ITB: What's The Ceiling– And Floor – For The Eagles In 2026?

0:00This is Matt Rogers from Lost Culture East, thus with Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang. This is Bowen Yang from Lost Culture East, thus Matt Rogers and Bowen Yang. And now a quick vital break from our sponsor, Vital Proteins, the official collagen partner of the US Open and presenting sponsor of the Mixed Doubles Championship. If there's a sport where aesthetics meets athletics more than in tennis, I don't know what it is. So it just makes sense for vital proteins to be involved considering how much collagen peptides support healthy skin, hair, nails, bones, and joints. And that applies, whether it's players facing a third set tie break in the semis or fans cheering them on. Thanks again to our sponsor, Vital Proteins. Learn more about collagen peptides by going to vitalproteins.com. These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. I love a brighter smile. What I don't love is that little wince when I take a sip of something cold or even breathe in cold air. You know that feeling? It takes your breath away? That's out. Eek! That's why I like Senzidine clinical white.

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2:03And we are the countdowns on, man. We're just a few days away from Sunday. That's going to be the week one season opener for the Eagles against the commanders for 25 game. Obviously, there's some football tonight, Wednesday night, Super Bowl rematch between the Patriots and Seahawks. And then Thursday night, that game, I'm even more excited for Australia between the Rams and 49ers. So football is here. It's ready. So it's a good time for us to do our season. Some season predictions, Pa. That's what we'll get to here, based on some outlooks provided by some sports books and we'll get into what they think in Adam and I will go into what we believe based on those numbers. So I was looking forward to it. Yeah, I look forward to it. Other than the fantasy tonight, it's so hard to get it. Wednesday, I just feel so irregular. I can't, I really don't like it. Thursday I'm good with. Yeah. I'm with Australia. Then the country reached the Rams. Like the Rams are going to disrupt the, they want to stay on their own schedule. Like the Niners got there early.

3:04The Rams are getting there like on 17 hours. Some, whatever the hell it is, whatever how many hours before the game. Yeah, people are up in arms. So you're destroying the circadian rhythm, which I'm more than familiar with with my sleep. But I would buy a rhythms. What they used to be called back in the day. Just funny how people get all worked up about it. And look, there's some day. I remember was at a NFO owners meetings. I don't know what yours is 2013, 14 or 15. Suddenly goes so when in the league office told me. Overdrinks absolutely positively. We're going to have a team overseas. I said, while we're while we're live, he goes, oh, it'll happen in the next 20, 30 years. I'm like, but did you realize the logistically how hard that is? Because I get it, dude, but you have to understand the way we think. Yeah, I don't want it to be made. That's how they think there's money. Right. Yeah, that's yeah, that was the inference. But on the Eagles play the Jags what week five in London? Hot and ham or the hell to call. Yeah, yes.

4:05But that's the crazy thing because like the NFL has no problem just crapping on fans to please other fans, right? Because this will be the second straight time that the Eagles are playing a road game against the Jags in London, which means Jacksonville area fans. And by the way, you can be like who cares, but there's a lot of Philadelphiaans in Florida, who probably look or even within driving distance. They may live in the Tampa Bay area or even down in Miami. There's a ton of Eagles fans in Florida who would probably like to drive and see the Eagles play the Jaguars. You won't get that chance again because this game being in London. Yeah, it's like when the Eagles game was what was it in Brazil two years ago? Yeah. I mean, it kind of suck is just a packers, you know, a NFC rival. It's great game by the way. The boss. Yeah, it's tough. Like internationally, your team's going to be playing there at some point. It's just the way it is. League rules. You have to play internationally at some point. Yep. But it's going to be fun.

