Episode 489 - Week 1 NFL Prediction Show

0:00Welcome to Drinking Throw! Yeah, welcome to week one of the NFL Pickham show brought to you by MyBookie.com. From a code, bros, get 50. Gonna get you that $500 bet back. There it is on the screen right there. If you go to MyBookie.com, switch over to that other screen real quick, let the audience see that there. Boom, there it is. 500 right in your face, dude. Right in your face right there. You're gonna get an extra $50, $25 on a free spin at the casino or Blackjack or poker, whatever you do over there. And then a $25 free play on top of that. If you lose the 500, it'll just give it right back to you. Make sure to use that promo code, Drinking Bros. Brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr. NFL's finally back, Anthony.

1:01We just had our fantasy football draft the other night and cut throat killer's league. How do you feel about your team this year? Feel fine. Deal. Yeah, I wanted to get AJ Brown to, I think the biggest or one of the other aside from Borough and Jamar Chase. I think Drake made AJ Brown is gonna be one of the biggest fantasy point scores. season long. Questionable about Nakuwa. Nakuwa's availability because he's got legal troubles. Yeah. Questionable about Burrow's availability because he's never available. It's not his fault, but aside from those other two connections, I think Drake made it. AJ Brown is going to be the biggest one this season, but I didn't get him. I got Amin Ross, he's Brown and Garrett Wilson instead. So I'm not going to play. He's great. Garrett Wilson is elite. The problem is, well, Gino Smith, I guess, uh, Gino's going to throw for like 4,500 yards and they're going to

2:02win four games. Exactly. And I think I'll be throwing the whole time. And same thing with May, I think I think the New England's going to have to throw the ball a lot this year. That's why I picked them. Well, Traeby on Henderson is out this week. So yes, he will be chucking the ball around tonight. Here's what I got caught. This is the hardest league of all time, which is why we decided to renew it. Josh McCleurg made this bet a couple years ago. And it truly is the best of the best. And my God, man, each pick was about 15, 16 seconds. And then it gets to you and you're like, Oh, shit, what do I do? Matt Stafford was around in the seventh round, which I was shocked by. I've got him, I mean, obviously won the MVP last year. I've got him doing some good things there, especially with that defense. But then, man, I'm wondering about Sequon Barkley and Derek Henry in their age. At some point, these guys have to slow down. I'm just hoping it's not this year. I got to be a booka on there, Marvin Harrison Jr. Because I think he'll have a breakout season,

3:03finally, with a new quarterback for the entire season. Dalton, Concade is one of the best tight ends I've ever seen. Kyron Williams is in there for the Rams, Seahawks, defense, and then my boy, Cam Little, my sleeper this year. Kind of, I always take a couple rookies and see how they do. My Kai Lemmon for Philadelphia. He'll be filling in for that AJ Brown rule. I don't think you can call him a sleeper. You don't think so? Is he going to see the, like, will he see the field though that much and get a lot of touches over Devon to Smith? Yeah. He thinks so. I hope so. AJ Brown did. I hope so. I just, I don't know about Jalen Hertz. It's always my question, Mark. It'll depend on his capability. It won't be because of play calling. He can catch anything, but I'll see. Well, I didn't college, at least I should say USC, but yeah, my only worry is about Jalen Hertz. So this was one of those years where, fuck dude, I, I, you're kind of panic because it's going so fast in that draft. I feel good. Not great. Last year, well, last year I felt great in my

4:07fucking loss. So we'll see what happens this year. My sleeper is, uh, Keishan Boot from LSU. Okay. That's a good one. I think he's going to have a breakout with Houston this year. Who did you miss that you really wanted? AJ Brown's the only one I missed that I really wanted. I wanted price. I think it's a, AJ Brown's a high risk, high reward guy. He always has been. He always puts up numbers, but on a new team, they, they tolerated him the last season and a half and Philly. Um, we'll see maybe Raible Kinlonum, Diana Rossini to keep him calm or something. I don't know. He was lighting people up in preseason, man. AJ Brown looked great. So I'm, I'm curious to see how he does. He'll be playing for a big contract. I like him this year. My biggest miss, I think was Jiren Price for the Seahawks. You and I were high on him. He was the backup for Notre Dame and he was great to put unfortunately, Jeremiah Love was ahead of him.

5:10Yeah. I'm still able to put up, you know, six, 700 yards. I think that, that kid's going to be really fucking good. My other sleeper is, uh, Mar Sean Lloyd. He came out of USC a couple of years ago. Um, he's going to be starting for Green Bay this year who loves to run the ball. He, he's been hurt, but everybody says he's a full strength now and he may end up. What, we'll see how it goes with, um, with, uh, gentying price. People get hurt. So I've got, I feel like I've got a pretty good, I've got a Taijai Spears from Tennessee too. Okay. Uh, but I, I feel pretty good at running back. Yeah. Yeah. I loaded up on running backs. That was, I think my first four picks in this draft. Uh, one of the biggest shockers though was somebody did go, uh, up to get a kicker in round six this year. I knew it. I knew what would happen. I knew it was going to be Brandon Aubrey, but not six. I mean, he's going to score a lot. They're going to score a lot. I just don't, he might have 20 points of game. No, they can get the ball in the end zone. If he has 20 points of game, the, uh, they're in trouble. I think this, the 20 points of game, those from 60 orders. I mean,

6:15that guy is just fucking automatic. The, the, if this version of the Cowboys has that much trouble getting the ball in the end zone or at least in the red zone, then they're fucked. Um, if they can't do it with, uh, Javante Williams, who had a great year for them last year and all the offensive talent they have, if they're kicking 60 yard field goals on a regular basis, they're fucked with CDLAM and George Pickens and Jake Ferguson. Uh, that would be a total loss for them. I agree, dude. I agree. I think it's too early. Um, but I did know it was going to happen. One of our listeners hit me up, uh, posted a picture of one of the championship with my kid a couple of weeks ago and he goes, hey, then the wild part about this show and the community and everything has just been going for 12 years. Everybody's older. Everybody's got kids now. You're self included. He's like, do you have any advice for, for coaching and all that other stuff? And I'm like, yeah, but I have to tell you on the show, I think it'd be too long for, uh,

