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Dustin Swedelson and Ben Stevens discuss Major League Baseball updates, focusing on the Cardinals' comeback win over the Rays and live betting strategies for ongoing games. They also talk about Elite Eight matchups. Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN pro. Grab the Hoops Special for only $29.99 or take 17% off an annual subscription when you use promo code: POD26. Click https://www.vsin.com/subscribe?tpcc=best-bets&utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=simplecast&utm_campaign=best-bets to get started.
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VSiN Best Bets — Live Bet Saturday | March 28, 2026 | Hour 3. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
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It was first and second and nobody out. Victor Scott, the speedster and the nine hole for St. Louis laid down a bunch, made it second and third, but more importantly, flipped the lineup over to JJ Weatherholt the rookie who then just drove in the walk-off game-winning run as the Cardinals take down the race. Six to five is your final score. Ben, you were all over it. It kind of went exactly how you wanted it to go. Talk to me about what you're thinking here with St. Louis coming back and winning it. I don't necessarily have a strong take on this game, right? There wasn't something that I saw that analytically. I think the Redbergs get after the race or any of that. It was more just a study and examination if you will in live betting baseball, that because of its fluctuations, because of its randomness, and because of how quickly the odds market shift and often drastically so, you could find some pretty good numbers. Raise, enter the final inning, top of the ninth down for Zip. We saw a run line of three and a half in favor of St. Louis,
plus three and a half for Tampa, at plus three, ten, as we waited that ninth inning to start. Again, just crazy numbers. Not necessarily a hunch today. The race are finally going to break through. They've been put ducks on the pond. They're going to scratch one across to at least cover on the run line. Of course, they tied it with four runs in the ninth. They take the lead in the tenth. And I think especially Dustin Liveway, during opportunities in extra innings in baseball, when a runner starts in scoring position on second in those extra frames, you can find some advantages. We saw after Tampa took the lead in the top of the ninth, five, four. St. Louis was the underdog, pretty heavily on the money line, even as they got out with only allowing one run to the race. It was plus 125 money line. They were also starting when they run a run second, despite Griffin jacks being out there for the race as their closer, unable to get it done. In what an opening weekend, what an opening two games for St. Louis and for its top rookie in JJ Weatherhole. Today, home run. It is Major League Baseball debut on Thursday afternoon at Bush. And then of course, walks it off today with a two RBI single,
St. Louis wins it six, five. So many opportunities really on either side, regardless if you had anything pregame or were waiting for live bets to find some value to cash from tickets. That's the beauty of live, Betty Major League Baseball. Yeah, I think that was a really good example of why it sometimes pays to be aggressive with this sport. You mentioned the fluctuations, but the opportunity to straddle these things with plus prices on either side if it ends up happening. Now, it's not a guarantee. There's no such thing as that when it comes to sports betting. But if you're aggressive enough and you can make the right reads over the course of a long season, you can be profitable here, especially from a live betting perspective. So that's essentially what went on there. We had Tampa Bay down by three runs heading into the night. They came back and tied it. So you had multiple opportunities to get plus prices on either side of that situation if you were willing to do it. Now, there's a lot of patience when it comes to betting baseball and that plays a role in this as well. As I'm looking at the Red Sox and the Reds and that is a home run for Sal Stewart. Another contender for National League rookie of the year.
He was 13 to one for a while before the start of the season. He closed around seven to one, not closed, but before the for opening day seven to one. And now he has a home run today. As the Reds lead the Red Sox four to one in the third inning, my sunny gray bet is going up in flames. But I like what I'm seeing from the Reds offensively here, man. Stewart coming through, Suarez drove in a run, and singer doing enough to keep the Red Sox at bay, although I would add Trevor Story hit a solo shot in the top of the third inning. It's four to one now, bottom three. Your in game number is Cincinnati minus seven dollars. The Red Sox plus four 27 total is 10 and a half in game. Yeah, that live total already up into double digits because of this offensive display, and a very inner friendly ballpark in Cincinnati. The Red Sox worry pregame favorite. Even on the road, they are getting three and a half runs at a minus 142 big in terms of that run line. Dustin, let's direct our attention to a pregame bet for both of us. I'm on the over eight for the game in Toronto,
between the Jays and the A's. You're on Toronto's team total to the over a four and a half. Starters were right today. Jeffrey Sparings for the athletic still in cease in his Blue Jays debut with 12 punchouts. But both of those guys are out. Toronto now onto their fourth pitcher. And with no outs in the top of the seventh, the A's have a couple of runners on base. In fact, on second and first, can the athletics finally take advantage and deliver? Some of that pop I have been expecting from this lineup to push us closer to that pregame total. This is the highest basically. We have seen the live overrunner since this game began in Toronto. It is now at six and a half. My Orioles first five minus a half might be on the brink here. So runners on first and second for Minnesota. Adley Rutchman behind the plate tries to pick off Byron Buckston at second, which I hate when catchers try to do that. Ball bounces goes off his helmet into the outfield. It's now first and third with one out a 3-0 count. I'm at Walner, the cleanup hitter who's pretty good against varieties.
