Skip to content
TrackPodcasts
sportsMar 27, 202645:18

VSiN By The Books | March 27, 2026 | Hour 3

VSiN Best Bets

About this episode

In this hour of VSiN By The Books, Jensen Lewis and Dave Ross break down tonight's MLB and NCAA games, and give out their best bets for the weekend. Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN pro. Grab the Hoops Special for only $29.99 or take 17% off an annual subscription when you use promo code: POD26. Click Here to get started.


Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Get every episode summarized

Each time VSiN Best Bets publishes, we email you a written briefing from the transcript — the topics, who appeared, and any specific claims, with the ad reads skipped.

Email me new episodes

Free for 3 shows. No card needed.

Hosts & guests

Transcript ready

523 searchable segments. Every word is indexed and playable.

VSiN By The Books | March 27, 2026 | Hour 3

VSiN Best Bets

0:00
45:18

Full transcript

VSiN Best BetsVSiN By The Books | March 27, 2026 | Hour 3. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

Freight rail does more than move goods. It drives America's economy. Every dollar invested generates another $2.50 in economic activity spurring growth from farms to factories. And here's the best part. Freight railroads fund their own infrastructure, saving taxpayers' billions while powering the economy forward, from reducing highway congestion to delivering goods safely and efficiently. Freight rail keeps America moving. Learn more at AARC.org, slash America's engine. Right now, new FANDUEL customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place a tournament bet using the token, and if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same-game parlays for a shot at a bigger payout. FANDUEL, it's time to dance. 21 plus in present and select states. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable and expire seven days after receive. Tokens are received in increments of one per day. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandal.com, gambling problem called 1-800-GAMBLER.

After a real cashback every time you fill up at the pump just use that from code Books, title with a show. You will get $0.25 back per gallon on your very first fill-up. I am right here at the Midgaming Hall in Franklin, Kentucky. It's warm right now. It's going to get cold. What's going on? Jets is there in Cleveland, Ohio. Same thing for you, my man. You woke up. It was nice and warm. Already getting cold there in Cleveland, Ohio. I wonder if that will affect some of these opening days around Major League Baseball. And not so much the three we'll talk about here specifically because one of those was north of the border in a dome. Down south that should be just fine for the Marlins as they get underway against the Rockies, but the Braves also against the Royals. But in general, Jets and about the weather, how much will you be looking into that, especially with totals when you start playing East Coast Baseball this time of the year? It just kind of depends. You know, in early, you've got different start times, you've got different starting pitchers, you've got different teams coming in, you know, maybe their first road trips of the year. So it's a little wonky. Just kind of take it day by day.

We'll look at the data and the matchups. And when lineups are posted, that's always another big part too. Once we get into it, you know, day games after night games, platoon advantages, things of that nature. So that's why you stay tuned to the Daily Diamond every single day. And that's where we're going to start off today. North of the border with those three other opening days for today's edition of the Daily Diamond. I still don't believe we're not talking about the reigning defending World Series champion Toronto Blue Jays. Instead, it was a bittersweet pill to swallow at the Roger Center North of the border as they come also close to winning that game seven at home couldn't get it done. And now it's the first time we've seen them now in a real game since then. Taking on the athletics. A team, a vagabond team with no name right now, Sacramento, technically this year. They're going to Vegas here. Kids pretty soon. Big seven. Luis Severino is going to be in the bump here against Kevin Gossman of the Blue Jays.

Hey, it's yesterday yesterday and yesterday year, if you will, it was great for the Blue Jays, but it's a new year. It's a new day. Jensen, how do you turn the page from oh so close last year to get off on the good foot for day number one? Yeah, and you look at the editions here for the Toronto Blue Jays and life without Boba Shett begins in earnest tonight. And we'll see at Roger Center where they'll probably hoist the American League pennant banner. And then we'll get that first pitch from Kevin Gossman tonight. The big editions as we talked about if wherever you get your podcasts, like and subscribe to the Daily Diamond. When we did our Blue Jays preview, a lot of their off season, was the splash move to get Dylan Seas to team with Gossman at top the rotation. They have had a myriad of rotation injuries already to Shane Bieber to trade a savage to Jose Barrios. So you have three of the five guys they were planning right out of the shoot or at least in contention along with Cody Pond. So they brought in from the KBO as a free agent. They're going

to have to already use their depth on the rotation side. Can the offense a swage some of that angst by taking advantage and putting up so runs? I think tonight as you look at their their season opener and their home opener against the athletics, I do like the under eight and a half here. And you've got a guy in Gossman who has just been outstanding when he has towed the rubber there north of the border. The Blue Jays love playing behind him there at Roger Center. Also anxious with Luis Everino and this athletics offense who you and I are very high on. It's going to be one of the more potent ones I think. So is there some value on the athletics on the money line to maybe pull the upset here? I think there might be conservatively though Dave. I know it's minus $1.39 minus $1.40 in some spots. You might even take a little gander more so if you want to play this game conservatively, you could take the athletics on the run line. And I still think it could be a lower scoring game. Four to three gets you home.

