
Friday's BEST BETS: Conference Tournament Picks + NBA + Soccer
About this episode
Happy BPE Friday! Join Sia Nejad, Chip Patterson, Mike McClure, Buckets, and Danny Brasco as they give out their plays for the NBA, College Basketball, Soccer, and MORE!
(0:00) Intro
(5:10) Big 12 Court Issue
(8:40) Buckets' Soccer Picks
(12:25) Chip's College Basketball Totals
(17:32) Free Sportsline NBA Props
(29:47) Danny's UFC Fight Night Picks
(24:22) Mike's Golf Bet
(27:33) Sia's Golf Bet
(29:18) Buckets' Rapid Fire Soccer Bets
(33:53) Chip's College Basketball Sides
(41:10) BONUS CBB Bets!
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The Early Edge: A Daily Sports Betting Podcast — Friday's BEST BETS: Conference Tournament Picks + NBA + Soccer. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
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Make it legendary, a lot going on in the chat. A lot to cover on the show today. I mean, we are covering everything, and we've got a lot of picks. And I got to say, I'm very excited about BPE Friday, like I always am. But do not forget. At one o'clock, we have a live conference tournament betting show and a little secret little confession. I'm even a little bit more excited about that. We even have a show at 730 on Sunday. After the brackets come out, I'm even more excited about that. But ladies and gentlemen, let's see if we're excited about the recap screen. Five, three, and two. I lose my three ball. Conmore Calamatch up. That ends up being a put, well, ends up being void. Tom Cassali hits his picks. Sports line goes two for three. Look at Martin, two for two, and prop stars pick was void as well. We'll take five, three, and two pretty much every time. And I'll tell you what. We've got the crew of crews here on a Friday, or I should say on a BPE Friday. Let's go, that's buckets. We got Mike McClure.
We got Danny Brask. Are we ladies and gentlemen? We've got your energy. We've got your espresso. We've got your chipmere. One more time, I need a louder. One more time, I need an even louder. Good morning, see you, come morning, back it's come, morning, Danny, come, morning, back, come, morning, pants, good morning, hurl it, hair's fam, ho, it's conference, tournament week, Friday, we are, la, la, la, locked and loaded, ready to go. And you know, a little part of me, like a small bike, like a teeny tiny part of me. It's a little bit sad, because if you look around, man, there's team seasons are ending, like the number of college basketball games that we have left are so few that you've got a couple options. You can curl up in your little shell or you can spray the board. And that's exactly what we're going to do. See, I am fired up to be here with you today. I got a lot of picks. I am fired up to be with you on the live stream with 1 p.m. here on youtube.com slash sports line, where I'm going to have a lot of picks.
And you know, that's where it's just going to be. Picks on picks and picks on picks. Fire it up about, let's go. Let's go. You've got four picks today on this show. It's going to be you. It's going to be Mike Tom Cassali, EC and me hosting at 1 o'clock today on this sports line YouTube channel. Everybody make sure you lock in. Keep your notifications on for the next few weeks, by the way, over on sports line. Teddy Brasco, how are you doing today? We got some UFC action. Yeah, we're back in another fight night. Last week we had UFC 326. The BMF belt was on the line and to be frank, I let my heart cloud my judgment with Max Holloway. We're thinking it was a BMF fight. That's where these guys go to throw down. But Charles Olivera didn't come to throw down. He came to win and solidify himself as a lightweight title contender once more dominated the fight. So tip of the cap to Charlie Olegs, Mike McClure, who batted him a lot of people in the chat. We're saying Danny, don't get against Olivera. Nice call, guys. Dominant performance. I'm excited to be right back in action at the apex this weekend. See you. Mike, you're UFC guy. You're a NASCAR guy. You're a baseball guy. You're an NFL guy. You're a PGA guy. I know you're monitoring that as we speak.
But today, what do you have on the show? In any commentary and chip, I'll go to you later in the show here. Any commentary on the big 12 scrapping the floor thing and going back to Hardwood? Yeah, look, all the things here, I'm mostly a computer guy. See, that's how I'm able to really handle and tackle every sport there. I see someone in the chat saying no emotion from me. Yeah, I'm essentially a computer. The only one that can crack a smile is basically Chip Patterson on a Friday morning. And someone else noted that in the chat. So that is where I'm at as far as today. I'll bring a golf here. A lot of college basketball on the other stream coming up. Very much excited for that. And the court, just an absolute disaster in the big 12 tournament. They got to test it in the women's court just a little bit. I'll say a great idea. Love the idea of the court. Just the execution wasn't there. And they kind of rushed it out a little bit early, I think. I would say props to big 12 tournament,
making a change. That's a pretty big change. Like, I get it. I thought it would just be okay, we're just not going to do this again next year. But the fact that they're swapping it out between games here. Absolutely love it because we've got an awesome big 12 semifinal here with the two games. I mean, these could be two of the final eight teams in the NCAA tournament. I think, I'm sorry. See, I didn't mean to jump in there. But that to me is the storyline, is that the confidence it takes to admit that something was wrong, something that you had invested money in, and that you were really trying to make as part of your sales pitch. And the number one thing that I think should have changed the minds of leadership is when players started slipping, and when players started complaining about the lights giving them migraines. If it is a player safety, player well-being issue, then get it out of here. You know, like, I did not like it as a fan, but just don't change it to please me. Change it for the competitors on the court because Mike is right. They switched it out for the semifinals because the semifinals of this big 12 tournament are teams that could all win the national championship.
