
About this episode
In this episode of Prop Points, John Hansen, "The Guru," chats the top NFL news and storylines before hitting on some sleepers and value picks to target in your fantasy drafts. Also on the show, Tom Brolley from Fantasy Points drops by with some last minute futures, and The Guru goes over the Dirty 30 of players he won't be drafting this season.
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Prop Points — Prop Points | September 7, 2026. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
This is Prop Point on Vsyn, these forts betting network. Now here's your host, the guru himself, John Hanson. [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ Good afternoon and welcome to another edition of Prop Points. Here on Vsyn, I'm John Hanson of fantasypoints.com, the program per usual being produced by Mr. Michael Cohen and what a program we have for you on this year, Labor Day. Happy Labor Day. Happy Birthday to my oldest son, Christian, by the way. I was a fantasy football fanatic when I became a father at the ripe old age of 24, just turned 24. And of course, my son was born on Labor Day, and I was figuring out my fantasy scores that morning, preparing for the child. My wife did not like that, but that's neither here nor there. Happy Labor Day and Happy Birthday to my son here.
Big show forth coming. We'll catch you up on all the news and storylines. We'll also in segment number one. Take a look at the injury report ahead of the opener on Wednesday night. And we will also recap my top picks for the season. Basically, I narrowed it all down. Everything we did last week, I narrowed it down to the top 12. We'll also take a look. And if you're playing fantasy, especially in high stakes, this is the time. Tonight, tomorrow, Wednesday afternoon, some of these things, I'm sure the FFPC does it too. They go into the weekend. I know there's a big event in Vegas. Well, I drafted a team in the FFPC $2200 entry. So big time stakes here. I had the eighth pick of the draft. I thought it went really well. I follow my draft plan. So we'll take a look at that. And I'll offer up some insight. If you're still too draft in a high stakes league,
our guide Tom Braille, aka the grinder, last chance Saloon for his season long futures. And maybe a pick or two for Patriots, Seahawks, and then we'll close out the show with a list that I have dubbed the Dirty 30. Filthy. No, it's not that dirty. But these are 30 players that I'm passing on. And real quick in fantasy drafts real quick. You may want to pay attention to the segment because here's last year's list or most of it, by the way. Baker Mayfield, Kyler Murray, Seikwon Barkley, Alvin Camarage, O'Mixen. Okay, somewhat easy calls there. JK Dobbins, Chubahubber, Isaiah Pateco, Tyrone Tracy, Marvin Harris, Interim McLaren, Travis Hunter, Tyree Kill, DK Metcalfe, Chris Godwin, Roma Dunes, A Brandon IU Cooper Cup, Evan Ingram, and David Najoku on the list. And I do have some bigger names, I think, on that list here for 2026 without any further ado.
Oh, make sure you download the prop points podcast wherever you get your pods, apples, Spotify, or wherever the hell you get them. Make sure you're downloading that and checking it out every single day, Monday through Friday at the very least. The Land of Falcons have named to a Tunk of Elowa. They're starting quarterback for week number one. Kind of figured this was happening. I was surprised people were talking up, Penex. I mean, the guy hasn't really, I don't think he's practiced fully for maybe maybe a day or two. So it's going to be to that could work out for Kyle Petz early in the season, but maybe not as much for Drake London. Drake London did click pretty well last year with Michael Penex to reportedly, you know, clicked with a compets, basically. Much like he clicked last year, by the way, with Darren Waller. Once they put Darren Waller out there, given to a second option, felt like he leaned pretty heavily on throwing to that big body receiver in the middle of the field. And interestingly enough, this is like what, the sixth straight year
that the Falcons have opened the season with a starting quarterback, a different one. Basically Matt Ryan in 2021, Mario De in 22, Des Ritter, in 23 Kirkke in 2024, Penex in 2025, and of course, Tuah here in 2026. The Rams expect wide receiver, Pugana Kuwa to play on Thursday versus the 49ers, Trevian Henderson did not practice yesterday. Or today, I saw that come down a line and not too long ago. The giants have given James Winston a two year, 13 million dollar extension. S i's John Sip Shipley reports that Travis Hunter is expected to be the Jags number one cornerback week one and beyond. And that's that's kind of what my thinking has been all along. That's why I've said nothing positive about Travis Hunter, the receiver. All right, while we still have some minutes, some time here, we did five shows last week, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday. We covered all the positions, quarterbacks, run-and-backs, wide receivers, tied ends.
