VSiN By The Books | March 30, 2026 | Hour 3

0:00This is Veecin by the books on Veecin, these sports betting network. Top of the hour to Veecin by the books, I am Dave Ross right here at the Mink Gaming Hall in Franklin, Kentucky. Our closing just moves back home in Cleveland, Ohio, going to make a couple of mitch back here to Franklin. Can't wait to have you back in here Thursday Friday of next week, correct, Jensen? You'll be in studio with me. Yes. We get on the road this week, my friend, my ESPN college baseball duties begin. I'll be in Auburn, Alabama on Thursday and Friday. So we'll do the show remote. And then I'll be right there next to you, my friend for the beginning of master's week. Can we say it? Yes. The beginning of master's week next week. Let's go. My friend will have crowned a national champion next week. Cannot wait to get it underway. You're going to be a fun couple of weeks now to get through March and begin April. I think officially you have to whisper master's a tradition unlike any other tradition that we love on Mondays is bringing in our buddy Zachary Cohen does a great job as our senior editor

1:03here at decent.com, host of the hardwood Haney cappers podcast, give him a follow on X. I think one of the best names on it, betting on X. That's what we do. Joyce, it's not the progressive. Yes. Zach, great to have you back, my friend. We're talking about it. We're kidding during the break. You know, we're all geniuses. The three of us. We all know exactly what we're talking about here and then you get to March madness and sometimes you go, do I know anything at all? Our brackets got busted a long time ago with Gonzaga. What are your thoughts overall here as we get to the final four and again, it's Jensen pointed out. If you, would you signed up for this at the beginning of the tournament, said we get Arizona, Michigan, Yukon, Illinois, that's a pretty sexy final four. Yeah, this is a really good final four. I'm really excited to see Yukon, Illinois too. So you know, the lesser of the two games, I think it's actually a little bit more interesting because I think Illinois has played really, really well all throughout this tournament. I think defensively, they've answered a lot of questions. I still kind of think that that could end up being their Achilles heel, but so far, so good for them. And Yukon always entertaining, especially when they have at least some talent on the roster.

2:04They did it early. It's just a fantastic coach and, you know, a really good staff, which, you know, you saw it with Boston College, plucking away Luke Murray. I mean, Murray's still helping out the team right now. But that team has just been a wagon for, you know, five, six years now and it's kind of cool to see them, you know, not an underdog role, but, you know, slept on a little bit. Zach, is there any actionable spots early for you, whether it be side total of either game or for people that just waited as long as they possibly could in the futures market? Would you want a piece of Yukon at plus five, 50, just, it feels storybook now with the comeback and maybe ahead of steam, Illinois at four to one, just knowing that both those teams are going to be underdogs against either of the one seeds that get through. Just the topography for you, how you approach this week and maybe any actionable spots that have come to light. Yeah, I mean, I do like Michigan against Arizona, unfortunately, you know, I do have a lot of family that went to the University of Arizona, all huge wild cats, fans, if they're listening, they're going to be pissed. But I do think that Michigan's three point shooting is just going to be a big swing factor

3:07in that game. You mean, look at Arizona, they shoot a pretty good percentage from three, but they do not like to shoot threes. Michigan's defense very good at forcing up bad ones and Michigan can shoot the three ball. I also think that Michigan has the size inside to kind of bother a really good Arizona front court. So I really do think this is a good spot for the Wolverines. And then in the other game, I think you just kind of nailed it. I think Yukon plus 700, which I just saw at Fandall before I got on here. That's a pretty juicy number and an enticing play to me because I do think Yukon is the pick against Illinois. I just think that I trust them a little bit more in a big game setting. I think that it took them a really long time to wake up against Duke. But now I kind of think you go into this next game, you know, you with really nothing to lose because you were just on the brink of elimination. I think Yukon is going to shoot the three ball a little bit better moving forward. And I do trust them to get the job done against Illinois, even though Illinois is a little bit bigger, but moving ahead to the final, it would be a tough task for Yukon, but not one that I'd be willing to rule them out.

4:09You know, it's funny, Zach, because I do bet, especially this time of year, I do bet on coaches just as much as I do teams. I really do. And I know a lot of people are going to go, you know, coaches can't play the game, but they sure as hell can call them and design everything that you need to do to win. So when you look at the coaches down the stretch here, and look, Dan Hurley is going to be the guy that you look at and go, do I want to bet against him? And I know you're not with the Illinois. I'll do respect. I like Brad Underwood personally a lot. And I think he's done a really good job with this team. But you know, Dusty May, Tommy Lloyd, two years in a row now for Michigan, he takes over there. They go to a sweet 16 and now a final four. Tommy Lloyd had all the questions about him. Now they're talking about that could be the UNC Bowl. That may be one of those coaches going to leave their respective universities to go to UNC. Where are we in the coaches in the final four? Is it Dan Hurley and everybody else? Yeah, I think I'd go Hurley and then May, and then I'd probably go Lloyd over Underwood. And I do think you're right, by the way, in the other game, like I do like Michigan. I didn't even factor in that it does sound like Lloyd is really, really close to being