And what if a player injures himself because of this slippery glass court that you were trying to get a good little, you know, pop on in terms of publicity? So I also thought, by the way, that, you know, everyone's been watching the Big East tournament as well. Madison Square Garden, one of our like, holiest houses of hoops, the court design they're going for almost looks extra wood, you know, like almost a drive home, how not glass they are in MSG. It's like, look at this is hard wood. This is hard wood that we are playing on right here in NYC. So yeah, I don't know what it's going to look like. We have seen Big 12 do funky looking courts, even with regular material, but yeah, the glass, the glare, the injury risk, you know, props to them for being able to switch that out for the players. Yeah, and I would say being there like app port, like it looks better on TV than it does in person. I agree, talking about that sitting there watching the game, like it is fuzzy, like it's like dirty glass essentially on your eyes when you look at it.
So it looked way better on TV than it did in person. I can't believe that they, I mean, it was definitely a financial hit to remove this court for these last two games or last three games, but credit to them for my opinion doing the right thing. Yeah, and credit to them for doing the right thing. Side note, I also thought it was a really bad idea in the first place. Speaking of bad ideas, buckets, I thought this dice roll thing would be a bad idea. Your guy Hadecki Matsuyama is playing pretty well at the players' championship. Are you now a golf guy? And oh, by the way, we got to get to some picks. You've got two soccer picks. I do, and I'm going to start because every time I'm going to show with Mike McClure here, I got to make sure to put my little Mickey Mouse soccer guy on the mic. I am a big golf guy now. I know what a birdie is. I know what an Albatross is. I even know what a par is. So doing some training to think. Explain the Albatross, and then let's hear it. Oh, damn it. I don't know if that is though. It's educating me. It's one better than a birdie, right? Oh, you're so close. You're so close. Two better than a birdie. Because he goes in between them.
Yes. I'm watching H. I don't remember his last name. Matsuyama, I'm learning. Let's, okay, it doesn't matter. It doesn't matter. Soccer, soccer, football. Let's talk about that. Please get me off of golf. All right, we've got a couple big games this afternoon, but only two of them that caught my eye. And the first one is the English championship matchup, matchup, where Rexam are taking on Swansea. And I say the same thing every week. And I had someone once tell me buckets. I'm tired of betting the same single thing every single week. I don't care if you're tired. If it caches, that's what I care about. And right now, Rexam, when playing at home this season, have cached both teams to score in 81% of their home fixtures. And 18 out of 22 home matches. Both teams to score has hit. And they're going to give it to us at minus 120. Because Swansea knows how to play a little bit of defense. Because Swansea likes to think or keep things a little bit cagey. I don't care if something is hitting at this rate. And if you've got a Rexam team fighting for a spot in the Premier League next year fighting to get out of the playoff position into an automatic qualifying spot and fighting to make this thing happen,
then you got to bet both teams to score here. Because their defense is not why Rexam are succeeding. They're succeeding because they have one of the best offences in the entire championship right now. And this line should not be playable, but it is every single week. So I will continue to play that every single week. Bet number two, Alivez taking on Via Real in La Liga. And see, I got a question for you. What is a bigger motivator? Is it fear of failure or a desire to succeed? Fear of failure is a bigger motivator. For you or is that just the right answer? I think that's, I think if you asked 100 people, I think 65 would say fear of failure. And the other thoughts, because that goes against my bet here. So I want it to be the last to start. Oh, I actually think it's 65 the other way. Oh, there you go. Yeah, yeah, yeah. The desire to succeed at the question. No, that's fear because it's Via Real team is fighting for a Champions League spot. And they are looking so good while they're doing it. And the only motivation that Alivez has right now is the fear of relegation. This team that is absolutely spiraling, but they're trying to put something together. They're trying to hold on for their dear life, but it's just not working.
Alivez looks terrible. They are getting run over by some of the worst teams in La Liga. And now they're playing a Via Real side that is fourth in La Liga, a Via Real side that has the third best attack in the entirety of Spain, only behind Barcelona and Real Madrid, a Via La Real side that has some the best strikers on the planet. And you're gonna give me their one and a half team total at plus money, at plus 120. That's stupid. That doesn't make sense. I absolutely cannot understand this line. I know it's gonna be the buckets. It's a trap. I'll fall for this trap every time. I don't care. The line is too good for an Alivez team that can't defend and a Via Real team that has one of the best attacks in Spain right now. See ya. All right, we got a couple of picks there. I'm sorry I answered the question incorrectly buckets. I didn't. I thought about going to literally anyone else, but I wanted to give you a chance at redemption this morning and you botched it. So I don't know why do I need to redeem myself? What did I do? I would've just voted Coach Carter. Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. It is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light that most frightens us, not our darkness.
Okay, I'm not going to Danny either. That's what I was, that was really good stuff. I actually still haven't seen Coach Carter. Buckets texted me one day randomly and said, hey, have you ever seen Coach Carter? And I said no. And that was pretty much it. I said, go watch Glory. I don't know. You said no, it's too cheesy. Go watch another movie or something like that. Well, I mean, anyway, let's move along. We've got a lot more picks to get to. We got a lot of questions in the chat as well. I'll tell you what, Chip, here's what we're gonna do. We've got golf picks from me and Mike. We've of course got UFC from Danny Brasco. Chip, you've got four picks and we're all gonna have more picks or you all are gonna have more picks on the one o'clock special show today for the college basketball. But you have two totals and two sides. So Chip, how about this? How about you give two totals now and you get about your two sides later on in the show? Sounds good. We just just jump in, let's let it rip. Yeah, let's go. Let's go. All right. Okay, so first we're gonna start off with a good old-fashioned CLV. Of course that is Chip line value. That is what I'm doing my work a day ahead.
