UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Delgado | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process

0:00All systems go clear clear What's going on everybody happy Thursday hope you're having a good week so far we're here talking some fights UFC fight night it's called but it's also no chase UFC in a Glendale Arizona heard that right Glendale Arizona means my backyard I'm headed down to the fights with my brother and brother Ma super excited shut up the draft King for hooking it up we got 13 fights we got 13 solid fights some better than others obviously this fight right

1:02here Tommy Mcmillan Marwan Reheike and absolute banger can't wait to see that but anytime I'm watching fights live I am always pumped up 100K up top as well even with NFL back even with college football 100,000 to first is great news for the MMA community they Marley how are you doing today doing good doing good I mean I'm really pumped to have Tommy Mcmillan back and it's not even the main event I wish I was going to the car man you're going to be close enough to get blood on you maybe I don't know for sure I'll be down there I don't I didn't look I like to be excited I look at like what section kind of and stuff I don't it didn't say floor seats but I don't know if I'm in the 100 somewhere nice that's that's gonna be bad ass man hopefully it's a great time yeah I mean it can't be a bad time that's always my favorite event if anyone out here if you listen to the podcast you obviously like UFC if you've anyone's never been to an event and it comes somewhat near you or you have an opportunity I could not recommend it anymore seven hours eight hours of violence unlike any other sporting events you can go to with a lot a lot

2:06of like-minded people in terms of like this card for DFS any so I guess a 13 fights is great a little different than some of our recent ones we have 9700 and then it goes 9500 and it goes at 9400 and 9300 the upper tier 9 case is strong yeah what are your initial thoughts on this card yeah but I think ownership is going to be actually pretty tough I think a lot of it's just going to go to the main event just based on a lot of people like in Gene Silva and it being a main event and then I think Macmillan Rahiki is going to get a ton of ownership as well aside from that I think it can get pretty spread out there's a lot of guys I think could get higher on but at the same time they're risky plays so I think it'll keep them in check yeah eight of the 14 fights are expected to finish this Macmillan Rahiki fight is I mean just again an absolute banger it'll probably be the highest on for DFS I think it will or it should be kind of it's a big favorite in the main event is Silva minus 425 so that will lead

3:08to big ownership on the Silva side not as much on Delgado similar to like we saw last week 104 though was not on the optimal so we'll get into it we'll go fight by fight appreciate everyone hanging out well touch on some marketing stuff in a little bit talking what we have for the NFL season obviously we have a game tonight so super excited hoop tambo and myself already did a show but let's talk some fights first then we'll get into that we got Regina Terran taking on JJ Aldrich Terran minus 270 Aldrich plus 220 plus 230 for this fight to finish Terran plus 250 inside the distance Aldrich plus 950 this one's tough for me to get to big Marley 90 100 plus 250 inside the distance it's not terrible it's not great though it's expected to go the distance over two and a half is minus 325 not a fight I'm looking to get too much Terran by decision is how I see it what about you yeah I think I'm definitely not excited to get to this fight but I think Terran is a way

4:10for me to get a little bit different Aldrich is the cleaner boxer just a better pure striking but she is too low volume for me to like her to even win in the striking I think Terran's a little sloppier on the feet but she could double up Aldrich in volume alone if it stays standing but on the regional scene she was mixing in a lot of takedowns and I think she's alive for takedowns in this fight maybe a good amount of control time could be active in top control as well and also thank a submission has some potential too so I'm gonna play a little bit of Terran just to get different and that'll be a lot of the linings where I have Mick Millen and Silver, no gotto something like that but I think she is in play for 100 plus just because of her volume alone and if she's looking to grapple especially all right that's a little more interest than I initially had Terran would be my preferred play I don't love Aldrich I think there's other dog a Aldrich's a four play it's supposed to go all 15 minutes I still in a loss don't think she scores enough whereas there's some other underdogs at least when they win they'll score and you can feel good about him