You know, that's going to be one that gets you both the under and the run line. So that would be an official play for me under eight and a half. I would lean the athletics plus one and a half. And if you want to get aggressive, maybe a stab at the athletics on the money line. I am very high in the fight and fish down there in South Beach. It's one of my favorite plays over 72 and a half wins this year. I did not see that they get steamed almost $2 here on Sandy day in opening day, taking on Cal Freyland and the Colorado Rockies. I mean, I get it. It should be a big pitching advantage here with Al Contra on the bump here. But should they be $2 betting favorites against anybody? And that doesn't include obviously the Colorado Rockies. This might be the spot, the spot, the day that if you're going to have the Marlins at home on Sandy day, if he continues the momentum that he had to finish last season, he can overwhelm this Rocky's lineup. Now is the Rockies lineup a little bit better? Yes, it is. But it's still a Colorado

Rockies. This total for what it's worth, Dave, open at eight and a half. It has been absolutely steamed down to seven and a half. I do see an eight still available at Bet Rivers and something to put out for educational purposes here, Dave. We talk a lot about alternate run lines. And it's a different way to play the money line. If we make the analogy, it's like a draw no bet and soccer. If you win by one. So again, in this instance, you would take the Marlins minus one, that'd be your alternate run line. If they win by one, you get your money back, they win by two, you're great. But I think that is one other way to differentiate yourself here. If you are a little wary of the Marlins bullpen, albeit they really did a good job getting Pete Fairbanks there as their closer. And I think they've short up that part of their their staff in a great way. This would still be a Marlins side that I would look to in today's game. I think you can look at being aggressive on the run line at minus one and a half. But if you want to be conservative,

I would say the alternate run line at minus one. That right now, Dave, on draft Kings, for the Marlins here, I'll bring it up here in just a moment. It's still a little bit better differentiation than where you are on the money line. So for comparative purposes, on draft Kings, the money line minus $1.99 for the Marlins, the minus one for the Marlins is minus 143. So a little more palatable there. It gives you a little bit of breathing room there in case there's a late score to make the deficit just one run if you're Colorado. So that's where I would go. I know we had a boatload of overs yesterday. I don't know where the Rocky score today. I could be proving wrong. So if you want to take a shot on the under, I think you could also play the under eight Dave. I'm seeing that at draft Kings right now at minus $1.26. The game I'm most interested today, at least to get it off of the good foot, is the Royals down there in the ATL taking on Chris sale and the Braves. Cole Reagan is going to be back in the bump here for Kansas City. Right now, he's about what about plus $1.20 is what I'm seeing here,

$1.19 against the Braves. You got to lay about $1.49 here if you want to come back on the sales side. Here, that's down a little bit, $1.37. So you can't get over $1.20 here with Kansas City shop around here at your books. Reagan's, if he doesn't get injured last year, I really would have liked their chances down the stretch a little bit more than they did. Is he fully healthy? And again, Chris sales got to be the A's. He can be the A's. But it's almost at an necessity now with all the other injuries to that starting rotation. I agree. I would say that the under is what would be a primary play here, just knowing the pedigree as you mentioned of both those left handed aces. Cole Reagan's, again, maybe an inconsistent is putting it lightly in consistent spring training. But again, I don't take too much of the results statistically. Sometimes you got guys working on things, working on pitches, maybe a mechanical adjustment. But Chris sale at home, at truest park, the battery going to be alive and

well there for Atlanta Braves fans. Excited to see this just from a pitching perspective, man, you get two great arms going at each other. Are the royals a little live to pull the upset? They could be. I'm going to wait to see kind of where some of the money comes in this afternoon. And also, what kind of lineups do we have a very right handed heavy lineup for the Braves going against the royals? Remember a lot of the power bats there. You're looking at Ronald Kuhn, you junior from the right side, but the Braves and Austin Riley, I should say as well. But you're also looking at Matt Olson from the left side, Drake Baldwin, who is going to hit the two spot from the left side. Mike Ysremsky, who had a great spring training coming over from the royals ironically to be with the Atlanta Braves. So I'm anxious to see the lineup that Walt Weiss first year manager for the Braves throws out there. But also, I mean, you're looking at a very potent Royals top third heck, even into the middle man, the way that Jack Caglione and Vinnie Pasquantino swung the bat for team Italy and the World Baseball Classic. Dave, a lot to like with Michael Garcia, Bobby Wood,

