Week 2 NFL Picks & Predictions

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2:08You'll get the alerts that matter about your home's safety. Don't wait to prepare your home for an emergency. When every second counts, count on ADT. Visit ADT.com. That's ADT.com or call 1-800-ADT-ASAP. Here we go. We have the points. Week two, we are here. Ken's Larry RJ, Claudia Rockin' with you. I'm already seeing some questions on the YouTube. We love that. We will be answering those fantasy embedding questions as we go. Claudia, you're looking so very thin and straight in right now. Just a Boston girl living in Florida. Thank you, Ken. I'm trying. I am trying to get to that beach. But I was stuck to my couch all weekend and Monday night and Thursday night because of these games which were so fun. I actually got to watch the Patriots on my birthday turn 30. Watch the Patriots lose. That was not fun.

3:08But the rest of the week one slate was great. Sunday featured the most points per game in NFL history on week one of all the teams combined. We saw a ton of points, a lot of crazy lead changes. How about some upsets, the biggest favorite on the board and the chargers losing to the Cardinals? Survivor pools. Survivor pools. Yeah, and we weren't you against that. Did we not? RJ did warn you against that. So interesting week one. Quick vibe check. We'll jump into these week two games. Ken's how we doing? I'm pretty good. My bird's got a dub. It's ugly as always, but we'll take it. Yeah, I'm ready. I feel warmed up. I think the defenses weren't warmed up. I think a lot of that, you know, not really playing in pre-season shows and just submissed tackles across the board. But I think we see those overs turned into unders this week. Got to shake the roster, RJ. Yeah, a little bit different because we often see, you know, team struggle the score in week one. Defense has seen more ready to go. So you get these lower scoring totals, lower scoring games. And we were looking at the totals going into week one like, oh man, one of them's 50,

4:11you know, one and a half, I think was the Bengals game of 49 and a half initially for the Ravens game. It came down a little bit just, you don't really expect that amount of scoring and then, you know, week one starts and you're typically on edge, you're see like, what are we going to get some of these first touchdown plays like nobody's scoring it? And it was not that for most games. It was back and forth and back and forth. You know, even Houston scoring 30 points, the bear scoring double that, you know, so it was an interesting week. Larry? Well, how silly do I feel because I work with RJ. I'm on the show with RJ. He warned me not to use the chargers and survivor. I used them on one of my circus survivor entries, goodbye $1,000. And, you know, it was a mistake. I still have a couple entries alive, but I got to learn from that. You know what else we saw in week one, which you've never seen before in the history of the NFL, a different margin of victory for every game ranging from one to all the way up to 24 points. It had never happened in NFL history. We didn't have the single same margin. That's the nerdy stuff we love to hear.

5:12Larry, keep bringing those facts. All right, let's get into week two here starting with the prime time games Thursday night. Football, the first game at high mark $2.2 billion. Will that result in a win for the bills? We'll find out. Mark, it says maybe there only laying four and a half though against this lion squad. Obviously, very sweaty for the bills in week one against Houston. Eight lead changes in that game. The second most in week one all time. Things barely won, blowing a 21 point lead against the Saints one and overtime, Saints opting and failing with that going for the two. So not a pretty game for the Lions at all bills. I think surprised some people. Let's come to you. RJ, you got a lean. Ken, you have a good feel on this total. What are you thinking? For me, the line was three on the look ahead, right? So no major injuries. So this feels like a bit of a overreaction to put it up to four and a half. It was even five and a half. For a brief moment at one book, I wish I would have took that. I was hoping it would get the six. Because my lean is the Lions here. The bills offense look great in a tough matchup.

6:14That defense was also a problem, right? Giving up those 30 points to Houston. I think Detroit's going to be able to put out points too. We know how great that offense can be. It would be a stronger pick if Detroit was not coming off an overtime game in week one. I'm a little bit worried about that. So it's just a lean for now. But see if I can get a better number. If I get another five and a half on the board, I might have to just go take it. 74% of the tickets on Buffalo almost 90% of the money on Buffalo. So the sharps are really liking the bills. Ken, you're staying away from the side looking at the total points points points points. This total open at 51 and a half, then 53 and a half. Now we're seeing 54 and a half. So if you like the total, I'd argue to call it an act right now play because it just keeps continuing to steam up. I think I take it still probably to 56 and a half is really where I'd say no. But I mean, this bill's defense did not look great. The run D was always what they were vulnerable in and they didn't really quiet any of those haters by any means with their performance against Houston's run offense. So you have Jameer Gibbs now.

7:16You have them in a really good spot at home. Like, I'm not impressed by the bills. And then the fact you see how many points lines led up to the Saints. Like, I just think we might get a fun shootout. Maybe selfishly I'm hoping for that. But if anything, I'm playing over here. I will say they did limit Montiuchus three yards of carry. They gave him the ballad to us. We racked up the yards. Efficiency wasn't fully there. So I'd give a little more credit to the bills defense. But overall, it did look improved. I think I still think the points are going to go there though because of the Lions defense. The Lions, we know we can see more from their offense. But you just let Tyler Schuck put up 30. So you have to step up in the quarterback comp and you have to address the town all around. Yeah, you can't have to address that. Let's come to you then Larry. You're looking at the bills and you do like their offense here with their team pillow. I love them to get to 30 in the home opener at the New High Mark Stadium. I mean, this defense for the Lions was on the field for 86 plays in that overtime game. DJ Reed, their top available defensive back is on the injury report this week. Still no Brian Branch, still no Kirby Joseph.

8:17And just the way that Chris Alave was running wide open when they really only had to worry about Chris Alave. And they still didn't have an answer. And now you travel on a short week to Buffalo. I don't want to lay the spread because I think the bills will be, I think the Lions will be doing a lot of scoring as well. But I love the bills to get to 30. You also have to think we see go through the ball a bit more. You can't really give the ball to Gibbs 30 times. I don't think GameScript will allow that again here in week two. Larry, I'll swing it back to you for your favorite prop in this game. Yeah, DJ Moore had 100 yards in his bill's debut. And now he only has to get to 60 to clear his prop over 59 and a half. That was not an easy match up in Houston. And now you come to what we already talked about is a banged up lion secondary. He is the clear number one receiver for this team. I know some people like to say he's not a true number one. But for Buffalo, he is and he had a great debut. And if you look at all of the first read stuff, the ARIRs, all the metrics support DJ Moore

9:18as the first read for Josh Allen. So I love him to get to 60. RJ? Yeah, we're going with Josh Allen over 248 and a half past yards. Detroit was torched by Tyler Schuck, even allowing for overtime. He had 410 yards and all. But obviously there was over 300 before overtime. The big plays are going to be available for Allen, whether it is DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir, Dalton King Cade, we saw he had 130 yards and DJ Moore on 100 yards. And Allen threw for 330, 4 yards against a really good Houston defense. Now we'll see what he can do against this defense. I like that Dalton King Cade's role is expanding. We'll see if they can give him that amount of work every week. And if they can, this is going to be a little bit more of a pass offense. So we've seen in the past where Josh Allen's overrunder for the season is typically set around 35 and 35 50, 36 hundred passing yards. He's going to get the 4,000 if this is the type of offense they're rolling out there. So interesting stuff to see from Buffalo after one week. We kind of knew this was coming, right? It's like we knew that Josh had the arm. Sometimes he throws those, what are you doing?

10:20What are you seeing there type of throws? But you give him a receiver like DJ Moore. We knew those numbers were going to be there. Five completions of 30 plus yards, average more than 13 area yards in a 10th, his highest since 2023. The only ran the ball 15 times. You know what you can do with Josh Allen and we see that play out. I'm going with the same place, the same play, RJ. Also you mentioned King Cade. They used three tight ends on more than a third of their week one snaps. And I know the Saints are in a very sexy offense. We saw their tight ends come up with some of the biggest plays last week against his Lions defense. So right there with you, I'm going over on Josh Allen passing. And if it is a closer game, if we think the Lions offense shows up, then of course, GameScript is going to bone well there. Trying to lose weight on a GLP1, getting the nutrients you need doesn't have to be complicated. That's where Grooons comes in. One convenient daily pack gives you greens plus 20 plus vitamins and minerals in a low carb gummy that's easy to take wherever you go. No guesswork, no hassle. Just a little bear that tastes great.

