great. And then the three for 49 through the air. That's just that's like a cherry on top of the cake. Easy money. So I've got nothing else to add. But I'm firing up Jalen Warren across all four matches and all leagues if I have them. I will believe that Aaron Rogers is going to allow a converted receiver running back hybrid at a navy rookie. Like seventh round pick Eli Hayden-Rike on the field for passing down. I will believe that when I see it.

1:04:59Okay. But for the most part, I think we're going to be seeing a lot of Jalen Warren on the football field. Browns in week four. Yep. If Rico doubt on this is another game in week five, I would guess Rico misses on the short week. He didn't participate in products on Monday. Maybe I'm wrong. We'll see week five Colts. That's another really good matchup as well. Just a ton of good games here coming for Jalen Warren. So if you drafted him, congratulations. I think you got yourself a fantasy starter. A great flex play probably because you have two other good running backs. But he's somebody you should be putting in your lineups. No question going forward. Okay. Ray, your fifth and final data point heading into week four. Yeah. I've seen our counterpart Josh Norris talking about this player a little bit. And I get it that the Miami Dolphins are not a good team. But his Malik Washington kind of likes some buried treasure in Miami. Now that Devon H.Anne unfortunately is on IR. He got sort of the scam targets inside of this offense. Ten targets, two carries, 27% target share. Miami, they're going to have to drop back a lot. I don't think they're running the ball on anybody moving forward with Oli Gordon or Jalen Wright.

1:06:03So I guess my quick question to you just looking at Malik Washington. And this is a player that I liked coming out of college. I do think that in the right offense, he could be PPR scam-ish with the right quarterback. But out of necessity here, like is Malik Washington somebody we should be putting bids in off of waivers? I think Norris said, hey, I'm not worried about Oli or Jalen Wright. Give me Malik Washington. Oh, yeah. Just forget about it with Oli Gordon, Jalen Wright. If I'm wrong about this, you can come light me up in the comments later. You can add me on Twitter if those guys end up being great picks. Totally fine. Add me anywhere. Add me on threads. Add me on whatever. Okay. If I end up being wrong about that, that's fine. Shoot. But listen, I don't, it wasn't happening for H.Anne. You think it's going to happen for the back-ups at the running back position for Miami? I doubt it. Malik Washington, I actually am with you. He was a prospect I liked as well. I thought he was like a day-to-guy that falls in the draft because he had a little bit of a neck issue. Now, he's been used as mostly a scammy designed targets player

1:07:04through the first couple of years of his career. But I think he can win on his routes, but he also will continue to get some of those design targets too. He also has three rush attempts on the season so far. Talked about that yesterday with Boone. So there's something here for him. There's something here. And I just feel like the Dolphin's not just going to have to go super pass-heavy. There's no way, I know they've played super slow. Pass it over-expected is in the toilet. But you would just imagine that now at this point, with the way that we're going to be looking, I mean, it is crazy the Dolphins are so bad and they're 31st and pass-rate over-expected. Like they're trying to establish the run. They play with the slowest pace in the NFL. There's no... They can't keep doing that. I can't imagine with the H&N out of the mix here. They might have the worst past defense I've ever seen in the NFL. Like they make the 2025 Cowboys look good. Okay, that's how bad they are. So yeah, to me... What? I'm just using a recent example. The people can remember. Just using a recent example, right? Just citing a recent example from recent NFL history.

1:08:09The people can remember how bad that Cowboys defense was last year. Okay, don't be offended. It's bad. I'm not talking about this year. I'm talking about last year. 0.408 EPA per dropback allowed by the Dallas Cowboys last year. That was by far the worst in the NFL. This year for the Miami Dolphins. Pretty close. Okay? Pretty close in terms of the EPA per dropback allowed. All right, so listen, 0.468. It's worse. Cowboys, by the way, are actually 0.408 again in terms of the EPA allowed. So look at that. What do you know? They're really bad. They're really bad again this year. That's pretty funny when you take a cowboys. All right, anyways. I actually think I had the EPA numbers mixed up there. Excuse me. Yeah, I was 0.397 for the Cowboys last year. 31st. It's often worse last year. 0.6 points give us every point we can have, man. Yeah, you're right. I misspoke. They're actually worse this year from an EPA allowed perspective.

