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Underdog Wednesday: Needing the Highest Scoring Player at QB & TE in a Given Week to Win, What That Means and More... (BB+ | Episode 41 w/Hilow)

One Week Season

About this episode

NEW  WEEKLY WINNERS FORMAT

-Weekly Winners

-261,000 entries

-$15, 150-max

-$20,000 top prize per week

-min cash of $10 for top 1,001-7,315 (0.38%-2.8%)

-47% chance to min cash at least once


THEORY

-In a contest with 261,000 entries, likely going to need the highest scoring player at QB and TE in a given week to win.

-QB/TE stacks

-Week 1: Mahomes/Kelce *

-Week 2: Lamar Jackson/Mark Andrews *

-Week 3: Lamar Jackson/Mark Andrews *

-Week 4: Jared Goff/TJ Hockenson *

-Week 5: Josh Allen/Taysom Hill

-Week 6: Joe Burrow/Mike Gesicki (2 TD)

-Week 7: Joe Burrow/George Kittle

-Week 8: Tua/Ty Conklin (2 TD)

-Week 9: Fields/Goedert (Kmet 2nd)

-Week 10: Fields/Kmet *

-Week 11: Joe Burrow/Travis Kelce

-Week 12: Josh Allen/Dalton Schultz (2 TD)

-Week 13: Jalen Hurts/Taysom Hill

-Week 14: Trevor Lawrence/Evan Engram*

-Week 15: Jalen Hurts/George Kittle

-Week 16: Dak/Hockenson

-Week 17: Tom Brady/Dalton Schultz

-6/17 QB/TE stack was optimal

-12/17 optimal QB was on of top 5 QBs being drafted

-Only Burrow was optimal more than twice (3)


WIDE RECEIVERS

-Adams x3, CeeDee x2, Chase x2, Mike Evans x2, Justin Jefferson x2 (top 3 an astonishing 7 times)


RUNNING BACKS

-Josh Jacobs x3, Austin Ekeler x2, Jerick McKinnon x2


THEORETICAL OPTIMAL

-1/3/13/1

-Theoretically optimal to align bye weeks at RB


PRACTICAL

-3/3/9/3

-NEED optimal QB and TE, but we know generally where those are coming from at a high rate and we know stacking QB with TE increases hit rate

-Tier 1 WR above all else in this format

-More leeway with RBs

-Very clear blueprint to attack these contests

-Round 1/2 WR, elite QB paired with his TE, middle round boom WRs (Lockett, Bateman, Gabe Davis, Kadarius Toney, Mike Evans), mix in middle-late round, variant RBs with round 3-5 RBs

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Underdog Wednesday: Needing the Highest Scoring Player at QB & TE in a Given Week to Win, What That Means and More... (BB+ | Episode 41 w/Hilow)

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