Skip to content
TrackPodcasts
technologyMar 5, 20261:16:29pending

The Four Year Cycle Is Not Broken | Matthew Mezinskis

About this episode

"Statistically, right now, we are basically at the bottom. This is as cheap as Bitcoin gets."

Matthew Mezinskis is a macroeconomic researcher, host of Crypto Voices and one of the leading voices on Bitcoin's power law and global money supply data.

In this episode, we dig into why Bitcoin's quantile regression is showing we're scraping the absolute floor, why the four-year cycle is completely intact despite everyone calling it dead last year, and what the Fed's balance sheet actually tells us about where Bitcoin goes next.

In this episode:

• The Power Law: Why Bitcoin at $63k represents the cheapest level relative to trend in its entire history, and what the quantile regression is actually showing

• The Four-Year Cycle: How the 2024-2025 price action perfectly follows prior cycles despite the "cycle is dead" narrative.

• The 550k Projection: What the power law projects for Bitcoin by 2029-2030.

THANKS TO OUR SPONSORS:

ANCHORWATCH

BLOCKWARE

LEDN

BITKEY

SWAN

CLUB ORANGE

FOLLOW:

Danny Knowles: https://x.com/_DannyKnowles or https://primal.net/danny

Matthew Mezinskis: https://x.com/1basemoney

Get every episode summarized

Each time What Bitcoin Did publishes, we email you a written briefing from the transcript — the topics, who appeared, and any specific claims, with the ad reads skipped.

Email me new episodes

Free for 3 shows. No card needed.

Hosts & guests

No transcript yet

This episode has not been transcribed. Request it and it moves to the front of the queue.

The Four Year Cycle Is Not Broken | Matthew Mezinskis

What Bitcoin Did

0:00
1:16:29

More episodes

More from What Bitcoin Did

View all episodes →