Junior, the Passquatch, Salvador Perez, the Camus of Catchers, and Jack Cags. It's going to be a vaunted top five, I think, for a lot of games here. Also, keep your eye on. We're talking about it earlier in the show, rookie of the year voting. If you've not gotten in and you want a little piece, you know, it's got to be a great name when it's Carter Jensen. That is a guy to look at, I think, in the rookie of the year market for the American League, checking it right now on draft kings, believe he's right around plus five fifties, your second betting choice in the American League. But he's going to get a lot opportunities to contribute for the Royals lineup this year. Cam Schletler is going to be on the bump here against Robbie Ray. If you like some unders here and that game somehow was a push, depending on the number in game one seven, nothing Yankee win on opening night, that total sitting at eight Yankees are $1.31 betting favored here against Robbie Ray. Plus, our nine has come back on the Giants. Plus, our 15 check those books get the best number, depending on the side. Are the Giants going to

struggle to score runs again today here, Jensen? This adds this a fascinating development here in just the last couple of hours, Dave. This opened at eight. It got bet down to seven and a half and just within basically the last two to three hours. It got bet back up to eight. So don't have lineups just yet, but you're looking at the matchup here with Cam Schletler and Robbie Ray. Again, if the command is there for both guys, great, but they've had their instances in which it's alleviated them. So you would imagine a little sense of urgency for the Giants after getting skunked on opening day. Yeah, this generates some runs. You want to get that first one across the dish. Feel better about yourself after getting shut out on opening night. All right, we've got a lot to get to here, including going to break down the big four games here in College basketball to get down from 12, where we currently sit to the elite eight, which is where we will be after tonight. Going to break those down, starting with some monster matchups in the east. That's next right here. I'll be some other books. Hey, everybody, Dave Ross here. Let me get your attention very quickly for the podcast listeners

out there. It is March. That means the madness is officially upon us. And the folks here at Veecent have gone nuts with this one. I'm being told just 29, 99. You can get unlimited access to Veecent Pro through May 1st. I'm talking about picks throughout the tournament, public betting data for every single game plus sharp tools, projections, articles, so much more. Just click the link in the description to get started. It is March, baby. Let's go. All right. Now back to the show. Freight rail does more than move goods. It drives America's economy. Every dollar invested generates another $2.50 in economic activity spurring growth from farms to factories. And here's the best part. Freight railroads fund their own infrastructure, saving taxpayers billions while powering the economy forward from reducing highway congestion to delivering goods safely and efficiently. Freight rail keeps America moving. Learn more at aar.org slash America's engine.

Payout. Fandoo. It's time to dance. 21 plus in present and select states. Bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive. Tokens are received in increments of one per day. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandoo.com. We continue these some bottom looks. There is no reason to pay full price to the pump any longer. You can get the free upside app. It's going to give you a real cashback every time you buy gas. Download upside today. Start earning on everyday Phillips. Use that promo code books. Get 25 cents back for a gallon on your very first Philip. Upside users are earning hundreds of dollars a year just by driving like they normally do. You can cash out whenever you want. String your bank account or pop your gift cards. Get started now with the free upside app. Use that promo code books. Offers do vary by user and location. See upside dot com for all of the terms and conditions.

Dave Ross Jensen who is here with you. We are getting ready and down to the nitty gritty here as we get down to the elite eight after tonight. The east region we've been talking about it all week. Really excited to watch these games. I will be excited to see out of the three. I think it's safe to say that Danny Hurley is going to go to Hall of Fame when you went back to back national championships. That you kind of anywhere else. I think that puts you in that rare fight air. We know Tom Mizo. We already know certainly about Rick Patino. It's John Shire. He's already been to a final four with Duke. He replaced the legend. You never want to be the guy that replaces the guy. You know I'd be the guy that replaces the guy that replaces the guy. But he's done it Jensen like he's done the lineage thing here from coach Kate to Shire. What do you expect from him? He's got the team that's favorite to win by six and a half points tonight against St. John's total sitting at 141 and a half. So he is quote unquote expected to win. Does that put more pressure on Shire against a guy like Rick Patino who looks like he has just turned him back to clock. It's like a 20 year old guy out there having fun with his boys.

No, I everyone expects to win when you're the head coach of Duke or the head coach of St. John's. Yeah, I think that's the easy out there. Under 142 and a half is what I have locked in so far for this game. And I do think there will be some adjustments defensively looking at what Duke has done. Short-handed without foster there has been one of those challenges that they nearly couldn't overcome against Siena. But we're able to be a little bit better and more like themselves against TCU and a convincing win. They've had enough time to prepare. All we've heard is St. John's this St. John's that it has been nothing but St. John's money. And Dave, that's where I would start. I would be very leery of kind of where this number is open at six and a half went up to seven back to six and a half. It stayed there. Now, two things can be true at the same time. I'm looking across the board. 62% of bets, 67% of money on the Johnny's. Yeah, we remain at six

and a half. Do we get a little movement later tonight? Does it, does it drop to six? I don't know. I think we're way, I think some, some people are waiting for the buyback opportunity here. If there ever is one, if it ever surfaces, because it's frightening how little we've heard about Duke so far in the lead up to it. It's St. John's. They've been the hottest team, team at S&E. What it would look like here. Read an article yesterday. It was premeditated that Duke wanted to play a non-conference game in Washington, D.C. You want to know why Dave, they knew that in the East region was going to go through Washington, D.C. They wanted to get an affinity for the arena, the site angles, the locker rooms, the travel. They had this thing planned for a while. So you already got a little dress rehearsal when they played Michigan, and they handled Michigan and kind of proved at that point they were the team to beat.

