Prop Points | September 11, 2026

0:00this is prop points on Vsin. These sports betting network. Now here's your host, the guru himself, John Hansen. Good afternoon, happy Friday. Welcome to another edition of prop points here on Vsin. I'm John Hansen of Fantasy Points.com, the program per usual produced by Mr. Michael Cohen and another big program forthcoming, plenty of betting leans and TD props, which will get to in about 15 minutes for NFL Sunday, then we'll step aside from the football talk to talk with Josh Chivalier of fantasy points college football, my man was four and one last week. So he's got a bunch more props for

1:00college football action, mostly tomorrow in segment number three at the bottom of the hour, and then we'll end the program with my top props for NFL Sunday. I do have eight of them that I'm officially going in on and we better have a good week because we're already behind as we review last night's activities and it's been a tough start. There's no way around it. We've got a ton of mitigating circumstances with these two standalone games, which of course it's a standalone game. So I feel compelled to pop out some props like the opener, the starting quarterback for Seattle goes down. That kind of threw a monkey wrench into the plan and of course, AJ Brown going down, Seattle's defense absolutely lights out. Last night, of course, you've got the travel issue, which was very apparent obviously for the Los Angeles Rams and that kind of ruined everything quite frankly. We went

2:01one and one on the leans, but not so good on the problem. We barely won that McCaffrey prop. I mean, you got to be kidding me. And what happened? We got the five grabs, but if you watch the game, he dropped an easy one early there's six and then he had a literal catch that was rolled a non catch and they didn't check it out. That was seven. That was our Thursday night special and actually know it was the Thursday night special. Yeah, 262. I took a shot with George Kierolley. Got me. What can I say? Now he was out there a lot. He looked good early. Jake Tungus actually even got hurt. Perhaps if the Rams had put up a fight, George would have gotten hit by a lot of the teams. He was out there. He was taking unfortunately and Devonte Adams. I'm shocked that I even went with this one quite frankly because well I understand why because it's been

3:02really quiet. I'm like, OK, he's healthy. You know, Pukas had a very colorful off season. So I thought it would be a higher scoring affair. It was not so not great, but the good news is finally we do have a lot of good players. I think it's a lot of good players and that's exactly what I've done. I do have a couple of unders involved here and speaking of unders. Unfortunately as the Niners get it done 27, 7. I mean once again, hate to say it. If you bet all unders, you win. Basically a Brock Purti didn't get to his yards. He did get Tuddy's obviously Stafford didn't get to anything. Blake Corm, I believe, did what he looked good. By the way, really good to say it. I mean, I didn't get there. Kyron did in the passing game, but Pukas didn't get there, catches yards. Those were all unders. But over here for the Niners. Well, let's talk about the Zon's struggling. It does look like he avoided a kill is we'll get

4:04to that a serious one. Mike Evans look really good. I mean, I certainly expect that I though 49. I'm not sure if he hit his total. He did score. He did score. He did score. He did score. But of course, Debo out there at a nowhere. Six grabs for 48. And of course, Demarkis Robinson started by 0.0 people in the gambling space and in fantasy leaves the team and gets the touch down back. I'm going back and forth a little bit here. The tight ends for the Rams. And look, I think we probably have to just throw it in the game. I mean, I think we've got 155 with 0 touchdowns in a pick. But man, these tight ends Davis. Al and Tyler Higby, Colby Parkinson, Terence Ferguson all got targets. But to me, big story of the game. And we did lose the McCaffrey. I mean, you got to, you got to just throw your hands up in the air sometimes when you take a rushing under for a guy

5:05gets 10 carries. And he gets it big time. But I do think that Kyle Shanahan talked about the plan for this backfield. And boy, I didn't know if it would get going in week one, but it's sure as heck did what my guy Kale on black. He was my top sleeper running back. And on the board this year, I had him on my target list, been giving his kid a lot of love. And man, he was the number two rate to run it back for the Niners in the draft out of Indiana. He come out there getting early meaningful carries. But what he did, he did, he did, he did it, presumably by the old eyeball test. Is it kept McCaffrey under wraps a little bit? You're you're putting a lot of trust in Kale on black. I'm sure he missed some holes. But you know, he is a rookie. And he overall showed very well. 4.6 yards per carry. So I think this is going to be the plan going forward because it again, it worked right at the half. They start giving him McCaffrey some carries. And he was like a