7:19a post or something like that. Here's what I'm seeing in all these sports because I coached all different sports all the way around the board. Every single parent is doing a specialty position in an exact sport at a very, very young age, which is why you're seeing these kickers and punners and, uh, uh, fucking lacrosse players and soccer players and all this other shit baseball players. Jesus Christ, those are, I, there's five year olds, man, who are using private coaches already. Do you agree with that? You and I didn't grow up in that era, well, we just kind of played all the sports and then whatever happened happened. Um, I don't think that that, well, I guess it depends if you want your kid to be really good at something that's fine. If you wanted to be great, probably not because greatness comes from, um, typically from aberrant skills and aberrant skills typically come from aberrant, um, experiences like a guy, for example, who has a late growth spurt like KG. KG was one of the first

8:27guys that was a legit seven footer that was, uh, shooting from 18 feet, 18 to 21 feet. Um, and the reason he was able to do that is because until, uh, and I used to see him playing because he went to the same high school, he graduated while he didn't graduate. He went to a, uh, preps school after, but he was a sophomore junior at Maldon where I went to school. And we would see him playing on the playground. And he was six six six six seven, uh, six six six, probably six five six six until, um, until junior and senior year, which he was gone by then. But he was playing like a small Ford or a big guard like a Jordan type, uh, handled the ball really well. And then he got big turned into a great defender because of his length and could still shoot the ball. People like that's the kind, that's like greatness. That's where greatness comes from. It comes from driving ambition to, but sometimes it comes from, uh, aberrant skill sets. So the one of the things

9:28that makes Patrick Mahomes great is not that he has a great release point or a quick release or his pocket presence, but his ability to do unconventional shit. And the reason he can do that is because he played shortstop as a baseball player. Um, you could say the same thing about, uh, Kyler Murray, not that he's great necessarily, but the, the ability to overcome being five nine in the NFL and put up numbers as a result of being a shortstop and baseball. So no, I don't think highly specialized coaches churns out anything more than like if you've got a obvious mechanical hitch, like, uh, manning did up until this year. Do you got to deal with that for sure? But as a child, no, that's not necessary. I don't think I agree, man. And I had the same conversation with my wife. The other part about it is if you specialize in one position, um, like a lot of parents are doing in one specific sports, you burn out. Um, you can only do the same thing over and over again so many fucking times before you eventually just like, all right, great. And then what happens if he doesn't

10:29make it and you started him at, you know, five, six years old with that one singular position and that one singular sports, he spent all that money and he's not good enough by the time, you know, the end of senior year rolls around of high school. I personally would just haven't played everything. So we have the kids play everything and then as they get older, they find the sport that they love and then it kind of separates itself. But, uh, I'm with you, man. I'd put them in everything you could possibly do. I know Jordan was like that. He played all the sports homes, all those guys. I just don't agree with it. And I'm sure you guys are seeing it on every fucking field in America where you got this coach and he's got five or six kids and normally working on this one thing over and over and over again. I don't think it's necessarily good, um, at this age. When you get older, yes, absolutely high school, but it's not now. Um, that's a little much for me. Uh, but that's just the two cents since you guys asked out there, uh, football season. Thank God is back tonight in

11:29the NFL. I got my days mixed up when you and I were texting, uh, that Australia game is actually tomorrow night on Netflix. Um, and that is the Rams versus the 49ers tonight is the rematch of New England and Seattle. Usually this game takes place on Thursdays every year, but it appears as if the NFL just wants to eat up every single piece of ratings they can get and soak up every last dollar that they can get because this is the highest rated sport. There is in Americans, the highest rated programming on television. So I understand why they're doing it. It's just going to get weird and Anthony Danzler did a great job of kind of outlining where all the games are. Uh, I asked him to post a weekly if he's a, if he's allowed to or available to and, uh, uh, he's going to try his best over there, but, um, let's just start off with the, uh, the quake hitters here, uh, of who's doing what and who's not playing. Uh, Aaron Donald will not travel to Australia. He is out. So if you got the Rams defense or you're potentially betting the Rams, please keep that in mind.

12:33Um, he is not even going on the plane. I think it's smart, by the way. Uh, he's been off for two years. There's no reason to fly to Australia after practicing a couple of weeks and trying to get back in the swing of things. I don't think you need him week one. Uh, even if you lose the game, I don't think it matters week one. Uh, let's see Baker Mayfield reached a surprise extension last night, three years, $165 million. That is 60 million a year. How do you feel about that? Um, he earned it. I agree. He's the face of the franchise. Pay him. He said, Hey, dude, I'm going to be a free agent. Fuck this. I just want to play football. I don't want to deal with this shit. Either you can pay me whatever the other quarterback is getting, um, or fuck off. And I think this was smart by the Buccaneers, uh, obviously smart for Baker. And for a guy, if you want to pull this up, dude, he was on the scout team for the Carolina Panthers one year, playing defensive and in practice. Um, and has now made $265 million in his career.

13:42Congratulations, Baker Mayfield, man. Uh, there he is. Yep. Scroll down. Uh, one more. There you go. This is fucking insane, dude. Insane, you know, now he's $265 million richer. After all this hard work and bouncing from team to team to team, not only see the face of the franchise down there in Tampa, but, um, unbelievable fucking heart. And if you're looking for a leader, this is a no brainer to me. Uh, even if you just want to say thanks, thanks for keeping his fucking relevant and putting asses in the seats every year. Uh, I mean, you look at him stats. Yeah, I think one sort of, I think, um, the Bucks, I, I think they're a really good team. I think they will be good. I think they still need a couple more pieces. Um, I think they need to stay healthy. Yeah. Their problem is that they're the bottom third

14:47and the league in defense. Yeah, that's exactly what a defense is. They're, they're a killi seal. We'll see, we'll see how they, um, we'll see how they do. I think, um, picking up Kenny Gainwell is a big thing for them. It went more or less unnoticed in the off season. Gainwell had 75 receptions as a running back last year. Split formation with Bucky Irving who went healthy is going to give you 1200 yards. And, um, I expect a mecca of Bukka, whoever drafted him a fantasy, you got a steal. I did. No matter where you're talking because he's going to get, he'll have 1400 yards or and and 10 touchdowns this year. Yeah, I agree in that. That's sophomore years where a lot of these receivers really explode. And he was high on my list. He was my first receiver. I took, he only got time, significant time last year because God won and fucking, um, Mike Evans were both hurt. Mm hmm. Um, Evans still almost got a thousand yards, but Evans is gone now. Evans is gone.

