The Legacy on the Line

0:00This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human Support for the show comes from public, the investing platform for those who take it seriously. On public, you can build a multi-asset portfolio of stock, bonds, options, crypto, and now generated assets which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index with AI. It all starts with your prompt, from renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers growing revenue over 20% year over year. You can literally type any prompt and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one-of-a-kind index, and lets you backtests it against the S&P 500. Then, you can invest in a few clicks. Generated assets are like ETFs with infinite possibilities, completely customizable and based on your thesis, not someone else's. Go to public.com slash podcast and earn an uncapped 1% bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash podcast, paid for by public investing, brokerage services by open to the public investing ink, member Finra and SIPC. Advisory services by public advisors LLC, SEC registered advisor. Generated assets is an interactive analysis tool. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice.

1:02Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures. Imagine if your Wi-Fi was a lot smarter and way more reliable. Picture it. Your TV, phone, laptop, even your fancy fridge working together to make life easier. Well, Exfinity makes that dream a reality. Ice is so insane you'd think they're telepathic. Wi-Fi that knows when your device needs a boost, the best equipment to stream or games at once with multi-view or stream your favorite podcast on iHeartRadio. That's the magic of Exfinity. It's seamlessly in tune with you. Exfinity. Imagine that. Restrictions apply. From coast to coast, unlock adventure at Red Lion Hotels by Sinesta, where restful sleep, friendly service and local knowledge await. So for business or pleasure, spend less and make more of every trip. When you sign up for Sinesta Travel Pass, you'll get our best rates instantly. Go to Sinesta.com to book your stay and unlock our best rates with Sinesta Travel Pass. Here today, Rome tomorrow. Join now at Sinesta.com, Terms and Conditions Apply.

2:05Premier Protein. It's for getting after life, not just fitness, with 30 grams of protein, 160 calories and no sugar added. Having people fuel their joyful lives. With Premier Protein, you can say yes to more, whether it's crushing a big presentation at work, building an epic fort with the kids, or hitting the hiking trail with friends. Premier Protein offers delicious flavors like cafe latte, chocolate, caramel vanilla, strawberry and cake batter to name a few. Find your favorite flavor at premierprotein.com. Magnesium Supplements? You've mastered that. Now take it to the next level. Upgrade to solar ray magnesium glycinate from the number one magnesium brand and health food stores. With a 50-year legacy of quality and trust, solar ray triple tests every raw ingredient for identity, purity, and potency. The result? Expertly-key-related magnesium for powerful muscle, bone and relaxation support that fits your daily stack. Shop solar ray magnesium glycinate on Amazon or solarray.com. These days, I'm not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. These products are not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease.

3:12Broadcast Center? Yeah, Armstrong. And Joe Getty. I'm Strong and Getty. And now, he is Armstrong and Getty. What we should note is the reality on the ground, and that is that Iran still has the ability to launch missiles and drones at Israel and Gulf countries. And I spoke with a senior Israeli military official a few days ago who indicated the incoming ballistic missile fire toward Israel is expected to last for a few more weeks. And so this is not anywhere close to over. And Iran showed yesterday by targeting the energy infrastructure in the Gulf that they are willing to escalate this conflict and target countries that have not previously targeted them. That's right, Inc. The Fox saying this is not anywhere close to over. Yeah, and that's a little surprising to me. So we and Israel have pounded the crap out of Iran now for two and a half weeks.

4:13And they still had plenty of power left to attack that gas field in Qatar yesterday, for instance. Right. Right. And I find myself uneasy partly because, as usual, I have complaints about Donald J in the way he communicates that back and forth, we're about over. It's about done any minute now. And then, you know, the next day or 10 minutes later, it's well, there's a lot still to be done. This is going to take some time. So I have no idea what the plan was. Maybe this is precisely the plan. Oh, yeah, it's going to be at least six weeks of extensive bombing. And we expect it for tax and all or this is all a surprise. I'm not sure. This is precisely the plan applies to any war in the history of war once you're a couple of weeks in because fair points, the whole everybody's got a plan until they get punched in the face. This scenario, it seems to be true about war. Who's calling the shots though? Who's fed? Okay, time for us to attack the gas fields. Who made that call?

5:13Trainings reports on the who's in charge part of this? We don't know who is in charge of Iran right now. We've not yet seen any proof of life from Moussabah Khamenei, the current supreme leader of Iran. Last night through state media, he reportedly released a statement calling for the avenging of the death of Ali Larajani, the top official who was killed just about 48 hours ago. But we are seeing a concerted effort by the Israelis and the Americans to take out remains of the leadership structure there, not just Larajani, but also yesterday we reported the intelligence minister of Iran and also a top besiege commander. We expect these types of strikes to continue, but the Iranians are filling the shoes of these leaders and they are still firing on a variety of different locations across the Middle East. Some like an Iranian general or a Republican guard guy and I hear you need to take vengeance again in the name of Larajani and I'm thinking we're already at war with everything we've got. We've attacked all our neighbors were sending drones like everywhere they can. What would that look like exactly, Mr. Ayatollah?