I popped out a bunch of props for all these positions. But what I've done here is I've narrowed them all down into my top 12 season long props. You noticed this year, I'm trying to kind of pull back a little bit. Last year, we just simply, we gave out too many picks last year. This year, we're going to give out probably the same number of recommendations. But we're going to cut it in half and we're going to have some leans and we're going to have some official plays. These are all official plays. Let's start with Malik Willis. Again, I feel really good about this. Over 549 regular season rushing yards at minus one. That's my number one prop. Numerow Uno for the preseason here in the whole season. Willis has had five career games with 14 or more pass attempts. He's rushed for 43 or more yards in four of the five. We are projecting over at fantasy points. Keep in mind, there are always conservative projections. Not this time, though, compared to this line, 758 is what we're projecting for Willis.
That is a whopping 38% higher than this line. Kyler Murray said what you want over 18.5 regular season touchdown passes minus 110. I'll say it again for the last time. I was wrong on the Vikings and Jay-Jamaically last year. It was a debacle, but McCarthy still had a winning record. So I still think the Minnesota Vikings are going to be good on offense. McCarthy was, I believe it was six and four in his 10 games. Murray over 18.5 regular season passing touchdowns. Offensive lines going to be a lot healthier this year and here, other than last year, in which they, by the way, just missed this by one study. In a horrendous season before that under Kevin O'Connell, 35, 30 and 30. So I do think confidently barring a serious injury that Mr. Kyler Murray can get to 19, damn touchdown passes. Christian McCaffrey out of practice today, by the way, or tomorrow, over there in Australia, under 949 regular season or rushing yards.
I mean, we've talked about the data. I'm actually, I wrote it down, but to save time, it's bad. Everything's bad. Everything is among 65 running backs with 50 and more carries. Let's see. This is what he ranked in key metrics. 48th, 42nd, 43rd, 29th. Oh boy, 29th and 47th. Last time, the last three times or two times that he's had upwards, like 280 carries. It hasn't gone well the next year, 287 in 2019. He only played three games the next season. In 2022, he had 244. He only played six games the next season. And last year, oh, and finally, in 2023, he only had 272 carries. He only played four games the next season. That seems to be a pattern. CMC is coming off a career high 311 toads, and he's now 30 years old. David Montgomery, we can go over 7.5 regular season or rushing touchdowns at minus 115. I think it's probably low because used and running backs only scored five
tuddies on the ground, but that was rookie Woody last year. That was rookie Woody Marx. And that was a washed up Nick Chubb in his career. Montgomery is scored a touchdown on 4% of his carries. So if he gets 200 carries, this is a winner. We're projecting 263 carries. Jadarian Price, you've seen the reports over the weekend on ESPN that they're going to lean on them heavily in the early down running downs. Basically, they're going to probably play George Hullani. Looks like a fullback on third down. We're going to go over 725 24.5 rushing yards at minus 110. Zach Sharman, I will play this year, but he may not return until November. Love Christian Watson this year. 51.5 season receptions at minus 115. We're going to go over there. Now, he only averaged 3.5 receptions per game, but that was coming off a serious injury. And of course, they ran the rock a ton.
I'm comfortable giving him four games. So he would hit this if he only played in 13 games. Jordan Love is quarterback over 24.5 irregular season passing touchdowns. The touchdown percentage has been very consistent. What hasn't been consistent is the attempts, but I'm projecting them to throw it. We are over at fantasypoints.com 33 times a game, which would be the second highest total in this career. We're a Mondrake Stevenson. By the way, we have a best bet for the Wednesday night football game at the end of the program. I'm keeping stay tuned for that. But I'm going to go over 625 regular season rushing yards at minus 105. He was terrific last year. He's had a great summer. He's in great shape. Chevon Henderson, not a good summer. And he might not even play in week one with this ankle injury. My sneaky one is Jordan Mason over 649.5. The data on Mason way better than anyone knows. Really good, actually. And it should be even improved this year. He's in the best shape of his life.