6:05lot of time. So he had to get more than one carry in the first half. If that maybe even six. So get used to Kale on black being a factor. And probably limiting McCaffrey's upside. But over the long haul, it will probably work well. I think it goes without saying that Kale on black is a top waver wire guy. I actually drafted him in a bunch of leagues. We talked about that high stakes draft I did for the FFPC. I think it was like, I think it was over the over the Liberty weekend. Just like I said, I'm not sure about that. And I think he was a great factor early this week. I did in fact draft Kale on black. So more more for a stash in hope guy. Obviously, but pretty clear that if Christian McCaffrey does miss time, Kayla black is a starter at worst third running back in fantasy. Let's take a look at some news and storylines coming out of the National football league. And the patriots have I think they got the Raiders in a month. So I think I guess I'll miss that too.

7:06Yeah, but we got Pittsburgh at Jacksonville and at Buffalo. That's a little bit of a scary schedule for New England and they're just like that. Just like that, they're back to being pretty darn thin at receiver these next four weeks or thinner than they were last year. Because last year they had a guy named K-Shaw and Booty who they obviously traded away to Houston ESPN's Josh Winefuss reports that the expectation is that Jeremiah Love will play Sunday against the chargers. I am certainly preparing and I have been for a lot of Tyler Al Jir. He's pretty rock solid. Certainly not the greatest matchup. I do expect L.A. to be up in that game. The Cowboy signed Ryan Flornoi. Pretty big deal here for dude in his position. Ryan Flornoi. Most people haven't heard of him, but he's pretty good. Pretty good vertical thread. I love him as they're three. One year deal worth six million bucks and speaking of Dizzan Stribbling as I noted earlier

8:07per Shanahan, the Achilles was intact after week one's victory. It also Jake Tonjes per Shanahan suffered an MCL injury against the Rams. Quick look at some other notable injuries through the Thursday practice. Roma Duneset has still been limited. I am in on a Bears receiver. So stay tuned for that. Jonathan Brooks, he's still limited. Some soreness. Certainly both pretty well for Chuba Hubbard. The Bills and Texans, not much going on here, but Ty Johnson's out of practice. I'm not even exactly sure why, but if he ends up being ruled out or inactive, I mean, that would certainly help James Cook's ability to catch the ball and produce in the passing attack. You got St.S. Lions, Alvin Cameras still limited. Obviously it's going to be Travis H. Han. Guess we got that right. Christian Isian, more on him, believe it or not later, but he is their slot corner. He has been limited, expecting fireworks in that game, St.S. Lions in Detroit, Browns, Jags,

9:10Malik Collins keeping on that. I do like the Jaguar running game. We'll talk about that a little bit later. Jacobi Myers, Malik Collins, the D tackle there for the Browns. Jacobi Myers has been limited in practice this week. So we'll check on that. Bucks, Bengals, the Mecca Buka full practice. That's good, but General Mcmillan, I like General Mcmillan, but he's been limited. So I'm going to hold off on using the prop, Sean Tucker, limited as well, Ruben Bain, a full practice. But the Bengals, DJ Turner has been limited. So we'll keep an eye on that. When the Final Ninja report, he has a shutdown corner there for the Cincinnati Bengals. Falcon Steelers, Michael Pettics full practice, but to a tongue of Elowa, still the starter, we think. He's been limited. That's scary. Jets Titans looks good for Breast Hall, fully practicing. Not much going on for the Titans. Ravens Colts, Zay flowers, a full practice. Alex Pierce, though, is limited. I'd be careful there. We mentioned Jeremiah Love, limited Josh Sweat,