5:11you know, that UNC head coach. Like I do have a friend down in Raleigh that pretty well connected and texted me like four or five days ago. It said it's either going to be Lloyd or Billy Donovan. And I think that you know, the money's going to be the determining factor whether or not Arizona is able to pony up and pay Lloyd to stay. But I do think that's got to be a distraction at this point that one of the best jobs in college basketball is dangling there right in front of you with more NIL money that you're being offered right now. So I do kind of wonder if he's a little bit distracted. Good, good job out of you because looking at some prediction markets right in here as we speak, Zach, Billy Donovan upwards of 46% Tommy Lloyd, the second choice that are at 25%. So we'll see if we get some movement. It is moving in the direction as you just talked about Tommy Lloyd starting to ascend in real time here. So we'll keep following it speaking of ascending in real time. Do we still have a race for the NBA MVP or are we kind of done there? And then maybe overall David, I talked earlier and interested your handicap of the Western conference.

6:12Is it really okay see San Antonio and then the rest or do we have a viable challenger if you will between those three, four and five seats? I mean, it does look like we have a race. I don't know where it came from. It really feels like Victor kind of lobbying for himself did end up moving markets and just getting people to kind of look at the under the hood a little bit and see the numbers that he has for the season. But if you do kind of compare the three players that are in this race night now between you know, SGA, Joker, Wembee, I still kind of think that SGA is a great case like he's number one in the NBA and estimated plus minus number one and estimated wins added. He's also played the most games of all these guys has played bigger minutes than Wembee. So I do kind of think that SGA is going to hold on, especially if you look at last year and you said that he was an MVP over like an historic season of the Joker. He's only been better this season. I mean, he's shooting like 55% which is outrageous for a guard and he's gotten his three ball up on higher volume.

7:12He had to do a lot of his damage this year without Jalen Williams. I just feel like SGA should end up winning the award. But I do think that Wembee is number two. I think that he's right behind him. You know, he has a better estimated plus minus than the Joker. On-off numbers say that, you know, this San Antonio team, 17.4 points per 100 possessions better with Wembee on the floor than with him off. And that is, you know, by far the biggest margin of all these players. I mean, SGA only has a nine differential because of how good that thunder team is. But I do think SGA is going to hold on, but I think it's going to be probably the last time for a while as long as Wembee is able to stay healthy. I mean, we're going to see Wembee just start to swallow and gobble up these awards. I tend to think you're correct there, Zach. By the way, I always have that film of when you get the good number of when you could have played a team, you could have got plus money and OK, see, just a couple of weeks ago to win the West. But the number, yes, the rods on now, but it's, I don't think it's priced out of the market yet at minus $1.20 to win the West. It's plus $1.35 to win the NBA title for a second year in a row.

8:15Is that still actionable at minus $1.20? Or do you really think the spurs with all due respect to the nuggets? The betting market says the spurs clearly pose the second best threat because of what they've done in the regular season against OK, see. I mean, I still think it's the nuggets. I don't think there's a huge differential between where the thunder and the spurs are and where the nuggets are. I think that we've seen some weird stuff over the last couple of weeks of Denver and you know, the jokers turnovers are up. And I do think that in a postseason setting, he's going to clean that up. I just team has, you know, the next couple of weeks with a healthy roster to kind of feel each other out, get a little bit better defensively. Cam Johnson definitely looks a little bit more comfortable than he did early in the season. So if I were taking anything in the West and really just in the NBA title picture, what they get general, I think the nuggets are the team to back. I have 850 on the nuggets from months ago that I felt really good about at the time. And you know, the fact you could still get it right now or you know, right about there. It's really enticing to me. I think this Denver team is still one of the best teams in basketball. To that end, tonight is a unique scheduling spy.

9:18I brought it up to Dave. I'll bring it up to you. The thunder are three and nine ETS on back to backs with obviously with no rest. Pistons come in tonight. They're getting 13 and a half. Dave brought it up, but I'm going to reiterate it. I just played the pistons on the money line at plus five 50. Now I think you can split up a unit to Zach and interested your thoughts, maybe three quarters on taking the points at 13 and a half a quarter on the money line. Can the pistons get it done tonight in a, at least this year? It's been a tough spot for the thunder on back to back nights. Yeah, I mean, Detroit's been a lot better than I thought that they would be since kid cutting him one out. So I don't want to say that they can't, but I did look to the pistons under on their team total because I do think that even if they do find a way to stay within the number and keep the game close, I think it's going to be relatively low scoring. And I do think that the Detroit side of things will be even lower in scoring because I do think that OK, C's defense is kind of dial back in looking great. I thought they looked great last night against New York and I do think that this pistons team, it's been good without Cade, but I think that against this type of defense,

10:20they're going to run into some problems. So I didn't if I were to take something on the pistons side, I would just take the points, but I do think it's going to be a pretty low scoring game. It's been a lot of fun listening to Gill and Kelly do tank of polluza on their program on a numbers game, Zach after us, where are you on tank of polluza? Do you like to do these money line parlays? And again, if you threw and just say the spurs tonight, the calves and the lakers, you got to lay $5 to win a dollar. Like I don't like doing that, but if it's profitable, do you take a little bit of that bankroll in the risk market here and take that risk if teams are actively trying to lose? I've been doing it with them. It started off really profitable. It's tells off a little bit since I think some of these tanking teams have been finding ways to win, especially like the bulls. They've been really, really feisty with Billy Donovan, potentially going for the UNC job. But I do think this is a tough night to do it. I mean, I don't think the lakers are going to lose, but there's no look at this evening because he's suspended for getting his 16th technical.