1:09:11Then they were last year. The Dallas Cowboys. But somehow the dolphins are also worse than all these teams. They're worse than the 32 versions. From last year, they're 30 second again. They might be the worst past day offense we've ever seen. So you think we'll leak Washington. These guys have to get it going here. And I like by the way, how the receiver room kind of works. Ray, you think about Caleb Douglas. When he's healthy is the vertical X. Chris Bell kind of a movement guy and then Malik Washington. They've been using him on downfield routes too. Yeah. There's again, when the coach comes out before the season says, we're not evaluating this team on wins and losses this year. That lets you know you're in for a rough ride with Jeff Hathley. But I do think that if you look at all the weapons, and I'm glad you brought up Chris Bell's name, Bell and Malik Washington, especially with Caleb Douglas right now, nursing that injury, like, and if you watch that game, they were competitive in that game against Kansas City. They were. It was not like they went out there and just got foot put in them. They were competitive and Malik will just look a little bit better.

1:10:12It's not going to equate to wins, but we're just talking about can we find some cheap fantasy production? I think Malik Washington, Chris Bell could provide that out of just strictly pure necessity because I'm with you. And I think you nailed it. If it didn't happen for Devon H. Handdude, like, I mean, come on. I was an Oli guy, but I just don't. I don't have a lot of confidence in that Russian attack right now. Here's the one problem with all this. Like, oh, interesting. These dolphins receivers this and the other. They play the Vikings this week. Okay. All right. They're going to, they're going to score. Are they going to score any points against the Vikings? I don't know. We'll see. Yeah. So speculative pickup for maybe the weeks where, oh, that put the bangles on week five, like maybe we can get in the Jackson week seven after the buy. You know, maybe that could be fun. We'll see. Okay. But speculative pickup. I do like me some of the week Washington though. So I am rooting for him because I was so mean to you Cowboys nation, producer Colin, I can hear him in my ear crying in the in the background. I'll pick on another NFC East team here with my fifth and final data point.

1:11:14Heading into week four. All that offseason talk about the Eagles. Going to change the passing game. Lies. Lies. At least so far through three weeks. Very little has changed structurally in the Eagles passing game compared to previous versions. They rank dead last in play action rate this year. It is down from 24.3% to 9.3%. That's not so. Their use of heavy personnel is also down this year. That's obviously due to injuries. But you know, Dallas got it not available. They got to sign Zachards off the waiver wire. They got a Johnny months the other tight end. Eli's hours hurt. Grand Cougter. I get it. That part is maybe a little bit unfair. But they're mostly like a spread offense. Their under center rate is still up. But it's just 26th in the league. So there's no under center. There's no play action. And they're 30th in motion rate this year. According to fantasy points data. Guess what they were last year. 30th. Really the only thing that's changed is actually the run game structurally.

1:12:15Their zone rushing rate in terms of percentage of carries is up. Okay, we're implementing some of that outside zone. Well, the success rate is fallen from 10th to 20th this year. So it's changed not for the better in the run game. And in the past game, we're not seeing really any of these fun bells and whistles that we promised from, you know, kind of the green Bay-ish mold or the Rams or whatever you want to say from Sean Mann. You coming in here. It looks very, you know, Nate and I have made this comparison. It looks very Russell Wilson coded for Jalen Hertz, where every offense just kind of ends up looking the same overall here. And that's what we've seen at least through three weeks. Maybe it changes, but through three weeks, more of the same for Philadelphia. Yeah, not good. I mean, this, it, I don't know how we talk about embarrassing losses all the time on the Sunday recap show. We talk about embarrassing losses. I don't care if they were on the road. This, they look inept offensively in this game. And we heard a lot of conversation coming into the season about Jalen Hertz throwing over the middle of the field more.

