Follow The Money | March 5, 2026 | Hour 1

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1:01This is Vincent. These sports betting networks. Always follow the money. That's why I always say you always follow. Yeah, yeah. This is Follow the Money. With Mitch Moss and Pauli Howard on Vincent. Here we go. Welcome in. It is Follow the Money on Vincent. These sports betting network, Mitch Moss, Pauli Howard with you. We are live in downtown Vegas. From the biggest sports book in the world. Circuit Resort and Casino. Fun, three hour program lined up today. Great gasp in a minute. But Stevie the pencil on the program in 30 minutes. Richie Bachelari. Long time Las Vegas odds maker. Pauli. He loves the trash that we have on the board tonight, as he has called it in the past. Adam Burke. Phenomenal write-ups every day on the website. Here at Vecin in an hour. His best bets in college. Basketball. Paul Charchin. News every day in the National Football League. Best bets. With Steve Wiss in soccer coming up back end. Of the show as well.

2:01So coming up in 30 minutes this game will start. And I'm going to say like 99% getting finished. By the time the show was done. That's at 430 Eastern. 130 out here in the West Coast. It is the Missouri Valley. So there's definitely. Some strong betting trends for this conference. And the number Pauli. The total has been all over the map. You some books you set open up eyes. 143. Yeah. I saw some of the big like biggest offshore books open. 130 and have 139. Then what down to 135. Yep. By back happened about an hour ago. Two hours ago. Back up to 139 in some spots. That's at Caesars. So I saw it started to take up some offshore books right away this morning at about 645 Pacific time. Would that be an indication that the initial new move was a head fake. To get it down as far as they could and then to start going over the total. No. I don't think so. Okay. I forgot in eight point middle. I got to take advantage of it. But it also was the comeback is no matter what number they put up.

3:01They're going to bet under. That's the other thing pretty much. You know, because I tweeted that out in physics responded. It's a bad job by the bookmakers because everyone knows about all these unders in the Missouri Valley. But my comeback is no matter what number you put up. They're probably going to bet under as everyone's been talking about this for five years. Ten straight tournament games have gone under. It's 17 and five the last two years. And since 2015, it's the number two conference in all the college basketball with the tournaments. Mm hmm. All all unders. I'll give you another one over the last ten years. Paulie totals of a hundred and thirty one and a half or higher. Forty six and twenty two under sixty eight percent. Damn. So this this was an eight point move. The middle game. Is a four point move. The last game is a six and a half point move. Evansville and Northern Iowa. My question to you and also Richie B coming up. What if all these games go under? Are we going to have nine point moves? Are we going to have eight point moves?

4:01Is this going to continue? Because everyone's going to be a thirteen in a row or twelve straight unders. Every under under in the Missouri Valley under. I mean, if this continues, how many? How much under action are we going to see with how much these numbers are going to move? Because I was sitting at the screen looking at like, when's the buyback coming? If you give you one under one forty three and now it's one thirty five. And it finally happened about an hour ago. And now it's up to one thirty eight everywhere. So our producer Luke, he might be on to the angle 2.0. Three and all last night with totals. And that was again using three different projection sites. Bartolvar, Eric Haslin and Greg Peterson right here at Vecin.com. And those totals all cashed when there was what Luke about a five six seven point difference. All of them. Yep, five point difference or more in the totals they all got there. And I'll tell you this right now. So the Drake Southern Illinois game starting again in about twenty seven minutes give or take. The first game that they played the total closed at one forty four. The second time they played it closed at one forty nine and a half. That one stayed way under the first game went over.

5:02Torvik has this total at one forty four. Haslin one forty three and a half G unit one forty one. So I know we've been saying a saying this for like five years now. Like at what point are the totals going to be so low that there's going to be value on the over. Those three sites have that game. The middle game and the late game tonight all going over. So it's how problematic is that shooting background with arch madness in the enterprise center. That's the other question because it's a gift that keeps on giving right. It's been an ATM machine and I don't know if this number is real. But I saw a one fifty five tomorrow in the four or five game with Murray state. Well based on history you can't put up a total that I don't care what the bases right and what and that's the come back to that Belmont and Murray state. Get up and go and they can score. But going back since 2015 you cannot put up a total that high in this conference tournament based on this has been a rock fight. Going back and what these have looked like in ten straight under last year.

6:03After the first game of the tournament went over. Well, I remember talking about this with Dave Malinsky. Rest in peace. I mean, and he's been gone since. 2018. And so I tweeted out Steve Mackinan story at Vison.com. You have to go check it out. It's up and available and it's on the website. I tweeted out a couple of different times. And I said some of these numbers are insane. Good tweet from a jar alerts. What stood out to him was how these mid major formats keep producing the same behaviors. Different teams. Here's the key point. I think different teams every year. But the structure keeps pushing the same edges to the surface. And Steve Mackinan replied to that. And he said, I totally agree with that. It's different teams. Different coaches, different players. But why does it continue to happen over and over and over again? You're right. And also the Metro Atlantic, which there's that in the way. Yeah, I was stunned by that the summit. Another one. That's 13 and three the last couple years.

