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Inflation Held Steady in August, Pushing the Fed Towards a Rate Hike

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P.M. Edition for Sept. 11. New data from the Labor Department show that inflation held steady at 3.4% last month. As Journal economics reporter Justin Lahart explains, that puts pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates at its meeting next week. Plus, Anthropic found that Iran used the company’s AI tools to target U.S. forces in the Middle East. And on the 25th anniversary of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, we look at how travel security measures have changed with reporter Alison Sider. Alex Ossola hosts.


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Inflation Held Steady in August, Pushing the Fed Towards a Rate Hike

WSJ What’s News

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WSJ What’s NewsInflation Held Steady in August, Pushing the Fed Towards a Rate Hike. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

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I'm Alex O'Sullef for the Wall Street Journal. This is the PM edition of What's News, the top headlines and business stories that move the world today. A new report out from the Labor Department today showed that the inflation rate held steady at 3.4% in August. That was in line with analyst expectations, but is higher than the Fed's 2% target, which is likely to have big implications for the Central Banks meeting next week. WSJA Economics reporter Justin Lehart is here with more on the numbers. Just an overall inflation was at 2.4% at the start of the year, and it was expected to cool. Why didn't that happen? What is keeping inflation so high? Well, I mean, the biggest thing is just energy prices. With the war in Iran, we've seen gasoline prices shoot up. If you drove down the highway today, you would see diesel prices above $6, which is a new record. There may still be some lag defects from tariffs.

And then also the AI buildout is pushing prices higher for some goods, particular things, that have like DRAM memory. You know, we saw this week that Apple came out with their new phone that's going to cost $1,99. And we know that that price was boosted by these memory costs. You know, it's not what the Fed wanted to see this year. I have to think that this reading puts pressure on the Fed to raise rates next week. How certain are investors and analysts that this is going to happen? They're pretty certain at this point. Something could happen over the weekend, I suppose. But, you know, it could be concerning if they didn't raise rates. People would be wondering what happens if inflation stays elevated. It's very hard to raise rates at the October meeting since it comes right before the midterm elections. Waiting around until December, you know, and then maybe having a worse inflation situation. That is not a good look for the Fed, especially the time when there's concerns that the Fed is being politicized.

They really want to show their independence. And frankly, most people think they should hike. So if there's a little question about the next meeting, is the question then for investors, what about future meetings? Yeah, a lot of it comes down to that. What is going to happen with energy prices in particular? Are we going to see any sort of cooling of what's going on? In the Middle East, are we going to see any sort of decline in energy prices? A lot of times, you know, economists, federal reserve officials, like it sort of looks through energy prices because they're only temporary. They're affected on inflation, ultimately. But in this case, if people start to expect higher inflation, that could be self-fulfilling. You can end up with a bigger inflation problem than you would have had otherwise. All of this sort of comes into the Fed's thinking. That was WSJ Economics reporter Justin Lehart. Thank you, Justin. All right, thank you. US indexes rallied today adding nearly 1%. A signal that investors like the idea of a rate hike tamping down inflation.

Brent crude futures were volatile after Saudi Arabia shut down a crucial pipeline that allowed the kingdom to continue exporting crude oil after Iran closed the straight-of-war moves, saying it had been attacked multiple times as fighting across the Middle East flared. Brent crude futures ultimately settled just shy of $105. Anthropics says Iran used its AI models to target US Navy ships in the Middle East. A report from the AI company found an Iranian-linked group compiled information from transponders and satellite photos to track American warships and look for vulnerabilities. Anthropics said it disrupted the plot. The funding was one of several threats outlined in the report that offered up a playbook of how US adversaries are using AI in new ways that pose serious threats to national security, including creating new missiles and aggressive disinformation campaigns, spying on dissidents, and trying to develop biological weapons.

And Maine Republican Senator Susan Collins criticized President Trump's trade dispute with Canada. She's working closely with Trump administration officials to try to lessen the impact of the terror fight, but in an exclusive interview with the Wall Street Journal, she said that President Trump's tone and rhetoric have been inappropriate and unhelpful. The White House didn't immediately comment. The Trade War has an outsized impact in Maine, which counts Canada as its top trading partner, and complicates Collins' bid for re-election, her toughest and her nearly 30-year career. Coming up, the 9-11 Remembrance Ceremonies that took place today and how airport security has evolved in the last 25 years, more after the break. When was the last time you went on a journey that changed you? At a time when booking trips has never been easier, discerning travelers are looking to in-the-no experts for deeper, richer experiences. That's why so many tend to luxury travel specialists,