5:07Wicked. Yeah, the Eagles with a 425 game as we turn the page to this practice schedule of once a Thursday, Friday, Saturday, walkthrough, Sunday game. So they have what one, two, three, four, five, one o'clock games. That's it on the schedule. Of course, the January 10th game at the Giant Salas game, the schedule. It could be a one o'clock game. But we'll see what gets flexed. We will see. You'll appreciate this quick story. I was doing my one o'clock interview as I do every week on 97 five, the fanatic with Sean Brace and Ray Donne, great guys, by the way. I really enjoyed going on with them. And they asked me for a quick sort of, you know, the game in the line on the game, which at the time they told me was five and a half, Eagles, five and a half. And do I think that Eagles are going to win? And I said, listen, before I answer this question, I'm going to tell you two guys. Something that are inside the birds listeners know very well because I talk about it every year. I was like, when the Eagles and the commanders play, as you've heard me say, it doesn't follow

6:09the script. I'm like, it's not a normal game. I don't care what the line is. I don't care who's hurt. I don't care who's healthy. It's not normal, right? So it's really easy to look and say the commanders are beat up and Nick Sireon is what, five and o in season openers and be like, you know, Eagles by 20, whatever. It's going to be a cake walk. At that point, I wasn't even ready to make a prediction. I haven't thought about it. But all that can enter my head, Adam, was that whenever these teams play, it's usually once a year, not both games, but you never know which one it is. Scruey stuff just happens when they play. It does. Remember in 24 when the Eagles were on the win streak, didn't hurt to get hurt in the first quarter. It could cut. Hearts got hurt, pick it had to come in. That was a neck and neck game in Daniels, basically, will them. Oh, five times. Yeah. And then they met in the energy championship game and you think it's going to be close. And then three of the strangest turnovers you'll ever see because none of them were interceptions. I think there were all fumbles or one was like a dropped pass that became an interception.

7:12But it's like the commanders just completely, they're, their, their coach just turned into a pumpkin that day and then they just became very ordinary. Eagles boat race to them. They absolutely demolished them. They dominated it in just about every way. Yep. But they've had some interesting games over the years. There's no question about it. Yeah, there's the one with the brawl. Remember with Jason Peters and Chris Baker. There was Monday night massacre. There was, there's just so many, there was just, there's some crazy things. There was a body back game for those of your older, not a long, long time ago. Was that that game in 91? But next time I see Brian Mitchell, I got to ask him about that. Sure. Yeah. He's, he's, he's got unbelievable stories. So that's the game for all you survivor pool folks. And you know, that's in betters out that that is the game that I just never, I would never touch. I just, I don't like division games anyway. For those who like to bet, I mean, I don't bet. But if, if I did, if it was something like, I'm in a pool or a pill, we can pick them. I just, I hate division games because they're, they're weird.

8:13But that one, that one gets the weird of the year game award because you just never know what's going to happen when the Eagles and the commanders play. You agree? All right. So we got some interesting stuff coming up this week, even before the, the game on Patreon, we'll have Ask ITB. That'll be tonight for our tier. Well, it's one and two members now. We have, we're two tiers now. So 12 and 15 dollar tiers, it'll be for them. Ask Greg, Kosell will start on Tuesday of next week for our Patreon folks as well. They'll get to ask Greg a, their questions in a, in a live stream. It's one of our most popular shows that we do on Patreon. And of course, whether you're tier two, one tier one or tier two, whatever tier you are, you will get all of our shows commercial free, every single podcast early, up the night before, sometimes even before that, and commercial free, one of the best perks of being a Patreon member. And that is patreon.com slash inside the birds. Are you ready for that grind?

9:15Let's do it. Yeah, it's, it's, we didn't, maybe we'll do the division later this week, but this is an, and I'll mention to see where you, and we have to, we at least have to come out with our hard total win total. I have mine and I have a win range as well. Mm-hmm. But the overrunner total is nine, like here it is, nine and a half, the over, which is clearly where the money is, where people are going, they're betting the over is minus one, 45, the under plus one, 25. So yeah, if you think they're nine wins or less, go for it. You're going to, you're going to make money for every hundred you bet. You get one, 25 back plus your hundred dollars. Yep. I'm going to be twenty five dollars. No, they don't do what I hate about these though all books do this, I think. They don't too hard, even win total. It's by half. So they don't do ten wins. They do ten and a half. The over. Now, this is where it gets fascinating. The money is on the under. That's where everybody's going here. Most everybody ten and a half, the over. So if you think it's going to be eleven wins or over, you, you must, we'll take this one plus one, fifteen and the under's minus one, thirty five.