That's when I take my position and that's when I wake up in the morning. I say, oh no, the overnight's disagree with me. But that's when we just double down. That's Mike said we go more chips in because we've had two wildly different games when Tennessee and Vanderbilt have played each other. Now in the first game, a much more lower possession, lower scoring game. The second one, which was just played less than a week ago in the regular season finale up into the 80s. Now that did not have Nate admit in the game, the star freshman for Tennessee. But Vanderbilt was really able to get whatever they wanted in terms of moving the ball around on this Tennessee defense, getting good looks from two and getting to the free throw line. I mean, Mark Beintin, who I already can see, consider one of those scheme advantage coaches in college basketball. He really found something that was working against the balls. And I just think that in this Tennessee Vanderbilt game, if you look at the two games and you were to split them down the middle
in terms of their total point scored, it'd be around like, yeah, you know, like 150 one or so. But I'm not even looking at it like that because Nate admit came back into the lineup for Tennessee's game against Auburn. And he did not have a good first half. But by the end of the game, scoring up into the 20s, getting back in rhythm, one of the best players on the floor. So I think Tennessee's offensive ceiling is actually a little bit higher than what this indicates. And as I'm considering the way that this game might go, I think it'll be a little bit of a cat and mouse style game, where either one of these teams is capable of some spurred ability against the other Vanderbilt's defense. I think it's not to be trusted against any opponent and Tennessee's defense. Again, I don't know if it's going to be able to have the answers after the Commodores were able to figure some things out, scoring up into the 80s. Having, by the way, the lead, the entire game and a lead by as many as 14, 15 points of 13-minute mark in the second half. So it could be cat, mouse, it could be going bucket for bucket.
But Vanderbilt has unlocked some things against Tennessee's defense. And I just think that with two polar opposite games in terms of the way they played in the regular season, this one actually skews a little bit higher. If you were watching this now, if you're listening to this later, you can get this around like 145, 146. But again, anything up to, and I mentioned this in my sports line, in my sports line pick last night, anything up to 150, I think I'm comfortable with. Another call your number shot. Now, take a look at the game, handicap it, and just sort of have a good feel of what you'd be looking for. I think Alabama's going to be able to score 90 points. This is going to be going up against an Ole Miss defense that, I mean, look, it is fun to consider that Chris Beard has taken an underperforming Ole Miss team, and he's going on a little bit of run in the SEC tournament, and maybe he's going to be a bid thief. And because of Chris Beard's coaching prowess, because of his history, I think a lot of people are interested and invested.
But this Rebels team is not a great defensive team, and their success in their victory yesterday was thanks to a lot. And I mean, a lot of very difficult shots. Georgia was ice cold shooting in the first half. I just look at this game, and I think that Alabama, again, should be able to get up to 90, checked out the team total, short off it's 87 and a half. I know that that is wild for a conference tournament game. But look, it's not three years ago, Alabama had statistically one of the best defenses in the country, third, nationally, and defensive efficiency. But if you go back and you look at the last two years of Alabama games, all of them are absolute track meets because this Alabama team defensively is not fantastic. And so they've got a score to overcome the buckets they're given up. But with Ole Miss playing its third game in three days, I don't want to trust those legs. So Alabama to get up into 90 points team total over 87 and a half. All right, we've got a lot of questions, a lot of comments,
a lot of picks in the chat that I do want to get to a little bit on this show. So we will get to those Mike and in-chip, a lot of people isolating you to, of course, on those picks. Do not forget our one o'clock stream, where some games will be going live, but will be on the cusp of other games going live when we're doing that show. So again, bring a lot of those questions that we might not hit during this show to that show at one o'clock. Ben MGM players will receive in any sport odds boost token. Just like yesterday, just make a wager on any sport to get the boost. If you win, you will receive extra winnings and unrestricted bonus dollars. And don't forget about this really cool promo. This March, Ben MGM is sending fans to Vegas. Opt in and place bets of $10 or more and earn leaderboard points based on your winning bets. 25 winners total will score a VIP trip to the court of legends with the Cavendor twins plus a three night stay at MGM grand and resort credit. Let's get to some more picks. These are sports line picks. Sports line picks went two for three yesterday. Let's see if we can go to for two today. Cooper flag under 19 and that points minus 119.
That one from prop bet guy. Denny Avnia over 35 and a half points rebounds and assists minus 114. That one courtesy of prop stars. Ladies and gentlemen, we got a lot more picks to get to, including some golf conversations, some golf picks. And we're coming back after the break with some UFC picks. You're about to hear it right after this message. My day kicks off of the refreshing Celsius energy drink then straight to the gym. Pre-get pick up back home to meal prep. Time for my fire session shift. One more Celsius kind of keep the lights on. When the three alarm hits, I'm ready. Celsius, live, fit, go. Grab a cold refreshing Celsius at your local retailer or locate now at Celsius.com. It's not just something you made. It's the privilege that you get to work with your hands. It's building something that serves a purpose. Proof that you have the grit to keep going. At Timberland, we understand you take your craft seriously and we do too. Which is why our products are built to the highest quality. We put in the work so you can perfect yours with purpose in every detail and crafted with intention.
