Rajiv Sethi – Are Trump's Tariff Threats Working?

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1:04 Rajiv’s role in getting Glenn’s forthcoming book published

7:39 Self-censorship and racial passing

9:29 Rajiv’s work on parental investment and educational attainment

17:01 Rajiv: Prediction markets outperformed forecasting models in 2024

23:36 Are Trump’s tariff threats having their intended effects on foreign markets?

31:53 Why Paul Krugman won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2008

35:07 Rajiv recommends some public-facing economists

39:26 Secular backsliding in India

43:51 Trump’s revocation of LBJ’s 1965 anti-discrimination executive order

Recorded January 25, 2025

Links and Readings

Rajiv’s Substack, Imperfect Information

Rajiv post Substack post, “Self-Censorship, Passing, and Natural Cover”

James Weldon Johnson’s novel, The Autobiography of an Ex-Colored Man

Glenn and Rajiv’s 2014 conversation about self-censorship

Glenn and Young-Chul Kim’s article, “To Be, or Not to Be: Stereotypes, Identity Choice and Group Inequality”

Glenn and Rajiv’s previous conversation

Rajiv and Dyotona Dasgupta’s working paper, “Educational Standards and Parental Investment”

Rajiv’s post, “The Tariff Threat”

Paul Krugman’s post, “The Dollar and the Trade Deficit”

John Cochrane’s review of Late Admissions

Tyler Cowen’s Marginal Revolution

Gyan Mukherjee’s 1943 film, Kismet

Rajiv and Brendan O’Flaherty’s book, Shadows of Doubt: Stereotypes, Crime, and the Pursuit of Justice

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