10:13still limited. Keaton Mitchell, limited. I do like him here in Hampton in this game. Commander's Eagles, Jekori Kroski Merritt, is still limited, which could bowed well for Rashad White's role in Doron Pain, limited. That could help a Saquon Barkley, Grinard for the Eagles has been limited. Dolphins Raiders, obviously Brock Bowers, but Ashton Gentie, a full practice, Packers, Vikings, Hargrave, and why a couple of detacles that could bow limited for the Packers. That could help the Vikings. And Vikings are very healthy. Going into this one, Cowboys, Giants, Malik neighbors, full practice, Andrew Thomas, full practice, Theo Johnson, full practice. And then the Chiefs, Broncos, Mahomes practicing in full to start the week, Rishi Rice as well, Josh Simmons, the tackle may not play. We'll talk, touchdown props and leans on the other side, but first, if you think you're better than the experts, now's your chance to prove it. The Edge Boost Average Joe Contest puts you in the same pick-up game as the Circa Friday football invitation,

11:14or the one the pros plays. Top Average Joe earns a spot next year, Circa Invitational Field, free to play. You can register anytime during the season, Edge Boost offering its customers a $1,000 deposit. If you finish first for the week, and if you don't have an Edge Boost account yet, sign up at edgebuss.io with the promo code Vison. Make sure your account is funded with at least $100. Enter the contest today at vison.com slash Joe. That is vsin.com slash Joe. When we return, I do have some leans and some touchdown props for week one in the National Football League here on Prop Voice. You're watching Prop Points with the Guru, John Hanson,

12:15on Vison, the Sports Bene Network. Welcome back to a Friday edition of Prop Points here on Vison. I'm John Hanson. A little bit of a nuggly start in the National Football League. So we do need to make up some ground here on Sunday, but I was just telling our producer, Michael Cohen, off the air that, you know, I have never been more calculated with everything I look at. So I do feel good about all the recos that we're going to be popping out here going forward now that we don't have to focus and only have a one game to choose from. Now during the season, I tend to like those standalone games because, you know, you're really focus in on them when it's just one game, but early in the season, it's just brutal because of a lot of things, but mainly because these teams and players aren't really playing in the preseason anymore. But neither here nor there, let me pop out.

13:15Like I've been explaining this year, I'm going to be putting out fewer official picks because it's just ridiculous how many I put out last year. But I will be putting out about the same number of recommendations for those who are interested and we're just simply calling them leans. I've got four leans for week one. I wish I had the courage to put this one on my main list, but I am going on record that Amika, Amika Obuka will go under. We're taking it under here, 54.5. Now DJ Turner is limited, so not so sure about that, but it's 54.5 at minus 115 on Bet, MGM. I mean, it's week one. I'm sure DJ Turner, if he was in danger of missing the game, we'd hear more about it. So it could be absolutely nothing quite frankly, but the situation here for Obuka does not bode well. And by the way, I'm going to be making another official, making an official play that's kind of corresponds to this Obuka fade, if you will.

14:17Obuka under 54.5, Bengals allowed the seventh fewest receptions per game and the sixth fewest receiving yards per game, two outside receivers last year. And a lot of that was Mr. DJ Turner, who we are projecting shadow coverage on Obuka. Turner gave up just 0.20 fantasy points per rat run. That was the seventh fewest of any outside corner. Obuka is practicing in full, but we do know he's been dealing with that turf toe. It's also a negative schematic matchup for him and his quarterback struggling lately, or at least last year in terms of cover three, which they run 34% of the time and cover one. So all total, that's 55% of the time. Amaka Obuka is only at 1.58 yards per rat run on 270 routes against those coverages. So I did lose in Obuka over last year

15:18and it was a lock to win until he cut loose on a fluky play. I think it was against the Eagles. It was a ball that went through two players' hands. I believe one of them was Cooper DeGener may have been read blank and shipped and then he kind of caught it and took off and went, there's a loss. So, but unless we get one one play like that, a big kind of fluky play, I think we're going to be good with this one here. Next up, I am a Rashad white apologist always have, always will be from day one. Never said he was a stud, by the way, but I did opine that he had some of the best hands I've ever seen for a running back. So we're going to put that to the test a little bit here. And part of this is, look, it's a very low total. I understand Laramie tonsils out. The offensive line is shaky. It is certainly a tough matchup, but white is very good in pass pro.

