Monday's BEST BETS: NBA Picks + College Basketball + Golf

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1:05at IXLLearning.com slash audio. Visit IXLLearning.com slash audio to get the most effective learning program out there at the best price. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the early edge. We are brought to you by Bet MGM. Make it legendary. My name is Cianna Jada. Otherwise known as the counselor of cash. I see Brandon Mcdonald in here. Will likes Rick Funcannon, Chris Kish, Dan Casey. Thanks for being in here. I see you Jen and Scotty too. I wanted to read that one out loud. Let's take a look at our recap screen. See if we were hot there. Well, on the right side of the screen, we were hot on the left side. Not so much. Me buckets and chip and Tom lose. But Mikey B1 for 2 plus the Pampers Parley. Mike McClure hits his play. Danny Brasco goes 3 for 5 and our sports line picks go 2 and 0 7 and 8. Not a good day, but certainly not a terrible day. We had a good week overall last week.

2:06Let's start things out hot today. This morning on a Monday with a bit of a dream team here. Mike McClure, Larry Hartstein and Mikey B, Mikey B. You know, I'm going to start with you. You went 1 for 2 on Friday, which is, you know, it's fine. But you hit the Pampers Parley at plus I believe 184. How you feeling today, buddy? I'm good. Yeah, our mission to diaper America is continuing. We've hit two of the last Pampers Parley. So hopefully we got that really thick extra absorbent diapers and a lot of households. Mike McClure, we've got a lot of people talking golf already in the chat. Shane Lowry, a lot of people had him in one and done. I didn't. I wish I did, even though he completely blew it. We talk about, there's some people talking about Nico Echeveria. How in our splash sports one and done only one person had him. We've got so many tournaments. We've got, you know, the world tours got a tournament. Lives got a tournament. We've got the Puerto Rico open, which is the alternate event. Of course, we have the API. This is an, this is a huge golf week, huge golf week. And as we wrap up this huge golf week,

3:06it's essentially March Madness time at that point. We approach selections on day, conference tournaments. And then before you know it, it will be opening day in the master. So yes, a lot of a lot of great things in the next like 40 days in the sports world. So fired up for it. But API tournament is one that I always, always enjoy. I think that it's a unique change from some of the golf we've seen so far early this season. And yeah, I know what your pick is coming later in the show. And I do fully endorse that one. Absolutely, love it. I actually put some picks for the Puerto Rico open in our sports line discord as well, Larry. And I'll verbally shout those out as well, just for the audio listeners and the live viewers to hear. But Larry, there's a lot going on right now. Sports wise, sports line wise. What are you excited about? Well, I'm excited about conference tournaments getting underway today. You have the horizon. You have Cleveland State hosting. IU Indy in the bottom game.

4:07But it is the start of conference tournaments. And I just love the volume that you get with conference tournaments. You get so many games, even more than you get during March madness. And guys, I can tell you I am going to tick somebody off later in the show unintentionally, but I know it's going to happen. You don't want to say who you're going to tick off? Not at the moment. Oh, this is amazing. What a teaser. All right. Let's get to some actual picks here. Mike McClure start us off because it is conference tournament season. It starts today. But we still have some big conferences. You still have some big regular season games. One big game tonight is Iowa State at Arizona. You've got to play in that one. Yeah, huge game. When you talk about where these teams are rated. Arizona is sitting as a one seed likely. When you look at this matchup here, Iowa State's coming off of a loss. Great bounce back opportunity for them individually. I went after the total though here. See how this total and this one's sitting 147 and a half. I have at this number a little higher here. So my sims made it 151.

5:09The sports line model makes it 153. So a little agreement there, not quite as high. Is the sports line model itself is. But still comfortably over this number 147 and a half. And to me, a lot of it comes down to how good these teams are offensively. Wow, they do rate well defensively as well. Like there's no denying that they're good defensive teams. That usually happens to just good teams. Some of that is just a product of being so much better than the field. And kind of beating up on those opponents. But when you get these two good efficient offenses together, I like the points in this one. I think that we get some scoring. Because when you look at Iowa State and Arizona, what they both have done pretty well is they get good shots, right? They come in and they're able to get shots at the rim. Or they're able to take perimeter shots. They have an emphasis on shot quality. They do not settle for mid-range jumpers, low percentage shots. I think that we get efficiency here, though. I think that Arizona also has the ability to dictate pace. They want to play a little faster than Iowa State. But Iowa State can certainly score and look to score in transition.