6:19I'm just a workshopping here. I don't cut my head off, but man, when you say don't cut my head off in Iran, you mean it. So, but it's so interesting to know how much communication do they have? Did word get around? Are there people in charge of what, I'm in charge of this militia, you're in charge of the Republican guard, you're in charge of the, I don't know, the Mullah's secret defense force or whatever. There's like so many different entities and did somebody here yesterday, we attacked the gas field? What? Whose idea was that? I mean, almost certainly, is that the way it's going down? Who's I? Who made that decision? I don't know. So, we're not trying to line up support in the region now, we're trying to alienate everybody. Yeah. Yeah. Well, I'm told that the military and the Republican guard has gone to a much more decentralized command structure because it has to. You got no choice as to what Pete Hegsett said a couple hours ago.

7:20The last job anyone in the world wants right now? Senior leader for the IRGC or Beseech, temp jobs, all of them. And to borrow a page from Admiral Ernest King in World War II, we've decided to share the ocean with Iran. We've given them the bottom half. We've damaged our sunk over 120 of their Navy ships with battle damage assessments pending for many more. Man, that's some vintage wise assery there, that line from WWII. That's great. I don't know. I don't know what I think. Sometimes I like the wise assery. Sometimes I don't. I don't know. We're sharing the ocean with them. We'll give them the bottom half. That's hilarious. Although I was thinking as I listen to Secretary Pete, who in a lot of ways I think is doing a bang up job, but if this were a movie and he was a character in it, I'd be like, you should have gotten a better eye actor. This guy's just, there's no subtlety to this performance, you know.

8:22All he's got is I'm a fast-talking hard ass. So yesterday was the biggest escalation of the war since it's began. Iran attacked the world's largest oil field, which is partially in their country. In Qatar, Qatar attacked, or Israel first attacked the largest oil field in Iran, then Iran attacked the world's largest oil field that they share in Qatar. And so it's all on there. So Pete Hegseth said this. Today we've struck over 7,000 targets across Iran and its military infrastructure. That is not incremental. That is overwhelming force applied with precision. And again, today will be the largest strike package yet, just like yesterday was. As I've said from day one, our capabilities continue to build. Iran's continued to degrade. We're hunting and striking death and destruction from above. Well, that's interesting. It's going to be the biggest strike package so far in the war.

9:24And it increases every day. And Iran still has the ability to, you know, work their mayhem like they did yesterday. Right. So what happens now is reading from Mark Halpern's newsletter. He's talking to lots of people inside the Pentagon and inside the White House, what the plans are mentioned earlier. The Pentagon is reportedly preparing to request another $200 billion for the effort. And that's where Congress could get involved. Obviously, if they wanted to slow this down by not allowing that or having some serious debate about it, we'll see if that happens or not. Among the options now being debated, according to Halpern's sources, are the seizure of Carg Island. That's a strategic nerve center for Iran's oil exports. There's also the prospect of deploying ground forces along segments of the Iranian coast to secure freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. It is a scenario that would make naval historians not grimly, Mark Halpern writes, yeah.

10:27So we've got 2,500 Marines that are going to be there like today or tomorrow. And we're sending another 2,500 Marines they announced today for a total of 5,000. If you had announced at the beginning of the war, we're going to have 5,000 or who knows how many thousand Marines on the ground securing the Strait of Hormuz. I don't know how that would have pulled. On that topic and I found this very interesting, the latest deployment is the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, a rapid response force of about 2,200 Marines to the Middle East. The U.S. could use the unit to seize one or more of the islands off the southern coast of Iran to use it as leverage or as a base to counter Iranian attacks on commercial shipping in short to help secure the Strait. The unit is slated to arrive in the Middle East from Japan in just over a week. It's amazing how slowly things move when you're moving this much gear. But here's the really interesting part. A Marine Expeditionary Unit is a self-sustained unit that operates off ships using them as a mobile base. It is composed of 4 elements, a ground combat unit of Marine Infantry equipped with armored

11:30vehicles and artillery. I think we all kind of pictured that when we heard, you know, 2,200, 2,500 Marines. Also an aviation unit of MV-22 Osprey tilt rotor aircraft, helicopters, and jet fighters such as the F-35B, a command team that coordinates the unit's movement and a logistics battalion that provides essential support, supply, and equipment maintenance, it specializes in conducting raids by sea and by air. So when you hear that the Marine Expeditionary Unit is 2,200 Marines, it's a hell of a lot more than that. It is a coordinated attack juggernaut. And now we're going to have two of those it would seem that are going to be there. Yeah, that is really something. The other proposal being advanced by Richard Haas, who's always on MSNBC, used to run some foreign policy think tank. This is an interesting idea. It involves constructing an international coalition to effectively shut down the straight to Iranian traffic.