16:19So he's going to be out there a lot. And I do think Philly is going to crush him. I, by the way, I think Barkley is going to run all over them. So we are actually projecting 18, which doesn't sound like a lot, but that's a 24% boost to this total. And I, like I said, he should be out there on third down and all that. So all we need is a couple of screens, a dump off or two. And we'll take it in garbage time, by the way. That's kind of what I'm thinking. It might be a quiet game for Rashad. You might get some early down calories with Cory Croskey Merritt, but I'm thinking, at the end of the game, against a disinterested Eagles team that already has it in the bag. Let's give Rashad a couple of dump offs there in Garbosh time. Next up Parker Washington almost went official on this, but we are officially leaning toward this as a play. And we are going to keep track of the leans, by the way. Over 53.5 receiving yards at minus 113 on D-Camine. If he can pick up where I left off last year,

17:22we're good. I mean, he was absolutely bawling last year. Chikobie Myers is a little bit banged up here. New Brown's DC Mike Ruttenberg was their defensive pass game coordinator last year. He's still around. They ranked second in the NFL and cover four usage. Parker Washington sees an 83% boost to his yards per route run against cover four over his last 10 regular season games. And a whopping, this a huge number, 4.43 yards per route run. That is massive. He should also mostly avoid their solid outside corners and a Denzel Warden Tyson Campbell. Next up, here's my, I guess you could say it's a weird one, but it's, I think, sneaky. Khalif Raymond, over 16.5 receiving yards at minus 115 on D-Camine. I felt very strongly about this. I almost put it in the official play.

18:22I was like, you know, it's week one. Let's not try not to be a hero, but I do like this quite a bit. Khalif Raymond played for Ben Johnson for multiple years, obviously, in Detroit. That's why he's there. And I spoke with Brad Begg's a long time beat writer of the Chicago Tribune in the summer. And he said, hey, Khalif Raymond's all over the place in practice. He's going to be their slot receiver. Carolina gave up the seventh most yards to the slot last year while they gave up the 10th fewest on the outside. So Raymond will avoid their outstanding corners. Mike Jackson and JC Horn. And it is also a tougher schematic and individual matchup for Roma Dunes, a who's also banged up. All right, or real quick. I've got some touchdown props. And by the way, spoiler alert, the lot of these guys are going to be mentioned in the final segment. Let's just say that. But we'll start with Malik Welles anytime, Tuddy.

19:25At plus 330, we are projecting a whopping 49.5 rushing yards for Malik Willis. Very quietly, he was the best fantasy quarterback in the NFL last year on a per dropback basis, of course, only 47 dropbacks. But he averaged 1.1 fantasy points per dropback. All of it, not all of it, but most of it, obviously, dude, was running. That was double what Josh Allen did last year, which is pretty, pretty crazy. Next up, try the Valle. My guy, Devon Valle at plus 400, deep sleeper this summer. And I don't think he could have asked for a better matchup in this one. He should see a good amount of Christian Isian in the slot. He's only 5'9", and Valle is 6'4". So we're looking at a distinct size advantage. I don't know if he'll be on him in the end zone. But he's certainly a very inviting end zone target.

20:25I remember we hit a Thursday night special a couple of years ago when he was with Denver. We're like, try the Valle. And he scored. And it was a big one here. Detroit's 7-point home favorite. We got a high total of 50 expected. I see the Saints throwing it a ton. So I do like me some Valle. The upside in this one is real. Next up, a little bit of a shot in the dark here, but I think the Jaguars as 8.5-point home favorites are going to do well on the ground with Basiel Tutin and Chris Rodriguez. Tutin averaged 0.63 fantasy points of personnel while leading. That was the tenth most. And he's going to get the ball, but Rodriguez ranks since entering the NFL among 67 qualifying running backs. He ranks first in yards. They have to contact per attempt. So if you're not giving him the ball and a close a roll, I don't know what we're doing, but we could also, we could certainly see him be the preferred option for Liam Cohen on top of the goal. If it's first in goal to two, Cohen loves Rodriguez.

21:28He had him at Kentucky, and then last but not least, Cade Ahten, the fantasy ottoman, anytime touchdown at plus 360. Last year, the Bengals gave up the most targets, yards, receptions, and touchdowns, two tight ends along with the highest market share in the NFL for the position at 31%. So I feel good about that. Feel really good about our guy, Josh Javalleier of fantasy points, college football. My man was four and one last week. So get ready for some great picks for week two. But first, the weight is finally over. College football and the NFL are officially underway now as a time to get your edge with Veecent Pro. Become a Veecent Pro subscriber today. Instant access to the updated NFL betting guide with post preseason updates, week one betting systems, contest strategies, fresh best bets, and more. You'll also receive the college football betting guide with previews of all 138 FBS teams. Sign up now.