They're going to pitch around him and load the bases. I desperately need a double playball and I hate this because now Kyle Bradish in the fourth inning is up to 51 pitches because the way this situation is developing here. So I'm on Bradish over on his six and a half strikeouts. But more importantly, fourth inning, top of the fourth, I need them to get a ground ball out here and set up a double play. Yeah, that run line or was it run line right? Because it was one and a half minus and a half in the first five. Yes. So yeah, you are really sweating this one out. How many outs there in Canada and one? One out. So Josh Bell is up and Josh Bell is not exactly fleet of foot. So if we can get a ground ball here, we can be in a good spot. But I have a weird feeling this where Bradish reaches back for those strikeouts and just does the work himself. So big get back coming for me. And he's missing, by the way, missing high. I don't I don't love the way he's looked the last couple of batters. Still three nothing, Texas on top of the Phillies. That game is in the fourth inning between those two teams. And then we're looking at the Mets and Pirates.
They're scoreless in the fourth. And we're on the Pirates plus 143. There's still plus 134. I've checked it on that game a few times. And they've had runners on base unable to break through against David Peterson and company. The Mets have a runner on first against Mitch Keller here in the fourth inning. Now, Ben later on tonight, we have a very intriguing matchup in the elite eight that I want to get your thoughts on here. As Arizona is a five and a half point favorite to Purdue. The total in the game is 152 and a half. I kind of like that over in this game. I use it for the circuit college hoops challenge. I just I think Purdue doesn't defend very well. I think Arizona is going to kill them death by a thousand paper cuts with the two point game. And we're going to get some scoring here. That's just the reality in my opinion of this matchup. The wild cats are a team that I was very slow to buy in on. But now I'm all the way in. I believe they're the best team in the country. They have the best resume to me in the country. And I think this is where Purdue, the rubber meets the road. How do you see this thing playing out tonight with the one and two seeds matching up in Arizona and Purdue?
Yeah, it's a really interesting spot. I think because of that poor, the maker's defense. We saw Arizona and there was a reason I laid the number with Arizona in the sweet 16 on Thursday in a very advantageous matchup against the bad hogs defense. A very good hogs offense. Not so great of a hogs defense. Purdue's pitfall this year has been their defensive woes. Now it's been a lot better oddly away from West Lafayette and outside of McElina. As we have seen, but Texas had 77 points. Jordan Pope was hot. He buried four triples and Tremont Mark was also great in that game with 29 points. It was an ugly game from a foul perspective in which Purdue prevailed winning 79-77. But of course did not cover as nearly a seven point favorite. Again, Arizona took the fight to Arkansas. Arkansas allowed 52% of opponent points this year from inside that two point arc. Arizona shot 64% on their two point field goals. They had 52 point attempts. They made 32 nearly 57% of Arizona's points this year
from inside the three point arc. They are very different and how they construct their offense than many of the teams that we see operate incredibly efficiently in today's college basketball. They take fewer than 27% of their tries from three. It is the third lowest and third most infrequent if you will. Three point rate offensively in college basketball. Purdue has not been great defending against those opponent two point shots. 53% in terms of opponent two point field goal percentage this year. Most of the points Purdue allows is from beyond the arc and that might be their saving grace tonight. But I think it's a good match up for Arizona. The only reason, Dustin Svetlson, and I mean the only reason that I've got Purdue plus five and a half on the card. I've got national championship tickets on both of these teams. Have you seen the betting market 73% of the public handle has laid a number with Arizona at five and a half on draft games? 76% of that sharper handle if you will on circa is backing Purdue as the underdog. It is a very weird split to me
that maybe just maybe the boy of the maker is keep this game within a few possessions tonight in San Jose. I've added it to the card just to have something for both games in the elite eight on this awesome Saturday night. I don't necessarily love where I don't necessarily advise strongly that everybody puts the four of the makers getting five and a half points on the card as well. Yeah, I have a lot on the line in this game. I don't know if you've read the Veecin Daily newsletter with Bill A.D., he's definitely kept everyone up to date to make sure I pay off my end of this bet that I made with nobody but myself. And by the way, my fiance is not happy that I've done this. But I did declare at the beginning of the NCAA tournament that I believe so little in Matt Painner and Purdue that I would shave my head if they got to the final four. Originally, my thought was that Gonzaga would get in the way. Unfortunately, Texas knocked them off. Texas gave him a good scare. But here we are, trip to the final fours on the line and my bald head is on the line as well. So I really need Arizona to win. And the reality is, I just believe that Arizona's getting it done, man.