11:21Save up to 52% off with Code Podcast at Grooons.co. That's Code Podcast at GRUNS.co. Let's get into the Sunday games. Panthers, Lane 2 and a half on the road against the Falcons total at 44. Oh man, this NFC self. Everybody lost their opening game. At least somebody gets a win here though, right? At least somebody has to get a win. I'm seeing. I don't have to. Let's go. Okay, so lean, lean, Kenz. You're the only one that actually likes to play here. I just feel like the Panthers love now on the road. We're getting the Falcons at home at plus money. I would just take the Falcons outright. I mean, the Panthers did allow north of 58 points to an NFL team. I'm not saying the Falcons are anywhere near. The Chicago Bears. But I just wasn't impressed enough with the Panthers to say, hey, in this division where there's so much parity, everyone finished the same record last year to think that they

12:24should be favorites on the road going to Atlanta. It just feels like a little bit of an exaggeration. So with the plus money, I take Falcons. And Arjay, you're leaning the same way. Yeah, it's pretty incredible to be the worst quarterback in a week one with those Doshan Watson and Ken Ward performances with that was Cooper Rush, right? He looked terrible in that game. So this is a clear spot to back in Atlanta. It definitely like what Ken's saying, fade the Panthers as a road favorite. I thought they were one of the worst teams in the league as we talked about in the preseason. So I'm going to fade in. I'm going to fade in with any team. I don't care what the quarterback is in that spot. But it's just a lean because I'm scared of Rush. You know, I would love it if Michael Penton was able to come back and start in this game. But you just can't make Carolina's offense favorite on the road. Even if the offense looked good at home versus a bad defense, we don't know if that is sustainable. So fade the line move here. Getting a lot of value on this line. So lean for me at two and a half just because I'm hoping I can get it through. I'm smashing the Panthers. I'm smashing the Falcons. And Stephensky did say that Michael Fenig Jr. is practicing. It's likely we see Rush though. And he hasn't taken rookie undrafted, rookie Jack Strand out of the conversation. So we could possibly see him there.

13:25And for those reasons, Larry, if you don't know who your quarterback is, I'm not putting my hard-earned money on you. And I don't even have to lay a full fuel goal with this Panthers squad. That just put up 37 points. I understand you allowed 59, but Caleb Williams is not Cooper Rush or Jack Strand or even Michael Pettics. He's not out of percent healthy of somehow they threw him out there. It's just not the same. So I'll lay the two and a half and I see your leaning that way. Yeah, we have two streaks that are head to head in this game that are pretty incredible. The Panthers have been favorites 12 times over the last five years. And they've lost all 12 of those games outright. So that's one streak. But on the other hand, last year, every single time they lost, they came back the next week and covered 9-0-ATS. They're a team that can look horrible one week like they did against the Bears at least defensively and then bounced back. And Cooper Rush is dealing with his own back injury. So that might limit him even further if he ends up being the starter. I like what the Panthers offense did. 7.7 yards per play.

14:25I think they get it done in Atlanta. And if you like Atlanta, but you don't really trust the two and a half, this is a good teaser spot as well to get them through those two key numbers. Speaking of key numbers, Eagles length 7, Ken's in Tennessee. Oh my God. Titans are just not good. Will they win a game? I don't know. Ugly lost to the Jets. Eagles coming off, which like you said, wasn't pretty. 2.1 though over the commanders. And Ken's all come to you first. How do you play this spot this week? Make no mistake. This will be an Eagles home game. I just want that to be known. I've known people buying tickets for this game since the minute the schedule was released. This will be an Eagles home game. It was an ugly win. I'm not going to say it was great. That's just Eagles football at this point. Everyone say their thing about Jalen Herz. He's still at three passing touchdowns. They had over 150 rushing yards. The Jets allowed, or excuse me, the Titans allowed 150 plus rushing yards to the Jets. So help me, God, if the Jets score 23 points on the Titans, the Eagles should be able to put up 25 minimum.

15:26You could take the spread. I do like the spread as well. But for whatever reason, if things get out of hand in the fourth quarter and the defense isn't defencing fine, I just think I don't know how the Jets could score 23 points and we can't get 25 from the Eagles here. Okay. RJ? I'll take a 25 to nothing win. I mean, that's kind of how the Titans look. I'm going with the under here. Under 39 and a half, I played it at 40 and a half. I'd still lean under at 39 and a half. It was an ugly game for the Eagles offense. Despite a healthy offensive line, you would expect that they'd play better and then they lost a guard to IR and that came landing ticker. So maybe we're seeing more of the same from what we saw from the Eagles last year where they got banged up on the offensive line. They should have routed Washington with how well the defense played in that game for most of the game up until the end. Tennessee's offense looks terrible. Just four yards per play against the Jets defense that didn't get that much better to that extreme in the off season. I know there's some some favorable reasons to like them, but they're not that type of four yards per play type of defense. So a lot to discover for the Titans offense. They have a long way to go against the Seagulls defense.

16:26I can't see them scoring a lot of points. You can play the Titans under team total. I'm just going to play the full game under team total. Team total without the Eagles looked. And seven is a big number, especially if you don't think a ton of points are scored less variance. I don't feel great about it. That being said, Camor is not the answer. You put up less than 200 yards of offense. I don't know why you thought he was the answer heading into week one. They're leading receiver one, Dale Robinson had 38 yards. They're leading Russia and Tony Pollard had 35 yards. Okay. And I understand Eagles wasn't pretty, but Gino said against this Titans defense, I don't think I was touched once all game. So that should be the case here. The deep all look good, sake one look good. Carapital overreacted this game. Sean Manion obviously knew in there. But the floor, I think of the Eagles is higher than the ceiling of the Titans. Truly, I believe in that. Larry. I'm going to leave you on the way. I'm going to tell you why I'm wrong. I'm going to tell you that the Eagles mustered a whopping 10 first downs and they punted seven times and they had six drives where they didn't even gain a first down against

17:27you know, a pretty so, so defense at best for Washington. So I don't think Sean Manion has it all figured out yet. And I saw a few positives from the Titans. Well, let me see one positive. Carnell take this guy was getting open. Now, Kim Ward has got to throw it to him. And when he throws it to him, he's got to throw it near him. But he was getting open. He looked like the guy that we thought he could be coming out of college. So I'm not playing it, but I'm leaning the other way. I don't want to lay so many points with the Eagles. And I'm going to be Mrs. teaser all year and say this is another teaser spot if you don't want to necessarily lay the seven packers laying three and a half. And Larry, I'll come to you first on this one because you and Ken's are heads up. Packers laying three and a half on the road against the Jets. Packers coming off that lost a Carson wins and the Vikings despite being up 12 in the second. And Jets coming off that massive win as we just talked about against the Titans. Larry, what do we think here? Why grabbing three and a half of the Jets? Yeah, I grabbed four and a half. I would still take the three and a half. You know, Ken and I were both on the Jets banging the drum this season that they are

18:30going to be improved. And they certainly looked improved with a healthy Garrett Wilson, a healthy breeze hall going for 118 yards from Scrimmage and Geno Smith operating efficiently behind a strong offensive line. And I just look at the packers and the way they collapse late. They haven't won a game since they lost Michael Parsons, Owen six. Gordon Love has not covered a spread when laying over a field goal in his last eight tries, Owen eight against the number. So I think there's going to be a tight game, a competitive game, anything over a field goal. I'll take the Jets. I will say as much as Amid Jets believer, I did take their team total over. Or excuse me, their season went total over and we're looking good. We're on pace that I will say. I do think the line moving from Green Bay minus five and a half to three and a half in reaction to the Jets victory over the Tennessee Titans feels a little dramatic. I do still think the packers can be a strong team. I like the fact that the packers are no longer like seven wide receiver twos.

19:33And now it feels like we have like our three guys, we got a solid tight end. Like I think there is room for this offense to grow. So if I were to lean, I would lean the packers here because we're getting this number that shorter than it should be given like everyone so hype about the Jets beating the Titans. And it feels like a market overreaction to me. Okay. Man are terrible leaning. Are they? Yeah. Ken's bringing us a good point. Like week two is over a reaction week in the NFL, right? So you look at these look ahead lines and see what has moved the most and you think about why. And the why here is, well, the Jets look great. Well, the Jets play. The Jets play, somebody that might be the worst team in the league based on what we saw in week one. So I don't know how much you can count on that. A green bay dominated Minnesota for a lot of that game despite the score 6.3 yards or play a 3.9 yards for play. Their offensive line was pretty bad though. So it was really playing on, you know, pins and needles for Jordan love to make some plays. And the offense was making plays for the most part up until some horrendous decision making from the floor to take points off the board. Shall I catch my best bet? So I'm not going to hate on it too much.