10:17So the number is the sweet spot is ten wins. Let me, let me ask you a base on that. What, what, what would you put as the floor and the ceiling for the Eagles this year? I don't see any way there could be a team under five hundred with this. I know there's some questions on defense in terms of grid our health. And requal and can he, maybe a quality starting corner. Yeah. But overall, they're going to be really good. They're not where the text, the text is the best team in the national football league on defense. They are, they have no weakness. I agree. They're incredible. Matt Burke, the former Eagles. He was the fence of coach under Schwartz. And Domingo knows what's obviously that's why I brought him in. They run the wide nine. Will Anderson's an absolute superstar and obviously, Daniel Hunter is so good. He's a very great safety group. Good. Nickel Good. Linebackers this. Henry to O to O. Good job. That was good. Nice job.

11:17Greg, Greg goes out with shock. Greg was shocked that he's been this good. Like it's just they drag look, Nick, a Sarah, Nick, a Sarah the GM. I've said all the time. Great draft or tougher offensive line. Oops. Not good enough. Yep. Bad lung, bad tonsil trade. I don't, I don't see it. But anyway, the floor would be to mean nine. Could they be nine, eight, sure? If Hertz doesn't play well, if he doesn't get the scheme. If last year was not an aberration with the run game that that sequence on a decline. And the run game is got to be better. Obviously, it was historically bad. Right. And number of metrics. But let's just say it's better, but bad. Mm hmm. It might only be nine wins. Fall is the season where everyone gets busier. More calls, more customers, more chances for something to slip through the cracks. And staying ahead means having the right system, not just working harder. That's why today's episode is brought to you by Quo. Quo is the number one rated business phone system on G2 trusted by over 90,000 businesses

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14:27Price picks. Run your game. You know what I have my personal floor is 10 but you've convinced me that nine is fair. It's fair. The worst that they could be is still better than 500. By the way, let's say, okay, we know Smitty is going to be good. Yeah. And we've said this a couple times recently and I don't want to jinx about what have got her to out of while. Yeah. No, you're right. You're in danger of trouble. And you know, Smitty too. If he gets hurt, we talked about what they have a wide receiver and their side dishes there. Supermatch and I mean, McCuy lemon. We don't know about McCuy lemon right now. That's the terms of how good he can be because he's so far behind. And then Wix is a full time starter. I was a four. He's really a. If you if you were if you had a Brown here, you'd like him to be your three ideally. And if that is he. He has a lot to prove that now he had a great print training camp phenomenal because he knows the scheme. He understands the timing of it. He knows where to be. Okay. But now we're going to see how well he could really play when the lights go on and now

15:31you got to do it. For sure. What about the floor? I'm sorry. What about the ceiling ceiling? I thought 12. I have a heart rate. I can make it be 13 or more. Yeah, I was going to get the conditions a little bit better. Yeah. NFC East will be a little bit better. There'll be some surprises there. It's a giant. It'll be better. Yeah. I mean, even Dallas could threaten to be 500. I mean, with with their changes and the commanders will see could they be better in five wins last year? Yeah. They will, but let me ask you this. It hurts us really playing well within the scheme, getting the ball out on time. Consistently. It doesn't happen. He's not going to do it every time. But what if he's we all watch it go well. He's really getting it. Honestly, that's the number one thing for me. Right. If he's playing on time, again, I'm going to use the Brock Party example. You don't have to have a great arm would be very talented. I'm not hurts is more talented. Yeah. I don't have to be a great quarterback to be a good West Coast quarterback.

16:34If you play within the structure of timing and he absolutely destroyed the evil secondary was embarrassing what happened. Fans you know, I would think he couldn't sleep for 48 hours. I mean, I would be so pissed upon him. Yeah. Yeah. Brock, Brock sliced him up that day. I mean, and with backup and he's done that. Yeah. And he's done it. So again, right. You play within the system. Yeah. I would in the system of the time would play within the timing. If he does it because he's got your arm strength, the mental toughness, just got to do it. He's going to make wicks better. Yeah. Wicks would be better than he's supposed to be. It's many of you know, it's good. Got to fix the system very, very well. We'll get into his props later. To me, actually, my upside 13 wins. That's but it starts with hurts. Okay. What did I say? Mine was 12. No, I guess it's 12 or 13. Yeah. I'd probably more put it at 12, but I suppose if just everything came together, I could see when it's good. What's your hard number of win total? Let's do it.

