
DraftKings EPL DFS Picks & Strategy: Saturday 5-Game Slate + Underdog
About this episode
Saturday's Premier League action features a five-game DraftKings EPL DFS slate, and Adam Zdroik breaks down the best picks, values and lineup strategies before finishing with Underdog fantasy soccer strategy.
Chelsea and Liverpool are the two biggest favorites on the DraftKings slate, creating some of the biggest roster-construction decisions. Adam discusses whether to prioritize the Chelsea and Liverpool attacks, where to find salary relief and which players offer the best floors and tournament upside.
The DraftKings slate features Bournemouth vs. Brentford, Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest, Chelsea vs. Hull City, Crystal Palace vs. Ipswich Town and Liverpool vs. Fulham.
Adam goes position by position through forwards, midfielders, defenders and goalkeepers, including discussion of Cole Palmer, Alexander Isak, Dominik Szoboszlai, Morgan Rogers and other top options.
The final portion of the show turns to Underdog's seven-game Premier League slate, including draft strategy, positional value, stacks and ADP. Adam discusses why defender scarcity matters on Underdog and how he's approaching Liverpool and Chelsea stacks.
For more Premier League DFS picks, projections, cheat sheets, predicted lineups and fantasy soccer analysis, visit RotoWire.com/soccer.
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RotoWire Fantasy Soccer Podcast — DraftKings EPL DFS Picks & Strategy: Saturday 5-Game Slate + Underdog. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.
Well, go men to the Roto Wire soccer show I am discussing Saturday's 5 games late over at DraftKings for September 12th. Also say a few words on underdog. There are 7 games late. I will get to underdog in a little bit but this is DraftKings first. Let me run through lineups in the odds report as well. RotoWire.com slash soccer. That is right. Get all your content there. VentureX, sleeper, FPL, batting, anything else. I haven't mentioned DraftKings, I guess. All that stuff. You get our stats, get cheat sheets as well. If you're not subscribed, also you get access to two sets of projections if you're subscribed. So RwSocker that is 35% off.
If you're not subscribed, that means you get two sets of projections, you get the cheat sheets, you get the stats, everything else. You get all the other sports as well and if I'll just start it. You get all those. For my projections, you have to hit the discord. RotoWire.com slash chat to get the link to my projections in the discord, which is what I use for most of the stuff that I do over on the website. So let's get into the five-gamer. We have a pretty nice one. Last week, I think it was also a five-gamer. It was the Manchester City Home Against Coventry five-gamer. I think that was sort of fun. This one should be sort of fun as well. So let's look at it. Chelsea are the biggest favorite. They're home against whole. Hall of yet to allow a go on the Premier League. They did just lose. I think Wednesday, maybe Tuesday, they lost 1-0. I want to say an EFL cup. But Chelsea are the biggest favorite. Inplied goal total is above 2.5.
It's 0.3 above Liverpool. And then Liverpool home against Fulham, Fulham have had maybe the worst defense in the league this season. They are 2.33 right now. Notably, Fulham still have a 1.1 implied total. Hall have a 0.85 implied total. But those are the two teams there. You see the 2.3 and the 2.6. Next up is Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace are home against Zip Switch. And they're at 1.73 implied goals. So there's a bit of a drop off from the top two teams. Those are going to be the teams that, for the most part, you're kind of looking at Crystal Palace home against Zip Switch, Assembilla home against NN Forest. Born myth are home against Brentford. That one is the closest in terms of odds. So kind of interesting in terms of one, it's not the same as last week. You can't go in and be like, yeah, I'm just going to stack 6 Man City players and go from there because you got a few stack Chelsea, you got to think about the Liverpool players and so on. So if you're playing Champions League right now, I'm doing the show Thursday before
the Champions League games. Any questions, I'll take those as well. That's OK. Because I did go live, but that's the kind of schedule that I have to work with here. So let me go through the lineups here and then I will get into draft games. So Liverpool, full them. Liverpool have a big question here. So they played Wednesday and Barclough went off with Cranps, Kirkash went off of Cranps, doesn't seem like Gakbo's going to be ready to start. May not even be on the bench in this one. So we're either going to get Munoz and Rio on the wings or we're going to get Barclough and Munoz on the wings. And if Barclough starts, I have his minutes. I think I put in 70 or so for him. It could be even less than that. Didn't seem like he was 100% when he got to Liverpool and 26 minutes off the bench and then 60 minutes on Wednesday. So it really seems like if Barclough starts, we could be looking at 60 minutes. So that's very important.
