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Dustin Swedelson shares his best bets for Monday.
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The VSiN Daily: Morning Bets — VSiN Daily Morning Bets | March 9, 2026. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
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Visa Morning Beth segment in case you missed it earlier. We did share a couple of wind totals part of the core four. I went astros under 86 and a half winds. I went also braves under on their wind total of 86 and a half as well. My name is 87, 87 right here, 87 and a half on the braves. Two more I want to share from you. We're going to go lower with the wind totals. So the Minnesota twins under 72 and a half winds this year. They went 70 and 92 last year. You go to the VC and have them be betting guide. Adam Burke likes them under 73 and a half winds. Me and Burke have been very much in sync with these wind totals this year. They lost a few players, most notably Catcher Christian Vazquez, but made a bunch of additions as well. Josh Bell, Victor Karen, Teenie, but nothing that moves the needle. They lost their ace Pablo Lopez for the year and it's not just an ace. It's an ace of a small market team, which means a team that doesn't want to spend money has all of this salary allocated to a guy who's no longer going to be available. Takes up around $22 million for their payroll this year and it's not like they're
going to spend that somewhere else. Joe Ryan was a stud last year dealing with a back injury in spring training. But the question is, are they going to be contending enough where he's still on the team in the month of July? I don't know. David Festa, a prospect. I know our boss Steve Cohen was very high on about two years ago. He's dealing with a shoulder impingement. So now he got Bailey Ober who's not already not a hundred percent in spring coming off his worst year of his career. Debbie Matthews is a six ERA guy in 25 starts. I just don't like the arms losing Pablo Lopez as the anchor and there's a lot of questions up and down this rotation. Plus you factor in their two best players are never healthy. Buckston and Royce Lewis Lewis off a career high 106 games last year. Buckston 126. The most he's played in a few seasons. I just don't see it. The division's gotten better. The Tigers are one of the best teams in the American league. The royals look very good this year. The Guardians may be susceptible, but you know that they're creative in the front office with the pitching staff and the white socks aren't going to be pushovers. I think the twins end up being sellers midway through the year. That's why I like them under 72
and a half wins for our core four. And then finally, I'll keep this one simple. Nationals under 65 and a half wins. Adam Burke also agrees with me in the V Cinema Bebetting Guide. Jensen Lewis adds challenge for the worst record in baseball this year. Well, what's the worst record in baseball been the last few years? I went and looked. These are the two win outputs for the worst two records in baseball each year. 2025, the Rockies 43, the White Sox 60. In 2024, White Sox 41, Rocky 61, 2023, A's 50, Royals 56, 2022, the Nats 55, the A's 60, the Orioles in 2021 at 52 fall by the debacks with 52 as well. Well, the Nationals win total 65 and a half. If they're going to be one of the worst teams in baseball, I think they go land or this. We're talking in the 50s because they've got a new manager who Blake Beterra looks like he could be something one day, but he's 33 years old. He's the youngest manager in over 50 years. And outside of CJ Abrams and James Wood, it's a lot of questions in this lineup, which also means if they're losing late in the year,
they could potentially move CJ Abrams. They're going to try and build around James Wood, but then the problem becomes, why would you ever pitch to James Wood if he has no protection in this lineup? They're probably going to play a rookie Brady House at third base. They've got light hitting middle infielder Luis Garcia at first base. The rotation is headlined by Miles Michaelis, who wasn't good enough to start for the Cardinals, who I considered betting to the under as well here as part of the court for. You got to go under 65 and a half wins for the Nationals next season. In terms of some other bets we have looking at Monday's card, let's go to college basketball where we have a couple of conference championship games upon us, Ferman and East Tennessee State East Tennessee State's laying one and a half totals 139 and a half as ETSU swept the regular season 75 71 78 69. They're the they're a good offense. They're the better defense between the two 35th and effective field goal percentage for ETSU 36th from two 99 defending the three. I would lay the one and a half with ETSU in this game against Ferman. In the Sunbelt
final, this is wild man. So we've got Georgia Southern, the 10th seed making it against Troy. We're Troy's laying five and a half in this contest. Wow. So Georgia Southern, the 10th seed upsets Marshall on the way. And now they're in the championship with Troy who's been the favorite to win this league since it began. Troy 10th 110th and adjusted defensive efficiency 48th defending the three 46th and three points attempt on offense. But just 223rd in terms of percentage at 33.3% they beat Georgia Southern by five in the regular season. Do you want to fade a hot team in Georgia Southern that probably shouldn't be here and lay the five and a half with Troy or would you take Georgia Southern and say you know what they're on this magical ride on a neutral they have belief here. Man, I cannot believe Georgia Southern's work themselves into this game. Ken Palm has it as a five point game, which would mean to think about taking the five and a half with
Georgia Southern, who is a little bit better shooting it from three. They're a little bit better in terms of adjusted offensive efficiency. But instead, I would think about the over 152 and a half in this game. I have a feeling we may have a lot of points scored in that contest on Monday. So that's where we stand with the college basketball. In terms of the NBA, I did place a bunch of player props that we broke down earlier in the starting five. The first one being we're going to go with the over 26 and a half on the PRA for Quentin Grimes and the Philadelphia 76ers as Tyrese Maxxies out. They're going to Cleveland where the Cavaliers are laying 10 and a half totals to 27 and a half. But I like Grimes without Maxxie in the lineup and Vijay Edge come currently questionable dealing with a bad back. It could be a lot of usage for Grimes in this spot against Cleveland. Let's go over 26 and a half PRA at minus 127. We'll then look at Utah taking on Golden
State where we have a couple bets. Oddly enough, both on the jazz, which is always a really dangerous game we're playing here. Warriors laying four and a half on the road totals to 26 and a hook. But I want to look at Kyle Filipowski taking on this front court for Golden State. They allow the second most rebounds per game to opposing power forwards. I'm going to take Filipowski over 21 and a half points plus rebounds in this game. He's done very well in a short amount of minutes against the Warriors. Now he's going to get about 25 to 30 minutes. I can go potentially go over this very early. The other bet we're looking at is Kianta George over 31 and a half points rebounds and assists for this very game. Golden State's lost a lot defensively. Kianta George a huge usage rate for him with some of the guys who are out of the lineup for the jazz. I think he could really go up and down the court, put up a ton of numbers across the board against the Golden State Warriors. And then we're waiting on some other bets. Although I want to see if this is still available real quick. Oji Ananobi under 23 and a half PRA in the Knicks and Clippers. Is that
available? It believe it is here. We're going to go under that on Ananobi on a back-to-back. Ooh, it's dropped down to 22 and a half. I'll still bet it, but I liked it obviously better at 23 and a half on the under. Clippers allow the fewest points, third fewest rebounds to opposing power forwards. So you're listening to this podcast hoping to get an edge. But what if I told you you're only halfway there? You've got the mindset. But what if you had the tool kit to go with it? Because here's the thing. Pro-betters are shelling out thousands for access to sharp data and pro-level tools. And yeah, that's why they're pros. But we've leveled the playing field, giving you access to the same edge with Veecin Pro. Oh, and all for less than a unit you'll place on a Thursday night game in November. Just tap the link in the description and see why thousands of betters are already using Veecin Pro to cash more bets today. The Toyota Tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going, blending rugged muscle with precision engineering, all supported by Toyota's time-tested legacy of dependability. Step into a Tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available iForce Max engine. Tundra puts out impressive power,
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