7:03Right. But I would think the Metro Atlantic was more. High fly and high scoring faster pace. And they have more unders since 2015 than the Missouri Valley. They're number one. Every bullet. Thanks to Evan Abrams for that. I retweeted it. Remind people what happened last year in this tournament, Paulie. The first game went over. And then it was all pretty much dead unders after that. Yes. So this game in particular again. That's why it's fascinating if we get three straight unders out of again. Like how how much will this stuff move? Because professionals bet numbers. But the recreational players bet teams and bet trends and this kind of stuff. They'll just everyone will be well aware of it. Hey, that's 13 unders in a row. Yeah. Oh, I don't know. The numbers 136. Okay. If I don't care. You know what this is going to be like a little. It's going to be buyers remorse for those. Oh, yeah. Do it. It's going to be a little bit. And you were on it last night again. I was not. I told you I was scared of a couple of teams in the 76. I was lucky to win that game. It's kind of like the money line Parley right now in the NBA.

8:03Do you just fired it automatically every single day? Because if you don't and it wins, you're going to be mad at yourself. Like is there a way like. And again, we're going to be on the air for this entire first game. You're going to be kicking yourself. If you don't have like a full game under or if you don't have it tied into the other. You want to do our three team round robin today. All unders. Well, the other thing is if we're all thinking alike, we're not thinking. So you see the you see the eight point move. You see the eight point move originally and then the buy back late. I mean, that's also the same thing about it feels like the angle. Once word got out about the angle and it hit ten in a row. Then it became so popular. That's it. Let me jump in and then you know the three straight losers. Of course. In spectacular fashion as well. So it'll be fun to monitor while we're on there. And then we got four more games tomorrow too. But I can tell you. I will I will predict whatever number they put up for the Belmont game tomorrow morning. And the four or five game with Murray state will be too high. They're not and they will. They will. How can we get a bird here on 18 for Eric Barnes. That's the other story going on right now to bartender cheesecake factory.

9:03Nice guy. Tight friends with Jeff Ceeley. He bogeyed 14. He was three under. This guy was in ninth place at the Puerto Rico open. Yeah. I can't get enough that he's been on 18 now for a while. If he if he if he birdies, he's tied for ninth place. Tell people what this this stuff paid. Okay. So when Jeff Ceeley came on yesterday, he couldn't believe it. He finished second a couple of years ago here. He was 3500 to one to win it. He was 33 to one top 20. That's a shop around, right? Yeah. Because he was I saw five thousand a one to win it. Yes. Okay. And then also. This is a from Donnie. In Cincinnati. Fanatics. Are you ready for this? A guy who finished second a couple of years ago, this tournament. Fanatics had 200 to one top 10. And 60 to one top 20. Now, I've never been at fanatics. They're not out here in the state. I have no idea what there doesn't matter. Even if you get down a little chump change on that.

10:04Little pocket change, digging the couch, whatever you throw. Jeff said he put five bucks on the out right to win 17,000. Yeah. Those numbers add out quickly. Sure. Yeah. 200 to one top 10. This is juicy. If he can birdie 18. It's too. It's unfortunate. He had the bogey on 14. This is great. Yeah. You got what's going on with Barnes. And if he can bogey or birdie 18. And then you got Tottenham getting drilled at home against Crystal Palace and fan. It's a mass exodus. Fans are leaving the arena. What were they before? I look in a second, but it's perfect timing with meat man coming up. Plus 135. So they only have. There only one point in safety here. They got Nottingham Forest and West Ham breathing down their nexus to be the biggest story ever. Maybe in relegation. If this happens, they could get relegated. They're only one point clear right now. And then they're getting drilled 31 at home. So this will be perfect timing with meat man and perfect timing with charge about the Vikings are going to do a quarterback. I wanted to point this out to, by the way, because this game again is starting in 20 minutes.

11:06We'll track it live from a betting standpoint throughout the show. They're not as bad as Kansas City last night. Yeah. Who got blasted again, unfortunately. They they I wish they played more games. Because I pointed out yesterday the oral Roberts was going to destroy that team. And they did second time in the last couple of days. Drake in this game coming up in 20 minutes, Paulie. Nine and 28 T.S. on the year fifth worst in the entire country. Again, they split in the regular season. Drake won the first game here back in January, the middle of that month, 76 73 and went over the total. But Southern Illinois got revenge when they were laying one and a half 66 to 61. You are Val Poe also swept into the end of state. You have double revenge there. And Northern Iowa is a popular team to win this thing at about plus 425 or plus 450. They're a huge favorite. This game could be honestly if they want to shut it down. This could be like 65 to 40 today.

12:08Yep. I have no interest in the over of that game. Evansville's dreadful. Good name. They're scoring that one. Yep. I'm with you. We also have the West Coast beginning tonight. Now, we do have a total tonight in the 150s. Visin.com. Again, more Mac and in here totals of 147 or higher in this conference. Over the total. 27 12 and one 69% going back averaging almost 157 points per game. When some loose some is coming up next. About one of the worst teams in the entire country. Shocking their opponent as huge dogs last night. Pauly with the details here on Visin. So you're listening to this podcast because you want an edge. But what if I told you you're only halfway there. You've got the mindset. Now it's time to get the tool kit to match.

