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President Donald Trump has now fully tied the United States to Ukraine in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, marking a sharp shift from his earlier stance of blaming it on Biden. Trump announced a 50-day ultimatum threatening harsh 100% tariffs on Russia unless a deal is reached, while simultaneously authorizing $10 billion in aid and more interceptor missiles for Ukraine.

Despite this aggressive support, analysts argue that Trump's 50-day deadline is unlikely to result in any significant change on the battlefield. There’s skepticism about his long-term strategy, with suggestions that he’s simply continuing Biden-era policies with minor adjustments, rather than presenting a new direction or exit plan.

The conversation underscores that both the U.S. and Russia are now deeply entrenched. Russia cannot politically afford to stop its military campaign without achieving its goals (particularly full control over the annexed territories), while the U.S. fears the geopolitical consequences of withdrawing support—especially with implications for Taiwan and other allies.

Critics argue that the Biden and now Trump administrations have locked the U.S. into a no-win situation where abandoning Ukraine could damage U.S. credibility globally, but continuing support may only prolong a conflict with no clear end in sight. Moreover, Ukraine’s internal issues—like corruption, poor mobilization, and flawed military leadership—are hampering its defense efforts regardless of external aid.

Ultimately, this shift means the war can no longer be branded as “Biden’s war.” It is now Trump’s as well—lock, stock, and barrel.

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