22:28You'll get daily best bets real time betting. Slitz from draft, draft Kings and circa, a power prop tools 21st, 7 video on the Veecent watch app. Get started for just $9.99 or save 50% with a Veecent Pro annual subscription at evesen.com slash subscribe. Now that's vsin.com slash subscribe. Josh Javalleier, college football, propage coming at us next here on this Friday edition of Pro Points. You're watching prop points with the guru John Hansen on Veecent, Vee sports betting network. Welcome back to this Friday edition of prop points here on Veecent before we go to the progressive guest line breaking

23:29news in the NFL friend of this program, Mr. Adam Shepter, reporting that to a tongue of L Loa has been ruled out. So it will be Cooper Rush getting the start for the Falcons who just signed on July 26th. So could be worse. I've seen worse, but that's not a huge window. Well, we have a big window to win cash on college football props every Friday. It's we're up to it right now. Josh Javalleier, college football analyst over at fantasy points on the ex machine at CFF guys. Josh, welcome back to the program. First question, are you more happy about going four and one last week or more said that you missed five and oh by one damn yard? How are you? Oh, man. You know, it never feels good to miss anything by half a yard. But you know, this is how props go, right?

24:30Sometimes when the lines are close and the edges are tight, you know, you're going to miss occasionally. So I'm looking forward to this week getting back on it. We'll take an 80% hit rate any day of the week. No doubt. Well, let's get into it because right out of the gate here, you got a big one here, big game. Number one Ohio State against number four, Texas. We're just talking, I watched that Texas game for about two, three quarters. I thought Archman and looked amazing. But Julian Sain and Jeremiah Smith were doing their thing last week. He caught eight of nine targets for a buck 51 and two tuts. I saw that one on the right side. He's flying going like 30 miles an hour. You like Jeremiah Smith over 81.5 receiving yards. And you didn't, in fact, tell me that this is your third try on an over for this stud. You're, you're all in two. So that means you're due. Exactly. I mean, Texas has shut this kid down in the playoffs

25:31two years ago that he caught like one pass for like six yards. And then last year, the six sketches for 43 yards, they've had his number. It is a different offensive coordinator. So I think, you know, Jeremiah Smith, third times a charm, I think you can get this one. Look, this kid's unbelievable. And he's trying to compete with Malachi Tony right now for the best receiver in college football. Last week, Malachi Tony went for 233 yards. Jeremiah Smith saw that he said, I don't care if it's ball state. I'm going off. Eight catches, 151 yards. And last night, Tony went off again. Four catches for 96 yards in like a quarter of play against Florida and him. But I think Jeremiah is watching his buddy from South Florida and going like, I'm going to beat him each and every week. And I think he's going to come out and show that he is no doubt the front runner for the bulletin' of cough this year. And so I think 81.5 is way too short. We have met 95 and a half receiving yards at fantasy points.

26:33And I think he's going to hit that. And by the way, today's props are directly on underdog for those who have access to that. Let's go to number two, Wake Forest at Purdue tomorrow, New Eastern Kickoff. You like the quarterback here for Wake, Geo Lopez over 234.5 passing yards. Last week, my man was 21 to 32 for 350. So what are you saying here with Geo? Man, this is really a matchup play. I mean, I like Geo a lot. I think he's got three wide receivers there at Wake Forest that are incredible, led by Carlos Hernandez. And the kid had, I think, six or seven catches for 150 yards and 1.5 a play last week. And look, Wake Forest is the number two offense, last year passing offense and explosiveness last week. And Purdue was second to last and passing explosiveness defense. So they're giving up a ton through the air, Purdue.

