VSiN By The Books | March 6, 2026 | Hour 3

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1:00Call 1-800-Gampler. If you want to give in day.

2:02Today could be one of those examples that we're talking about at the API, The second round of the Arnold Palmer Invitation. What I want to do is wait and Scotty Scheffler is not going to tee off till much later in the day. Let's hope that our guys that we both have tickets on and let's say Kalmork Kalah who's going to play much earlier than Scotty today that he can go out there and have a good start to his round. Maybe get to eight or nine under overall for the tournament. numbers right now, which is sitting about six to one to come back and win this tournament, that could balloon depending on the player. If it's a move to Goberg, if it's a Commonwealth Cowah, and it's a class field anyway in an elevated event, then the number could drift on Scotty. So Jensen, I think the exercise for us and what we're trying to pour is if you're watching and you don't want to set up bed and forget it, and you want to really try to take advantage of numbers, wait in the moment as long as you can before Scotty, Chef, or T's off. And the longer you wait, the better the number should get just by other guys running out

3:02as rabbits as we like to say on a Thursday and Friday to elongate that deficit that Scotty's going to have to overcome. So the point is the number right now that you get on a guy like Scotty, Chef, or is not going to be the best number that you get before he ever T's off. So Jensen, it takes patience, but if you're really trying to get the best of the number, I think that's the best strategy to look at a guy like Scotty before round two commences today for him. Yeah, to be remarkable to see what the course ends up doing. And right now, only three players, actually four players now under par. And I think that's still the part of it too when you're looking at some of the names, Kirk Kityama, a big bomber, already won over through two. Mike Laihoygard is one over through seven. You mentioned looking at where we are after round one, remember Rex Hogueard mentioning that Austin Smotherman would be a guy to kind of look at, not only in potentially pre-tournament, but someone that has kind of found his way a little bit, he's two under through seven

4:04to eight. Ryan Gerard, a guy that was on our bet the build minus two already through four. So you're seeing guys early make the adjustments and you alluded to it before that that early round in round two because you're not dealing with elements just yet might be a great way to go get this course. And so I think I'm intrigued with some of our big boys. And actually, your guy and Ludwig is going to tee off here in about 40 minutes. Can he take advantage here and maybe in the first nine, then we'll see what happens when the afternoon round goes off too? Exactly the way I'm looking at it too. Because I want to get Kyle Moore, I get Ludwig Oberg out there and the golf course, Kyle is going to have to wait much later than Ludwig is obviously here with their tee times today. But get out there early, set that pace, get some birdies in pocket because of one thing about Bay Hill when you're watching it, there is danger lurking at just about every turn in this golf course. So it's going to be chaotic by the time we get to Sunday. And I don't think that you're going to see again, a Daniel Berger going out there at nine under par, being able to back that up with a four, five under par.

5:07If he does, again, that'd be awesome to see. I'm not rooting against the guy. It's just a law of probability here in golf does not seem like that's going to be plausible for a guy that did not make a bogey yesterday. So these winning scores when you get to the weekend here, I still think you're looking at, you know, mid double digits here at about 15 under par somewhere in that vicinity. That means a guy like Scottie Sheffer is going to start off the day at two under. If you do that math, you don't have to go out there and shoot a 63 like Berger did. You just got to go out there and shoot a 69, shoot a 68, shoot consistently under par here two, three, four under and you're going to be right there come Sunday. I think if you're Rory McRoy backer and you don't have anything invested, he's at even par. I don't think that that's a necessarily a bad play either on a guy like Rory. You can look at adjusted top 10 markets for guys like Scottie and Rory. And I think those are still going to be very nice price points to have here because I do not think just because you had one slow day and you played in the tougher conditions like Rory did yesterday in the afternoon that you're done with this tournament.

6:07And that's why we did goberg's round yesterday was so impressive to do that in the rougher conditions on the back nine. Really impressive. Let's see what he can do now when it's quote unquote easier, but there is nothing easy about this golf course. We mentioned that maybe the story of the weekend, I do believe would be of John Day with the second as an amateur, making his pro debut this week at the Puerto Rican Open. If he somehow won this tournament, I mean, he was almost 200 to one in the betting market to do just that really good initial round for John daily, the second 200 par, not too far back here after day one, a really solid, solid way to introduce yourself to the golf world. So what do you think? Is he going to be like dad? Because you know, dad would almost famously say after a good round, what are you going to do? You're going to go to the range and hit some balls. He's like, no, I'm going to go have some drinks, have some fun and, and you know, I'll be out here tomorrow and do this again. Let's hear from son and find out if it is like father, like son, what are you going to