11:21So I would stay away there, but I do think it's something that has the season progresses. We'll continue to find spots to do it. It's sad. The best way to do it is when you have four to 16s because you get the better number, but then you have the risk. That's right. Because again, if you just do three like tonight, you got to lay five to one. I'm not in the business of doing that. That great stuff. As always, man, I can't wait for the second season in the NBA. We appreciate you getting up with us each and every Monday here on Beeson by the books. Daily Diamond talking baseball. Don't panic, people. It's next. So you're listening to this podcast because you want an edge, but what if I told you you're only halfway there? You've got the mindset. Now it's time to get the toolkit to match it. Here's the thing. Probetters, they spend thousands of on data and tools. But what they don't know and don't want you to know is that you can get the same edge for a fraction of the cost with Beeson Pro. With Beeson Pro, you're going to get access to expert picks, public betting data, prop projections, powerful tools, analytics, and so much more. Just tap the link in the description and see why thousands of bettors are already using

12:23Beeson Pro to cash more bets. We continue Beeson by the books if you're tired of caverns lying about the record check out our friends over at Juice Wheel. They just dropped an update. They've made that impossible. In Extra Sports Books, directly into Juice Reel, and instantly when you do, you're going to get in-depth analytics on your own bet plus access to what the very best bettors in the platform have their money on. So if you're a sharp better and others follow your bet, you're going to get paid for helping the community win. The days of caverns, faking their profits are over. Tale proven winners on Juice Reel that's Juice like Orange Juice Reel, R-E-E-E-L, Juice Reel downloaded today. Like alongside Jensen Lewis, Dave Rossier really enjoyed the conversation with Zach Cohen

13:24as we do each and every Monday, also looking forward to our conversation with a king of Connecticut, what a time to be in Connecticut with the UConn men and women going out for their six, six time that they're both going to go to the final four, which is amazing for the men and women. So we'll talk to Will Hill coming up here a little bit later, but Jensen, we are excited about the Daily Diamond podcast. It is out. And for certain teams, it's a great start to the season for others not so much. It's time for today's edition of the Daily Diamond. I thought one of Billy Bob Thornton's underrated performances was as head coach Gary Gaines in Friday night lights. Can you be perfect? So far, we've got some perfection out there, Jensen, and both the A-L and the N-L. What did you note over the weekend? Some of the teams we thought on another team, we certainly did not. Let's start in the junior circuit here, the Blue Jays by virtue of 50 strikeouts against

14:28the athletics and a couple of walkoff victories. They end up getting it done three and a half out of the gates. The Yankees, boy, they make midst meet of the San Francisco Giants. They gave up one run in their three games sweep of the Gigantes. And so the Yankees on the road in the Pacific Northwest to begin a series against the Mariners. The Blue Jays will welcome in the Colorado Rockies. By the way, if you are looking to fade aside, Colorado had absolutely awful travel last night. Plane issues getting the charter from Houston. They did not land in Toronto, I believe, until around three or four a local time. It is a night game, I believe, for Toronto 707 for the Rockies and Blue Jays. So take for that what you want. The National League, the Brewers, the demise of the Brewers apparently was reportedly mistaken as they make midst meet also of the Chicago White Sox, their 3-0 Dodgers, Ho-Hum, Rinse Repeat.

15:28They sweep the Diamondbacks, but it's the Marlins Day. The Marlins, 3-0 and a walkoff to get to 3-0 yesterday. Owen Casey, if you remember his exploits as a member of Team Canada and the World Baseball Classic, walkoff, Homer to get it done over the Rockies and Victor Baudenick. They are 3-0 for the first time to start a season since 2009. No, unfortunately, they missed the playoffs there in 2009, but the Marlins will try and continue their winning ways as they welcome in those Owen 3 White Sox 640 PM Eastern first pitch tonight. Dave, a couple of actionable spots want to get to people right now, going to play that White Sox Marlins game under 8 runs tonight, found that at minus $1.7 on Draft Kings. And I think we're also going to play a couple of other unders right now, mentioned the Giants have had scoring woes to start. Don't think it's going to improve for them as well. Giants Padres under 8 and a half tonight at minus $1.18. So those are two unders to get in for people that want to play those right now.