Timberland, built on craft, visit Timberland.com to shop. Whether you bond over streaming binge-worthy videos, watching sports recaps, video gaming, or by unplugging altogether, the 2026 Lincoln Nautilus Hybrid helps keep you connected throughout your journey. Learn more at linkin.com, Available connectivity features and functionality vary by model. Package pricing, trials, and term lengths vary by model. Video streaming and games are only available while parked. We're back on the early age, brought to you by Bette MGM, Danny Brasco. We don't let college basketball or the players' championship upstage the UFC, my friend. At Paramount Plus, we've got UFC every week, all like, I mean, it's very exciting. I'm very excited about it. I'm starting to learn, Danny, you know, I wasn't a big UFC guy before. I'm starting to learn a lot more about it myself through you, through people like Claudia and so many others at CBS. Talk to me about a few picks you've got for UFC this weekend.
No matter what's going on in any other sport, it's hard to upstage a cage fight. Just stray that on its general principle. First off, let's start with the first fight of the night. Give me the underdog to kick things off. I like Sam Page, Sam Hughes here. I'm taking her at plus 130 on the money line. This is a rematch. She's taken on Pierre Rodriguez, a fighter that she lost a very narrow bout to about three years back, 29, 28 loss. But if you look at the score cards in that fight, one judge gave it the first to Hughes, and then the other two gave the third to Hughes. Rodriguez won 29, 28, but it's one of those bouts that was separated by very thin margins. It could have been 29, 28 either way, and Hughes finds herself in a lot of bouts like that. At this level of women's MMA, you're not going to be separated by too much. There's not crazy power knockouts on display. It's usually grappling, volume striking, the mix of both. Sam does that very well. I like Hughes's ability to box here, and if she can stay off her feet, I think she edges out the rematch this time because Rodriguez has landed five takedowns in that first matchup. In fact, Rodriguez landed eight takedowns in her last fight, also a split decision win.
She's been eakin' him out, but I think Hughes is better at eakin' out fights. She has a split win over Victoria due to Cove, a split win over Stephanie Luciano, and she's starting to really come into her game. She got to finish. It choked over Shauna Bannon, and really put her skills together, training at 4-7-a-may, safe Siyud. I think she's got the better coach. The better all-around skill set, the better experience, and she could beat Rodriguez in the rematch. Now, if I think it's going to be a close fight, and Rodriguez and Hughes are finding themselves in split decisions and really close ones all the time, then why not use the spread? That will inform my next play. I'm going to use Sam Hughes plus three and a half, meaning that I'm banking on her to win at least one round on the combined judges scorecards. I'll shift up to the co-main event of the evening for the second leg, Jillian Robertson, plus three and a half. Robertson is facing Amanda Lamos, 38-year-old veteran kickboxer who's still sharp. She's very good. She's faced the elite of the division, and this is another stylistic clash, because Lamos, the striker, is always having to answer questions against these elite grapplers. And against him, she's one in three. She famously beat Mackenzie Dern, the now champion, but she lost, who dominated for all five
rounds by Jean-Way Lee's wrestling. Now that's Jean-Way Lee. And her last bout, she was beat by Tatiana Suarez as wrestling. She was also armed barred and submitted by Vierna Jandy-Roba. She struggles against the elite grapplers. Now I saw my guy Gippers in the chat saying, Danny, do you think Robertson's wrestling is on Suarez's level? No, I don't. But I do think her grappling is of that elite ilk. She can maybe not, you know, rest her laurels and say that she's at the level of Wailie and Suarez and Jandy-Roba, but she's right there when she mixes it all together, training at the goat shed. She's much improved her striking and when her hands are crispier, the kickboxing is a little bit better. It opens up the takedown threat. It opens up the ability to get to those positions where she can work her Jiu-Jitsu. And I just think at some point in this fight, Lamos is going to struggle on the ground, which she often does against these elite grapplers. Robertson beat strikers, Lamos loses to grapplers. I'll take Robertson to at least win around in this fight. And lastly, we'll go to the main event. And I'm taking Kevin Vasejo's by decision that A.A. in Argentinian crazy pronunciations in the UFC. I learned recently.
Vasejo's decision plus 240, I think a lot of people are going to bet the knockout because he's coming off an electrifying spinning backfist KO over Giga Chikaze, excellent elite kickboxer in the division. But I think he's going to have to go a hard five rounds against Josh Emmett, a guy that went five rounds against Ilia Toporia in a one-sided beating. He's still last to the final bell. And even though he's 41 years old, you saw in his fight against LaRone Murphy and Elite opponent, a title contender right now, that he can push the pace, that he can make you drag you into deep waters, take you into a tough fight in a 48-47 loss against the title contender in Murphy. He was the one looking like the fresher fighter at the end, pushing the pace and moving forward. So I think Vasejo's a primary boxer and striker is going to be forced to box with Emmett here. Maybe he mixes in his wrestling, shows some evolution to his MMA game. But we saw a young prospect in Loner Kavanaugh recently go the hard five rounds against Marino in Mexico. So I'm envisioning a similar performance for Vasejo's here to show that he's not just a knockout artist. He can go hard five with a veteran and prove he's a real contender in this division. I'm glad you clarify that it's Vasejo's because I definitely would have gotten that wrong.
