VSiN Daily Morning Bets | March 17, 2026

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1:00DMV. We're going to go with Northern Iowa and St. John's on the under under in the first half of 61 and a half. That's a low number. Let's let's be fair. But I do think the Northern Iowa defense is going to be such a huge key for this game and the pace in which Northern Iowa plays with 319th in the nation. That is going to bring this game down to a snail's pace. And St. John's for that matter, they're not a great three point shooting team. They rely on the too much more here and because of that and their defense creating their offense and it's going to be difficult to do that with how slow that the Panthers are going to be playing. I like the first half under 61 and a half and they think about the correlation. The game totals 131. So we're not even close to half there. We need a little bit more four more points right four more points to be at the halfway mark. I still like the under. I'm going to go under in St. John's Northern Iowa first half under 61 and a half. The other game I bet and this is the one where I really may be getting

2:01duped or duped myself here. But does Cal Baptist have a chance to hang with Kansas at least for the first half? They're catching seven and a half and Cal Baptist offensively it's really nothing to write home about. It's a team that's 189th from three at 33.7% so not overwhelming there. They're a good offensive rebounding team. That is huge though. That could be a quick elixir at least in the first half as Kansas tries to adjust a J. Hawks team that we know the Darren Peterson situation. We know Bill's self is a great coach, but the numbers of covering in the NCAA tournament when he seated like this aren't great. We touched on them earlier in the show. I know there's a world with Cal Baptist who has a juco guard that is blowing people away when they look at what he's accomplished this year. The name is Dominic Daniels Jr. He is five foot ten. He is averaging 23 points per game. 44% from the field. 35 minutes of action. Could he be one of those guards from a small school? I think about CJ McCollum and Lehigh the way he carried them in an upset win against Duke.

3:05Maybe that's going a bit too far, but Cal Baptist at least covers seven and a half in the first half. When Kansas has a lot of questions coming into the dance, I'm going to take that shot. I'm going to take seven and a half with Cal Baptist and the Lancers in the NCAA tournament. By the way, they're the last team to ever make the big dance out of the whack, which is going away. So maybe they can go out with a bang for the WAC. All right, we do have playing games coming up here on Tuesday. Let's look at some of the matchups and the lines as of right now. The first one you got is Howard and UMBC. And this is an interesting match up to me just because these two teams are not that far from each other in the DMV. The retrievers of Baltimore County are one and a half point favorites. The total is 140 and a half. UMBC beat Wagner Morgan State Delaware State Bucknell. They lost the teams like Dayton, George Washington, Georgetown, Buffalo Army, South Florida this year. Howard on the other hand, they beat Nyagra. They beat Wilmington. They beat North Carolina, A&T. They lost to Missouri.

4:06They lost to Duke. Some of the trends for this one, Jim Ferry and UMBC. He's 2-0 against the spread, 2-0 to the over as a neutral or as a neutral favorite. Also on a neutral when the total is in the 140s, 2-0 against the spread, 2-0 to the over for him. For Howard, Kenny Blakeini, who has pretty good track record. 13 and 6 against the spread on neutrals when the total is in the 140s. He's 11 and 3 against the spread as a neutral dog, 8-0 covering the number as a neutral dog of 6 or less. He is though 0 and 2 covering in the NCAA turn, turning 2-0 to the over. If I was doing anything here, I would lean over 40 and a half, but I'm going to stay away from that game altogether. Instead, my official play is going to be on the other game, the 11 seats, NC State and Texas. Winter will take on BYU and I think the winner of this game will beat BYU straight up. The Wolf Pack of NC State led by Will Wade, some rumors that he may be interested in some other jobs like LSU going back there, but the Wolf Pack lane 1 and a half. Total is 1-58 in a hook.

5:09Kind of shocked that this totals dropping, because everything says over. Every single thing says over. One, you got a team in North Carolina that's 20th and adjusted offensive efficiency. Texas in their own right is 13th. You have a team in the Wolf Pack shooting 38.8% beyond the arc that's 10th in the nation. Texas solid at 126th at 34.9%. NC State is a 57th in average possession length. They like to play at a faster pace. And then all the betting trends would tell you the overs to play, but this total open 162 and a half, it's down to 158. I love the over 158. I believe I bet over 159 and a half. Will Wade, 21 and 12 to the over this year, 16 and 10 to the over as a favorite, 4 and 0 to the over when the line is plus 3 to minus 3. Meaning his games are going over when the spread tells you it should be a close contest. He's 4 and 2 to the over on a neutral. Then see state 4 and 0 to the over in March. 4 and 1 to the over in tournament games. Overall is Will Wade. Sean Miller, 20 and 12 to the over this season with

6:09Texas. 8 and 5 against spread. 8 and 5 to the over as a dog. 11 and 6 to the over when the totals in the 150s. 3 and 1 to the over in tournament play. I like the over. Give me over 158 right now in NC State and Texas. We do have a couple of NIT games going down and they jumped out to me, spoke to me when I saw the spread. Josh Passner for UNLV has been making the rounds. He's talking about recruiting. What he needs to do, putting his face out there, trying to get more money, get more people invested in the run reps. Will Wade to do that would be to go to the NIT and take care of business as a three point underdog against Irvine on the road. This numbers down to two and a half totals 152 and a half. But looking at Josh Passner with UNLV, he's three and one covering the number in the month of March. He has improved as the season has gone on. I would point out that he's one and four covering in his career in tournament play. 4 and 1 to the under in turn. He play on the other side, Russell Turner, just three and six covering in NIT action. No offense for

7:09Irvine. 255th and adjusted offensive efficiency. Really strong defense at 26th and adjusted defensive efficiency. I just think UNLV is more balanced. They should have more athletes. I'm going to take the three with UNLV in this spot against Irvine. I'm also on another dog in the NIT. Give me liberty or give me death. Seth Thomas Jefferson. I don't know. A George Mason. By the way, how about that? Taking on George Mason. We got all sorts of political implications with the founding fathers. George Mason's father, right? Yeah, I think he is. Pretty sure he is. He's not George Washington. I'm not confusing him with him. But George Mason, pretty sure he is. Anyway, laying five and a half, total 144 and a half. I like liberty catching the five in a hook. They were the one seeding conference USA. They got punked in their own tournament. They don't want to end the season with a bad taste in their mouth. The only issue I have here. And I haven't been able to find any evidence of this. But is there a world where the number is so big at five and a half because liberty is losing key players in the transfer portal before this NIT game? I haven't seen any substantial evidence of that. I haven't seen any rumors of that. But that

8:11would be my only thought why the spread is so high. Richie McKay, 37 and 31 covering in tournament play. He's seven and four in postseason play against the spread, four and two against the spread in the first round when he's in a tournament. This is a liberty team. Sixth in the nation from three at 39.2%. They're fifth from two at 60.8%. Give me liberty in this spot catching the five and a hook against George Mason. Let me get your attention real quick podcast listeners. It's March, which means the madness is officially upon us and the folks at Vison have really gone crazy with this one. I'm being told for just $29.99. You can get unlimited access to Vison Pro through May first. I'm talking picks through the tournament. Public betting data for every single game plus sharp tools, projections, articles and more. But here's the thing. There's already a ton up on the site for champ week, which means every day you wait is an opportunity missed. Just click the link in the description to get started. It's March baby. All right. Now back to the show. The average cost of a D wine Virginia is $11,352 and 47 cents. Drinking and driving costs more

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