15:52Godwin is he's back. He's back. Uh, hopefully he states healthy. It's a midr his last year. Uh, looking at the rest of this, my homes is expected to start for the Monday night football opener. Um, off of a tornado. So Justin Fields will not be playing that game. Hopefully. Uh, let's see. Traveon Henderson is out tonight. So that is a big deal for New England's. That one hurts. Uh, and then Tyocadas out tonight for the Seahawks starting safety back there. Um, and uh, yeah, dude. Uh, it should be fun. Now I look, I'm looking forward to it. Um, I'm looking forward to any football being back for Christ's sakes. Uh, so let's get into it. We have already made our Super Bowl predictions on the way to early NFL prediction show. Uh, we'll do actually we'll do the sponsors first and then we'll get into it. Uh, mybookie.com. So all these spreads are common from bros get back 50 is the promo code there. Uh,

16:56you get that $500 bet back. If you lose, get the money right back. If you win, you can just cash out and go home free $25 casino credits free $25. Uh, play as well. And then is that a 200% crypto casino welcome bonus. Yeah, that looks new. I know that is new. Uh, but my bookies got everything up there. So I'm going to be teasing this game tonight. Is I want to watch the entire thing? I'm going to stay up uh, late and do some business taxes too. I just want something on the background, dude. So happy. Edith fell's back. Uh, they got everything you can bet on the Super Bowl right now. Best odds you're going to get Rams are favorite in that and a national championship odds have changed dramatically since LSU's in Fatick win over Clemson. Go to mybookie.com. Romaco bros get back 50. Uh, it's going to get you that $500 bet back. If you want tickets to any of these events, go to

17:57drink a bros tickets.com $10 cheaper than sub hub. Uh, most expensive tickets this year are cowboys and buffalo bills for two different reasons. Bills got a brand new stadium. So everybody wants to see that. Cowboys. Well, they believe. I always believe for Christ's sex and they got a decent defense. Um, rumor coming out of that camp is Caleb Downs might be returning kicks, might be doing some receiving. Anything you could possibly do on that team and got his superstar there, expecting being things out of Dallas. So I understand. Uh, I get it. And it'll be playoffs are coming up as well. Might be the last one for a while with a shutdown. Next up is first form.com forward slash drinking bros five free meat sticks with a purchase of any supplements. Boom. These optigreens counts. Uh, if you want them, there they are. There's the there's the sharp cheddar is right in front daddy right there. Yeah. Yeah. Coupe. Yeah. Yeah. Show me those. Um, but if you want that whole box, yes, it's a whole box. Uh, all you got to do is

19:02just buy any supplement off the site. They got brand new red ruby protein powder over there. Pumpkin spices back for the fall. That's nice and lovely. Uh, creatine level one bars are lights out. They got a million flavors in all of them. Uh, peruse their entire site. The microfactors are great. Text the guesswork out of vitamins. Everything is awesome there. This is the best supplement company on the planet by any one supplements. Get five meat sticks for free at first form.com forward slash drinking bros. That is first form. 12 of the one is one STPHORM first form.com forward slash drinking bros orders over $125 shipped for free there. Last but not least their own hard AFseltser.com if you're tailgating around the nation for any of these NFL games, uh, all week now you know Wednesday, Thursday, NFL, college Friday, college Saturday, NFL Sunday, NFL Monday, my godman, six days worth of football go to hard AFseltser.com, click on the store

20:08locator and your city or zip it'll take you to the closest location nearest you. Texas you can hit all those HEBs and those total lines. Uh, two thirds of the circle case and Alabama, all the total lines down there in Georgia are stocked up. Uh, USA to go. It's up in Michigan, dude. We love you guys. Uh, thanks for having us up there, Michigan cans, uh, going by those out now before you lose to Oklahoma this weekend. Uh, our favorite Watkins distribution. Uh, in Idaho's got you all stocked up at every single Albertsons in the States, every single circle K in the States and then, uh, all the town pumps up in Montana and circle K's there as well, North Carolina will be open in 10 days, looking forward to that. And that'll be from Charlotte to Raleigh. Charlotte to Raleigh. Uh, listening to him hit me up is like, hey, no, I was at the fucking food line in Wilmington. It's not here. It's not here. Uh, we outgrew that distributor, got a bigger one. We're in half the States and then we'll pick up the other half the States and, uh, big things popping. All right. Let's get into the odds. Shall we?

21:13Ooh, these dropped shit. Okay. Half a point already. Uh, Patriots at the Seahawks rematch of the last Super Bowl. This is Seattle minus three at home. Who do you got, Dan? Patriots money line. Really? Why? I think it's going to take the Seahawks a minute to get their shit together. I think they're tired. Yeah, it was weird. I watched their hard knocks. Um, and here's where I'm torn and why I'm torn. It was boring as shit. I don't know that any of these guys party or do anything. I mean, that's not so bad thing necessarily. That's what I'm saying. And they've got a great defense, um, and very tough at home as everyone knows. But I think the Patriots are coming out swinging today. With AJ Brown. Mm-hmm. Anything could be throwing the ball out tonight? Okay. You're going to talk me into this right now. I think that, um, two of the three losses

22:16for Seattle last year were at home. In close games, I think both score, one score less in those games. Okay. Um, and, uh, yeah, I think this is, I think they're going to lose this first game. It's just my, my, I don't know. Where do you go with the, uh, over under here at 44 and a half? Um, I don't, that's a good question. They both have really good offenses. Um, Patriots defense is, uh, good. They have Christian Gonzalez. He's just reached nine by the way. Erase, erase his half of the field. Mm-hmm. Right. So, Rashid Shahid and Cooper Cup are going to have to make plays for them to be able to win. Um, Jadair and Price is good. He's on my fantasy team. I expect him to have a good game. Sharminy's out though. So they're basically, is he starting? It's price starting. Yeah. Um, yeah. So he'll, he'll be starting all season. I think Sharminy's going to spell him to be honest.