5:13being optimal and you get no leverage because Terran's not getting any ownership but yeah maybe I'll boost Terran a little bit and it's don't really think she wrestles in this one round one props not great she has 9100 though so at least you get a couple hundred dollar discount from the Silvas Belk Ori's Bahamundas of the world so yeah I'm fine with it I guess and chalk your line-ups all right we'll keep rolling next fight on the car we got Chong King taking on Jesse Rojas minus 205 King plus 177 is Roasas minus 150 for this fight to finish King plus 145 inside the distance Roasas plus 280 we have three mid tier fights on the card this is the only expected to finish again at minus 150 the other one plus 175 the other one plus 230 so that'll lead to this fight getting I guess more ownership than usual however with that being said a couple hundred dollars more the Tommy McMillan fight the Waldo fight I got Tires Tim Elliott so there are some fights in the range that others will prefer it's gonna get ownership I think rightfully so on both sides inside

6:18of the distance props are there both guys well-rounded submission props King plus 550 Roasas plus 475 probably plays out on the mat a little bit is that how you see a big mark I mean I'm not really sure on this fight I think I can go any which way on this one I think it could bust in a decision either side but I also think it could play out pretty close King he looks like the more powerful guy the more imposing wrestler the two I think the bigger guy as well but Roasas looks quicker possibly the better submission grappler so I'm just not sure on this one I'd imagine ownership is gonna go to King because the Monies kept going to him yeah so maybe that puts me a little bit more on the Roasas side but I'm not sure on this one I think it's close to a three than a five star but I'm fine with either side yeah I think so as well King open minus 150 I put all these out up on Tuesday or some King minus 180 Tuesday now minus 205 that's quite a bit of line movement so

7:20I'm gonna keep the close eye on that one and if it keeps increasing to be honest I'll probably go with the line movement even with ownership I don't think the ownership would move with it enough on this 13 fight card for it to be for it to be worth going to the Roasas side so I'm gonna play a little Roasas obviously again it's a good fight to target expected to finish but I'm leaning King even though he is 800 or 600 more what's up lone wolf great to see I hope you're doing well again I appreciate everyone hanging out watching live or watching on playback the real fans even though NFL is back hey we still need something to do on Saturdays college football now is here but UFC is where you should yeah we're we spend our Saturdays watching and let me go over to shiffonation.com just to show off quick I didn't mention college football we do have access to that we have single sport for all of these sports you see above MLB MMA NASCAR NFL obviously if you want NFL only you can see the deal here but you're watching MMA you want either all access or the

8:21five day trial five days you can get it for $19 get our showdown content tonight showdown content Monday showdown content Sunday night we do have that as well we also have main slate NFL of course you can see all of our content above the stone the stone 2.0 slate station value report I mean Hebrew cheetah does that you can see core reports on here also you can see above 45,000 in cash and prizes we are given away all you need to be is an NFL only member or an all-access member which you can see again right here multiple different options monthly or above gets you qualified for that do get in the discord if you do join that is how you do get into the ship of games 499 people the top three do get a ballot and move on to the fun in the later parts of the year you can also just click this link above we did get a fix from last week and it breaks down everything right here all right let's get back to the MMA stone the third fight on the card wrong zoo minus

9:22158 taking out Rafa Garcia plus 138 plus 175 for this fight to finish Garcia the underdog better inside the distance proper plus 325 wrong plus 375 take it away yeah I think this is one of my favorite underdog plays on the card just because of Garcia's pace and pressure alone I do like wrong zoo to be the better striker at range the better athlete overall more knockout power but I think he needs to keep this one standing so he might be relying on a knockout at 8500 Garcia I think pace alone on the feet he can 10 x a 77 hundred dollar decision if it is mostly striking based but I also think he has a hundred plus upside by mixing in multiple takedowns and multiple rounds so I do like Garcia I think he just has more ways to win this fight make it a dirty fight get on the inside grind on the cage until you get takedowns and I just think that heavy pressure and pace will start to wear on wrong zoo so I like Garcia to win a decision in this one and pay off that price tag