So you've got the familiarity factor already, which I love for the Duke angle. Selfishly, I have them in the final against Michigan, and so I'll be looking to have Duke win this game. Do I want to lay the sixth and a half at this point? Don't know yet. Anytime you see the amount of ground swell on one side, usually that is the indicator to go the other way. I will stay on the sidelines for the moment, but as we get closer to tip-time, Dave, I am really intrigued to see where the differentiation is. Will we get any movement whatsoever? If not, Duke is going to have that amount of like, remember who we are. I think that's going to play a huge role in tonight's game. And what's so interesting about this tournament writ large is if you go back to the opening game, you could make the case Duke should have lost a Sienna. I mean, they were down double digits to Jerry McNamara and Sienna College at halftime. And it took a misdunk, which would have put Sienna

15 with about 11 minutes to go in regulation, kind of flipped that whole stem and stem the tide and changed the whole complexion of that game. And yet now here we are a week later and we're talking about like you are, Jensen, hey, are we forgetting who Duke is? That they were the overall number one team that they did beat up Michigan in that neutral court meeting on the same court. They're going to play St. John's today. It's fascinating how perceptions can change from literally one game to the next in this tournament, right? We always go by what you saw last. You mentioned the TCU game. They were down in the second half to TCU. So this has not been as easy a spot to get to here for Duke even though they come back and cover and blow out TCU at the end. But it was kind of, you know, it was a good 30 minute tussle, if you will, at a 40. So I will be curious to see what style of game that St. John's decides to play because if it is half court and you limit possessions,

if you feel like Duke's the better team, that normally would seem to be the recipe for success. But we heard it from Thomas Gable, you know, he thinks they might try to run him that St. John's might try to run Duke. And then you have to see the way the game's officiated. If it's tic-tac as Thomas pointed out, it would favor Duke. I think they let him play. That would favor St. John's. The same thing could be true of the nightcap of how is it going to be officiated? You know, Sparty always has this reputation with Thomas, uh, very physical. And they, they are. This team is no exception to that. But they shoot it better, Jensen. I think this is a more athletically gifted team than what we're accustomed to accustomed to from Thomas teams of years past. With Yukon, I don't, they're clearly not as good as they were when they won back-to-back national championships just a couple years ago. And we saw the flaws against St. John's ironically. So what do we make of the nightcap? Because while we can't wait to see that Duke St. John's matchup, I got to be honest with you. I think I'm even more intrigued by Iso against Hurley with the right to get to the

elite eight. Yeah. And obviously lined as a true coin flip, again, opening Sparty as the favorite by a point and a half they were, we're now flipped to the underdog point and a half. There's really not been, you know, any, any true move. I guess at some point, I'm seeing that Yukon got as high as two and a half as a favorite, but then it was immediately bet back down. This feels very similar to the lead up to last night's Illinois and Houston game, a bucket difference, you know, a very grounding pound heavyweight fight for what it's worth. If you want to bet the total in this game, I mean, it is cascaded down 140 and a half day was the opener. You got no prayer right now. It's 134.5 currently seeing kind of across the board. Some 135s and faraway places, but I am really on the fence here. And one side of me selfishly, once Yukon, I had him in my elite eight, my bracket.

On the other side, fully understand and we said at the beginning of the year that even in the Veecin College basketball betting guide, I had written up Michigan State as maybe one of the longer shots or kind of those value selections to win it all. Here we are. Here we are. And you could make arguments to see why both sides have win. If you held me down and I had to pick a side Dave, I'd probably go to Yukon and I just feel that maybe their guard play ends up giving fears from from Michigan State a little bit more to deal with than maybe what he's had to deal with all year. And that's all due respect to Michigan. That's all due respect to Illinois. You as a elite guard play as well. But maybe the physicality and maybe that's where Dan Hurley comes down is like, boys, I don't want him to gain another yard, you know, from from remember the tights. Like physically take the fight to them from second number one and make it a street fight. Maybe

that is why you see this total is as cascaded down as much as this because Yukon is not afraid to bang down low, but to take him all the way up and say, boys, you're going to earn every possession. You're going to earn every trip to line. We're not getting anything for free. Okay. Could you imagine whoever out bullies the other bully? What that other coach is going to say? Like if if Hurley out burl out bullies iso iso iso is going to be and his guys going, you're going to let these guys punk you. You're going to let them physically beat you up and the inverse is true. If Sparty's dominant on Yukon, can you imagine Hurley during the time out? You guys getting pumped out there. You're getting they've been, but they've been punk. They got pumped twice by St. John's and so that's that's gets me to the Michigan State side. I do like the Spartans tonight that I think if there is somebody that would blink in this type of heavyweight matchup as you pointed out here, Jensen and these two heavyweight sparring early, who's going to deliver that knock out blow. I've seen Yukon knocked out a couple times, right? And I know that