Office of Lions going to do a lot better this year for sure. Thanks to good health. And then Javante Williams at over 949 regular season rushing yards at minus 110. He beat this prop by 26.4% with 121 yards on the ground last year in 16 games. Michael Pittman, I know he's got that hamstring injury. I'm a little worried about it. But we're going to go over 7.5 a regular season receptions. I think he'll be the top possession receiver for the Steelers. And then finally, Mark Andrews over 499.5. I still think he's OK. I don't think he's washed. And we're projecting a healthy 18.3% more than this total at 591. So we'll talk that high stakes draft on the other side. See how I drafted just yesterday in the FFPC. But first, if you think you're better than the experts, now's your chance to prove it. The Edge Boost average Joe contest puts you in the same pick and format as the circa Friday football invitation.
All the one the pros plays top average Joe earns a spot next year's circa invitational field free to play. You can register anytime during the season. Edge Boost is offering its customers a $1,000 deposit. If you finish first for the weekend, if you don't have an Edge Boost account, sign up at edge boost.io with a promo code. Vyson, make sure your account is funded with at least $100. Enter the contest today at vyson.com slash Joe. That is vsin.com slash Joe. And we'll be back with more next on Monday. This is your prop points. [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ Back to a Labor Day edition of prop points here on Vyson.
I'm John Hansen of fantasypoints.com. The grinder Tom Braille will be hopping aboard here on the Progressive Guest Line in the next segment. Last chance to loon for him to give out some season long futures, player over unders and the like. And maybe he's got a recco or two for Wednesday's football game between the World Champion Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots. I do have my first best bet of the year for that game. Come and that's you here at the end of the program. But yesterday I do live in southern Georgia. It has been beyond Africa hot for six, seven, eight weeks. So as I've jokingly said, but I'm not joking, I don't go outside during the day. So I scheduled a FFPC high stakes. This is the big one. Their main event basically. And there's going to be a main event, draft live in Vegas over the weekend.
I know they work that out. You draft after the first game this year, of course, there's two. You automatically get the points. They still do it even though after the first kickoff. But we're obviously nearing the opener. So I only want to do one of these $22 entry. And I drew the eighth pick. So I thought it would be good exercise to go through for those who are yet to draft, especially if you've yet to draft in a high stakes league. Now this is PPR, full PPR, 12 teams, one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, two flexes, including I believe a super flex. I'm actually not even sure. But it's probably two flexes. And it's tight end premium, which means tight ends get 1.5 points per catch as opposed to the normal 1.0. So in the eight hole, and what I do is, when I'm trying to figure out what I'm going to do in round one, I just simply go to round two and explore what my likely options are in round two.
And I proceed based on what I see happening in round two. So for example, I thought I had a pretty good crack. I mean, at the eighth spot, I don't think you can probably go wrong quite frankly. I could have opened a number of different ways. But I do look to run it backs or back. I want to be in the running back business. But I do like the fact that I had a chance at eight to get one of three. I only think there's three or four truly elite wide receivers. So I took one. Almond Ra, St. Brown. I mean, go back and look, I don't know if people realize how good a monrod is. I mean, this guy's average like 113 grabs over the last four years. Dorable as hell, Chase Brown went right after that. I thought that was a little surprising. On the way back, I figured at the very least, I could get like Derek Henry. But I'd rather get a younger guy. And that's exactly what happened. I got a mayor in Hampton. So I think that's a pretty sexy start. Almond Ra, I got my anchor wide receiver, boatload of catches.
Now I've got my anchor running back. Granny's going to split time a little bit. But I'm not worried about, come on, even now. I'm not worried about Keaton Mitchell. You're not going to give a mayor in Hampton for it. 15 carries anyway. So as long as we get to like 240, 260, and a lot of love in the passing game, I think we'll be fine. Mike McDaniel, Mr. Explosive Place. That's what he creates for his running backs in terms of the running game and the passing game. Now coming back, Titan premium, Brock Bauer's went sixth overall. Then it was Tray McBride who went at 14 overall. Then Colston Loveland, one with the fourth to last pick in round two. And here I am with the eighth pick around three. You can be damn sure I take my guy Tyler Warren and just lock it in. Because Titans, that's why it's called Titan premium. Because Titans are at a premium. Now on the way back, took another one of my targets. Then I talk, these are all my targets, by the way. So I always put my money where my mouth is. Round four loves a flowers.
