Is Louisville on Upset Alert Without Mikel Brown Jr.?

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1:00Oh, hey. Oh, hey. Oh, hey. Oh, hey. That's cold. And this is here at Harvard, Berhardy Way and M. And Lehigh, off to a good start, five, five, three minutes into the game. He's Brad Evans on pap oil for number to join the show is 3 1 0 8 4 0 49 10 that's 3 1 0 8 4 0 49 10 Brad before we get to some more well known teams and some bigger news here ahead of the official start of the man is tomorrow or the you know 16 games tomorrow 16 more games on Friday Preview A&M Lehigh I couldn't tell you who the hell wins this game you got to got a pick anything I know we just this game just started it's a couple minutes in but who did you like in this one? Yeah, I took Lehigh in this one lay the three and a half to be honest with you. I love fading swag teams in general and I'm a big fan of CJ McCullough may product of Lehigh which might have the most boring color scheme in all the division one sports. I mean brown come on bro

2:10It's bright. It's just uneventful in my mind. But anyway, I digress they look at Lehigh they're in number 24 the country in effective fugal percentage offense a decent defensive team not for a view A&M number 13 EFG defense over the last 30 days But you look at Lehigh a team that can seriously stroke it from outside a pad their last 10 games the mountain hawks are shooting 42.9% from distance got a little bit more size and preview A&M again, I think Lehigh is going to win this sucker by around five or six points going away. It's got to be a little tight all this finger is tight as I laid the three and a half but I think they do score the cover Okay, very good and then the winner of this game ends up playing who is the other one seed. It'll be the winner of this gets Florida. So the gators get the winner of this game prayer view an A&M and Lehigh just in case you're thinking hmm

3:11Or either of these teams the next UMBC or the next FDU we shall find out but brand like I said we've got some other big March Manus injury news to get to hear Mike Elbrown Louisville star player officially out for most likely the entire first weekend for Louisville He's definitely not going to be playing tomorrow or in their first round game I should say and that's pretty damn big because They were one seven and a half point favorites over South Florida. This game is tomorrow in Buffalo six verse 11 matchup in the East region Louisville now a four and a half point favorite without Mike Elbrown 18 points for game you and I have talked about this already briefly but now that he's officially going to miss this game Should you be picking South Florida in your bracket this feels like almost it almost like you have to this is the 11 that beats the six that that's the way I'm treating it here the bulls riding the momentum of the American conference championship that they won in the tournament and I think they knocked Louisville out I just I think the card now again Cardinals have played a couple of games about Mike Elbrown so it's not like this is this is the first one they were able to beat Miami without him in the final game of the regular season

4:19And then they nearly and then they beat SMU who's in the attorney playing tonight against Miami of Ohio And they nearly beat Miami again without Mike Elbrown But this is going to be a fifth straight miss game and now that you've got everybody entering a neutral court here And the teams know they're not getting Mike Elbrown they can prepare for con well the other best player on Louisville I just think South Florida I feel like this is this is almost a coin flip rather than Louisville being a five point favorite so I'm going with the bulls Yeah, and that lines come down it open at six and a half that's what South Florida was getting plus six and a half so it shaved two points off that plus four and a half right now at bed MGM Here's how important Mike Elbrown is for you newbies to the world of college basketball in the regular season for the Cardinals He accounted for 31.1% of the Lowell's possessions 29.3% of the team shots use way up there and assist rate Well the country leaders in that category he was eating 84.4% from the charity stripe over 50% inside the arc and 34.4% outside of it

5:28Averaging 18.2 points for game 3.3 rebounds and 4.7 assists is indispensable they can't replace them with somebody off the bench they anywhere close Even at that level a production he is the engine of this Louisville offense and you know it's a unique match if I didn't like it Even with Brown on the floor anyway because South Florida is a team that's really going to take advantage of what I feel is a soft interior We're through a company there of Louisville South Florida is one of the fastest teams in this entire field They're one of the best offensive rebounding teams in this entire field they're generating a second chance And their last 10 games on just over 38% of their possessions they really have excellent all ball pressure That's not great when you're missing the great Mike Elbrown to that back or there are a coke set of turnover over 20% of opponent possessions South Florida folks is I feel not just got a cover they're going to win straight up in this game And they may win between life 5 to 10 points is a terrible match up for the Louisville Cardinals they're going to have to be white hot if they want to survive and advance without Brown

6:36Yeah they also played a stretch of games from the middle middle of the middle of January without him as well And he had an injury earlier this season they lost the Tennessee by 21 they beat Montana and beat Cal on the road They lost the Stanford on the road lost the Duke beat Boston College lost a Virginia and then beat Pitt on the road So they went four and four without him earlier in the year and now these last three of these last four games without him They went three and one but again South Florida riding some momentum and Brandon I both on the bulls So look out for that in your bracket if you think Louisville succeed they're the favorite I don't really watch South Florida this year Just remember just know that Louisville's arguably their best and most valuable player is out or not only that game Even if they win he's out either Michigan State or North Dakota State so that probably makes you really like the Sparty party The Spartans to get to the sweet 16 assuming they take care of business against North Dakota State or maybe you just say screw itself

7:41Florida the bulls into the sweet 16 if you really feel and crazy but again my Kell Brown not going to play the first weekend for Louisville Brad let's talk Duke here because John Shire he did speak and we basically know with 99.9% certainty People of Foster is going to be out a while that's what he said a little while which could be the entire NCAA tournament I wouldn't expect to see him before the final four that's if Duke gets there They're starting Santa Patrick Gungba who we were talking with Mike Latula about last segment he is also basically almost certainly not going to play against Sienna And he could miss the first weekend so that poses an interesting question here we all assume Duke's not going to lose to Sienna They won the ACC tournament without Caleb Foster without Patrick Gungba if they lose to Sienna then nobody will ever have seen it come in I don't care what anybody in your group chat tells you I had Sienna money yeah show me show me Show me and not for just you know a dollar and fifty cents so anyway who is better positioned to test Duke in the second round game if both Gungba and Caleb Foster are out which looks like it could be most likely will be the case

8:52Is it Ohio State or is it TCU that's the eight versus nine game that's the first game of the tournament tomorrow in Greenville South Carolina Ohio State the eight seed favored by two and a half points red if you're hoping Duke goes down if you want Duke to lose Who's got a better chance to do it is it the buck eyes or is it the TCU Hornfrogs? I think it's great horny toads a TCU and the reason being is quite simple that front court is rather formidable for Jamie Dixon's club I look at Xavier Edmonds guy that's averaging right around a double double this season really gets it done on the glass I can score consistently inside Where he's heading over 61% from two point range a David punch is something that could really suck you in the mouth as well on the interior excellent rebounder in his own right excellent score as well So that one to punch I guess pun intended could be lethal to Duke at times you know the same agrees to Duke even without false or without a Gungba there's still a very cohesive and well connected defense

9:57They asphyxiate opponents they with the on ball pressure they guard relentlessly it is not an easy task on a per position basis of a ball through basket And TCU is at the greatest offensive team so they're shooting the ball better or the hornfrogs from outside here down the stretch But I think if if they're gonna spring an upset on that eight nine match whoever emerges whether it's the Ohio state I have to say that for copy right purposes by the way or TCU I think it's a hornfrogs that could maybe possibly push Duke but in the end Duke advances All right when we come back we're breaking down all the Friday games picks leans upset specials when we come back he's bread having some palpoil This is worse wood one scores Oh hello it's me the calculator that lives inside of tax layer I love numbers like 100 as in 100% as in tax layers 100% accuracy

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