20:33But we'll see if the offensive line issues come to play in this game. The Jets defensive front looks good. That's why it's just a lean for me. And if the market wants to bet this down to three, I'm going to be on the Packers just because that is such a big line move for one week of data. I understand where you're coming from Larry. I do. I think we're all sort of on the same page though to see the Jets go wire to wire, right? Like they weren't trailing once that game. It just looks so easy to have your quarterback say I wouldn't touch one soul game. That's not going to be the case. I know Micah Parsons is not out there, but the Packers still had success getting to the quarterback last week. So I have to agree. I think they're going to put up more points as well when it comes to Green Vays offense. Way too many penalties, 12 for almost 100 yards, but still put up over 400 yards of offense. Just want to form the red zone. I think that's going to improve. You mentioned the receivers. I know because we brought one of our guys over to New England. Has it worked out? Oh, great. Yeah. So what are we doing for Watson 147, Matthew Golden 95 Tucker craft 65 Smith 50 if anything

21:34maybe go with the over on passing loves of your on passing loves. I'd love passing yards if you want to play. It's hard to bet on those last year's hard to bet on the receivers because like that's why you just go everybody. Yeah. And one thing I'll add real quick, like we saw some major flaws with these teams in week one, right? They're going to go back and make some adjustments too. So like the issues you saw with Green Bay and week one, maybe they bring some guys in, maybe they're going to extra alignment and some maybe they have the backstay back more in block. You know, they're going to figure out ways to adjust. So these teams that we think are good on a talent level and they're out there are wind totals right at certain level for a reason are probably going to come back and have something a little more in their bag. They're not just going to be this team that we saw in week one over and over and over. Dylan, I see you asking it's your first time here. Thanks for hanging out with us. What up, Dylan? We are going to go through every game. And I see you're talking about the Patriots Steelers. You kind of like that under haven't looked much into the game yet. Well, just for you, we're going to get into that game right now, paddling five and a half at home. Please God, let us win this game.

22:35Steelers coming off the win over the Falcons total M41 and a half. Ken's, tell me why you're going with the Steelers here. Well, if you can get the five and a half, which I believe is still out there, I think this is a game played on the ground. I don't think Drake may win this game through the air. I think he can win this game. I think it's going to be a close game. And I just think, we've mentioned it's hard to cover these bigger spreads when the games on the ground. JJ Wat looked terrifying or TJ Wat, excuse me, JJ Wat is in the booth. TJ Wat looked terrifying. So I just think it's going to be an ugly game. It's Pittsburgh football is ugly. So it's really hard to cover these spreads against them and it's hard to go over these win totals. I will say to Dylan, I agree with you. Under is my play. I really hope the Patriots win, but I'll not put my heart or money on them because the offense was uninspiring. More uninspiring though was the Steelers offense, averages four yards of play, only slightly

23:35worse than the Falcons. Not any better than the Falcons on third down. They allowed two sacks, had a fumble, just sort of sloppy. The defense showed up though. Held the Falcons to just 238 totally yards, two of 12 on third downs, two sacksies for Wat and High Smith came. Hey, we're in at a day. They picked off Cooper as twice. Pats will be better than the Falcons. Will they be wildly better than week one? I don't know. They will not be the same, but they, without AJ Brown, that scares the crowd. This crowd making them covering, these six teams is crazy. Yes, yes, lots of yeses. Yeah, they're playing the Dolphins giant sheds Falcons, Browns, and Panther. So they should, they should win the game. I would say the Steelers defense better than all those teams, and that is what scares me. The deep ball Drake May was what was not one up. She was the best deep ball passer in the league last year, did not look good in that week one. So that worries me a little one for seven, no touchdown, three picks on 15 plus area yard throws. Not great. And so to answer your question, under, this is my play.

24:38The good though. We'll can't only allow one pressure, okay? Let's go. Well, let's go. Oh, legs back. Okay. That is my place. She's going with pit plus five and a half. And RJ, you like this place. Steelers team total. I'm going to see the Steelers team total under 17 and a half. You show that list up there. You say there's a bunch of bad teams. This might be a bad team. Their offense was not good despite the win. 4.1 yards for play against a Falcons defense. Everybody was trashing for the season started missing those two edge players. So for another injury in the game, Sean Hannah, I believe, is now out for the season. So they just cannot get healthy on Atlanta. They played Pittsburgh basically straight up, even game on both sides of the ball. And it was that that intersection, which in for a touchdown by what? That was the difference. So I'm not a good look for the Steelers for me. Now they got to go on the road feeling good about a week one win. It's a Patriots team that is how to week and a half of arrest even longer than a normal Thursday game. They they're often still looks suspect when say Jay Brown was hurt offensive line. Like you said, another tough test here. But I think it's okay to play the team. Fishery team total under not even worry about what's going to happen with the Patriots side of the ball.

25:43And if you think New England can cover great, you can lay the five five and a half, whatever it is. I want an under here and I'm going to make it the team total. Larry. Yeah, I'm also looking for a way to fade this dealers, but I settled on Aaron Rogers under his passing yards. When you look at what he did in that week one, not facing a lot of pressure, a 40 passes. And he only averaged five and a half yards per attempt. He only had one completion of 20 yards. I mean, this is a pedestrian offense right now. And the Patriots defense look great. They held the Seahawks scoreless through three quarters. Christian Gonzalez was Christian Gonzalez. So I think it's going to be run heavy for this dealers. They're not going to want Aaron Rogers, you know, to get under a lot of pressure, take sacks, possibly throw a pick. And I think he goes well under this one, probably in the 180 190 range. Yeah, and again, not having AJ Brown as massive. He has more career yards and touchdowns than every single receiver on the Patriots roster outside of him combined. Not pretty. Brown's bucks will move on. Bucks laying eight and a half total at 41. This one in Tampa. Bucks coming off a four fumble loss to the Bengals.

26:45Brown's trotted out to Sean Watson first time first start since 2024. How did that go? Pick on the first possession. Didn't lead them to points until middle of the third, 34, 10 loss in Jacksonville. Okay. Okay. And Sean Munken former Bucks O.C. says, it's not Watson's fault. It's going to be okay. He's coming back out there for week two. Is it the right choice? I don't know. Larry, what do you think? Well, in the first half, he was the worst quarterback in week one in terms of EPA. I think, you know, the Bucks have not covered now in 10 straight games. They are a team that is due for a cover. And I think they get it here because of how bad that Brown's offense is. And you talked about they had four fumbles. They had a Bucky Irving fumble. They had three by Baker Mayfield. But other than that, they played pretty good ball at Cincinnati. He had a chance in that game. So I think they're going to take care of business at home, finally get the ATS monkey off of their backs. Are there anything to add there? I know it's a lean for you too. Yeah, Cleveland looked as bad as expected on both sides of the ball.

27:45You know, somebody, you want to give somebody a fun fact. Tell them that they were dealing Brown's five and a half as a win total before the season. They won't believe you after watching that week one game because they were terrible. People thought the defense would be better. Kind of lives up to my expectations without my scare without the defense coordinator, Jim Schwartz there anymore. There's another tough test with Bucks strength up front. You know, they're very good in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Tampa managed at six point loss in a game where they lost four fumbles. I mean, you're not going to do that a lot of the time. Speaking of four fumbles, I'm sure you remember that that Patriots dealers game last year, which we didn't cover when they played them. So I'm sure the Patriots are going out for revenge after losing a game like that. Buccaneers aren't going to fumble at that much. They actually might be in a above average team in the worst division in football. And it'll be interesting to see. I know people love him for a survivor. But if they start to prove that they are in above average team, I'm going to be fine playing them in a divisional game at home against any of those teams. Okay. Listen, the strategy didn't work for me last week. Be tough to go in too. Even though the offense is our great strategy last week.

28:46Oh, I took Jets Titans over 39 to have on the backs of the defenses being arguably just as bad as the all fences. I'm back. Okay, Bucks allowed 33. The Browns allowed 80 Gajillion and it could have been more. And if the Bucks want to show out and they want to make sure they cover the spread and do all the things we said and maybe to Sean Watson week two is him. Give me though for 41 and a half. Look at that. Okay, because these defenses were awful. Yeah, revamp defense too, right? For the Bucks, I think they just need some time to mesh the sacks. The fumble, Lauren, me run game was very ineffective. And for that reason, I would tease the Bucks down. I'll tell you what leg later on. I'm going to tease. I love it. It's soft, but I don't care. I hit a lot of them. Saints, Ravens and Baltimore Ravens laying eight and a half total at 47. Saints coming off that lost the Lions. Ravens coming off a 41 point performance over the Jesse Menter's debut. Most points by Ed coach and his debut since Sean McBae in a week 17.

29:49Let's see, Larry Hasaline, Ken's has Raven's team total. Ken's look come to you first. Yeah, I think we're getting a very respectable number here. I think Baltimore could have put up 50 last week. So I think we're actually getting a line more reasonable than could have been if they just kept going forward through the fourth quarter here. So over 28 and a half, they put up what they put up in the Neonapolis. Now they're home. I think being home is a completely different environment, A for them, but not only the Saints who now are not in a dome, but have to play outside in Baltimore. Just a different level here. I think what we saw from the Saints week one is a bit of a fluke. And I just feel like, I know it's Jesse Menter and it's the defense, the defense first, but I just think Baltimore's offense is going to be on the field constantly. And we might just accidentally get to 30 points in. Much just accidentally RJ, you like the Saints. Eight and a half a lot. Yeah, I think Saints are a very sharp side here. I'll take the L on Baltimore hesitant seat in the preseason wanted to see the health of Lamar Jackson and health of some other players and how the coach would come out and do.