Otherwise, this is kind of what they've been doing. Rio has been playing it right back. He got the back you'll assist. McAllister has been starting over Graham Birch and then it's Birch and Esauk because that's what they have right now. So Sobis Lines set pieces. But otherwise, this is the second, this is the second biggest favorite on the slate. And I think that they're interesting to see if full them change things up. They're one decent game, I think at least defensively the season was on the road where they played a little more defensive. So I wonder if that's kind of the approach they have here where their full backs aren't you know, all the way up the pitch and their center backs are kind of on, you know, standing in no man's land and Liverpool is going to have a bunch of easy opportunities. I don't think our below is going to take that route. We will see. But set pieces in this lineup. Okay, we'll see if there's rotation because there's been a lot of stuff going on around
of you know, they lost that last game in Crystal Palace. Some of these players aren't very, very happy you could say. Kenny Tete hasn't even been on the team. I know that's a big one. But splitting set pieces is Bob and a Wobie. If they were to change things up, maybe Senator Bird returns the lineup, maybe Palacios moves out, maybe Shay Charles doesn't stay there. I don't see anything you know, massive changing to the lineup because Garcia Bob King. I think those have been pretty consistent terms of the back line. Maybe often groomers can eventually go there. I don't think he's going to start just yet. I don't think any of these guys are getting dropped. So that's kind of what we're looking at with full of Crystal Palace. Again, no changes from last week's lineup because they did get the win three to win at full. Um, Timber moved into the midfield and that allowed Kamada to move a little more forward in Kamada because of that more attacking role. He does pop up in some of my projections.
Otherwise it seems like in Katia and Strand Larson are going to be the number nine that sub in and sub out for each other while Mateta is out. So in Katia, I think Strand Larson started mid week and Katia started last weekend. Yeah, that's right. So then apparently neither one of those guys is 100%. Whoever starts up top, they made, they're probably not going to go 90. So I think that known's pretty relevant. Mitchell coming off a brace. Kallali didn't really do as much in that game, but he tends to get more forward when he compared the two. In terms of Ipswich. Oh, yeah, Pino is actually he has taken, they don't have a ton of corners. They don't have a ton of set piece of it. Pino has taken all of them. Nothing for Wharton just yet, but again, three games. I haven't had a ton in terms of Ipswich. This lineup, I think, they really haven't changed up this lineup too much. I think they'll probably continue with it. Nunez and Palacio are the main questions in the middle.
And then as I said, I think I said this last week, but in CISO's not on corners with this team. It's Fatu and Sasa Lukic. So in Simon Leaf Davis, I think Leaf Davis has one corner of the season maybe. Sasa Ipswich down, I think this could be a pretty interesting game, even if it's, you know, even if you're looking at the odds and, you know, a huge favorite. The Chelsea lineup, they just played Wednesday. They rotated a bunch. And then at 45, I think they're down one nil. Half time they brought in a bunch of starters and at about six three, just ridiculous. I don't think we're going to actually see too much rotation from the Arsenal game outside of maybe like Cole will start for a champ on the back line. Otherwise, you know, Reese James and Petr Netto, I believe are starting our splitting corners with this group at least. But shouldn't be any major surprises. Hall again, have yet to allow a goal in Premier League in another team where, you know, if
this is keep, if this is working, then why are we going to change some things? So the pride I can change too much. Maybe coil moves out, but coil just went 90 minutes midweek. Maybe going to do off moves out for Matt Crooks in the midfield. That would be the main thing. They really haven't had a ton of set pieces. Later has been stealing set pieces from Balumi. But I don't know if that's entirely relevant in DFS at Chelsea. So that's kind of the situation there. I think we're still on no goals in Premier League play. They had three goals. I think they won three, two at Bruce on Tuesday now. Maddie Cash would be the main question because he didn't make the squad on Tuesday. One, Basaka started right there, but it's kind of what the, again, this is kind of what their group has been like. Heming's continued to start. Maybe at some point it's going to be a great atcho. Maybe at some point it's going to be someone else, but for now, this is what their lineup has been because that's kind of what they open the season with. That's kind of what they are closing the season with.