1:13:16I'm looking at his, like a chart of all of his passes and where they are. Short right, 41% of his pass attempts are to the short right, 25% short left, and only 14% are short middle passing attempts. Deep middle of the field, 2% of his passes. So they are not attacking the middle of the field at all. It is out routes and flat routes. And let's try to throw the ball towards the sideline. And we don't know how to use Mekai lemon. And let's just throw it up and pray that Devonte Smith can make a ridiculous catch. Their offensive line is a problem. They really can't run the ball. I don't really know what to say. Besides this is pretty disappointing. And I had no clue that some of the numbers were as bad as they were until I read them on the show sheet today from you. So yeah, no bueno in Philadelphia. And I'm sure even AJ Brown with his hurt ankle is looking at this thing. And yeah, I don't miss that one bit.

1:14:17Yeah, I mentioned my static score a lot in terms of offensive design. They're 30 seconds. They're the dead last team rank there. So it's not great of what we're seeing in Philadelphia right now. Yeah, the Mekai lemon stuff, it sucks. Like throw that, throw those plays in the trash. Okay. And I'm saying like Mekai lemon. I'm not saying at all Mekai lemon sucks. I just like the plays are awful Matt. Like I don't want I don't want to see a pass to him behind the line of scrimmage again. All right. And this is one of those things too where you know, I love I love Devote Smith. I was going to go in a bat for him last night on social media being like, oh yeah, I remember when people thought this guy couldn't win as an outside receiver against man coverage because he was too small. Well, turns out he was he's been great against it ever since he's hit the NFL field. When your other receiver is like 170 pounds, you're not going to get a lot of the blocks and the screen get the screen game stuff. Just looks so bad. So lemon gets smacked behind the line of scrimmage. He's not even really a they use him kind of like Jaden Reed in this offense. He's not Jaden Reed. He's not he's not it's this not it's this very weird. And I know he's coming off of of lost training camp

1:15:19and that's got to be a big part of it. But I mean, give me a break with this lemon stuff. Like let's use him as a it's like they've got the right pre-snap. He's like a on ball slot receiver. I like that part of it. But let's get his routes a little bit more activated here down the field a bit. Dante and Wix has been solid. Smith has been good. The receiving talent is good. But they're not doing a lot schematically to help these guys out. You got Nick Sireoni calling opposing opposing teams, you know, some unsavory names. You got big dom camera hunting. It's just more of the same for Philadelphia right now. There's a good better. Do you do you think because definitely we do a lot of hope in fantasy football. Do you think this gets better and any way shape or form that where's the light at the end of the how far down the tunnel is the light Matt. Can we can you see it or you squintin? Is there any light at the end of this tunnel? Run game doesn't get better.

1:16:19I think the past game actually will get a little bit better. So these are guys I think I'd hold out hope for because this is a big schematic left turn. And I said this a lot during the off season. This remains how I felt the schedule for first three weeks. It did make me kind of maybe squint it. What I was saying like could they get off to a hot start because they played the commanders the Titans and the Bears. Turns out no, this is going to be a slow start team to sort of get going on offense. They're two in one. The sky is not falling. I think the defense let them down more than the offense. I don't know. That might not even be true. But Ben Johnson was cooking. I'm gonna talk about this with Josh and Hayden tonight on stats versus film. So after you watch this live show, you go watch the two hour live show there. Just content content content. We'll talk about more of how Ben Johnson cooked that defense up on that show. So yeah, again, I think it will get better. But a lot of the same so far for the to fill out the Eagles with Jalen Hertz a quarterback. And that's just maybe that is what it is. Maybe this is always going to happen with Hertz because this is how some quarterbacks operate. Okay, we are going to take our last break the show.

1:17:19We come back. We got an update on the Yahoo fantasy league. An update I'm very excited to talk about. We'll get into that. Welcome to the Yahoo fantasy expert league recap show. You know what I'm going to say expert leagues. Sometimes I don't like the word expert. I'm pretty if you're watching the show, you can tell that. But listen, when you're free and know in the league, you know what? Why not call it the expert league? Why not say like, yeah, you know what? This is a league of esteemed experts. The best minds in their field. And you know what? I'm undefeated. All right. Am I peaking too early? That's not what they're saying. The people are saying I'm establishing momentum for the rest of the season. Here is your week three recap. Yeah, theoretically. I'm tied. All right. I don't care about the points. Okay, there's three three in no teams. Scott Pinawski, number one with the most points scored. That's great. Max, the onesies. Remember when we're all like, dude, what are you doing?