By the way, forgive me for not hearing the front end of the, is it Gillian or Gillian Robertson? Gillian Robertson, straight out of Canada. All right. That's also confusing in my opinion. Let's get to some golf. We got some soccer questions for you buckets, but Mike, you haven't given out your official pick yet. I haven't either. A lot of golf questions in the chat, which we can also handle on this show. But Mike, you've got something on last week's one and done dice roll pick, Ludwig O'Bare. Yes. We're going to back Ludwig when I believe him to be in form and I think he's in form right now. And I think he's far as just raw talent goes. I think he's going to be top five player for the next 10, 15 years. I think he's that good. I like this number here under 70 and a half played this on Fandall plus 110. If you're going to make this 70 and a half, I would price this all the way to minus 115, a very considerable price point edge on a round score like this. Now, of course, playing pretty scoreable right now for a lot of players and others.
Obviously, you're going to struggle just due to the nature of it. But when I look at Ludwig here, very encouraged with some of the ball striking, very good off the tee, very good on approach was even pretty good with the putter. It was just kind of around the green that he lost a little bit there. But just having these back-to-back signature events, he's someone that I really think is going to be, you know, for the next year or two, kind of streaky. So I want him playing back-to-back weeks when he is playing well. That is certainly what he is doing right now. I just like the number here. It's a minus two round. He's sitting three under right now looking at the leaderboard where a lot of players are. I think that a minus five after two would kind of almost feel like an upsetting outcome for him at this point. I think that his baseline probably is a three-under round right now, 69 and a half would be that number. So I'm going under, looking for two under or better. I think he's got upside for five under in this round, though. Also, I do like Scotty today. I would play Scotty's under at 69 and a half if you can find it close to even money or
minus one time. I'm seeing a comment from Zach Kassanki saying, Seb Straukah loves this course. I don't know if that means he just added another birdie to his card. I know he was too under through I think five holes. It looks like since we've been on an unfortunate reality of the golf, it is now minus one twenty-five instead of plus one ten. Wow. Wow. Some of it's the course you're watching guys like Straukah and Conner's and others just really getting it right now. It's super easy scoring, but yes, I would still play it at minus one twenty-five considering the circumstances here again. I think that baseline form should be a three-under round. I would look to see where Scotty is right now too. I think Scotty shoots four or five under today, but yes, today I do like unders on some of those players. I would still play it and apologies for it moving, but unfortunately that is part of trying to bet live round scores in golf. It definitely can get away from you like that. Yeah, and I'll tell you what I think part of that too is the more information that the
line's makers get and the betting action comes in, maybe with round scores, maybe I get you in a little bit earlier in the show if you know what I mean, just so that we can maybe avoid. So that's on me a little bit too with respect to the round scores. Usually what Mike picks, the number is going to change pretty rapidly. I've got a three ball to give out and then we'll get to a lot of the questions and Chip, we still got to get to two of your sides here. I'm going to be really quick here if you watched, I think I mentioned this on the early watch. Yeah, I did because I had Bud Colley as a first round leader who was like 100 to 1 and who for the record was 200 yesterday. He had a pretty good day one. It's not a guy that's on anybody's radar as of late and that totally makes sense because the tail end of his 2025 was not good. Classically, Bud Colley a good ball striker and we just didn't really see that over the last seven, eight months, but where we did see that last year was the Florida swing. We saw it a little bit last year before the Florida swing and we saw it continue through the Florida swing. Now, I started to see glimpses of the old Bud Colley tournament or two ago and now I'm seeing that translate here.
It's part of the reason I had him as a first round leader for spike potential, but what I love about Bud Colley is how he plays in Florida and the fact that if he's back to his true ball striking form, we can kind of call him like a poor man, Seth Strock. That's how I look at Bud Colley. He and this three ball is over Vince Whaley and Chandler Phillips. Chandler Phillips ball striking has been a complete disaster. Vince Whaley not much better, but Whaley can pop here and there and you can certainly get hot with the putter at time. So Vince Whaley would be the main watch out guy for me, Chandler Phillips was eight over par yesterday. That doesn't mean that's going to happen today, but I do think Bud Colley is coming in with much better form than these two. I do think his history in Florida and his history, particularly on this track at TPC sawgrass is much better than the other two here. Bud Colley at plus 128, I try to avoid three balls, but I actually like this one and I like the price on this one as well. I know this one's over at DK, this number, I know some books have this as low as like plus 105. If you can find like plus 110 plus 115 or greater, that's sort of the comfort zone for me here. But Bud Colley plus 128 over Vince Whaley and Chandler Phillips chip, before we get to
your basketball picks, buckets, we got a lot of soccer questions. Do you want to cue it up or do you want me to cue you up? I will rapid fire through these for you here. See, I started with Ray Garcia, buckets, Rex and both teams of score. That was an official play. I guess he asked that before we give the take and also over one and a half team total. I like the both teams to score significantly more than that over one and a half just because Swansea are a little bit more defensive minded than a lot of championship teams. If this ended 1-1, I wouldn't be shocked, so that's how I'm choosing to play it. Giuseppe Marcino buckets thoughts on Darmstadt Drawno Bet at plus 100 in this fine Bundesliga. Bet, if this is okay, this is such a good question and such a good shout. I want to steal this and make this an official pick for me because this is the kind of thing and it can be Giuseppe's pick as well. But this is such a good line that I was actually when I read this question. I thought he was wrong. I went to double check it and then it was pissed off at myself for not seeing this line. Magdeburg is the worst team at home in the entirety of second Bundesliga. They're 18th, which is dead last on the table. If Darmstadt, who is second on the table, wins today, they jump to first.