Just kind of looking at what's going on with Paul Torres here. Either way, not even force. Again, this has been their lineup for the last two games. I believe I started actually leaving to Lop was a new entrance into the starting 11. And then he or he is used, came on for endoy at about 60 minutes. So again, it looks like no matter what the situation is, endoy is going to go out at 60 minutes, no matter who's on the bench. So that's a situation with endoy. And matter of the matchup, that's what you're getting. Six years, so minutes. And then the Lop, I don't know. Let's see how I don't know how long he went. 74 minutes. All right. Yeah, I guess, I guess we're getting like the Lop and eager, he's used playing together and Chris Wood is like the third guy there. That's Sengare. He was apparently going to be ready last week. He was not. And again, he's apparently going to be ready. So he could come in for Schlaeger. That wouldn't change much.
Didn't mention set pieces, Buendia and McGinn split for Ascent Villa, which, yeah, was last week's slate where people like ignored the fact that, yeah, people ignored the fact that Ascent Villa were the set piece takers for Ascent Villa, which is kind of interesting. So I assume the set piece takers for Ascent Villa are going to be ignored again, which, you know, is fine with Liverpool and Chelsea on the slate, but I think it's worth noting. Buendia and McGinn, both set piece takers, McGinn and 90 minute player. Niko Williams and McAtee split for 90 and four, so that hasn't changed. And then Borameth, we're going to get to Alex Scott and Tavern here on them. Again, another team where probably nothing going to change here. Juan Lou, doesn't look like he's going to come into right back. It's going to be Adam Smith for now, probably until the International Break, see if that changes. Tyler Adams, I think it was his first start of the season last week. But again, another team, not a ton to change. Brentford, there could be some changes.
We know about the Nathan Cowan situation. We do not have the pressur, but I don't think, uh, Cowan is going to be ready. So we could see Houston in the back line, which is obviously change. We're now starting to back up center backs for Brentford with Schuster and Igera start. They could also at some point, maybe do you if it's going to come in? Could it be this game? Coyote only went 45 minutes in the last game. At this point, while Lewis Potter and Coyote can be good options, you have Aaron Hickey. You have a do you from the bench and Keith Andrew, Keith Andrews has already shown us that he's not scared to substitute players at halftime. So that is definitely a worry. Sengari was another player sub to halftime in that game. I think Dango was subbed, so I got Jay Nathany in this one. So that's obviously a worry. And then Jean-Nelt and Downscard will be on set pieces.
Yes, that's correct. Jean-Nelt already with two goals on the split of set pieces. But that's what we got for lineup. So there we go. Let me check out what we have. I'm doing this on Draft Kings before the slate is up, but I have the optimizer over at RotoWire that has all of the prices. So let's get into it. RotoWire.com slash soccer, again, RW soccer, 35% off we got. I'm going to cheat you. We got any time goal score out. So Yelpadro is the favorite of minus 130, Cole Palmer. Summary with PKs is minus 110, ESAC, minus 105 to score. So Obaslide with PKs, where is he? Where's our guy? So Obaslide. Obaslide is way down here at 260. Seems like good value if you think Liverpool are going to win. So at forward, this is one of those slates where you probably want to spend up. Because we have the Chelsea players.
We have a lot of number 9s. And if we just scroll, I'm just going to start at the bottom here because it's like what players do we actually want to play? I guess I shouldn't say my guy, a non-Kalai Lee who I hyped up last week, it turned out the left wing back at three goals for Crystal Palace and Kalali got 5.5 points in the game. So that wasn't helpful, but I still don't think it's a terrible play. I think it, you know, OK, the left wing back out of the goals, but you're paying. This is like a wing back who gets forward to see he had two shots in that game. He had five crosses against Manchester City, the prior game. He's 4,500 and he's home against Ipswich. So if you need to save money, that's probably might have the best floor of any of the forwards below like Cliver, non-Kalai Lee. Keep recommending him here. It's a bad idea, but I think it makes sense.