doesn't sit well with Danny Hurley and I know that St. John's and not Michigan State, but if somebody's going to throw that haymaker that really gets home and somebody's not getting up, I think it's Sparty kind of like Illinois. We like them yesterday against Houston. I thought they'd throw some bows there and Houston wouldn't be able to respond. That one worked out for us. I look at it the same way and almost a similar line here with the Spartans be able to punch first, punch often and ultimately get that knock out. One other note, Big E's teams his favorites in the NCAA tournament since 2022, 25 and 9, ATS. Oh, just some to think about. Pretty darn good. Yeah, that Danny Hurley's probably had a large part to do with those numbers. When we come back, let's talk about the other two games. Yeah, the others. Pretty good too. Alabama, Michigan, Tennessee, Iowa State. That's next right here. Lisa Metapults. You're too dimmed up, Lisa and by the books right here on Lisa.

We are back, Lisa and by the books, this show is sponsored by Upside. You can earn real cash back at the pump with a free upside app. Just use a pump code. Books get 25 cents back. For gallon, on your very first fill of just go to upside.com for all of the terms and conditions. Jensen, I hate to say the other games today, like it's doing a disservice if you're a Bama backer, if you're Michigan Wolverine, Tennessee balls, obviously a nice one here and Iowa State, even minus their best player, but it does feel like with all the focus right now on the East bracket and for good measure with coaches in the matchups that we talked about in the last segment, that these other two games are being overlooked. Is it a mere formality that Michigan lay in nine, back up to nine. Remember, this got down as low as eight and now buybacks to eight and halves and now I'm seeing nine's again start to repopulate. Is it just a matter of 40 minutes, if you will, that Michigan will be moving on to the elite eight? I tend to think that, Dave, for just in relation

to the line, open to ten and a half was bet down, as you mentioned, as far as nine, and you could find those yesterday, there are a handful of nine's left starting to see some nine and halves at draft kings and fandals. So clearly there has been a line of demarcation for some betters there and maybe some sharps as well that they feel this could be a double digit game. So the nine, I think, is intriguing. This is a total you and I looked at at the beginning of the week and we're like, 176, 176 and a half was the open. That is now down to 172 and a half. Believe that is the lowest I'm seeing. And most, yes, there are some 173s, but 172 and a half seeing it draft kings right now. Also William Hill and bet MGM. So as it stands stylistically, you had said it before, it bears repeating, I don't think Michigan cares what kind of game this is. If it's tempo, come on, let's rock and roll up and down. If it's ground and pound, we'll get

you into foul trouble. And again, without even hollow a different dynamic when Alabama is now got to kind of step up and wait class, right? The first weekend looked like they just kind of didn't miss a beat. Is it different now when you've lost one of your main guys and will Michigan exploit that will dusty main company kind of force the front court there for Alabama to have to do the heavy lifting? Yeah, I do see the same way. Look, I've got some real long shot tickets on Bama, what, 161 to win this thing. I don't know that that was before the eight and hollow and news. And they played better without him ironically in the first two matchups here, taking out Texas tech and the style in which they did. But the bigs of Michigan are going to be a real problem. I do believe for Alabama. So can you can you shoot it extraordinarily hot for one day? You can. Is that really a recipe here to win four more games? I don't know that you can do that. So yeah, I think everybody can every dog can have his day for one. But Michigan size is a

real issue. It's kind of like Illinois, like we talked about yesterday with Houston. We thought the jump shooters of Houston would struggle with the size of Illinois. And that first half they did, they think it barely hits shots off. So we'll Michigan guard the perimeter the way Illinois did last night against Houston a little bit and challenge those guys with bigs. Look, it can be a risky proposition if you can then want to try to drive by those guys. But short of that, you're shooting over those guys all day long. I'd love to see it from Bama, but I'm trying to be realistic here with our money. And I don't know that I see a pathway for Bama to win that game that way. So what would it take for NATO to pull off the upset here? Jensen would be get to be extremely hot shooting. I mean, I think we're talking about an Arizona-like day that they had against Arkansas. But then the problem would be defensively, how does Alabama, a bad defensive team anyway, stop a team like Michigan down well? How do they slow down those bigs without getting

in foul trouble? So that's really going to be the key. Can they guard without fouling? If they can do that, they got a shot. If they can shoot it well on the other end. But past that Jensen, it feels like we're really trying to find pathways to to thread that needle for an upset for Alabama. And I think that's why you're seeing the number go back rightfully back towards nine. I'm still seeing eight and a half right now. By the way, a trafficking. So there are some eight and a half still out there. If you want to get on the better side of the Michigan number. But if I'm an Alabama backer and you really want to play them today, I'd wait and see this gets back to double digits. I do think before tip off, there's a better shot that this thing's nine and a half, maybe even 10, then it does get back the other way towards eight. On the other game, Jensen, I look at Tennessee and Iowa State. It doesn't feel like there's a whole lot of fanfare around this one. Iowa State without their best player. Tennessee kind of hung on Virginia took the lead weight in that matchup. But then Tennessee held on to move on here is the six seed. And I guess what I'm saying is when it comes to a two six matchup,