10:28I'm in agreement well I'm in agreement that my preferred play is half a Garcia I'm picking wrong zoo to win the decision he just made a lot of improvements since the start of his career second stint in the UFC I just think he's the better striker is takedown defense has been good with that being said that doesn't necessarily translate to points at 8500 which is my concern but because I'm picking wrong zoo because I think half a Garcia does get a decent amount of ownership I don't know I'm probably going to be along the field maybe slightly underweight Garcia like when he wins he scores that's the reason to play him he's going to want a wrestle I don't think he has the striking advantage so I think he's forced to wrestle most of the fight but he is six years younger he is giving up some height wrong zoo has impressed me I think he wins a decision so yeah I mean like what would I'm gonna line up so do you need to play any wrong zoo big Marley like I just don't know how if you how far Garcia is so tough I just I don't see it

11:29yeah with 10 I wouldn't get there with 20 I would think about it I would definitely play him if I'm getting much over 20 like 50 line ups I'm definitely playing someone's blue I think that Garcia's pace alone should help wrong zoo as well and that knockout could come in the first round and he could be a slight breaker let's see plus 375 is 21 percent like how many of his finishes do you think are optimal um I'd say more than half okay see yeah maybe like 12 13 percent probably along or around the field is probably optimal if you are playing 50 plus teams or even yeah probably 50 plus then I'd be playing all 26 fighters more than likely every single week all right let's keep it rolling to the next fight on the card Tommy Gantt and your car close big favorite is Gantt at minus 435 close plus 335 this fight is minus 260 to finish Gantt minus 200 inside the distance close plus 700 Gantt plus 175 in round one Gantt is someone that I want to play a lot in the FS it

12:35really doesn't matter what his price is scored 129 in his debut went six for 17 on takedown attempts in two rounds I knew when that's doing that is good for DFS so I'm in at 9400 probably my prefer or my favorite 9k option on the slate even at the price even more than silver I think is his upsides pretty much unmatched minus the Mcmillan fight do you see it the same yeah Gantt my favorite play on the card I'm gonna get a ton of Gantt I doubt I'll even get to any close as a hedge close is the experienced vet he's gonna have the striking edge in this one but Gantt is just such a nasty wrestler and he is powerful as well I think he's gonna be landing takedowns and landing some heavy ground and as well so I like him to get a TKO on the ground at some point in this fight but even in a decision alone he has the wrestling to pay off a 9400 dollar price tag so I'm cool with Gantt I'm gonna be playing him in a lot of his fights but I think this is a good fight to start to build his name yeah I will say it's worth noting Tuesday minus 500 was Gantt now he's

13:40minus 435 so some money came back on the close side I do expect Gantt I mean people are gonna play him I do think he's probably gonna be in the upper 30s percent maybe and close if he wins he's 6800 even 70 you would take at 6800 so I do think there is a case to be made for close not only taking money but getting leverage off of Gantt at a very cheap price tag so let's see what he has he's plus 335 plus 335 is 23% playing 18% close we'll get you overweight and that is a little less than his money line so I actually like that in larger field stuff I do also like how the draft or the bout order 9500 Bob Moon days 9700 Bellgore 9400 Gantt so we can compare these next two fights all this favorites to each other and the dogs with each other but this is the highest price and biggest favorite on the card usurie Bellgore minus 750 thinking on Jordan Santos plus 534 minus 200 for this fight to finish Bellgore minus 170 inside a distance Santos plus 800 and then

14:47Bellgore Iran one plus 200 so Bellgore more of a striker more expensive than Gantt and worse inside the distance and around one props usually that's not that's not something that I'm gonna want to spend the extra money for so I don't know how much I'm gonna get I definitely prefer Gantt what about you yeah I prefer Gantt and I think Bellgore is gonna need a first round knockout to pay off a $9700 price tag it's just I don't know if we'll have enough 100 dogs to even get there so I'm not gonna force him into any line of set all I really don't want to play Santos either I think they're both primary strikers Bellgore is gonna be a lot taller longer just the more decorated kickboxer and I think at some point he is gonna knock out Santos if it's in the second or the third round though it's it's likely too late at that point I don't think there's gonna be crazy volume leading up to it maybe get multiple knockdowns and that would be what puts them there so I'm not completely against using him but yeah if it's between him and Gantt I'd rather even save the 300 even if I could afford Bellgore so yeah give me Bellgore to get a win and just not score

