
Stagflation Is Coming? The Fed’s Inflation & Jobs Trap Explained
About this episode
In Episode 349 of The Higher Standard, Chris breaks down why cooling CPI doesn’t mean inflation is dead, why the Fed may be walking straight into a stagflation trap, and how a weakening jobs market, rising energy costs, Japan, the yen and a geopolitical oil shock are colliding at exactly the wrong time. From the 1970s and Volcker to CPI vs. PCE, shelter inflation, owners’ equivalent rent and the “ghost” hiding inside year-over-year inflation math, this episode explains why the next inflation print may already be partially baked in—and why the Fed’s September decision is becoming a choice between fighting prices it can’t control and crushing a labor market that may already be cracking. Macroeconomics, but without pretending beef and chicken are the same thing.
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🔗 Resources:
Inflation moved in the right direction in July (Chris Naghibi via X)
Japan’s Lost Decade - An Economic Disaster (Cold Fusion)
Inflation versus the G7 (Nathan C Jun via Instagram)
Consumer prices rose 0.1%$ in July, as expected, putting the annual rate at 3.4% (CNBC)
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