Saudi Arabia, Iran War, Ukraine Russia War Latest

0:00Hey everybody, welcome to the Daniel Davis deep dive Intel brief where we give you the best of what we learned this week and the most important things overnight and man are there a lot. Let's jump right into it. Turns out that the Houthis have not stopped what they've been doing. They're continuing to move on and some of the initial information we have here we told you yesterday and showed you some of the video of large numbers of troops just giving up and moving across the battlefield being hurt by the the Houthi side, the unsurow lost side. Turns out that according to this this CNN report here the Houthi fighters when they arrived in Mocha one of the big cities that they took on the coast, the rosters were filled with ghost names receiving salaries and the actual strength of the army was about 20% of what it does on paper. And let me just tell you I had some experience with his whole ghost army during my time in Afghanistan. It was very common to say they'll all the Afghan security forces had like 350,000 etc.

1:00And then in a given place they're supposed to be 20,000 in a given geographic location. Turned out there was only a small fraction of that because what they wanted to do was to have these 20,000 names on a list so that the commanders and several other people in the chain of command would then be spilling off salaries that were going to these fake people. So on paper there were 20,000 but they're not only been 10,000. The other salaries for those people were going straight into their pockets. That's unfortunately a well known thing. It's happening here and it has been big impacts on the battlefield because al-Ala doesn't have ghost soldiers. They have real soldiers. And as we've been telling you about and showing you some scenes here they are very passionate about what they are doing. And when you have the motivation and the willingness to fight and the experience and the material to fight a war with, then you're going to have a lot of success and that's what we're having. In fact, we've seen just over not. There's been a new attack. There's now that they're starting to take a new city into as you can see here.

2:01This is the, that the pink slash red area is the government forces that are recognized by the United Nations. And now that you see the on-sarelo forces are moving to the east. And you can do a little show up here. You can see on this town on Maria right here, this is the closer up here where they're starting to move in. So there, you see that they're having very smart tactical moves. They moved around the north and the southern flank. It looks to me like that they're probably not even going to go directly into the town for say, but probably continue to go past and maybe even shut the thing off. But based on what we've been seeing and some of these other engagements here, I wouldn't be surprised at all. In fact, I wouldn't expect that the Yemen government forces to stand their ground and fight. And in fact, this is very similar to what we saw in the Iraq war. In 2014, in particular, after we'd spent all these eight years training up the Iraqi security

3:01forces and alleging that they were all this good force, whatever, it was always a myth. But that's what we said because that's what sold tickets to the situation and what got money put into the defense budgets and made everybody independent on happy. But it was never true. And as soon as they came up against a concerted force and when the ISIS fighters came in, they were not motivated by money. They were motivated by ideology or religion or whatever version they wanted to cobble together for it. But whatever it was, they were passionate believers and they were able to run roughshod over these guys who were in it for the money or they were placed in their positions or whatever and when push came to shove, they ran. And now that you see, here's these additional pictures here. And if this is what I think it is, this is a lot of the equipment that N Surah-Lawis now taking from the government forces, some of which I would wager to expect that the United States or the West help them get and help fund a lot of that or probably through Saudi

4:02Arabia. But now, all of a sudden, if N Surah-Law was already on the forward edge of this, and they're already leaning forward, they have the motivation and the morale factor on their side. Now, they also have more equipment on their side. Meanwhile, on the government forces, there is recrimination, there is complaint, there is finger pointing, back fighting, everybody's trying to blame somebody else and that kind of thing just falls the fighting spirit of your forces. That's exactly what happened in Iraq. In fact, the main thing that caused the imozal for all those forces, you just collapse and literally abandon the battlefield, throw their weapons off again. Some of these scenes are remarkably similar because they said, look, we're not that trained and then they see their leaders just high-tailed it out and leave them abandoned them some of the general level. And once they saw that, they saw they were abandoned at the front, then they went out too. I can imagine something like that is going to happen here, or at least it's at risk of from the anecdotal reports that we're getting that this bickering and backbiting between