7:07work on today? If anything, just to keep you going to go tomorrow, I would say I go hit balls, but I'm a little, a little tired. So I'm just going to probably go to the beach and do absolutely nothing for the rest of the day. And then he gave you a little laugh after that too, Jensen, but he was serious. You know what I'm going to do? I'm going to go to the beach and do absolutely nothing. So the day, I kind of love it, it reminds me of Booby Miles and Friday night lights when preacher man says, Hey, Booby, you didn't lift and he goes, this is God giving, baby. Oh, I got to do a show up. I get the feeling that the daylies, if they just show up, Jensen, they're going to be in contention. That's how good father was as a major, multiple major champion and as son might be able to be. Be fun to see. Well, we'll track his progress. Charlie Woods, so you can already see it down the line here, the offspring of some of the greats to ever play. How will they carry on the legacy and the lineage as well? And again, Charlie might be like, if he's like dad, he might be the guy that goes grinds out there after the round is done.

8:08Just doesn't see like that little John, he thinks he's going to be a lot like big John, but it fun to watch his opening round yesterday. Had the great move for the carol on earlier in the show today, I had a great conversation with Reed Coons, wherever you get your podcast, please like and subscribe to Vison by the books. You're going to have access to that. Check out the first strike podcast with me and Rob Marano and we had Reed Coon on at this week to his analytics and his numbers are spectacular. So like subscribe and download wherever you get your pods. I'm going to go against the grain in some of my picks here, Jensen. And again, I try to be very transparent about this. I understand whether numbers are going to lie, certainly in the main event. And they should favor Max Hallway. He should be a favorite against Charles Olvera, but I think he's too big of a favorite here. And my favorite play in the board. It's a two unit play is the over two and a half rounds and you did have to lay a little bit of juice at $1.55 and I thought Lou gave out a great point here earlier that if you want to play over two and a half rounds as I'm doing, then you could look at a price point of the fight does not go the distance.

9:10And as long as you get midway through round number three, then you get a really back end of the fight where you're rooting for chaos. And how many times have we seen that, certainly in Max Hallway fights where he gets fights stopped late Korean zombie, wait, Justin Gachy as late as it gets 10 seconds to go, you know, he's going to point down in the middle of the octagon there with 10 seconds to go in that fifth and final round. He's always pushing for a finish until that final bell. So I do think there's a possibility of Max Hallway getting Charles Olvera out later, but I don't think it's coming sooner. And I will tell you this, I think due Bronx is very live and I know a lot of people are going to discount the weight advantage here that I think Oliver has because we've seen Max look really good in this weight class at 55 again, knocked out Justin Gachy to win this very belt, the BMF belt, but I think that's advantage Charles Olvera in these higher weight classes. They fought about 11 years ago and Max took care of him, some mailman came over Charles Olvera in that first round. That feels like a different guy in a lifetime ago.

10:10I don't think you're going to see anything quite like that as a matter of fact, Jensen, I would look to this fight. I think you might get a five round classic between this two and one fight that we're talking about for years to come. That's how highly anticipated I'm looking at this main event. I did play the menace Michael Johnson here against Drew Dover, two legends of the octagon. These are not legends in the in the extent of champions that were talking about with Max and Charles, but just legendary fighters for the style of fights that they have. Michael Johnson and one of the best fights I've ever seen when he welcomed Justin Gachy to the octagon about 10 years ago in a fight. He was winning until Justin Gachy does what Justin Gachy does to close out that show that night. I think Michael Johnson gets it done laying the small price point here against Drew Dover at minus a dollar 15. And I think finishing potentials are going to come with the lack of defense that Drew Dover shows on fight in fight out. I played the under a plus money at seven and a half minutes. And it is an interesting handicap from Lou on the co-main event in Kyle Bahaille against Renata Ritter. And I do like the best version of RDR that completely dominated a Hall of Famer and

11:14Robert Whitaker and a guy that if we think that Bo Nichol was going to be some catch me out someday dominated a guy like that. I think that's the RDR we're going to see against Kyle Bahaille. Is it good enough to dominate Kyle? I'm not sure about that, but I think at that price point, it was too good to pass up for me. So I didn't pass it up here, guys. And I'm going to be on RDR here as a live dog at plus 220. I do think the fight might go the distance. So you can almost look to maybe a decision prop there for either guy. If you think it's going to go a hard 15, that's my official fight card here for UFC 326. By the way, you will get money back every time you fill up with the pump when you download right now the upside app. It is free to do. Use the promo code books. You're going to get 25 cents back per gallon on your very first fill up. So drivers are literally saving $203 a year just by using this very app. So download the free upside app now. Use the promo code books to start earning today offers going to vary by user and location.