I think Arizona is more physical. They have more size, they have more consistency. And I believe in a team that can be that dangerous shooting 68% or 63.8% from the field against Arkansas. I think a lot of those shots are going to be there tonight against the Purdue Boilermakers. Matt Painner this time of year, this is when he shrinks, 5 and 8 against the spread, sweet 16 or later, 8 and 5 against the spread as a non-conference underdog. I like Arizona. I'll be square bear here. Hey, baseball seasons here. That's not the right read. Skip that one. Hang on. Which one is that? Is that upside? Upside, stop paying full price for gas. That will the free upside app and earn real cash back. Every time you fill up, it's quick, it's easy. It actually adds up and I've been using it. Drivers are earning $200, $300 a year. Just buy in the gas they already needed. Use promo code Saturday for $0.25 back for gallon on your first tank. Download the free upside app now and use promo code Saturday for a limited time. $0.25 per gallon bonus offers vary by user and location. See upside.com for more details. Let me get your attention real quick podcast listeners.
It's March, which means the madness is officially upon us. And the folks at Vecin have really gone crazy with this one. I'm being told for just $29.99. You can get unlimited access to Vecin Pro through May 1. I'm talking picks through the tournament, public betting data for every single game, plus sharp tools, projections, articles, and more. But here's the thing. There's already a ton up on the site for Champ Week, which means every day you wait is an opportunity missed. Just click the link in the description to get started. It's March baby. All right. Now back to the show. Few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports. And nothing brings us together quite like team USA at the Olympic Winter Games. From NBC Universal's iconic storytelling to the innovative technology across Xfinity and Peacock. Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America, sharing every moment with millions. When team USA steps onto the world stage, we're not just watching. We're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team.
Comcast, proud partner of Team USA. Right now, new fan duel customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place the tournament bet using the token and if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same game parlays for a shot at a bigger payout. Fan duel. It's time to dance. 21 plus in present in select states, bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive. Tokens are received in increments of one per day, restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandal.com, gambling problem called 1-800-GAMBLER. Coming at you from the D hotel in Casino, in downtown Las Vegas, I'm Dustin Sweetleson. He's Ben Stevens. You're locked into live bet Saturday on Vsyn, the sports betting network, developing situation for Ben Stevens, north of the border in Toronto as Shaye Longaliers with a grand
slam and it's 6-2 A's at Toronto in the seventh inning. You're on the over eight. You need one more to clear there, but at worst you get your money back in this spot. So is a good feeling to be here where someone comes through late in the game and drives in four runs for you on one swing of the bat, Ben. It has been a huge seventh inning for the athletics again. We saw two starting pictures really deal today in the second game of the season for both clubs. Dylan Season is Blue Jays debut, five innings of work, only one run allowed, only a couple of base knocks struck out 12 Jeffrey Springs, really good for the athletics on the other side. But we said, both of us, Dustin, with this game tied at one a piece entering the seventh inning or the sixth inning, I should say, that maybe we had a little bit of life getting into the bullpen. Well, the athletics just played at five runs in the top of the seventh in Shaye Longaliers, who yesterday was the only offense for the A's. A couple of solo shots in their three-two defeat against Toronto.
Blue Jays walking it off courtesy of Andres Semenis, Langaliers with the bases juiced, a grand salami. So that is three home runs for Langaliers in his first two games of this season. The power-hitting catcher for the athletics. He's got six ribbies. It is six to now the A's on top. We are hoping, though, to not only push on that pregame total of eight, to sky over that number. And we are hoping in tandem here on live that Saturday, because we're basically in congruence that your pregame team total over four Toronto of four and a half comes through as well. We sky through that. Total, everybody's feeling good here on the first full day of this Major League Baseball season. Well, Toronto has got to hold up their end of the bargain band. And I do believe that is possible in the late couple innings because the A's used a lot of their key relievers in Friday's game. So I'm not sure they're going to be available. Update in Cincinnati, Great American Ballpark, where the Red Sox were down four to one. It's now four to two Roman Anthony with an RBI single, and they're still threatening.
First and third in the fourth inning, two outs with that tying run on first base for the Red Sox. As Roman Anthony against Brady Singer has driven in a run to make this a two run game there. At Camden Yards, not great for me, as we ended the last inning with Byron Bucksdon scoring on a sack fly from Josh Bell, following that error by Adley Rutchman. And it's now a one-one game in the fourth. I need the O's to score a run. I'm sweating out of first five minus a half run on Baltimore. As we do get a lead, our one-out walk from Kobe Mayo, you like to see that runners on base put the ball and play. Let's make things happen. Let's go O's ducks on the pond in Baltimore. By the way, our first NBA game of this day has now gone final. The San Antonio Spurs win by 32 in Milwaukee on the road, 127 95. This is what we are seeing down the stretch of the year. The association regular season. The Spurs now only two back of the Oklahoma City Thunder for that top spot in the Western
Conference standings. But San Antonio was a pregame, 17 and a half point favorite. They cover that number. This was the fifth game in the last six for the Bucks booked as a double digit dog. They've allowed at least 123 points in all five of those games as a double digit. Oh, it looks like we may have lost Ben's video there. It's live bet Saturday. I'm Dustin Sweetleson. It's Vs in the sports betting network as Ben looks like he's back there. Ben is back. I don't know what that was. That was very interesting. But here he is. In the middle of a really great point. Keep going. Just saying San Antonio 127 over that team, total of 122 and a hook that we mentioned at the very start of this program in Stefan Castle, 22 big points over his free game points props. So there are still ways to be profitable in the NBA and the final 10 games or so for each club in the regular season. Some breaking news here, Ben. I'm just seeing from John Rothstein Houston head coach Calvin Samson tells him that he will return as the Cougars head coach next season and not retire quote, I'm excited as ever.