16:32Love it. Love that star for the Marlins, all 1-1 run victories over the Rocks. And again, with the White Sox coming in, you got to feel pretty good. How important is it for a team like the Marlins? They're looking up in the NLEs right now. Everybody's looking up at them too. But to get off to the good start, because we think that they're going to be overmatched in the division to hang around for a couple of months, getting off on the good foot in April, it feels like very important for teams like the Marlins. Well, I think first and foremost to it is you have to win games. If you're going to contend, you got to beat the bad teams. We kind of understood that the Rockies were going to be one of those teams. The White Sox we felt would be improved. They gave up 29 runs and they gave up the most runs in the first three games of a series to start of any team this year. So I think that you look at teams that number one, we knew we're going to have some growing pains. We're going to have some issues. The Rockies and the White Sox certainly are in that. I would look for a little more resistance from Chicago in this series, but the Marlins,

17:34we highlighted their pitch and we felt that they'd have a chance to win every series with that rotation. They are off to a great start, Dave, a perfect three and oh here to begin 2026. So for those teams that are still searching for that first win, again, it's kind of like the Kevin Bacon gift in animals remain calm all as well. Jensen, can we remain calm if you're a debax backer, a giants backer or Rockies, we know we're going to be struggling with the White Sox. The A's a little bit disconcerting because they could have won two of those games north of the border. Instead they win zero. So we talked about the important start for a team like the Marlins to condition yourself to winning every day. And yet these teams that are young teams and feel like teams that are, you know, they've got hope, but they need to make that actionable here and get some of those wins or another about which ones out of those teams that are still searching right, right away to get that first win. Do you think should remain calm? I think the diamond backs can remain calm. Remember Dave, this is the top five offense last year and I think for them, just hey,

18:38you draw the defending champs out of the gate. What are you going to do? Right. It is what it is. That's hard to hard to overcome, especially in their own backyard there at Chavez Reveen. Let me highlight the athletics here for a moment because it's a team you and I are very high on. I think we also have to give a lot of respect to Toronto's pitching staff. We'll talk about some of the big statistics of coming in a little bit. But I think the athletics can remain calm. We're pretty confident in that offense and Shay Langley years, just individually. My goodness, gracious. What a start to his campaign. If you're a fantasy owner and you have him, really nice job. If he's out there on waivers, would highly recommend going to get him. So again, remain calm, doesn't matter that you're on three. You cannot win the division in the first series of the year. As I said, we get to the second week of May, Dave, that's when we really start to drill down on whether a team has started well and it can sustain that or a team that has not started well and there's some warning signs for sure. I would love to turn back the clock and see a young Jensen Lewis in the bump.

19:40And you throw a ball that's on the black. You know, it's on the black and it's called a ball by blue and you, you know, batters get to tap their head. What are the pictures? What would you guys say? ABS is now a part of our life, Jensen. It is amazing to see the, the reactions in game for some of the home cities when their team overturns a call, they love it. The fans seem to be really embracing ABS. What about the players and the umpires, Jensen? How's this working out in the short term? Yeah. It has been remarkable. A great friend of the program, a sideline reporter for the St. Louis Cardinals, Danny Wexelman posting this. So through Saturday, Dave, we'll get the updated statistics later on this morning. But through Saturday, batters were 26 for 57 in challenges as far as successful over turns. Catchers were 40 for 63, really good percentage there. And the pictures and I highlight the pictures because it happened yesterday in a game that was so critical. And it actually generated the first ejection by twins manager Derek Shelton for arguing

20:43an ABS call. So the twins and the Orioles yesterday for people didn't get to see it. Nine Hellsley is closing the game for Baltimore. And there is a ball for call that he ends up tapping his hat. Now the consternation from Derek Shelton was that Hellsley and by rule, Dave, you have to challenge immediately. You can't wait. You can't get any instruction from the dugout. Only the pitcher, the catcher and the hitter can insinuate the challenge. So Derek Shelton believed that Ryan Hellsley did not go immediately to his hat upon further review. I respectfully looked at it and said, I think he did. And there were 10 ABS challenges just in the twins and Orioles game. 10 of them, seven were overturned, including that crucial one for Ryan Hellsley, which ultimately allowed the Orioles to be able to get to two outs. They end up winning the game. It was a call that Derek Shelton argued, that's our first ABS ejection, if you will. But already we're seeing a massive amount of home played umpires getting exploited or

21:49at least getting exposed. And I think it's on the rise here, my friends. So that's something to think about. The mention of the blue jays, 50 strikeouts by their pitching staff. It's an MLB record for first three games of a season by one single team. And then the rookie of the year, odds, Dave, what did it bring this to your attention? In our VCIN MLB futures draft, Matt Brown actually took chase to lottery with a great odds payout. He's got him a 20 to one chase was 13 to one before the guardians began an opening day. And he's got four homers through their first four games. So he cascaded down. He's the second betting choice, narrowly behind Kevin McGonigal of the Detroit Tigers is off through an amazing start. He was four to one on opening day now down to plus two 90. The guy that I got the moon of talking Murakami, let's go mooney hitting some moonshots. He got three bombs to start. I did get him. I think upwards of plus eight, 50 or nine to one for rookie of the year in the American league. He's down to five to one already some odds movement through the first series. Dave, get your overreactions ready and the market has reflected that in the American league

