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VSiN Daily Morning Bets | April 2, 2026

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Dustin Swedelson gives his best bets for Thursday.

 

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VSiN Daily Morning Bets | April 2, 2026

The VSiN Daily: Morning Bets

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The VSiN Daily: Morning BetsVSiN Daily Morning Bets | April 2, 2026. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

just a short three game slate and major league baseball doesn't mean we can't find opportunities to bet on here. And in fact, let me go look. Beeson.com slash MLB props are new opt AI player prop projections as you can look ahead to the next day's card. And right now their number one edge in terms of pitching props is Ronaldo Lopez taking on the Arizona diamond backs Atlanta going on the road to the West Coast and they like him to go over his four and a half strikeouts at plus one twenty seven. Wow, they have met a twenty two point nine percent edge to the over at Beeson.com slash MLB props in terms of hitting. Let me isolate this to a total basis because I like that you can toggle between the hits, homeruns, doubles, total bases, hits runs and RBI's. And you can see what the biggest edges and best bets are from up to AI. I'm going to look at the overs. And right now they're targeting a lot of Arizona hitters actually against Atlanta and the aforementioned Ronaldo Lopez could tell Marta's the biggest edge at 9.8%

they they like him to go over his one and a half line for total bases. And their projection is one point nine. Oh, they also like Corbin Carol in the matchup. They like Alex Thomas to go over Jose for Nandez who made his debut for them. So that would go with why, you know, the guess we just had on Kevin Miseras on from action network. Part of the reason why he also likes Arizona at around even money to win the game outright against the bravo's there. I lean in that direction. I don't really trust Ryan Nelson as much as everyone else. I probably shouldn't hold it against him that Ryan Nelson's first start of the year was against the Los Angeles Dodgers and did not go well for him. And also he wasn't very good on the road last year, but he was much better at home. This game's going to be played at home for Ryan Nelson against the Atlanta brave. So right now I don't have an official play in that game, but we may add something from a player prop perspective with Nelson and Ronaldo Lopez. Let's go to Minnesota and Kansas City. We're Taj Bradley. Really good numbers in his career. Taking on the Kansas City Royal. So you go

back a few starts from three starts. Very, very good for Taj Bradley here. As I look from my notes, 18.2 innings, a one-on-one record, but a point nine six ERA 12 strikeouts and a point eight oh four whip. That's tremendous. Cole Reagan's on the other side. This is a guy that I bet for Saiyong, a guy that I am very high on this year, who did not get off to a good start this season. So opening day against the bravos for ending six hits, three earned runs, four earned runs, five strikeouts, four walks, three home runs allowed for him. But in his career, very good against Minnesota, six starts, a one eight five ERA, 44 punchouts and 34 innings, and a one point one one eight whip for the South Paw in Cole Reagan's. Instead of backing them at a minus one fifty five price, I don't want to do that. I took Cole Reagan's to go over his K prop. It was six and a half. And we did pay a little bit of juice here. It was six and a half at minus one thirty seven. I just think he mows them

down. And then you factor in Kaufman Stadium. I think there's going to be an element in the back of his head. A guy who has overpowering stuff that he has to avoid contact. And when he's looking for an outpitch, he's looking to strike dudes out, not look to put it in play and get a ground ball or fly out. Because the way that ballpark is playing, the ball could potentially fly out on a fly ball that someone just gets a good bit of. So because that I'm going to go Cole Reagan's over on his K prop of six and a half strikeouts against Minnesota. I'm also going to back the met's minus one twenty five. This might be full hearty. The under seven or the first five under might make sense as well. Just because San Francisco is not hitting, I don't trust the match traveling. They weren't great against lefties last year. Robbie Ray is a really good pitcher, man. I think he's a bit underrated by most people standards. And he was good against the Yankees who are definitely a more formidable offense than the than the New York Mets are this year. Robbie Ray's first start, five and a third, two hits or five hits, two earned runs, four strikeouts and no walks and taken on a Mets team that I don't

know if they're really built for the travel situation here. Now David Peterson, it's tough to back him. I understand based on the way the second half played out. But I think he was a guy who was dealing with a dead arm late in the year, throwing a lot of innings and being catapulted into almost an ace-like role when he's not supposed to be that guy for the Mets. He had a bad second half with a six three four ERA, but he had a three oh six ERA in the first half. San Francisco is abysmal against lefties, at least they were a year ago, 30th in average, 30th in OPS. And right now their offense is struggling. Outside of one game this year where they scored nine runs, they've been held at bay by every single pitcher they faced because it's going to be low scoring. I do like the Mets to be able to score more runs than the giants here. So give me that minus one 25 on the money line against San Francisco. We have a couple games going down and the college basketball crown here in Las Vegas. I have one official play, one official lean. I don't know why I called it an official lean. If it's a lean, it's not actually a bet. But that's what people do. And I just kind of fell into the peer pressure there.