12:31So rather than put in forces to try to open it up for everybody else, shut it down so the Iranians can't get their ships out of there because as Wall Street Journal, and we've repeated it over and over, Iran's actually exporting more oil than they did before the war. But it'd be a lot easier to stop that probably than it would be to open it up. So okay, now you can't get any through. So what do you want to do? Yeah. That's not a bad plan. No, no, unless they are at the true caged beast point and are not caged, but a cornered beast point in the war. And then they're like, we don't have the people in infrastructure left it, cash the checks we're getting for the oil. This is complete chaos. And then you'll see them in their death rows and what that looks like could be ugly. And the other thing they don't have a nuke. No kidding. And the other thing being bandied about in the White House and depending on apparently is the possibility of just expanding the scope of the U.S. Israeli strikes. More targets, more drones, more missiles, and the strategic objective shifting significantly toward regime change, which has just kind of been all along.

13:35Find if the regime changes. If you just get a like a more reasonable mullet in charge who stops trying to get a nuclear weapon, we'd be fine with that. Maybe we move toward not they got to go. Which might be where we end up if they continue to fight like this. Although, again, it gets back to the original question of who's in charge. The mullets might not have anything to do with what's going on right now. I would love to know the level of chaos. I mean, it's got to be pretty high. I would think so. And then just one more thing to look forward to, quote unquote. One topic that hasn't got a lot of discussion yet is at some point we, somebody needs to seize or destroy the highly refined nuclear material that everybody believes is stored deep under a mountain in Isfahan that would as described by the wall, I'm sorry, by the New York Times, it would by any measure be one of the boldest and riskiest to military operations in modern American history, far more complex and dangerous than the effort to kill. Some have been logged in in 2011 or seized Nicholas Maduro from his bed in early January.

14:39Nobody's certain where all the fuel is. If the canisters holding it are pierced, the escaping gas would be both toxic and radioactive. The canisters come too close together. Where is the risk of an accelerating nuclear reaction? Wow. That's a big thing. I know nothing about the physics of that. I can only assume that's accurate and not good. I can only assume that's not good. Throught as they say. And then at what point do gas prices, natural gas prices like really get people's attention like it's the only thing people are talking about? Like if we end up with, I'd say $10. And Catlett, are we talking about the rest of the country or California because we live with $5 gas regularly in California? That would be extraordinarily shocking for much of the country to have $5 gas. Yeah, particularly given the fact that the rest of the country has lower wages mostly than your higher cost to coastal states. But I think that's the most likely scenario that I see happening is we have gas prices

15:43that is like the only topic in the country for a while. I don't know what kind of political pressure that causes. Honestly, I would be shocked to avoid that. Right. Shocked if we can avoid that. A final note, one of my friends texted, I shared this with Jack off the air that, hey, great to see my 401k get murdered by stuff happening 9,000 miles away. I really don't give an S about. And I assured him, oh, this little tiffle, be over in the matter of days and then wealth for everyone. Yeah, I was, I was kind of kidding. It could be a while. The markets are concerned, you know, you know, I'm sorry, this analysis is so obvious and everybody's saying it, but I feel like I have to, Donald J is 100% got his legacy on the line right now. Oh, I'd say this, this very well could be the sentence, the first sentence in his biography obituary, however you want to look at it, yep, this whole oran thing, wow, a lot more

16:46on the way. Stay here. Art is strong and get it. Texting privacy policy in terms of conditions posted at texting terms.us, texting roles you for occurring on a bit of text marketing. That's just message. It may apply or play. Stopped out. Is it ISSA online for details? Tired of the 9 to 5 grind, looking for something different that's flexible, fulfilling and pays well, how do you like to get paid to work out? Now you can, with ISSA, the global leader in personal fitness certification. There's a huge demand for certified personal trainers right now and once you get ISSA certified they guarantee you'll get a job. Trainers can make as much as $100 an hour. Yes, I said $100 an hour and with ISSA you can be certified in as little as six weeks. You do everything at your own pace and 100% online. Pursue your passion in specializations like yoga, nutrition or strength training. Get certified and live your life on your terms. Work at a gym, start your own business or a side hustle, whatever works for you. Just don't wait. Get your free personal training evaluation kit today. Get certified in as little as six weeks and ISSA guarantees you'll get a job.

17:48Text train to 323232. Text train to 323232. Train to 323232. Support for the show comes from public. The investing platform for those who take it seriously. On public you can build a multi-asset portfolio of stock, bonds, options, crypto and now generated assets which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index with AI. It all starts with your prompt. From renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers growing revenue over 20% year over year, you can literally type any prompt and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one-of-a-kind index and lets you backtest it against the S&P 500. Then, you can invest in a few clicks. Generated assets are like ETFs with infinite possibilities, completely customizable and based on your thesis, not someone else's. Go to public.com slash podcast and earn an uncapped one percent bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash podcast, paid for by public investing, brokerage services by open to the public investing ink, member finraw and SIPC, advisory services by public advisors LLC, SEC registered advisor. Generated assets is an interactive analysis tool.