27:34I mean, they played Indiana State and gave up 340 plus yard receptions. If they're going to be that leaky on the back end, then Geo Lopez is going to have a field day. We haven't projected at 249.9 passing yards. This prop is at 234. It may even creep up a little bit more, but I think as long as it doesn't hit 240, I'm going to take the over on this. I could see this game, having some scoring to it. And Geo Lopez being the beneficiary of that. Josh Shivalier, Fantasy Points College football on the line with us. And he's on the X machine here at CFF guys. And also the college football product over there at FantasyPoints.com. You can use a promo code to get 10% off. CFB26, next up here on your list. You know, when I think of Old Dominion football for the rest of my life, I'm going to be thinking about Taylor Haniky and his girlfriend or wife

28:35and how she looked up at Taylor Haniky. I'm like, that's beautiful right there, but that's neither here nor there. Old Dominion at Virginia Tech. You got Ethan Grunkmeyer of VA Tech under 239.5. He threw for 224 last week. What are you seeing here with baby Grunk? Man, Taylor Haniky, he's a CFF darling back in the day. He's the ODEU passing record holder. So we love him. Look, Grunk, man, I mean, look, this this prop, I just think it's too high. This is a guy that even at 239.5 passing arts, he's only gone over this once in his career and it was against Clemson in a bowl game last year. They are almost 20 point favorites against ODEU this week. And their running game was absolutely awesome in week one. And I expect them to continue to grind the ball with Marcelo's Hawkins, with Jeff Overton, who is his dad. We played against him in a high school, say, championship game.

29:35So Jeff Overton is bringing back old memories for me. But Jeff, anyways, get Grunkmeyer. Like I just don't think he's going to have enough volume in this game to hit 239.5 passing yards. And the fact that he hasn't done it, he's more of a game manager than really a guy that's going to crush you through the air. So and ODEU was tough against the past last year. So if Virginia, Texcan have success, which we expect them to, a three touchdown favorite almost, then they'll do it through on the ground and not through the air. So I'm going under my first under the year, by the way. Oh, OK. Well, in the NFL, I wish I took everything under last night, by the way. Next up, Mississippi State, at Minnesota, tomorrow at 3.30 p.m. Eastern, Javon Tracy of Minnesota, over 42.5 receiving yards, last week caught five of seven targets for 98 in a tuddy. So what do you see there? Yeah, I mean, again, this is a guy, you just said it.

30:37He was the lead receiver last week. He moved into the slot this year from outside and took over for the former receiving leader on that team, Lemmeek Brockington. And so look, I'm expecting them to be really good, both this week and for this year. And Mississippi State's coming in there, they just put up a ton of points in week one. They have a great quarterback and Mario Taylor. So I think they're going to have to throw the ball in Minnesota well to have to keep up here. I'm expecting this game to shoot over in the total and leaving, you know, Javon Tracy with a bunch of opportunities to go over what's relatively a small line. He's been steamed up even since we first looked at this by three to six yards. So, you know, Javon Tracy is going to go over this number of 42.5. I'm a big, there's a term for this that I just tried to Google, but I can't pull it in, but I'm a big first name person. I feel like sometimes it's like manifest destiny

31:38when you name a kid a badass name. Like, well, it hasn't really worked out for tank Bixby. But, you know, for example, like, I know it's not his real name, but Dibo has been called Dibo since he was literally a child in the crib. That's what Dibo Samuel and self told me used to bully other babies. And anyway, legend glassker of BYU over 36.5, three catches for 65 yards. I guess it was that last week, but it looks like you're thinking he's a star. Better be good if your name's legend. What do you got there? Hey, and he's on a team with some guys that have incredible names, like Bear, Bachmeier, and then there's Tiger Bachmeier on that team. And then they got Hank. I don't know what Hank did as the oldest son to get screwed over, but here we are. Look, legend glassker looks like a star in the making. BYU had a kid last year named Parker Kingston on the team that they would manufacture touches to there in the slot.

32:39Legends essentially taken over for Parker. And he looked awesome in week one. He took about four touches and three touchdowns. That's amazing. He looked like the best player in that receiving court in week one. So, look, this number, I just don't think the market has quite caught up to him because he didn't have a lot of targets week one. But that's because he played a half against Utah Tech, because they didn't need them. They will this week against Arizona in order to beat them. And so, look, legend, I think is one of the safest calls of this week. Going over great stuff. Josh Shavallie, a fantasy points college at CFF guys on the X machine. Good luck with other plays, sir. We really appreciate it. Great job last week. My official picks on the other side. But first 25 handicaps are going ahead to the next week. I'm going to play with the other side. But first 25 handicaps are going ahead to head all season long on the circuit Friday football, invitational live every Friday from 7 to 10 PM Eastern. Each contestant makes seven college and NFL plays a week chasing a piece of a $30,000 in prize money.