13:08Here's the thing. Pro better spend thousands on data and tools. But what they don't want you to know is you can get the same edge for a fraction of a cost with Visin Pro. With Visin Pro, you get access to expert picks, public betting data, pro projections, powerful tools, analytics, and more. Tap the link in the description and see why thousands of betters are already using Visin Pro to cash more bets. The Toyota Tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going. Blending rugged muscle with precision engineering. All supported by Toyota's time-tested legacy of dependability. Step into a Tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available iForce Max engine. Tundra puts out impressive power, torque, and towing performance. And the roomy high-tech cabin keeps you connected on the go. Or take a look at Tacoma made for drivers who push past the path. Agile, tough and relentless with available features like crawl control, portable JBL speaker, a power lift gate, so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving. The Tacoma and Tundra are engineered to endure season after season, mile after mile.

14:09So drive one home today, visit toyota.com or stop by your local Toyota dealer to find out more Toyota. Let's go places. Bringing your business dreams to life takes heart and about a thousand decisions a day. That's why Atlantic Union Bank's knowledgeable bankers are here for you. With the right guidance and customized solutions to help you reach your business goals. So whether you're planning your next move, upgrading your space, or scaling to meet demand, we make sure your business is ready for what's ahead. Because we are big enough to support you, yet small enough to know you. Atlantic Union Bank, anyway, you bank. Winsome Blue Sump is sponsored by the Shark Plays. Were you a winner last night? Wow, winning. Or was it a rough one? Well, they cannot be winners, can they? Loser! You're a loser! Bolly Howard recaps the night in sports betting in Winsome, Blue Sump. The blood city killers want to perform it's by the hornets. Ten in a row on the road. Six wins in a row by 15 points or more.

15:10Second longest streak in NBA. In NBA history. 174 made three last seven games a record. Best record in the league since January 22nd. 16 and three overall. 15 and two ATS run. Throttled the sun. I think it's going to be great. I think it's going to be great. I think it's going to be great. I think it's going to be great. I think it's going to be great. 16 and three overall. 15 and two ATS run. Throttled the Celtics on the road. I'm here for anything. They're up to 280 to make the playoffs. How you feeling about the team right now? Love them. Not to mention how like they've done against some of the big boys too. Destroy the Lakers. Beat Houston. Beat Denver. Blue out the Celtics. Blue out OKC. And with the young team confidence is key. And they probably feel like they're on top of the world now. All of those wins were by double digits. A lot of them in the 20s. In fact, four games. They won by 20 plus points. I like what Jeff Sherman told me after the show yesterday when they were absolutely destroying Boston. They're absolutely brash. They're cocky. They don't care.

16:10That's why I love them. I mean, they are. Let's be real here for a second. That division outside of this team. None of those other squads are a threat. Charlotte is clear. Imagine if they didn't start form 14. Right. Right. Right. And nobody wants to see them. This. I can't believe I'm saying this part of it. They are the best team numbers wise in the NBA since January 1st, Paulie. And it's not even close. The net rating. The offensive numbers. The defensive numbers. They are lapping the. This is like Oklahoma City from last year now. Or Oklahoma City at the beginning of the year. I thought this team was playing. I don't think they can win the division. But I think they could also. They could catch Philly. They're the short shot to win the division. And Philly's. Oh, that's an overreaction. Philly. They could catch Philly. And Philly's the sixth seat. As you mentioned, they almost lost the Utah. Sixers jazz under 241. Down to 237. Winner. Placers six up to 9 1 by 8. Pacers clippers over 224. Oh, I'm sorry. Do you see what happened in the Blazers game? No. Where's the dribble out? Down by 11.

17:10Uh-huh. Gigi for Memphis takes it three with like 12 seconds. That varies it. Oh, wow. Diculous landing spot. Pacers clippers over 224 up to 230. 131 07. Colorado State. Blue out in New Mexico. Three to one on the money line. How bad's the bubble? Jolana already still has New Mexico in. Now, how is that? All these teams are losing. The sal over. 127 up to 134. High scoring game. They beat for them. Loyola plus 25 and a half down to 21 winner against St. Louis. Georgia Southern. Pick up to two and a half. Pocky Hurricanes minus 255. Up to 370. They won six for it. Scrib subscribe. Be part of the team. OK. Will the Vsign dot com, already on podcast friends. Always want to see these tweets and videos that Paul does Vegas on Instagram. Send them in. We'll put you on going and fresh. Oh, this is great. The win screen Wiper dog going back and forth with the got the wipers on in the back. See him be following it. Say cut the.