I've ever been to keep coaching the thought of him retiring with what he's built kind of shocked me. I understand he's in his 70s, but he has not lost his fastball. The sport of college basketball needs Calvin Samson. And by the way, in retrospect, him getting that show cause at Indiana, the fact that it was for texting in the world that we live in right now, it still blows my mind. How that was viewed at the time like he was someone who should be investigated by the FBI. Yeah, it was one of the craziest things ever for what we have once been in college athletics to where we are now, especially with a couple of guys, maybe in Baton Rouge this past week. Hey, oh man, it is a new frontier in college hoops, but we are seeing a couple of these coaches, Dustin, adapt to the times even north of 70 years old, Calvin Samson. Of course, Houston coming up short another cold night in the NCAA tournament against the Align Eye, but there is no doubting the codes in the program that Calvin Samson has built. Tom Izzo coming up short in the sweet 16 in a great effort late in the first half through
most of the second half last night against Connecticut in DC, the 71 year old Izzo asked that very same question, his thoughts on his future and his retirement, a reporter said where do you see yourself in five years? He said competing to win a national championship. I still have so much energy and I'm going to give my all to this place. And we will see tomorrow night a 71 year old Rick Barnes, look for his second ever final four appearance, his first is 2003 at Texas. And of course, Dustin Sweetleson, the first ever for the Tennessee volunteers. Yeah, Rick Barnes, the guy that people like to make jokes about on the internet, but you know what he is? He's a really good ball coach. And I do like the combination of Gillespie and Amon. I don't know why more a bigger deal wasn't made of them throughout the season. Gillespie can score with the best of them. Amon with his size and his ability to control on both ends of the floor. That's going to give them a chance to make that game competitive. But we were just just talking about Houston Cougars, Calvin Samson. Well, who are they eliminated by? They were eliminated by Brad Underwood and Illinois.
And Illinois takes on Iowa tonight. And we're going to see what they can do coming off the game where I really wonder when you play a team like Houston and it's a short turnaround. The physicality of that game does does that wear on you with just one day to recover. Brad Underwood, the head coach of the Align Eye, talked about the matchup with the hot guys when he met with the media earlier. I've got a great opponent tomorrow. One that's obviously playing well, be to one seed. And getting here and in a higher seed, I think they're much better than their seed. Well coached, great point guard and a team that's gotten better since the first time we played them. So tremendous about a respect for Bennett and what he's done. And then a team that has continued to just play great throughout the tournament. So we know when you get to this point, you're going to play a high major team or a team that's
played very, very good basketball. And you've got to play well to win. And we've got to continue to ourselves to build on what we did last night and take that to another level. Spread Underwood had coach of Illinois as they get set to face Iowa once again. One matchup in the regular season. And they won that matchup 75, 69 where Bennett Sturts was limited to 12 points in the contest. Illinois is a six and a half point favorite, totals 138 and a half. I went under 139 and a half bend. I just think with the short turnaround. And Illinois coming off the game against Houston and everything that had to go through physicality wise. Combined with Iowa's only chance here is to slow down the pace. Relay on their defense. I think we're going to play this game at a snail's pace. So I went under 139 and a half in this contest. Iowa is the fifth slowest team in college basketball. The Align Eye despite being one of the most efficient offenses we have ever seen.
In the sport of college basketball is not much faster to 85 in the country. But something even beyond that in terms of their overall tempo is both really want to play slow on the offensive side of the four Illinois 19 seconds per possession on average. 30 second shot clock in college shoes 19 of the 30. That's where Illinois feels comfortable. And we know that Iowa can get even a good look in the final five seconds of a shot clock. 19.9 seconds on average per possession. The third slowest in all of college basketball. It will be slow. It is why that total is in the high one 30s not one 45 plus because of the tempo. These teams play at despite both doing some things well on the offensive side. This is a bitter basketball rivalry. It is the one hundred and seventy third all time meeting between the fighting Align Eye and the Hawkeyes. Illinois has been dominant as of late 10 of the last 11 victories for the fighting Align Eye. Including this year in the first top 20 game in Iowa City.
It was a real big moment on a Sunday afternoon for the first season under Ben McCollum. First top 20 game in Iowa City since 2021. And Iowa lost some of that physicality, especially early against Illinois. The tallest team in college basketball they out rebounded the Hawks by a total of seven. They were great from inside the three point arc better than 62% in that game. Iowa is going to have to be physical to keep the Align Eye from doing just that. Hey, if you if you've got a group chat full of hot takes, cut was built for you. Cut is a social betting platform to let you bet directly against your friends and other users on basically anything sports, politics, pop culture and even personal bets and unlike traditional betting apps. Cut actually gives you cash back on every single bet you make even against your friends. Now you can get a 15% deposit bonus on your first deposit when you use promo code Veson head to cut dot com that's K U T T dot com or download in the app store and use promo code Veson.