it doesn't feel sexy in the manner that man. Am I really going to get excited about Tennessee possibly making a deeper run to the final four or are we on borrowed time for both these teams? Even Iowa State is a two. But if you don't have your best player, how far can you really go? We've seen other teams win a couple games, but not ultimately go far enough without their top score. So I think Tennessee, who's been one of the best rebounding teams in college basketball all year. That is that is one of the big storylines to follow. Are we going to get Josh, with Jefferson? And if we do, what percentage are we going to get him at? Remember a guy that averages 16 and a half points over seven almost seven half rebounds and almost five assists. And it just the last 10 games up until that injury. That to me is part one. Can Tennessee continue to win the rebounding battle? Can they limit second chance opportunities for Iowa State in the paint? You look at also the opportunity for Tennessee from beyond the arc. Can they be that club that is

going to be able to maybe steal some of those opportunities there and be able to take the fight both inside and outside. They got a limited turnovers. And if they are careless with the ball, a lot of freshman mistakes in that round of 32 match, if they had almost giving it a weight of Virginia and allowing the Cavaliers to hang around, if they're into double digit turnovers early, Iowa State could could absolutely run them out of the gym. If you allow Iowa State extra opportunities, they're going to take advantage of you. So I think that's two keys that I look at. If Tennessee is going to pull the upset, must, must, must be able to win that rebounding battle and decidedly with the second chance opportunities. And they've got to be under 15 turnovers for the if they are anywhere near, even me even 12, if you're going to beat Iowa State who can be efficient on both sides of the floor, I think if Tennessee is over 12 turnovers, they are toast in this matchup. They're getting good news. It sounds like from Joshua Jefferson that it's

progressing well. But again, a very vague terminology that we're seeing leading up to this game here. But would you be weary of laying the floor here? If you don't know the status of Jefferson or just say, even without him, they should be able to cover this number against the balls. Boy, great, great point. If I'm going to want a side, I think I would want Tennessee. Now, there has been some fluctuation. It's been a weird market. David, open it for, was bet up to four and a half back down to four, back down to three and a half just yesterday. And then we're currently seeing fours, you know, pretty much at William Hill at fanatics, still seeing three and a halfs out there at Draft Kings and Fandall. I know we've talked totals here. This is also kind of yo-yo to a little bit. But more so now towards the over one thirty nine and a half was the open. It was down to one thirty eight and a half. I'm seeing one forties now populating, even one forty and a half at Draft Kings and Bet MGM. I got burned on Betany Under's last night outside of Illinois in Houston.

I don't know that I would want to bet the under here because if it is this close, you know, do we get the foul game back and forth here to try and gain possessions? Do we get a potential over time at the United Center? It would probably be Tennessee in the points if I had to make a pick right now, but I'm not super confident on that side just knowing that they've had some of those self-inflicted wounds that if Iowa State has Jefferson back, man, it feels like they can take advantage of that. DJ Ozzelberger never misses Arm Day at the gym. That's for sure. He also came out and said that he's not leaving Ames, Iowa. And he's not taking the UNC job and he's going to stay at Iowa State. The reason why I bring that up, Jensen, is people are going to go, well, that's not a story for them. It is if the head coach has to address it, right? To the point where he has to address the rumor that he might go to UNC, I do wonder if that seeps in a little bit. I'll tell you this, Nate Hoetz's name came up for it, right? Even Dusty May came up a little

bit for it from the Michigan job. I'm like, you're going to be Michigan to go to UNC. What do you make of that UNC job being open as being arguably the best job in college basketball to where Ozzelberger has to address whether or not he's even going to stay at Iowa State pass this game? Well, first in the immediate moment, I think it's great for the cyclones and that locker room. Okay, good. You're out for what it's worth on the outside just checking some prediction markets. Tommy Lloyd's name is now just inching above Billy Donovan's name. So again, for what it's worth, Arizona takes care of business. You know that that's a that's still a big step up too, as far as the blue bloods go. But that's your latest on the North Carolina head coach prediction market update. I think they should ask the remaining coaches, are you not interested in the UNC job? It sounds like everybody that's still playing is up for this UNC job. By the way, if you're betting this sweet 16 to jumping into MLB as the season gets underway, now is the best time to do it.