And I love them as a two because I think you can get by with them as a one. He is the unquestioned number one wide receiver for the Baltimore Ravens. Come back round five. I was a little disappointed. I lost out. I thought maybe I could get a crackage of Darian price or David Montgomery. But I went with my guy Ramondre. I've hopped aboard that bandwagon. Now in round six, there was a, we were really running thin on like really good receivers that you'd feel comfortable with as one of your top three. So I felt somewhat fortunate to be able to get Rome a Dune Zayn. Now I'm not expecting him to blow up, but it could happen. I mean, this is like a top 12 pick in the draft. His data was really good last year before the injury. Then the foot injury kind of messed them all up. Do you want to get the running back? So I went with a Rico down in round seven. Now here's an interesting point. I was, I'm also in on Chubahobard. I've been in on Chubahobard all summer. It's looking better and better, by the way. The closer we get to kick off. And I've also been in on Rico Dattle.
I did consider Chubah as my fourth running back. But what happened to me in round eight was my number two quarterback was still available. And I'm like, well, I've got my three wide receivers. I've got my two running backs. Actually, I have three. So I have my, and I have my tight end. So I am starting lined up. So I took Drake May. I feel good about Drake May. I mean, I don't plan on taking Drake May and most drafts. But if the high quality running backs and wide receivers are off the board, and there he is, I'm like, all right, let's do it. So Drake May is my quarterback. And I got him, by the way, a little bit of a value as the third quarterback off the board. I have him at CUB2 behind Josh Allen. He's the only one I'll take because at least with Drake May, you know, he's young. He's still ascending. And by the way, you notice, we can go through the whole team. They're all good coordinators. Ben Johnson, Shane Steikin, Mike McDaniel. I mean, these are all even Mike McCarthy, quite frankly.
Josh McDaniel's all good coordinators from my players that I drafted. Next up, maybe Declan Doyle is also going to be on that list. We don't know just yet, but I took Mark Andrews again, tight end premium. I'm feeling good about him. Now I'm feeling really good. So now I'm like, all right, now I'm going for knockout blows and upside. In round 10, I took Mike Washington. He might not have a ton of value. But then again, Ashton Gentigets hurt. He might have a ton of value. And I do love the Jagpaston game this year. I do love Parker Washington. But who's to say Jacobi Myers doesn't end up being the guy? I mean, he's really good. I've always liked him. So I grabbed him in round 11 and around 12. Now I'm getting a little arrogant. I'm looking for my favorite stash and hope running back. I've seen it quite quite some time. I'm all in on the under on Christian McCaffrey. And under whatever it is, 995.5. Because I do think my guy, Kaelin Black, is going to get some play here for the 90ers. It's going to get a starter two or three or four or more.
Looks great. I love that pick there. Then now I'm like, okay, let me get the best high impact starter I could possibly get. I took the Ram defense. Then I came back and got Malik Willis in round 14. Dirt cheap, tight end two or QB two. Speaking of tight ends, tight end premium. You'd like to get three. This is a 20 round draft. So I got K dotten. I nicknamed him the fantasy ottoman because whenever guys get hurt, it's like, oh, all of a sudden we got a lean on K dotten like an ottoman, basically. He's very supportive. So I like him as a tight end three. In round 16, I do like to protect my second round investment running back in a marathon. Hampton. So I grabbed Mr. Kamaniva doll. Now again, all upside. My favorite deep sleeper this year is Devon Valle. I implore you to try the Valle. This late in your draft because he's good. Big body receiver in the middle of the field. Jordan Tyson, who knows when he's going to play?
So Valle at worst is the third option in the passing game for Tyler Schuck that another one of my favorites, Jalen Noel, his teammate from college, Jaden Higgins out for the season tank, Dell on short term IR. So Jalen, Noel is locked in here as their third receiver. Now my next pick, I probably should have waited to round 20. But I took a brishard Smith, the running back second year man, more of a receiving specialist for the Kansas City Chiefs. Ken Walker is not great in past pro. I think there's a world where brishard Smith emerges as a complimentary player and gets a lot of run on third down. I probably should have taken Will Reikert, the Minnesota Vikings kicker in round 19 as opposed to Smith. I did not get Will Reikert. I thought maybe I would, but he went four picks in front of me. So I took Tyler Bass of the Buffalo Bill. So that is the squad. Here would be my starting lineup for week number one. 12 team PPR, Tide-N Premium, two running backs.