12:17Visit upside.com for all of the details. Jensen's going to be a lot of fun in the next segment, gets it up with Ruben Amaro Jr. Of course, former player for GM in the league. Nobody knows the game better than Ruben. And what about those fighting fills in Philadelphia? We know that maybe Santa the Hourglass is starting to go the other way for them. Do they have enough punch to really give the Mets and the Braves a real tussle this year in the NL East? We'll discuss all of that next right here on decent by the book. So you're listening to this podcast because you want an edge, but what if I told you you're only halfway there? You've got the mindset. Now it's time to get the toolkit to match it. Here's the thing. The better is they spend thousands of on data and tools. But what they don't know and don't want you to know is that you can get the same edge for a fraction of the cost with decent pro with decent pro. You're going to get access to expert picks, public betting data, prop projections, powerful tools, analytics, and so much more.

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14:20Whether you're paying bills, setting savings goals, or just splitting the check. Atlantic Union Bank makes managing your money easier. With helpful people and user-friendly tools, we make sure banking with us fits you. Call, visit us online, or drop into an Atlantic Union Bank branch today. Atlantic Union Bank. Anyway, you bank. You're too dead to be seen by the books, right here on Visa. When we continue to be seen by the books, of course, the show is sponsored by Upside. You can earn real cash back at the pump with free upside-down after season from Cook's Books. It gets 25 cents back per gallon on your very first fill. All you have to do is go to Upside.com for all of the details. It's a real pleasure every day doing the show with a former major leader in Jensen Lewis.

15:23Jensen, it's got to be a real treat for both of us here. When you get a guy like Ruben Amaro Jr. that comes in the program, not only a player, GM and the league as well. So nobody knows the game better than Ruben. Give a follow-on exit, R.A. Jr. underscore 20. Kind enough to join us this morning from Clearwater, Florida. Ruben, this is, I know for Jensen, sometimes you go, man, I miss this time of the year as a former player. This is like for you as an executive in a player, as immersed in the game as you are. What is this time of the year signal for you? Well, I was always optimism, right? I mean, when I was associated with the Philadelphia Phillies, obviously, and as a player, even in Cleveland when I was with the Cleveland Indians at the time way back when, I mean, anytime that calendar flips from December 31st to January 1st, it's like, you know, like a month away, you're back on the field and you're watching it, either watching your players from 500 feet if you're an executive or getting ready to strap it on in the clubhouse with the boys, but it's a really fun time because there's such great optimism every single year, even

16:30though you may not have the best ball club one way or another, but there's a great deal optimism. Everybody's undefeated and there's a lot of fun things that you're about ready to see during the course of the year. Oh, there is. And Rube, this has been as fun a club to watch in the city of brotherly love the last half decade. And I know one of the themes heading into the off season was, could this be the Phillies version of the last dance with all the impending free agents? Well, we got a lot of big answers and positive ones, especially with couch warber coming back and kind of seeing where the layout of the lineup will be. Your assessment of where this offense sits right now. I know Delis Garcia coming over and signing in December will be an upgrade defensively they're out in right field and should help lengthen the lineup. Just overall, your sense is the lineup better than where we were just a season ago? And do they have that chance to go back and be at the top of the nationally guest? You know, honestly, I do think so. I think it's a little bit better and I'll tell you why one.

17:31I actually thought that they might mix it up a little bit. There was some talk, obviously, about the Phillies possibly getting boba shit that didn't work out. And they ended up bringing JT Real Mutual back as a result. But the things that I look at on a positive side as far as the lineup is concerned. And it was like a top five offense as it was. But I think it's obvious that they need some protection after the first three guys in the lineup. We have Turner, Schwarber and Harper in the first, you know, top part of that lineup. Are the guys, Alec Bome, are the marshes of the world, Adolis Garcia, who they've acquired, Bryson Stott and so forth, are those guys going to be better? Are they going to be more productive? Well, I do believe that at the very least, I think Alec Bome, who had suffered a bunch of injuries last year, I think he's going to be a much better player. He had two straight 97 RBI seasons. I think Adolis Garcia, I hope they are hoping that he gets closer to his production in 2023

18:38when he was a pretty darn awesome right-handed bat for the Texas Rangers. I think that they feel that they can make some tweaks with his setup and his approach to sort of improve on what he's done the last couple of years. And then when I look at the numbers that Brandon Marsh, who's ticketed to be the left fielder and Bryson Stott, if you look at the last half numbers on both of those guys, they're pretty darn good. They had excellent second halves of the season. Bryson Stott made a mechanical adjustment in his stance and his setup that has really propelled him forward, I think, to be the kind of hitter that he can be. And Brandon Marsh, I think it's confident, sort of just bounced back at the end of the year last year. They have a different center fielder and Justin Crawford to give him a little speed and other dynamic that I think it's important for them to have. And I do think that there is some optimism about, at least from my vantage point, I don't