5:03the senior leaders trying to point the finger at each other about who's to blame and set a fix in the problem. Well, these guys aren't going to stand in fight when there's no coherent leadership or there's no direction on the battlefield. So I suspect they could be moving a lot further to the east a lot faster. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has got some additional problems even before we told you about yesterday. Remember, the east-west pipelines were hit by, we didn't know who, we didn't know if it was Iran, we didn't know if it was the Houthis, we didn't know if it was the Houthis, we didn't know if it was the PMF in Iraq, because they're all kind of this, you know, this axis of alliance that they have that are going together, this axis of resistance, they're kind of all on the same team. And when they see their success, they're having success, then they start to take even more actions. Well, Saudi Arabia, as you may recall, according to published reports, Muhammad bin Salman from Saudi Arabia got on two phone calls to President Trump and said, hey, man, I need

6:04some fire support. I need some, I don't know, artillery rockets, air power, whatever. And President Trump said, yeah, we need doing that. So that didn't go over so well. So now that in today, we have the leader of the Saudi Arabia military, their GC Secretary General Abdul-Wahwi called on Baghdad to prevent its territory from being used to launch attacks and drone some Iraq, targeted the oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia, re-Utsed, but it will not retaliate at this stage. Now, why do you suppose that might be? Do you think that they're saying, you know what, we're going to be the bigger players here. And we're going to allow you to do this. We won't cause any problems right here, but don't do it again. Or I don't know, or what. But what do you think that's going to have? What kind of reaction do you think that's going to have on the Iraqi PMF? What kind of impact is that going to have on the Houthis who are driving their opponents across the continent, all the way across that country, not likely to make them say, you

7:07know what, let's just be satisfied with what we got here. And the PMF, now just think of what the implications of what the Saudi Arabians are saying. You know what, we just got attacked by these militia in Iraq. They hit our pipeline, which is literally the financial lifeblood of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. And you're telling them, no, no harm, no foul, except of course there was harm, but you're saying, yeah, we're not going to do anything because you can't. That's the problem. And I promise you, whatever is intended, that's almost certainly how it's going to be received on the ground. And if anything, that's going to cause them to ramp up their attacks even more because they're going to start to feel like you can't do anything. And if anybody is going to have their pipelines hit and do nothing about it and just say, oh, I forgive the other side of course not. That would be stupid. And so whatever public relations they're trying to accomplish with that, probably not going

8:10to work very well on the ground. And listen, that's not the only place. There's some problems because if Mohammed bin Salman did get on the phone with President Trump and say, hey, I need you to come to our rescue. And he said, no, well, that's what's being reported. But let me show you what happened with the leader of Ireland yesterday in the old office, because President Trump was specifically asked about the situation with the Houthis and listen to his version of things. The Houthis called us and they don't want to fight with us. They don't want to fight with us. They don't want me to go after them. They don't want us to go after them. They've called and they've talked to us and they don't want us to. They were much prefer not having us involved. And they're letting most ships go through. This is one country that they're not going to do it. And we'll get that straight down. Yeah, I'm going to get that straight down. Again, think about the implications here. A long time ally of the United States, Saudi Arabia.

9:13And again, I just have to just to keep the context here. Run back to May of last year, 2025. And all of those big halls that they had in the Middle East and Trump was, you know, had only been in office a few months and he was talking about trillions of dollars that were going to be invested in the United States. And he's not going to get involved in the regime, change wars anymore and no more dumb wars at all. It's going to be an era of peace. Everybody's going to get along. Everybody's going to make a lot of money. And I'll never forget the camera kept going in while he's talking to many of the seniors and your Saudi leaders and they're just ear to ear with these grins and they're so happy. And now then here they are. They, number one, they first just recently entered into this alleged security arrangement with Turkey. And I think it was with Pakistan and an attack on one is an attack on all. They agree with that. And so then days later, Saudi Arabia is attacked and they're saying, yeah, all right, boys, let's go. Hey, we're in everybody.

10:14Everybody's coming to the raid. Then he picks up the phone to President Trump. President Trump says, I'm not coming to the raid. Whose phone does he pick up? The Houthis, Ansar Allah. And so they are very smart. You talk about people that are willing to talk to their adversaries. The Houthis have no problem with it. And by the way, they have a good reputation for meaning what they say and being willing to be reasonable. Now recall that during the, when they first started getting engaged, it was during the Israeli attacks into the Gaza Strip. When Israel was going after Gaza, but they were just crushing the people of Palestine. And then that's when the Houthis said, hey, you know what? As long as you're doing that, we're going to interdict your shipping in the Red Sea. Israeli shipping stuff. It's associated with Israel. We're going to hit it. But if you stop and go to a ceasefire, we'll stop too. And when, during periods of time when Israel did stop, they did. They stopped hitting this, this ships.