It's actually only two wide receivers and then two flexes with a Tide-N and a kicker in a D. Starting lineup, quarterback Drake May, RB1 Amerin Hampton, RB2 Ramondre Stevenson, Wyves Everwanda Mondras, St. Brown, Wyves Evertwo, Zay Flowers, Tide-N is Tyler Warren. I got a little Rico Dallow, Roma Dune Z, Tyler Bass and the Ram defense. Really a very balanced team, not a lot of weaknesses. So I feel very, very good about that squad right there, could be in the running for some big cash. I feel very good about Tom Broly, the grinder. He will join us on the other side, but first, if you are serious about betting, you need Edge Boost, the financial platform, built specifically for players of ESSA debit card with no usage fees, no more decline deposits, no waiting on bank transfers. Edge Boost gives you real-time access to your funds, 24-7, 365, even on nights weekends and holidays. Use it all across your favorite sports book, prediction markets, DFS platforms,
optimized for Lices, US gaming, land-based end online, earn up to 0.5% cash back on eligible discounts and daily discount limits up to 5 million per transaction. New users get a nice promo code or get a nice boost using the promo code. Vison head to edgeboost.ir promo code Vison to get started today. Welcome back to a Monday edition of Proctpoints right here on Vison. I'm John Hansen without any further ado. We go to the guest line to bring in the grinder, aka Tom Broly owner and writer betting expert over at fantasypoints.com. He's on x at Tom Broly and fantasypoints. I'm launching a betting package spearheaded by the grinder and there is a massive discount available right now through September promo code grinder.
70% off that would be an introductory offer. But on that progressive guest line is in fact Mr. Tom Broly. Happy Labor Day Tom, you ready to go? How you feeling? Yeah, the Labor Day, we don't get off Labor Day John especially when we have Wednesday football right around the corner. As you were saying about the betting package, released the first two prop bets of the season. They were released to our fantasy points subscribers so get in on that fun. 70% off I don't think we're going to be offering that for very long. So get in while the you know while the numbers are still good here and we're going to have some fun starting Wednesday hopefully. Yeah, yeah, speaking about getting in early last week on your spot, I told you during the break that this from Maundry Stevenson prop was going to be unbelievable. It was like 42.5 or 44. Now it's upper 50s based on the news of Trevianne Henderson.
So we'll get to a prop that you like though in that game for Wednesday night. Also I'll be doing a podcast twice a week for the fantasy points betting channel as well with Tom and Joe Dolan. But this is last chance to loan Tom for a couple of season long futures and I like your first one. I took Houston to win that division last year. They didn't actually win it. But you like it here. Houston Tex, Houston Texans to win the AFC South at plus 125. What do you say? Yeah, I like I didn't like the Jaden Higgins got hurt. That was obviously a big negative during training camp. But I did like how they went out and traded for K-Shan booty. This feels like a team that's operating like they know they have a super bowl window. They kind of missed out on it last season. Arguably the NFL's best defense. CJ Straub really struggled in the postseason. But he was actually better than people think and his EPA per play numbers were
or you know about middle of the pack last season. So it got real bad in the postseason. But this defense is still elite. They went out and added Jadavian Clowney and re-blankenship. They didn't really lose anybody on that defense. So I'm thinking with some offensive line upgrades, they drafted Kion Rutledge. Braden Smith's going to miss the first month of the season. But he's going to be there. They kind of upgraded the interior of that offensive line. Go out and get David Montgomery. And that was a big problem for them last year. They just could not sustain drives once they got into the red zone area. Inside the opponents territory had to settle for an NFL high field goal percentage rate right around 25, 26% of their drives ended with field goals. But if they get a little bit better running game, a little bit of offensive line play, I think that they'll convert some more of those field goal opportunities into touchdowns.
Maybe when, you know, maybe enough games here to take the AFC South. So they had the best starting field position last year because of their defense. So a lot of things to really like about this team. We'll see. I kind of even like, you know, the home opener here on Sunday. They get to go against the bills. Bills are breaking in a first time head coach with Joe Brady. We'll see how he handles the clock and all those kinds of situations. Jim Bollender's coming in as the defensive coordinator. So right out of the gates, I think this could be an advantageous spot for them to maybe get the bills. You know, while they're still getting used to the new coaching staff. So I'd like this Texans team and this AFC South. The Titans are still pretty weak. Jaguars, they feels like they could have some regression with some of the things that they did with their defense and their offensive line last year. And then, yeah, it looks like it's there for the taking for the Texans.