23:19Um, that's my after, especially after this week. But we'll see. It depends on how, how Sharminy's had trouble staying healthy. Yeah. Um, but, uh, I think having to run a, um, having to run without Sharminy, last season wasn't great for them. Um, I don't think this 45 year old dude from, uh, see, from, uh, uh, Boise State, who's only had a handful of touches in his NFL career is going to be able to do what Sharminy typically gives to them. So I think, uh, I think, uh, even, even with their, what's his name? Travian Henderson out. I think New England's kind of got the advantage on that situation, not because it makes them better necessarily. Um, Stevenson, Ramanjari Stevenson, he's, he's a little bit more of a dynamic back than Travian Henderson is. Right. He was, when he was in, um, our, how many, how many receptions did he have last year?

24:2532 last year, I think. Yeah. 32 last year, which is, um, a bit of a down, oh no, 37. Oh yeah, 32, which a bit, a bit down for him. He had 70, a couple of years ago. I think you're going to see, once Henderson's back, I think you're going to see him more than that role, but that has not to do with this game. No. Um, I think that, uh, uh, New England is pissed. Everybody's been talking shit all season, all, all off season about how they're going to regress, strike maze, uh, fucking winner. And, uh, he and AJ Brown looked really good together in preseason. I think they're going to put up points. Uh, for me, because I want to watch the whole thing. And you guys know, I always do this on the, on the weekday games here. Uh, give me, I'm going to tease this up on the my bookie teaser there. Give me, uh, Patriots, um, plus 10 and drop that over underdown to 37 and a half. That way I can watch the whole thing and enjoy my life tonight's. All right. Uh, football's back, dude. If I don't bet the teaser, then I don't watch the whole game. You

25:28usually'll flip it off. If it's, uh, if it's a blowout or something like that, 10 points a lot to cover in the NFL and then 37 and a half is really fucking low. But you do have a, a couple good defenses out here. I don't know. Man, I was watching the hard knocks. I'm not sure if it's going to win this game by the way, which is why I'm also why I'm doing this. They just were so fucking boring. I don't know that they did anything to actually be tired where Travis Kelsey parties, you know, homes, parties and all that other shit. These guys are just dorks if you watched it. Next up, you got the Thursday night game in Australia. Why? Why are we doing this? That is a very long flight for two teams that are really fucking good. One of them is your favorite to win the Super Bowl for Christ's Sakes. This is 49ers against the Rams. Obviously, there's no home field advantage here. Thursday night game on Netflix. I want to repeat that. That is on Netflix at 835. I do enjoy the Netflix broadcast, by the way. I just wish all of this was in one place. This is

26:32Rams minus three and a half. Who you got? Rams minus three and a half under 48 and a half. Yeah, I think I'm not going to touch the over under, but I'm going to take the Rams in this one. And I'll knock this down a half a point just because I don't care if Aaron Dolls out. I don't either. For three reasons. Miles Garrett, Kobe Turner, Byron Young. I don't care either. Give me the Rams all day long in this and really looking forward to see what this team can do this year. What's up with Nakuha? I mean, he's playing, right? He is, but what's the long-term solution here? To not rape people, I think, is if you're asking for my personal advice. Okay. Yeah. That's great advice. Obviously you've been against rape since day one. So I actually don't know what and neither does anybody else what the real situation is there. I mean, we've seen I don't either. We've seen this before and it can go either way. So I don't know. But

27:36if you were wealthy high profile, whatever, what are you doing? I know. If you're a fucking dip shit Joe, if you're a fucking corporal numbering core, you can afford to bank strippers. If you are a professional athlete, you just can't anymore. Too many people are thirsty for fame or like they're money. Well, it's not even people used to look for a payout and he could afford that. What he can't afford is to have his name dragged through the mud like this and that's people care more about that than money now because you can turn it into a fucking reality show or an Instagram following you get paid passively for the rest of your life. Now you can't afford to dabble anymore. Go, if you're going to do that, hire escorts in New York. Yeah. Just do it. If you've got the money to go away from crazy, go away from crazy. I agree. And it's strange with him, man, because he wasn't highly touted out of college. He made it. He's great. He can make a ton of money and

28:40all that other shit just fucking be a normal person, man, for Christ's sakes. But he is playing, since he is playing, I am taking the Rams and that one, I'll kick that down a half a point, go to three on that, not touching the over under in this in Australia. I know nothing about Australia. I didn't know what the weather's like right now. Did they switch? Should they in winter right now? What city are they in? Melbourne. Melbourne. Yeah. I says they're playing on the Melbourne cricket ground. Yeah. It's fall weather there now. It's like 50 degrees. All right. So it should be nice. Yeah. Give me the ramps. Maybe in the room. Maybe in the room. They're either way. Nakuha and Devate Adams will probably both do really well. What I'm more interested in for the long term success of the Rams this year is to see how they're, if they're going to maintain with Kyron Williams of Blake Kormigan,

29:44they can buy it for like 22, 2300 yards last year. You can't get a bunch better in that. No, is that stadium blitz? Kyron Williams had 1300, I 1250, 1250. He's amazing. I got one fan. Korm had 740, 745. That's beautiful. Is that current right now? This is Melbourne. It's from the 49ers Rams game. Okay. That was. Well, they've already set up the field for tomorrow night. So, yeah, that makes sense. Probably just fucking AI'd in the rest, but that looks cool. You're giving me the Rams and this one minus three. Not touching the over under. Next up, man, fucking Sunday games. This one's a blast to start off with. Big fan of this, dude. Bucking ears at the Bengals. Bengals minus three and a half who you got a huge over under, by the way, 15 and a half. Yeah, I'm taking the, I'm taking the, the bucks plus three and a half and I'm taking over 50 and a half. Okay.

30:47I mean, the overseer, neither one of these teams plays good defense. I know. I know. It's not, I mean, it's not even close. The bucks, the bucks have a really good pass rush, but they are susceptible to deep plays and I don't know if you've heard of Jamar, Chase, or T Higgins before. But good fucking luck. I mean, they're going to score. This over under doesn't make any sense to me. And then the Bengals have the worst defense in the entire NFL. If not, maybe the Panthers are worse than them, but the Bengals are, they're bottom two, 100%. 15 and a half is, is wild to me. I think it should be higher. Yes. Okay. I think it should be 55 and a half. Look, I think the bucks stop here, nailed it. I'm going to go with the Bengals. Again, I was kicked this down a half of points in case there's a, a push or something, but I don't know, man, I picked Borrow to go to the Super Bowl this year. I picked a repeat of the Bengals Rams.