11:17So they've done what they said. And then recall in 2025 to Great Fanfare, which I think I've showed you on a show recently where Secretary of War Pete Hicks said, just thundered on Fox News and said, yeah, we're going to, we're going to stop these guys and we're going to be relentless and very they're going to do it. We say, or we're just going to destroy them and all this kind of stuff. And then six weeks later, when we realized it was costing total of $7 billion over that in the previous Biden administration efforts. And we weren't bringing anyone to heal. Then all of a sudden, we're willing to make a deal. And we did. President Trump makes a deal with the Houthis and says, hey, you stopped shooting at us. We'll stop shooting at you. And they said, fair enough. We'll do that. And they did. They stopped shooting at us and our shipping. But they didn't stop shooting at other people's. So we didn't stop them from what they were doing in our dicking traffic. We just stopped them from hitting our ships or shooting at our ships, knocking our planes out of the sky, attacking some of our ships and causing them f-18s to fall off the bloody

12:18deck for crying out of that. We lost two of them like that. And so we finally made a deal. Now here, Anzara La remembers that. So they pick up the phone call the White House and say, hey, you know what? Instead of listening to Saudi Arabia and coming to their effort and helping them or giving them bombs or whatever, how about you just keep your hands all fuss and don't do anything on the ground? We will keep all of our hands off you. We'll let shipping go through. All kinds of countries can go through. Your ships can go through. We won't get any of your guys only Saudi Arabia. And President Trump says, okay. You heard him right there. He says, yeah, I mean, they have some problem with a certain country. And so he's ready to throw them under the bus. And listen, I'm telling you, we're talking about what's happening in Proximum right now. What's happening in the last just number of hours? This is going to have long-term implications, folks, because everybody in the region is seeing this and believe me. I can only imagine behind the scenes the leaders in Saudi Arabia are just seething with anger,

13:21just gritting their teeth. And they're already looking. I mean, they have to take care of this crisis and this emergency on their doorstep right now. That's going to take priority, but I'm promising you, once that's finished, they're going to remember this. And when it comes time to make an investment in America, you can forget about this trillion dollars. They're not going to invest it in the United States. They're not going to reward President Trump for abandon them. Now, listen, we should never have had any kind of security guarantees for Saudi Arabia. That's way overdone. We should have gotten rid of that long time ago. We can have normal relations with Saudi Arabia. We should, but we should not have any kind of security arrangements, even a fake security arrangements. Those are bad. They've always been, and we see now they were always fake, because we're not going to go to war for Saudi Arabia. Yeah, sure. We'll help them with some bombs here and there. If it doesn't cost us anything, like during the Obama time, when he was helping the Saudi Arabians out with the hoodies, it was kind of an isolated situation.

14:23It didn't have any implications regionally, so Obama just said, sure, whatever, that's fine. We'll go ahead and do with that. Or when President Trump could help him in, it wouldn't cost anything else. It wasn't part of a larger war. It's no problem. But the minute it costs us something, yeah, we'll leave you hindrider in a minute. They're not going to forget this nor are other people. Not just Saudi Arabia, but others watching. As a matter of fact, others are already watching stuff. Not just what's going on in the hoothe issue. And again, this thing could turn into a route. We're going to keep it close eye on this one for you, but this could turn into a route. But it's not the only thing that's going on up in this region right now. This is, there's the meetings, I think it's today actually between Abu Dhabi and UAE and Tehran. And Danny Santrano would write this in the next day, which is really important. He said, this meeting does not mean trust, rebuilding even a basic level of confidence between two sides will take years. But from Abu Dhabi's perspective, maintaining channels with Tehran is itself a form of strategic

15:24hedging. The UAE has little interest in becoming a front-line state in another regional war. They already suffered enough in the first 40 days, especially. Tehran has its own reason to rebuild ties with the Gulf. As Gulf capitals reassess reliability and future trajectory of their relationship with Washington, Iran sees an opportunity to restore regional relationships and regain a degree of political legitimacy among its Arab neighbors. Just imagine that you sound so crazy. So we're in a six-down plus month, into the seventh month of war. There's already been a 40-day fighting session with all kinds of damage done. They're literally every country in the region. American bases end those countries in those countries and sales with a lot of energy infrastructure. It has been just devastated the economic situation because the Persian Gulf has been shut down. So their revenues have been radically reduced, etc. Lots of anxiety.