18:10They that's a TV. And look at the other guy. Wait. OK. I'm just going to get me take a map. He could have it's fun. Go back and forth with a wipers. That's incredible. in the bed right in the middle so they could go inside the bed and get comfortable. To a hole in it, make a big mess, come in and they both can fit in there. They can use it as a blanket too, heavy plate, very smart move there. That was excellent. We're going to play a video either tomorrow or next week involving two dogs in the snow. I sent over to you guys last night. I don't want to over-hype it, it's going to be a top 10 or top 20 dog video we've ever had. Founded in 2011, the sharp place just completed another dominant run, including a 2025 campaign that saw bank rose double, 15 straight years of winning all documented. Records and logs publicly at sharpplays.com separates a sharp place from most of the betting industry with the transparency, advanced AI tools trusted insider, identifying price value before the numbers shift, respected, watched and feared, Mr. Poison, back daily tweets,

19:11and reports start winning with them at sharpplays.com, give them a follow-up now, and with us since day one, sharpplays.com. Now, when we talk about a lot of these absolutely horrific teams in college basketball, like the Kansas City outfit, by the way, Marvin Menzies, the head coach, former UNLB coach, maybe he should have stayed at New Mexico State, huh, because he had a good program for all those years. Gardner Web was number 361 at Kenpom last night before the game against USC upstate. They won the game outright. Yeah. Want it outright? Or wins, yeah. Yeah. Also, I wanted to ask you about this, because the number on Konkenepple really did not move that much to win the rookie of the year, because flag is supposed to play. He's playing. Yeah. He has his own minutes restriction, though. Okay. And that's probably the reason why. The more I think about it, the more flag should be like $5 to win the award. Because if you take him, if they did not draft him last year and they took somebody else, we would not be talking about this. But that's how important he is to the team.

20:12Now, has he been the best player of the entire year? I'm not going to tell you that he is like overall, absolutely the best player on the team, because Miller's awesome. Ball has his moments for sure. But if they didn't take him, we wouldn't be having this conversation right now about Charlotte. And he has meant that much to the overall team's success. He should be $5. Konkenepple should be $5 to win the award. I thought you said flag. Okay. No, no, no. Flag should be like four to one to win it right now, in my opinion. Yeah. You've been enough adjustment either. It's only $1.80. So flag comes back. And then I don't know if he plays tomorrow against Boston, but you might have paid him back for the Celtics there finally. But between the games, Dallas is playing and how bad they've been. Good tweet from Tom Habistrow. The bottom 10 teams in the league, a collective 44 game losing streak right now. They've lost 44 in a row. How bad these teams have been at the bottom. And the tank of Paloza Parlay pays $1.50 tonight. That's only a three teamer. I put on a fourth teamer. Did you had Houston? I had it Houston. Okay.

21:12Here in Circuits plus $1.19. Yep. Golden State's been awful. Okay. And the Lakers are excited for this game tonight on prime. The Lakers taken on the nuggets. I expect fireworks in this game as far as the total 241 Denver can't guard anybody either in the Lakers. The pace should be there, but the Lakers are 0 and 11 straight up in ATS last 11 games as an underdog. Gotta get busy living and get busy dying. Mm hmm. Big stretch here because they could blow this division and think with Luca, LeBron and Reeves, they could be in the plan. They got to hold off the suns. So they turned it around after that brutal loss to Phoenix and that tough loss at home against Orlando. But that is ridiculous. Kim Johnson is questionable tonight for Denver Garden Watson, remain out. Jamal Murray has been the story here for Denver last three games. These averaging 41 plus minutes per game, the most in the NBA, 36.3 points per game, also the most 5.7 made threes. You guessed it, most in the NBA last three games on 10.7 attempts tied for the third

22:15most. And Denver is the number one team in the NBA to the over on the year 39 and 23. Lakers a little bit above 500, they're at 32 and 29, 241 is a very high number. But some of these teams, Pauli nowadays in the NBA when it's the perfect matchup, like we saw this with Denver and Utah the other night, everything got there. First quarter, first half full game, all of it flew over. Lakers are not good defensively. Denver off hold defensively for the most part and their elite on offense. I don't know if I'm going to play 241. All I'm saying is I'm not going to be surprised if this game's like 135 to 130. Mm hmm. So the fireworks are probably going to happen in the game. Yep. I don't understand bringing tray young back, especially against a bad team that you can beat and their favorite tonight against Utah, who's also on a back to back. Right. I like the spurs at home against Detroit and all this coach of the year talk, but what if the spurs can track down OKC and they can beat Detroit again, how about Mitch Johnson 9 to 1 coach of the year? That's another angle too.

23:15I mean, they didn't make the playoffs last year. Certainly, Mizzoula is not an incredible job. And also, I think the bad start hurts Lee and Charlotte, but he's like 15 to 1 to. He was recently 50, by the way. I think that was this week 50. So last night that was going to change after that win, they had zero expectations. What if they win the division, yeah, they can get the 6 5 6 win the division, something like that. Yeah, there's a lot of good candidates here for coach of the year, but a big opportunity here for the spurs again is they've been red hot other than that tough performance in the garden against the nicks. But I think they take out Detroit again here after they hammered them on the road earlier. Some players I'm looking at tonight. One would be on the president of the fan club for him, but Reed Shepherd has been awesome last 10 games. I don't know if he's going to start tonight yet, I kind of want to wait for the starting lineups here. He's averaging 30 minutes, 17 points on 48% shooting, almost four made threes per game, 46% from downtown, but more than that, four and a half assists three point eight rebounds and 1.8 steals.

