PGA Round 2 Showdown - The Players Championship | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process | 03/13/26

0:00Recently, our company's softball team lost the big game by one run, then Dale tried to console us with the quote, winning isn't everything. Dale's a loser. I played a win, like early payout from Bet365. If my team goes up big, I get paid out instantly, even if they blow the lead later. Sounds familiar, Dale! Bet365. Winning is everything. Gamely Problem Call 100 Gambler, 21 plus only, must be physically located in Virginia, TNC's apply, in app only. Access to affordable credit helps me pay my employees, but I don't really need it. Infliction is killing me! Who cares? Big retailers are making record profits! That's why we support the Durban Marshall credit card bill! See? Banks and credit unions help small businesses make payroll. This bill would cut the vital resources they need. While increasing Megastore profits. They deserve it. Don't they? Tell Congress, stop the Durban Marshall money grab for corporate megastores. Paid for it by the Electronic Payments Coalition.

1:06All systems go. Clear the lift up. We are live, round two, PGA tour, players championship showdown, I know there's still some guys on the golf course right now, but I got a nice little agenda of what we are looking for for tomorrow, a nice little recap for round one and a fun day of golf on tap right now, currently in fun days that we've seen thus far. Maverick Winnelly leads the way with a few guys behind him, just in Thomas. Shout out, Dom Sinterino, I saw your tweets, we did our show this week, Dom Sinterino 175

2:07to 1JT. I mean, if JT has blood in the water, he's three back going into the weekend, leading for over the weekend. I feel all right with the 175 to one in my hand, Russell Henley, Leehad, his side, the Gala, all at four under, and there's a few guys still lurking around that four under number, and I'll talk about that four under five under number, always every single day. We talk about the guys who shot the round of the day, how they did it, how can what they did lead us to find some more guys to do what they did the next day, because as you guys know in JT, you want to have the best guys on the golf course. So what did Maverick, JT, Russell Henley, Leehad, his side, they were all all green zander guys. They were all solid across the board, not one person really flashed in one category, like oh, they just had a really, really solid putter. They just had a, it was all iron play. Yeah, Maverick hit his iron as well, saw his head as iron as well. Leehad just hit the iron as well. Like, you have to have good iron play, but it was just a lot of well-rounded golf to make that really solid around comfort version, and that really makes sense for TPC sawgrass.

3:10I talked about it all week, like you have to have the full bag, you have to have the driver, you have to have the irons in play, you have to have a good short game. And then from there, hopefully you can make some putts. So it's just very similar to what we're seeing last week in terms of predictability for round two, for round three. It's just a lot of well-rounded, all around stripes. It's Florida golf guys, like that's what we're getting. So look for Maverick right now. So E, 500, 67, solid on the off the tee, solid on approach, solid around the green, solid point, like not, he's not top 10 in any stat, and he has the round of the day so far. I'll show you another guy, Justin Thomas. Justin Thomas. It's both up the tee, 51st around the green. Sorry, 51st on approach, 43rd around the green, 6th with the putter, didn't do anything like so, so, so amazing, and was glaring anywhere else. So I guess that's going to foreshadow what we're looking for going forward, and we'll talk about how the course may or may not play differently, but it's just a lot of stripes,

4:11a lot of just well-rounded golf needed, but that's what we thought going forward. That's not any groundbreaking stuff for TPC sawgrass. So let's bring up data golf, bring up the wave, split, talk some scoring in round one and two. So I'll bring my screen up right now, sort by hourly weather forecast. Nope, that's not the right thing, whole by whole core stats, split by wave. As you can see, the PM wave is playing a tad easier than the AM wave. Is that going to come to fruition come tomorrow morning? Is these guys are probably going to have to finish? I mean, it's 5.30 right now. The sun sets probably around what, 6.45, 7pm, as a Florida resident, I guess I should know the answer to that, but I would say maybe an hour, hour 15, more golf to be played. There's probably going to be a few guys that need to finish their round, and it was spitting a little bit earlier, but it seems right now, scoring is viable. You can get low right now, and the PM wave has currently played easier. With that being said, if guys do have to finish in the morning, look what we got cooking