15:52enough yeah I'm totally with you how would you rank close or Santos if you had a pick I'd probably like Santos just a little bit because this could be a little market over correction Bellgore was an underdog in his last two fights now he's coming in as minus 750 I mean I get he is the better prospect but it is a limited sample size and he was also an underdog leading into those fights yep alright make sense let's get to the next big favorite in a row in Nassau by Moon days minus 525 Muslim Salikov plus 400 minus 325 for this fight to finish by Moon days minus 225 inside of this in Salikov plus 575 by Moon days round one plus 150 by Moon days is taking money too like it goes plus 175 it opened and round one taking 25 cents there it was minus 215 inside of this in Salinas minus 225 on the money line minus 300 by Moon days now minus 525 you can see four inches

16:53in height five inch reach advantage bomb Moon is is actually coming up a weight class as well making his debut at Walter weight which I think is good I mean he had a huge huge frame cut a lot of weight Salikov's 42 Nassau should style on him but he's 95 hundred I prefer Gantt for 100 less but I do prefer Bahamunday's two Bellgore so that's how I rank it I rank it Gantt are Gantt Ignacio Bellgore and then I rank it close Salikov Santos take away this fight and then I do your rankings yeah I mean Salikov's gonna be another fade for me he's 42 he's low volume he's definitely got knockout power but if he doesn't knock out Bahamundas I just don't know how he even wins this fight he would need Bahamundas to not show up and just knock it out there and throw enough volume like he usually does like he did against triogden yes I know that was in play Zellhuber did it Zellhuber did that yeah yes if I say I get those two but uh Bahamundas I love his volume I like his

17:57speed he's a really good striker overall I think he's the grappling edge as well in this one so I'm cool Bahamundas but 95 hundred it's another big price tag I like him less than Gantt more than Bellgore and then I'm probably the opposite on the underdogs give me like Santos and then close and then Salikov I just really don't want to get to any Salikov at all I get that the knockout power is there he's only $6,700 but I think it'll be a bad look for him to win this fight it's 42 years old when I think they're really pushing it to be a Bahamundas win 100 percent I think there's a couple fights on this card where they're pushing it the Gantt fight alone close has a name 36 years old I think or 38 years old excuse me Terran I think the same thing only 20 years 21 years old eight no other Kaz UFC fights under her belt so I think a couple on this card that are set up fights yeah that's all I got in this one again appreciate everyone hanging out though

18:58hope you're having a great day and again like button help us out a ton two p.m. eastern is the start time for these fights on Saturday I believe they moved it up because of the Ryan Garcia we're Garcia boxing match that they wanted to get in so yeah give me 11 a.m. over here I'll be able to get to the fights maybe go out after for a drink or two get home for a six a.m. show the next day talking some football so we got out of a weekend over here a lot of money to be made again chippenation.com to help you make some money or at least try to in the NFL streets college football MMA MLB still going on NASCAR still going on you name it it's the best time of the year chippenation.com join the nation can get in as low as $19 and that'll cover a lot of good five day in the sports world. All right let me scroll back down. Number seven I got a chara is taking on Tim Elliott's Chira's minus two 15 Elliott plus 183 minus 135 for this fight to finish Chira's plus 125 inside the distance Elliott plus 415 I'm in on this fight man even though if you just