So I got it at plus one 25. If you can get like a plus one 15 plus one 10, I think it's a good bet. By the way, not for nothing, but Houston beat Buffalo last year and didn't Josh Allen have a show in this game. Well, he actually threw for a 53, but zero Tuddies and two picks. Yeah, I know Gia T and Liggs are getting a little popular right now. Josh Allen is the number one fantasy quarterback the last six years, but anybody playing in those Gia T and Liggs might want to be a little bit careful with how much they I think we just lost one there. One second. Oh, there it is. I think we lost you for a second there, Tom. Are you are you back, sir? I can hear you guys. Oh, okay. There you go. Continue. Yeah, yeah, yeah, it could be a tough spot for this bill's team. Josh Allen really struggled. That was a Thursday night game, I think.
Davis Mills was in relief for CJ Stroudin. So just be careful if you're playing in Gia T and Liggs and want to spend like 50, 60 bucks in an auction leg on Josh Allen. Let's go to Detroit. This is one where we're not in agreement, but hey, I'm wrong all the time. Detroit Lions to win the NFC North, the plus one in five on draft games. What do you like about the Lions? This really comes down to the schedule. Detroit Lions are going to have the NFL's easiest schedule this season. We're starting week one against the New Orleans Saints. I actually do kind of like the New Orleans Saints this year, but probably still a class or two behind Detroit Lions in the NFC. So yeah, the lines have had some really bad luck. The last two seasons, especially on defense with some of the injuries they've dealt with. So I'm thinking they have a little bit better injury luck. Dan Campbell kind of took over that offense.
Late last season, things started to move in the right direction. Started to get James and Williams more involved. So I think he's going to have a bigger hand in the offense right out of the gates. They did bring in Drew Petsing from Arizona to call play. So I think the offense is still going to be among the the NFL's best. I think the defense is still going to be a major issue. But with this schedule, I think they can maybe hide it a little bit more. Certainly this NFC North is going to be super competitive, but I'm looking at the top of the division. Chicago Bears, I mean, that defense has regression written all over it. They've led the league in turnover. Just the number of turnovers they had last season. It was a bottom five defense last year. I think they're going to take a step back. Ben Johnson is certainly one of the NFL's best play callers, but I can see the bearers maybe winning eight or nine games. Green Bay, I have concerns about.
Michael Parsons is going to miss the first probably six games, maybe eight games of the season. He's still recovering from that ACL injury. No Josh Jacobs. So they're going to look a little bit different on offense, breaking in a new offense of line a little bit too. They've had some changes there. So then it's the Minnesota Vikings, which I could certainly see them getting back into contention if Kyler Murray Murray plays well. But I have my questions about Kyler Murray, especially after last season. Arizona Cardinals wanted nothing to do with them. They were like fine to stay on the bench. You're fine over there. We'll roll with Jacobi percent. So it's going to be a competitive division, but I think that schedule is what's going to make the difference for the Lions. Talking with Tom Braali, aka the grinder on the ex-machine at Tom Braali at fantasyports.com. Yesterday, Tom, I did an FFPC main event draft $2,200 entry. I had the eighth pick. I took him on raw, came back at 17. I took Al Marion Hampton and you likened for most regular season rushing guards at 28 to
1. Yeah, Mike McDaniel's coming over. They're going to be running a brand new offense. A lot of explosive plays in Mike McDaniel's offenses. Didn't like that Tyler Biotis went down with an injury, but they will get both of those tackles back, which they played most of the season without last year. Just thinking I think this offense could really put up some big numbers. I get to play on the turf in the LA. Just maybe better injury luck to it. Look like O'Marion Hampton might have been ready to have a little bit of a breakout as a rookie after nausea Harris went down. And unfortunately, he suffered his ankle injury. Wasn't really right even when he did come back. Like these longer shot odds, if this offense really hits in Mike McDaniel, he's kind of advertised the base. Looking at that extreme outcome for O'Marion Hampton, the lead-bligging rushing guards.