30:49And they were very good. So I moved them to second in my power ratings behind the Rams with the offensive dominance there. I still can't get this anywhere near eight and a half as a line. I think it should be around seven at worst because we can't read that much into a win over an indie team with suspect quarterback play potentially less than 100% Daniel Jones, right? The Saints impressed me. They were down big. As you mentioned against the Lions, they rallied. The entire shock is not really a dome quarterback, right? He really plays that run the ball tough type of type of game that it's not like a drew breeze. You know, fire in the ball over the field. So I don't really care where they're playing in this game. I think he can have success here. Keep this one closer than expected because wasn't too impressed by the Baltimore. How do you fence considering the matchup? I think they gave over more points than I would have expected there. And as Jeff Hawkman, our expert at sports line pointed out on our discord, Saints have covered seven straight going back to last year. This is a team that knows how to go win. Maybe not necessarily win every game, but go in and get some covers. So I'll take the Saints plus eight and a half. I think this line's going to close closer to seven. Dylan, you're getting another shout out because I see you say you're sticking around until we talk about your bears.

31:50Got this on in the background in the office. Shout out to the office wherever you guys are. You ask you shall receive Vikings bears bears laying five and a half at home, total at 48 in the hook. Once taken over for Murray, silai with that concussion bears, of course, coming off that crazy 59 point game. They're most points scored since 1980, but they did give up. As we mentioned, 37 to Bryce Young and the Panthers, RJ, before we get to play, as you said, some injury news here. Yeah, Jordan Mason went on the IRA before we started. So they lose. They're probably best running back. I know Aaron Jones has always been pretty concerned. And so it's not the running back position, but he is getting up there in age. He's not somebody who you can probably trust to handle a full load at running back at this point of his career. And they didn't really do anything to fortify the position behind him. They drafted the Montclave born in six round. He's not really a featured running back type. He's more of a smaller scap back, returned back kind of guy. So we'll see what the plan is. You know, in last year when they had injuries, they tapped Xavier Scott and some other names that people don't know at running back. And that might be what it has to happen here with practice quite elevations and have

32:55any give 10 plus carries to a guy that you've never heard of. So we've seen that before in care makers and they've had success. So we'll see what happens here. But yeah, it's going to be interesting how the Vikings offense comes out if they're missing their starting running back and starting quarterback. That does worry me a bit. Only thing that makes me feel better is how this defense looked. Ben Johnson said they would be the number one regression candidate on defense. And that might be true. He also said we want to score the most points in NFL history. That might be true too. And what does that mean for me? That means I'm going over. Panthers put up close to 500 yards over seven yards of play for for four in the red zone. It's an over game for me. You're all leaning. Larry, tell me why you lean the Vikings. Well, Brian Flores has faced Caleb Williams four times. And in those games, the Bears have averaged 19 and a half points. He's had two turnovers. He's been sack ten times. So he has not really solved Brian Flores yet. Maybe this is the year that they just do what they did in week one. But I want to see it. I think there's a little bit too much of an overreaction to week one.

33:58And I thought Wens was fine. Anything over four is too much. Ken's? I don't know, man. Oppo, but it's a lean. You don't have to. I don't know what to believe, of course, in Wens. I don't know. I've been scarred by that man in the past. He shows up. What do you mean? Can you do that two Sundays in a row? Two Sundays in a row? I don't know. So it's a trust thing. You're basically, it's not a play. My money won't be on this game. I'll just say my brother. Are you anything to add before we move on? Yeah, I mentioned that the Minnesota Offensive Spectre score had just 3.9 yards for play. I think Carson Wens will be better with a full week of practice as the starter, not having to come in cold. You know, the defense did struggle against the Packers, like I said at points, but they showed up when it mattered. And they got a bunch of pressure on a line that had questioned Marx. And now we see this Bears team that defense looks pretty bad here. I think it's going to be tough for the Bears to cover big numbers with their defense against the team within the legit game changer at receiver, like Justin Jefferson. So this look ahead line was three.

34:59You know, we can call us an overreaction, but we didn't know. Obviously, Carson Wens would be starting, so you can understand them a little bit. I think it's probably, like Larry said, moved a little bit too much. Probably should be in that four point range. So I would lean to the Vikings, hoping to get a six before I play it. Okay. So not much loving there. Lots of leans. I'm going to play in this next one, Bengals Texans, Texans link Texans, like two and a half at home, total 46 in the hook. Texans obviously coming off that loss to the bills, but oh, was it an exciting one so close to a win. Bengals coming off that win over the bucks. Tell me why the Texans other than you're getting a great number under a field goal at home. Yeah. Under a field goal at home is definitely a great way to start the sentence. They still put up a phenomenal amount of points. I liked what I saw from CJ. Weird things that happen feel like very fixable mistakes. I don't see happening back to back. Not so impressed with the Bengals here. I do think this Texans defense will be able to humble the Bengals. Like when you know the two guys, you know the two Y receivers, like they didn't put up

36:03a million yards the way that they should have. So I just, I'm high on the Texans. I think now we're getting them in a phenomenal spot after losing that week one game. So again, I know it sounds silly. It's a repeat what you said, but like under a field goal at home. And I agree, but it's funny because you're on an island. We're all on the Bengals islands. So our JTEL is why. Yeah, the Bengals defense look improved even though it did benefit from fumble luck. Like we mentioned, the offense had success without leaning on its stars. A lot of questions about them coming into the season often because of, you know, do they play the starters in the preseason. They played them a little bit and then they actually look better than they usually do early in the season. Like when they lose for people in survivor in week one and a lot of people are still have scars over that. The Texans offense took advantage of an easy matchup, I think. The run game was mediocre. Like you said, three yards for play. Past defense got knocked around a bit. Would not expect that from them. Even against a good quarterback. And we have another good quarterback here. So if the Bengals offensive, like you keep pressure off burrow a little bit consistently, since now you're going to win this game outright. But three is in the market.

37:03I like the Bengals at plus three. If it's just plus two and a half, it's a teaser leg. So at plus three, if you can get the Bengals, I would play them. Like can we trust them? Is the defense that good? But we know that the thing is to me is like we should see more from the offense, right? We know that. And like Kiseki was their leading receiver. Jamar had two for 12, only four targets. Dehiggins just three for 59. So I think we see a little or I don't know if the defense is that good, but it's certainly better. They can get you the quarterback. That's good. We're going to see more from the offense. It's a lean for me. I just feel like. Maybe your plus three turnovers plus six and sack differential against the bucks. And like you only won the game by that much. Like the bucks were in that game for a real. There was a late score. They were up at 14 and there was a late sport or whatever it was. So I just. I feel like with those stats, you almost wanted to have like had a better outcome with that game. And I just feel like if Tampa Bay had like turned the ball over one less time, I could have been using the score 30 and couldn't win their game at home.

38:04Yeah. Sure. Larry put a bow in it. You're excuse me. The Texans defense is probably going to be one of the best in the league. But in week one, the explosives allowed were very alarming and reblancon ship who they brought over at safety. He was terrible. He allowed six catches on six targets for 110 yards and a touchdown. I trust the Joe Burrow will know where to go. And he this is obviously an offense like Buffalo that can hurt you with the explosives. So if you can find a three, definitely leaning since. All right. Let us know what you guys think in the comments. I feel like we're pretty divided there. Shout out J.Pan Josh fan by Josh Vann fight. We going for the A straight. That'll be a great card there. If you guys have any more fantasy betting questions, you don't have to just listen to us. We are here for you. Bangle's over 20 and a half team total. Do we like that maybe better if we're all leaning bangles? We think the offense is going to be better. Maybe.

39:05Again, it's the Texans defense. They got embarrassed in week one. Are they going to come out focused or are they going to come out? It's a different plans that since he is going to take that week one tape, that's all they have and really base their plan around that. So are they going to throw some different stuff out there? We know they have the personnel, right? They can basically do whatever they want to on defense with the talent they have on that roster. So it'll be interesting to see the chess match there between if they get a little bit flummox by that that defense. Are there adjustments made of halftime? Does they weren't expecting what comes out in the first half? Okay. 4PM slate. We are starting that. We'll try to go through these a little quicker. I said we would, but we're not. Chargers, laying seven. Raiders coming off that went over the dolphins. Chargers somehow losing to the Cardinals has the biggest favorite on the board. It's smashing everybody's survival pool. So you wouldn't think they have to come back in win this game, right, RJ? Now that the school year is officially underway, families are getting a clearer picture of where students are thriving and where they might need a little extra support. It's the perfect time to reinforce what they're learning in class and build confidence

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41:11Visit IXLlearning.com slash audio to get the most effective learning program out there at the best price. This is the sound of captivity. This is the sound of rescue. And this is the sound of freedom. Give Armenia's captive bears a second chance by supporting international animal rescue. Call 508-826-1083 or search the Great Bear Rescue to learn more. Well, that was eight and a half. It's now down to six and a half. They bet it passed the key number the market did, and that's why you got to grab the charges here at minus six and a half. It was an ugly game. I can certainly understand nobody wanting to trust them at this point. This is a great rebound spot against a Vegas team that was outgained by almost a full yard per play by Miami at home. I know they won the game. Kirk cousins had two picks. They had no plays longer than 21 yards.