31:49The Bengals are not making it to the Super Bowl with the worst defense in the league. Hey, that's a pipe. It's a weird gut feeling this year. Just call it a gut feeling in there. Under the radar, nobody's been talking about them. Burrows finally healthy to start a season. Give me the Bengals in this one. And I think it's a, it's a close game. It's a seven point game, I think. Next up, another fucking fun game to it. Saints at Lions. This is Detroit minus seven over under 49 and a half who you got here. I think the Saints are going to surprise some people this year. I did too. I don't think they're going to surprise anybody on this day. They are, they are, they're going to have problems in this game. They're defense especially. The thing that they're most susceptible to is they have a good steady like veteran defense. They're very susceptible to

32:55good play calling and that's something the Lions do really well. They also happen to have once again with two different guys now, two pretty good running backs. And yeah, who's backing up Gibbs this year? Well, it was going to be Pacheco. Yeah, he's hurt. He's on the IR right now. So we'll see when he comes back. But it's, what is this guy's name? Some dude from Utah. He's, he's basically just had a cup of coffee so far. But Pacheco will be back. But in this game, the Lions offense is just too overpowering. I don't know how you, James and Williams LaPorta. Well, we'll see if LaPorta plays. He's question more right now, but I think he'll play. And then Amarassi and Brown is one of the best in the NFL. Good luck. The Saints are a good up and coming team, but they're going to get beat by a touch down today. Yeah, I think so too. I got Lions at six and a half. Fantasy wise,

33:55Atean, I think he's going to have a big year for the Saints. I think he's going to be starting this year. Camero will be spelling him. Camero is 31 towards the end of his career there. And I really wanted him in fantasy football just missed him by a couple fucking picks there. But a lot of these healthy for the Saints, they should be chucking the ball around. This will be a very fun game to watch, very entertaining, but at the end of the day, I think the Lions win by a touch down or more, give me the Lions in this one. Next up, this is maybe the grossest game ever scheduled in the history of the NFL. This is the Jets at the Titans. The spread is one and a half for Tennessee. The over under is 38 and a half, which is a high school over under and tickets are $20. If you want to go to this game, gross. Not only will I not be betting this one, I want to try to delete it. I'm going to actually call YouTube TV and see if they'll delete the game and that way I never see

34:57it or hear about it. I think AI is there, right? We can kind of just nuke out this game. I don't need it. We can totally make that up. Yeah, I don't need this game in my life. If you're betting this game, there's a fucking problem with you. Like there is something seriously wrong with you. Are you betting this game? No. No, but I think the Jets win. You think Geno is going to chuck it up to Garrett Wilson? I think the Titans. Breast Hall healthy. The Titans' best defensive players is a tackle. Up the middle, okay. Maybe Breast Hall's questionable, but he'll play. And then they have Braille and Allen too. They also have Isaiah Davis, but I don't know if he's available, but he's been good as a third-string guy. But Garrett Wilson's good. Ad Nye Mitchell coming out of Texas hasn't really done much yet, but this is the first time, like he spent his first two seasons at Indiana when they were languishing or Indianapolis, excuse me, when they were languishing.

35:59Came over last year with the Jets, which may have been worse. Actually, it definitely was worse because he could have been with Danny Donge for the first half of the season, but he's fast as fucking. He catches the ball really good, really well, rather. And I think with Geno, Geno's proven that he can put up numbers. They also have Mason Taylor and Ken Yance to the league on that team. He was my favorite tight end in the draft. The Jets can put up some. This is the first time they've had an even decent offense at a very, very long time. Geno can, he's not bad. Serviceable. I think he could beat Cam Ward for sure. He's a 4,000 yard if you get him in the right position for it. And yeah, he's 100%. I don't think I don't know why the Titans are favorite other than being at home and the connection hasn't been proven yet with Geno and these guys, but I expect the Jets to win this game. I did too. I just, I can't physically bring myself to put money on it or tell you guys to

37:02put money on it because I have fucking no idea. Geno wasn't the system before. So I mean, he's back on the Jets and maybe that's where it's something we'll see. Next up is Raven's Colts. Great game here. Great fucking game here. Danny Dimes is starting. We confirmed that? Yeah. Okay. I don't think that wasn't question. Well, his leg got blown off last year. And so he's fine. It was 9,000 surgeries. It's amazing that he's starting with one to be honest with you here, but this is Baltimore minus three and a half. He's my backup quarterback. Here you got in this one. I look, if he's healthy, he was really good last year. Right. Baltimore. So Baltimore's an interesting team because I get a new coach to share. New coach. It's a new system. The reason they hired the coach is because they think he can

38:04get more out of Lamar Jackson style of play. Derek Henry is a fucking animal. Man, it used to be his, the trajectory of his entire career that he never had he didn't start well during the season. He would usually have like a 40 and a 50, 40 and a 60, 40 and an 80. And then he would break out with a couple of hundreds and it was sometimes three or four weeks long. Over the last two seasons, game one with Baltimore has been a big game, except for I think 24. But since he's been with Baltimore, it's been a different situation for him. I think he had 170 in the first game. He's going to run wild. Hulk, Emanuea style on this cold's defense. They have a good interior defensive line, but outside the tackles, not so great. And

39:19you think of him as a big punishing back, but he had the top, there was like four or five seasons in a row where he had the top foot speed of any player in the NFL for the season. It was like 22 and 0.8 miles per hour or something like that when he got to top speed. Good fucking luck. I think he's going to have a massive game. So I'll take Baltimore three and a half. Yeah, same. I'm going to take Baltimore two four to seven. It could be more, man. It wouldn't shock me if they blew him out, either. To be honest with you, a new coach wants to prove himself. And I'm curious to see, like you said, what he does with Marjax. That's why he was brought in was to kind of help him overcome these playoff lows and everything else. So we'll see in week one, all in on the Ravens though. Week one. Oh God. Why? Why is this game up next? Jesus Christ. See, Lanna Falcons, guys. All right, we all know I'm a diehard Falcons fan here to a has been named the starter looked terrible