19:39know about the fans how they feel about it because they're feeling like they're running it back again with basically the same lineup, which is not untrue. But I do believe that they're going to get some improvement from the guys that are ticketed to be in the, in the starting night. Ruben, I got to ask you about Dave Dombroski, the team president there and his comments about Bryce Harper. And I covered Bryce early on in his DC days there and we know that Bryce hears these things, right? Hey, season was good, but it wasn't elite. Bryce kind of found those comments wild. What do you make of that from the front office of the player? Was it, was it needling on purpose? Or do you think it was just kind of a flippant comment that maybe was misconstrued? I think it's probably closer to be. I don't, I'm not in, obviously in Dave Dombroski's skull right now. I've known him for a long, long time. I think he was honestly just being honest. I think he was just talking about, he was asked a question and he was just sort of being honest as to what the production was from Bryce Harper. You're right about this. He does watch and he does listen.

20:40He sees everything and it will, I think, I know he said that it probably won't motivate him. I have to believe, at least from my vantage point, that there's a little bit of a piece of in him that is saying, hey, don't forget about me. I know that there's Aaron Judges and the Otonis of the world and other players that are sort of taking over the, you know, that mod to come up, the best player in the world. But I got to believe that Bryce Harper is good starting to feel like, hey, don't forget about me, boys, I'm still a pretty damn good player and I'm going to show the world that I can do some things. And he's actually, to his credit, he's talked to Kevin Long, who's a hitting coach and they worked pretty diligently on one of the things that was a little bit of a flaw in his approach last year, as he was swinging out of his own a lot. I know there's a lot of talk about him getting protected in the lineup, which is important. But it seems like he has taken it upon himself to, like, at least in the very early part

21:40of this spring, before he's gone off to the team USA, to really make a concern of effort to swing at pitches in the zone, to allow the pitcher to make mistakes, to make sure that he's swinging at pitches that he can handle, rather than trying to do a little bit too much, which can happen when your Bryce Harper and you're that good, you want to try to produce. And I think it's important for him to stay in the zone. He's always been one of those guys with great eye hand coordination, good idea of the strike zone. He sort of needs to get back to that again, to be a more productive player, I think. Really good stuff. Ruben, let me go to the other side of the ball, and it will be a point of contention here and twofold for you. Number one, an update on kind of where we are timetable-wise for Zach Wheeler, obviously having the thoracic outlet injury this past year and derailing what many thought could have been a saw-young winning campaign, and it's ironic that he was battling teammate Christopher Sanchez, who has the breakout season that he does.

22:43Where we are with Wheeler and what we could expect here in 2026, and then also you're feeling on where the overall nature and construction of the Philly's rotation will be. Yeah, obviously having Wheeler back is a really important one. The fact that Christopher Sanchez has stepped up and Lazardo, who's Lazardo's also really stepped forward as well, I think the most important aspect of what's happened, one of the most important aspects of what has happened so far this spring, is that Zach Wheeler is now throwing his third bullpen. He feels free and easy. He's throwing the ball. I've actually had conversations with him. He seems like Zach Wheeler of normal. It's not. He's now to the point where obviously he's had a later start, but he's starting now, I think, to start to ramp up, to get ready for the season. He has no ill effects so far on what's going on. The ball's coming out good. He's got good command of his stuff.

23:43He's even working on a brand new pitch, which is a split that he's changing his grip on, which is something that he's pretty excited about, and you know, the great one, Sanchez, you well know, the great ones try to make themselves a little bit better every year. Well, even though he's coming back off of this surgery, he's still working on something a little special to maybe combat some of the numbers that the left handers have against him and look out nationally, he's if he's, if he masters that pitch because if he comes back healthy, obviously, a really important part of the rotation, but if he comes back healthy, hopefully in late April or early May, I think that's going to be a huge boost to the Phillies and necessary because they don't have a whole lot of depth. Which is the big issue in their rotation beyond, you know, the five guys that they help, healthy guys that they have excluding Wheeler, you know, you have Sanchez, as we mentioned, Luzardo, Aaron Nola has thrown well so far this spring, but had a really tough season

24:44last year. They have Taiwan Walker and then they're counting on on the youngster Andrew Painter, very, very talented young man, but beyond that, they don't have a whole lot of depth and that's a bit of a concern for the Phillies. Ruben, it's been great talking to you again, give them a follow on acts at R.A. Junior underscore 20 in about 20 seconds. The Phillies win the NL East by the way, plus a dollar 80 to do that. The Phillies win the NL East if they do blank. Well, they're going to have to hold off the Atlanta Braves, I think. I know that everybody's talking about the New York Mets and all the things that they've done, but to me, the most talented team and the scariest team, the health and if they are healthy, are the Atlanta Braves. That's a really good team. You don't forget about those Braves because if they get strider back to where he needs to be and sale is back and healthy, look out. I know that, you know, they have a very, very powerful lineup, had a whole lot of injuries