This is a team fighting for automatic promotion. You've got a Magdeburg team that is in shambles right now and you've got a Darmstadt team that has only lost three of their 12 matches on the road. I am shocked that this is even remotely playable. I was ready to blow it off. Me like Giuseppe, you got to learn to read here, but that's way too good of a line. I want to make that an official play if that's okay. You can put the Giuseppe buckets. Whatever you want to do there, Ben, I need that on the recap screen because I am immediately betting that line. Pelikner 8228 said buckets, do we like anything in this fine Bundesliga? Yes, we like Darmstadt draw no bet at the Giuseppe buckets team up there. Last question. Giuseppe team total over one and a half at plus 135. Jeff Stenberg asking about the Turkish super leagues outside of the Champions League, Europa League, UEFA competitions. I don't like betting Turkey with all of their betting scandals that they have with all the referees and players getting fired and fined, so I'm not going to bet that because you know when you lose a bet and people go, oh, it was rigged. It might actually be rigged if it was this bet, so just be careful betting on anything in Turkey. Sorry, one more question because this one's for Chip as well.
Torino and Parma today, do you buckets and Chip like both teams of score in that game at minus 110? Chip, I don't. I do not. Yeah, I was going to say, if you want to talk about it, you can. Parma is one of the lowest scoring teams in my bad. The lowest scoring team in Syria, they play for the KG Nils Nils, one Nils, it's not something that I would bet goals in that matchup. And Torino just got run on Napoli, right? Last weekend. Yeah. I don't know. I still think they're putting the pieces back together. I wouldn't wouldn't be back in the bulls, not Ben's bulls, not Mikey Bees bulls, but Torino is the bulls. I would not ask them to be doing anything. And both teams of score does require both of our teams to do something, so I would not back that bet. I do want to back our chat who already has a well over 150 likes. What if we got to 200 live and what if we got to over, I don't know, 600 by the end of the day. So for the people that come in late, make sure you hit the like button after the show as well. I think I get to your two against the spread college basketball picks, but Mike, you had something first. Yeah, just to, you know, keep the shows off the rails as much as we can.
Buckets. Can you roll the dice for me? So I'm going to ask my favorite play today. I've got 25 plays in, but we'll call it 20 all sort of by edge. So I want you to tell me what my favorite play is today. From the 20 side to die. Your favorite play. Keep in mind, I'll roll a 20. And then I've got a six sided dice. We can try to get that 25 as a possibility as well here. No, it's, we'll just do 20. That's fine. Yes. It is going to be play number 14, 14, one, two, three, four, nine, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14. Okay. Now I'm pretty sure 14 is what Matsuyama was and he's playing well. Remember you rolled a 14. Is that the second 14 you've rolled this week? It might have been. I feel like Matsuyama was lower, but I could be wrong. Anyway, okay, this play here is the over in Michigan State UCLA. I have to say I would not have picked that with my brain. I could do the right thing. But over 139 and a half, I have played it.
I played all, I played all of them. Over 139 and a half in UCLA, Michigan State. And if it loses, tweet out bucket John Betts. Yeah, it would technically be buckets fault for rolling the 14. I would not pick that with my brain is the funniest thing to say after you definitely already made that bet. All right, let's talk about a couple more bets, not total. Hey, they were they were 141 regular season meeting. Okay. We're not we're not asking for something that these two teams have not already done. Yeah, yeah, we just need easy buckets for Michigan State. If they don't get it in transition, it can get a little dice. Hey, they got a good defense and they hunt transition. So, you know, the layups are easier than the contested threes when it comes to sparty. All right, well, we're looking for easy layups from Iowa State and maybe some first half layups from the sooners chip. Golly, see, ain't nothing going to be easy for the cyclones. I know, though, this is a multi faceted breakdown.
This is a handicap that is required boots on the, I mean, Mike, I should have reached out to you as well. I've got sources inside the pancake buffet at the hotel that tell me Iowa State is so warming that while Kansas City and with Kansas's greatness has historically been big 12 tournament, kind of like Kentucky at the SEC, it's just kind of like a Kansas convention. It's just very easy for a lot of Kansas fans, Kansas grads to be able to get in there. You get your rock chalk going, but buddy, Iowa State fans have really made it their goal to be able to go in there and be loud and proud and gobble up tickets. And what helps is the way that Iowa State plays because with that intense in your face pressure defense, they can flip a game like that. I mean, Texas Tech was up by double digits in the opening minutes and then all the sudden, the cyclones are just running away with it. Their ability, you know, shout out to all my Evan Mia subscribers out there.