Cliver is 5,800. I want to check his numbers here because he does not have any corners. Cliver, the worry, of course, is without set pieces and he's an early sub. So that is the worry. But also on the slate, so I mentioned Kalali, if you don't want to go down that far, there are other pretty viable options because Fatua is down here. He has a floor. He gets subbed off early, but so far that hasn't really mattered. He is 5,400 and then Barclay. I assume Barclay at 6K if he starts, he's going to be very popular in tournaments because people look at him. Look at his price. Look at his price to Liverpool from Pihistgy. We'll look at all of that and they won't consider, okay, 60 minutes. Missed a couple of good chances the other game. You want to pay 6K with, could be a pretty popular player for someone who's going to go 60 minutes. I'm probably not going to play him at all.
Again, this is assuming Barclay starts, but I probably won't be playing Barclay even though he's 6K. Cash games like Fatua, like Kalali, then of course you can really do whatever you want. Internements. Stranglarsons 3900, Leam to Lopus 3500. A Wobie just certainly hasn't worked for him. He's 6600. That's too expensive. Then I think you get up to the level of, if you want to spend on both of your forwards, and this is kind of what the level is. Pedro Neto would be the cheapest, I think, good floor play though. Fatua is good as well, you could say. Pedro Neto though is 6,800. Home against Hall with the split set pieces. The player where we don't have a guarantee of 90 minutes, he went 81 in that last game. He came off the bench and went 45 midweek, but again, we have a good spot at home against Hall with the split set pieces.
He's 6800. You got to move up to find actual other players that you actually want. Keelin was fired at 6900, a little too much here as a leftback. Victor Munoz is 7K. I think I would much rather play Muñoz over Barca, because we know about Barca, not 100%. It's only one K difference. Muñoz already has a few games with Liverpool, and he just seems more likely for 90 minutes. This is especially if GAC post not on the bench. I know we got the 90 minutes, he gets 9 and 4, and then we got 64 against Ypswich, and he didn't start against Elético. I know we got all of that, but it really seems like Muñoz coming off a 64 and 30. He is more likely of the wingers to go close to 80, close to 80, plus minutes. That's kind of why I like Muñoz a little more than Barca. More than Rio, whoever he is at.
I just refreshed my page. I have to go back to the actual list. Now I got to apply the projections. Again, RotoWare.com slash soccer. I'm using our optimizer right now because the slate is not up at DraftKings yet because I am talking on a Thursday. That's kind of what we're looking at. A lot of number 9s here that are either too expensive or I don't really want a part of. You can play any of these guys in tournaments. But loom me if he was on all of the set pieces. I still don't play him at 8,100 at Chelsea, just a little too pricey. Eastock a good tournament play. We'll be pretty popular. Then we get into Morgan Robbgers and Jaw Pedro. Jaw Pedro, 10.1K, Morgan Robbgers, 9.4K. Do you want either of those guys in cash games? I think this is a slate where it's going to be pretty different between cash games and tournaments. Just in terms of you got the three attackers for Chelsea.
They have the high implied goal total. That's going to lead to some big numbers as it is. None of them have set pieces. Are you going to want to pay up for Cole Palmer, Morgan Robbgers, Jaw Pedro, that kind of thing. I plugged in my floor projections. I plugged in my floor projections. Really it's kind of giving me Neto, Morgan Robbgers, Cole Palmer and Reese James. You're not getting Jaw Pedro. You're getting the other two guys. You're getting Rodgers and Cole Palmer who are more likely to assist than Jaw Pedro, I guess, and create chances. You've got the corner takers in Pedro Neto and Reese James. That is an option. Otherwise, that's kind of it. I forward again. A lot of number of 9s on this slate and a lot of players that you don't really want to take part of. I think I kind of mentioned all of the ones that we actually have interested. Joe's light is 10.3K and he actually does not appear very often in any of the projections
that I'm looking at. I just think it's because he's a little too expensive. He doesn't even show up in the Roto Wire ones either. His number is just, let me click into his profile and see. Plan is a defensive midfielder, but with PKs. I think it's pretty close. I think it's pretty close. Home against Fulham here, we've seen this kind of, it seems like his numbers are similar to Bruno for Nench as last season. If we remember, it's probably the first half of the season, Bruno played as a defensive midfielder with set pieces and he was still a good play. So even if you still removed the goals from Soba's light, one was a PK, one was what he had in the last game against the letico, but you still remove those. He's still at a 12.4K. And I think that's good enough for me, I'd say.