6:12So again, just a little bit too short of a number here. I get it. If you look at where they rate defensively, it makes sense to maybe think about a slower undergame in this one. To me, I think offense wins out. These teams are incredibly efficient offensively. So I'm going to go over the 147 and a half. All right, Iowa State, Arizona, over 147 and a half. There's so much going on in the chat right now. Mikey, be a lot of it is aimed toward you. But before we get there, and I want to get to your picks. And honestly, this chat, hit the like button, shout, if Mikey B is going to give out something extra. And honestly, let's pay it back from the last two pamper's parlays. Let's get to 150 likes here. But I do want to point out that we did the recap screen was 7 and 8 again. Not super great. But Danny hit his cricket play. The one he gave out live on the show, which if I recall correctly was like pretty good plus money. And the buckets whisper play. If you haven't been paying attention to the very end of the show, buckets is now whispered two plays at the end of the show

7:13before the show actually cuts out. Both of those have hit as well as Jason Pogwist is pointing out. But Mikey B. Martin Timini says, Hey, how about a pamper's parlay for an unmarried guy with just, you know, wanting some beer. And then we've got a Disney parlay. Brian M says, heading to Disney on Saturday to celebrate my daughter's fifth birthday, I need a pay the mouse parlay. Man, the parlay crew here. I wonder if these are all EC burner accounts. I'm also starting to get a little concerned. EC might be peppering the chat with parlays. Now, I will say see it today's NBA slate sticks. There's four games, but one of my two picks is a parlay. So stay tuned, everybody. It is all right. Well, I'll tell you what, why don't we tune in right now for that? Because set us up with the parlay's second. You've got to play in the NBA on Nicola Yochich and it's an under. Yeah, I feel gross. I feel like I'm going to need to take shower after giving this one out because Yochich is the man.

8:14But I have to take this under 54 and a half points rebounds and assists for him. Now, you had 57 combined points rebounds and assists in a loss of the timbrels on Sunday. The key here is not only is this the second game of a back-to-back set, but it's the third game and four nights for the nuggets. They traveled from Oklahoma City to Denver and now they're going to Utah to face the jazz. So I don't think they should need Yochich to play heavy minutes. The jazz are getting blown out on a regular basis. The last time he faced them, he had 40 combined points rebounds and assists. He only played 29 minutes and the nuggets won by 23 points. So I think this is an opportunity for them to give him a semi-kind of rest night. And I think he goes under 54 and a half points rebounds and assists. And now on to the parlay. So for everybody who's going to Disney and you need a couple of brusquies, here's a parlay. Now, it's not Pamper's parlay odds, but here's the odds. Kevin Durant to score at least 20 points and reach shepherd over two and a half three pointers at plus 108.

9:16So we are plus money there. There's not a lot that I like tonight, but I really wanted to get in on this re-cheppered over two and a half three pointers. The problem is there's so much juice on this everywhere. It's at least minus 167 or higher everywhere. But the reason why I like that, he's made at least four three pointers in six of his last eight games. He should play a lot here. Jabari Smith Jr. is out. He started the last game that Smith missed. So I think he's going to play 30 minutes. Last time he faced the Wizards, he went five for eight from three. So I really like that there. So to get the juice down, we're going to add Durant to score at least 20 points for this parlay. His actual line's 24 and a half points, but I'm worried about that potential over because we could see a blowout. He has scored at least 20 points at nine of his last 10 games. The one time he didn't, he just missed, he had 18. Despite the Rock has blown out the lizards the last time they played him, he had 23 points. So this is my favorite way to get it on the re-cheppered over two and a half three pointers. You add Durant 20 plus points and you get plus 108. Katie Taylor says, the Disney parlay needs to be like plus 20,000