42:11It was just matriculating the ball down the field against the defense that might be the worst in the league. We'll see when we get to the end of the year. But the Vegas defense, I don't think they have the same town on the interior of the defensive line. It does. That's what really was the trouble there. If they can get that done and get pressure, maybe a little bit lower scoring game from the chargers, I'm not even sure the Raider score more in ten points here. I think the chargers can go out when a game, 20 to 10 type of game, and get a relatively easy cover here. Larry? Yeah. They're going to bounce back. They have to. There was a lot of things that happened in that game. Lad Mcconkey getting hurt, much to my dismay, the blocked puns. Not that they played well at all, but they would have had a shot. And either of those two things not happen. And I think this is a spot where the Raiders, like Argy said, 4.3 yards per play, Kurt Cousins cannot throw the ball down field. That is going to play a big factor. And I would lean towards laying it, especially under a touchdown. Yeah, also just to having the ball more, more opportunity. They only have the ball for 22 minutes versus the Cardinals 37 last week.

43:14And usually that results at points. We shall see Ken's any last thoughts before we move on. No, ma'am. Let's move. Broncos laying two and a half at home. Jags coming off the big one over the Browns, 9th straight win through them now. The second longest in franchise history, dating back to 99. Browns coming off that Monday night last to the Chiefs, letting Kenneth Walker have an absolute day, putting up more totally yards on the ball. Yeah, my fantasy running back. Then they did. Then they did as a total team. I'm jealous. He had 191. The team itself had 176. The fewest they've ever had under Sean Payton. So what happens this week? Larry. This is one of those classic week two spots where one team could not have looked better. The Jaguars could have made it 50 to nothing if they had wanted. And the Broncos on national television looked unprepared and they looked horrible. But now they're going home to altitude with a very angry and focused Sean Payton. This is a spot where I think the Broncos get back to 500 and cover this small number.

44:17This is a discounted number because of those two performances. And how did the Chiefs attack the Broncos with that great running game from Kenneth Walker? I don't think the Jags can attack them the same way with the talent that they have in the backfield. RJ. Shocking how bad Denver look. We've seen it from the offense. I'm in the discord. Every Broncos game, bononing, zero yard pass to the left, zero yard pass to the right. That's the whole offense. But we haven't seen it from the defense. They couldn't tackle at all. I don't know what was up with them in that game. Maybe Kenneth Walker is a Superman. But we saw with the Rashee right touchdown, too. There's bouncing off of them. So they're going to be mad for this game. They're going to come out focused. They know that they're a better team than that. Jacksonville is the only team to beat Denver after a 1 and 2 start last year. So this is a Rotecly or a red spot for a 14 and 3 team, one of their few losses last year. They're going to be focused. We don't know anything about Jacksonville after beating up on an awful team. Denver, like Larry, was alluding to as a good home field advantage, generally, especially earlier in the season. Though that hasn't been a trend lately. Yeah, I was going to give you an out against the spread trend of them at home in the first two weeks. Covering those lately.

45:18So that makes it, I like them as a pick. It minus two and a half. Look ahead was three, hoping we can get it down a little bit less. But I think it's interesting and overreaction week that this line only moved to half point. That kind of makes you think that the market is saying, wait a minute, the Broncos aren't this bad. They're going to bounce back here. Ken? Yeah. That's what I'm saying. It's still two and a half. I think it's, this whole week to me is just reacting to the overreactions and playing the other side. To get a team like this at home under a field goal, just that's the end of the sentence. All right. Well, we're over a field goal. If it's still up three and a half for the Cowboys at home against the commanders, I mean, again, the question is, like, was it the giants being really good or are the Cowboys just still not good on defense? I don't know. Commanders coming up at last to the Eagles, but they came so close failing to tie in the two point conversion. Ken, you seem stressed. I'm just like the Dallas defense. Like, you can't just be that much better from the year before when you just add eight new guys and rookies.

46:18Like, even Kyle Hamilton didn't look that good in his first year as safety. And I'm talking about traditional safety. I just like, that wasn't surprising to me to see what happened with the giants. What I will say is still things is a great offense. And I do think they're going to be angry and they're going to be at home. So I think the first half over 13 and a half, two touchdowns in the first half from the Cowboys offense. I can root for their offense. I'm just not worried about whatever the hell is going on on defense. Cast might take it and walk out. RJ? Yeah. Look ahead was four and a half. I'll play in the three and a half. It has to be get, but I'm hoping for a three here. Washington's offense was terrible until the last two drives. It's in the good bounce back spot for that defense. Now that they have some game under their belts with each other, I think they're going to play a little bit better moving forward. Coming off that disappointing loss. Now they get the chance to be angry. They walked into the New York stadium and expected a win. They're not going to get one here. I don't think so. I would play the Cowboys. Very. Yeah. Last year it was 44-22 with this matchup in Dallas. They put up 74 in the two games against Washington. So I really like your play.

47:19Kansas that offense is going to have more opportunities. They only had two drives in the second half. Have you ever heard something like that in the NFL? That's how good the giants were at keeping them off the field. Then I think the commanders, you know, they look good. They cover. The Cowboys looked horrible. It's an overreaction. But again, if you can wait and maybe get a three, definitely grab that. All right. Niners big ol' spread here. 13 and a half. Is that an overreaction? Oh, I don't. Against the dolphins. Maybe not, because Miami might just be that bad. What do we think here? I will come to you first, RJ. Miami might be that bad, but we went into the season thinking they were that bad. 3 and a half win team. People thought they were the worst team in the league. This look ahead line was 10 and a half. So it's moved three points on the strength of the 49ers win over the Rams. Now, Rams are the super bowl favorites. You can understand that. But there was some travel, you know, walkiness to that game. Rams coming in 24 hours out of the game about chalk some of that up to that. I don't know that San Francisco isn't

48:20to look that good, especially considering that was a divisional matchup. Now they come back home 8,000 mile trip, play nine days later or eight days later, however, it's going to be. I don't know what team's going to show up here in a game that they're supposed to go out and smash. So I like fading the line move here. I love the dolphins as a pick a plus 13 and a half. It's going to be on my contest cards in the big money contest we play in Larry and I play in because I don't know what 49ers team is showing up. And my image I mentioned was kind of solid at Vegas despite the score, even without HN ever getting going. And I think the San Francisco interior defensive line looks suspect and he can get a half a much better rushing day here. And Mollique will is can run around and cause some problems and lose this game by seven or 10. So I love the dolphins here. Will is leading them in the Russians with 39 HN just behind them at 36 Larry anything to add there on the dolphins. It is a strange spot for the 49ers not only coming back from that divisional win which felt like, you know, a massive win, but then they have the divisional game against the Cardinals coming up who the Cardinals are now,

49:20you know, people are taking them more seriously. So you have the dolphins coming in, you expect to walk over. I would definitely take the points. I think they're going to run the ball. They don't want to get anyone else hurt. Tongue is just went on IR. We know Strriblings out for a while. So I think 49ers win, but by 10. Ken? Yeah, there's not many teams in week two. I'd be like, rest your starters. But if there's a point at the end of this game for a team like the 49ers who just lose everybody to injury, this might be one of them. I went with a player prop here looking at the Niners RB2 with Kaelin Black who had, I believe it was 65 yards against the Rams in week one. CMC can still be on the field as a slot receiver potentially. It's not like CMC has to be out for him to succeed. His line's still up 36 and a half. I think if he soars over this again this week, we won't get a number that low. So again, with the savior guys like CMC energy, whether that be later in the game fine, but I don't even think we have to get there for him

50:20to get the staff out for this. All right, Ceeox Cardinals. I'm trying to rip through these because we still have a bunch of parlays. Well, Brinson is joining us. So Ceeox Cardinals, Ceeoxling, 4 1,5, no Sam Darnold for at least four weeks, but apparently it doesn't matter because Drew Lock can still beat the Patriots. Cardinals coming off that win over the Chargers. Larry, what is the play? I'm going under here. You have Drew Lock, it's going to be more of a conservative game plan. And you have Nicki Manwari coming back for the Ceeox. The defense looked very good in the season opener. So I'm going to look under the total. RJ? Yeah, I'm a lot of rest for Ceeox in this game. This look ahead line was 10. And obviously that was with Sam Darnold expected to start a quarterback. I don't think he's worth six and a half points, so which is what you can find right now. A lot of this is an overreaction to the Cardinals who were a three and a half win team before the season. And now people are starting to think that they can be a competitive team. Maybe that'll be the case, but I don't think we can judge that right now. So I thought Drew Lock ultimately played fine in a tough spot coming in cold against a good

51:21new England defense. And I'm not sure there is any defense that's going to look as good as it did last week in most matchups. So I see value fading them off a win here, especially when you can get a three and a half. We're going to cross our fingers to get a three, but I'll play the three and a half if I have to. Yeah, echoing all of that, but just adding the Ceeox on the road are legitimately a better team. And now that's a sample size of like two seasons. I'm talking about this defense. Like they allow even less points on the road. The pass or ring they allow on the road is worse. Their straight up record on the road is better than it is at home. Great team at home. But this isn't a fluke that McDonald is able to like use home field advantage against the opposing quarterback. And he makes the opposing quarterback think he knows what's going on and then he doesn't. And we've watched it for over 20 games now. And I just think the car knows our in trouble when the Ceeox defense is on the road. And the question is how much better is Drew Lock than Jacobi percent, right? It's not like we're talking about one of the top corner nights in the lake. Marjorie was talking about the Vikings. Like he has a whole week. He knows he's starting, right?