My numbers have him at 10 to 11.4K and that's maybe boost that up a little bit for being at home against Fulham. I think that in cash games at least, I think this is still a fine play. If you wanted a side okay, rather play a better floor in Soba's light than Cole Palmer. On the other side of that, you're getting more upside with Cole Palmer and you're still getting like a shot floor. You're still getting chances created because five shots then go for Cole Palmer, three games. He has on PK's 12 shots for three games, six chances created. So he has all these numbers. I guess he did take one corner in the opener, but I mean, you kind of ignore the game at Arsenal, whatever, but you could look at the other two with Brighton, the Fulham game, good floor in both those games, but still his floor isn't as much. Maybe you could say he is more upside, better odds of score and all that for Chelsea. So I guess that's the difference. I think this would be kind of a big question here is because Soba's last 10.3K and then
Rogers is 9.4, Cole Palmer is 9.7. Do you want both of those Chelsea guys? Because they're against Hall and you figure that this is going to be a pretty good floor game and addition to an upside game or do you want to go? Okay, Soba's lie has been kind of opened the season. It's kind of like the ever consistent Bruno. That's kind of the difference there and he's also a few more. He's 900 more than Morgan Rogers. I think it's pretty close in terms of what you want. I'd actually say and in cash games, I think I would actually move to Soba's lie over those guys. I know he doesn't have the same upside, but I think just like the consistency of what Soba's lie does. And again, it's only been three games. I know there's been a bunch of goals for Chelsea and they have really scored with Chabby Lanzo, but you look at how they play with how they have played in some of these games, limited possession. How are they going to play with limited possession against Hall? I think that's going to be an interesting thing in terms of floor and goal scoring in this matchup. So I think that's one of the big questions on this slate, obviously, at the top of the
midfield list. To have in your 8.9K, I think that's pretty expensive. Given the other options I was just talking about, home against Brownford, I know what 8.9K, and again, and then another guy, probably just too expensive, 8.4K, Gibbsway, 8.2K. These guys are fine in tournaments, but I think it's going to be really hard to get to them in cash games, especially assuming you play one of Soba's lie in Cold Palmyr, I guess technically. You get to play both of them and cross your fingers and hope everything works. But reminder, Gibbsway, he does not take corners. He is 8.2K at Assembilla, Adam Worton is a ridiculous price. Did he do something this year? Why is he 7K? Let me click a news profile. Rotoward.com slash soccer. You can get all these profiles. You need to do anything. Couple of chances created. No corners. Not really there. I don't know why he's 7K. Dammsgard, 6.7K at Bournemouth. Still not what I want to pay for him, given the matchup and given that he is.
Not going to go 90 minutes. So I think that's a worry. I don't think Janssen's at ready to return yet, but I don't think that matters. I think he's 70 or so minute player. Moving out of the list here, Alex got 6.4K. I think he got the goal last week, maybe. But 6.4K is still too much. Fully inverted, 6.1K. That one kind of stands out a little bit. No, he doesn't have the floor. He really hasn't had a good start to the season. But we bring in all these other injuries. We see the minutes. He really hasn't done a ton here. Damien get a shot against Elettico. Has some chance creation. It's okay, but I think when you look at that 6.1K, I think that's a pretty good tournament route. Who the in C so you could consider him for tournaments, just because you know he's going to rip shots off at 5,900. Not the best price, not the worst price, but at Crystal Palace, I think the matchup is fine. Kevin Shada remains a good tournament player at 5K. It totally gets to like a 7K range.
I think Kevin Shada is a good option because if we're getting close to 90 minutes in all these games, he just has the goal upside. And he isn't going to be popular enough that he's not going to be worth it. You're a me Pino, of course pops out. Let me check my projections. Yeah, he's the second most popular midfielder along with when D for me. Kamada also pops up here. So Pino, 4,700 home against Upshitch. I think I called him out on the last week's late. Was that last week? Yeah, it must have been. I didn't really get much at full. They took one corner, 7.2 points, but I still think home against Upshitch, you're getting sub 5K here. So that's another option. That's all the same guys as last week. So Yannelt is 4,600. Bundia is 4,400. Pino looks like he's an option to go close to 90. Yannelt can go close to 90 as well. Bundia will be in early sub. Makatee is 4,400. He could be a 90-minute player as well. So you got four really good sub 5K midfielder.