40:22in preseason. Absolutely terrible. One of you guys hit me up yesterday about this in my thoughts after he was named starter yesterday. And I just said, look, I think we're playing for saying this year. And that's about it because this doesn't make any sense. Panics still hurt allegedly. I don't know what's going on there to be honest with you. Stealers, year two with Aaron Rogers, new coach, obviously, but got him a weapon. And, you know, Steelers are three and a half year at home. Give me the fucking Steelers. This is Aaron Rogers' last ride here. I think they went by at least a touchdown in this one. I'm not even taking points or anything. Who do you got? No. Really? You think the Falcons will do something in this game? I don't know, but I don't know that the Steelers will either. Where's the expectation that the

41:23Steelers are going to produce coming from? I think Aaron Rogers, this being his last year, he wants to go out with a fucking bang, dude. I'm sure he wanted to do that the last four years and he hasn't done in many of those years. Well, I mean, look, he got hurt that Achilles is a two-year injury. This is finally two years off of it. This is the end of it for him. This QBR after 2021 dropped from 74 to 41. It hasn't recovered in any season. And it's not going to because he's 90 years old. But he had an ACL. He had an Achilles. I think he makes it through this game. And I think they beat the Falcons. It's the Falcons. I don't think they're going to beat him. I just don't know if it's going to be by one. So I'm not taking that bet. Okay. I am. I am definitely taking that bet. Give me the Steelers all day long. The Falcons, Jesus Christ, I want to. If he makes it through this game, I'd be stunned. What's weird is they got this white kidney jack. Let me see if he made the final roster. Jack Strand. I watched him in a preseason. And he can't even fucking torch it.

42:28I've never heard of this guy in my life. Did he make the roster? This fucking honky. God, he was really good. I know it was the second half of a preseason game. I'm not going to strangle bait like the lead singer of an excess or anything. But I would rather see him in there, dude. And yeah, did he make the squad? Did he make the full charge? Let's see the depth chart here for the Falcons. Come on, brother. Give me the fucking quarterback, bro. Gross. Give me the roster here. Jack Strand, man. Yeah, he's on. Let's go, dude. Where did you go to college? Minnesota state more head. Anyways, this kid was like 65, two fucking 45 and just absolutely torch people. Could it be a fluke maybe? But if two of it gets hurt and this kid comes in, I just let this kid start the season and see what happens

43:28in my opinion. But I'm all over the Steelers here. It's going to be another shitty season as a Falcons fan. You don't have to tag me and all the stuff. I already know how bad we are. And I can at least admit it for Christ's six. Okay? Like the rest of you, fucks. Although you Viking fans have changed your tunes since you got to Kyler Murray and even you guys are saying it's going to be a disaster every year for you, which is rare. It's absolutely rare. Next up, we got Bears at the Panthers. This could be a decent game here. This is Chicago minus three who you got. Yeah, I'll take the Bears minus three and over 46 and a half. Okay. The Panthers have the worst defense. If it isn't the Bengals, it's the Panthers. And if it isn't one of them, it's the fucking Redskins. Terrible defenses all around. I think this will be a high scoring

44:29game. Okay. And their offenses are all pretty competent. I mean, Rico Dowdell's had great years for Carolina. And he's gone now with a gut trouble. And what's his name? AJ Dillon is over as a third string. John Brooks is there from Texas who had limited time last year. But he was his last season at Texas. He's had some injury stuff. But his last season at Texas, he was a fucking stud. He saw him in real life. He was great. Yeah. I think Mick Millen had a breakout season last year. Jalen Coburn's good. Bryce Young looked pretty good last year. Yeah. I think this is like a 20, 28, 25 game or something like that. I think it's definitely over 46 and a half. Yeah, I'm not going to touch this one. This one's off my board. Oh, my goodness. I don't know. Ciarist C Caleb Williams, if he progresses.

45:34Ciarist C Bryce, if he fucking progresses too for the Panther stud. So yeah, I'm going to watch this game for sure. Not that I hate on this game. Tickets are $162. People are asking why it's Bears fans. Bears fans travel everywhere all over the nation. So those will always be high. But I'm going to lay off this game, but watch this game. I want to see what these two teams look like before I start betting on them. Next up, Browns Jaguars. Jesus Christ. DeShon Watson is the starter. He's been named the starter for the Browns. This is Jacksonville minus 8 1 1 2 1 2. He got no thanks. This is, it's going to be 92 at kickoff too, by the way. There's a wicked heat wave out here. So if you hear the fans and whatnot, that's why. But I'm not going to touch to see either, man. It's way the Jaguars win. Sure. I just don't care to put money on them or this game. And maybe on my honest guess, this could be like 38 to 0 to.

46:41It really could be. DeShon Watson has not looked great whatsoever. I don't know how long they're going to give him before they put Schitter Sanders in, but I think Dylan's out as well. So they're not putting Schitter Sanders in at all. You think why would they? I'm surprised he's even still in the roster. He's very clearly not an NFL quarterback. He was in the pro bowl last year, Dan. I don't know how pro bowl. I don't know how long Dylan Gabriel is going to be out, but he's the clear choice. But he's out. So he's out. But yeah, I will see what happens in this. I don't know that the Browns care about life to be honest with you and it's going to be another awful season for you guys. Same with Falcons. So we're all in the same boat. And I will not be betting this game. And this one I'm not going to watch. Like the Bears Panthers, I'll watch. Like I'm interested in those teams. This I will not watch. I'll see the highlights later. That's about it. Great game. This is the best one o'clock game there is. Bills at Texans.

47:42This is Buffalo minus one and a half over under 44 and a half. Obviously Texans have a great defense here. Who you got? Texans plus one and a half. Okay. Why? What's your gut telling you here? The Texans have the best defense in the NFL. Will Anderson, Daniel Hunter and Derek Stingley form a triangle on the field that is very difficult to deal with. And I'm not confident that Josh Allen can beat them. I still don't think I still don't think they have a number one receiver on that team. DJ Moore is not a number one receiver. Now he was a Carolina. He had great years of Carolina. His first year in Chicago. He was the only option. Like you when you look on

48:47that 2023 season, 23 or 22, his first whatever his first year in Chicago was. He had 13, 14, 1800 yards. There was nobody else to throw to. He was the main recipient of everything. And that's like he still caught the passes and still got yak and all that shit. So he did a good job. But he is not a number one receiver in the NFL. And I love James Cook. He's helped me win two fantasy titles as a matter of fact. Very good running back. I don't know how you go. Josh Allen is a great player. I don't know how you defeat a great pass rush and a shut down corner without a number one receiver that can fucking go outside of himself to catch difficult to catch balls or break people on routes or whatever else you need him to do. I just don't see how it happens. And the Texas offense is up and down throughout the year. It has been the last couple of years