52:22OK, son and a football coach, chiefs, chiefs, lengths, six and a half. It's just not fair. The fact that they come out in that first game, Kenny Walker runs all over the place. He can't have Patrick Mohamed's and the Super Bowl MVP. Calls go from one of the best to another, Ravens, and now chiefs. Ken's, what do we think here? You're talking about Kenny Walker, but Mohamed's a star who just looked like a mobile quarterback. You know what's funny? It just runs. The passing game didn't look good, but he was the mobility the last time. He's getting the homes through a deep ball and a third down. He just runs. He's running, which is scary. 15 and a half. He's 12 and 5 over this number in his last 17. So I don't know. I mean, and he's averaging over double this. I mean, averaging 32 rushing yards in that span too. So it's not like I'm just going over the number. I'm comfortably going over this number. If you don't like that number, you can buy it down to 15 plus or 10 plus in Parlayo with Walker. 60 plus yards. And you can still get plus money on that. But the simple math of it is, is Mohamed's

53:23goes over 15 and a half. Again, passing attack took a bit. They leaned on the run game because they can 19 total rushes in the first half. That is the first time they've ever done that in the Patrick Mohamed's era. But you get the passing game going against a cold defense that just let Lamar Jackson tear him up. You're going to have a lopsided game. We just saw the Ravens put up over 500 yards of offense on them. So I had to say it because I'm kind of a chiefsader. But yeah, if you're going to give me six and a half, if I'm only laying six and a half, I'm going to take it. And Larry, I know you're all both. So RJ finished us off on the chiefs. And the little yeah, I don't know that we saw Patrick Mohamed, the same Patrick Mohamed's right. He did not look good as a passer in that game. I think he still has a ways to go. And I don't think he looked great as a runner either. I know he cracked off those runs in that touchdown. But it did not look like the same Patrick Mohamed's to me. I looked like there wasn't issues with that leg. So we'll see how he responds after six days of rest here. But I still like the chiefs because I don't think they need him. Once again, Indy surrendered 202 rush yards against Baltimore. And chiefs looked like they're going to be in a lead rushing

54:24attack with Kenneth Walker. So this work had been worse for Indy with Baltimore missing a fourth down inside the five yard line and fumbling to set up Indy's touchdown. So you know, this chiefs team, I think there should be an eight point line. I don't think the culture quite there based on what we saw last week to be in the realm of under a touchdown for this line. Larry, I know what's a lean, but tell us why you're on the other side. Well, Luana Rumo has had success against Patrick Mohamed. And the chiefs and the cold Stephens was so disorganized. You know, they weren't lined up for the first play in Zayf Flowers catches a 49 yarder. They had safety cam. Bina as the green dot that is not going to happen again. There'll probably be a King Davis, Gator, a veteran linebacker calling the signals, getting everyone in position. So I am still not ready. I'm not ready to say the culture washed, the culture done. Let's see. I think they'll be competitive in Casey. All right. That's a lean for you, but you do have a play on Monday night. Giants, Rams, Rams, Lang seven. I mean, they need to redeem themselves. We all know that giants coming off that win over the Cowboys,

55:26which was very impressive. They showed up in prime time against a division rival enough to convince you to take the seven Larry. Yeah. The Rams gave up 5.8 yards per carry in that opening loss. And now we know Miles Garrett's not going to be there. We don't, don't yet know about Aaron Donald, but the giants have the formula to keep this competitive. I what we saw on Sunday night against the Cowboys did not look fluky to me. That looked like a well prepared buttoned up team. I know you'll hear that phrase a lot, but John Harbott did make a difference and Jackson Dart was super efficient. I think the Rams probably win, but by a field goal. Okay. RJ, it's a lean for you on the other side. Yeah. Move two and a half points off. Look ahead. We know that, you know, Miles Garrett has something to do with that. I want to fade that line move. So it's a lean for me, but I don't know how the Australia travel is going to factor in here either. So it's hard for me to back it as a best bet, but that often is going to be fine. They'll get going eventually and we'll see if the giants can keep up feeling great after going out home wind, divisional game week one.

56:27So this might be a little bit of a let down spot against the team that that is going to be much better than they looked in week one. Got a fun though. Three touchdowns from Darlin. We know the rushing upside is there. Scataboo's run away from the. So this looks like this is just like if a frat house was a football team. And I kind of love it. They got Isaiah likely going early. Like that's an interesting little addition there. The defense looks good. I mean, they limited the Cowboys who were the best offense in the league last year. So I think that says something. I'm going to stay away from that game now. Okay. And now the moment we've all been waiting for drum roll, please. Think about how much life has changed since 1991 back then you had to rewind the VHS tapes dial up internet was a distant dream and listening to your favorite hosts on demand wasn't even an option yet through all that change. Bob's discount furniture has kept doing things the Bob's way offering

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58:30Let's go. Body happy week. What how much fun did you have watching my Patriots lose on? Oh, I mean, yeah, that was that was just a little apretty for the for the early thrilling week. A Sunday was insane, right? I mean, I hit two or three round robin to touch out like parlay and there were like 20 plus dudes who scored two touchdowns. Like literally 20 guys scored two touchdowns. I don't know that's going to be exactly the same, but I do think that there's a lot. I think we have a bucket of teams, right? That are going to be good on offense and bad on defense. And we got to focus on those teams when we're looking at scores. The bills, the lions, the bears, maybe the Panthers. There's just, you know, the saints. There's just going to be a lot of teams that you can put up points on and they will also reciprocate and put up points. As I already pointed out earlier in the show, I think the bingles are a little better on defense, TBD on the box. Yeah. You guys want another parlay?

59:30Is that why I'm here? I was going to let you do your victory lap as you should. I mean, only hit two or three to be your gives like plus one to me five. So I mean, like, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait. And I was just going to be free, right? Because you had you had Kyron Williams initially, we told you to take it off because it was the Thursday game. You put an action. Gen T, he scored twice, right? I got you. You give Gibbs, but Javante only scored one. I thought he had two. Maybe a two. I don't know. Either way, you're wicked smart, Brenton. Give us another one. OK, so we're going to get really big or go really home on this one. We're going to go back to a guy who scored two touchdowns in week one to score two touchdowns again. And that's Justin Jefferson, 42% target chair against the Green Bay Packers when Carson wins his under center, he locks into Justin Jefferson. And they are, I believe, playing the Chicago Bears, whose defense is horrific. Like the Bears are going to put up so many points. The Vikings are going to have to keep throwing and keep throwing and keep throwing. They're missing Jordan Mason, so they can't run as well. Desk Leiborne is going to be the sort of between the Tacos guy along with Aaron Jones.

1:00:30And I think Justin Jefferson is going to see a ton of passes his way in this game. He is 40. I can say any sports book I want on this, right? Just. I know. You're free. OK, yeah. He's 14 or twice at FD, which is where we play this because we also have Breast Hall at six to one to score twice. And then B. John Robinson at plus 280 to score twice. Breast Hall saw a really nice, I like, I thought he looked really good. Nice usage. Can get great receiver in the passing game as well. Packers defense and scare me without Michael Parsons. And then the Panthers, you know, you saw what the Bears did. And I don't think they're that bad on defense. But I think B. John will be able to have his way in this home game. So we're going to take those, but point one unit on it. To win 39 units. And then we're going to rob them. All right. Of course, the Rob Rob. Yeah, you have to round rob them. What if you get two or three? Then we're going to round rob them at point. So it's like, you're basically betting.