1:18:20They're taking those onesy positions. Well, he's been great. He's been pretty dang good. I'm also three in no though. Let's get into the recap here with what happened at week three. Starting with my game, Harmon's deep threats. Because I never changed the default name here. Can't do it now. I'd love to have a creative name. But we can't we can't disrupt team chemistry. We sunk the froton torpedoes in week three. Nothing overly fancy about this three in no start. Okay, here's the deal though. I've got 40 points combined from James Cook and Derek Henry. Like I said, we're boomer ballin again in 2026. Yes, I love wide receivers. I chart wide receivers all day long. But it's the running backs that are going to carry me to success as long as these guys can say healthy. Also, talk about a little PPR scam going on here. We got Tyler Warren. We got Josh Downs. The comments were like, how can you have both of these guys? Well, when the ball only goes three places in the in and Apple's colds offense, Josh Downs, Tyler Warren, I'm feeling pretty good. Ameca Buka, Jaylen Waddle, those have been up and down

1:19:21performances mostly down. Except one game for Jaylen Waddle. Yeah, who cares? As for Eric, things would be looking up. Braille and Allen is on his bench. So no waiver wire action on Braille and Allen. But you know, there's a lot to work on here for Eric coming out of this week. He had some unfortunate disappointing performances. He did at least finally get away from the Kyle Pits disaster. Unfortunately, Dalton Schultz didn't continue the scam that he got in week two. Was it? Yeah, we too. Okay, so there we are. Here we are. What do we think? What a beautiful team I've put together. 20 points in the bench from Michael Wilson. Yeah, I think the, you know, the call to sit Justin Herbert was bold, but it didn't really hurt you. Right? Only a two point difference there. So I think moving forward, your big call is what do you do with Buka? Right? Like that one's going to be tough, especially with the Baker Mayfield being out. I think Michael Wilson will absolutely be in your lineup somewhere next week. And I'm looking at that Mike Washington Jr. that you have just stashed the way that we talked about at the beginning of the show.

1:20:24Doubt he's hitting waivers looking at Eric's team. And disappointing. Hampton, Macmillan, Schultz, England's defense, just disappointing, disappointing, disappointing. So nothing he could have done. I mean, he put the best possible lineup out there. He just got beat by the better team. And that was you this week. I don't know what I'm going to do about this quarterback situation. Now I've kind of got like a headache of two guys who have been disappointed. Got a Murray and Justin Herbert. But we'll figure that out as we go. Okay, speaking of disappointing, Ray. A loss for you here in week three. The Boone supremacy reigns over Ray. Match up with playing fireworks. Okay, 121 points, 7 points for you. 124.9 for Justin Boone. I listen, I was telling Boone last night. It's in the bag, bro. Don't worry about it. He only needed 10 points from Jalen Hertz to win. Only needed 10 points. He barely got him. 13.6. But it was just enough to get over the line. And you had a listen. You've got a good team over there, Ray.

1:21:25B-John Hero performance. Parker Washington Matthew Gold. You got some good picks here. Just a little bit too little against Justin Boone. Yeah, I mean, the Jake Ferguson don't you can care thing is going to just eat me alive. When I sit Ferguson, he outperforms. Can cave when I start Ferguson. Can cave smash his end. I gave it my best try, right? Like I put out the best roster, the best lineup I could have. Maybe try even Travis H&N wouldn't help with those that extra point right there. A loss to a loss to good one to Justin on this one. I'm not upset about it. It is what it is. A loss by less than what the producers say. Less than three and a half points. Three, four points in this one. We'll try again next week, man. This hurt because it felt like I had a chance. I'm watching. I'm like, oh, man, I just need one hurts in her section. That push push at the end of the end of the half. Get out of here. The clock hit zero. I shouldn't have counted. But here we are, man.

