The Long Game_ Is American Decline Inevitable

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Imagine a race where one runner is sprinting as fast as they can, while the other decides to just sit on the sidelines, waiting for their opponent to trip. That is essentially the prevailing logic in Beijing these days. There is a deeply ingrained belief in Chinese strategic circles that they do not actually need to defeat the United States in a direct confrontation. They simply need to wait. The narrative is simple: the West is in a state of terminal, structural decay. When Chinese analysts look at the American landscape, they see political polarization, social instability, and a fraying social fabric. To them, the U.S. is a power that has peaked and is now caught in a cycle of internal chaos that will inevitably erode its global influence. This creates a powerful ideological mantra that the East is rising while the West is declining. But is this just a political fairy tale, or is there some truth to it? For over two centuries, the core of American grand strategy has been to prevent any single rival from dominating the key regions of Europe or Asia. It is a doctrine that has guided everything from the Monroe Doctrine to the containment strategies of the Cold Wa


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