1:01:31I this is the equivalent of three, but it's 40 bucks. If you if a hundred dollar unit, you're betting 40 bucks, $10 on the three, three, three leg parlay and then $30 on the round rob. And if you get two or three, it's a very nice paid A. If Jenna scores twice and one of the other guys gets home is a really big day and 14 to one. So let's go get that money. Hell yeah, Larry. I see. I don't know if anybody else has one. I know you have one. Any reaction to Brinson's nice pay out there. I was thinking he was going to be a lot more, you know, with a lot more, you know, bragging. You know, he came off so humble. He, you know, he almost, you know, I just was. Because he did not hit it. Modest. No, Javati. Yeah, Javati had the receiver. Yeah, I did it. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah, yeah. I was just kind of stunned. No boughs and victory laughing. I mean, like it's not, it's also, it's awesome. It was awesome. I was thinking I, I think I would like to check the box score on Sunday or something and I always saw the one rescue dust jaunves upset. But yeah, it's nice to, it's nice to hit something like that. I mean it's like 63 to one.

1:02:31Now we want to go big now we want to go. Now we're going quite large. We're new to get you. Mirage was just bolts 175 to score twice. So like, that's just going to reduce your parlay nature. Yeah. Larry, do you have a parlay? I have a parlay. It's not as exciting, but we're going to get the 49ers to take care of the dolphins. We're going to get the bucks to take care of the Browns and then the Cowboys at home where they are a much better team where they swept the commanders last year, put up 44 at home. We just need the Cowboys money line. I think is the only one that's a little risky and this comes back even money. RJ, do you have one? Yeah, I'm typically not a parlay player, but I think there's an interesting correlated parlay here that can pay out at a plus 2800 type of odds. That's taking the dolphins to win and taking the giants to win. Two teams that nobody expects to win, but they're playing the teams that were in Australia last week. We don't know what Australia travel does. We don't know how teams are going to respond to that. We know how great the 49ers look going over there a week early,

1:03:35but now they adjust it at the time there and they adjust to their days there. How they're going to look a week later coming back here. I don't know. We'll see how that affects it. If Australia matters. If Australia, if this is the Australia matters parlay, if Australia does matter in this travel, sending team 16 hours away to play in Australia is a very bad look for the NFL. Then these two dogs are going to be live to win this game against teams that aren't ready. I think that's interesting. If you think Australia matters, just parlay these teams together. You're getting close to 31 on your money. Supposedly, it's on the way back that it can take a week or two to get back to normal, but I have never been to Australia, so I cannot vouch. How did this happen? The jet lag parlay. How did we get here of all the countries you can go through? It's the NFL. They want to go everywhere. We're going to get a game in Antarctica by 20. The Irish are going to be a big survivor team too. We saw what happened with the highest spread. The survivor team last week. Can you move? Can you have a parlay? I wanted to do the rushing yards of the chiefs that I was talking about.

1:04:35My homes, I think you just take it out for the 15 and a half by itself. You can buy him down and buy Kenny Walker down. You can get, I think, comfortably close to plus 180 depending how comfortable you're willing to get here, but 60 plus yards from Walker, 15 and a half over from my homes and your north of plus 150 there. Okay, Brinzen, any more parlayes before we talk teasers and survivor? No, that's all I got for this one. I think the 398 to one will do. We want more. No, okay. Week two teaser strategy. What are your thoughts there? I mean, this is an argy special. Yeah, but I mean, like I independently came up with a show, Brinzen, so I'm trying to get you in there. No, no, no, no, for sure. Look, I independently was looking at the lines. I was like, God, this teaser looks really good. And then when I went into put it into the rundown, two of the teams were listed on RJ's listed teams, which made me feel great. But I think box minus two and a half and Jags plus eight and a half is a really good look. You know, we're talking about the team that just played the Browns in the Jaguars. So to RJ's

1:05:39point from earlier, do we know exactly how good the Jags are? No, but the Jags might be great. Like maybe the Browns, I mean, I think the Browns are terrible, but maybe the Jaguars are a top five team. Like I think that is entirely in the realm of possibility. That throw from Trevor Lawrence through four Browns defenders. That's the most ridiculous story of the year. It's going to be hard to top it. I think Trevor is going to keep playing at a very high level. I think eight and a half. This is a team with enough offense and a good enough defense where they're probably not likely to get blown out. And then Tampa, I know that, you know, it's like, Baker fumbled three times at that game. Otherwise, they beat the Bengals. And I thought that their offense looked pretty good since the night's defense definitely better. But those were self-inflicted wounds from the box last week. I think they come out. This is, I know Kevin Stephans is on the other side. Baker's only got three, actually Baker has five revenge games this week this year. Two against the Panthers, two against the Falcons was to Fansky. But he hates the Browns. He hates the Browns. He hates Jimmy Hasem. He hates everybody here. They just lost an embarrassing game. He was embarrassed. Now it's a home opener. And they get the Browns limping in. They're going to win

1:06:42this game by three points. I mean, I feel like that's just going to happen. It would be very surprised if the Browns were involved in this. So I like Tampa a lot in the spot. All right, RJ, this is your wheelhouse. Yeah. Love having the Brinston Ard is back on. I'm going to show you a great, great, great to hear. You're great to hear them. Yeah, so the options here aren't necessarily all teams. I love teasing. These are just the teaseable numbers for me. When we talk about teasers, we are looking for underdogs that are one and a half to two and a half on the spread or favorites that are seven and a half to eight and a half on the spread. Now, why are we doing that? It's because when you tease those teams, you are going through all of the key numbers you want. Three, four, six, and seven. You move an eight and a half point spread down. You get it down under you get minus two and a half like what was doing with the bucks. You take a plus two and a half spread up like the Jaguars, you move them up that plus eight and a half you're getting over that touchdown number and these teams, these games that are supposed to be close, you would hope that they would stay within a touchdown. The teams that are supposed to win by more than the touchdown, you hope they win by at least three. So the five potential teaser legs here

1:07:43are the bucks at minus two and a half. The bangles at plus eight and a half, the Ravens at minus two and a half, the Jaguars at plus eight and a half and the Falcons at plus eight and a half. Now, I don't want to touch Atlanta with their injuries. I do know that we like them in that game. I think Ken's is look of the money line is probably the way you want to go in that game. If you're going to play Atlanta, rather than just hope that the offense shows something and they stay within eight and a half points. I think Baltimore and Jacksonville are not bets I like on the straight line. We talked about those games. So I don't have much interest in teasing them. But if you like them, sure, go ahead and throw them in a teaser. They're the right numbers for it. I love the bucks as a teaser leg. We saw how uncompetitive Cleveland was last week. Tampa Bay is not going to fumble four times most games. If you can't get Sincere plus three, which is the number that I like playing for them, I like them as the second teaser leg heroes. I think it'll be a close game. So in markets where Sincere is only plus two and a half, I'm putting a bucks bangles teaser together. And if they're not two and a half and they're plus three, I'm playing the bangles and I'm staying away from Tazers. Okay, I like to see and I have a teaser for my best bet. So we'll talk a little more

1:08:47teasers later. I love to see that we really mixed it up for our survivor picks. Bucks and chargers across the board will talk to me about the bucks and you reproach there. Yeah, so I mean, I think for me specifically because I'm in the splash survivor thing, whether you have to make two picks in week nine, which is like, I think that's earlier than the circle one. San Francisco is a team in particular. And I do worry about the old story of Jetlag, let down all that stuff. But like week nine San Francisco, I think has a rating, which is a great spot for them. They're one of the two or three teams. You really want to have left over there. So I asked San Francisco immediately. I'm okay with the chargers. A little worried about that offensive line play. Lad Mokonky, is it practicing today in practicing Wednesday? So maybe he won't play in this game. That's a slight concern. I just think there is no way that Baker Mayfield at home against a team that threw him into a trash bin for the guy who's starting on the opposite side is going to lose this game. Like

1:09:48he's not going to lose this game. Tampa is a much better team. Cleveland is a bottom two team in the NFL along with Miami. And this is a perfect spot to use Tampa who doesn't have a great like rest of season schedule when you really look at the way that it plays out and like an obvious spot to use him. So for me, Tampa is was a no-brainer before week one even kicked off in week two, assuming I got there. Larry, anything to add there? Just that Tampa Bay doesn't have the future value. You look at the whole schedule and you can't see a certain victory on it. Whereas the 49ers do have good spots week six week nine with Will with the box. Karen, I almost went Niners on the sheer fact of injury like this might be the best version we get of them. The box is a great call too. I just decided to get the chargers off my plate here because looking at their schedule, at Buffalo, at Seattle, hosting Denver, at Kansas City, at the Rams, hosting Houston, at Baltimore, is what's taking us to mid-November. So just get them off my plate. I don't love this team,