10:20because of how expensive Disney is. Yeah. As a guy who just went on a Disney cruise, I can tell you, that would need to be like a six or seven leg parlay. I'm not going to go that far. Yeah, that's totally fair. Mike, there was a question on Arizona. By the way, we have Brasco in the chat. He is pointing out that the live play he gave out on Friday was plus 140. Also went three for five in the UFC. So shout out to Danny Brasco. If you have any live cricket plays right now, Danny, make sure you put them in the chat. But Mike, team total Arizona, there were some people asking you about 77 and a half, 78 and a half. Yeah, certainly lean there. I do like the over in the game, obviously at 147 and a half. I have it up to 151. So show slight edges on either side. My recommendation there for a lot of people, even if you don't want the full game total, whichever way you lean in the game, I would support a team total over whether it's Iowa State at 69 and a half, Arizona at 77 or 78 and a half. I do think it takes 80 points to win this game from Arizona.

11:21Larry, what I love is that when we're doing the show, sometimes people will just like burst out with a smile or laugh. And I always know it's because of something going on in the most amazing chat that YouTube has to offer. That's the early edge chat. Can you just tell me what happened over the last couple of minutes to make you smile like that? Yeah, somebody wanted to know if Buckets knew what Disney was. Or Mickey Mouse. So I feel like that would be more his genre, though. I think he probably knows what that is. We'll have to maybe Buckets will jump into the chat here. Sacramento State Mines. I'm sorry, sorry to interrupt. I think Buckets would be good in terms of a worker at Disney because he's always up, he's always positive. That's the thing that strikes me when I'm down there. It's just everyone is just so nice, so friendly. You know, there's no grumpy service people there. So I think Buckets would fit in. Well, Larry, that's just the costume. Like they're all they're always smiley. So that's I think you're confused. It might be the bear.

12:22He could be the bear because Buckets might be, did you meet any service people who were not just like thrilled to help you? No, everybody was great. It's a different level of service compared to whenever you go someplace else. You know what else is a different level of service? Bed MGM. How about that transition? This March, Bed MGM is sending fans to Vegas, opted in place bets of $10 or more and earned leaderboard points based on your winning bets. 25 winners total will store a VIP trip to the Court of Legends with the Cavendor Twins. Plus a three night stay at MGM grand and resort credit only at Bed MGM. Got to check that out. Got to get involved for sure. We're going to get involved with the sports line pick. We've got prop bet guy who was on a bit of a heater, which really should be no surprise across all sports. He handles prop bet guy very talented. He likes AJ Green over eight and a half points at minus 125. Again, AJ Green over eight and a half points minus 125. That's over on sports line.

13:22Ladies and gentlemen, we got to get to my golf play. Maybe some opinions from Mike Mulclaw with respect to golf. I'll give out some Puerto Rico open out rights as well. And then Larry, you got to give out your picks. We're going to cover all of that right after this message from our partners. What if you could have the most reliable Wi-Fi at the same price for five years? That's the Xfinity 5-year price guarantee. No annual contracts, no hidden fees, and our best equipment included. Plus get online in minutes with same-day Wi-Fi. Just five years of fiber-powered Wi-Fi that boosts speeds to the devices that need them most. Lock in your price and unlock the possibilities. Xfinity. Imagine that. Select plans only, restrictions apply, powered by fiber,

14:24connected to the premises by coaxial cable, actual speeds vary. It's not just something you made. It's the privilege that you get to work with your hands. It's building something that serves a purpose. Proof that you have the grit to keep going. At Simblant, we understand you take your craft seriously, and we do too. Which is why our products are built to the highest quality. We put in the work so you can perfect yours with purpose in every detail and crafted with intention. Simblant, built on craft. Visit Simblant.com to shop. All right, we're back on the early edge, brought you by Ben MGM. Mikey, be real quick. This one's interesting. Kyle Kuzma, under four and a half rebounds at even money from Jay Long. Any thoughts there? Yeah, I don't mind that considering the odds. Playing the Celtics there generally a much better rebound in team now that they have Vukovic in the middle there. It is the second night of a back-to-back for the Celtics. Again, you got to see how many guys are going to play. Also, the second game of a back-to-back set for the Bucks. But that shouldn't be a problem for Kuzma.