Their ability to stack kill shots in a game, not just one, but multiples that, of course, being a tenno run. It comes from how prolific they can be offensively, how they turn turnovers and empty possessions into easy buckets on the other side and shoot. If you got Taiman Lipsi going off and really finding his bag here in this conference tournament, now you're talking about something that really tips the scales. Now, we are talking about an Arizona team that has incredible interior passing. They are totally playing in rhythm right now. And they didn't even look great when they played against UCF and still were able to win that game by double digits. But I also go back to what happened when these two teams played in Tucson. Because there were a lot of, you know, signs and indicators that it was a classic example of Arizona getting a little bit of boost. I'm talking about Delorso coming in there and having a big performance, talking about a lot of rotational bench players, having big performances, the kinds of things that you see when a really good team is playing at
home. And I would, I would venture that the wildcats are going to be facing almost a road-like environment going up against Iowa State. So as I'm looking at this right now, I put it on sports line at plus four. You can get it at plus four and a half. What I am telling you is that I think this is going to be a one-possession game. And I think Iowa State's got a good chance to win. And what I'm reaching back to like all the way here is a little what if because sometimes you do need to ask what if what if this is just like two years ago when Iowa State just showed up and just it was like it was Kansas State, it was Baylor, it was Houston and it was double digit win, double digit win, double digit win. And they were in your face defensively and it just they made it look like no fun. They ruined the fun of the big 12 tournament and look Arizona's lots of fun. You see in the way they play there aesthetically pleasing is all get out. But I'm telling you that what we are rooting for is to be fun ruiners. We cash when they ruin the fun Iowa State, they get steals, they get the buckets,
they squeeze the life out of you, Hilton, Hilton on the road is going crazy. And Iowa State gives themselves a chance to win. So yeah, I think they're live and at the the four, I certainly like the value of being able to grab them. So I will take the cyclones to be in it till the very end even with a shot to win. Another underdog, but this one just for the first half. It's a team that I've been on for a lot of first halves. They made actually a little bit of a trend going up against good teams, having good starts and then absolutely wilting late. I'm talking about the Oklahoma Suners and one of those games where they jumped out to a good start only to wilt late was a four point loss to the Arkansas team that they are going to be playing into night's nightcap the SEC quarter final. Now we know that Nigel Pack is an absolute walking bucket. We have seen how the Suners playing with the urgency of potential bubble status have been able to know so far handle business. I mean shoot, they're on a winning streak that went from the end of the regular season and on in to Nashville to the SEC tournament. Arkansas, meanwhile, they've been on
ice for nearly a week. One of the longest layoffs that Arkansas is going to have all season long going up against this team that's gotten the blood pumping. So when we've got the vibes of Arkansas coming in cold while Oklahoma is already stacked a couple of wins with the trends of Oklahoma being a good first half team against some of their toughest opponents. Well, then I like the Suners to be able to grab this. I am furiously refreshing the sports line admin tool right now to be able to get this up on the site. We work very, very hard. I want everybody in the early edge fam to know we work very hard if possible to be able to get these picks up on the site before we come to you live on the early edge. I will have it up there shortly. My explanation is written, but you were the ones that got to hear it first. So we'll go Oklahoma first half plus three and a half. That's amazing. That was two amazing takes. Okay, here's what we're going to do. We've got Nebraska. I want to see if there's because I know you were responding to some UFC questions about 10 minutes ago. We're going to cover that real quick. And then we're going, I have one question
about the Kentucky Florida game because that one actually starts when our livestream starts. So if any of you like somebody was asking about Florida Lane, the 11 and a half, if either you chip or Mike like anything in that game, you can let us know again, more college basketball questions during that one o'clock show. The other thing I want to say is if we get to 225 likes in the next two minutes, again, live likes. We want likes after the show too. But if we get to 225, I'm going to ask buckets to roll the dice again so that Mike can give us another one of the 20 picks, one of the 20 picks that he has for. So real quick, Danny, anything UFC wise, you needed to respond to. All right. I just wanted to say my man, Lou Brusco, he's trying to put together that spread parlay. I played the plus three and a half spreads for Hughes and Robertson. I like the spreads because I don't need the fighter to win. I need them to win around on the combined judges score cards. So that can be a safer way of playing things sometimes. I also have been interested in the decision only finish only bets. That's kind of like a draw no bet in buckets as soccer picks. If you see a fighter that has a clear durability advantage, a clear boxer versus,
you know, grappler type of fight, right? You can bet knock out only where that method of victory and that outcome is very likely for one guy and very unlikely for the other. And you kind of have yourself what should be if you, you know, if nothing crazy happens, maybe a risk free bet. And, you know, being able to place a nice line. And if it doesn't, you know, that method doesn't occur, then you get your money back. So take a look at those two. That's a nice way to craft some safer UFC plays. Nothing's safe in a cage fight, though. Mike, we're 14 likes away from another bucket's dice roll. Any thoughts on that one o'clock game Kentucky, Florida? I don't have a play on it. I can tell you where I make it. I make the number 10.4 and it's an 11.5 point spread and I am dead on total 159.4 to 159.5. So I, I do not have an opinion on the game chip less than a week ago. Florida had a 20 point lead in Roperina, you know, and look, credit, credit Kentucky for