25:45to it. Riley going down. Got it there, Ruben. Fantastic. You're too dim to fleece and buy the books right here on Visa. Weeked to fleece and buy the books, this show is sponsored by Upside. You're going to earn real cash back in the pump with the free upside of the app. Just use the promo code Books. You can get 25 cents back per gallon on your very first fillupcodeupside.com. You're all of the details. Well, what a pleasure it was to talk to Ruben tomorrow, junior in the last segment. I will say I'm a bit perplexed at Ruben's last answer because all I asked simply was they the Phillies win the division if blank. I did not expect Ruben to fill in the blank with if they hold off the Braves and not my metropolitan. Now, Jensen, I don't have any tickets in on my meds because we bet with our head, not with our heart on this program, right? But would you make a Ruben's assessment there that really the Braves in his eyes are the team to beat in the East and not the meds?

26:47Great minds. Think alike. And now I'm just going back to my right up here. I did pick the Braves in our M will be betting guide to win the nationally East and my bold take was that they fly over their wind total, taking home at least 92 wins. It won't shock me, you know, if but but he's right, though, and we've already seen some of the injury issues with Schwellenbach out with strider diminished velocity, they're going to have to tap into depth already in the rotation and remember just a day or so ago, the jerks and pro far suspension, yeah, that's a versatile bat in the lineup that they lose. However, I still think when healthy, this is as deep a lineup outside of the Dodgers that you'll find in in Bigley baseball. So that's the unique part about this division and I still think the meds will have plenty to say about it, but I told you before and when we eventually do the meds preview here by the books, those guys, I know as a reliever, I got Jorge Polanco playing a position

27:49he's ever played at first. I got Boba Shept making a positional change to the hot corner. You're telling me with runners in scoring position, I want any ball hit to either line. I don't think so and I think that's the uniqueness of where you are early in the season. Now, maybe it ends up working itself out and they actually are on boarded quickly, but I agree with Rue. I mean, Alex and Thapos has shown he is not scared to go and make deals at the deadline. If the braves are in in this division and solely or especially in the playoff race, won't shock me whatsoever if it lands as a player at the top of the national league east. All right. For our steam producer, Joe Frieza, we can have that last part stricken from the record for the replays of the show. Let's get to what else is going on in the world of sports, certainly with March Madness and the conference tournament is upon us. It's time for today's edition of The Daily Docket. Your snapshot of odds, trends, and futures. This is The Daily Docket.

28:50You know, before VCU made their move to the A10, you split back there in the CAA. So I used to watch this league cover this league back in my college days. So a different iteration now in 2026 here, Jensen, but as we look at some of the, quote, small conferences that are either underway or getting underway, what do you make of some of those tournament favorites? Yeah. So we've got the Coastal Athletic Association tournament that gets underway tonight. They are in Washington, D.C., same venue. You remember care first arena, I'm sure had various names in years past, but just one game for the CAA to get underway tonight. That's North Carolina A&T against Northeastern. And then it will be three straight days with the rest of the teams getting there before they play their championship on March 11th. UNC Wilmington is the top betting choice, about plus 260 originally. They're down to plus 195 as of today. College of Charleston was five to one. They drifted a little bit to seven to one.

29:51And now Hofstra is drifted too. They were plus 195. They're up to plus 220. RST managing editor Adam Burke had the right up at Vecin.com. He actually likes the favorite. He likes UNC Wilmington to be able to get through it, a couple of betting trends to note here, Dave, and then I'll get your thoughts over the last four CAA tournaments. Favorites in the semifinal and championship rounds again. So if you want to save the date, semifinals are on Monday, March 10th. The final is on March 11th, okay? So favorites in those two rounds are just six and five straight up. But Dave, one and 10, ATS, one and 10. So file that one away. That might be just a blind back in the dog in that tournament trend. That's over the last four years. So something to keep in mind here, especially if the chalk holds into the semifinal and championship round. Yeah, very interesting to see. And again, I like that sometimes it feels like the obvious answer is the easy answer here

30:52when you look at Wilmington and plus $1.95, but that trend might tell you that if you had that ticket in pocket, you could play the dog side here and hope for that beautiful middle. And get the outright potentially ain't still get the dog to cover the number and not win the game might be a really advantageous position there in the CAA. I've also got the so con getting ready to go get underway here. And obviously when you look at some of the tournament favorites, East Tennessee State is the shortest shot on the board here. What do you think they are the rightful favorite at almost $3 south of where Samford comes in at the second betting choice? Is Zachary Cohen getting the right up for us here at visa.com? This is the Harris Cherokee Center in Asheville, North Carolina. If you've never been to the billboard of state, maybe it's a nice two for one for you. Go catch some so con conference tournament and then get yourself some wine at one of the most famous residences in all of these United States. Zach looks at the betting pick to win this tournament. He says Samford is the right value play and interesting to see where Samford as a three