24:16I'd like to put together a same game parlay with him tonight. If he's going to be playing and I got absolutely roasted on this rookie, the last time I bet him and I swore off of him, guess what's happened since I bet and I lost. He's been damn good. It's neat Clifford with the Kings against the Pelicans last five games a team high 35 and a half minutes per 15 point two points per game on third. He's taken 14 shots in that time, 6.2 rebounds, 4.2 assists and 3.2 steals per game. But I have a tough time sitting here on the air telling you that I got to go out and I recommend betting neat Clifford after I said last time when I got scorched, I think I'm off him for the rest of the year. So the Pelicans are not a tanking team, right? No. So that's exactly right. The question, like I would bet the Pelicans on the money line parlay tonight. The problem is at last check, Trey Murphy and Zion are both still questionable. Yeah, after league's questionable, the night is tough and you saw a move on Toronto too

25:19because Ant might not play for the T-wolves. That's down to four and a half. Richie Bachelari next, longtime Vegasidesmaker, lover of college hoops. He likes to roll up the sleeves, dive into the muck, today's a perfect day for him to discuss. All of these mid-major conference tournaments will do so next on follow the money in his visa and these sports putting out work. It's good to have you. I'm on board. Big fan of our next guest. It's been a minute. One time Las Vegas, Oddsmaker, he loves college football, loves college basketball. He's Stevie the pencil. Richie Bachelari joins the program. Now go to see him. I'm in. How are you guys? Nice to be here. Nice to see you guys. My favorite degenerates.

26:20You do all your work in pencil work. Yeah. So what do you have here? How many tablets do you have with us? How many notebooks do you have filled with your notes and numbers? I brought a fresh pad for you guys. Today, but usually I just do it on the green bar paper, the counting paper. When I buy the paper, I always tell them I'm a big accountant around town. Close. And he kept the hoops on it. We got to write it all down. Saturday is a light day this week, 92 games, but every Saturday for the last seven weeks, 140 plus games. I mean, how do you do it? Yeah. Well, let's begin with the games that we have tonight. It's, I think we have like 45 games today overall. It's the Missouri Valley. This game is starting pretty much right now. Drake takes on Southern Illinois. We're talking about the big talking point here, Richie with the Missouri Valley. Obviously, is the totals. It's been a gold mine now going back a good decade. What's going on with this total in this game though today here? Well, you know, it started out, you move down two or three points, I think, and then we were just looking at it, you know, before it starts, it's like up to like 40 and a half at post. Is that right?

27:20It opened 143. It got as low as 135. It's up to 141. If 43 though was, that was at a very limited market. Yeah. I think by the time Chris put it up, it was like 37 and a half, so they pounded it down. You know, we've talked about this before. You never know what they're doing with these games, these numbers. Limited market means you can move the market for nickels and dimes. You can move at two points at three points. You never know what they're doing, but the unders, the unders are like 60 plus percent, 65 percent under this tournament in the last 10 years or so. Right. There you go. But also it's 10 in a row. And it's 17 and five the last two years. Wow, look at this guy. Missed that. Well, everyone knows this though now. Of course. That happens if we see a run on unders to start this thing then. So what do you do with your number then? Well, I don't, I don't do the totals, so I don't really, you know, handicap. But this one came in about low 40s for me, but you know, to get on, I thought I was terrible at it because it went down only, you know, like you said, 37, but it came back up again. So I want to ask you this then. So what you said there was a key point, right?

28:22Overnight, you're betting a nickel, maybe a dime, some spots, you're going to move it a couple of points, whatever. And then when the points or when the total moved again today, that's when the limits are going to start to go up. Is it possible? Last night was a head fake on this came to drive it down as low as possible. It's very possible because all the late money came in on the over and that's when there's the most markets available for you to go out and play. So it looks like all was decide. I don't know. There are 37 seemed a little low, if I made it low 40s and it opened, whatever 43, it does get a point where the other side becomes play. I mean, there's going to have to be a brain is. Yeah, right. You like to dog in this game? No, I actually laid a little four on the buy had to jump in mostly a bet against Drake, but something ain't too bad. OK, let's get in the trash. Evansville's terrible. How about the late game? Evansville in Northern Iowa, 133 down to 126 and a half. Wow. Love it. Love it. Didn't look at that. But I did make a play on the doggy. Oh, you did.

