Deep Dive Intel Briefing: What We Learned This Week 3/14/2026 Lt Col Daniel Davis

0:00Hey everybody welcome to the Daniel Davis Intel brief where we give you the best of what we learned this week and the of most updated information that you have and in fact one of the things you're seeing on the screen right there is one of those and that is an Iranian strike a new one this is not something old from our base in Bakrane. This is an important to point because you can see a little white dot if you're looking real close in the middle of the screen then it dives in and bam this is on our base don't forget that is just a small slow moving drone that didn't get hit with anything this really shows the the possibility of our our air defense I mean after what this is day I guess what if today this is the day 15 of the war and here you see that on a base it's already been hit and we haven't been able to upgrade or update our our air defenses this is not an Iranian ballistic missile this is not a hypersonic this is a slow moving lawn more kind of what it sounds like it's

1:00easy to see it's very slow you can watch it easily with the naked eye and then you see it just go straight into the target nothing ever coming up it's not like we missed it it just didn't get hit now if this is happening here at our our fifth fifth fleet naval headquarters in the Middle East what do you think is happening elsewhere especially it's some of the minor places remember at least the last update I had 17 different American bases and specific sites throughout the Middle East have been struck not attacked but physically struck meaning we didn't knock them down so all this stuff we keep hearing in the mainstream media and a lot of our senior leaders congress people talking heads on TV military folks politicians we're intercepted nearly everything then explain that to me explain 17 hit and this one evidence we see here this stuff just doesn't add up folks and it's it's of course we're showing you all

2:01this stuff and so none of this is surprising to any of our folks here nobody who watches our show surprised in the least by this we were telling you what was going to happen before it happened and those all kinds of physical evidence but we're still dealing with this collective unwillingness to acknowledge what our I see right in front of us of course there's all the things in the Gulf that are burning our allies are having the same results 10 different nations are our allied nations have been struck in the process and we can't stop those either and they're getting really upset about it more on that in a minute I want to talk about something that happened last night because it's also very important another issue with what your eyes see and what the words they're coming out of the mouth of some of our leaders and that was we did a we did a breaking new story last night on Carg Island here you'll pop that up there just yeah let's hold off on that one for just a second I want to talk a little bit about what what the claim was so I was actually out walking the dog last night after we finished and I thought I was gonna finally have a just a peaceful

3:01relaxing evening and then I said an alert on my phone the president Trump just nine minutes before that when the alert came on posted a version of this this is what the White House scared people to full screen up this is what the White House ended up putting up there was it moments ago at my direction the United States Central Command executed one of the most powerful bombing raids in the history of the Middle East and totally obliterated every military target in Iran's crown jewel Carg Island Iran has no ability to defend anything that we want to attack there is nothing they can do about it now one almost wonders just on that point alone was he talking about our facilities at Bahrain that there we can't do anything to stop it but I digress but let's not take a look this is this is this footage now that was shown by sent comm about this most amazing and incredible obliteration of every military site on Carg Island that we have ever seen this is it so I mean I'm looking at this and I'm like

4:02there's got to be more I must be missing something because this looks like a field and a bunch of things exploding in it and and around the explosion you don't see anything now here's okay here's a couple of buildings on an air field I'm actually going to show you that in just a second and okay and there's a strike now on the airfield itself okay that's got military importance but there are two shots folks there's two shots and then here we go back and we see a bunch of missiles falling to what looks like an empty field I don't know maybe there's a bunker underneath there perhaps there's a missile battery I don't know because we can't see anything it looks like a bunch of shrubbery a field out in the middle of nowhere and some bombs blown up but that's it and let me just tell you that airfield that's something that is so easy to fix that's common number one that's not anything that's very difficult to fix but then you have the issue that this is Carg Island right here this is in by the way let me just give you some perspective here here's Iran here's the Persian

5:03Gulf here's the Gulf of Oman the straight of Hormuz and then this little dot you can see here and we'll zoom in on this this is a really important item this is no kid this is no joke of very important geographic location because of all these oil facilities 90% of the oil facilities for Iran and where their exports go through come from here so it is a legit big issue this is that airfield that I just showed you right here and these are some of the buildings that look like that were struck so whatever these were it looks like that's what they hit and there's a couple of shots here here's the thing though when was the last time you heard anything about the Iranian Air Force you you hear that this this mighty thing and now then because we've taken out the runway then what the airplanes that aren't flying are gonna fly either so I'm like what is the utility of this I have no idea I don't think I doubt that it's even been used since the war started they don't have an Air Force and they're certainly not using it to launch any kind of strikes that that was going to help and even so if you know anything at all about wartime and especially