22:53rookie of the year rates. We really could do a whole three hours just on ABS. I am so fascinated by this and just like, you know, like Jensen, if you're out there, like do not want to to hit your cap because you don't want to show up the umpire like CB butters used to be taking this personally, but people are challenging the calls. It is wild. The dynamics that are going into this right now to try to get these calls right that might be changing baseball more than anything about the big bags that, you know, out there in the infield and, you know, the pitch clock and all that ABS that is the change defender tweet will hill. What did you tweet sir? We'll discuss next right here on Veece in Budapest. You're too dim to be seen by the books right here on Veece. We continue Veece in Budapest on this Monday morning. We also look forward to our conversations with the King of Connecticut. The one in only will hill does a great job as the host of the should have been more

23:53podcast even follow on X at not the will hill and when I say follow him on X Jensen, I like people that have something to say they want to get in the arena and they want to throw it out there for the people. Sometimes you got to defend it and Jensen, we used to do a segment, Will and I called defender tweet. We don't have the animation of the catchy music here, but will I got to ask you can you tell the people what you tweeted and can you defend it here on a Monday morning? I can. I will. Great to be with you guys. I'm still in disbelief over what we saw yesterday last evening, what a game, what a sporting event. I tweeted and part of it was, you know, I got some Yukon futures. There was a little bit of, you know, this never works. This never works. But I'll try a little reverse James, but part of it was frustration that the tournament has just been kind of a dud, a little bit lackluster where all the elite games were double digits. And I was really looking forward to Yukon do can man, 19 point game. Here we go again. So I tweet out at what point do we stop calling it March madness because what we love about this tournament is it's unpredictable.

24:55It's, you know, anything can happen. All the games are close in this just not what it's been, not just this tournament or this week. In the last few years, it's turned in. All right. The favorite's going to win. The favorite's going to win by double digits. That's not madness. This is not what the tournament has been. And then as we know, you know, an hour hour and a half later, we get one of the all time and that is one of the all time endings, one of the all time shots. It's amazing. Can go to Yukon as a freshman and everything that's happened in that program history to say you hit the biggest shot in Yukon history is quite a statement. But he did. And again, I still can't believe what we witnessed and you know, it's funny. We were just talking before we came back here as great as early as and I don't count them out going forward. You know, I bet I'm I've got futures on my pick me go to the final for all that stuff. If they don't win that game, if that shot doesn't drop or if that pass gets cleared because there's nobody on the other end for Yukon. That's either going to be a dunk. They dribble it out or both. That game is over. If he can throw it a little bit higher and he probably should have just thrown it higher or held the ball as we know.

25:57Yukon's going to get crushed for handling that last 30 seconds. They have the ball with 30 seconds left. They have two one and ones for Duke and you want to stretch that out. I'm usually a hey, look, you don't need I'm usually a goat for the three. I know the announcer say, hey, get the quick to I think that's overdone sometimes. But that was one where, hey, get the quick to you're in the double bonus. They don't want to value it. They'll probably give you a dunk. And then start playing the one and ones. Those one and ones are very pressurized. And when you have two of them, that's two shots for, hey, if they missed the one and one, that's essentially a turnover. And they almost got a situation where 30 seconds left, they have the ball and they only got one possession. They took way too long trying to get the three and they almost didn't get the foul. They almost were able to, you know, Duke was almost able to drain the clock. So amazing how we will play the results in all time classic game and all time classic shot. And the last thing I'll say about this is, and Jensen, you know, this is a former athlete, foster, you know, when you're not hurt or you're, when you're hurt or you're not 100% you're sick, you can sometimes use adrenaline to get through one game. And he was great against St. John's. He was the difference in why they won.

26:58He scored 11 points. It's that second day. It's that second game when you're hurt. You just, it's hard to recover physically without that adrenaline or whatever it is. He was not a factor yesterday. Uh, didn't score wasn't himself. Boy, that was the difference between the St. John's game and the Yukon game. Well said, I'll put a bowl on it. It's what I told Dave early is that did Duke lose the game because the last, you know, a second shot went in, sure, but they lost it to me when they could not put Yukon down in the first 10 minutes after half. Yukon makes the little run. Yeah. Duke gets back to double digits. You had to stick a fork in and there, but you let him get off the mat and they kept punching and that's what happens in a prize fight. The later it goes, if you keep punching, land of body blows, you're going to find a way through. Okay. We've had some questions about it and we'll, you're the perfect person to ask here about it. So you've got futures on Yukon Dave also has futures on Yukon and illinois to win it all. Great friend of the program, Ryan Hyatt asking and also are you involved in the free

28:00furniture promotion in if you're not for people out there that want to do the exercise? What would be your recommendation if you have just one side of the bracket and you kind of where the Yukon side is, would you recommend anything hedge wise or just kind of let it play out the way it's going right now? By the way, I'm one hand, I wish I had done the furniture promotion, but with the way the dog is destroying the couch and all the other furniture, that free furniture, I would need more free furniture after the free furniture. So I guess it wouldn't matter and we'd be back to square one. That's a promotion. That's pretty damn close to having to get paid off. I wonder, you know, the financial liability, do they hedge from the furniture standpoint, at least they're getting some good publicity for it. So maybe that's the whole point of this thing. Look, it's tough. Here we go again because I had Miami and college football at some huge numbers and I ultimately just thought the number was too high in the title game. I wish I would have hedged, but I ate in a half and minus three point in the money line. I just felt you know what? Let me play it out and see if I get something live and we know how that worked out and how that ended.