This is basically how it was last week. So he kind of decided there. My favorite would be Pino just because of the matchup and he's home. And he's taken all of the corners, left set pieces for Crystal Palace this season. Kamada 4,200 technically a good tournament play just because of if he starts in this attacking midfielder roll. If he's going to start next, if he starts next to Wharton and Timber doesn't start, his projections will actually drop down a little bit. And that's kind of what we're looking at. We got all these good options sub 5K. There's not really too much to talk about. Oscar Bob is still 3,500 a good tournament play because he's on set pieces. Good score. Can he score, I guess? Good score. That's kind of what we're looking at. And then Reese James pops up, talking about defenders right now. Nego Williams 6K at Assemblula. That's fine. Reese James 5,500. I think that I think he came off the bench. I don't know how long he played midweek, but I think you look at the corners, have
rolled the midfield, 8.7 Florian's Arsenal. Had a 6.4 against Fulham. That was a weird game. Home against whole, I think it's, it'll be difficult not to play Reese James at 5.5K. I think you definitely play him in cash games. You can, you know, tournaments decide what you want to do. Obviously, there are plenty of good options. Giles, no, but Tyree, Mitchell coming off his master performance. Maybe he's going to be over-owned because of that performance, 4,800. And Munoz, if he starts, probably not going to go 90 minutes. He's 4,300. Motsin, if he starts, he did start midweek. We could get a Ruggeri start. That would be something. But that's kind of, you know, nothing too exciting here at Defender. It's like Reese James OK and Eka Williams. I think that's a fine price at S and below. That's OK. Kirk Escher 4,700. It isn't really one that stands out. You could look at Jorrell Hato. I would consider him if he actually had decent numbers at one point.
But even then, he's got a couple assists with no upside, basically. But again, home against whole, you could say, OK, maybe he hasn't had a Florian prior games, but home against whole, maybe you're getting the 5.4. Maybe you are getting him actually sending in some crosses at 48, 100. So and you're getting the best odds very clean sheet on the slate. So Hato at 4,100 playing as a wingback, I think, kind of stands out. Or he will stand out for most people. Yeah, that's a bunch of centerbacks. Otherwise, I think that if you want to play some centerbacks, Chelsea and Liverpool centerbacks, Vendike always interesting. So that's kind of what we got goalkeeper-wise. I don't think anyone is going to Martinez at 6K. She probably won't get a ton of saves. We'll see if he can keep clean sheet for Chelsea. Again, we just really haven't been able to trust their defense. Even home against whole, I'm not sure we can trust Chelsea's defense just yet. I don't know what the odds say, but it's kind of difficult. Can't really trust Al Sohn either.
Anderson Petrovich, you trust anyone? So that's kind of why I probably want to go down a little bit. Suzuki, Suzuki, 4,900. Cells is 4,500 against a team that hasn't scored in the Premier League yet. So I'd probably definitely go sub 5K at goalkeeper. And then deciding on if you want to go for one of the cheaper guys, Sherpon, 4,200 against Christopher Pals, it's OK. Leno, it's so Zot. So Locke is both sub 4K. So that's kind of what we're looking at for the draft King's slate. We need to get on Manzabi, getting from a great bongo. We need to get on Manzabi in a few weeks, 5.9 bargain. All right, he's talking to FPL. It's not an FPL show. But yeah, Manzabi will probably be returning from the after the international break. But we got 30 minutes here. I haven't really talked about underdogs. So I live in Michigan and underdog is ended for me yesterday on Wednesday.