29:22Love the dog. What the dog? It's it's out here. Yeah, I took 15 this morning. OK. You know, they got beat twice. I love it. You know, that's OK. Yeah. Last game of the year, most likely for Evansville. So they're going to give you some kind of effort. And most importantly, if you've taken 15 points and the totals in the high 20s, the game figures to be in the 50s, low 60s. So covering 15 has a slight edge, taking double digits on the total and on the game that's you know, the totals in the 20s. Evansville, yeah, in those two games, they scored 48 the first game. Yeah. But that number was five at the time, Northern Iowa. Now triple that at 15, but they did cover. They lost by 14. In the next game, they were catching 11 and a half. They didn't cover that game, but they only scored 55 there. Yeah. Wow. What's their team total in this game? Well, you probably hit it on the head, right? I mean, it's you take it to make it to make a team total. What you do is you deduct the the game total by two divided by two and then split

30:23the points bread and half and take it off each side. So if it's one, if the spreads 14 and 128, so it's 64, that's seven. Those 57 right with a right. There you go. Good math. How about the middle game? Good job. The middle game. Valpo swept in. I love this conference. Geez. What's coming up right now? I'll take its cash. The same here, buddy. Made it out. Well, one and a half. Didn't look at it too much after that would have taken like three and a half within the state. Uh, they got a kid out, you know, 24 minutes of minutes guide. I don't know if he's in or not. You know, players don't really mean a whole lot. Starters pick up the extra minutes in spots like this, but I didn't play it. All right. No play there. Do you have anything in the sun belt? All these games are played in Pensacola. Adam Burke here. He's coming up by the way in about 25 minutes. He has a play tonight on James Madison. They're laying about one one and a half and Southern Miss last check. Well, the back to back. Same too good. You know, when you're going back to back and you're playing on consecutive days, it's not really fair and too well. And that goes back to the early season tournaments in November.

31:27I've got, I've got Madison one and a half and didn't do anything with it looking at the arc state game. I did lay six and a half. I did go against the back to back there. So I played arc state. That's got a super high total, by the way, I think it's about 167 and a half. Yes. Yesterday, these games where they playing Pensacola or somewhere in Pensacola, I think they both went over yesterday. I kind of looked for that, but the 67, it just seems high. I'm not crazy about the total either. And once again, I don't do totals, you know, I dig into the sides, but not the totals, too much work. What do your power ratings look at the top look like at the top of college basketball with Duke, Florida, Michigan, Arizona, and then Michigan, their favorite, their lane right now, eight and a half at Iowa tonight, any opinion on that game? Yeah. I was looking to play Iowa plus 10. I'll probably be a degenerate like you guys and take, is it still nine?

32:30Can I still get nine? Maybe can you give me nine? Yes. Can you give me nine? Yeah. Let me reduce juice. Nine. Yeah, I take the points. I mean, it's conference games, you know, I was, you know, still fighting for their lives for this tournament thing. So it's good. It's good. I take it nine points at home, but I'll give you nine minus 20. Well, you know, make me late six to five, everybody uses is minus one 20. I hear people say, Oh, it's minus eight thousand. I tell them, I don't even know what that means. One eight, one eighty, you know, you're, you're laying one eight, you're laying eighty to make one minus eight thousand stuff, novices, novices. What was there any games with big differences between your numbers and what the market has? Yeah. You know, I played North Dakota state. That game went from 10 to 12. I made that game. 15. Okay. And that was, we talked a little bit about, I guess it was all Roberts. Yeah. The other game was Morgan, an extra game against Coppin. Oh, hoops Peterson's on that this game.

33:31Okay. This game really hasn't moved too much. Now, it doesn't mean anything yet, but I would expect a game to have moved up. I made it 10 and Coppin has been. I hate it. They just say it slightly improved. I mean, they finally, they won a couple of games down the stretch and they definitely slightly better. It's good for the program. So does that mean before they won those games, this number for you would have been like 12 or so? Yeah. I actually, I moved them. I moved Coppin up about a half a point, but I've been riding Morgan all year. You know, they're, they're one, two in the conference. I mean, this Howard looks good. This Howard looks good. Paul's cousin. Yeah. Probably Howard, hoops, hoops, hoops, makes Morgan state 11 and a half in the game. I made it 10. Wow. That's a match. Now, once again, when you got a couple of handy capers out there, what you do is you say, oh, you like, when you match up supposed to be a play, usually when I match up with people who goes up and flames, well, let me, let me ask you a question about that because last time we saw it again, and Matt, you means now this year specifically has been.

34:36I don't know, not agitated, but he's like, don't be afraid of this team when it comes against, it goes against you, right? And last time was a good example. He was on the air. We both bet Detroit. Why did Detroit get bet down to like a pick them in that game last night? I don't know. I don't know. I noticed that though. I was on Detroit. Yeah. Same. And so, but I mean, so when you see that, this team goes against you, does like, does that set off in a lot? Not at all. Not at all. I mean, people are betting numbers. They're betting, you know, did what their algorithms are saying. But you know, the people got feel, you know, you watch these games all year long and you got to feel for how the team's going to play. Detroit someone. I've been riding. Yeah. I've been riding Morgan. I was riding for a long time. Navy. How good have they been? Fantastic. Short term North Florida. I passed them. Yes. I passed the loser. Not embedded in personal loser. It's good. You want to bet the loser. Yeah. You know what? I don't trust them today. And then they lose. And you go out. It's beautiful. So you're doing your work. Do you like that feeling better than being on the right side? No, I want to win money. All right. Yes. You're going to feel you talk to Elma Boston.