And then last but not least, and we're pretty much out of time here. So unfortunately, we'll just pop it out here. You do like a Demario Douglas over 18.5 receiving yards at minus 113 on draft kings. We'll get into the game more tomorrow and Wednesday, but they are kind of an inside-out kind of passing funnel and Nick Eman-Wari. I mean, to say he's limited, I think he's limited getting out of bed. I mean, the man was wearing crutches, using crutches like two, three weeks ago. So, I like that play as well. Tom Brawley, the Grindy, you'll be back on Thursday. We look forward to it. Final segment fourth coming. 30 players that you should not draft this summer this week. You're watching Prop Points with the Guru, John Hampton on Vee Sen.
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Special thanks to the grinder Tom Brahli for hopping aboard. If you missed any of today's program, I did pop out like I kind of consolidated all the individual over under props for the season that we popped out last week at quarterback run-upback wide receiver in tight end. I consolidated that list down to my 12 favorite picks. So check that out on demand. But this is you know one of the last times we'll talk fantasy in the preseason here in this segment. And we'll talk fantasy all year long. But you know in a somewhat limited capacity, you know early in the week like on Tuesdays, we'll pop out a nice list of waiver wire recommendations and also players do trade and trade for, which is one of my favorite things to do. I love playing the Bilo and Sell High game. Basically it's really what it all is. You see a guy struggling a little bit.
Productions not there, but maybe he's coming off an injury or maybe he's had some tough matchups. You look at the schedule, you're like, oh, things are going to improve for this person. So that would be a player to trade for one of my other staples. Not that long I've been doing it, but a couple of years in my draft plan article at fantasypoints.com. Last year to year before maybe my one pet peeve with fantasy experts and it's out there. It's prevalent. People who love everybody. Oh, I love them. I love them. So okay, like when you love everybody, every year is going to have a sending emerging players. You can say, hey, I love them. Yeah, you also love that person who's a bum. So I like to pop out players I don't like. I like to pop out players that do disappoint. Why every season has them. So why not try to predict them? So a couple of years ago, I put out a list. I came up with a list of names and players that are like, you know what?
Not feeling it here for a variety of reasons. And it turned out that I accumulated a list of about 30 players. So I'm like, all right, well, let's call it the dirty 30. And last year's list was filthy. Most of the players didn't do well. I think it was like 66% of the players were bad picks. So hopefully we can be just as accurate. Now I will say the first player on this list was on last year's list. And he was great. And that is Christian McCaffrey. But you can have him. I'm sorry, especially with guys like Devon H. And an Amerin Hampton being drafted after him, who obviously have much fresher legs. I understand he's going to catch a boatload of passes as long as he's out there. But I'm not drafted. I think it's I think it is dirty. I do not believe that round one is should I don't believe you should draft a 30-year-old running back with a credit ton of tread on his tires and round one.
And maybe it's a personal thing. One of the reasons why I'm an agent and all about young ascending backs is believe it or not. My first draft pick of all time when I was informed about this fantasy draft one hour before the draft. So it's like it was like one minute in 1987. I had no idea what fantasy football was. 60 minutes later, I was drafting. I ended up leading the league in points when my first pick was terrible. Walter Payton. Now in my defense the year before, again, I didn't know anything. He was Walter Payton. And he had like 340 touches. Well, it turned out he fell off a cliff of that year. So I'm not going to be touching Christian McCaffrey. Also, Devon T. Adams. He's Y. V. 22. I know he's been healthy this summer. Could work out. Could score another 14 touchdowns. Not for me. Same deal with Mike Evans. I am an agent. Why do you see for 27? Mike Evans has had lingering hamstring problems since 2019. What could go wrong? Near the substation in San Francisco.
He's also been hurt all summer. What could go wrong? JK Dobbins. JK really does kind of stand for just kidding. No offense. He gets hurt pretty much every year. RB 33. By the way, I love Jonah Coleman as a stash and hope pick. These players, those players are too old or expensive. These players are too boring. I mean, we play this game to be excited. Maybe some of these guys won't be boring, but I find whether they be boring. Travis ETN. RB 20. He's relatively young. He is pretty durable. Pretty versatile, which is kind of what I look for. But I don't know. I just, I'm not a big fan of ETN. He'll be all right. But you can have him basically. I've always been a DK McCaffhater from day one. I can't stand him. Why I received a 33? Why? Well, because he looks like he should get 1500 yards every single season, basically. So imposing. But he doesn't have great versatility. Takes him a while to throttle down in and out of his brakes. So, you know, he is an absolute massive individual.