16:24All that in the 13-day. Now this blockade that's been going on, so their stuff has been blockaded. They're trying to get it out. It's costanum a lot in that environment. They seem to be more willing to talk to Iran than the United States. Because they don't seem to... I think that they are concluding that there is no rational actor in the White House. That's also going to have a lot of ramifications. President Trump has no idea what he's doing. He doesn't know how to get out of this. There is no strategy. We're not even working towards anything. All these things, these just totally disconnected statements like the war is going to be over immediately after the midterms on November 3rd. That's obviously not true. No one believes that. No one that knows anything about it. Definitely no one in the region is going to believe that. So what's going to happen on Monday? Have you seen any of these news here? This is breaking today.

17:25Randy President of Masood Pzezgian has confirmed Iran and Gulf Arab states will meet in Moscow on Monday to establish a joint Iran-Oman shipping route through the straight-of-war moves. They're continuing going on with how the straight-of-war moves is going to be administered going forth and they're inviting the Gulf Arab countries to attend. The meeting is expected to include Oman, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait. That tells you all you need to know. You know who's not on that list? Washington. Washington's not coming to that. We don't even seem to know what's going on. And now here are these countries that are part of this war that's going back and forth between them. That we started. They're the recipients of the missiles. They're the ones that are getting hit because American troops were there. I have said for so many years, even on this show and Fox News and NBC and all kinds of other networks, CNN, I've been telling people forever and writing just scads of

18:28articles. All our troops do in those locations throughout, whether it's Syria, Iraq, Jordan, etc. All they do is provide a point of strategic vulnerability. It never provided any security for us. It didn't. Now we know. It didn't provide any security for those countries either. It turned into a missile magnet. It drew in fire from Iran that they would never have launched at these countries had we not chosen to start a war. I'm telling you that fact is not lost on these people. They are not going to just say forget about this and let's just get this war over and go back to the way it was. No one is going back to the way it was, folks. If anything, they're learning, they're coming close to the point where we're going to have to be very careful that this war doesn't get taken out of President Trump's hand maybe even before the midterms because it's entirely possible. It's a long way from happening. So there's a lot of headwinds against this, but it is in the realm of possibility.

19:28These people are talking that they could come to the conclusion. They being the GCC countries in Iran to say this just doesn't make any sense for us. This is a losing proposition for all of us. This gets to just a regional security arrangement. We decide on our own. We'll come to an accommodation that everyone can live with and the war will come to an end. Then we'll all invite America to walk away to get out. If the US doesn't do the walk away plan that I've been advocating from the beginning, maybe the Arabs will do it for us because that is where this is heading because they all have an incentive. Every single one of these countries to include Iran, they all have an incentive for the war to be over. It's nothing but harming them. No one gained anything. Everyone is very crystal clear aware that the only, I won't even say country, the only entity that benefited from this war is the person and the party. Those think and lack him a Benjamin Netanyahu.

20:30That's it. America didn't benefit. I've chronicled this many times. Blood, treasure, finances, bases, strategic reputation, etc. This costs for us all losses, no possibility for gain. None. Straight-ahorn moves is now primarily under the control of the Iran inside it. It never was before. We're just trying to get back to the status quo, anti, but we're not going to because we're so foolish in how we're taking our actions here. We're just making sure that things stay messy and that we're going to just walk ourselves right into a situation to where even our allies walk away from us. I think that there's a higher chance of that than that. I say a higher chance of that than we go back to war. That's a decision that President Trump can made no matter how irrational and logical and harmful it is. Let's hope he doesn't do that. But there's a better chance that that kind of a GCC and Arab countries and Persian country

21:31can come together and make a decision outside of us is probably higher than that this can get solved militarily. In fact, I would say it's impossible. If there's any chance at all for peace, it's going to come from the regional players. They're all going to have to take the reins here and make this figure out, or we could well get back into it. We're not out of the danger zone yet, which I'm going to get to just a second. But let's move on to where we are now and where we have been. Some of the things that we've learned this week. Let's go first of all to Colonel Wilkerson because what he has shown us is that, let's see where did the one for Colonel Wilkerson go. I just went to open on the wrong page, live TV. He says, listen, we have opened the door for some real trouble. The fact that we started this war has really opened the door for all these troubles I'm telling you and those that could well be coming and they're all self-inflicted. What would be the implications if answer a law were able to actually take down Saudi

22:34Arabia? I think that's a possibility. I think it's caused by what we've done. I don't think it would have been a possibility up to this point if we had an on 28 February started what we started because there were just so many others that would have pitched in to include Egypt, Jordan, and probably maybe even Turkey to prevent that. But they're not so interested in that now. They're more concerned with their own bona fides and certainly Turkey is with Israel doing what it's doing in Syria and looking very much northward. They don't have the support that they had from the empire. That's gone. Danny, I don't think we're going to be in that region on the ground in any significant way ever again. Hard to argue with that and the logic is there for it. I just laid that out here just from events today and those that are coming up on Monday.