29:01I'm probably looking to do the same thing to just let it ride here. Just because, all right, you're a slight underdog here and then you're going to be a bigger underdog in the title game and it's like, I don't want to start giving away profit. Maybe you just get your money back and then you can go for the profit in the title game. So right now, I'm probably just going to leave it alone because I think, and I saw there's some plus 650 out there for Yukon, man, I've got enough of it where I didn't add. But like this time last week, they were 27 to one. They were 35 to one before the tournament. I mean, I don't think they're going to win the tournament, but they beat Illinois already on a neutral court and beat them pretty comfortably. And I actually think they're going to play Arizona in the title game. That's going to be a great game. I was at the game versus Arizona in November. They didn't have Mullins. They didn't have Reed and they had a lead late. They lost by four. Yeah, that game was at home, but it's not like Arizona. They can't stay on the same court as them. I mean, this is hurly. This is Yukon. Do you really want to count this program out? It's almost becoming like the Patriots where until there's all zeros on the clock and

30:01they're losing the game. I really don't really believe they're going to lose even last year against Florida. You know, couldn't win the game. So long answer. I'll probably just let it ride for now, just because they're going to be dogs in both games. And I think it's the right side to, you know, just write out the value. Yeah, we appreciate Ryan Hyde with that tweet, Jay, who goes at touchdown, Jason's great name there. And I asked the same thing. If we have any creative hedge ideas and will, I'm kind of with you right now. I think I'm letting it ride here. I'm going to have somebody in the title game here. I'm not even sure which team I'd rather have. And that's kind of the problem. I don't know where root. I'm just going to watch. I think there's Yukon illinois games. I think either one of those two teams has a chance to still cut down the nets, but I kind of actually believing that they're underdogs. Yukon would have the better chance because of Dan early on that sideline to get it done against either Arizona or Michigan. So I'm probably going to let it ride as well. Let's get some baseball talk here. Jensen, I had a lot of fun kind of talking about teams that are panicking already teams that the Yankees look great with their three games sweep here. Those one and two in their start here.

31:01You know, I'm watching this team closely again for a second straight year. You've got to play tonight against Minnesota as they get back to the fountains. You think the fountains will be turned on today in Kansas City. Yeah, I'm going Royal team total over. I believe this is a 430 Eastern. So we get a little day baseball. I haven't been too happy with the schedule last few days. You know, Friday. We're all excited for baseball. There's nothing yesterday Yankees and Dodgers off a bit of a bit of a better card today. I'm going Royal team total over four and a half. Those Richardson's OK, but he had a pretty high barrel rate, pretty high heart hit rate, 41% heart hit rate, 11.5% barrel rate. So I think the Royals who did not swing the back rate this weekend can get out track here. Wind seems to be blowing out. It's always dangerous looking at the weather in the morning when you're this far away from the game, but it looks like there's some pretty significant winds blowing out. And remember with Kansas City games, with Kansas City home games, they did move those fences in quite significantly. So Royals to score five plus runs is the play here. Love that. And again, anxious to see here in this first home stand will exactly as you alluded to

32:04a talk with Matt Quattrero, Royals manager yesterday on only network radio. And he said they did just years of studies of this. So I'm very anxious to see how that works out. Also anxious to see what a game drop by the way. What a game drop for Cleveland coach here as well. So we go back a little bit. Pirates and Reds, speaking of the unders here, this is going to be an interesting one not only from the pitching match at Braxton Ashcraft, one of the great young arms against one of the phenoms and chase burns burns an injury a little bit into the ladder stages of spring training looks like he's going to be OK, a first five total that you're targeting here will. Yeah, I'm going to go first five under four. Now you can get four and a half and pay extra juice. You can get under three and a half and play plus money or you can do what I did and just play half and half and it pretty much comes out to like minus one 15. So that four is a key number with these first five so often it's three to one or two to two. I'd rather I don't want to lose on four three and a half is just too low. It's so often even in a good pitcher's tool you look up and you get a fourth run here.

33:04But I think this is again a good pitchers matchup burns is outstanding. We know the stuff that expected R.A. was a run lower than the actual ERA last year. He was a little wild, but he he's really hard to hit. An ash craft underrated pitcher gets ground balls keeps the ball off the fat of the bat. His his profile is outstanding. So to me, you know, one one after five to one after five, I think at worst you probably push here. You never know early in the season these pitchers, you know, who sharp who's not, but I do think this is a good look towards the under here in the in the first five. That's going to swept the pirates. They didn't get that dumb. It's still two and one in that opening series here. I know. Should I just cash my 75 to one ticket on the Mets to beat the Yankees in the World Series now? Do you think that ticket is already in? I wish you luck on that ticket. I picked Mets over Orioles in the in the World Series. So we're on the same page. I played Holmes under four and a half hits. What the hell was the third base coach doing? You're down or run? I don't know. You got the fat of the line. I don't know. Why are you making the first out at the plate? Who's coaching the team?

