
Hindsight Bias: Why Every Market Move Looks Obvious Afterward (EP.262)
About this episode
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After every major market move, investors are tempted to say, "I knew that was going to happen." In this episode, we explore hindsight bias: the mental shortcut that makes the past look more predictable than it really was, and why that can be dangerous for your portfolio.
Listen now and learn:
► Why past market events often look clearer in hindsight than they felt in real time
► How the "I knew it" trap can lead investors toward overconfidence and market timing
► Why diversified portfolios can feel disappointing when judged only after the fact
► A simple way to make future investment decisions less dependent on unreliable memory
Visit www.TheLongTermInvestor.com for show notes, free resources, and a place to submit questions.
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The commentary in this "post" (including any related blog, podcasts, videos, and social media) reflects the personal opinions, viewpoints, and analyses of the Plancorp LLC employees providing such comments, and should not be regarded the views of Plancorp LLC. or its respective affiliates or as a description of advisory services provided by Plancorp LLC or performance returns of any Plancorp LLC client.
References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others.
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