31:54seed is actually in a better spot there from a value spot. So this tournament, Dave, four straight days, the first round of the day, UT Chattanoog in the Citadel, UNC Greensboro and VMI. And then we get into the quarter finals tomorrow, semis on Sunday and then the championship on March 9th, which will be on Monday. Some other valuable betting trends here from Steve McAnon. Single digit favorites in the opening round. So that's today of the so con tournament, 23 and eight straight up, but 22 and nine against the number. That's good for a 71% cover percentage. You go all the way back to 2011, Dave. So we've got about a decade and a half worth of data where a single digit favorite in the opening round of the so con. The other part to remember and we talked about arch madness there with the Missouri Valley Conference and all the unders and they all hit again yesterday. The so con quarter final round. So that will be tomorrow Saturday, March 7th. Steve tells us that the low scoring returns there, 14 and 6 to the under.

32:55That's a 70% under percentage in the last five tournaments. So again, quarter final round to the under. But then when you get to the semis of the so con, it gets to the over 17 and 7 over. That's 71% to the over on the total run. So quarter finals, bet the under and so con, semifinals bet the over in the so con tomorrow. We're going to get to the to the finals, the championship of the Ohio Valley. We got the semis effort today and we got some really small numbers here, Tennessee state just two and a half point favorites against UT Martin. And you also have Southeast Missouri state, a point and a favorite over more head states. A Jensen just by the numbers sounds like these semifinals going to be pretty topsy in the tournament before we figure out who's in the final tomorrow. So Tennessee state opened as a one and a half point favorite Dave. They have been bet up to a two and a half point favorites, not seeing any leans there on the spread, but I would lean to the under right now.

33:56I'm seeing 139, the consensus had opened at 142 and a half. I have a feeling that we're going to see a lot of underplays throughout not only my picks for the day, but also into over the weekend as you'll start to see some of these teams really lock up that more head state matchup will they'll be taking on Southeast Missouri state. You mentioned a two very small number, more head state opened as a two and a half point dog. They're down to plus one and a half, Dave. But yet again, I know this is going to shock you. The under would be the lean for me, open at 142 and a half down to 142, 141 and a half I'm seeing at bed MGM. So not a surprise. This has kind of been the trend as of late. Maybe we'll see some differences headed next week when we get the big boy tournaments all started. And again, you went three and no on your underplays yesterday in Arch Madness there. So pretty darn good start for you in this in some of these smaller conferences that you're looking at here on Saturday, also going to have the big sky tournament round number one. Then Sunday going to have a lot of tournament action here going on before we get to the

34:58real big boys for the conference tournaments after the regular seasons and this weekend. Big sky, a couple of trends to make note of. And again, this is going to be one of those unique spots to where you've got about four teams that are within about three to four to one to win it all actually a unique long shot here. Adam Burke advocating for Montana at seven to one. But he remember how he told us on Wednesday some of these longer shots. It's probably more profitable to play the money line roll over his value instead. He does advocate for that here in this big sky tournament. Of course, so we're looking at total trends here, Steve Mac and in totals of 140 or less or fewer Dave in the big sky tournament have gone over at a 76% rate since 2016. So look for those totals of 140 points or fewer and play the over. It's hit about 76% of the time. Great numbers as always.

35:59And that's why you need to be a decent pro subscriber. Because if you're betting college hoops right now, there is no better time to get an edge in the competition like Jensen just pointed out. So when you go and become a decent pro subscriber, you're going to get decent pro access through May 1st for just 29.99. This is with our hoops, Mania, special. So with decent pro going to get daily best bets, real time betting splits from draft needs and circa AI powered prop tools full access to every decent show on demand. You're also going to get our March Mania betting guide pack with team breakdowns, betting trends, future strategies and picks from all of our top analysts. So again, if you're going to bet college hoops and we know you are, decent pro is going to give you a real edge sign up now, decent dot com slash subscribe. Let's come back with our best bets from across the sports spectrum that's next right here. I'll be some other books. Life's busy. Don't let banking slow you down whether you're paying bills, setting savings goals or just

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38:10We continue these in bottom books we know the gas prices go up and down but with the free upside app you're always going to be earning cash back whenever you fill up at the pumps that just download upside from the app store or Google Play. You can check nearby gas offers and you can start earning instantly. Use promo code books title of the show, get an extra 25 cents back per gallon on your very first fill up. Many drivers are earning $200-$300 a year just back from their regular commute so it's quick. It's simple. You can cash out at any time to your bank account or gift cards like Amazon and more download the free upside app today. Use the promo code books for your limited time 25 cents per gallon bonus offers vary by user and location. See upside dot com for all of the terms and conditions. Jensen it's been a blast all week doing these shows great line up today again like and subscribe to the visa by the books podcast if you missed our conversations with Thomas Gable with Marty Herney, who've been a carrow, Ruben Amaro Jr. I mean we've had you covered pillar to post to your college basketball golf baseball. You name it football with Marty.