Arizona Purdue. I'm fascinated by the match up Matt Mulebock who played for the Wildcats previews that contest on the other side of live bet Saturday. The Elite 8 is set by the time the weekend is over. We will know what the final four looks like. Welcome back into live bet Saturday alongside Ben Stevens. I'm Dustin Sweedles in. We'll get you updated on the baseball coming up a year shortly, but we've got to focus on these two games tonight. We've got two two more tomorrow and I think the storylines are plenty and to help us break it all down. We're going to go out to the progressive guest line. Welcome in Matt Mulebock former Arizona player, but more importantly, he's been all over the conference tournaments, the NCAA tournament. I had him on my show a couple of times.
He's done an awesome job breaking it all down and Matt is with us now on live bet Saturday. Matt, thanks as always for the time and let's start with your Wildcats. They're five and a half point favorites to Purdue. The total in the games, one 52 and a half, but as they enter this contest, how do you feel about them? Because what they just did to Arkansas, what they've done to everyone in their path, every time that they've been challenged, they've been up to the test. Do you believe that is something that continues here in the Elite 8? Yeah, yeah, I do. And by the way, thanks for having me on an awesome day here that the Elite 8 games are the best. I'll tell you what, the Elite 8 is the hardest game you can play as a basketball player, because you are 40 minutes away from immortality at your school. And other than UCLA, you know, UCLA only hangs championship banners. Is the only school I think in the nation that does that? They have 11 championship banners. They don't hang anything else. Nothing like some teams, some teams will hang banners if they win like the conference tournament, right? UCLA or hangs banner, but everyone hangs a final four banner than UCLA.
And if you win this, you know, it's immortality, you'll no remember your final four teams for 100 years. If you lose it, they forget about it in a week, you know. So it's, it's, it's the ultimate kind of mental pressure test. There's no other game, you know, typically in these, obviously, in these NCAA tournaments, you're kind of like, there's so much energy in the arena. You got the game before the first or second game. There's lots of stuff going on. This is it. You're right there in that site. I was there with with loot back in 88 and it's a, it's a weird feeling. And so it's a real mental grind. You got to just, you, you've got to somehow have incredible urgency, but at the same time, just be yourself, right? That's, that's the ultimate test. But hey, Arizona's playing great, you know, Purdue, and people don't realize that our casuals that produce the number one offense in the nation. And they present so many problems. They just beat Michigan, you know, last couple of weeks ago in the big 10 tournament. But I just, man, it's just, I don't know, maybe like the stock market, Arizona just keeps going up, you know, they just don't.
Play that and it's in knock on wood because this is the time they need to play well, but they just destroyed Arkansas on Thursday. They took advantage of a matchup against the hogs that I thought was quite advantageous. And it's why they are playing in the elite eight mat for the first time and more than a decade for the first time under Tommy Lloyd. And of course, what you referenced there, seeking their first birth in the final four since 2001. That was under Loot Olsen, you played under Loot Olsen, you were a part of a final four squad for Arizona back in 1988. What would a final four appearance finally once again now under Tommy Lloyd mean for this cat's program in Tucson? Well, it's kind of the monkey off their back because they've probably had 10 or 12 teams that were final four good in the last 25 years. I mean, almost every other year they have a team that's that good in 2005. They had Illinois beat Illinois made one of the most miraculous comebacks ever 14 and 15 Sean Miller had ridiculous teams.
They faced literally the team that probably was the only team that could beat them with constant the way they stretched the floor and played slow. You know, they've had so many, you know, five years ago when Tommy Lloyd's first year, they had a one seed. They unfortunately, they played Houston in the sweet 16 Houston, finished the year number two, Ken Palm. I'll tell you, this is the thing that's jumped out at me for this tournament. The Ken Palm metrics and all these other metric sites, what they've done. And you know, we've talked about NIL and how so it's so chalk now because of NIL, but it's also the metric sites have have seeded teams correctly and so you don't get these weird seeds. It's a five seed that really should have been a one or two because the committee just they just don't know. They don't have the where they don't have the bandwidth to really understand every team, but the metric sites do. And so, you know, you look at these, these numbers. If I'm Arizona though, interesting thing, two years ago, produce smack them in Indianapolis. Now Purdue had, you know, they had, they had the same guards they have now.
They had their point guard, Braden Smith and and Fletcher lawyer that the one thing they did not have out they had that time was was that eating now he's gone. I just have a hard time thinking they can match Arizona's inside presence. Arizona just over time, they just wear teams down like an NFL offensive line, right? It's just like the cowboys of the 90s or, you know, I'm trying to think, you know, it's it's like USC back in the 70s or Nebraska in the 80s. They just wear you down. We'll see, produce a big 10 team. They've been through the wars. It's going to be a hell of a game. I really think it took them down to the last couple of possessions. That's a great break down. Matt Mulebock is our guest former Arizona player went to a final four. Now covers all of these teams. Peacock ESPN Fox at Matt Mulebock on X want to get your thoughts Matt on some of the other games, specifically this one tonight with Iowa and Illinois. They faced off earlier here. The Align Eye were victorious. You've gotten a lead offense. You've got a slow paced great defense for Iowa.
