Michael Kramer Talks ERP, Risk Free Rates & Markets Ep.39

Episode 39:

On today's show I speak with Michael Kramer, Founder of MOTT Capital and creator of Reading the Markets, an SA Marketplace Service. Michael has over 25 years of experience as a buy-side trader, analysts and portfolio manager. He focuses on long-only macro themes and trends, looks for long-term thematic growth investments and uses options dta to find unusual activity.

• Higher for Longer
• Powell's Message of Data Dependence
• If Data Indicates Faster Tightening is Warranted, FED Will Increase Pace of Rate Hikes
• RISING M/M CORE CPI
• Recent january 2023 Data and Meaning
• Inflation is Cumulative
• Cleveland FED - Feb 23 and March 23 Forecasting
• 3 Ways to Reduce Inflation
• Labor Market
• Lower Unemployment Possible?
• Earnings Compression and Recession 
• Compressed Margins
• P/E for S&P 500 and Nasdaq is High
• Indexes are Most Expensive in Over a Decade
• Higher Rates Should Lead to Lower PE and Lower Stock Prices
• Equity Risk Premiums at Narrowest Spread in Over 15 Years
• Risk Free Rates Breaking Out
• Bond Yields
• Earnings Yields
• Fundamentals Matter
• CASH is King

 

Visit Michael on his SA Platform: https://seekingalpha.com/author/mott-capital-management

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