How Long Before the Next Recession?

Season 10 Episode 07
Going into 2023, almost everyone was predicting a recession within the next 12 months. However, what we saw was quite the opposite: the U.S. economy grew at a 2.5% year-over-year pace, and the unemployment rate stayed below 4%. This positive momentum has continued into this year, although the economy is gradually cooling. This robust economic performance has been puzzling because many of the typical recession indicators have been flashing red for a while. This raises the question: how long can the U.S. continue to avoid a recession, and if one were to occur, what would likely trigger it? To help us dive deeper into this question, Mary Park Durham will be interviewing the usual host, Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management.