The Align Eye are six and a half point favorites. How do you see this this fight going? Yeah, you know, I mentioned Purdue, the number one offensive nation Illinois number two offense in the entire nation. If I'm them though, I hate playing a team that plays slow like Iowa. I mean, you look at Iowa's pace. It's just you know, it's it's 361 heard you guys talking about before the break and I would hate playing that on offense. And in the lead eight game was so much pressure. You know, my my gut reaction was that Illinois is going to blow them out. But when I think through it more, it feels like man, it's there's so much pressure slow games. If Iowa can keep it close, it's the pressure will move to Illinois. And so if Illinois can come out, get up 10 or 15. I think they'll blow them out. But if they don't, it feels like it's a blowout or it feels like it's down to the last shot in a weird way. Because I would hate that pressure and the slowness of that game. Ben McCollum is one heck of a coach.
And you know what what we've seen here. It's interesting to see how many great this is this is really like the coaches stand out to me because you have brand Brad under what for Illinois, Ben McCollum, Iowa. We just mentioned, you know, Tommy Lloyd at Arizona and then that painters. Those are four of the best coaches in NCAA basketball. And so the chess match, the sort of how those coaches, you know, really swing the pendulum on these games is insane to me how good they all are. And we saw last night, you know, you saw Patino and and is oh and just it hurly. It's just it's phenomenal to me how the coaches have really stood out in this tournament. It is a regional final. It is history at stake. It is the pressure. It is legacy. That will be the case also tomorrow, Matt, on elite eight Sunday. Iowa looking for its first final for birth since 1980 Illinois for the first time since so five. We talked about Arizona Tennessee looking for its first ever final for birth. The most wins in an NCAA tournament for a program with 34 without a final for appearance.
What will it take for the volunteers to keep it close and competitive against a highly efficient Michigan team with a seven and a half point spread? It's it's one thing it's offensive rebounds. It's what won them the game the last night against Iowa State and I don't I don't have it in front of me, but they just they blew them out on the offensive boards. And I think I think it was 16 they had on the offensive boards. That's what won them the game. Tennessee is the number one ranked offensive rebounding team in the entire country. I think if Michigan solves that problem, they handle them pretty easily. I just think Michigan's better. I think Michigan and Arizona are the two best teams in the country right now. And I think they handle them if they just they literally all they're going to be talking about. Dusty May for for for for literally what 48 hours or 24 hours he's going to be talking rebounds. If they do that, they're going to win. Matt Bielbach is our guest ESPN Fox peacock NBC college hoops analyst got about 90 seconds, Matt.
Just your thoughts on Duke Yukon Blue Devils a five and a half point favorites. Total's 133 and a half another storyline with two elite coaches. Yeah, you know, Duke number two defense in the country number six offense. They have a little bit of, you know, some some some injuries though, but here's the deal. Cameron Booz are obviously I think he's the best player. I think I don't think he's going to be the number one pick, but I think he's been the best player all season in college. That's that's without a doubt. However, you look at Alex Caravan, you know, you look at the, you know, Tara's read of Yukon, you look at their size. I think their size can give Booz or issues. And I think that that's the key for me. I think this is another tight one down to the to the wire. Duke has been of all the one seeds. Now Florida lost obviously, but of the three remaining, they've been a little bit, you know, I've been a little bit concerned about them. And I think I think Yukon could pull that upset. Matt, thanks so much for doing this. The analysis tremendous.
And hopefully you and I are talking again a week or two about a trip to the national championship game for your Arizona Wildcats breaking a streak since 1997. No team on the western side of the United States getting to winning a title. Matt, thanks so much for all the time tonight, all the time throughout the tournament. Let's chat soon. Let's do it. Hopefully I'm an Indianapolis watching Arizona, Michigan. Thank you. Oh, it's a beautiful thing. Matt Mulebox, analyst for peacock, NBC, Fox and ESPN. I want to see it, man. You know, I was not hired Arizona for most of the year. I'm in love with them. And if we're going to talk about who deserves to win it all based on the body of the work, I think they deserve to win it all. We've got to break down some more major league baseball college hoops as well. That's coming your way on the other side of live bet Saturday. A few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports.
And nothing brings us together quite like team USA at the Olympic Winter Games. From NBC Universal's iconic storytelling to the innovative technology across Xfinity and peacock, Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America, sharing every moment with millions. When team USA steps onto the world stage, we're not just watching. We're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team, Comcast, proud partner of team USA. Right now, new fan duel customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place a tournament bet using the token and if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300 back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with sand game parles for a shot at a bigger payout. It's time to dance 21 plus and president selects eights, bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive tokens are received in increments of one per day, restrictions apply, see terms at sportsbook.fandal.com, gambling problem called 1-800-GAMBLER. All right, ready to do audio?