20:03look at the stone it would look bad a lot of red Chira's even though he doesn't really do too much when he does something it usually results in a finish 12 of his 13 wins are by uh 13 excuse me 13 of his 14 wins are by finish nine of those coming by submission on the Elliott side he has I think those nine submissions of his own but he's been submitted six times as well so I'm going to say someone gets a submission in this fight and I like it what about you yeah this is one of my favorite fights on the card um chira's is our moment winner Elliott is our minute winner I just think that this fight is going to take place on the ground with Elliott being the wrestler in this one and he could grind out three rounds of wrestling you just beat chira's on the cards and score a hundred plus points in a decision at $7400 so that's why I have it as a three and three but chira's is my preferred player the two because I mean he's just so much more dangerous he's a way better striker a lot more dangerous Elliott's just really awkward and can bring a pace on the feet um but chira's is going to be so much more dangerous in every single

21:09round and even if Elliott is the wrestler I think chira's ends up grabbing a neck at some point and puts him away so whether it's on the feet or the ground chira's is going to be live for that that finish and I think he gets it at some point but if he doesn't get the finish I think Ellie is going to be the winner of the fight so I just like it either way I think more to Elliott wins are optimal than chira's and 8800 is still somewhat of a real price tag like I like 8800 fight the 8700 75 and 86 76 these are all fights I want to target it allows you to leave money like all of them can outscore gene silver in the main events and you can leave money that way so I'm going to be in on all of them I do worry though like Elliott wins round one chira's pented off his back and all that gets a second round submission and scores like 85 or whatever that is also in play for chira's because the more the minutes go he doesn't do as much minute per minute but when he does he can get a finish at any time in this one so I think I prefer Elliott more of choosing for the

22:091400 savings and feeling better when he wins that he's there he's going to offense a wrestle for sure just 10 chira's fine to neck on the feet I think chira's is the better strike or more powerful strike or so yeah I think the fight finishes I would books agree flyweight fight minus 135 to finish I'm in on both sides for sure what's up marquee great to see I hope you're doing well next fight on the card definitely not my favorite David Martinez and Dan E gay minus 420 Martinez plus 320 E gay plus 150 for this fight to finish Martinez plus 185 inside the distance E gay plus 650 one of my least favorite fights on the card E gay only been knocked out once both guys are strikers not much green that we're looking like or that we're looking at on the stone I got this is a fade if I had to play any it'd be E gay but I think he is outmatched on the feet is going to lose a decision what about you yeah I think this is a fight that's set up for Martinez to get the win I just really like Martinez is striking overall he's really fast he's got such good hands I think he's got power and he can go

23:15hard for 15 minutes E gay I think he has one shot knockout power that's his only real chance to win a striking match I think he should really look to wrestle I think in this fight but he hasn't landed multiple takedowns in like a decade basically so I wouldn't trust for that to happen I think this is all Martinez if he wins all three rounds I don't think Martinez pays off a $9,200 salary though so he probably is reliant on either a knockout or multiple knockdowns for him to get there that's why I have it as a two star don't really care for this fight but Martinez is my clear pick to win I like him a lot we see it the same sounds like we both think it's a fade and Martinez wins a decision next fight on the card Waldo Courta as a cost of minus 190 Curtis blades plus 165 minus 115 for this fight to finish a Costa plus 150 inside the distance blades plus 425 what do you think in this one another one I really like because I think it's similar

24:18to the Chyra's Elliott fight where a Costa is probably alive to knock out blades in any round at all I think he is the better striker the much more powerful striker he's more durable blades has a questionable chin he's taken a lot of damage took a lot of damage in that last fight against Hoke it but that was an epic fight and I think that fight alone makes me think he could stand with a Costa for a while but blades needs to get back to his wrestling I think if he wrestles in this fight he could win all three rounds and look like he should have been a big favorite he is getting old though I don't know that that is in play like it used to be but he is one of those underdogs that has 120 point upside and I I like to play that but if he doesn't wrestle I think he will get knocked out at some point so I'm cool with either side of this one I don't even remember who I picked to win let me see I pick blades so yeah usually if I don't know who I'm picking to win it's usually the underdog I like it this fight or like you said this fight's very similar to the Chira's Elliott