49:49last year, mostly down, especially early, but their defense doesn't waver. Ever. They are very well coached on defense. I am going to juice this up in the teasers. And although those stuff and take Texans plus eight and a half in this one. And then drop that over under down of 44 and a half to 37 and a half. I think it's going to be a great game. I think it's a one score game. I think it's very close. Going on the road for the first game of the year is tough. I'm fuck one of my sleepers was Woody Marx and fantasy football and I believe McClure got him. He had a lights out fucking preseason. I know it's only preseason, but man, he looks really fucking good. Played the last half a last year was excellence. And yeah, I think Texans grind this game down, dude. And end up winning this game. I really do, but because I'm unsure, I will definitely put this in a teaser versus betting this straight up, but it's going to be a fucking

50:51blast of a game. It's my favorite game in the afternoon for the one o'clock games. Next up, you got dolphins, Raiders. This is an awful game. This is Raiders minus three and a half. Who is the Raiders starting quarterback? Do they say Mendoza? I don't know. That's what I was waiting to hear. Or is it going to be Kurt Cousins? Kurt Cousins is listed as number one on the depth chart. Ash and Jentie's question will, but I think that was just a practice thing. It was an ankle. He's expected to be ready for week one. Yeah. Do you bet this though? No, meaning these are two terrible teams and they're just figuring it out. Tom Brady was on the record saying, I would like to, he's a part owner now, the Raiders. I would like to bench Mendoza and just have him learn for a year. I agree with that, man. I think the interesting thing about it is I said this all last year during the Indiana games, he reminds me of Kurt Cousins.

51:52Now, Kurt Cousins is his mentor. Great. Then watch Kirk hang out with Kirk. They did a podcast together the other day. They already seem identical fucking twins. I think he'll really help this kid. I just don't think there's a need to rush it right now. I think he will be good in the NFL, but I don't bet this game because of it. I don't believe in either of these teams. To be honest, with you and the Dolphins might have the first or second pick in the draft next year. They're going to be that bad, that bad. Next up, you got the Packers Vikings starting off with the rivalry here week one. This is Minnesota minus one and a half. Okay. Who do you got? Minnesota. Really? With Kyler Murray. That's a ball to which tickets are 200 about what is the rivalry? I don't think that's a bold call at all. Minnesota's got a top five defense. They do. Kyler Murray did not look great though and the preseason. He was hitting dudes in the back of the helmets. I'm going to

52:56take the Packers and this one just from the experience and everything else. I think they're ready to rock. Who's in the backfield for? Check out the roster here. Minnesota currently has both of the Packers last two running backs. I think Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones. Aaron Jones is getting up there now. It's 31. Yeah. Yeah. Some injury problems last year, but Jordan Mason's there too. Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, John Jennings, TJ Hawkinson. I look. They're stacked. I just don't know about the QB. That's it. But yeah, give me green bay in this one. Plus the points. Next up, we got the red skins at the Eagles. This is Eagles minus five and a half who you got. I'm not touching that one. I want to take the over because the Redskins defense is so bad, but I just don't know if at 44 and a half. Yeah, I just don't know if I think they'll score

53:58a little bit. They don't have a terrible offense. They're doing running back by committee again, but Kroski Merit was okay last year. Rashad White is really good. He'll like those two together get your 1500 yards. Probably scary Terry. Everything kind of hinges on, I mean, obviously offensive line play to some degree, but Stefan Diggs wanting to play football and being okay being the number two option behind scary Terry. I think the interesting thing about this grouping is that scary Terry doesn't have to be the number one guy in receptions necessarily to be the number one guy because one of the things that he does really well, like he's never had 80 87 as his career high in receptions, but the thing that's made him really great lately is find like in the red zone, getting open in the red zone and catching fucking crazy touchdown passes a little of the place, especially in big moments. So I think this might be a good fit for Stefan Diggs,

54:59honestly, which is saying something because he's kind of a fucking problem. Well, this is his last stop in my opinion. He's under one year deal. He's got a figure. That was personality has not been great. But the redskins aren't there. They're a mid team at best. Their defense is very bad. So my gut wants to take the over. But then the Eagles defense is so good. I don't know if the fucking redskins are going to score more than 14 points. So I'm just going to sit it out. I'm going to bet both of this. I'm going to take Philly plus my excuse me minus five and a half. I'm going to take the over as well. I think Philly could clear the over on their own, to be honest with you, my skin's defense sucks. But your ask and jailing hurts the complete passes. I know. And he's got two great wide receivers again. Dallas Goddard's there, back at tight end, safety. And then you got Sequan Barclay in the back field. Give me the Eagles. Fly Eagles fly on this one. Eagles minus five

56:00and a half. I'm also going to bet that over as well. And I'm going to tease that both ways. This is going to be a big game for me. And I'm actually amped to watch this. You got to launch a superstar's on both sides of the ball. And it should be fun. This next game will not be fun. Will not be fun whatsoever. But it is the cardinals at the chargers. Chargers minus nine and a half. This is the biggest spread on opening week for the NFL here. Who you got? Early on, the chargers probably do hit this. Their problem is the way their defense works. One guy's out, they're fucked for the whole season. They're too heavily reliant on health. They have no depth on defense. Early in the season, that doesn't really matter. Unless somebody actually gets hurt in this game, which you can't really predict. But if nobody gets hurt in this game, yeah, they proct cardinals are the cardinals can score. But maybe theoretically, they can score. They've

57:04got a lot of talent to be able to score. But the chargers are probably I just assume Kamani, Vidal and Omar and Hampton are going to run the fuck out of the ball all the time. And that kid from ECU too will probably get some touches too. It's Harbaugh. He would be fine winning every game 10-7. He doesn't give a shit. Despite having some pretty decent receivers on this team, and Justin Herbert who can sling it a bit, I think the safest bet on this is probably the under to be honest. At 47 and a half. I mean, Jeremiah Love Plain as he still hurts. I think he's good. He had an ankle injury and they weren't really saying what it was. He's questionable right now. Yeah, they were saying it was potentially a high ankle injury.

