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Trade winds usually trap warm water in the western Pacific. This year, westerly wind bursts flipped that flow east, that’s El Niño.
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Adapt 2030 — Every 2–7 Years This Year It’s El Niño!. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
Remember, normally those trade winds hold all the warm water back in the western Pacific. At least that's how it normally works. But this year we've had several reversals of those winds called the Westernly Wind Bursts. Instead of shoving the warm water west, the winds briefly flip around and push from west to east. And there's your El Nino phenomenon. Every two to seven years we get one of these reversals in the atmosphere. The wind starts pushing the opposite direction. And here we are this year. So let me roll you through some slides. I want to take you back to seven strongest El Nino's on record. So the largest one on the left side is December of 2026. On the forecast, which I'm going to say are egregiously high compared to the newest ones, which I'll show you as well. 2015, 1997, 1982, 1972.
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