33:39Want to pick without watching live. Vison Pro subscribers get every pick emailed straight to their inbox after the show. Subscribe at visa.com slash subscribe and never miss a play. And don't miss my week one plays next here on prop points. You're watching prop points, but the guru John Hansen on Vsend, these sports betting network. Final segment of this Friday edition of prop points here on Vsend. Thanks for tuning in. I've already popped out four leans for week one Sunday. Ameca Obuka under 54.5 receiving yards minus 115 bet MGM.

34:42Reshade white over 14.5 receiving yards minus 117 on DK. Parker Washington over 53.5 receiving yards minus 113 on D. K and Calif Raymond over 16.5 receiving yards minus 115 on DK. I know that's a weird name, but I do have a pretty good thought process there. Check out the segment on demand if need be. And I will also be popping out a best bet for week one. And think about the last year we get off to a red hot start. We were eight. No, I believe the final record was 12 and six. Pretty darn good. So that is coming out. And now coming out. Jan a moment, but right now it is time to reveal for week one my top props. You've heard the analytics. You've heard the stats. Now it's time for what you've really been waiting for the guru's top props.

35:42We have more analytics and more stats as we pop these out. Welcome back here. Malik Willis over 37.5 rushing yards minus 125. Not the greatest, but that number was a little lower by two yards. So with my luck, you know, when I lose, I often lose by like one or two yards. So I'm like, I'll take the yards. But I think it's a move point because we are projecting 49.5 rushing yards in our award winning projections over at fantasy points, by the way. That is 32% higher than this line. Very simply, Willis has five career games with 14 or more pass attempts. Basically, he's played in five games. He's rushed for 43 or more yards in four of the five. He was the best quarterback on the field on a fantasy points for dropback basis. So I'm very excited to see how Malik Willis looks. I just have this vibe and this feeling that he is.

36:44I feel really good about himself in terms of where he's progressed to. And you know, the game is slowed down for him a little bit. And next up, I'm going to be very angry if this one doesn't hit because I am all about trying the valet. Devon, valet 38.5 receiving yards were going over at minus 115. The lines allowed the sixth most receiving yards per game to the slot last year. So I don't have inside Maven Brian branch or Kirby Joseph. The lines have also used man coverage on 38% of opposing dropbacks to final 10 weeks last year. Second most in the NFL. The Lys sees a 39.9% boost to his targets per route run against the coverage. As I mentioned, he should see a lot of Isian in the slot who's only five nine. So I decided how to advantage there for Devon. Kind of like the second. He's like number two a or b in the passing attack behind Alave and Jawan Johnson.

37:46So they're going to need Devon, valet to step up with Jordan Tyson on the shelf. Detroit seven point home favorite high total of 50 expected. Saints run off a lot of plays. Tyler Shucks should be throwing it a ton. Next up, I got two bucks here. Chris Godwin over 41.5 receiving yards at minus one over. And the last one is minus one oh nine. That is over on DK. The Bengals gave up the 10th most receiving yards per game to slot receivers. He will also avoid inside the great DJ Turner. It's not the greatest schematic matchup, but they do use two high safeties about 43% of the time. And that's a positive. We're looking at a shootout here. He's got a total of 50.5. I do expect Joe Burrow to crush in this game in the Bengal offense. You got a booka with a brutal matchup. So I am thinking Chris Godwin. It's the time to use them while he's relatively healthy.

38:46He ranked as the wide receiver two with 19.7 fantasy points per game. The first seven games of way back in 2024. Next up, we're going to go right to K dot and the fantasy ottoman. It does look like a shootout like I mentioned, a booka does have that brutal matchup. Like I mentioned, Jalen McMillan is also a little limited. And again, the Bengals, the greatest tight end matchup in the history of the world last year. They gave up the most targets, receptions, yards, touchdowns, two tight ends last year with the highest market share at 31% of the targets going to tight ends up against the Bengals. Next we have Mr. Michael Pittman. We're going to go over 38.5 receiving yards, at minus 114 on Fandoah. I believe our guy Ryan Heath was in on this. I was in a pitman all year. I called him perhaps the most misprice player on the board.