23:36That's what Colonel Rokerson said this week. He's being proven right in real time as we're talking about that. You watch American television and you look at a lot of the mainstream media outlets. You look at some of the big talking hands that have been out there and they're still talking this world that doesn't even exist. They're still talking like no, we're calling the shots here. We're going to want their start to fall apart. This whole conard about all these sanctions, they're just wobbling any day now. They're going to fall or they're still this fantasy that, oh, the opposition is going to rise up, which is all nonsense. It's complete absurdity. And yet that's where we still are. That kind of thinking, that kind of unwillingness to actually talk and even look at diplomatic issues. Not even talking, at least not on the official level with Iran, not even talking, which is absurd by itself. By the way, speaking of that, we're going to have a show tomorrow with Michael Fonda Schulenberg, former UN diplomat, longtime diplomat, decades of experience, also current European member

24:41of parliament. He's going to be on the show tomorrow. And one of the things he's going to be talking about is the absence of talking in the Russia Ukraine war. But you see, this is a malaise across the Western world. You're not talking to anybody who is talking. It's the Iranians and the Arab folks. And you see that they're just making deals. We've had some of our guests on this week, it told you probably one of the reasons that the Mohamed bin Salman got on the phone with President Trump a couple of days ago is to tell him, hey, I'm going to have to make some deals because that's just how it works. And this part of the world, we'll see what's going to happen with that. But our unwillingness to get into any negotiations shows that we are literally sabotaging ourselves. It's like we're not even cutting your nose off to fight your face. It's just like sawing off your leg, man. It's a slow, painful process that can only end up bad. And all the pain and the sinews and the blood just lining, you still keep sawing. What in the world is going on, man? What we're doing here makes literally no sense. And it's sabotaging our own interests.

25:43Meanwhile, it will stay somewhere around $100 a barrel. And what's been going on in Saudi Arabia, especially if that continues on with more of the pipelines being hit, which is a long term interruption in the amount of oil that goes through. And if unsur our law continues to move further to the east, we don't even know if the Saudi Arabia is going to remain standing. It depends on how far this collapse goes. It's still early in the process. We don't know. But we're doing nothing to stop it. We're doing nothing to help it. And so that's why when Colonel Wilkerson says that, about that we may never go back. Hell, we may be driven out even now. We might not even get to the end to have those conscious conversations that are happening logically. We may be shoved out of these folks. That is hard to believe. But that's where we are. Well, Joe Kent also on the same topic here. He said that Iran has learned how to level the fight. Iran is obviously, and we've been talking about this a long time too. On paper, the balance of power between the United States and Iran is off the charts

26:45in America's favor. We have the ability to project power. We have higher technology. We have a whole range of different weapons systems, technology sidelines, all kinds of things that Iran doesn't have. But Iran knows very well how to use what they do have to exploit the things that we don't, as Joe Kent said here. Even if they don't sink our ships, they basically have cut off our ability to project power in a meaningful way, the way they were used. This is just like in Iraq and Afghanistan. Sometimes they hit the convoy. Sometimes they attack us when we were going on a raid. But in general, they hit the logistic lines. They hit the bases. They took away our ability. They made it very difficult for us to do logistics. We had a technological advantage there. The drones and the ballistic missiles and satellite imagery. That's kind of been, you know, that's really leveled the battlefield out. So I don't see any viable ground options whatsoever. Unfortunately, we continue to leave these guys over there. You know, even if I was advocating for us to continue the war against Iran, I would say to get our guys out of there.