15:25I do like that at those odds. I want to point out that big cheesy, like Sacramento State minus one and a half. He's super sharp. I don't know, Mikey. Larry, I don't know if you have any thoughts on that particular game, but Mikey, be right back to you on Ramos play. Thoughts on Read Shepard over 15 and a half points, as opposed to the two and a half threes. If you look at that long and hard, he shoots a lot of threes. If you think he's going to go over his points, I would rather take over three and a half threes at plus odds. Like I said, he's hit at least four in six of his last eight games. The Wizards are a terrible defensive team. I would rather play that angle than the over 15 in that points. I want to acknowledge, Jeff Van Day says, asking for good thoughts for my 24-year-old daughter, Chloe. She is recovering from a brain injury after four weeks in the hospital. Hopefully that means based on how I'm reading this, Jeff. Hopefully that means she's home and she's a lot better. I really hope that's the case. But let's get some good positive vibes for Chloe, Jeff Van Day's 24-year-old daughter.

16:27Thanks for acknowledging that. And again, positive vibes sending her away from this entire squad. Let's move along. Like I'm going to give out a golf play early for the AP. Obviously, this doesn't start till Thursday. Everybody knows that. And I don't know that this number is going to move a ton, but I do think Colin Morakow is going to get some steam in the betting market. He's going to get some support in the betting market, along with a lot of guys that fit the Colin Morakow, a mold. Tommy Fleetwood to name one. I know Matt Fitzpatrick is already pretty popular, which makes a ton of sense. Me and Mike love Matt Fitzpatrick in all of 2026. With that said, I'm going to go with the top 20 market. I'm going to go with the plus number plus 110, including ties on Colin Morakow to finish inside the top 20. We're going to talk about the API. A ton with EC, Patrick McDonald, Jason Sobel, and Mike McClure on the early edge. Of course, the early wedges tomorrow at seven o'clock. But Colin Morakow is just such a good course fit. He's coming in with good form. We know he gave things up at the API. He probably should have finished first place. Russell Henley ended up edging him out late thanks to a late chip.

17:29But Colin Morakow played really well here last year. He's coming in an excellent form. The putter scenes to have come around a little bit. But what I love about Colin Morakow is the ball striking. He is great in keeping it in the fairway, which you're going to need to do for the most part at the API. His length, he's a little bit longer than people think in my opinion, adding a little bit of length lately. And then his long iron plate, which is also going to be important at the API. He's great there too. So he really does check all the boxes. And he's been checking that winner box lately as well. So Colin Morakow, a top 20, including ties. Don't forget, this is a signature field. It's a limited field. I believe we're looking at 72 players. Top 50 and ties make it. So after he presumably makes the cut, he's going to need to finish pretty much inside that top half to catch this bet. Plus 110. Mike, any thoughts on Colin Morakow at API? Yeah, absolutely. Love Morakow. Just like you mentioned, it's Patrick as well. But you've got to be great on approach that that's what Colin is. Looking at 200 yard plus approach shots, long irons, that's where he separated himself.

18:30Really from the field. The only knock on Colin Morakow really has been he's been a disaster with the putter. And it's been awful for a pretty significant period of time. He made some changes recently. They seem to have worked. I was betting on a couple of weeks ago, just because it could not possibly have gotten any worse. Any change was a good change in my opinion at that point. And I think that the putting is going to return to essentially where he's not losing more than a quarter of a stroke to the field. And if he somehow gets to the point where he's gaining half a stroke to the field with the putter, he's essentially the second best player, third best player in the world right now. If that happens. So yes, very much in on Colin Morakow. I actually, in my, I have a golf ratings and everything here. I make Colin Morakow currently right now the fifth best player in the world. Wow. So and Fitzpatrick is six. So yeah, he's right up there. I've got him rated very highly.

19:31Certainly, certainly agree with this play. All right, Eric David says C and M squared. And he'd love for Corey Conner's to rely on good course history and turn it around. I think Corey Conner's day is coming gone, Mike. I don't think he's ever going to contend in a field like this. I mean, anything can happen. But he is so far down my list. I don't care about his course history. I don't care what Corey Conner's being a great ball striker, you know, a year ago, two years ago. He's just off my radar. How about you? Yeah, unfortunately, like he, you know, is he a good ball striker? Yeah, he's solid. I think that the name value is at this particular juncture is a little, a little there, but putters not good. Yeah, I'm, I'm personally out on Conner's right now. All right. Larry Hartstein, before I give out my Puerto Rico open out right, so I want to get you involved here because you've got an NBA prop and then you've got a college basketball play today as well. Yeah, I mentioned at the top of the show that I'm going to take off someone. There was a guy in the chat.