rallying down. I think they ended up losing by seven at the end of this. I think this matchup is a little bit closer to that 20 point gap that Florida had before they let go of the rope. I know Kentucky is already strung together to wins. I did not think they looked particularly impressive against LSU. They even had a good lead against Missouri. And Missouri was able to climb back into that game. I just, I don't know if this Wildcats team is trustworthy. Florida plays down to them, sure, but I just don't think that Kentucky has enough tippy top talent to ride Otega away all the way. I don't trust their front court in this matchup against the Gators. And so I I think I like it with the, I like laying it with the Gators, even though it's an early game against a team that's played twice first game out there for Florida. Just, and looking to hope to talk about home court advantage for Iowa State, that's like one of the most famous ones is how Kentucky fans show up to the SEC tournament. And they were starting to get loud in that
Missouri game. So I realize I'm, I'm kind of like going against some of the, some of the tenants I normally rest on, but just from a basketball perspective, don't like the matchup. And I think that the gap here is a little bit wider than what the seven point margin was in that regular season finale. All right, we go ahead, Brasco. I just wanted to mention one more UFC storyline that I didn't want people to forget about on this Saturday before we get out of here. Steven Ashland is fighting. He's a big underdog. He's plus 195. I saw M2 likes him in the DFS. This guy used to be 500 pounds. He lost so much weight, changed his life, became an MMA fighter. And frankly, I said I'm betting on him until he loses. He's nasty on the feet. This guy is fearless. He landed 170 significant strikes in his last fight for a heavy weight. He throws unmatched volume for a big guy. He's taken a step up in competition. And it might be tough if he ends up on the ground. He's going to have to defend takedowns, but like it's not on the recap screen just on vibes and riding the train. I'm not not betting on Steven Ashland. Keep a roll until he loses. That is a
cool storyline. Another storyline is that we're past 225 likes. So let's end the show before the recap screen buckets with you rolling the dice and Mike giving out another, again, these aren't official plays for the show, but we're just trying to spruce it up a little bit. Buckets, go ahead. You're on, you're on mute. I am not a lip reader. Classic. Three. Three. Yeah. We not like three. No, I don't mind it. Actually, I like this play a lot yesterday. It kind of gave it out. I had some synergy with Tom for Tom for no Tom Cassali. I'm all over the CBS universe today. How about Fullerton and Hawaii under 157 and a half? Is that the late, late game? Yep. That is the latest it gets. All right. I love it. Buckets, before you get to the recap screen, any last question for for soccer? Nah. All right. I think we're good. And Chip, you and Mike are going to join me at one
o'clock on this sports line YouTube channel with Tom Cassali, not for Nelly, Tom Cassali, and with Eric Cohen. So everybody, make sure you're in here for that, doing the same thing, hitting the like button, but more importantly, asking your questions. We'll have a lot of live plays. Mike, did you have something? Yeah, I just wanted everyone to tilt the Collinmore Cowell situation a little more with me. See, I've got DFS lineup with Staka Conner, Shoffley, who are all in the top five. See with Kim and Collinmore Cowell. That's brutal. I had Collin in literally, I lock button players sometimes. I had him in every single one of my DFS lineups. So there, there you have it. But anyway, that happens week to week. You never know. But Mike, that's, that's pretty brutal because otherwise, that's a great lineup. And that's really no surprise coming from you. Let's see the recap screen. We're trying to have a great recap screen on Monday as well. But Collin, around two, three ball. This one starts in a couple of hours plus 128 over Vince Whaley and my second favorite Chandler, Chandler Phillips. Rexham versus Swansia. Both teams are smart. Sorry. You do it, buckets. No, no, you're doing great.
You go. Really? Okay. Yeah. Sorry, everybody. Rexham versus Swansia. Swansia. Don't say it again. Okay. Rexham versus Swansia. Now I'm saying it wrong. Okay, just go. Both teams are score by this one. 20. We've got Villarreal over one and a half team total plus one 20. And Darmstadt draw no bet even money. That's a co-pick with just Seppi Merichino from the chat. Chip Patterson, Vanderbilt, Tennessee over 147 and a half minus 110. Listen to the analysis on that one. That number has gotten lower. Alabama team total over 87, half minus 105. Iowa State plus four minus 110. And Oklahoma first half plus three and a half minus 110. That four pack again from Chip Patterson. Golf. We go back to it. Ludwig O'Bare round two under 70 and a half plus 110. That number has also moved as it pertains to the juice. We go Sam Hughes money line plus 130. That is a UFC play from Danny Brasco. We got Sam Hughes plus three and a half in Gillian Robertson plus three and a half at minus 114. That's a parlay. And Kevin Vashayos by decision plus 240. I think I kind of got that. All right. Let's go to our sports line picks. We got Cooper Flag
under 19 and a half points minus 119. That one from prop bet guy. Danny Abdea over 35 and a half points three bounds and assist minus 114. That one from prop stars prop bet guy and prop stars with the sports line picks. See you for live action says big cheesy. I know a lot of people said they were going to be in that chat watching that show. So we'll see in just over two hours for that show. Meanwhile, enjoy some of the college basketball and golf that you're already the golf you're already watching the college basketball is going to start very, very soon. Wow. What a show. This was a this was a super long show. Thanks for sticking with us. We'll see at one o'clock. Thank you buckets. Thank you, Chip. Thank you, Danny Brasco. Mike and somehow Ben on the ones and twos and threes and fours handling all of the action. Big shout out to him. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll see at one o'clock. We got the big 730 show Sunday right after the bracket comes out. We're doing that 730 live show as well. So a lot of live stuff coming your way this weekend as I start to lose my voice before the one o'clock show. Have a great day, everybody. I don't know if there's a whisper play or not. That's going to be on buckets, no pressure buckets, but you also buckets have
to end the show. Yeah. Yeah. You know the law. Get in there. Hit the subscribe button. Chip. You know the law. Subscribe. Rest our case. Marousia motion. Gladbach versus St. Paulie. Both teams to score even money. The comedy movie of the year. Mike and Nick and Nick and Alice coming only to Hulu and Disney Plus this Friday. Time to party. That's a great attitude. It's a time trap like ask kick egg. Movie of that. You sound insane. Starring Vince Vaughn. James Marston and Ace of Gonzalez. I thought you were a clone. Well clones aren't real coming. And time machines are super bonded in reality. Mike and Nick and Nick and Alice read it are written and directed by Ben David Grubinski only on Hulu and Hulu and Disney Plus for bundle subscribers.
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