Abercrombie and Kent, the trips that run from active adventures to wilderness escapes, to create memories that last a lifetime. To find out more, visit AbercrombieCent.com. America marked 25 years since the September 11th attacks at Remembrance Ceremonies today, honoring the nearly 3,000 people killed in the deadliest terrorist attack on US soil. At a ref-laying ceremony at the Pentagon, President Trump said the days following the attacks showed the country's authentic spirit. Today we renew the sacred oath that we first swore in their names a quarter of a century ago. We will never, ever forget. In New York City, former president George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, and Joe Biden attended the ground zero ceremony. Former New York governor George Pataki, and former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, along with current mayor Zoraan Mamdani,

were also there, as was Vice President J.D. Vance. In ways large and small, the 9-11 terrorist attacks have had a lasting effect on Americans' politics, economy, and psyche. A quarter century on, travel security measures remain fundamentally changed. Many of us can't remember a time when catching a flight didn't mean putting our liquids in plastic bags and taking off our belts and jackets. But now it's starting to change again. Allison Cider covers air travel and is here to tell us more. Allison, what was the goal of these post-9-11 changes to airport security? Security has evolved a lot. In response directly to 9-11 and subsequent threats, it had been a patchwork of airline and airport responsibility, and they really wanted to standardize security at airports, make it a government's function, and prevents terrorists from utilizing airplanes to conduct attacks. Pre-9-11, anyone could go meet someone at the gate,

and now really only travelers can go through airport security if they're traveling that day. We're taking our shoes off. You're taking liquids out of your bag. You're taking laptops out of your bag. Remember picking my dad up at the gate pre-9-11? Totally, or we're going to pick my grandparents up. The process has just become a lot more intensive. Lines got a lot longer. Everything is more of a hassle. Of course, he has a say in the government would argue that this all makes a safer, but it indisputably also sort of makes things more annoying. I was looking back at some of the journal's coverage just after 9-11, and I think it's easy for us to forget just how scared people were, particularly to fly. These security measures helped reassure people at that moment. But 25 years later, some of these restrictions are changing now. Last year, then Department of Homeland Security Secretary Christy Nome said, travelers no longer had to take off their shoes when they go through airport security. Why make this change now, and what are some of the other things that changed? The shoe rule has always been pretty unpopular, it's blamed for clogging up lines, everyone sort of hates dealing with it.

That actually was implemented a couple years after 9-11. It was in response to Richard Reed, his abortive attempt to detonate a bomb that was hidden in his shoe on a flight. The administration felt that with new technology that's been deployed at many airports that this was something that they could do that obviously would make people feel very happy. And obviously this was a pretty popular move. What does security officials make of this? Well, you know, there has been criticism internally within DHS about revoking the shoe requirements. There was an internal watchdog within the Department of Homeland Security that found that Secretary Christy Nome hadn't really considered all the safety ramifications of removing this requirement. That some of these scanners are actually able to scan through people's shoes and that a new security vulnerability had been created as a result of removing this requirement. We reached out to DHS for comment and they didn't respond. When the journal first reported this earlier this year, a spokeswoman disputed the claims and said that Nome had appropriately responded to the findings.

But Allison, aside from the shoes, we've seen the rise of other ways people can speed up their security checks, right? Eric Travel is a more bifurcated experience and security is just one way that that manifests. You see it obviously in the cabin where it's economy, it's premium economy, extra leg room business class, first class. And that's already come to security as well. I mean, there's TSA pre-check, which is sort of like the most basic, most accessible pre-clearance option. You could do clear, which works with TSA, but they kind of take you to the front of the line. Also, at some airports, if you're in the most premium cabin on your airline, they might have a priority lane for you or a specific security lane that you can go through. And at the very upper, upper echelon of things are like really luxurious remote screening terminals where they have an arrangement with TSA where they can screen you there. There is also the TSA pilot program to do offsite security, which they did this summer in Boston.

Can we expect more of this kind of thing to come more ways to skirt the main airport security line, no matter whether you're willing to pay a little bit or a lot? Yes, the current administration and NTSA in general is really interested in finding ways to alleviate pressure on the airports to make this an easier experience. Airports are really interested in this idea because of the potential to alleviate lines. A lot of these airport terminals weren't initially designed to have huge lines building up because decades ago there weren't huge security lines, so it's been an experience challenge for airports too. But just this week, TSA announced a new program that will have more people going through security, right? Even if they're not traveling, it's called gate side, it's for pre-check members, it's at 13 airports around the country. It will allow non-travelers people without a ticket to go to airport gates, you know, to meet a loved one or someone needs extra help. It'll be interesting to see if people actually still want to do that or like our behavior has changed.

And just to kind of sum things up, is it safer to fly now than it was before 9-11? Well, I mean, there has not been another terror attack, so in some ways it's sort of hard to argue with success. That says we don't really know what other threats there may have been, what has been prevented, and how you hear about lapses when they happen, but we don't know every threat that may have been stopped. It is sort of hard to say definitively what has been accomplished, but you know, it definitely does feel safer to fly. That was WSJ Reporter, Alison Zider. Thanks, Alison. Thanks. And that's what's news for this week. Tomorrow you can look out for our weekly markets wrap up what's news in markets. Then on Sunday we'll be discussing Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's personnel changes to the US military. That's in what's news Sunday. And we'll be back with our regular show on Monday morning. Today's show was produced by Danny Lewis with supervising producer Katie Ferguson. Michael Laval wrote our theme music. I shall missling this our development producer Chris Sinsley is our deputy editor and lethal Molod is our senior director of shows.

I'm Alex O'Sullough, have a great weekend and thanks for listening. This message comes from Viking committed to exploring the world in comfort journey through the heart of Europe on an elegant Viking longship with thoughtful service, destination focused dining and cultural enrichment on board and on shore. And every Viking voyage is all inclusive with no children and no casinos. Discover more at Viking.com.

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