5:14for tomorrow, guys. Tomorrow, I will update this, so it's more of to date, CPC sawgrass, that location I have saved, one hour forecast, tomorrow morning, 8am, it's going to be blowing 14, gussing up to 30, 11am, blowing 9, gussing up to 25. And then once that PM wave kicks off, the wind's going to be a lot calmer. So I'm thinking tomorrow, tomorrow, it's going to be easier in the PM again. That's going to lead to, I guess, guys that T off later having the better showdown, but that's also going to lead to guys who may have to finish tomorrow morning, to bring that, we'll bring that scoring wave back to maybe closer to equal. So I know we have a whole another day to talk about a potential PM AM split, AM PM split, which we will get to, but I think tomorrow, we were going to look for guys to go off in this like 12pm or later, so that's kind of what I'm thinking. That's kind of what I am thinking for, for round two.

6:16It's like guys who guys go off the PM, like I want to avoid these heavy, heavy winds. Any advantage is, is, is an advantage. And also in terms of the course, look at this today, we obviously had a rain delay mid day. We also had some rain like right now. And if you go listen to Max Homa's quotes, Max Homa talked about how on Tuesday, they're like this golf course is so damn firm. And then he said today, I don't think we're going to see it close to that, what we saw on Tuesday. And I can confirm obviously I was out there Monday and Tuesday and I was, I told you guys, this golf course is so damn firm and I thought they would, they had it that way in preparation for the impending rain on Thursday. And I believe that's all the rain we're going to get for the rest of the week outside of Sunday afternoon, which is not really meaningful to what we're looking for for showdown and the rest of the week. So the golf course will play a little bit on the softers, not a little bit on the softer side in comparison to what we saw today, a little bit softer than it did today.

7:17So I think if you're in position, burgers are going to be viable, but also the winds are going to be kicked up tomorrow. So it's a little bit of give and take. What do you want? Hopefully the wind really drives it out quicker and then comes out of the day, we get back to the firmness that we saw today, saw earlier and saw on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday. So we will see, but as again, again, I will show you the screen. I'm looking for guys teeing off post 12 p.m. and if there's going to be a few guys have to finish around, maybe they'll go out a few minutes later to just a fight for that. So let's bring up some of the contests, some contests that I am looking for tomorrow. And I'll say firstly, $10 or $18 max, you can never go wrong with this payout structure. You can put 18 lineups in, $100 bucks total. You only have to beat that many guys if you, so let's do $11.76 divided by 18, sorry, 18 divided, $11.76, $11.76 divided by 18. If everyone max enters this contest, you only have to beat 65 other guys to $1,000 and

8:19I promise you not everyone will max enter this contest. So if you do max enter it, you have some serious layover potential to get an edge. And then also this one right here, obviously, you know, you know, I love the $55 contest, but I want to talk about this 3K Albatross. This 3K Albatross payout is really, really solid in my opinion. I do like this structure, only $294 contestants. It pays out the top 70 guys. So that's a nice little, what is that, what a $25, $24.5% of the leaderboard gets paid out. And I mean, you're not looking to win ever contest. I think there's a really good way to spend $12. Like I said, I'm not catering to you guys entering $2,000 per contest in terms of talking right now. This is the guy who wants to spend no more than 50 bucks. How do you want to spend your money? No more than 200 bucks. How do you want to spend your money? If I had that much spend, that's how I would do it. So contest selection, $10.18 max, and of course, that, a $12, single entry, what we got going on the leaderboard. Let me do a little leaderboard update because I know, I mean, I'm sweating too.

