
About this episode
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday.
Opening context (0:10–1:40) – Munaf sets the stage for the week’s MLB action, mentioning the trade deadline and the previous episode’s 2–0 best bets. Griffin notes wearing a Rangers shirt “brought them luck” as they surged post-All-Star break.
Emmanuel Clase’s suspension (1:56–4:00) – Munaf explains the betting investigation: 11 of 22 first pitches “non-competitive.” Griffin criticizes the Guardians’ collapse, with bullpen struggles (Hunter Gaddis, Cade Smith), concluding they’re “pretty much finished.”
Diamondbacks vs Tigers (6:40–11:41) – Munaf & Griffin break down Casey Mize (10 ER in 7 IP, minus 132 favorite) vs Brandon Pfaadt (road ERA 5.94). Both skeptical of backing either team but lean toward Tigers if Mize rebounds.
Guardians vs Rockies (11:42–15:20) – Logan Allen’s poor history vs Rockies (37.80 ERA), Guardians’ instability post-Clase news. Griffin leans toward Rockies run line.
Yankees vs Rays (15:20–20:19) – No Aaron Judge weakens NY; Max Fried’s two dominant starts vs Rays (14.2 IP, 0 ER). Both favor the under 8.5 runs or first five innings under 4.5.
Dodgers vs Reds (20:20–24:26) – Tyler Glasnow (13 IP, 2 ER, 18 K in last two) vs Nicolò Lodolo (coming off CG shutout). Munaf favors the under 9; Griffin hesitant to back the Dodgers at -149.
Cubs vs Brewers (24:27–29:23) – Quinn Priester (9–2, 3.28 ERA) as Brewers’ ace vs Colin Rea. Griffin excited about the Brewers’ home underdog value; Munaf notes their 10 straight wins with Priester starting.
Phillies vs White Sox (29:24–31:55) – Jesus Luzardo vs Jonathan Cannon. Munaf expects Phillies to dominate; Griffin cautious but notes White Sox’s poor bullpen.
Braves vs Royals (31:55–38:01) – Eric Fedde’s 2–10 road record vs newly extended Seth Lugo. Both puzzled by Royals’ strategy but back Lugo and KC.
Marlins vs Cardinals (38:03–45:13) – Sandy Alcantara’s road woes vs Sonny Gray (12–1 at home). Griffin sees Marlins’ value; Munaf expects Cards’ offense to produce.
Nationals vs Astros (45:13–52:25) – Jason Alexander vs Michael Soroka. Astros in a slump (five-game losing streak), lacking offensive power without Tucker & Alvarez. Munaf leans Nationals first five innings.
Rangers vs Angels (52:25–55:52) – Patrick Corbin (1 ER over last 2 starts) vs Yusei Kikuchi (struggling in July). Griffin and Munaf lean Rangers +107 and team total overs.
Pirates vs Giants (55:54–59:51) – Bailey Falter vs Justin Verlander. Griffin plans to fade Verlander; Munaf suggests Pirates’ first five inning money line or team totals.
Mariners vs A’s (1:00:02–1:03:41) – Logan Evans vs Luis Severino. A’s 2–10 in Severino home starts (6.68 ERA). Both prefer full game over 10.5.
Best bets (1:04:35–1:08:06) – Griffin: Royals -119 vs Braves; Munaf: Brewers -110 vs Cubs.
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