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Wednesday 4th February 2026
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The RBA’s widely expected rate hike to 3.85% stole the show, but it was the sharper tone in the Statement on Monetary Policy and Michelle Bullock’s press conference that really moved markets, with the Bank now warning of broader‑based inflation pressures and pushing its return‑to‑target timeline all the way out to mid‑2028. The Aussie dollar surged past 70 US cents as equities softened and bond yields climbed. Meanwhile gold has bounced back a little, the US dollar slipped, the Fed’s loan officer survey showed mixed credit demand, Europe awaits fresh CPI, China’s services PMI is due, and with Washington still in partial shutdown the ADP report is the only US jobs data we’ll see this week, apart from what we can glean from the US services ISM out later. Skye Masters joins Phil to talk through it all.
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