27:45We proved with Midnight Hammer that we can project power from America and hit Iran. We've already proven that. Like if I wanted to continue the war, I'd be like, man, get all of our guys out of shooting distance from the Iranians. Let's get our high-end stuff. We'll hit the Iranians when we want to and, you know, we'll try and affect an outcome that way. But let's get into a position where we have the ability to maneuver and they don't have the ability to maneuver. But we're not doing that. We're basically leveling the playing field for the Iranians by leaving our guys within range of their ballistics and their drones. That is, that last day you're there is just hard for me to fathom the reality and the truth of it. We are taking every advantage of the opportunity that we can to sabotage even our tactical capabilities. We are literally putting ourselves in harm's way. We're putting ourselves in range of enemy targets. We're attacking targets that we can't defeat and we keep them there. Instead of just saying, walking away and saying, we can do this for a long reason.

28:48President Trump loves to talk about his B-52s, his B-2s, the big flying wing he loved to call it the other day. That still exists. You can still fly that thing in there if you ever needed to. You can do this whole over the horizon kind of thing. We could do that if it was necessary. If somehow Iran was out of nowhere threatening us, we could impose a significant cost on them at very little exposure to our own troops. If we needed to, but we don't need to, the all their years of their existence, they have never attacked us, never have. They wouldn't have had we not gone in here. I'm telling you categorically, Iran would never have attacked America. They would never have chosen to attack Israel, had we not gone in and lost these two wars in 2025 and 2026. It's a fact. And everybody in Iran knows Israel has around 200 nuclear weapons.

29:49So they're not suicidal and stupid. They have chosen not to have a nuclear weapon of their own chosen. They chose not to understand that. And they knew that it's a fool's game to get into. You could never outdo a nuclear power. So there's no point in even trying. As long as you leave them alone. Now if you keep pressing a bad situation, you may shove them with two hands into a nuclear weapons program. We don't know for right now. Ever since Operation Bidden-Out Hammer that he loves President Trump loves to tout his victory is a huge loss for us because we lost our eyes and ears in the country. And now in all these missile factories that are all over the country, we have literally no idea what's going on underneath any one of those spread throughout this country's biggest Western Europe. All kinds of things could be going on and we'll never know about it until we're shown it one of these days. Whether that's with a test or something else, but it should never have happened. But the bottom line is they're not going to come after us.

30:50So the only thing that makes any rational sense for the United States and this is one of the reasons, man, this is one of the reasons why it was such a loss for America, for Joe Kent to be pushed into resigning. Because that dude had the right answers. His advice was really sound. President Trump had access to it. He personally got, I think as recently as August or October of last year, he was still allowed into the presence of the president to give in this kind of advice. But there's too many wicked men inside his inner circle who are stupid, who are harmful to America, who are American lasters. I just got to throw that in there because it's desperately true. These people have been harming us by blocking people like Joe Kent out and apparently silencing the vice president. It reports her to be believed. And so now that the only ones left are those advocating stupid things. And as long as, and that's one of the reasons Joe comes on shows like ours.

31:51He goes on lots of others. He makes posts on his ex accounts. He's still given President Trump respect and the benefit of the doubt and the benefit of his sage advice walk away while we still can. I doubt he'll do it, but I hope he does. One of the other things that we learned this week from another combat veteran Steve Jeremy, former Commodore from the UK Navy. He says, listen, the end of our ability to basically gain air support that we have now exposed, been exposed here, changing nature of war. We're still behind the able and we ain't figured it out yet. And he's saying, listen, everybody needs to be aware that what has happened so far, no matter how many aircraft carriers we're having all this great images that makes on great TV. There's some real cost to have how implications can happen on the ground. What we're seeing in the air battle in Ukraine, but also in the air battle in Iran.

32:56And a lot of people have been focused on the last one, aircraft carriers and they're saying, well, aircraft carriers, this is the end of them. It may be it may not, but they're missing a fundamental point. It's not the end of aircraft carriers. It's the end of the ability to gain and maintain air superiority and see control. All that means is you can't deploy land forces abroad into a country which has strategic rocket forces like China or Russia or Iran. The biggest issue is seapar and air power. The ability to use seapar and air power to if necessary, fight your way in and then deploy your land power. If you can't get your logistics ashore into your mobilization bases to allow your direction maintain forces or get forces ashore, then you're in deep trouble. So I think the end of the ability to actually power project being able ultimately to put land forces into the theaters and achieve effects. And if you're no longer able to do that, then suddenly your force structure looks very

33:57weak as not the word because don't let me try to get across the impression that the American force structure isn't anything but extremely strong. It is. But for the mission of power projection, it's clear to me that it's no longer fit for purpose because actually if you're unable to for deploy those troops, you can't maintain their severity and you can't maintain sea control, then essentially you can't achieve power projection in the regions when you're coming up against these adversies. That power projection is this one thing we have relied on and hung our head on for decades. And I mean, all the way back into World War II that we could project power this far, even in World War I for that matter, Vietnam, Korea, etc. Iraq in 1991. Our ability to project power all over the place. Problem is now, they say 1990 anymore, keep saying that over and over, not 1992, the end of the Soviet Union. China's not this little power that they were, Russia's not a rust bucket anymore.