34:05What was that? That was terrible. Carlos Mendoza, we get to have a talk. What are we doing? Who are we employing over there? What are we doing here, Metropolitan? That was a tough one to swallow. Will you the best? I love your tweets. By the way, don't let the people get on you and X, right? It's just social media. It doesn't mean anything. When we come back, we will get to our best bets. They're next right here on Beasts by the Book. You're tuned in to Beasts and By the Books right here on Beasts. We are back. Beasts and By the Books on this Monday morning. Well, and we are down to a final stretch of collegehood. It's a great time to stay on top of every single bet. So you need to be a decent pro subscriber when you do daily best bets, real-time betting splits from drippings and circuit, AI powered prop tools, match analysis, plus 24-7 video

35:07and replay of all the shows in the decent watch app. The final four matchups are covered on Beasts.com, expert-produced best bets, betting trends, stay ahead of the market. They're going to change all week here, people. And beyond college hoops, you're going to get our MLB betting guide, the Jensen Lewis, Adam Burke, did great. No one's worked on so coverage of the NBA NHL playoff races in our upcoming PGA Masters betting guide. Starts today for just $9.99 and you can save 50% with an annual subscription, visit Beasts and By the Books.com. So I subscribe. That's VSIN.com. Slash. Subscribe. Great conversation with Will Hill. I saw people tweeting out at us, we've got Will Hill's back. He doesn't need our support out there in X. Just remember, it's not the real-world kids. Just have fun out there, all right? Everybody calm down. I do want to say, but I've got a surprise for you when you're in studio with me here in Franklin, Kentucky, on the Thursday and Friday show, as I whispered in that promo. That's a hint to maybe what it could look like on that Thursday.

36:09So it's just a deep tease, kids, or next Thursday show, I'll just leave it at that. Let's get to our best bets. And we mentioned that there's going to be changing numbers here as the final four goes, Jensen. You've already seen it go through zero. And this is the clash of the Titans, Godzilla, King Kong, however you want to phrase it with Michigan and Kinsier and Zona. Look clearly, these are the two best teams remaining with all due respect, Illinois. And Yukon, I don't think anybody's going to argue otherwise. But when you see the market fluctuate here, and not even 24 hours since these games were decided, right? It already feels like a week ago, that Illinois got to the final four, right? So almost like we're so into what happened with Yukon and Duke last night, really wasn't that long ago. When you see these numbers flipping back and forth, does it tell you that the market is still trying to see where the market wants to go with this game? It could. I think overall, boy, I don't know. How do you feel about it? Because this is a unique part of being this part of the week and just kind of see where

37:10it go. I'll put it back to you if you had to make a call where do you feel it is? I would, I would be at this point, channeling my inner Matt humans, take the points. I would take the points here with the dog, and I really wouldn't mind which dog that would be on. Like if you told me I'm getting a point and half of the Arizona cool, tell me I'm getting a point and half with Michigan great. I do not have a conviction. I actually believe like Will Hill just animated. I think Arizona is going to win the game. I don't, there is nothing analytical about that. That is an eye test of what I've seen. I love their guard play. Look, Michigan's guard play is really good. Maybe their best player is coming off the bench. Their freshman sensation. We've seen that before in years past. You can go back to when Kentucky beat my Syracuse Orange back in 1996 to win the title and they had a super team back then where they had Ron Mercer coming off the bench as a freshman. That was the Anton Walker Kentucky Wildcats. Remember that team and they just had pros up and down that lineup.

38:11I think that's Michigan, but I do think arguably their best player could be coming off the bench. Arizona has pros everywhere too. So I do think you're looking at the two best teams remaining here and now it's down to one to the side of the Wolverine. I actually think by the time we saddle up Saturday night, it's going to be a pick them. So that's what I see. So to me, if there's any advantage, it would be in taking, if I could get a point and that way, if I could ever get a two, I would jump at that. Think about that. We're talking about one point and I jump at that extra point, but I don't think we're ever going to get their gents. I think this stays under two all week. I'm with you again for for what it's worth Michigan installed as the favorite minus one and a half. It did jump to Arizona to a favorite by one. And then at ping pong right back to Michigan and as a one point, one and a half out there at Fandall at Draft King. So we'll monitor it throughout now like this week, but into the weekend a couple of plays

39:13I want to throw a few Dave on the baseball front, of course, through a few of these out if you have not subscribed yet, give us a like and follow for our daily diamond podcasts wherever you get your podcasts, Marlins and White Sox under eight at minus $1.7. We're going to do Giants, Padres under eight and a half at minus $1.18 and Dave, we're going to add in the athletics and the Braves under nine and a half at minus $1.30 pitching matchups here. It'll be Jacob Lopez against Bryce elder. Now, if you remember Jacob Lopez, young left handed phenom for the athletics, a really nice finish to the season last year, bit of a rocky spring training. But as I tell you all the time, I'm not as concerned with the results. I'd like to see kind of the finish and then we'll see what he's like heading into this start against Atlanta. Bryce elder actually looked really good throughout camp and is going to be thrust into this rotation. He was already going to be there with the injury issues anyway, but they're going to count on him for some big time innings. So under nine and a half at minus $1.30 found that at hard rock.