17:35Let's go there. So you're asking me what I think the Eagles are going to finish? Yeah. If it was like, you put a gun to my head, I would probably say, man, I've been caught between 11 and 12 wins there. Don't lie. 11 and six or 12 and five somewhere. That's so the win range is 11 and 12, but give me a hard number. All right. 11 and six. Okay. Over the last year. Same as last year. That's what they were last year. It's weird because the last four years have been 14, 11, 14, 11. So that average is about 12 and a half. Yeah. So I felt like 12 felt good. So I probably should say 12 and five to be honest, but then I thought about losing AJ and some of the new news. First time play caller on off. And so I go 11 and five. I mean, not have not have an AJ Brown, which we should have mentioned before when we talked about Smith and Wix, but yeah. It's just you don't have anyone to tell it's coverage like that. It's just. He says you just don't you just don't. It's funny looking at the measurements. You know, I went back to the combine and I asked some personal people.

18:38AJ was only six foot one half inch at the combine in 2019. I thought he was taller than that six foot three quarters of an inch. He was only six foot and a half. And Wix was six foot one three eighths of an inch. One team I spoke to had him six foot one and five eighths. Yeah. Which is technically taller now understand because people on social media don't understand English sometimes. So let me explain it to him. We heard educate nothing is official. That's on team websites. They round off. OK, they do the some purpose education time. So they try to they it's like college college schools are way worse. No, yeah. They got six six in college. Yeah, they'll go. They'll go sometimes three inches taller, right. Especially with quarterbacks. It's really embarrassing, but overall not having not having brown. To muscle catches to do what he does across the middle. Yeah. We just it's a lot's going to be a wix here people just be patient. Just see we'll see what happens.

19:40I'm so what was yours? I'm going to go 12 and five. My my range is 11 and 12. I usually I do a rain for every team. That a hard number or hard number would be 12 and five. I definitely like the over 10 and a half. I do. And that's a plus territory. That's plus one 15. Yeah. OK. Good stuff. All right. Now, what about winning division? The Eagles are a plus one 22 to win the NFC East with Dallas at plus 184 in second. So it almost seems like you can stand to make some money if you take either because there's it's not a you know, you're going to make money if you're right. I love Dallas. Well, no, that's that's no to win an division. It's Dallas. Yeah. The NFC East would be plus one 84. I don't like them to win it. I don't have them fit it. I didn't check the odds. There are odds for for finishing second, third or fourth. Right. I could exact. No, just there, there, they're the second shorter sides at plus one 84.

20:40I didn't I don't have watched them. Johnson front of the setting really care. We're not talk about them here. But I like the Eagles to win it. I'm going with them. I absolutely believe they're the best team. Based on based on Seriani's history. Hurts I mean, people could criticize. We had we've had our criticisms. We had our our compliments, but the guy shows up. Any wins. I mean, I don't see something 111. I get that. I mean, or not, but Seriani for the haters out there are a lot of haters. There's still a lot of people do not look Seriani. They can't stand them. Yeah, I just don't like them. But the guy wins five five for five. That's right. You know how hard that is. Yeah, very, very, especially in Philadelphia, which I know. No, it's not going to be long time. The haters are going to say, oh, it's how he because he gives him a great roster. So basically where you tell me, it's Nick doesn't coach the team. There's a ghost. Mm. They they they look for anything they can that people hate them. Yeah, I've criticized Seriani ad nausea when I think his way way off.