34:57We're actually in a neighborhood that has other players. And the technology of war is not what I went through in Desert Storm in 1991. Our, our fought there on nearly any category you want to have could not happen today. One of the reasons if Saudi Arabia actually gets invaded in the South, we can't go and save them like we did the last time when Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait and put his troops on the border of Saudi Arabia. They could easily have just rolled right into Saudi Arabia and taken it at the time. We put a couple of, what the whole speed bumps up with the 82nd, 101st Airborne divisions, a light infantry and then follow that soon with tanks and artillery and jets and helicopters and all that, which was part of the battle group I was in. We can't do that now because Iran, Iraq at the time, didn't have ballistic missiles. They had scuds, but those almost don't count because they were from like 50s technology and they were awful. They didn't, basically, didn't have an air force, but they didn't hardly have even a ground force. The drones weren't even existing on their side. They had no drones whatsoever.

35:59All we had is a few tactical drones. They didn't have an air force, so there's little to nothing they could do. That is no longer the case. Now even, answer a lot. The so-called Houthi rebels have ballistic missiles. They have a drone system. They have all kinds of stuff on the ground too. The world has changed. That's allegedly a non-state actor. He's sort of Sema, but you take somebody like Iran and now, obviously China now, obviously Russia now, obviously North Korea now. Or at least it should be obvious by this point. We can no longer just fight like it's 1990 anymore and we need to go understand there is a radical transformation that has happened, but we still are stuck in at the very best 2003. I think that it's still that we can just roll up the middle of Iraq and do whatever we want to do with having enough combat power and of tanks and artillery pieces and attack

37:00helicopters, ATN fighter jets, you name it, all the stuff in here, and our drone fire and our aircraft. Well, it's no longer that simple anymore. In fact, as Commodore Jeremy pointed out, the rules of the game had changed indelibly forever. They'll never go back and until we recognize that there are radical differences, we have to change our doctrine. We have to change the way we're organized for combat. We have to take change the kind of weapons we have, the way we actually conduct operations, everything has to radically transform. And so the only thing that makes any rational, logical, national security sense is to get the hell out of this war, get out of the Russia Ukraine war as fast as we can stop the bleeding. And start the, put up the best defense we got right now to keep our country safe and our allies, et cetera, and our interest around the world. Keep them safe, the best you can with what you got right now. Get out of every other one of these conflicts and start making some, I mean, like moonshot

38:04top changes right now. That means how you do your defense industrial base. That means the kind of weapons that you have, the system that you use to make these weapons, you can't go after these super-uber expensive years in the process for a single bloody missile. You've got to get rid of that. That won't work anymore. That's like an anchor to the past, which our adversaries have rushed past. And they can now defeat us with that because they understand our vulnerabilities and because of, we've given them every opportunity to physically learn how to defeat all of our best weapons systems and our tactics. And they can see very clearly we have not made the changes. Makes us very vulnerable. We need to get that stuff changed right now while we still can. Otherwise, if we continue just bludgeoning forward and pretend like it's still 1990 or 2003, we're going to find out on a future battlefield, a real one, just how wrong we've been, and we may never recover from that depending on how big the blunder is.

39:05Well, there's another issue that we had this week. Matt Bracken talked about one. We're going to call out the Bracken, release the Bracken because he's always on top of this stuff and he's turned into one of the favorite guests of our channel here. We really enjoy having him on. And I thought he did a really good job this week of saying that when you're talking about fighting war, everything is not numbers of missiles, planes, tanks, aircraft carriers, and all that kind of stuff. Even the tactics that we use, like I just mentioned here, but there's another issue. The moral component that probably is just as much and in some ways more important than even the physical. America cannot be the only country that's ever used nuclear bombs, especially not in a war we started. This didn't start in Pearl Harbor and we finished it in Hiroshima. When I grew up, that's what we always said. And I understand we had put crushing economic sanctions on Japan and they felt like they were in an economic war with us and they were just moving it to the military phase.