40:17The Reds and the Pirates. Now, Ayo Hedio Suarez, great for my fantasy team yesterday, big home run late to give the Reds the lead. But I do like this matchup here and Will Hill already on the under four in the first five between Braxton Ashcraft and Chase Burns. That's the Pirates and the Reds. I'm actually going to go and alternate run line. I'm going to take the Reds minus one at plus $1.10 against Pittsburgh. I do think we get a little bit more offense here anxious to see what the youngster and Ashcraft is going to have here for us on the road, but I do like where Burns can limit some offense against the Pirates, albeit you watch it front and center Pirates offense a little bit different this year than what we've watched the last year or so. They can swing a little bit more, but I do like to swing a miscapability of Burns early. So give me the Reds minus one on the alternate run line plus $1.10. Love it. Again, I want to give a shout out to Rob Marano on first strike. You can catch our podcast each and every Wednesday. I gave out Joe Pfeiffer in the main event against Israel to Sonya.

41:18And again, I hate fading legends in the sport like Israel to Sonya, but it cashed again. So we're trying to cash tickets not bet with our hearts here. So we're going to bet with our heads. And Adam Wickano is back in the in the main event this weekend against Chris Duncan. So we'll break down that fight as the week goes. And also very quickly here, Jensen, I wanted to look ahead to the Valero Texas open. This is the Texas two step to wrap it up before we get to Augustine National Camp. I believe that's going to be in just a week and a half now that we're going to be in that next Thursday. But for this Thursday, look at this on the Texas Valero open front. We've got Tommy Fleetwood, Ludwig Oberg, Bobby McIntyre, column workout out that back. Let's hope the backs better. Steve Buchan, Russell Henley, Jordan Speeth, and Deku Matsuyama, Mavik Miri and Michael Thorbejornsson. So pretty good field that you and I will break down here as the week goes. And of course Wednesdays with less will get to that car. But right now Fleetwood's the betting favorite at 14 to one, Ludwig, the big suite at 1550. I will say this, Nikolai Hoigard and you and I had some tickets on him last week.

42:18He comes up second this week to Gary Woodland. There seems to be a trend for guys that nip on the heels the week before the next week. They tend to break through sometimes Nikolai right now in the betting market. If you wanted to take a look down the board a little bit, you can get him in that 20 to one range. I'm seeing here on some of the boards out there, Gary Woodland is in the field this week at 49 to one to go back to back. You've got some tickets here in the NBA tonight, Jensen. What do you have there in the association? Okay. So just want to throw this out there and I really like where Zach Cohen's breakdown is between the pistons and the thunder. I did jump in and followed him on the under 219 and a half got that at minus a dollar of 15. Dave, one of the great trends right now, Oklahoma City on back to backs. The second leg. They're three in nine. ATS. Can I interest you in the Detroit pistons? Seven and one ATS and straight up as an away underdog this year.

43:22We repeat that. One one ATS, seven and one straight up as an away underdog. They're catching 13 and a half. It's down to 12. I said, keep the points. I'm taking the money line. Give me the pistons plus five 50 at the thunder to win it outright tonight. I think it's a great scheduling spot. The under 219 and a half. Let's get a little double whammy here and get off through a great start. One other total for you Cavaliers and jazz under 243 and a half. I think this has got blowout potential written all over it. One of the tanking teams as you talked about in Utah. I think the Cavs take care of their business. They don't play with their food and it is a lot of the backups, if you will, in the fourth quarter for both sides. So under 243 and a half minus a dollar 24 Cleveland and Utah. Very quickly. Before we say goodbye for this edition of these and by the books, and again, if you're watching right now, Fandole Sports Network, you're going to want more of these in you can get there a visa.com visa and watch app after we've got a numbers game with Gil Alexander and Kelly Bidwin coming up here. I wanted to ask you, and I ask you this kind of tongue in cheek last week, when you look

44:25at it, adjusted win totals and major league baseball, how soon can you formulate an opinion on a team after what you've seen, maybe in the first week, Jensen, can you get a vibe on that? Or is it more, no, I'm going to give it a quarter poll. Let me get two, three weeks into the season before I look at those adjusted win totals. If you want to get super aggressive, may first get a full calendar months in and let this thing work its way out. Teams can start fast. I give you the Detroit Tigers, everyone thought they were running away last year, and they couldn't hit save their life in August and September. So may first we'll get our first little looksy-loo into major league baseball. So you're saying I shouldn't cash that and that's over Yankees, taking 75 to win the World Series. Great stuff, Jensen. As always, my man. We'll see you back right here, same bad channel tomorrow, on visa and by the books.