20:32We were all sitting here. It was a week or two ago, and I've laid 16 and a half points with gambling against Mississippi Valley State. And there was a guy who said you'd have to be an absolute moron to lay that kind of points in college basketball. And you know what? He looked very smart at halftime. It was a two point game, but the better team won out and they won by 20 plus. There it is again. And there were a lot of replies, which I enjoyed as well. And he's going to be really angry today because I'm laying 19 and a half. With Howard over cop in state. Now, this is a team Howard that has the second most positive momentum in the entire country, according to Has the Metrics. Not only have they covered eight straight, not only have they won seven of eight with the only loss being a non-conference loss, they won their last four games by 29 points per game. They are finally healthy. They have two big time scores that average over 17 again. They each grab seven rebounds and talking about Bryce Harris and Sedrick Taylor. And cop in state gives up over 80 points per game.

21:34Gives up 38% from deep. Those are the worst marks in the entire meyak. Oh, yeah, it's the final home game for Howard. They're going to put it on him tonight. I laid a big number like a quote absolute moron would do. And then in the NBA, I'm going with Brooke Lopez over nine and a half points. He's 37 years old, but he's still playing monster men. It's actually since Zubaz was traded. He is playing major, major minutes, 31 plus minutes in his last nine games. He's cleared this five times. Playing the Warriors is a good matchup for a big man because of how undersized they are. Darius Garland comes back tonight. Maybe that creates some space. Maybe some lobs. A little extra for Brooke Lopez to finish from Darius Garland. Let's get him to 10 points tonight at even money. All right. We got Brooke Lopez over nine and a half points at even money. And Howard minus 19 and a half. Yeah, you know what's great, Larry? Is those comments that were 11 replies? Most of them were supporting you. Like supporting the idea that like why would you say some some blanket statement?

22:37Like you should never take somebody who's that high double digits to lay the points there. Like obviously those those those odds are there for a reason. But but it was nice. Larry to see because there's not a lot of positivity and YouTube comments in general. It was nice to see some of the early edge people kind of running to YouTube and saying, Hey, well, this is silly. What are you talking about? Yeah, but it was just all entertainment. I love to see the back and forth. I mean, like if Duke was playing cop in state, I'd probably lay 42 and a half and feel good about it. Yeah, that's totally fair. All right. Let me get to let's see which is the right side tonight. Okay, Arizona minus eight or Iowa state plus eight. It's pretty close here. But the poll says 56% Arizona minus eight. Mike, I know you have a bet on the over. You got a bet on the team total or not a bet. But you have a suggestion on the lean on the team total for Arizona over. What do you think of this lot? I am very close to it. I do have Arizona eight and a half. You know, I would not be comfortable leaning into it though. I much for for the total.

23:38I would say in this spot, if you if you like Arizona minus eight, I would strongly recommend the 77 and a half team total right now. And if you like Iowa state plus the eight, I do like their 69 and a half. So I'm going to set this one out. It would, you know, eight and a half is essentially where I make it. But no, no real confidence or you're urged to go bet that. AK 10907 says, where did you get the moral cow at plus 110? See the plus 110, including ties on the top 20s over at Fandall. Just so you're aware. I don't think MGM has those odds out yet. I'm not 100% sure and you're right. I think DK their price is a little lesser than than Fandall. So that's where you want to grab that. But you can wait and see what where Ben MGM has that price as well. I don't think that line's moving dramatically, necessarily anytime soon. But yeah, FD is where you get that. My Puerto Rico open. Outrides. I actually tweeted this out. I made sure I put it in the sports line discord as well. Marty Dow, Michael Brennan, Mattish mid, Adrian Demont, DHS, DHS Art.