21:45Sure. And I'm sorry. I'm sorry. Not to a good job last year. There's a there. You mentioned the issue last year with not having senior system was a major mistake. He still doesn't have one, by the way. That's not what job draw Johnson is. It's not even close to. Oh, no. No. So it's not smart, but we'll see. But the guy wins and you've got the, I don't know if it gets arguable anymore. We went from absolutely crushing Howie in 2020. To just over time pointing out what looks good, this looks good. Let's see what happens. It's the best jam and football. He just he just is. It's hard. John Shanners right at their less needs right up there. You want to argue go ahead. Yeah, I was going to say you can put them all in the blender. I mean, they're all there. They have different strengths. I would say yes. Yeah. But I mean, no one more aggressive than howie less need is one A. Howie's one. Well, you can vice versa. Because less all the sudden has been just the Roebro gambler. Yeah. But the guy wins. It's hard to imagine they would not be in the play. I'm moving on here. It's hard to imagine they wouldn't be in the playoffs.

22:46I agree. But if the Eagles don't win the division, you and I both think the Eagles are going to win the division. All right. I'm going to pick them to win the division, even though it's dangerous because nobody's repeated in 20 years and then they what Eagles went and did that. They broke that streak. So it's like, are they going to now be the rock team and plus 20 to three in a row? That's that's scary, right? But I mean, I think that the most talented team and best equipped. But if it wasn't the Eagles, who would it be? Is it Dallas clearly to you or do you think it's I think it would be I think it would be Dallas. I mean, I think it is. It is because they are the healthiest of the unfortunately, their star guard just had thumb surgery, but yeah. They're still overall pretty healthy and they've improved the roster and Christian Park is going to be an upgrade with his van, fanciel system. He's going to run. Yep. They get quit and win for a fall off season. Same with for Sean Gary. The issues that line back are still. Yeah, they upgraded nickel, a kale of downs that they've added Kobe, Juran. Jalen Thompson's good safety. They've upgraded the half.

23:47But you're not having a Smith. The guard is a problem, man. Right. Don't get as Joraku, you know, the Selcher's a kid. I know he'll come back and by the end of the season, he could have a pretty big impact. Yeah, losing the left guard hurts for a little bit. That month, yeah. And we'll see if Gaiton can, can do to me like if the ball bounces their way, they stay generally healthy and they adapt well on defense to Christian Parker, because the names you mentioned are pretty good players, right? Now this is all having to come together and fit the new names, right? Jalen Thompson, obviously Quinn and Williams. We'll see if they can get something out of Shavon, Revelle, the corner they draft in the third round who's supposed to have first, second round talent. We'll see. Here comes together and they have one of those seasons. I can see them, I can see them contending. The Eagles won the division by what? Four games last year. That's just, that's an impossible ask to do it that big of a margin again. But Dallas, yeah. Dallas had an losing record at 7.91 with that with, with all their offence of firepower.

24:51Firepower. It's embarrassing. Their defense was not competitive for most of the season. It was an embarrassment. Right. An embarrassment for years. Out of the, if we can't beat him, join him, bringing Christian Parker. Mm-hmm. The guys have to learn how to run the scheme. They've got to learn, you know? Right. But it's amazing. The Real Fangio comes in after Jonathan Ganon and the Real Fangio gets him to the Super Bowl this first year. Funny how big. Crazy. So, let's run now to the last thing on the Eagles, the winning the Super Bowl, because I find that I'm sort of fascinated by the, where everybody's all over the map. I just checked out some pre-season like power rankings and where the Eagles were. And one team, ESPN had them fifth, fifth S team. I think it was Ringer had them eighth. And Adam, I swear to God, I've never seen this before. Somebody had them 17 in the power rankings. And it was not like some sight you never heard of. It was like, I think it was Yahoo.

25:52Yeah, the Yahoo Sports did their power rankings and the Eagles were 17. I don't think there was a time, I've been on this beat since 05. It's a long time, right? I don't think I can ever remember that you was not being a top 10 or 15. And they give the reason? I'm curious what the reason was. I didn't read their whole write up on why I can probably find it. But just, I almost fell off my chair. That's a little bit sad. If you want to have them, like if you're doing ranking one to 32 for the first week, if you want to have them like 12, I've got no problem with it. I could certainly, you can argue because we don't know if this offensive line terms of run block and path block blocking, they're really good. The take was really good. Run block and they are trotious. They may never be the same physically. We don't know that. They look good in, for example, that doesn't matter right now. Right. When they're going up and against opponent.