This is live bet Saturday on V-San, these sports betting at work. Look at it on live bet Saturday. He has been Stevens, I'm Dustin. Sweetles in this show has flown by the live baseball, really helps man. A lot of fun stuff happening, a bit of a mix bag. We've lost our bets on sunny gray. We have lost our bets on Kyle Bradish. We have two hits earlier. We still have a few more pending and a couple of plus money prices which could bail us out from that whole locking in an ROI on the day here. We've got a little bit to do on the Elite 8, but also our buddy Mick Chalell is going to join us in this segment. Mick does an awesome job with breaking down baseball, betting, super sharp guy finding prop angles and I believe Mick is good to go right now, guys, are we good to have Mick here? I am here, thank you for having me. So Mick, obviously you've been at fan tracks for a while, you also write for fantasy pros, betting pros and at the Mick 23 on X, talk to me man, how are you approaching
early season baseball, betting because I'm falling into that, that trap of using big sample sizes over the last few years and trying to extrapolate that information and these isolated one game early starts where anything can really happen early in the year. What's some of your basic strategy for looking at guys and bets you want to target early in the season? I think for me a lot of times early in the season, I want to look at a lot of history as far as battle versus pitcher history, that sort of thing. I think that is more easy to correlate to future seasons than say what a pitcher did on the road last year against hitters that had nothing to do with his current start. I think a lot of battle versus pitcher history and some of those things come into play, I try not to go too crazy early in the season, but obviously the itches here, so you got to scratch it a little bit. I think we had four teams entering this first full slate of the year on a Saturday, perfect and unblemished at 2 and 0.
The Yankees, the Tigers, the Angels surprisingly, and then the least surprisingly, the LA Dodgers, who are off to a perfect start. And when we look at the game tonight at Dodgers stadium, 6, 10 p.m. Pacific time local start here in Los Angeles, the remind us 246 favorite currently on draft kings against the Arizona Diamondbacks. We know the very short price on LA to win a third consecutive World Series championship, but from a day to day game to game perspective, how are you approaching the LA Dodgers throughout this season? Well, I think for the season, I mean, like you said, the money lines are normally going to be tanked as far as the price goes. So I think, you know, I think you're either playing the run line, the minus one and a half, as I'm going to probably do tonight, or you have to take the other side. But, you know, to be honest with you, I'm not going to take a lot of money lines against the Dodgers. So for me, it's either going to be, you know, abstaining against them or take them laying one and a half most times. And you're going to do that tonight with the Diamondbacks as, you know, the Dodgers
been putting up runs here. I was on their team total the other night. They're still the most dangerous offense in baseball. What do you like about them in this spot against Arizona laying the run in a half? Well, yeah, you mentioned it is crazy. They scored 13 runs in two games and it doesn't even feel like they've gotten going yet. So it's just a testament to how scary that offense is. And tonight they're going against Eduardo Rodriguez. You know, Rodriguez has some shine from the WBC. But in two scenes in Arizona, his ERA is over five, his, you know, his earned run indicators are north of 450, he's allowing a lot of home runs, not striking out a lot of hitters. And the Dodgers batters lifetime have really own Rodriguez. They have a 928 combined OPS, you know, 150 played appearances, give or take. So that's a pretty decent sample size, the quite a few hitters that have seen him well throughout the years. And on the other side, you have Tyler Glass, no, you know, we know his issues with health
is always a concern. But right now, he appears to be healthy and he's been dominant, you know, in two years in LA, especially at home, over the last two years of home opponents are hitting 186 against him. You've got a 34% K rate at home. So even though the Dodgers use some of their high leverage relievers last night, I think they still should win this pretty easily. So I'm willing to lay the little one and a half here. Liquid stay on the West Coast. The Dodgers are perfect at 2 and 0. We mentioned the Yankees also off to a perfect two and O start. The Dodgers sneakily almost have played at 13 runs, a team that is yet to score a run in its first two games of 2026, the San Francisco Giants. Will San Francisco at home tonight finally scratch across a run against Will Warren and the Yanx? Well, I mean, Yankee fans, I want to say no, but I think eventually the time the tide has to stem the other way. So I do think the Giants will at least scratch a run across the board. I don't think it's going to be enough to get past my beloved Yankees, but I do think
they will be put a run across the plate today. Mitchell Helles with us, fan tracks, dot com, senior analysts, also fantasy pros, dot com. Let's talk about the Padres and the Tigers, my friend, as Randy Vazquez takes on Jack Flarety and San Diego's a minus one, 12 favorite Detroit's minus one away. The total is eight, but you're isolating Fernando Tatis here. What do you see in the matchup? And what are we going to do with Tatis in this spot? Yeah, I am. And it's kind of what I alluded to earlier with the bad versus pitcher history. Tatis has great success against Jack Flarety over the years. He's seven for 13 against him and six of the seven hits have gone for extra bases. He has four doubles and two home runs. So I'm going to target Tatis over one and a half total bases. I'm going to stagger that a little bit so you can get that at plus 120. The way I'm going to play it is I'm going to play three quarters of a unit on the two total bases. And then the other quarter unit, I'm going to pick him to get a home run because again,
he has two homers in 13 career at bat against Jack Flarety. You can get a home run at plus 430 on Fandals where I got it. So I think that's the way to go and kind of stagger it that way. At least we've hit the total bases, you at least get something. And as you hit the home run, you basically get, you know, double your investment. So that's the way I'm going with Tatis today against Jack Flarety. Awesome stuff. He's Mick Chilayla. Give him a follow on X at the Mick 23 over at fantracks.com fantasy pros as well. Hey, man, thanks for being flexible. The insight's always tremendous. Let's chat soon on cashing out. I'll get you to stay up late one night in the next week or so. Okay? Absolutely. Absolutely. Thanks, guys. Thanks, Mick. That's Mick Chilayla. He does an awesome job, man. He finds really good sharp angles to player props. Some of the other bets there have been as you know, I have had some fun today. He mentioned the home run prop for Tatis. I put it out on X earlier at Dustin, sweet Olson. I have not dabbled with home run props a ton. I don't believe I've ever hit one. That has changed.