39:10It's all out there for you. You've got some tickets already in pocket for those visa and pro subscribers. What do you have right now on the night on ice that you already like in the profile? Yeah, a couple of just fade the public plays tonight, Dave. And then we were very profitable on our puckline alternates yesterday. Remember we made that Rangers play on the back-to-back after the Maple Leafs had that over time loss in New Jersey and the Rangers make it stand up in a big way. Also the Ottawa Senators minus one getting home to under plays. For us tonight, Dave, and let's start with maybe the featured matchup of the night. That's the avalanche and the stars, the two best teams in the central division of the Western Conference. This is about as good as it gets. A little playoff preview, if you will, at the America Airlines Center. This total is down from six and a half to six, but we bought the half goal, if you will. We're going to play that total under six and a half minus a dollar forty five. These are two teams that have been remarkably consistent this year.

40:12The avalanche winners of three in a row, but Dave, the Dallas stars, ten straight wins. It doesn't get much better in the NHL tonight than abs and stars. So we'll think that the gold tenders, this will be a little playoff preview, if you will, because the wild are squarely in there. And that's where we'll go also with a total tonight later on, but that under there. Other spot on the ice, the conucks and the black cocks. I remember Vancouver, one of the worst teams, if not, the worst team in the entirety of the NHL. They have lost seven in a row and the black cocks, two, six and two in their last ten. It can be good dicey with these teams when you want to play unders because when you're that bad, sometimes you've been given up, you know, leads left and right, but we're going to air on the side of caution here and we're going to fade the public again, checking some numbers right now. Just 15% of the bet, 17% of the money public all over this over. So we're going to play the under six and a half again by that puck line or that total up to six and a half minus a dollar 30.

41:14I'm going to add this right now before the end of the show mentioned that we'd be looking at the wild and the golden nights here. I do like the under again, it's down from six and a half to six, but I want to take that under six and a half. It will be for a juice price here, but again, you're looking at two teams squarely in this playoff race. The night still leading the Pacific division by a point over the ducks, the wild, that third place team in the central, but we'll be squarely in that Western conference playoff picture. So really great matchups on the Western conference side tonight, Dave. We're going to play three hundred. We were great on the hardwood with hundreds yesterday. We're going to go right back to it on the ice tonight. Let me ask you this just from a general perspective as a gambler. Okay. I already got those tickets at cash yesterday for Ludwig plus for the plus three seventy five and plus seven dollars for top five, top ten. So the tournament is already a profit if I don't bet anymore. Where are you on situations like that?

42:14Do you go, all right, you know, let's just stand back with our column work, Alice, and our, our positional bets that we have out there. Or do you like to get and take more shots, Jensen? When you have a great day like you had yesterday on the unders and college basketball, does it give you more ammo to fire more or do you kind of go, man, I, you know, I got this profit already set in there. Let me go a little bit more cautiously going forward. I would say stick with your process and, and obviously if there are boxes that are checked on your daily routine, if you will. So that, that for me too, always in hockey, I love the look for unders early because those will move quickly in a lot of public money. They love to see goals, right? So we know that the net miners at this time of year, especially in the advent of the trade deadline, anxious to see what, what happens. You're moving forward, but that, that would be my process as it pertains to golf because I'm very much a shallow end golf better there. I haven't been comfortable with a lot of live ads the last year or so. So we'll always be just, hey, I liked this guy before. I may not want to get too much more exposure if he gets back to where I anticipated he would

43:17be. Great. If not, we keep our powder dry and move on. But I think you and I squarely, you know, knowing we're both involved with Ludwig Oberg, with Kalamora Kawa, I would really like to see Tommy Fleetwood just, can you please give me an effort today? Can you just find your way back to even power? I'd really appreciate it. The cut line right now, Dave, projected at plus one. So yeah, obviously some work to do here for some of the euros. I did have Jacob Bridgman as a top 20 play for me. He's at plus three right now. So some work to be done. Let me ask you because I know it's part of your live ad strategy with that cut line and it may, I would have to anticipate it moves at least to even part. Do you think we get there like where would you see that line and would that also give you an impetus to want to jump in on anyone else at this point? Great question. And by the way, I love the answer that you gave there to people. So when you're on heaters, you should not change the strategy to Jensen's point.