26:53You know, yeah, I'm looking at it now. They didn't say anything other than their write up was not projection wise. It's just stating a fact that says we know, Agent Brown is gone. What will a new look? Jalen Hertz led offense. One that's been largely under wraps this summer. Look like is one of the leagues more compelling mystery entering the season. Okay. Yeah. It's fine. If you want to knock them a few, that's fine. But they have Ram, Seahawks, Broncos, top three bills. They have the Bears fifth, which is shocking. The Bengals eighth, Cowboys ninth, Lions 11th, Chiefs 13th, Chargers 15th, Packer 16th. Just crazy. I would have bore you to look at the Chiefs roster and tell me how they'll play off team. Yeah, that's going to be tough, man, especially in that division. Yes, you can, you can, you can so many on spags in that defense with Montsordalini and some of the other guys that they brought in being being good. But that offense has not been good for a couple of years now. It's been in its steady regression.

27:54My home's missing. It's going to be ready, but he's missing a bit of time to a major knee injury. The receiver course underwhelming. They've got offensive line problems heading the week one. It's just, there's not a lot of talent on this team anymore. What they are, what they are clearly is their national team that the books overrate. How the hell could they be at some books that favor it to win the end of the AAC West? It's embarrassing. Cool. That is shocking to me. So that brings us back. Yeah, I don't know. That's shocking to me. And then looking at the Super Bowl odds for the Eagles winning, being the same as the Chargers plus 1700, it's just strange to me. You know, I mean, we did our top 10 teams. I had the Eagles in the top 10. You did two to put them on the same level as the Chargers when the Chargers are an upcoming team. And sure, like they've got Mike McDaniel, I get the optimism, but what have they proven? You know, what have they done to earn that they are on the same level as the Eagles?

28:56That's to me is a little surprising. That shows me that people are not really that people that the people in charge of making these say, what do you want to call it, figures or whatever that they're really in the dark or at least very as that right of said, mysterious about this new offensive concept and how it's going to work. Well, we've known all along what it's going to look like because we talked about in February. It's a West Coast system. It's time-and-based, but the issue we don't know, we just don't know how it's going to look. That's the real mystery. Yeah. We don't know. We know what it should look like, but until you get there and until, because what happens is it hurts us not playing on time. We don't know what it's going to look like. If he's playing on time, we know exactly what it's going to look like for the best part. And they're always surprises, but I know people are big on the barkly reception total and stuff like that. That's so hard to figure out. That's so hard. Yeah, totally agree. So yeah, plus 1700 to win this football.

30:00I suppose if you are of the belief that the Eagles are as strong as they've ever been and this offense will take, that's, yeah, there's some money to be won there. Right. You can take them when this is over. I don't have them as a sub-ultimate. I just don't see it. Yeah, I haven't figured that out in my head yet. We're going to have our, we do this every year on our website. We will have our predictions for winning divisions and things like that. But yeah, I haven't reconciled in my head super bowl yet. I'll get there. You know, obviously the Rams forever is favorite. I'm out of no. Am I being contrarian if I don't think the Rams are in the Super Bowl? I have to like check myself on that because they clearly have the best assembly of talent in the NFL. Yeah, it doesn't. It doesn't. It doesn't. Having a having these so-called Super teams doesn't always work. Ask the New Jersey netstatt and NBA when they try to, they mask like every superstar they can get in the middle of their career didn't work.