Ellie Dela Cruz with a home run five to one. We're on the board. So now this is going to be a weekly thing here on live bet Saturday. I'm going to do my three favorite home run props. See if we can be profitable by the end of the season. So Ellie Dela Cruz does get home before we get out of here. My friend more plays coming up throughout the day here on V-SIM. But want to get final thoughts on the elite eight matchups tonight? Iowa, Illinois, the Align Eye laying six and a half in a total of 138 and a half. Ben Scott Stevens. What is the official play? The Hawkeyes team total to the over of 66 and a half points. I do think Iowa keeps this game competitive. I am done even slightly doubting the Hawkeyes and an NCAA tournament matchup. We're thinking that Ben McCollum might not have an answer. He does seemingly to the toughest questions in the most difficult time of the year. Illinois has been great defensively here in the big dance really the last two weeks of the regular season as well with the return of Kyle and Boswell. They held both VCU and Houston to only 55 points and fewer than a point per possession.
If Iowa is going to stay in this game against one of the most efficient offences we have seen in the history of this sport in Illinois, I think they have to score. I'll go team total over 66 and a half. Eleven months ago, I met the Purdue Borland Acres at a 13 to one price to win a national championship. I did not necessarily think for a good majority of this college basketball season that really had any life. They are one win away from returning to Indianapolis with their second final four appearance in the last three years. And I still think it's a dismal matchup for the boilers against this Arizona Wildcats team that like Dustin is my pick to win a national championship this year in 2025, 26. But the betting market is doing weird things and I need a look for tonight Purdue 76% of the handle on circa backing the boilers as a dog. They have three out white wins it as an underdog this year, all coming away from Mackey, neutral site two, one on the road in Lincoln against Nebraska. And the public market really on Arizona to cover because of that split, Dustin.
I'm going to think that Purdue stays within this game. I'm not sure they went outright, but I'll take the point of the maker is getting five and a half points. And an update Toronto has just cleared my team total of four and a half Andrés Jimenez with a single to drive in a runner to six, five A's with the lead. So we were three and two so far plus the Ellie hit as far as tonight's concerned. I am on the under in Illinois and Iowa. I just think Illinois coming off the physicality of the Houston game. The short turnaround could be an issue for them to get into a flow offensively. You factor in Ben McCollum tournament style. I give him the tactical edge, Xs and O's wise against Underwood with that quick turnaround. He'll slow down the pace. His defense is elite. I like the under there and then I'm taking a page out of my partner's book. I'm going to go team total over for Arizona 79 and a half against Purdue. I don't trust that Purdue defense. I trust that Arizona two point offense to just kill them in the paint. Get to the free throw line. So that is it as far as the plays are concerned.
But Veson's got you covered all day long. Don't go anywhere. Live bet Saturday is going to continue on. You'll have our guys Brad Taylor will he'll take you through the next set of action. And then we close up shop tonight with cashing out Scott side and bird has you covered. He's been Stevens. I'm Dustin Sweetleson. We'll see you next time on Veson, the sports betting network. Few things are as uplifting as the greatest moments in sports. And nothing brings us together quite like team USA at the Olympic winter games from NBC Universal's iconic storytelling to the innovative technology across Xfinity and peacock. Comcast brings the Olympic Games home to America, sharing every moment with millions. When team USA steps onto the world stage, we're not just watching. We're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team, Comcast, proud partner of team USA. Right now, new fan duel customers can get up to $300 back in bonus bets every day for 10 days. Place a tournament bet using the token and if it doesn't win, you'll get up to $300
back in bonus bets every single day for 10 days straight. You can even mix things up with same game parlays for a shot at a bigger payout. Fan duel. It's time to dance. 21 plus in present and select seats. Bonus bets are nonwithdrawable and expire seven days after receive. Tokens are received an increments of one per day. Restrictions apply. For more information on sportsbook.fandal.com, gambling problem call 1-800-Gamilar.
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