58:04Check back in on this one though. I am curious to see what they're going to do with a new quarter back there. Tramik Bride, one of the greatest tight ends in the NFL. Marvin Harrison finally turned it on at the end of the year because he had a fucking quarterback for the first time ever there. And his problem is motivation, I think. It was at Ohio State too. Marvin Harrison, he works his ass off. I think he just where he sat out some games, no, that was the other fucking dick. Jack Smith and Jima who I still hate by the way, I still fucking hate you. But give me, I'll wait to see if Love is playing. Jeremiah Love is playing, I might take the Cardinals plus the points because I'm with you with Harball dude. He doesn't care if he wins 10-7. He doesn't care about blown teams out. And if they're up, he'll just sit on the fucking ball and run it ball god damn day. That under might be the best bet there at 47 and a half.

59:08And then tickets are 30 bucks to this fucking game. No one cares about sports in LA, unless it's the Dodgers, the Lakers unfortunately. I bet your Rams tickets will be high just because celebrities will want to go and be seen at that bullshit, but Chargers, no, they're not existant, they're a great team. Next up Sunday night game, oh, coming out of the gates with a fucking rivalry game here. Cowboys at the Giants. This is Cowboys minus three. Who you got? Yeah, Cowboys minus three. I think the Giants are an exciting young team. They've got a lot of cool players and stuff like that. But Dallas wants to come set the tone. They want to show off their defense a little bit. I think they're going to take some chances. Maybe. I think this game is, I think Dallas is going to score 35 points in this game. I did too. And I think that the Giants

1:00:11might score 20 to be honest. They have a really good offense. If, when everybody's healthy, it's an interesting matchup, but they're the Giants. Let's be real. Their defense can't compete in this game, right? I mean, I don't think anybody thinks that. They have their front seven are strong, but their secondary is like completely unproven. Yeah. Against fucking deck with all the weapons that he has. Good fucking lot. I know. I'm curious to see Arbel Reese in those guys play a great young team. I just don't think this is the game for it, though. I'm all in on the Cowboys. I'm scared. It'll be interesting to see what Najee Harris does with Cam Skatebo too. Nobody's really been talking about that in the off season, but Najee Harris was out all year last year. Before that, his entire career had been thousand yard rushing seasons with Pittsburgh. And now we

1:01:12got Skatebo who will probably, if he, if he states healthy, he'll, he'll get you a thousand to probably. They should split carries, man, because Skatebo is coming off in injuries as well. He's also retarded. Yeah. But not in a bad, he's, he's retarded the way you want a fullback to be retarded. I don't think you want your starting running back to be doing that shit. But if you add a fullback on your team, he would be the guy you would want in that position. He's not long for this league. I think maybe, honestly, I think honestly, he should put on 10 or 15 pounds and play fullback for them if they're going to keep Najee Harris around. Harris is only 28. He's still got four years if he stays healthy. He had one unhealthy season, but he's still got time left. I think Skatebo to seem, his personality seems more like a fullback than a fucking tailback to me. He's a fun player, man. I, look, this is a fun team, Jackson Tarts, some like neighbors, should be healthy back from ACL. Got some good young pieces on devences, a good young team.

1:02:17But I think the Cowboys are going to break out here and probably win my two scores. So you can be the Cowboys on the Sunday night game. Monday night game is Broncos at the chiefs. Man, that's another fucking banger, dude, opening week here. KC minus 2 and a half, Mahomes is going to start. Who you got? Broncos plus 2 and a half. Okay. And I think I'll take under 43 and a half as well. Just for two reasons. Rust is the primary reason. And the secondary reason is the Broncos fucking defense. Actually, a combination of the Broncos and the chiefs defense. The, the Broncos are, they're good. RJ Harvey is interesting. If they can, they got to keep these guys

1:03:17healthy this year. If Dobbins and Harvey are healthy, yeah. Harvey played every game last year. Dobbins obviously got, he played half the season more or less, had great numbers in half the season. I know. If they can keep both those guys healthy this year, they can overcome this. But the chiefs are really good at preventing chunk plays. I think they might be the best in the league. I'd have to look it up. I looked at this sometime during the off season, but I think they might be the best at preventing plays over 25 yards. And that means you've got to fucking run the ball and be accurate in the short game against them. Denver can do both of those things, but those aren't, that doesn't lead to high scoring games. Denver's defense is fucking great. And my homes is rusty. I think honestly, I think this is a fucking 20 to 21, something like that. I think that's really close. And I think it's under 22 points for each guy, each team. Yeah. The one guy I'm looking

1:04:23to see on Monday night is Jalen Waddle for Bonex. He's got a superstar wide receiver. They traded for him in the off season. And he hasn't had one yet. Yeah. So that'll be fun to watch. Dobbins, like you said, is healthy with Harvey. When they're healthy together, they fucking dominate man. And because I want to watch the whole thing, again, I'll usually work in late here. I'm going to switch this up and go the other way. You mean Broncos on that teaser at plus nine and a half. And then give me the under at 50 and a half there. Because I'm with you, I think there's going to be a lot of rust out of KC as well as Bonex too. He's coming off a broken ankle. Yeah. You know, if he doesn't break his ankle, they probably go to the Super Bowl. May might even win the Super Bowl last year. Who knows? Their defense is that fucking good. And if you're my homes coming off an injury playing one of the best defenses in the league, that ain't great. Travis Kelsey is going to take a sweet time

1:05:25getting back into the season. Really curious to see what Kenneth Walker, the third does in this offense. Finally got a good running back there in KC for the first time in four or five years. And it's an interesting team, but there's a lot of rust and it's going to take a while to get in. I don't see them scoring over 50 and a half. I don't even know if they beat the Broncos, but I'm going to jack this up to nine and a half anyways and take Denver. And that's the beauty of my bookies teasers. And it allows me to watch the whole fucking game. So I'm looking forward to it. NFL is back. That with us or against us on my bookie.com. Don't forget to use that promo code bros get 50 and that five hundred dollar bet back. If you lose, I'll give it to you right back. And you get that $25 casino chip there. Enjoy it. Go to iTunes, rate the show five star and leave a quick review. Also, head on over to Spotify. The video will be up here very, very shortly from

1:06:26blue. Appreciate you, Tune in for Dan, Dan, Anthony Holloway. I'm Ross Patterson. This is the week one NFL prediction show. Good night everyone.