31:00It was a total disaster. Mm-hmm. That's how Super teams work with Miami, but it doesn't always work. Now, what, what, what, how can the Eagles be a Super Bowl team? Everything we just mentioned earlier, it all looks great. Right. A manion, of course, we didn't mention him as a first time play-caller. Who the hell knows how he's going to handle the pressure? Agreed. Let's get into some individual players, Adam. You know, a season, an expectation of season for Jalen Hertz from a passing yard standpoint because he's, if you look at his career, right, he's just all over the map. I mean, earlier on that 2022 year they go to the Super Bowl, he's got 3700 yards. 2023, they have this infamous implosion, but they weren't good on defense. So they had to throw the ball out. They have 3,858 yards. I'm sorry, 3,858. And then they go back to the Super Bowl, win it. And he has this fewest passing yards of his career with 2903 and then last year at 3224. I mean, this guy, it's kind of hard. He's all over the place. Yeah, I don't, this is one I'm going to pass on at 3249, the over in the honors minus

32:03110. 3249.5 that is. So he's got to get 3250 or more effort to go over. Without AJ Brown, you know, it's one thing if we, if we could do this after four weeks, I would tell you, I'm going to see if I'm, although it probably won't look good early on because usually defensive head of the offensive, national football in the year this time. But yeah, I don't, this is a pass for me. I wouldn't, I don't like it. Well, I would just say this if the number is 3250, okay, to get a round number last year he passed for 3224. So can Jalen Hertz with this new offense pass for 25 more yards? I think he could and then he may have to play in the season finale. Who knows? Usually they don't, they don't play 17 because the last game that much this year, maybe it is. So I would think over the 30 to 50. I, I, if I had a tape runner, yes. But again, no, AJ Brown, I'm going to give you another one.

33:04What if the running game is phenomenal, absolutely phenomenal. Right. If not right, they're not for, they don't want to be a pass into him anyway. They want, they're looking for balance and they, it starts with Barclay. It, it will never change as long as Barclay is here. It's starting with Barclay. Of course. Absolutely. It's, it's, they're not going to be coming to passing team. It doesn't mean they can't hit explosives. That's what they're looking for. Correct. But it's, it's a tough deal, man. Yeah, to get to 3250, you got average about 191 passing yards per game last year. Who is that 201? And even in, in 2024, when he only threw for 2900 yards, it was still 193.5 per game because he started 15 games that you're not 17. So there's never been a season where he averaged 191 or fewer yards. So that's why I think he can, I would definitely take the over on the 30. But he hasn't played without. I know, I know that is the big, that is the big butt if so I, I can listen. I'm not saying I'd, I'd be a winner. I'm just saying if I'm just going, you're right, you're right.

34:06You have to factor in the AJ Brown part of that. Same thing with passing touchdowns around 23, like he's had 22, he's had 23, he's had 25 last year. And he's also had 18 in their most successful year. And again, no AJ Brown, that's, that's a number that's just, it's sort of scary because he's all over the place. Yeah, I passed on this one on that one. In fact, I like the under in that one. And it's 22 and a half. I like the Barclay Russian prop. I love the over of 1099.5. So 1100 or more and you win. There's no way in hell he's, if he plays 15 games, this line is going to be better. It's not going to be 24, obviously, to be basically impossible. They're not, send NFL record. But I'm seeing 14 or 15 hundred yards. I, I, I just believe it was 90%, 80% their offensive line. Yeah. 20% Barclay because he had a change of style. Yeah, it didn't work. I agree. And they're changing, now they're changing, you know, we, we talked about the outside zone

35:07versus what they're running before. Way more outside zone than inside zone now. It looked good. Well, shiply look good. I love that over 1100 yards and more. I love it. I love it. I agree. I agree. I mean, that was a struggle bus for him last year and he still hit right around that mark. And I would say the same for Devante Smith. If you gave me 1100 yards or fewer for an over under on Devante Smith, I will. Jump at the over a lot. I mean, I think I live here. I think he's going to have 1100 in his sleep this year, Adam. Yeah, it's 1099.5. The over the under the over the under's, I believe it's actually minus 110. I'll double check that. But I love the over. I really do. Yeah, agree. Hey, Philly fans, game day is stressful enough, parking, traffic, long lines. We've all been there. So when it comes to your cannabis, Camden Apothecary makes it easy. This is the dispensary for sports fans.

