Scottish Election: SNP Near Majority, Reform UK Surges

0:00On March 31st, a fresh poll out of Scotland paints the May Holyrood election as a tight race with the SNP projected to snag 62 seats. That's 35% on the constituency vote and 32% on the regional list, putting them just shy of a majority. Reform UK edges into second, with 19 seats from 19% constituency and 18% list support. Labor trails right behind at 18 seats, matching reforms constituency share, but dipping to 17% on the list. The Tories looks set for 13 seats off 11 and 13%, while the Greens could grab 10 and live them 7. Voter still rate SNP leader John Swinney Highest, with a net favorability of minus 10% way better than Prime Minister Kear Starmer's minus. 47 or Scottish Labor's Anna Sarwar at minus 25, even reforms Nigel Farage sits at minus 31 up there. The poll from Servation for the Diffle Partnership surveyed 1668 folks between March 16th and 23rd.

1:04Analysts note supports spread then across parties, so small shifts could flip the seat map big time. As the campaign heats up, more Scots are tuning in and judging leaders harsher, with familiarity ratings dropping. Plenty of time left for these numbers to move before ballots drop. From across Europe, powered by AI, this is Europe News Today.