So the game where I have a lean is I like West Virginia, even money on the money line. If you want to take plus one and a half against Stanford, but Stanford one four five to end their season. However, the loss at the end is really glaring to me. Maybe this is a get right for them. Maybe they get to prove us all wrong and show us that the ACC's better than the people believe that they are from the outside looking in. But they lost in the first round of the ACC tournament with a lot on the line as they were a bubble team against pit. Pit is not good. Okay. They've got to core your averages 23 points per game. He's a freshman. He's a stud. I wonder if he'll be on Stanford next year. They've got a few other seniors in their starting lineup, including a transfer from Wazoo and a couple of other guys who can shoot the ball well from three. But I think context matters here. And I think a lot of the numbers for West Virginia lead me to them because they played in a tougher league. They're a bit more battle tested playing in the big 12 this season. Then Stanford is in the ACC. And I also, I think Stanford benefits at times from people coming to their building and having just travel to the West coast.

West Virginia's lead by Huff 16 points per game, a senior transfer from Chattanooga, Lorian, a senior transfer, spent time at North Texas and FAU is an 11 and five guy chance more a senior from St. Bonnaventure, averages, double digit points per game. I just think West Virginia's defense could really limit the Stanford offense and force the Cardinal to play their style of fight. So I lean West Virginia on the money line as a dog again, Stanford. The other game we have is Rutgers and creating about to go at it as hard as they can on a Thursday. Creighton's lane for total in the game is 151. I lean under. That feels like a lot of points for these two teams, but I like Creighton. I'll lay the four here. I have something Rutgers has a ton of offense for them. And Creighton's led by Josh Dix and Iowa transfer 13 points per game, a senior Anthony Schwartz, a transfer from Miami shooting 38% beyond the arc. They've got Nick Graves, a Charlotte transfer 10 points per game. They have a little bit more depth in the offense. And Creighton, the one concern you have is they allow the fourth most free throw attempts per

game, but I really trust Rutgers offensively. They're 297th from three. And Creighton is pretty serviceable, shooting the three ball and McDermott is retiring at the end of the season. I believe the blue jays want to send him off into the sunset with positive vibes going out of winter and potentially winning the college basketball crown here in Las Vegas. So that is where we stand with the college basketball with the major league baseball. How about the NBA? How about it? Oh, it's so much fun this time of year. So a couple plays I've added to the card here. Let's go to the Oklahoma City Thunder as they have a really intriguing matchup with the Red Hot Lakers who, I mean, Luka Donches playing out of his mind. Okay, he's laying nine and a half this games at home, 227 and a half is the total. I'm going to go with SGA over six and a half assists in this game. He's gone over this number the last couple of times he's faced the Lakers, but more importantly, the Lakers allow the most assists per game. They're tied with two other teams to opposing point guards. And I

anticipated being a high scoring game just because the Lakers offense and the fact that they play no defense means a lot of possessions, which means more opportunities for him to set up his teammates over six and a half assists for SGA against the Lakers. And I'm trying to find some unders here. There's not a ton available right now in the market. But one that jumped out to me, we're going to go under on Rudy Go Bear, 23 and a half points rebounds and assists as Minnesota goes to Detroit. Jalen Durin, I believe is going to play in this game, at least his player props are up. So that leads me to believe that the choice of three and a half point favorite, the total is two 24 and a half. And I think that that front court and the physicality and a low scoring game with Detroit at home, that will lead to less involvement offensively for Go Bear. And because of that, I'm going to go under 23 and a half PRA as far as he is concerned for Thursday's action in the association. Let me get your attention real quick podcast listeners. It's March, which means the madness is officially upon us. And the folks at Visa have really gone crazy with this one. I'm being told for just $29.99. You can get unlimited

access to Visa and Pro through May 1st. I'm talking picks through the tournament, public betting data for every single game, plus sharp tools, projections, articles and more, which means every day you wait is an opportunity missed. Just click the link in the description to get started. It's March, baby. All right. Now back to the show.

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