25:18fight you have it four star both three and three on both which one would like fight would you have to if you had played a single entry and you could just target one which fight would you target man one fights optimal one fight's not optimal which one is optimal I guess I'll go with this one just because they're bigger guys the first round knockouts more in play yeah I think I'd probably agree and it's close though yeah super close I might end up with more exposure to the other one I don't know we'll see yeah it's definitely close what I was going to say is yeah like you look at blades recent fights it seems like he like doesn't even wrestle anymore however the hoax fight you went two for seven on takedowns not great but he still shot seven takedowns and what was in all our war most of that fight kuni a fight two for fifteen on takedowns or at least he's trying it seems and you looked at it I guess a little different than I you said like because of the hoax fight like he can stand with a coast of for a while which maybe is true but man I think

26:21that was the worst fight to happen to his career he's already been knocked out five times he took all that damage I am really worried about the chin of blades I think a coast that can maybe just touch him a couple times when the chin goes it really goes a coast is not known for just his one shot power but I am worried about if blades can't get takedowns he gets knocked out or blades gets him on the mat and he could dominate him there so I think it's very binary fight to expect or coin flip to finish but I think a coast of more live probably for a KO then the market and most of blades wins at 7500 or optimal so I like this fight a lot I want to be overweight for sure and it has to stay and check someone in terms of ownership because that nickname really he fights right next to it and we'll get a ton and then again chyrus Elliott is going to get some ownership too so this fight has to stay and check to an extent to a fight that I don't think it's much ownership kind of similar to the Martinez EG a fight is Minon for your oh minus 245 I like to grow so plus 203 most likely fight to go the distance on the card at minus 350 furo plus 400 inside

27:26the distance grass so plus 600 for me it's dog her past and that's just because grass so $1600 cheaper and if she scores 7 and each she has a chance whereas furo does it but I think furo wins a decision don't think rosso has success wrestling much I think it's probably one side at 3027 and this fight bust so what do you think yeah one of my least favorite fights on the card I put the four star next to grass so and the two star next to furo just because the pricing alone I'm really I'm picking furo to win I think she is just the more powerful striker the one who's going to be able to set the pace better in the clinch better wrestler as well grass those just faster more a better opportunistic submission grappler coming off one of the nastiest finishes of I've ever seen so just I would rather play her at 73 than furo at 89 but odds are this won't be in any of my liners if I'm only making ten or less lineups this week so pick is furo to win but probably score

28:2875 to 85 points and I don't think that cuts at 89 I agree yeah you and I are locked sepa on this one all right let's get to the people's main events I have not I really cannot remember too many fights that I've been more excited to go like when I am going to the fight that I'm more excited than this fight right here on man this I just it feels like it can't miss it feels like there's no outcome which obviously isn't sure every fight there's an outcome where it's bad I don't understand percentages but I just do not can't comprehend what a bad fight of these two would look like that's Tommy McMillan and Marwin Rahiki minus 160 to McMillan plus 142 Rahiki minus 250 for this fight to finish McMillan plus 120 inside the distance Rahiki plus 200 yeah just looking at some of the line movement we had McMillan open minus 135 a couple minutes later was minus 185 a day later McMillan was minus 133 then he gets up to minus 171 on Tuesday let me just make sure yeah minus 171 on

29:36Tuesday and now finds himself as a minus 162 favorite this fight opened come on it's not gonna refresh I want to say it opened minus 175 to finish and it's now minus 250 you can see it was minus 200 to finish on Tuesday now it's minus 250 yeah open minus 160 to finish not all the way down to minus 250 it's gonna be a war 8600 7600 even though it's three rounds I'm in for it I'm in for what do you think you're gonna how do you see a play out who do you like more for DFS yeah break it down yeah cannot wait for this fight McMillan's gonna be one of my favorite fighters in the UFC I think he has real chance to be an absolute superstar he's gonna need to keep winning but if he wins this fight it's gonna help out a lot Rahiki doesn't have a great name but the people who know what they're who know know the sport they know that this is gonna be an epic fight I think if it ends in the first round Rahiki is our likely knockout winner I think he is just the more skilled striker has more tools and is striking toolbox and he is aggressive trying to kill his opponent early in the fight