44:18Trust the process. And this is part of mine, as you mentioned with live betting. By the way, it's going to be top 50 in ties to move on in this smaller cut that we have, even though it's an elevated event or within 10 shots of the lead. And that's where it can get interesting where Daniel Berger, if he is another good day, could knock out some players if Daniel Berger, let's just say she's one under par and gets to 10 under, then Jensen, you're exactly right. That cut line would move to even par. So denote that before you hop in on certain players so far on the day. And by the way, Kelly Bidlin coming up next year with Gil Alexander numbers game. I'm sure they're going to go over these live numbers as they change. But I'm not seeing big jumpers here. The best rounds that we're seeing so far early are guys like Matt Fitzpatrick, 200 through four. We're seeing some two unders there from Ryan Gerard, as he tries to make a race to the cut line. Pearson Kudy. Don't know if it's going to be good enough. He had a terrible day yesterday, but he is 200 on the round today. But the point being here is at this golf course, it's hard to make up that type of ground in one round. And that's why again, we're preaching patience here.

45:21If you want to get in on a Rory McRoy on a Scotty Shepard before they finish or they begin the round twos, see how the rounds are playing out. And I do believe that number that you see on Scotty Shepard right now, if you're watching on Fandole Sports Network at plus 590, that might drift. And you know the rule here on Vison by the books, Jensen. If that thing hits 10 to one, then I'm going to make it a lie that on Scotty Shepard. Any point around. I hope it trips to 10 to one before he tees off for round number two today. Then I really think we get to a very advantageous position. So love the strategy there. And that's what we're going to try to import. But again, you got to be watching and beyond the spot. If you're going to get live here on a guy like Scotty Shepard or Rory McRoy before they tip off for round number two. Let's get back to your picks here in the NBA that you like tonight. And wow, did I see this correctly? You're going to dance with the Pacers tonight against the Lakers and take those below to points. Yeah, this could be a hold your nose spot here. LA not been very good as of late, but they actually have been very good at covering as

46:21a home favorites. This nine opened at 11 and a half, down to nine and a half. I did grab the Pacers at 11 and a half. We'll kind of see if Indiana can hold their water or hold their mud, if you will. Not as bullish on that one as I am, potentially on the trailblazers. They are catching seven and a half in Houston. I did. We've talked about this a lot in the NBA. The rockets as good as they've been overall. They're one of the worst teams in the NBA covering as a home favorite. They're 10 and 17 against the number. I'll take a shot on the trailblazers plus seven and a half tonight. I think they've got an opportunity to not only keep this close, maybe they shocked the world and kind of win it outright. Not to say that Houston can't defend home court, but man, they've let teams hang around that they probably shouldn't have. So that would be my night so far on the NBA. I know we talked with Thomas Gable about the Mac in Miami, Ohio tonight and the chance to finish it off. Look to Akron right down the street from me here in Northeast Ohio.

47:22I got them minus 21 and a half against Northern Illinois. If not for Miami, Ohio being undefeated this year, Dave, we'd be talking about the Akron zips in the Mac and how ridiculously good they've been. I think they blow the doors off the Saluki's. I don't think it's going to be anywhere close. That's going to be a fun one against Northern Illinois. I think that one could get very, very embarrassing quite quickly. We got a message here from our buddy golf calling who says you sound like AI Jensen, but also said what a trooper. So you've got the AI Jensen. I kind of like that. I think we've seen some different applications out there with people are using, I think like Colin coward, AI, AI Jensen. I want the real Jensen Lewis. I don't need you. We don't need animated Jensen or automated Jensen. No, no. We got enough jobs being offloaded to AI. We like to keep ours and do it in living color. Well, again, like a trooper that you are my man, you got it done. Nobody would know the difference. You do have a little bit of that very white going, but it sounded very good for the last

48:25three hours. If you want more of these in here, people, what you have to do is go to vston.com. Vston, watch out. We've got Guillaume Xander, Kelly Bidlin, a numbers game coming up next. The Toyota Tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going, blending rugged muscle with precision engineering, all supported by Toyota's time-tested legacy of dependability. Step into a Tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available iForce Max engine. Tundra puts out impressive power, torque, and towing performance and the roomy high-tech cabin keeps you connected on the go. Or take a look at Tacoma made for drivers who push past the path. Agile, tough and relentless with available features like crawl control, portable JBL speaker, a power lift gate, so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving. The Tacoma and Tundra are engineered to endure season after season, mile after mile. So drive one home today, visit toyota.com or stop by your local Toyota dealer to find

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