18:49Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures. Imagine if your Wi-Fi was a little hot smarter and way more reliable. Picture it. Your TV, phone, laptop, even your fancy fridge working together to make life easier. Well, Exfinity makes that dream a reality. Devices so insane you think they're telepathic. Wi-Fi that knows when your device needs a boost. The best equipment to stream or games at once with multi-view or stream your favorite podcast on iHeartRadio. That's the magic of Exfinity. It's seamlessly in tune with you. Exfinity. Imagine that. Restrictions apply. Rest to coast, unlock adventure at Red Lion Hotels by Sinesta, where restful sleep, friendly service and local knowledge await. Whether for business or pleasure, spend less and make more of every trip. When you sign up for Sinesta Travel Pass, you'll get our best rates instantly. Go to Sinesta.com to book your stay and unlock our best rates with Sinesta Travel Pass. Here today, Rome tomorrow.

19:51Join now at Sinesta.com, Terms and Conditions Apply. Premiere Protein. It's for getting after life, not just fitness, with 30 grams of protein, 160 calories and no sugar added, helping people fuel their joyful lives. With Premiere Protein, you can say yes to more, whether it's crushing a big presentation at work, building an epic fort with the kids, or hitting the hiking trail with friends. Premiere Protein offers delicious flavors like cafe latte, chocolate, caramel vanilla, strawberry and cake batter to name a few. Find your favorite flavor at premierprotein.com. I've never felt older in my life than when I've texted a Gen Z person and they only use lowercase letters. And then I bring up like, why do you not use capital letters? And as I said it, I felt myself develop osteoporosis like from how old I was. She was like, oh, yeah, I turned it off on my phone so nothing capitalizes because it just feels so like formal and it's like, what older people do? And I'm like, why does it make me old to use capital letters? I don't use capital letters either.

20:52Gen Z thinks capital letters are just too intense. And the linguist agrees. I don't know if that's it. I think it's just young people separating themselves from their parents. They got to wear a different hat than their dad was. Their does and just, I don't know. I see two, I see the conversations my son has with his friends and it's almost like a foreign language. I mean, and that's not all, I mean, that's just, I don't know what they get. Why you got to do this as a young person? We should bring back that art curator describing the masterpiece with Gen Z slang. That was, that was really amusing. I have two completely conflicting thoughts on this. Number one, the beginning of this article talks about how Gen Z has developed many quirks that have come to define the generation from work, minimalism, to soft socializing, blah, blah, blah. And I'm like, you know, up until like the late 60s, when some of the big national news organizations started writing about youth culture, the adult world just kind of chuckled and ignored youth culture.

21:53But now it's like such a constant topic of conversation. It's irrelevant to me. It doesn't matter. I don't need to know it. I'm a grown-up. I have a job. I have payment bills, blah, blah, blah. And I think that was better than constantly focusing on it. Of course it was. Second conflicting thought, as this linguist explains it, the way we speak, the way it sounds, the way we use inflection and rises and falls in pitch and the way everything I'm doing right now, changes in context constantly from a formal presentation to meeting someone new to being with your good friends, to being with your spouse, blah, blah, blah. And the lack of capitals is the equivalent of the utterly comfortable tone of voice you use with your friends. That's exactly why I do it. A capitals at this point, they just, they seem too formal to me for a lot of phrases that I throw at people. It just looks weird. It'd be like I'm saying, how are you doing today?

22:54Which you don't do. See, I'd rather lose a finger than send a grammatically incorrect text, but I understand what you're saying. And if you understand what you're saying, oh, man, yeah. This, what young people do for each other doesn't, they stop when they grow up usually. So it'll be fine. It will be fine. Yeah. It was interesting. The Jeffrey Epstein crowd, he's like no punctuation or capitals and bad spelling and rest, but it's kind of odd. Some of the elite of the planet, major banking news that just came across. Which is either good news or disastrous news, but that among other things on the way, I hope you can stay here. If you don't get it, get the podcast. I'm strong. You get it. On demand.