As a decent pro subscriber with decent pro get daily best bets, real-time betting splits from draft kings and circa AI powered prop tools, match analysis 24-7 video and show replays on a decent watch app starts today for 999, say 50% off with an annual subscription. Just go to leason.com. So I subscribe. Few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports and nothing brings us together quite like team USA at the Olympic winter games from NBC Universal's iconic storytelling to the innovative technology across Xfinity and Peacock. Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America, sharing every moment with millions. When team USA steps onto the world stage, we're not just watching, we're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team. Comcast, proud partner of team USA. Right now, new fan dual customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place a tournament bet using the token and if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus

bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same-game parlies for a shot at a bigger payout. Fan dual, it's time to dance. 21 plus in present and select states. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable and expire seven days after receive. Tokens are received in increments of one per day. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandal.com, gambling problem call 1-800-Gambleers. From the App Store or Google Play, check nearby gas offers. Start earning instantly. Use that promo code books title of the show. Get an extra 25 cents back per gallon on your very first fill-up drivers are earning up to 200-300 bucks a year just by driving like they normally do. It's quick,

it's simple. You can cash at any time to your bank account or gift cards like Amazon and more. Download the free upside app today. Use up promo code books for your limited time. 25 cent per gallon bonus offers do vary by user location. See upside.com for all of the terms and conditions. Dave Ross, Jensen Lewis here with you. Have time for our some of our best bets that we have out there. Now I want to update the golf very quickly here at the Texan Houston Children's Open going on there in Houston. I mentioned Pearson Coody has withdrawn from this tournament. So there goes one of my plays that I had, Jensen. He really does have a bad back by the way people. Sometimes you go, well, why are these guys withdrawing? He's certainly currently rather sitting at 51st in the point standing and you take the top, you have to be inside the top 50 to get to Augusta. So Pearson Coody, I'm not mad at you. I hope your back's okay. Cost me a little bit of cash here, but you wanted to play at Augusta and I knew that and I thought you'd have a big week this week, so I get it. You must be really hurt at this point. I did add Marco Penge to the card. Cash

for me yesterday and I had to head. I've already had some top 10 tickets on him as well, but I added 14 to one outright to win this tournament here at Jensen. He's going to start off the day here, reoff the lead of Paul Wearing. Who was Paul Wearing? Shall I say, an older Englishman on the PGA tour, who I believe Jensen had missed every cut that he had played in so far this year. If Paul Wearing goes pillar to post and wins this thing, a sip of the cap to Paul, but I don't think that's going to happen. So that's not really what I'm looking at here. I look at it and go, you're one back of Sam Burns. You're, you know, you're one back of Tom Hogi. It's not exactly a who's who up there right now. I think Marco Penge, one of the longest players on tour at the end of the day comes Sunday might be in that final group. So I think at 14 to one, if you have nothing added right now here, people and you're like a Pearson Coody person like me or Brooks Keppga, who might miss the cut this week. And you're looking for a little bit action. I think Marco Penge, 14 to one, if you can still find it before you tease off Jensen,

that's the way I'd go here with the Englishman. How are you shaping up after day one there at the at the Texas Houston Open? We're looking really good. I had the outright on Marco Penge at 32 to one before the tournament started. Also played him at a top 20 at plus a dollar 52 and top 30 at minus a dollar eight. So we're good there. I mentioned Steven Yeager, course familiarity. Already a past winner here. 60 to one outright and played him a little top 30. I believe plus a dollar 18. So both those guys at four under tied for six currently. Our guy Jake Napa already won under through three today. Have him outright at 24 to one as well as a top 30 at minus a dollar 15 at top 20 at plus a dollar 12. Nikolai Hoigard also on the card this week. He's two under tied for 34th. He goes off this afternoon as does Harry. Harry Hall. Harry Hall going to be minus one projected cut right now. Dave is one under. So what is it?

Probably going to end up being around. What do you think? Three probably three under here. The way these guys could go low today. Where would you put the cut out for this? I think maybe two. That's where it's been sometimes in the years past two or three. But I think you're spot on in the analysis there. And I would say this. I've got low European Marco Penge six to one before the week started. So no disrespect to the Germans and Steven Yeager. But would like you to get the top 30 for Jensen, but maybe not beat my guy Marco Penge. And also Harry Hall with a great hats that Harry wears out there in the golf course. Harry, as long as you're below Marco Penge for low Englishman, I would prefer that a little European in this case. When we get down to the final four, that's what we'll be talking about on Monday, Jensen. Who's going to be there? We got four more games tonight. And again, we've seen about six and a half point spreads on the bigger boys here. Duke is still six and a half against St. John's. We're seeing we're seeing eight and a half right now for Michigan over Alabama. The smaller numbers are Michigan state getting one and a half against Yukon. Tennessee back down to three and a half against Iowa state.