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37:12AJ Brown. Mikaileman, you know, I think he'll probably take a few weeks to get into the swing of thing, but Wix at 600 yards, boy, that's a scary one. I pass, that's a hard pass. 599.5 is the total over in the under's minus 110. That's a hard pass. It's so hard to, we know the pass of tree is going to be smitty. It's going to be gotter, and then it's going to be Wix. When lemon come, if I've been season, you hope that it's smitty gotter than lemon. Yep. Hope for the future. It better be smitty than lemon. And whoever. Listen, I would, I would even say if by November, if it became smitty lemon gotter, the tools are pretty good hands because they love that. They were love. Yeah, it's about trust. He's got to get there. We know he had really good hands in college. That's not the issue here. The issue is getting where it being where he's supposed to be. Mm-hmm. I've been there out on time. This is new to him. He's a rookie. Mr. Ton of time was available for less practice than he was available for.

38:15It's a problem, but you got to give it time. Absolutely. All right. Another season projection type of yard stats. Oh, this is a good one for free. Yeah, let's do got it quickly here. Gotter over under minus 110, 574.5. That's it. I like the over. Like the over. I don't know how I feel about that. Is it injury history? Age, injury history, the difference in the offense. What did you have last year? I hit. Who's going to get the ball? I know. I know. Someone else has got to catch the football. It's just a little high because last year was 591. The year before that was 496, but that was 10 games. So that would have been a huge year. God, he was on. He was on pace for an enormous year in 2024, but he missed all those games. He almost went. He went on IR once and then wound up missing, I think four games again, but didn't go on IR. Or else he would have had a monster season. I guess. I guess 570 is not so bad.

39:19I just don't know, Adam. You know, when players get a little older, sometimes they just hit a cliff and they're just not the same guy. I do think one year it's going to be like, all of a sudden, God, it's not going to be that guy because he's taken such a punishment. He's not an avoid hits kind of player. I guess to your point on who else is going to get targets, yeah, it would make sense. Missing to you look at the missing target numbers with Brown gone, the terms of dispersion of the football. I know they're running a different scheme, but you're going to, when you throw the ball who's a go-no, smitties one, who else really commands a football? Lemon doesn't yet because he's new. Yeah. And which is, it's got to prove himself. Jalen and Dallas have a really good relationship. So in terms of chemistry. Yeah, I like the over there. Oh, okay. Now this is interesting. He shocked the world with 11 touchdowns, that's not going to happen. So basically, he's going to somehow, he's going to regress to four and a half.

40:23Wow. He's over where the money is everyone's on it is minus one third and he enters plus one of five. How could he not get five or more? Come on. That would, yes, you're right. And that is an area where I'd say I would love the over on four and a half touchdowns for the hotter. Yeah. All right, here's mine. And I like the over. Now so does everybody else. I'll see her. Jalen's on the sack total 6.25. Mm hmm. There's no such thing as a quarter of a sack. It's a half or full. Why would they even do it? Oh, because because they're right. You can get a hit. They won it over six. They don't want to on a hard number. Right. The over is minus one 45. I like the over. The others minus one 15. He's a full time starter now. Now whatever that means is it 70% play time 90. We don't know that. Mm hmm. But he is everyone's breakout player, I would think. Love it. I love the over seven or more six and a half or more. That's it. Six and a half or more. It's a hard. That's a hard not to say no to. I mean, anything can happen. He's still a young player. That's hard to say no to based on the kind of year that he had last year.

41:25And we know he's we know. Vic basically said it. He said, listen. You guys keep asking me am I surprised by this am I surprised by that? And I'm not. He's just he's that good. That's what he's been basically saying. So yeah, that feels like a really strong strong opportunity for him. By the way, contract drive, the Eagles don't wait. They could extend after the season. Okay, just telling you eight minutes. Eight minutes. Yeah, if he gets in that eight to nine sack territory or more, it's going to be a no doubt about extension for him next off season. All right, that's good stuff. I like going through the stats. I like trying to make predictions. And again, on our website, we'll have all of our NFL season preview predictions on inside the birds.com. We'll pick division winners. We'll pick Super Bowl. We'll pick like awards like MVP, come back player of the year coach of the year, all that stuff that we like to project. And that'll probably be up in the morning, Wednesday morning on inside the birds.com. That's going to do it for this episode of inside the birds, the leading podcast in Eagles

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