1:22:25I'll be all right. I'll be all right. Look at Boone. Look at Boone having James Conner and Jordan Tyson in the IR spot. The James Conner thing. He's hoping he gets traded to the packers or something here. Would you know what? It might happen. Okay, let's talk about how Scott and Max also got to three and a here. Scott took down Josh Hannon to stay undefeated. Josh Norris, nobody was feeling themselves more than Josh Norris after that draft. He's got some issues here. Yeah, he's got his boy, can't walk or that's great. His other guy, say, Juan Barclay not doing so great. Meanwhile, he's starting DK Metcalf with a straight face and Drake May, 5.8 points. For Drake May, what is Josh going to do? He's got CJ Stroud on the bench. I mean, is he going to start CJ Stroud over Drake May in week four? Who knows? Meanwhile, Scott's team. I mean, Scott's got a little bit of a wagon going on here. Brock Pertey, unbelievable. The running backs are not, man, the running backs actually stink. David Montgomery has Trayvon Henderson. But he's got Kiron Williams as the lead back.

1:23:27He's got him in his flex there. Of course, playing it smart because he was the son and I game just in case that's why Scott's the goat. I'm on Rossane Brown, Aluther Burton. You know, there's some good players here. Maybe not a juggernaut team, but Brock Pertey really the anchor of this thing right now. I mean, Zay and Juan Johnson on the bench. I think Scott's got to get Juan Johnson in that lineup. Toronto, but he's got a really good team. I mean, 17 points from the Dark on Minnesota Vikings defense. That's great. I mean, I'm looking at Josh's team. He's got a bench, May. I don't know how he keeps rolling Drake May out there. He lost Breast Hall as well in this game. It might get rough for all Norris here real fast. Yeah, man, Scott with safe flowers. Juan Johnson, Jordan, love on the bench. Might have the best bench in the league. In addition to the fact he's got Jordan Mason on IR, Emmett Johnson on the bench as a stash as well. Lots of like about Scott's team. There's no question about that. Max also fierce competition as well. Continues to get the final laugh after that. You know, Hammer and he took in the draft room.

1:24:30He goes with a 40 point win over Chris Allen. Oh, Chris started so hot in week one. And it's falling apart. You're only in the six points. Yeah, he was feeling himself too after week one, only 86 points for Chris Allen. Meanwhile, Max 19 points from Josh Allen. Wasn't even a monster game. Who cares? Doesn't matter because he also got Devonte Adams. Absolutely cooking for him. Jalen Warren 19 points. DeCory Croskey married not only 4.8. Doesn't really matter because Brock Bar was came back and was absolutely electric. The receiver room is still pretty rough to look at outside of Devonte Adams for Max. Roma Dunes a 5.9 points not getting it done there. Xavier Worthy. Does he even exist at this point? McCoy lemon on the bench. I don't know about that. He's hoping that Alec Pierce or Tank Del could come back soon. They're on his IR spot. I don't know that that's a lot of hope there. But you know what? He keeps getting it done. Tight ends and quarterbacks. Going a lot of points for Max here. I forgot where he drafted Bowers. But that's a big boost for Max.

1:25:33Josh got turned the ball over freaking with four times. Something like that. He still scored 19 points. Crazy. I'm looking at Chris. And I'm looking at his roster. And it's just chase Brown disappointment. Lad disappointing. Tucker Crap disappointing. It's just Justin Jefferson banged up. Debo. I mean, he got the 15-4 with no targets. So we'll see what Alec Navigates this. And I'm looking at the bench and there's not a lot of hope there either. So he's going to have to hit that waiver wire for sure. Eric Edholm sends Dan Titus to 0 and 3 in the someone's got to win this game. Bull Eric Edholm is in 10th place. Dan Titus in 12th. But you know what? Edholm pulls it out. Edholm's got some guys here. He got a big game from Jordan Addison after Justin Jefferson got hurt. He's got Tramick Bride. Patrick Mahomes definitely going to out kick that ADP. He's got Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes on the same team. Too bad this is not a super flex here for Eric Edholm.

1:26:33And maybe he's got some reinforcements coming. If Pukinakua and AJ Brown can get healthy. But for now, he gets to win over Dan Titus who falls to 0 and 3 here. But he's not the only 0 and 3 team in the league because Hayden's turtleneck sends Joel to 0 and 3. Yeah, good people. Good players and good people. Not a lot of good happening for Joel's team. I'll tell you right that. They're a bad fantasy football team. The people keep. I mean, how could they're writing copy about median? The tweets are like, a little Joel needs the median. Joel needs the median. Too bad folks. There's no median in his league. It's a head to head league and Joel keeps losing. I mean, people are having their best performances of the year. Again, Joel's got to play better defense. I don't know what to tell you. He's the Detroit Lions right now. A good offense. I guess 126 points. Keep letting the points on the other side of it here. You know, there's. I don't even think Joel has a bad team necessarily, but gotta be feeling nervous about Malik neighbors. Gotta get Jalen Coker back healthy.