40:06But when I grew up, we would say, you started it in Pearl Harbor your way. We finished it in Hiroshima and Nagasaki our way. But we started this war with a sneak attack. If we start a war with sneak attacks and it didn't end in three or four days with a regime change and people dancing in the streets, thank you Trump. Ding dong, the witch is dead. It didn't work out at six months in. We're out of options. We've gone from sanctions to kinetic, back to sanctions. Maybe kinetic again. If there is anybody seriously talking about how we're going to potentially do new attacks, I think they need to come out. Even if they got to jump on their grenade and lose their pension. I think it's that important. Marka can't use nukes in a war. We started with sneak attacks. It'll look like we've ended with this country in the whole eyes of the world.

41:07And that bigger point that he makes there at the end is just hard to overstate. America has always been at least rhetorically. We're trying to be, we talked about this with Pete Pagikowski earlier this week, that we used to be the whitehead guys. That's the belief that I had when I signed up to be in the US Army. I volunteered to serve our country because I believed we were the whiteheads. I knew we always had some flaws and I never had this fantasy that we were just always the good guys and always right. I never believed that. But I believe that by and large that that was our primary driver. And by joining in, I had a chance to make sure that was the operational portion. We're losing that now. And that's even at the troop level. But at the national level, that's an even bigger problem as I've already shown you here what President Trump was doing just a minute ago about how he's basically just throwing Saudi Arabia under the bus and everything that they've ever done in the past and telling

42:10them, yeah, we're doing nothing for you. We got ours. We got to deal with the unsurpassed laws. So they're not going to leave us alone. So you're on your own. Oh, by the way, but I still want the oil. I still want all this investment. People are saying, yeah, forget you, man, that's the kind of thing that's going to drop people in saying we're going to leave you behind even in the time of war. That's why there's a risk of that. And when our allies in Asia, when our allies in Europe see how we abandon people in a minute, there's some real problems here. Because now then the very emotional moral foundation of what is America, what is their force? How is this power willed? Is just shredding and falling apart. People primarily believe us and gone with us because they believed that at least rhetorically that we were the whitehead guys or at least that they could benefit from us. But now then people are starting to see it, both inside our country and outside of our

43:11country, that that is no longer the case. And gone far enough that has combat power ramifications. Because if people don't believe in what they're doing on the inside, and I just gave you a glimpse of it just past week with the Pete Pagikowski show about his son who committed suicide nodule, that was one snapshot, but it's that's fraying even inside. And if people don't believe in the mission, they're not going to put their effort into it. I saw that too. And I saw that in 2011 in my combat deployment in Afghanistan, it's now getting worse. And then externally, people are seeing our word means literally nothing, our adversaries, our allies, independent countries. They see that you can't trust America for anything. So that thread through many of the comments here. Listen folks, this all has a consequence. The days that we could just do whatever we wanted and it wouldn't matter what anybody just thought are over.

44:11And the fact that they existed at all is why we're in this position here because the balance of power is changing in the world. And when you have a corrupt and flawed morality with a now a rotting and a rusting physical capability and your arrogance has not allowed you to see the need to change here. You are literally setting up the United States of America for fall. That's why I'm so passionate about this and so adamant about this and sounding the alarm. These things have real world consequences. We've lost the ability to think that there are ever any consequences. We've too many at the elite level think they can literally do whatever they want and nothing bad will ever happen. Not going to happen folks. It's not going to happen. I just pray we learn that before it's too late or at least when the consequences start imposing themselves, I pray to God that they're not too bad that we can wake up earlier in the process so that it's only a little bit of a pain and that we can then start making

45:13the changes and do the right thing before suffering catastrophic loss. Many countries in the past did not wake up in time and it cost them everything. It remains to be seen where we are. You will continue to have our focus here that we are unintimidated and uncompromised to bring you the truth because we love this country. We love the people that are in it. And we want to make sure that we can survive this and that we can make changes in people. And just listen like Joe Kent, if they'll just listen to what he was saying here, we could even avoid some of the worst outcomes. It remains to be seen if we will. It will not stop because we will keep giving the message until someone shuts us down or until we have success. Thanks very much folks. We look forward to seeing you Monday morning on the Daniel Davis Deep Dive.