23:54I'm strong. And get it. Texting privacy policy in terms of conditions posted at TextingTerms.us. Texting rolls you for a current automated text marketing message. Just message data. It may apply or play. Stopped out. Is it ISSA online for details? Tired of the nine to five grind. Looking for something different that's flexible, fulfilling and pays well? How do you like to get paid to work out? How you can with ISSA, the global leader in personal fitness certification. There's a huge demand for certified personal trainers right now. And once you get ISSA certified, they guarantee you'll get a job. Trainers can make as much as $100 an hour. Yes, I said $100 an hour. And with ISSA, you can be certified in as little as six weeks. You do everything at your own pace and 100% online. Pursue your passion in specializations like yoga, nutrition or strength training. Get certified and live your life on your terms. Look at a gym, start your own business or a side hustle, whatever works for you. Just don't wait. Get your free personal training evaluation kit today. Get certified in as little as six weeks. And ISSA guarantees you'll get a job. Text gym to 32 32 32 text gym to 32 32 32 gym to 32 32 32.

24:57Support for the show comes from public, the investing platform for those who take it seriously. On public, you can build a multi-asset portfolio of stock, bonds, options, crypto and now generated assets, which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index with AI. It all starts with your prompt. From renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers, growing revenue over 20% year over year, you can literally type any prompt and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one-of-a-kind index, and lets you backtest it against the S&P 500. Then, you can invest in a few clicks. Generated assets are like ETFs with infinite possibilities, completely customizable and based on your thesis, not someone else's. Go to public.com slash podcast and earn an uncapped one percent bonus when you transfer your portfolio. That's public.com slash podcast, paid for by public investing, brokerage services by open to the public investing ink, member finraw and SIPC, advisory services by public advisors LLC, SEC registered advisor, generated assets as an interactive analysis tool. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures.

25:57Imagine if your Wi-Fi was a little hot smarter and way more reliable. Picture it. Your TV, phone, laptop, even your fancy fridge working together to make life easier. Well, Exfinity makes that dream a reality. Devices so in sync you'd think they're telepathic. Wi-Fi that knows when your device needs a boost. The best equipment to stream or games at once with multi-view or stream your favorite podcast on iHeartRadio. That's the magic of Exfinity. It's seamlessly in tune with you. Exfinity. Imagine that. Restrictions apply. Travel smarter. Not harder. It's best value in by Sinesta with convenient locations from coast to coast and value packed comfort at every turn. And when you're a Sinesta travel pass member, staying at America's best value in means earning points toward free nights, upgrades and more. Go to Sinesta.com to book your stay and unlock their best rates with Sinesta travel pass. Here today, Rome tomorrow. Join now at Sinesta.com, terms and conditions apply.

27:00It's for getting after life, not just fitness, with 30 grams of protein, 160 calories and no sugar added, helping people fuel their joyful lives. With premiere protein, you can say yes to more, whether it's crushing a big presentation at work, building an epic fort with the kids, or hitting the hiking trail with friends. Premiere protein offers delicious flavors like cafe latte, chocolate, caramel vanilla, strawberry and cake batter to name a few. Find your favorite flavor at premierprotein.com You kind of breaking news things for you coming up in a minute, which jobs are most and least vulnerable to being replaced by AI, the latest highly scientific, wild guests stay with us. No kidding. Everything with AI is a wild guess. So first this, so we've been asking other countries to help us with opening the street of the hormones and they've been given a stiff arm well, they just put out a joint statement. The UK, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Japan and Trump is sitting down with the

28:03leader of Japan today in the Oval Office. I'll put out a joint statement expressing readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts. There's some vague words for you. Readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the straight of hormones, welcoming nations and engaging in prep planning and coordinating as ways to increase output and called for a ran to cease immediately. It's threats, laying of minds, drone and missile attacks and other attempts to block the straight commercial shipping and to comply with you and Security Council Resolution 2817. Where it goes, nobody knows, but I think Marco Rubio might end up being one of the great secretaries of state and the history of America. I've been, been a big fan of his for a long time. You see his tiny little fingerprints all over this? Oh, that was unnecessary, but yes, I suspect he was a central to this. Agreed. Yes. Okay. Here's your other breaking news thing that's either good news or herbal news. So you remember how after a bunch of big financial institutions broke the world economy,

29:07having giving no, I don't remember that. Cost me several hundred thousand dollars in my home. And nobody went to jail, even though they were giving loans to people who were crack heads with no job and no credit partly because the government made them. So right after that, we put all these strict rules in place for banks. I mean, you have to have so much money held back in case something goes wrong that we never need to bail you out again. Well, we've lifted that US regulators propose more lenient capital rules for big banks. Officials say simplifying the rules and the requirements intended originally to help banks survive a financial strain will get banks back to lending and boost the economy. So this is either great news and that you're going to be able to go to your big financial institutions and they're throwing around money like crazy or we're going to have another crash someday and all the banks are going to say, well, we're going to go under and bring down a bring a world depression on unless you bail us out too big to fail.