39:46It's a little confusing because he was on the shelf for the entire month of August. Basically, but he is off the injury report. He is not on the injury report. It wasn't hamstring. Last year's Falcons with the two same outside corner backs and defensive play call or Jeff Olbridge. They were a perimeter funnel. They allowed the fifth most receiving yards per game to the outside. The ninth fewest to the slot at 13.9 over their last 10 games. The Falcons led the NFL and cover for usage. 32% over that same span. Pittman saw a 24% boost to his targets per route and against cover for. By the way, it's a shell that Aaron Rogers averaged just a 6.3 A dot. DK could get some of course, but I think Michael Pittman was brought in there specifically to be the high volume short passing game option with DK Metcalf potentially making a few more plays now.

40:47Feel good luck with that. But Pittman should be good to go with a lot of targets. Next up, Chris Rodriguez. We're in on the touchdown prop. We're also in on over 35.5 rushing yards at minus 111. I mean, the Jags are 8.5 point home favorites. That has worked out well for Baytial Tutan. So Liam Cohen definitely runs the rock when nursing lead to an average 0.63 fantasy points per snap while leading. That was a 10th best mark among all running backs. The Browns top seven run funnel. By the way, by pass rate over expectation allowed. It's under a difficult coordinator, but they do claim they're going to keep Jim Schwartz's scheme intact. And like I mentioned, since entering the league of 67 qualifying runnebacks, Rodriguez was first in yards after contact per attempt. Second and success rate, third in EPA per run, fifth in TD rate. By the way, I think I failed to point that out. So you got to think that he's going to get closer carries at the least.

41:51He could be worked in there right out of the gate as well with Tutan. So I like that. And we got to get an under in here because under is a hit and like crazy. So let's go under and I love Devonte Smith. But let's go under 67.5 receiving yards. It's a bigger number for Devonte who did miss a lot of time this summer. The chemistry may not be there. They are working in a new system. New DC, the commanders DC. New DC DC. Dorontay Jones is coach under Brian Flores for a number of years. Flores is Viking second in the usage of two high looks. And Devonte Smith sees a 38% yard per round run against a reduction against the two high looks. That may explain how we only got 42 yards and 52 yards in the two matchups. So I also think say, one bark Lee, by the way, is going to go off. We have one thing left to promote. That is the best bet for the week. But first we'll remind you up next on Vecin is Jonathan Von Tobel.

42:52And money moves on today's show Austin Eckler will join JVT in the circus studio to give his predictions for week one. Followed by follow the money with Mitch Moss and Paulie Howard and then it's seven Matt humans has placed from all 25 contestants competing for 30 grand of Derek Stevens's own money in the circuit Friday football invotational plus Vecin pro subscribers get every pick emailed after the show all right here on Vecin the sports betting network. And then I think that's the best bet bet. Best pick of the week is Colston, loveland over 51.5 receiving yards, minus 114 on Fandall bears head coach Ben Johnson has consistently crushed cover three, which Carolina consistency consistently uses. And then we've got the moment with the tight end. The tight ends get a fat 31.3% target share, Loveland sees a 29% boost to his targets per route run against cover three over the last 10 games.

43:54Carolina also gave up the eighth most receiving arts per game to tight ends last season. By the way, the last 10 games of the year Caleb Williams is YPA saw a 39% increase relative to all other shells against cover three. And you got to love how Ben Johnson basically is looking to break the scoring record. So he's going to keep his foot on the gas for as long as that is viable. So we're loving it. By the way, I also think Luther Burton could do very well in this game. Don't feel good about Roma Dunezay, but I do think with Caleb Williams being a fairly inaccurate passer of the football. I'm going to be looking for a massive target and a breakout player for sure. He even broke out last year. Colston Loveland over 51.5, receiving yards. Good luck with all the plays. We'll catch you on Monday for another edition of Prop Points right here on DECID.