So that kind of sucks. I tried again as many contests as good. But I think I only got into two or three yesterday, unfortunately. And that's it. I can no longer do drafts. It was fun while it lasted. Now, it was OK during the World Cup. I think it was pretty fun for the Premier League. But now, now I can't play anymore. But fortunately for everyone, all my projections are kind of tied to one base. And they go out to the draft games, Van Duel, Underdog, FPL, whatever. So all of my projections are still going to be there will still be underdog projections. For this week, I'll say there's still a pull up the site. They I can't even look at actual contests on the site. But I think I can still pull up ADP and that kind of thing. So maybe I'll get some thoughts every week on an ADP, but won't really be too much. But I pulled up my I guess my projections aren't even in here because I can't play anymore. So that's kind of weird. But yeah, just looking at what we have for looks like ADP, yeah, soccer is going one, which
I think is kind of crazy. Havards is going five again at Sunerland, a defensive team, Arsenal. OK, I think the ADP is kind of crazy. We'll see how it plays out. Why would you rather why would you have Havards instead of set to show Pedro doesn't really make sense. We got the Liverpool players. I got course I draft early and I got gag, but my first draft doesn't look like he's going to play. But I think the best options, Poro, top defender, Reese James and other top defender, I couldn't get either of those guys because they want to soon for me. Otherwise, yeah, just use the projections. I can't. Some reason my I had my projections in here yesterday, but they are no longer OK. Yeah, I guess they're showing up. But yeah, there's still plenty of value guys who popped up for me in mine, guys like
Jeremy Pino, you can get in any team. He's below 30 ADP. The Aspenville guys are below 30 ADP as well. If you want to look at the Aspenville game, Tottenham guys are pretty low. They're homing its Everton. Pedro Netto, I think his ADP has gone up now. I think people are realizing he's on set pieces here. So his ADP is 19 and falling. Kamada, no one's drafting him. If you want a random Crystal Palace goal, little Crystal Palace stack or something against Ipswich, there's on these massive slates with seven. Declan Rice and my projections is like, I don't know, 20 and he's going. Where is he? Declan Rice is going top 10, top 11, which is kind of crazy. I think like, I don't know what number is this. He's like 20. He's below, I think he's below top 20 for me. So like, I don't know what the deal is with the, with some of the ADP and how these people,
what projections are using it underdog? So we look at this. Arsenal is the third biggest favorite and their implied goal total is 0.5 below Liverpool, 0.8 below Chelsea. And guys like, I mean, everyone like Saka is going one. Haberts is going in the first round. Declan Rice is going in the second round. Odegaard is going the second round. I think that's okay. But it's like, ever, it's like Arsenal home against Sunderland and they're the biggest favorite on the slate. But I think that, I don't know, people, I know Arsenal are good. I think they're going to win this game. I think this is probably going to be a clinch. But I don't think they're going to be like three goals for Arsenal, 20 plus shots, that kind of a thing. I mean, it maybe happens, but the odds don't say that. I don't, I don't know, but like, why is still like, we know what Declan Rice's role is. He's getting like, this is 10 point floor in all these games.
That's fine. And I guess you're going to assist. And okay, but like, who is going after Declan Rice? Like Pedro Poro, we just saw is the difference of Pedro Poro and a bad defender is pretty massive. I get Gacbo is falling out, which okay. Yeah, let me, Poro had a 16 point floor. It's not even for us. So Pedro Poro probably same kind of floor as Declan Rice, but he gets bonus points for clean sheets. And he also is his floor is like, you know, compared to other midfielders where like, there's a ton of midfielders who can get you 10 points. There's not that many defenders that can get you 10 points automatically. Re-shames would be the other one. So like, those guys are going after him. Like in CISO, in CISO, you can get everywhere. He's 27 ADP, just another guy.
Like why is Declan Rice going 10? Why isn't CISO going 28 against Crystal Palace? He's a guy with the 10 point floor and upside. Like why is Pino going 31? Sometimes going undrafted. He's another guy with the 10 point floor and with upside. Could even have PKs for all we know. So some weird stuff in Underdog. I think that there's people who are kind of just a guessing and don't really know what's going on. Maybe they're using some random projections, but I think there's, you know, as always, say it on all these shows. You know, get your stack, pick your teams out. It obviously depends on if you're going to have, you know, the first pick or the fifth pick. If you drafts I got into yesterday, I didn't get the first or second pick. So I was kind of, I had to kind of get into mostly Liverpool focused draft because Socko was gone. The Chelsea guys were gone. So I had to kind of get into Liverpool more so than I wanted to, but then the day Liverpool
is implied total is 2.3. So I don't hate it that much. But yeah, a lot of your strategy should depend on where you're actually drafting. And once you get your first guy, you know, try and build off that. Get the Chelsea stack, get the Liverpool stack. Maybe get the Arsenal stack, that kind of thing. And then there's put still, you know, 3, 4, 5, 6 rounds. There's still plenty of guys that are fine. But that's all I got for this week. Saturday, September 12th is the slate. Thank you for listening to this. Good luck on the slate. Unfortunately, underdog is done for me, but I guess I can still win. I got a few teams for this week and that's it for me. Runaway and that count slash soccer, RW soccer is 35% off. Thank you for listening. And I'm going to go watch them champion.
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