30:08Sorry. Again. Why don't we go ask 10 economists whether this is a good idea or not and get 10 different answers? Marikas biggest banks will be allowed to hold billions of dollars less in capital on their books under this new proposal that's expected to be voted on by the federal reserve later today and pass. So again, it's either good news or bad news. Wow. I'm leaning bad news. I mean, it's individual attitude. It'll be easier to get loans. But we're going to end up in the same situation one of these days. These big financial institutions are going to get into trouble and say, hey, like either bail us out or bring down the world economy, your choice because we got no savings here. It's a feeling of precariousness that I've had for a while is not getting better. No kidding. And I'm way too old and lazy to like, we're in a new skill. Oh, well, that's not that's not on the table.

31:11Live off the land. I mean, selling pencils in a cup on the corners of more on the table than that. Anybody want to buy a pencil? I'm not loving my chances as a pencil salesman either. Oh, my God, what's my profit for you? List there's some sort of international crossword puzzle craze. I'm going to go broke. Wow. Oh boy. So I need to buy the pencils and bulk and then sell them individually for enough of a profit to be able to make my rent and feed my family. I'm so many. Let's see. I've done the math. I need to sell per day eight point six million pencils. You walk out your door and everybody's got like a tray of pencils walking out of their doors. I thought I was the only one who thought of this. Oh, wow, I hate to even go into this out of that because that feeling of precariousness I'm talking about that. I think we all have, right? How do you not?

32:12Well, if you don't, you're not paying attention or I don't know. You've got to, you know, five million dollars in gold bars buried in your backyard because I've got to admit, I'm a stay in the market, ride it up, ride it down guy. It's always done well. If you miss the upturned by a day in the down turn by one day, you lose something like 25% of the gains you would have made. So I'm a ride it out guy, but I've got to admit, this current period has got me slightly concerned. But we'll see by the dip, thank you. I think the dip may be around for a while, so no need to rush anyway. The Washington Post with an interesting info graphic article here, see which jobs are most threatened by AI and who may be able to adapt. It's one of the most urgent questions about artificial intelligence and one of the hardest to answer. We'll start with the something fairly obvious, but informative. Some jobs may remain in demand while others decline, obviously, web designers and secretaries

33:16are at high risk. Genitors not so much, according to one recent study, AI can't do janitorial work until the Janet bots come along, I guess. Interestingly, this big study, I can't remember who the thing thing was and it doesn't matter, but they write there's another dimension of the picture. Some workers will find it easier to adapt the researchers argue based on factors like their savings, age and transferable skills. Like most web designers will be completely out of work, but they're young, reasonably well off and pretty bright. They will have better prospect than say secretaries that are largely held by women and often of a more advanced age than say your average web designer, a coder, that sort of thing. Executive producer Hansen just said in my ear that he saw a janitor robot at the airport the other day. The clean bot 4000. It's an excellent, excellent unit. Yeah, I'm not surprised, in fact, that was one of the first things I thought when I saw

34:20this, I'm like, wait a minute, just basic cleaning. I mean, the turtlet, cleaning the turtlet's fairly complex work. You got the contours, you got the seat, you got the top, you got the, oh, but a floor though, it's like, yeah, that's clearly robot work. Yeah, yeah. Anyway, some of your least exposed professions include fire fighters and, boy, this chart is really hard to read. Physical stuff or messy stuff where you try in ten lines to explain what this person should do to accomplish their job. If it's what they call a messy job that calls for a lot of creativity and a lot of interpreting things as you go, AI will take a very, very long time to replace it if it ever happens. But the most exposed include public relations specialists, writers and authors, customer

35:21service reps, interpreters, translators, secretaries, that sort of stuff, legal assistance I've heard mentioned over and over again. But they concluded that, again, many people at most at risk are best place to find new jobs, so the effects are a guess at best. So when is the other thing? That's a guess too. How soon does this happen? Does this, three o'clock this afternoon, does this happen like in the next year or is this ten years out? It's a great, great question. One interesting aspect of this research, which again is about as thorough as it can get, but still concedes that, you know, we're doing our best, but it's, you know, take this seriously, but not literally was what they actually said. Women make up about 86% of the most vulnerable workers.

36:23The researchers said, suggesting the negative effects of automation will not be born equally across society, of course it won't. I thought that was really interesting. And again, this is a visual card to explain, but I find the premise just dumbed even through out there. Like it's insults your intelligence. Well, right. And why is that even why did you write that? That's what I'm saying. The young person in the leftist person's view that that's an important thing to look at with everything. That AI doesn't affect everybody equally young old men, women, education level, socioeconomic background. It needs to affect everybody. Exactly equally or what? The universe is wrong. What the hell are you even talking about? Do you remember how hard they worked during COVID to spin various narratives like it's hitting women more harder than men and then it turned out to be the opposite. Black people are bearing the bread.