1:27:34Bucky Irving maybe dealing with an injury. So we'll see how it goes for Joel. But meanwhile Hayden gets a win here to put him at 2 and 1. Yeah, I'm looking at Joel's team and there's just, I mean, it's kind of like that gives that. He really just needs that because neighbors, Coker's banged up. Bateman is is is back to wide receiver two status there. He got the best game of the season from Harold Fan in junior. I mean, Aubrey in the Texan defense hold them up. And then you look over there and Hayden, he's got two hammer receivers. We talked about on the show now. HN is out. So we'll see what he's going to do there. But a corn on the bench. He's got Keaton Mitchell down there. You know, we'll see. We'll see. This is this is a fun league. This is a fun league. But I'm looking at Joel's team and. Ah man. And this was the prohibitive favor. Harmon people were like, oh, he's running. He's about to run through y'all this year. He's oh and three, man. Oh and three. Yeah, the Joel fanboys thought daddy Smith was going to run through this league.

1:28:34Not happening so far. But you know what? He plays me this week. So don't worry. Joel's going to have a bounce back and like, I'm talking way too much trash. Okay. With the three and no start. Oh and three for Joel. I guarantee you best game of the season coming for Joel here. Like all these guys are going to go absolutely crazy against me. There's no question about that. By the way, oh and three start odds to make the playoffs for our guy Joel Smith and Dan Titus. It's not over, but you only have a 10.5% chance of making the fantasy playoffs according to our internal data here at Yahoo fantasy our historical data. If you start three and oh 74.1% chance. So a lot of pressure on me, Ray, to not blow this thing. 74%. That makes me feel nervous. I better make it, bro, because this will be humiliating if I don't. But this has been a really fun league so far. As I mentioned, I'm taking on Joel this week. If I send him no one forwards, definitely over over for Joel. But if he beats me, then I probably I'm going to have to come on this.

1:29:35I might have to wear the bag over my head. If I lose this week on the show, we never know. Meanwhile, you got to go against Scott. Can you give Scott Pinausky his first loss to the season? Ray, that would really help me out personally. I'm going to try my best. I'm going to try. I'm going to try my best. The Jake Ferguson thing, we, uh, Dallas plays Houston this week. So I don't know. I'm going to try. I mean, if Scott's got a damn good team. Got a damn good team. Yeah, I'm going to need you to lock in. I'm going to need you to lock in and try really hard. Okay. So so there's that by the way, the other the other three and no team, Max. I would argue and I'm being told to say this on the outline. So, you know, no hurt feelings here. Apparently, Josh was the one who talked to the most trash. A lot of the most number one snide remarks came from Josh Norris on Max's draft strategy on the draft live show. Well, he's got a chance for revenge this week because Josh, who has all those problems on his roster is taken on Max this week. So we've got a lot of interesting matchups in the Yahoo fantasy expert league.

1:30:38I mean, it's a league of experts. Okay, and I'm three and oh, so you know, it's a league of experts. A steamed gentleman at the top of their field. The best minds that you could possibly find. Get us in the show, right? Yeah, you're right. Get us to head of here. Somebody full the plug. Pull the plug on the show. That's enough already. Okay. Ray, hello, a show today, buddy. Really good stats from you. Great content. As always, no surprise about that. Make sure you're joined every single week here on the data dump show and you're reading and following all of Ray's works as well at Ray Garbona's where you're going to get that. That does it for today's show tomorrow. We got a big one coming your way. Nate Tyson will be joining as usual on Wednesday and little drum roll here. We can now reveal that Justin Boone is going to be on the show weekly on Wednesdays, starting tomorrow and going forward. Yes, two times a week. Boone, back on the show. You absolutely love to see it. That's going to be an electric show. You're not going to want to miss it. For PM Eastern right here on this YouTube channel, subscribe. We will see you all tomorrow. Until then, we are out.