24:40Otherwise known as ADDC and Hank Lebiota. Those are all in the 30s, like the 38 to 55 to one range. Lebiota is 100 to one. I also considered the without market, because I do like Rasmus Hoygard. I like Rasmus near guard, Peterson. And I like Howtong Lee to potentially win this tournament. So I don't mind the without market. Those are going to take those odds down, you know, six, seven, eight points, depending on who we're talking about here. Mikey B, was there anything else in the chat NBA related that you needed to respond to? No, not really. There's just not a lot. There's only four games tonight. So there's not really a whole lot to be excited about. I will say with regards to Larry's Brook Lopez pick. John Collins hurt his arm last night in the Clippers game. So there's very he looked to be in a lot of pain. So it would be surprising if he plays today. So that's just another person to give more minutes to Brook Lopez. All right, Jeff Van De Hale. Also mentioning Bruce Marshall has been killing it with overs on huge spreads. So that's interesting as well. Obviously his picks. You can find over at sportsline.

25:42Go to sportsline.com slash join to join there. Mike McClure, was there anything else you saw on the chat? I know a lot of times. You're responding with your keyboard. And is there anything for the audio listeners that maybe they may have missed? No, yeah. A lot of it was just some additional college basketball. There was some questions. One game. Big cheesy mentioned Sacramento State. I mentioned I played the under 160 and a half and that one. And then I saw a question. Norfolk State, Morgan State. I also played under there. That number is 156 and a half. I have it down to 152. I'm very interesting. And Larry, go ahead. Yeah, I mean, the other big game Duke NC State tonight. I don't think we touched on that too much. I mean, Duke is just destroying people. But that's a pretty big number to lay on the road when you have North Carolina on deck. The revenge spot against North Carolina. I'm not going to get him in the way of Duke, but I'm not going to play on Duke because of that spot. Mike, before we get to the recap screen, any thoughts there?

26:42And how much like, I don't know what your model ways necessarily obviously. I don't know what your inputs are. But like when it comes to a spot play for NC State, the idea that North Carolina's on deck, that like, does that factor into your analysis or your model at all? Yes, definitely. And I will say, I don't like it, but I run and I play a lot of bets, right? So on like a Saturday, I'll have 85 to 100 bets in college basketball. Flat betting, you know, across the board, every little model edge. One of those that got bet today was NC State. And I like Larry. Don't feel great about it. I know that Larry sounds like he wants to lean in the direction of NC State plus the nine and a half. I did play NC State plus nine and a half here. So I do like it as far as, you know, how much of an a bump does a desperate team at home get? For me personally tonight on NC State, it's almost a full point that they're getting additional

27:43because of the quote unquote spot. So yeah, I like the NC State side here is gross as it feels because Duke could play a tight competitive game or they could win by 30. And I think nobody would be surprised if Duke won this game by 30. All right. Love the analysis, love the responses there. I think that'll do it. I think it's time to get to the recap screen for your Monday. Let's see, we've got Kalamore Cowell again. The Sun's start till Thursday. Kalamore Cowell, top 20, including ties at plus 110. Don't forget I verbally gave out some Puerto Rico open outrights as well. You can see those in the sports line discord as well. Mike McClure, Iowa State Arizona over 147 and a half at minus 110. Then we go to Mikey B. Nicole Yokic under 54 and a half points and rebounds and assists PRA minus 119. Reach shepherd over two and a half, three is plus. Kevin Durant, 20 plus points is plus 108. They're at Washington today, Howard minus 19 and a half minus 110 from Larry Hartstein and Brook Lopez over 9 and a half

28:44points at even money. Again, both those from the Maestro. We've got a sports line pick courtesy of prop that guy, AJ Green, over eight and a half points at minus 125. I think there was something about Hideki Matsuyama, whether I liked him this week. No, not a big fan of Hideki today. I got Josh Mullinix in the chat. He says, colonet plus money to the top 20 is good stuff. Josh knows way more about golf than I do. He produces our early wedge show as well. So make sure you tune in tomorrow at seven o'clock to catch him. He also produces the college basketball show for CBS Sports as well. So good stuff for Josh being in here. Yeah, we're all on Conmorec, Iowa this week. I can't believe I just said that out loud. I've not been on Conmorec, Iowa for a long time, but I'm on him this week. Ladies and gentlemen, that's going to do it. Thank you, Mikey B. Thanks, Mike McClure, Larry Hartstein and Ben on the ones and twos and threes and fours. We'll see you next time on the early edge. But for now, we rest our case.

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