37:25The underprivileged seem to be, yeah, come on. Something is such a guess around AI. No doubt about that. Yeah. I'm currently in a stance of less concern than I was a couple of months ago. Not exactly sure why. It might just be because my day-to-day dealing with electronics and how often it still fails on a very, very basic level. And I think, well, if they haven't fixed this yet, yeah, and the folks touting the positives are desperate for investment, so you got to take their prognostications with a grain of salt. That's true. At the same time, if I was 30 years old with a couple of kids, oh, man, I would be, I mean, I'm in that situation. I got a 14-year-old and a 16-year-old and I haven't got the slightest idea of how to prepare them or what I should be telling them to prepare to go out into the world. No idea. Have a smile on your face and treat people well.

38:27Exactly. Well, that I can't tell you anything and look into pencil sales, have a good firm and shake. That's about all I got for you. I have no idea what you're going to be doing for a living or whether you should learn, you know, just a couple of years ago, it was like, have your kid learn to code. Now that would be an awful idea. It's like telling your kid to become a blacksmith. Right. Learn to shoe horses. Yeah. In fact, that might be more valuable than coding at this point. At least you can find some hipsters in some state where they want to have horses. Yeah. Yeah. I just, I think, and I don't know this, I would like to see some reasonably good polling on this. How do most people feel about this, my own feeling again, but I, you know, I don't have mouths to feed really at this point and a family to take care of. I haven't feeling most people look at it like I can't do anything about it. That's where I am. I have no idea what's going to happen. It's not just, it's not like my lack of effort is the problem.

39:29Nobody has any idea what's going to happen. So right. So I'm just going to, you know, keep my eyes and ears open and adapt as it comes. I guess what's the option? There isn't one. Cry. Cry yourself to sleep. Still long lines and a lot of your airports, TSA shortages continue to be a problem. There's no end in sight of this government. Did you even know there was a government shutdown? That's what the problem is. And we got that story we can dip into among other things. Stick around. Texting privacy policy in terms of conditions posted at TextingTerms.us. Texting rolls you for a courting lot of detects, marketing messages, messages, data reads my apply or play. Stopped out. Is it ISSA online for details? Tired of the 9-5 grind. Looking for something different that's flexible, fulfilling and pay as well? How do you like to get paid to work out? Now you can, with ISSA, the global leader in personal fitness certification. There's a huge demand for certified personal trainers right now. And once you get ISSA certified, they guarantee you'll get a job. Trainers can make as much as $100 an hour.

40:30Yes, I said $100 an hour. And with ISSA, you can be certified in as little as six weeks. You do everything at your own pace and 100% online. Pursue your passion in specializations like yoga, nutrition or strength training. Get certified and live your life on your terms. Work at a gym. Start your own business or a side hustle. Whatever works for you. Just don't wait. For free, personal training evaluation kit today. Get certified in as little as six weeks. And ISSA guarantees you'll get a job. Text Train to 32-32-32. Text Train to 32-32-32. Train to 32-32-32. Support for the show comes from public. The investing platform for those who take it seriously. On public, you can build a multi-asset portfolio of stock, bonds, options, crypto and now generated assets which allow you to turn any idea into an investable index with AI. It all starts with your prompt. Some renewable energy companies with high free cash flow to semiconductor suppliers growing revenue over 20% year over year. You can literally type any prompt and put the AI to work. It screens thousands of stocks, builds a one-of-a-kind index and lets you backtests it against

41:33the S&P 500. Then, you can invest in a few clicks. Generated assets are like ETFs with infinite possibilities, completely customizable and based on your thesis, not someone else's. Go to public.com slash podcast and earn an uncapped 1% bonus when you transfer your portfolio. It's public.com slash podcast, paid for by public investing, brokerage services by open to the public investing ink, member Finra and SIPC. Advisory services by public advisors LLC, SEC registered advisor. Generated assets is an interactive analysis tool. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. Complete disclosures available at public.com slash disclosures. Imagine if your Wi-Fi was a lot smarter and way more reliable. Picture it. Your TV, phone, laptop, even your fancy fridge working together to make life easier. Well, Exfinity makes that dream a reality. Ice is so insane you'd think they're telepathic. Wi-Fi that knows when your device needs a boost, the best equipment to stream or games at once with multi-view or stream your favorite podcast on iHeartRadio. That's the magic of Exfinity. It's seamlessly in tune with you. Exfinity.

42:33Imagine that. Restrictions apply. Sinasta Travel Pass is the most rewarding way to travel. Sign up at Sinasta.com for instant savings, bonus points and perks. Like early check-in, late checkout, room upgrades and free stays. Models from 1100 hotels across 13 brands and unlock their best rates when you book with Sinasta Travel Pass. Here today, room tomorrow. Join now at Sinasta.com, Terms and Conditions Apply. Premier Protein. It's for getting after life, not just fitness, with 30 grams of protein, 160 calories and no sugar added, helping people fuel their joyful lives. With Premier Protein, you can say yes to more, whether it's crushing a big presentation at work, building an epic fort with the kids or hitting the hiking trail with friends. Premier Protein offers delicious flavors like cafe latte, chocolate, caramel vanilla, strawberry and cake batter to name a few. Find your favorite flavor at premierprotein.com. Well, for those not familiar with her act, the first partner of California, the would-be