35:38You like anything? I love Owlin. Owlin's great. There's nobody can handicap around on these games like this guy. He had a great run this year. I think this week he's kind of fighting a little bit, you know, because it's a fight every day. You know, today, today's 123 days of college basketball. Imagine doing that every day all day long for four months. That's a grind. So he struggled and I think a little bit yesterday, but he'll bounce back. He's great. Probably the best college basketball handicaper that you're going to meet individualized. He's been doing it 30 years. Isn't he the best of all time? Well, the best individual handicap ever, because you know, you got the groups, you know, the computer programs back in the 90s, you know, the guys were, they knew all the injuries and got all the newspapers. Owlin was the one man crew. Yeah. So he's great. He had a fantastic feel for games and the way even after the game's over when he analyzes the movie. Oh, yes. Well, I'll figure out. Hold that, that. Hold that, that. We got to come back here. Morth, Richie, Bachelor, and some of these other mid-majors going on starting tonight.

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37:43We're cheering together. This winter, we're all on the same team, Comcast, Proud Partner of Team USA. This is Follow the Money on V-San. Under 16-minute-media timeout, Missouri Valley, total closed 161 between Drake and Southern Illinois. Drake lead 6-nothing, updated live total 133.5. What, that total close? 61 or 41? 41. Okay, you said 61. I'm just checking you. Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I?

38:44Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Did I? Yeah. I finished that thought about professional, better college basketball, handicaps or 8-11 Boston. Yeah, just talking about Boston, we're just, you know, not only does he pre-handicapt the games, West Coast, Ohio Valley and Summit League. Well, you mentioned you're fading oil Roberts tonight. You got a big number there. You, uh, late 10 with the favorite. Late 10, you know, it's up to 12. I think it just looks like just a blowout to back-to-back, you know, oral being KC three times. I don't know. It just looks like your classic blowout. Now, once again, you're watching and you're saying, oh, yeah, that guy likes to see you in the North Dakota state. And you don't wanna win by eight, that guy sucks. You know, it's not about one game. It's a, it's a horse board, the slate. I mean, no, no season, you know, but I know a lot of guys like to pick on you, Mitch. Mitch, they call you Mitchy. Mitchy. You have Mitchy at big. A lot of people call me Mitchy. Mitchy, not with a B. No, yeah, they're actually growing up. You have, of course, that was very popular. Okay. No, no, Mitchy, uh, most common name I get is Moss, actually.

39:47It's the last name, like Randy. He's your brother. Yes, dude, you have, can you make a case for someone outside the big four to win this whole thing? Is there such a big gap between the top four teams and everyone else? Yeah, I've got, uh, I've got basically the top four all in my ratings at about 70, which is usually, I don't get much higher than 70 for the top schools. After that, you're looking at Houston's and Connecticut's both in the, in the 67, 66 and a half range. That makes the top four three and a half against, you know, either of those teams. Iowa State's kind of taking a step back. You know, you can't stay kind of a step up. You know, they, they, that coach is good. He plays 10 guys all year long. He's ready for the tournament, deep. Uh, you know, Gonzaga, they, they lost the kid half and I don't think he's going to be back for the tournament. I mean, they said six to eight weeks, four weeks ago, but I ain't heard nothing about him. Uh, Illinois, you know, three, four points against all those teams.

40:48So I don't know if there's a team out there that can, you know, you're going to, you're basically going to have to face two of them, right? I mean, uh, you're actually the role number ones. I guess that's not true. You have to weigh the ones in the two. I don't know. I don't think, uh, I don't think there's anybody really that can meet those four teams on the court. Yeah. You have to be a perfect game and possible. But I'd make a bet that, uh, three out of those four ones, you know, make it to the semis. Yeah. Yeah. So here's the example that a team would have to go through three of them. If Yukon is the one and Florida is the two in their region, yeah, in theory, then they would have to beat Florida in the lead eight, get to another number one in the final four, and then probably another number one in the championship game. Yeah, I would, I would think that if Florida, you know, manages to win the conference, they'll get the one they should. And if they don't, Connecticut wins, they might, but I still got Florida as the better team, but I don't matter at that point. When you, when you gamble on this stuff, who cares?

41:49Guess if I'd like to see him pick the tournament out of a hat and wherever his falls is falls, that's what I'd like to say. What do you mean? You mean you just say you put the 68 teams or whatever in the hat and you pull the first one out and say, third, you know, a playing game on Tuesday, Duke, you know, and let him just, let him just go. I'd have to be unbelievable. Come on. It'd be fantastic. Yeah. We're waiting to this Miami, Ohio discussion. Oh, Miami, Ohio, the 27 and O against the D1 schools. Yeah. Okay. It don't matter who you play when you're 27 and O. I grant the day and played nobody. I mean, they did beat Akron, but, you know, it's not exactly beating a powerhouse. What would you make that number, assuming they made it again in the Matt Title game? Akron 3. Okay. Akron 3. You laid three and a half tomorrow, though. I believe I did. I got to check the opener at one of these shops. It's five and a half now. Yeah. Well, it's not because of me. Yeah.