30:41but I think he can slow down and I think the longer it goes the the pace that McMillan can set the volume that he can throw I think he's just gonna drown Rahiki and either knock him out late or win a decision but I also think that McMillan is gonna be a sneaky wrestler in this fight too especially in round one when Rahiki is his freshest so I kind of think McMillan wrestles round one and then picks up that volume in round two round three either way I like this fight I want it to be in every single lineup that I hand build I'm gonna try to get it more McMillan just because he's my favorite fighter on the card but I definitely want some Rahiki hedges as well because I think he is super alive so we're not only in the first round but in the first minute I think he could get a first 60 second knockout wow I man this one's really tough for me so this is where I'm going with it I think so many remember Tommy and like you said like he has the bigger name he fought more recent he's absolutely put up what was it 168 draft Kings points his last time out in a third round

31:46knockout like he has all the the start on behind them I think that will translate to people clicking his name more on DFS and could see in like any site that you look at the projected ownership just be under on McMillan and over on Rahiki and it could be something like 48% 52% Tommy McMillan comes Saturday and where he keeps like 33% it definitely could be wrong how you predict ownership is very important in a dupe sport like MMA with a limited player pool but I'm taking that thought process and thinking McMillan gets steam or he key moon locks back and I'm just gonna go against the grain and it's easier for me because he's 1k less they share the same amount of upside and like I like the favorites like almost always more than the dogs it's tougher for me to click dogs so with all that going on I'm just clicking Rahiki not knowing anything about the sport besides that I think one guy has fandom and is gonna steam but it's pure game theory for me it's a phenomenal fight I'm gonna be cheering for whoever my best teams are there like three fights

32:48left you kind of know the teams you're cheering for I'll probably be hoping I'm cheering for Tommy because he's the favorite and I feel better about it but I'm gonna have more Rahiki to the field I think you said you're gonna have it a hundred percent of teams how many like if you had 50 teams but you make that rule and still do that um I'd have a how does it how does it fail how does it fail and I poke no contest yeah all right then yeah load up on it because that outcome especially with these two junkyard dogs it have to really be bad for them not to quit so yeah 28 years old for Tommy 24 Rahiki somebody's oh has to go this is what the sports all about I can't wait for co-main event time I mean this like I said that's the main event or at least that's the people's co-main event like it's the people's main event but it should be the co-main event this fight has Brandon Moreno but it's another not great one for DFS in my opinion Joseph Morellus minus 120 Brandon Moreno plus a hundred second most likely fight to go the distance at minus 290 Morellus plus 350 inside the distance Moreno plus 525 for me it's Morellus or bust pretty much for

33:54DFS he wants it on the mat he's a submission guy I think if he can catch him in any round if he gets in round one he has a chance Moreno I think his best path keep it on the feet box is he knocking out Morellus I don't know props don't really think so so I'm gonna guess kind I'm gonna guess if he doesn't not a fight I want Morellus or nothing and I don't even know how much Morellus I like yeah I originally started as a two star on this and I moved it to a three star just because it's in the mid range they're both cheap enough where they don't need a hundred points to make the optimal lineup but I do think it's I'll play it more like a two star because I'm not too interested in either side I like that Moreno is the underdog he's $7,900 it's UFC Noche which is why they got him on the card I believe so I think there's reasons to play him but he seems like he's really on the way down and Morellus is on the way up Morellus is the better submission grappler I like the pace he sets as well I would worry about a striking match in this fight with