43:35first lady of the United States, although she'll call herself first partner. Jennifer Sebel Newsom is a hardcore leftist, a graft merchant who promotes Newsom, she's married to Gavin. Yes, indeed, indeed, and she, his hardcore promoter of the gender-bending madness and transitioning kids and teaching sex changes in schools and stuff like that. She's an artist. And then she makes a documentary films that then the state buys and pays her for in many, many dollars change hands, unbelievable. So she's a force for both graft and evil. Anyway, can you imagine this woman as the first lady she gave a little speech the other day, we'll start with 100, Michael. There's so much to learn from same-sex couples who have learned to communicate and who also are like, well, look, you know, someone's got to do the care work in a same-sex male couple, someone's got to do that, so I'm just going to do it. And this is like, and not be afraid or ashamed because it's part of being human. We're all on a spectrum, right?

44:37It's just how society kind of pushes us and pressures us into these limiting gender roles. What? She's one of those people? Oh, full-on. Well, Gavin seems so practical to me to, that's interesting. There's more. But again, the folks on the far right, they're missing is just this, they're living in this silo, this evangelical conservative silo that ultimately is, it's just pulling us back as a country to a time and a place where we don't deserve to be, and we're not going to be because honestly, young women and fathers of daughters are awake now and they're woke and they're not going to let us go back. And so I have so much hope because of that, and obviously California has a huge responsibility. Go back to what? What is she talking about? She's pro-sex change for children, that's all you need to know. But she's talking about, you know, the woman forced into the caregiver role, Housekeeper. Where is it?

45:38They're trying to drag us back. Where is this happening? Fathers of daughters, wait, I am one, are woke now. They've come around. So all of us, we're all on a spectrum. Wow. That's straight out of the neo-Marxist stuff. There's no- There's no- There's no- There's no- There's no- There's no- There's no- Why would I whack it? People who live in that universe every day, it sounds, it seems terrible, very tiring. Oh, yeah, although you get a lot of positive reinforcement from your fellow Marxists. I guess. Good for you. Yeah. So here's a bit of a philosophical question. We're both on record many times the same. We don't give a damn about the first lady is a concept that smacks of royalty. It's silly. I don't care if a president's wife, if he has one, is completely apolitical and just keeps to herself or does whatever runs an ad agency or nits all day. I don't care.

46:38I don't need them to have a cause. I don't care what they wear. It's irrelevant. On the other hand, if that first lady, first partner person is a political activist and very, very active and also making zillions of dollars, that's a fair target to me. Well, that obviously, if you've been following East Coast media, that's been a topic with Mamdani because his wife is very out there with a lot of controversial comments, particularly around Israel. And he, well, she's, she's retweeted celebrations of October 7th and also retweeted denials that any Israeli women were raped on that day. Right. Is pushback a couple of weeks ago when that story burst forth was that, hey, hey, she's off limits. I'm, I'm the one who ran for office. I'm the mayor. She's just, you know, she's just my wife. And then this conversation was had, well, if you're going to be out there making political

47:39statements and be on the cover of lots of magazines, doing interviews, well, then you're fair game. Yeah. Yeah. I'd say so. And the idea that if, you know, some Republican politicians wife was in the clan Lady auxiliary or something or some sort of, you know, women to return black people to Africa or something like that, the idea that nobody would comment on that. It's beyond hilarious. It's ludicrous. So Senator Mullin, who was up for DHS secretary and had a hearing yesterday, got into it a lot with Rand Paul. We played some of it yesterday. We're going to have some more of it in hour three as an interesting conversation between two Republicans that I think you'll find entertaining. Now they just did have their vote. And because John Federman was a yes, he said, we need a DHS secretary. We can't pause. And he voted yes. It does advance and, and Senator Mullin looks like we'll end up being the DHS secretary.

48:39So Federman canceled out Rand's no vote in effect. Interesting. The worldwide threats hearing was yesterday and Tulsi Gabbard was in the hot seat man. She said some interesting things that contrasted a bit with her boss will get to that as well. Right. I don't think he listens to her. But it is still interesting. So if you miss a segment, get the podcast Armstrong and Getty on demand. Armstrong and Getty. Imagine if your Wi-Fi was a lot smarter and way more reliable. Picture it. Your TV, phone, laptop, even your fancy fridge working together to make life easier. Well, Exfinity makes that dream a reality. Devices so in sync you think they're telepathic. Wi-Fi that knows when your device needs a boost. The best equipment to stream or games at once with multi-view or stream your favorite podcast on iHeartRadio. That's the magic of Exfinity. It's seamlessly in tune with you. Exfinity. Imagine that. Restrictions apply. Find home wherever you roam. At Sinesta.es and Simply Suites.

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