42:49No. But you're out here touting all these schools. Everyone goes back to your calling likes. So, so if, okay, so they tried to schedule people, you know how this goes. They had no luck, no one wanted to play them. And then other teams that were good last year, the year before, had down years. So what do you, you got to tell me that if they only lose one game, we got to put them in the tournament. Put them in the tournament, who cares? They had a great year. Yes. Reward them. Let them go play. Let them play on the court. Right? Didn't the football. Isn't that that Miami Florida and Notre Dame, aren't they like the last ones on the, on the fringe again? And they put Miami and they, they won the whole thing. I mean, let them play it on the court. They had a great year. Yeah. Their competition was low. I say I, but let them play all-bearing in a playing game on, on Tuesday, Wednesday. That would be fantastic. Wouldn't be bad. I would probably, I would probably make all-bearing about or four and a half. Okay. And now on neutral court. We're having this discussion and the Bruce Pearl thing.

43:49I'm with the Miami AD. I, who wants to see the 12th or 13th place team from a conference? Yeah, I know. But they do it all the time. They're committing loves these big schools. They make money. They're big names. Auburn. And, you know, you go down to the 19th in the, in the ACC. You know, you wake far. It's all trash. The teams that, that play good deserve it. Who cares who's in? But, you know, it's, it's not my call. Well, where the commission is on there? Oh, that's going to be some selection Sunday when we put out our, our pick. Oh, yeah, we're going to be pulling names out of a head. No, would you be disappointed if they expand? I really don't care. I mean, I don't, I don't care. I have no, there's no interest. There's no love for any of this. I like watching the games, but I much rather watch a Patriot game than an ACC game. Okay. Fair enough. Fair enough. You know, a little bit more pure. Let me give you this. Nill, Nill, you ever hear a Nill? Nill, Nill. And it's going to go away. Richie Bachelari, our guest, long time Vegas odds maker,

44:50loves his college hoops. So right now in the Missouri Valley, under 12 media time out, Drake leads Southern Illinois, 117 updated totals, 131 and a half. Down, now, nine and a half points from the closer. This is from Tim Kelly on X. He's been to several archmanist tournaments. It's less about shooting background and more about really tight rims. Squish it or forget it. Not bad. There you go. We've known that for years, right? I mean, would you say 10 in a row on this? Yeah. 17 and five last two years. I've been a ton of underserved going back to 2015. Meanwhile, they better over a post. Who can you, who's the best mid-major team with your ratings? The middies that could go a lead-8 or swing. Oh, I always imagine. What's the middle? What's the middle? It was too easy. Well, they're really in. They've 810. You don't want to count 810? Oh, I don't know. I mean, I guess mid-major. All right, they're mid-major. Did the Avilla kids great? I love them. I like VCU to win the conference. All right. That's the team that I like. Now they, they struggle against some of their games,

45:51you know, that means something for them to get in the tournament. I love them. I think they'd take that a great year. And I bet them a few times, and they're pretty good. So mid-major, I don't know. I've got to look down the list here. Don't say Utah State. VCU, well, there's a team that's struggling. Boy, the Rebels have their number or what? That kid on the Rebels is pretty good. Awesome. That score. It did get Mountain West. It's probably going to get stuck with one. I thought New Mexico might have a shot at it at large, but I don't know. I had Colorado State last night. I took nine. They were up 20 first score. I wish every game I bet where I took nine points. My team went up 20. Is there any way we could fix that? Is there any way we can work on that with the coaches? I love that. That'd be fun, huh? Yeah. By the way, are you going to have a piece of UNLV to win the Mountain West Conference tournament when that number is opened? No. They can't do it. The conference tournaments? No, I've made a few bets. But what do you have? I actually grabbed a high point minus $1.70.

46:55You know, I don't really make the, because you've got to go out and you've got to make all the games. It's just a waste of time for me to do that. But I started $1.70 and I might not, I didn't calculate the right price, but I know what the wrong price was. The buck 70 was just light. I heard Navy open light, too, but I didn't know that. $1.20? Yeah, I heard that. Oh, I heard that. Can I still bet that? I know, kidding. I have Miramax 3-1 in pocket. What do you think of that number? I think the conference is very close. Top the bottom and the ratings are like the first six to seven teams is like seven points. I actually made a bet there on Sacred Heart at 55 to 1. Now, Circa had 70, but I can't bet here. Right. But of course, Circa has better prices than most. But I took them, they're getting four, three and a half on Iona tonight. I actually had the game one. So that two-point difference really makes it look like to me that the tournament is very competitive. Miramax fantastic. They played five guys. They played Iona 250 minutes, two over times.

47:57Starters went to 32 of the 250 minutes. Can you believe it's four turnovers? That's a well-coached team. You're kidding. Wow. Four turnovers. That's an incredible step. It's a great place in 250 minutes of action. Yeah, Coach will probably leave. They've been, I mean, now this is the first year Miramax eligible. I'm going to write, yep, yep, for Joe Gallo or Gallo. Not Joe Gallo. He's dead. Joe Gallo's dead. We'll talk to Matallic in next week. Adam Burke, next outstanding college hoops previews at Veson.com. He has a great angle on a team in action tonight that did not qualify for their conference tournament. The Toyota Tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going, blending rugged muscle with precision engineering, all supported by Toyota's time-tested legacy of dependability. Step into a Tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available I-Force Max engine.

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