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Why seizing Iran's nuclear material would be one of the riskiest missions

Today Explains

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Seizing Iran’s nuclear material sounds straightforward in theory—secure the uranium, remove the threat—but in reality it’s one of the most dangerous military operations imaginable.

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Why seizing Iran's nuclear material would be one of the riskiest missions

Today Explains

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Today ExplainsWhy seizing Iran's nuclear material would be one of the riskiest missions. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

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If the uranium hexafluoride comes in contact with oxygen, it forms poisonous gases. This would not only be one of the riskiest special operations missions in American history, but very possibly the largest. Is this the end game? Last year in June, the US conducted massive strikes against Iran's nuclear program in Operation Midnight Hammer. At your time ago, the US military carried out massive precision strikes on the three key nuclear facilities in the Iranian regime for Doh, Natanz, and Esfahan. The Esfahan nuclear complex is where Iran converted uranium from metal to gas, and the US struck many of the above ground facilities. In these images, we see the entrance to the underground facility, and actually just south of these images is the core, the nuclear complex.

You see the two little craters, the US strategy was really to double tap these facilities. So we dropped with incredible precision multiple gravity bombs directly on top of each other. The idea is that the first gravity bomb penetrates the Earth, blows up, and then the second gravity bomb comes in and penetrates even deeper and blows up, creating a coupled shock wave. When uranium goes through enrichment, it is turned into a gas called uranium hexafluoride, and then it is spun through center futures in these facilities that the US struck last June. And so when that gas comes out of these machines, it's put into big storage tanks that are used to transport the uranium as a gas. Iran has 440.9 kilograms of 60% in rich uranium that stored at several different facilities. At least half of that material is stored at an underground facility north of the Esfahan nuclear complex. The remaining 220 or so kilograms of uranium could be stored at the other sites

that the US struck, or hidden more clandestinely at unknown locations. The most basic consideration is the most important one, which is look how deep inside Iran, these key nuclear sites are. They are in the interior of the country. There are about a thousand miles from the Arabian Sea. That's a pretty significant movement if you're launching some sort of operation from aboard ships. There's somewhat closer, more like 300 miles to Kuwait in eastern Iraq. One way or the other though, those are long distances. The last time a extremely large-scale special operations raid was launched in Iran, which was of course Operation Eagle Claw, the effort to free the hostages back in 1980, which ended in catastrophe. To my deep regret, eight of the crewmen of the two aircraft which collided were killed. I think the United States has sort of three options to choose from when it comes to eliminating or dealing with Iran's uranium stockpile. We could try to bomb and collapse all of the tunnel entrances and underground facilities.

That option would be very challenging because these are very secure, deeply buried hardened targets. Where we find comfort and seek opportunity. A place that exemplifies resilience and asserts compassion. A place that inspires us to stand up and stand out. Now it's our time and our place to give back to Baltimore and create a better future for ourselves and our community. Because together there is no impossible. We are you bald. We go on the ground, break open the tunnel facilities, and send in people to strap explosives

to all of the uranium and blow up the underground facility from inside. If the uranium hexafluoride comes in contact with oxygen, it forms poisonous gases. The chemical and radiological contamination at the site would stay limited to the underground facility. It likely wouldn't form a cloud that would flow hundreds of miles away. The facility itself would be contaminated and very difficult to enter. Anyone entering would need chemical protective suits. The United States sends troops in and tries to grab the uranium and transport it out of these facilities and then under international inspection verify that the United States and Israel or whoever was involved in the operation have seized all of Iran's uranium. This option would give us the greatest competence that we have dealt with Iran's nuclear stockpile and the international community would be able to witness that the material has been seized. These sorts of units always prefer speed for the obvious reason that when you're moving quickly,

the enemy has less time to organize itself, less time to respond. So there's less danger to you. I personally struggle to see individual commandos sort of carrying these things out. I think they're quite heavy. I can't tell you how many hours or even days that might take, but I can certainly tell you it won't happen in a few minutes. It won't look like the Maduro raid quickly in and out. 200 Americans executed the raid fighter jets and bombers took out Venezuelan air defenses, paving the way for Delta Force Commandos to close in on the compound. You could easily see an operational plan and an execution that involves a very large number of special operations troops, potentially multiple squadrons of the unit and question going in, the scale of which the kind of mission that we probably haven't seen since the invasion of Iraq in 2003. Many of the tunnel entrances to get into these facilities have been collapsed, either by US strikes or by the Iranians sort of covering the tunnel entrances. If you're going to have to dig for some time, there's going to be complex breaching that will

take some time. If you're carrying items out, you might have to deal with the possibility of decoys. What are what are the tanks that actually have highly enriched uranium in them? What are the tanks that don't? Those that that iteration of the operation probably takes a fair amount of time and probably involves very large numbers of people. The longer you are on the ground, the more likely it is that the Iranians will mount not only resistance on the site as you first go in, which of course you can anticipate. A good illustration of this is the battle of Mogadishu in 1993. 12 Americans are dead, six more still missing. The Delta Force, the unit that would most likely be involved in this operation in Iran, went into arrest a Somali warlord and his associates went in, conducted the arrest, secured the objective with relativ ease in the scheme of things, only to run into extremely serious opposition. Obviously, the kind of freedom that you need to do that kind of thing depends on massive reduction of capability in the Iranian military. You need the Iranian military to be disorganized, not paying attention, incapable of quick response

to mitigate your risk there. The efforts to dismantle and weaken the IRGC, the destruction of the air defense complex in Iran, is this all preparatory to a nuclear rate? Has the nuclear always been the point of Operation Epic-3? We don't know today, but it's a question we have to ask ourselves. Tyler Reddick here from 2311 Racing. Victory Lane? Yeah, it's even better with Chamba by my side. Race to ChambaCasino.com. Let's Chamba. No purchase necessary, VTW Group, Voidware Prohibited by Ma, CTNC's 21 Plus, sponsored by ChambaCasino.

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