Ep 349: Investor risk premium: what is it and why it matters

New Report: The Evidence-Based Approach to Investing in Property & Shares: download here.

Read full blog here.

In this episode, Stuart breaks down the 'Investor Risk Premium', a key concept that helps you assess whether you’re being fairly rewarded for the risks you take with your investments. Traditionally used in share investing, Stuart explains why this idea should apply to all asset classes, from shares and property to speculative assets like crypto.

Right now, U.S. equities appear overvalued, with future returns unlikely to match the past decade’s gains. In fact, forward-looking data suggests the expected equity risk premium in the U.S. is negative, meaning investors may not be adequately compensated for the risk.

By contrast, Australian shares and property offer more attractive return prospects, especially when measured against the risk-free rate.

The key takeaway? Don’t chase past performance—focus on future returns relative to risk. Whether you're investing in shares, property, or anything else, you need to ensure the expected return is worth the volatility, liquidity constraints, and uncertainty you're taking on.

A sound, evidence-based strategy that prioritises risk-adjusted returns is the smartest way to build long-term wealth. Tune in to learn how to apply this thinking across your portfolio and avoid the common traps of emotional or trend-driven investing.

Read Stuart's latest book? He's only got 19 reviews on Amazon so far, if Wealth by Design helped you, leaving one would mean a lot: https://www.amazon.com.au/review/create-review?asin=192318654X

Run your own business? 

Check out Business by Design, Stuart and Mena's show on starting, growing and exiting a business, at https://www.businessbydesignpodcast.com/

Our most popular free guides:

Over the years we've written hundreds of articles. These three bring our best thinking together on the topics that matter most right now: choosing a super fund, debt recycling, and navigating the new tax changes.

Download them here

Got a question for the podcast?

Email us at [email protected]

Subscribe to my weekly blog:

Stay connected here

Important

This podcast provides general information about finance, tax and credit. It doesn't take into account your specific objectives, financial situation or needs, so you need to assess whether it's relevant to your circumstances before acting on it. If you're not sure, speak to a licensed, trustworthy professional.