9:21This is a night. I'm sweating just as much as you guys are sweating. Lee Hodges, let's see what he's doing right now. He has six feet for birdie on 18 to ruin Maverick, we nearly first round leader. Great. Really fricking great. And Saehath, let's see what Saehath's up to. Did he hit his second shot into 14 yet? He has not. What about Zander, Charles Lee? And we're going to talk about some players soon. But Zander, look at this profile from Zander, Stripe Show. He could be, he's gaining five strokes ball striking in 13 holes, very impressive stuff. And with that being said, I guess that's going to lead me to my next point. Everyone's going to be on Zander tomorrow. And I love that. I love that because we have Zander week long. I think he's off to a great start. But I'm not sure I want to go to a chalky Zander, a chalky anyone, I, I, you guys know to avoid the chalk. I said the chalk that I was avoiding was calling this week, and it worked out, but I'm also, I'm also on a chalky Cam Young. Not that he's playing bad. Let's kind of see where Cam Young is starting.

10:23One under through 10. He can, he can shoot five under. Why not? Now he's got 10 feet for bird, make this and make three coming in. Why not, Cam Young? So that's that. Next thing I want to talk about is some media, sorry, some projections, some stuff like that. Go to the bio right now, use the code boots, use the links, the showdown projections will be posted in the next three hours or so. So you can get on there, make a player pool, sort by points per dollar, sort by ownership, fade the chalk. As always in Florida events, as always of the players, fading the chalk will do you more wellness than it will harm. So go to the site, you can also, you can get a free week still, you can get a free week still. And there will be boots for Valspar to use that free week, the stone, the stone is going to be really important this week, because I think this is a really important week to sort by true approach Delta, one bad iron shot in the water can have your stroke scan approach at minus two. When if you would have shot three feet to the left, it would have been even and you're like, oh, I'll play that even guy. I'm not going to play this minus two guy, you use the true approach Delta, we're the

11:26only only sites in the world where you can, I think we are the only site in the world where we give you that stat, it's a stat that aggregates the two or three worst iron shots of the day or worst approach shots and gives you a real true number minus in your workshop. I know you can't just subtract the worst shot of the day, but if he's hitting, if you're hitting 30 great iron shots and two of them are bad, you're going to have a really bad two of them in the water in the water, you're going to have a bad approach number. So use that approach Delta number, this will be updated rounds two to round four, like it said, probably by 8 30 PM 9 PM. And then this where you're going to go, you're going to join the site, if you want every single sport, all access plus optimizer, all access, the ultimate package, you can build every single sport, every single lineup, you get saber statements included, just hit right here to build your stuff. But if you just want the golf, which I don't blame you, I'm just a golf guy, PGA plus optimizer, if you want the same, if you just want the content, just hit PGA, use code boots, you'll get a free week. It is important stuff, important stuff.

12:28Now let's look at some of the stats. Let's find some players with, I love loving this segment with a glaring weaknesses. Who can, who can pop in the spots that we're looking for to, so what I said, we're looking for all around stripes. It's never easy. I think it's easier when we're looking for one thing, like looking for good drive and looking for approach. But the slates are calling for this, so that's what we're going to have to look for. So what I'm going to look for is guys who are just kind of even across the board with room to pop in one category. So let's see if we could find someone specifically. This guy right here, this is Lee Hodges, I don't love this profile because it's solid ball striking. Don't get me wrong. It's like a stroke ball striking, but it's four strokes game putting, three and a half strokes game putting. Now this is a really solid profile right here. I think O'Bare, he is gaining two and a half of the tee, 1.7 on approach. That's what, four, about four strokes did.

13:30So Lee Hodges made that putt, god damn it. I'm sweating my effort really first round later. That hurts. Damn it. I don't mean to complain on the stream, but I'm going to complain on the stream. That's back to, back to the, back to the stuff, sorry. So Ludwig, he's gaining what four strokes ball striking and he's about even short game. Ludwig is not the greatest short game player in the world. No one's ever going to say that. So yeah, he's plus 0.2 currently in the short game. If he has plus 1.2 plus 2.2 with the same ball striking, this minus three turns to a minus five. And then we're in for a nutty round tomorrow and he's going to go out in the afternoon which I'm liking so far. So Ludwig is a guy that I'm definitely looking for. Let's see who else has a profile that has not anything crazy, not anything too great. Who can pop? This Xander profile, I do think I want to get a little bit of piece, a little bit of piece