So they keep taking a little bit of money here against Iowa state as well. Who do you think we're ultimately looking out here to round out at least the elite eight tonight? I think we look just at a couple of different odds, different ways to bet this thing, at least on draft kings to get your East region winner. Duke odds on favorite minus $1.25. Yukon actually is the second shot here at plus four 50. Michigan state plus four 75 and St. John's five to one. I just think the Duke is not getting enough respect as far as, hey, man, this was one of the most complete teams. I realize the injury to Caleb Foster is what it is, but I think they've had a lot of time this week to kind of reevaluate what did we not like about our group in the first weekend? Where do we match up? Well, they already have familiarity of playing in Washington, D.C. with that Titanic matchup against Michigan earlier this year. It's going to be a lot of St. John's red storm Johnny fans, though. So cannot wait to see the atmosphere. The Midwest region day, but it's still going to be hard for me to get past anyone,

but Michigan, my final four remains intact to this point Arizona out of the west there. Michigan out of the Midwest, the South region Illinois with a big win over Houston last night. They're now the odds on favorite to get through and that elite eight matchup against Iowa. And then still want my dookies here. So again, if I get all four of those through, I am sitting very pretty in my bracket, too. I'll say this if you're just looking for a long shot play, right? I don't know that I think that they're live tonight. But if you wanted to take the longest shot in the board to get to the final four, it is Alabama at 14 to one. The reason why I bring that up is on the money line price tonight against Michigan, it's less than $4. So I'm seeing them what about plus 375 pretty much out there plus 370 on the Alabama side. If they beat Michigan, because sometimes we like to say, well, do the the money line rollover here if you like Alabama, I don't know that that's the case here because to win two games at 14 to one, right? If they beat Michigan, I don't care if it's Tennessee or Iowa state, they won't be a big

dog in that game. I don't believe so at all. So I actually think if you're looking for the longest shot and you really want to play a lottery ticket, that BAM at 14 to one might be the best value that you could get right now for an extreme long shot. Because again, I think the perception, if they beat a Michigan at plus you're seeing some plus 395s out there, I'm seeing 370 right now, Draft King. Draft Kings, if you can somehow get by this hurdle, dare I say, Jensen, if they play Tennessee, they probably be favored to win that game. And if it was Iowa state, depending on how Iowa state looks, they might just be 3.5 underdogs like Tennessee is tonight. So I actually think that 14 to one for once might actually pay a little bit better if you're looking for that instead of the money line rollover. Not saying I think they're going to win the game against Michigan, but if you're looking for a long shot, that might be the way to go. Majorly baseball today, we've got three more openers if you will. For three teams, we have not

see our six teams. We haven't seen the three games in all. You might think that the unders come back for some of those teams that have not played yet, correct? Yeah, just one official play for me right now, the athletics and the blue jays under eight and a half minus a dollar two. That is going to be north of the border tonight. Season opener for both clubs, Kevin Gossman, Luis Severino. I actually just like kind of the way that that not only Severino could match up and anxious to see what the jays are with life after boba. Shet beginning tonight in earnest as well. Kevin Gossman has been really dominant in his tenure for home starts there at the Roger Center. Going to be an electric atmosphere. They go raise the American league pennant banner. Going to be fun to see the pop and circumstance 55,000 plus. Dave, if you've never been, doesn't matter if the roofs open or not, what a sight taken into blue jays game and it will be a great one tonight. I have been there. It was called Skydome when I was there and I went and got

something on the concourse at Arby's and yes, I went to Arby's and I gave them American money and they gave me back something else and I still don't know what I do with the rest of the days. I just talked to people off the ledge if their team lost an opening day, right? We got 162 people, right? Yeah, yeah, overreaction week, a tradition unlike any other and probably over reaction month. So most importantly, the two majors that I made for most wins at the end of April, one off on the good side of the Orioles, went a close one against the Minnesota twins, have them at 40 to one, Cubs, clean it up and lose the nationals on opening day. Hopefully they write the ship here and get it going in the right direction. They drop there open or have them at upwards of 2022 to one. So we'll keep track of it. Very excited for it. I know, Guy, Alexander Kelly, Bidlin will update that as well. So a lot of baseball later on, 435 East from first pitch,

game two between the Yankees and the Giants out there at Oracle Park. And by the way, you got a text about women's basketball. Hey, what about some of these women's that Tyler shoe makers can be on with Kelly and with Gil coming up here in a numbers game. And I'm sure the Tyler, his T-Shoe index, is out there if you want to bet that as well. So again, if you want more of Eastern, of course you do. You've been watching on Fando Sports Network, Beeson.com, BeesonWatchApp, a numbers game with Gil Alexander and Kelly Bidlin. They're up next. Freight rail does more than move goods. It drives America's economy. Every dollar invested generates another $2.50 in economic activity, spurring growth from farms to factories. And here's the best part. Freight railroads fund their own infrastructure, saving taxpayers billions while powering the economy forward, from reducing highway congestion to delivering goods safely and

efficiently. Freight rail keeps America moving. Learn more at AAR.org slash America's engine. Right now, new fan dual customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place a tournament bet using the token. And if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same game parlays for a shot at a bigger payout. Fando, it's time to dance. 21 plus in president's lexates, bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive tokens are received and increments of one per day restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fando.com, gambling problem called 1-800-GAMBLER.

More episodes

More from VSiN Best Bets

View all episodes →