34:55just either side scoring 60 points in a decision but Morellus does have the higher upside because of his pace wrestling and submission so I think I probably do prefer him over Moreno a little bit I like it we're on the same page all right last fight of the night made event time big favorite is Jean Silva minus 425 taking on Jose Delgado plus 337 minus 450 for this fight to finish Silva minus 275 inside the distance Delgado plus 525 Silva round one plus 215 this was supposed to be Jose or Jean Silva and Yair Rodriguez which I was really pumped for out was Rodriguez with an injury in his Jose Delgado I'll let you start I've started most of these fights I'll let you give all your thoughts before before mine yeah I think it's going to be a fun main event both guys are strikers I'm either one could mix in takedowns but I expect a striking match in this one I think Delgado has a much better chance than Vegas does Silva's the one who's been planning for this fight so I think

35:59the longer it goes the more it favors him I like him to be the one pushing the pace moving forward eating shots to give shots being a little bit more dangerous but Delgado is a slick striker I think he could catch Silva in rounds one or two and put him away and absolutely be a lock for the optimal but I think the longer it goes the more he'll start to slow down because of the short notice and I think Silva would start to take over probably finish him late and there could be decent volume as well so I'm not going to make it a rule to have this fight in my lineup I put it as a five star because it is my second favorite fight behind the Mcmillan one but it's not that much ahead of the a coast to fight in the Chai Res fight either those are right there behind this yeah I don't I don't know if I come an underway to the main event or just underway Silva like I I think Silva's naturally going to be over clicked and over on because he's the main event favorite but the fights minus 425 to finish just because his fight is the main event so it has an extra two rounds it's not expected to

37:03get to the championship rounds but so I think it just naturally gets inflated based on that without any merit to it's and he's 9300 if I can get a lot lower owned let's see I mean Terrance not a lot or Terrance a lot lower owned and cheaper so that's a one-of-one pivot you can do I was going to say gant for 100 more I don't think he's going to be much lower owned to be honest if at any I think it's pretty close but you can drop down to the coast as or the Mcmillan's or the man there's all the other options are pretty much ahead of them maybe I will get a little more Bob Moon days and I initially thought or something like that because I'm playing him instead of Silva even though Silva's 200 less I think probably Silva instead of Bob Moon days and leaving the money is more popular I don't know I think Silva's going to be over on when it's all said and done though I do like Delgado a lot though because when he wins it's really hard for me not like him not being optimal

38:036900 I think he loses I think Silva knocks him out I think Delgado I'm worried about the durability against the fucking monster of Silva that's going to be in his face walking him down parking at him hands down like he's a scary dude is Silva and Delgado can be can be hurt but at the price all Delgado's wins gotta be optimal and he'll be a lot lower owned and leverage off a chalk you're Silva so I think Game Theory's leading me that way you were gonna say something no I think that makes sense though maybe maybe I move it down to a four star and kind of play it a little bit the same yeah I definitely want fades in this one for sure I think this is a good card for DFS a little over 17,000 people I believe $20 was the main entry fee for 100K up top and yeah 13 fights 26 fighters we might not see anyone above 50% if so I don't think it's gonna be by too much a lot of combinations I absolutely cannot wait for this one some great fights littered throughout and then we got NFL Sunday the very next day then we also got NFL on Monday

39:08we're recording this on Thursday guess what we also got NFL in less than two hours so definitely head over to shipenation.com bottom left join the nation you can get in for all access monthly or above which qualifies you for the ship it games gets you NFL college football MLB MMA NASCAR on Sundays all the sports going on right now as you can see what each package gets you gets cheaper if you do go up to annual versus month we also do have sigle sport options if you are just in the MMA streets and don't even mess with NFL less than a dollar a day you can get over to MMA get into this court check out the stone projections ownership everything gets up on Friday and if there's any updates that's needed we take this court and update as well I'm pumped big Marley best time of the year I'm liking what you rock in your shirt as well I don't thought before we get on out here man have fun at the fights I think it's gonna be an awesome one to be at cannot wait for that Tommy Mcmillan fight I hope he wins just for the sport alone

40:10good luck to you title good luck to everybody listening let's ship it good luck everybody for big Marley I'm title town be safe good luck peace