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Dustin Swedelson shares his best bets for the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN pro. Grab the Hoops Special for only $29.99 or take 17% off an annual subscription when you use promo code: POD26. Click https://www.vsin.com/subscribe?tpcc=daily-morning-bets&utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=simplecast&utm_campaign=daily_morning_bets to get started.
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The VSiN Daily: Morning Bets — VSiN Daily Morning Bets | March 16, 2026. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
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do you why finds? Not to mention the damage to your social life. Plan a sober ride or pay the price. Drinking and driving costs more than your drinks. It could cost a life. Learn more at what'sthedamage.org. Brought to you by Virginia DMV. Nebraska started 20 and 0 but they've never won a tournament game. They have not looked the same since then. And Troy's a battle tested squad. They went on the road to USC, took the Trojans to overtime early in the year. They beat San Diego State. They have some pretty solid wins and they won the sun belt like they were supposed to as the favorite because of that. I think Troy gets it done. They cover the 14 against Nebraska in the opening round. Another dog that I like is VCU. And I took three as soon as I shot up to that against North Carolina in a 6 verse 11 matchup. VCU wouldn't have gotten into the dance. Had they not won the A10? The committee came out and said that earlier because of that. I kind of like the free roll mentality for the Rams here. They're pretty good man. They have some depth of scoring.
They've got guys who can fill it up beyond the arc. 36.7% from three for them. And North Carolina without Caleb Wilson. I don't know what they are and who they turn to. In times of trouble against a team in VCU that is going to try and make them run. I'm not sure North Carolina wants to do that. I think VCU is very alive to win outright. I'll take the plus three against North Carolina with VCU. Akron plus the eight. I love them in this spot. No top rebounder for Texas tech and top. And as I mentioned before, and Akron is one of the best teams shooting the ball from three. On the season, their eighth and effective fuel goal percentage. And from three, Akron is 14th at 38.5%. They have a couple transfers from Ohio State. They give them a lot of depth and their lineup. But every single one of them can shoot it beyond the arc. And because of that, that makes them a very dangerous matchup for Texas tech, who also has Christian Anderson, their stud point guard, dealing with an injury coming out of the big 12 tournament. And then finally, this is probably the trendiest of trendy dogs that I have
taken. But I'm going to stick with Santa Clara and Herb Sendeck. I've been on this team a bunch of times during the season. And I think it's the best team that Herb Sendeck has had. And he's a really good coach. And I think for Kentucky, there may be a sleepwalking approach for them coming at some point, because the season has not gone the way that they wanted it to go. And Santa Clara is another team that can fill it up beyond the arc pretty well. They shoot a lot of threes. They play at a really good efficiency offensively. And they're really good on the other end of the floor as well. I think that Santa Clara, first time in the tournament in 30 years, they capitalize on the moment. And they take advantage and take down Kentucky. Some other games that I also bet earlier today in terms of totals, we're going to go to the playing game. NC State and Texas. So that one, the total is a little bit lower than I anticipated. So I'm going to be on the over here of 159 and a half. And I, this time of year, I don't love overs. I do like defense, despite all the underdogs that I referenced in the three point shooting just
now. Um, but in this match with NC State and Texas, I kind of don't understand the total being what it is. You've got two teams that can score. Texas on the season 13th and adjusted offense. And they can shoot the two as well as any 155% 126 beyond the arc. And then NC State 10th in the nation beyond the arc 20th and adjusted offensive efficiency 57th in possession length. I think NC State controls the style of this fight forces Texas to be in a high tempo affair. I think we go over the 159 and a half. That number seems a little bit low to me. So I'm on the over as far as that is concerned. I'm on and under in Iowa and Clemson. This is going to be a very ugly game because Clemson doesn't have the offense that it normally has. Let's, let's be fair about this version of Brad Brown now squad. They don't have the shooting that they normally have on the perimeter. And on the other side of this one, you've got a team in Iowa that wants to play in a very condensed low possession game. They don't have a ton of shooters outside of Bennett Sturts.
Sturts is the straw that stirs this drink for the Hawkeyes. I went under 131 and a half with Iowa and Clemson because it's going to be a slow pace. There's not going to be a lot of threes, even though Clemson did shoot three pretty well in the ACC tournament. And because of that, we're going to go under 133 and a half. I think teams are like in the low to mid 60s. I don't think we're going to get over 131 and a half in this one. And I believe that'll do it for all of my plays in the opening round. So far, the NCAA tournament. Let me get your attention real quick podcast listeners. It's March, which means the madness is officially upon us. And the folks at Vison have really gone crazy with this one. I'm being told for just $29.99. You can get unlimited access to Vison Pro through May 1st. I'm talking picks through the tournament, public betting data for every single game plus sharp tools, projections, articles and more. But here's the thing. There's already a ton up on the site for champ week, which means every day you wait is an opportunity missed. Just click the link in the description to get started. It's March, baby.
All right. Now back to the show. The Toyota Tundra and Tacoma are built to keep going, blending rugged muscle with precision engineering all supported by Toyota's time-tested legacy of dependability. Step into a Tundra and feel the unyielding capability with the available iForce Max engine. Tundra puts out impressive power torque and towing performance and the roomy high-tech cabin keeps you connected on the go. Or take a look at Tacoma made for drivers who push past the path agile, tough and relentless with available features like crawl control, portable JBL speaker, a power lift gate, so gear goes in fast and the adventure keeps moving. The Tacoma and Tundra are engineered to endure season after season, mile after mile. So drive one home today, visit toyota.com or stop by your local Toyota dealer to find out more Toyota. Let's go places. The average cost of a DeWine Virginia is $11,352 and 47 cents. Drinking and driving costs more than your drinks. Learn more at what'sthedamage.org.
Brought to you by Virginia DMV.
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