14:33of it, but I just don't want to chase his putter and I don't want to chase him if everyone's going to go to him. They're going to see this approach number. They're going to see the solid ball striking and be like, all right, Xander just needs a putt tomorrow. I'm probably going to pass on Xander, but I do think he has a low one in them. I just don't want to be in at the ownership. Lucas Glover. This is a pretty interesting profile for Lucas Glover. We know once he does find the putter, it sticks for a little bit. And the ball striking is not even close to Lucas Glover levels. We know Lucas Glover can gain two on approach and around if he really wants to. I don't think he's that far off. He looked at like he was hitting it well when I saw him over the week. So I wouldn't be too shocked to see Lucas Glover play some decent golf. So I'm down for him at what's, I don't know what his price is. Lucas Glover, whatever his price is probably in the 6K range. Let's find a few more guys. Who do we have here? This is a great profile. Danny Walker. I don't necessarily love Danny Walker in terms of a course fit, but he's proven to play really well here before. And he's got a perfect profile tomorrow. Like he is gaining about a stroke.

15:35We're all so ball striking, driving it OK, doing around the green OK, putting OK. Like he is so much room to pop and he's doing everything good. He's not doing one thing so poorly that's holding him back. Like if he pops in one of these categories, he can have a great round. Let's find some more. Let's find some more. William Mao, I don't necessarily love this profile because I don't love his round the green game. This is the perfect one right here. Cameron Young, I know he's got nine holes left, but let's see if he made that put in 11. Now that we're, now that we're, he did. Let's go see what I'm going to, I like kind of doing this stream while the shit's going on. Because it's making me sweat it out a little bit. But we're going to find some more profiles, specifically guys that are done. This Michael Brennan profile is so Michael Brennan three strokes off the tee and like even everywhere else that, but that's a great profile for his game because he's such an elite driver. He if he pops with his best tool, he doesn't need to gain anywhere else. Who else are we looking for? Now this is pretty solid. Alex Molley, I love Alex Molley around this golf course.

16:37He's gaining about a stroke and a half of a tee doing nothing else super fancy. But he can surely gain a stroke and a half on approach. We know how good Alex Molley is on approach. So I am down for that one more guy that I think I could find for you guys that has a solid profile to just solid ball striking, pop in one category. That's the way to do it. You need to be solid across the board. You need to be solid across the board. This is really solid. I like this from famous power. He's minus, he shot two over today, but he didn't do anything that bad. He lost 0.6 on off the tee, almost a full stroke on approach and a half stroke putting. That is not a, not a horrible profile. He shot two over tomorrow. He's going to go out on the PM. No one's going to click them. I love famous power at, he's going to be the six year range too. So those are some guys I'm looking for. Um, that leads us to the one golfer I am on for tomorrow. The one golfer that I am playing tomorrow, I forget all the top of my head, but I wrote it down because I, I mean, I got to stay prepared. Who, oh, I remember who it is.

17:38I remember who it is. The one golfer that I am on for tomorrow, drum roll, Daniel Berger. Who, who could forget that he won the All in the Palmer last week? I know I didn't forget. I'm kidding, I knew he wouldn't win the All in the Palmer last week. But Daniel Berger, like I said, the profile we're looking for, just steady across the board, has plenty of room to pop. Daniel Berger can gain a stroke on off the tee. Daniel Berger can surely gain three strokes on approach. The putter was fine. Around the green is about a zero. So much room to pop. He's going out in the PM as well. I, I love that. So Daniel Berger is the one golfer that I am on for tomorrow. Zander make another birdie. No, first bad job of the day for Zander. Can he make two more coming in? Come on, Zander, do it for me. Do it for me because we've Zander first round leader as well. Zander and Maverick. Some of the DFS plays that we were on. Um, it's a dead heat, but it is what it is. It is what it is. So that's the one guy I'm on. Daniel Berger, as always, the song of the day. Fools paradise by until I wake.

18:40It's on the playlist. You guys know where to get the playlist. And that's it. I'll catch you guys tomorrow. Tomorrow, not sure what time. Hopefully there's not too much of a delay. And as always, let's ship it. Any questions you want to find me? Peace out.