But that doesn't necessarily mean he's a nice, precise player. Corlein Sutton, at YVC 35. He's always been sneaky underrated. But, you know, let's be honest here. They're going to spread that ball around. And Jalen Waddle has been at it. Or on me, with Dops, I think that's probably going to go well. But they're going to be just going to be weak to weak, you know, exploiting matchups. He'll be hard to predict. Same with Hunter Henry. I think he's, I think I, among all these players, I think I like Hunter Henry the most. But he did make the list. He is a little boring. Let's be honest. Next category, among the dirty 30 players on passing on. Too shaky of a supporting cast. Could have, could have put Jay Daniels on here, by the way. But I opted against it. Drake London at YVC 8. That's too expensive with a bad quarterback. A training bride. I do worry about them wanting to take a look at Carson back, by the way. Jeremiah Love. Same kind of a deal. Bad team. They're going to give Tyler Algier a good amount of play. I mean, certainly love is a transcendent talent. But I'm not feeling it.
Same with Tetnik Millen. You know, whenever you have an issue with a, with a YVC or a question, I always look at the quarterback. And I think Bryse Young holds them back. Wondale Robinson. I've been a Wondale guy in the past. Not good vibes in Tennessee with Cam War. Maybe it's nothing. Maybe it's kind of a smoking mirror in the big going vanilla. But it hasn't been a good look with Brian Dayball, who did have Wondale in New York. But I just don't think we're going to get the target volume when we have a couple of running backs. And certainly, their number one pick, Carl and El Tate is going to get a lot of action. Next category, too volatile. Now, I'm going to put George Pickens on here. He is playing under the franchise tag. But what happens if he gets a little bit dinged up? We could have some problems. They were George's not, not happy. Now, again, he's a stud. But he is also pricey at YGC for nine. Bucky Irving can't do it. YGC for running back 19. The problem there is he's going to lose a boatload of pass catching third down reps to Kenny Gainwell.
And he might not even meet the goal line back. That might be Sean Tucker. So what do we have in between the 20s empty calorie guy? George Kiddell, I would say that's fair at his advanced stage coming off that injury. He would be a little too volatile. And Isaiah likely, he's still kind of a part-time player. I know there's hype in New York, but I'm not feeling it. And speaking of hype, some overhyped guys, Luther Bird. And I'm okay with them, but I'm not targeting them. Let's just say that Jackson Dart, not a fan. The data was not good last year. I can't stand Matt Nagy FYI. Arunda Gatsden, I've been saying this all year way overvalued. Now his value is actually dropped, but he's still on my list, same with Kenyans Sadega. Then last but not least, players, I'm just not feeling. Ameca Obuka, he's a little hurt. YVC 18, Kyron Williams. It's running back 13. Blake Korm is going to have a big healthy role. Jalen Wildell, look, he's going to be fine. But they do have other guys like Marvin Mims and Troy Franklin
that they're going to want to get the ball to. I mentioned Korn L Tate, not very good vibes there. RJ Harvey, big Jonah Coleman guy right here, and RJ Harvey, he'll catch the ball, but he's not going to get goal line carries. Jalen Warren, I like Rico to do most of the work on early downs. Defond Diggs, our guy Adam Kaplan, said on a recent podcast with yours, Julie. He was at Patriot Camps or DC Camp. Doesn't believe that Diggs can run like he used to. And then Rashid Shaheed, you know, there's some hype build up for him, but I believe it when I see it, now we have a best bet of the day. I'm going to pop it out right now. We'll talk about this more tomorrow, but I do want to get on record. Now, I love this when it was 42.5, but I'll still go Ramondrey Stevenson over 57.5. We are trending towards Harvey on Henderson and not playing. It's not the greatest matchup. I do have some of the data points we can talk about tomorrow, but I do think Ramondrey will, in fact, be fed the rock. Don't go anywhere. Money moves with Stormy Bon Antonio.
And Jonathan Van Tobol is next here on Vison. I'll be back tomorrow with a Tuesday edition of the program. Until then, have a great night. We'll catch you in Maniana.
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