1:10:50but I do think that they win this game after what happened last week. Okay, so Survivor, you have to consider what everybody else is going to do and how many people are going to be on each of these teams, right? So we expect with this spread that the 49ers are going to be the most popular pick right now. They are projected to be taking about 30% of the time in pools. Tampa Bay is projected to be about 30% as well. So it's going to be pretty close to those two being the consensus picks. Bucks don't have a lot of future value, but if they are a good team, I will take them at home against any team in that division. Like there's not going to be more than one good team in that division. If they're not a good team, you get in a little danger here in this spot. So I like going to the chargers. Nobody's playing the chargers. They're projected about 3% used. And then what you're going to trust them, they're going to come out, I think, better after getting embarrassed. And the schedule starts getting brutal after this week. So this is a must win spot for the chargers in week two against a bad team, which you wouldn't expect. They have at Buffalo, at Seattle, then versus the Broncos, at the chiefs, a buy, at the Rams,

1:11:52versus the Texans, at the Ravens on Monday night. Their next game after that is Home Against the Jets, the Spider-Ear. Everybody's going to want to use them. What if they run the table with losses in that coming off a money net game? Who's going to trust them against the Jets? Especially if the Jets continue to play better than we think as they didn't week one. So they could be 0 and 9 if they don't win here. And then people are like, maybe we're using them. It's true. If they're bad enough to lose to the Cardinals and then this in this game, they could be 0 and 9 against that stretch. And then you're not going to use them anywhere. I don't care if they're at Miami on week 15. Like that's going to be tough to trust them anywhere. So this is the time to use them and trust that they are actually a decent team. Nobody, everybody else is going to use them in very bottom next spots after this. And I will be fine using the Bucks if they're good against one of the home matchups that they have. And you tell about injuries too. If the Chargers, they lost both their tackles last year. The Chargers are constantly injured every year. If they sell every bunch of injuries, yeah, I mean, I think the Jets is a tough spot.

1:12:55Who would be in a spot week 18 where they play in Denver and Denver is not trying? Yeah, week 18. I never project for week 18 because you never know who's playing in those games. So, you know, it's kind of you, you make your plan, you do what you need to do. And if you're lucky enough to get to week 18, hopefully you've already, you know, concocted a split with the other few people that are left and you're playing for, you know, some pocket change here and there. But week 18, you worry about that when you get to it because you might be able to play like the titans that randomly play hard against a good team. Today's episode is brought to you by Alma. I think a lot of people put off therapy not because they don't want help, but because finding the right therapist feels like such a process. I know I've experienced that, digging through options, trying to understand insurance, and not knowing if I'd actually click with someone almost simplifies all of that. They've built a network of over 26,000 therapists nationwide and you can browse their directory without signing up. You can filter for exactly what

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1:15:0045% off site-wide. Plus get a free professional measure at Blinds.com. Rules and restrictions apply. Okay, this leads us then to best bets. RJ, I'm going to force you to make a decision with me here. Okay, because that is my wait. Oh, this okay. We've won recap. Sorry. My freezer mayor. We've won recap. I wasn't here. Ken said, dude, tell us your reaction to this one. I mean, when you look at it now, I look like an idiot. But at the time, it felt like a really good everyone's going right. I'm going left pick. You want the yeah. The jets held up there into the bargain. They did. And honestly, we were on pace after the first quarter. I don't really know what happened there. At that point, just jets team total. You guys can not trust me. Yeah, you know, that's what that one's fault of mine. 11. There was a there was a 11 play 11 minute fuel gold drive by the jets in the second quarter. That probably killed you. That'll do it. That'll do it. Yeah, that'll do it. You're feeling good about that. Cardinals play,

1:16:02Brinson, RJ. You guys catch the card was money line. I wasn't here. You didn't tell me to do what I did. You touched down parlay. Yeah, it's been plus a million. He was. He was, he was like plus 70 units on there. I retired all of us. Yeah, seriously, I really need to start telling Brinson. Okay, Chargers. So we're all talking about how maybe the charger start oh and six. I was gunna tease the box, which I know you like, RJ. So we're gunna tease the box. Chargers were going to be with my other leg. And I know, you know, the long like you're supposed to go through specifically seven and a half would be the better number going through seven to get into and pick up. So I was going to go box chargers. Should I go Jags instead? Do we feel like that safe front? You want to play this? You can do this. I'm if this this is a best bet. So if this is your one best bet, play this. But if you're betting it in the market, if you like the chargers, as a teaser at minus zero zero point five, you should be playing the minus six point five. So if that that if that's your team, you like do that. But you know, if you really want to tease the

1:17:04bucks and this is the best team you compare with them, do it. You know, I feel like Jags might be eating half is better. I'm going to can we change this? You've been live switch. Live switch. I'm going to go box Jags teaser. Okay, six point teaser. That is my play. I don't want to hear anything about it. Now I love taking the Broncos because when you change something last minute there, you're going to get wrecked in that game. I'm going to be really annoyed when when you win your best bet off the teaser. I gave out on the teaser section. And that's okay. Oh, friends and fours yours now. I think it's good. I think you're telling you. I think it's good. Yeah, I think it's good. I think it's really good. I was just I go box Jags or Chargers Jags. No box box. Yeah. Then box Jags. I'm giving you a lot of charges. I'm sorry, Ben. I'm giving you a lot of giving you a lot right now. Brentson, what is your best bet? So I mean, look, I'm I'm a Baker Mayfield as a spiteful S.O.B. like narrative. No. Drone beggar. So like I'm going to keep I'm going

1:18:07to keep hammering that thing. It's like Cal Bell, man. The only you know, the only the only cure is more. I don't though want to take the bucks. I like the bucks on the spread. And like I'm taking the team total over because I think they're going to come out. They're going to score a bunch of points. I would not be surprised if because Todd Boles is in charge of this team. If they let off the gas a little bit and you had to sweat the point spread. So I would much rather take the Buckingham years team total over, which I think they kind of scare in the first half after being embarrassed and Cincinnati and Baker with the revenge narrative. Okay. RJ, you have a team total taking the Steelers team total under 17 and a half 17, of course, being a key number. A lot of teams fall on this offense was bad and what was supposed to be an easy matchup with the Atlanta's defensive injuries. Now they faced arrested and mad Patriots defense that is much better. Helden the 203 yards in that that game last year. We talked about with the four fumbles that the Steelers somehow scored 21 points in and won anyway. They're going to have revenge on their

1:19:09mind. They're going to protect the ball. Pittsburgh offense has a little shot in this game to me based on what I saw last week against Atlanta. So a love getting the 17 and a half in this market at a pretty reasonable price of minus one 15. So that's why it's my best bet. Okay, Larry. I like to say it's I'm going to grab the eight and a half at Baltimore's eight flowers not practicing earlier in the week. Jacobi Lane is out. That leads to shot Bateman, Mark Andrews. Those are your top weapons in the passing game. And I just think some of that outburst from the Ravens was a little misleading because the Colts could not get themselves lined up properly on defense. These Saints are feisty. They've covered six straight road games. They got cheated out of a touchdown on the fumble return last week. So I think they're angry and I think they'll at least get it done and stay within a touchdown. Ken's wrap us up. I'm a little on the other side of that. I wouldn't put the Saints defense on that much higher of a pedestal than the Colts. I do think it's better but not by the margin of Baltimore can't score 30 points here. I mean, I think they should have put up

1:20:0950 last week. Now they get to be home. Saints out of a dome. I just feel like it could be. I like what we're seeing from his offense in general. And I don't think that the Saints offense will have a lot of time on the field to be honest. Well, let's say 30 to 23. Yeah, I think you guys can comfortably get both of those balls. Yeah, Saints are a back to the Saints are going to be backdoring covers all your life. They're back dorma gay. Yeah, that's the Saints. And I think we hit all your questions fantasy betting. Sorry if I missed any. I think we did. Stike in to be first fired head coach. Do we like that that prediction markets? You can bet that now, right? I don't know. And he's going to have easier matchups obviously and he's done a lot with a little a quarterback in the past. You know, the Gardner Men's shoes and Anthony Richardson's of the world getting eight and nine wins every year. So I'm not ruling him out after one week, even though it's going to be a struggle. I think with Daniel Jones this year coming off that injury. So hopefully he gets healthier as the season goes along. We know Jonathan Taylor's great. I don't think the defense is as bad as they showed. Hopefully they get their stuff together. We'll see Jay Allen

1:21:12maybe gets a little more playing time align back or so. Yeah, I had to get really good odds on him to be able to bet. I would also suggest that Ms. Urse is not going to be like axing people mid-season. Like she's fairly new owner wants some stability. If Shane Stuykin is fired, I think it'll be this offseason win and it would clean house with Chris Ballard as well and just do a full blown search. So I think you also have the week 13 buy, which is normally where you would do the firing. So that's pretty far down the road. We could see somebody, I mean, yeah, who knows somebody before then. So I would agree with our day need to be really good odds. Okay, this was fun guys week two. It was a little long. We're going to try to go quicker next week. Well, thanks for joining us there. At the end, if you guys want to check out the early edge, the fills are on their every day 10 a.m. Eastern Monday through Friday. Check that out and we will be here same time same place next week. See you then. Stay yeah. Good luck.

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