6:05hitting airstrips there most nations especially if they're using the airstrips have have battalions of people and specific squadrons of workers and crew that are specifically designed to repair those things and you can get that repaired in a matter of hours and there was two strikes it's not like they obliterated the thing at least what they showed there maybe there was more but again I'm not sure what the point was but then you look and you see all these other targets all these other houses buildings whatever they said that there was lots of military sites I didn't see any evidence and at least nothing they were they showed you didn't see anything in fact what you saw and I don't know the exact location but that this is very similar this kind of looks like what we saw in that that like something in this area here with a lot of the shrubbery you may remember there was a road in the background it could have been something around here I I don't know for sure it's not been properly geolocated it's probably another place as it looks similar but this is categorically what it was you saw a shrubbery kind of out in the middle of nowhere I don't know maybe there was a missile battery there but in any case when

7:08President Trump says this is the most amazing and extraordinary military strike in the history of the in the history of the Middle East you got to say what are you talking about now listen for for American audience that doesn't look at that and doesn't look at what I'm showing you right here they may say okay great it was another big one what is that what is that translated into it doesn't translate into anything here and that's if you're if people just look at the headline that President Trump said that they think they can imagine some of these really dramatic ones that Gary has shown the past like this you know Tehran and flames or or some of these tankers that were just just just this almost like a destruction movie a disaster movie set where it's just rolling up probably people to imagine that and they're thinking that car guy and whatever that is because I doubt many people are gonna go look they're thinking I guess there's probably something like that going and yet as you still see here on the screen it's just kind of shrubbery I

8:09don't know I guess we blew up just shrubs that may have made some of the the local wildlife unhappy I don't know but there's nothing that substance is happened with it so going back to that and Gary don't show this because I don't have all of it but in President Trump's true social he said and he warned Iran if if you don't do what I say we'll come back and hit the oil too and and what I say is everybody has to lay down their arms in the IRGC and surrender so you would imagine okay well if you're issuing basically a call to surrender which is a repeat of what he said earlier in the week about requiring unconditional surrender then you're thinking man it must be really bad but then you see it wasn't so if you're the IRGC you hear that warning and you see these little pinpricks out in the middle to know where striking something you're not even using are you gonna lay down your arms and surrender I mean I'm thinking I wouldn't I don't know maybe that's just me though but you see a disconnect here between what President Trump is saying what is happening on

9:11the ground and of course we're gonna see a lot more of that and let's actually go to one of the President Trump's allies in Congress who last night on Fox News was asked about the struck it car now in here he's gonna explain a little bit about what why they struck car but then he's also gonna go a little bit further it's true that Iran is essentially had a radical Islamic theocracy which has been holding the world hostage because of the importance of the tankers moving through the Straits of Hormuz 15 years ago Texans did a good job in propping up the oil industry here by engaging and fracking so that we're now more independent but now the President is taking the right steps to free the world from that stranglehold that this radical theocracy has had on the ability for commerce to flow and for those tankers to move through the straits so by taking out cars island that's a big strike at China what people aren't really focusing on here is the geopolitical brilliance of the President taking on Russia and China by going after Maduro and now going after Iran this is the

10:15moment to reshape the geopolitical stage and the President is doing it okay let's just forget about this hyperbole and stuff that Iran was holding the world hostage that they've been doing all this geopolitical stuff folks they have been doing nothing except surviving and we have had economic sanctions on them we have had especially us and and primarily Israel in this regard have been doing everything kinetically to harm them for a long time assassinating their leaders assassinating their civilian leadership assassinating scientists and in many cases killing their families along with them with with missile strikes into apartment buildings stuff that we would go crazy if any nation did either to Israel or to the United States or anybody in the West we don't bat an island we do it to them no no problem because they're this radical the ocracy and they're after us all I mean that's it's get into the point to where it's it was comical now it's just embarrassing it's like nobody's believe in

11:17that I mean what are you talking about here an interesting look did he also talks about you know this is something President Trump had to do he said and now he said this is really about Russia and China he goes further so you really want to make that argument that's where you want to go that now then you're trying to say that the war not just Carg Island the war is about China and Russia now let me just tell you that's gonna fall on some fertile ears not in America but in China and Russia because they already see that you stole Maduro and in the process co-coopted the rest the remainder of the government and took possession and control of their oil and then now here we know you're trying to apparently either militarily or economically crush Cuba and then now over here you're trying to take the oil appointedly for to get it China and Russia and take control of the Middle Eastern oil too now China is

12:17not gonna sit back and say golly man I hope they don't do that because that would be really bad for us and dang it I mean we're powerless to do anything about it they're not now now first of all and let me just kind of also show you this on the map here Carg Island right now is 90% it's where 90% of their oil flows through but it's not the only thing they have so you see this is where it goes because it's easier to get through the tankers there's a system for that but you can see China a budget on the other side here and so they have the ability through pop lines and other things that they can go other ways to get oil to China there's additional export locations in other places that they can go to they don't have the capacity of Carg so it would be more difficult and it would be slower but there is other ways to get oil to China from Iran and of course with Russia that there too they would facilitate a lot of that in almost certainly but the bigger issue is what do you think China is gonna do about this what do you think Russia is gonna do about this because if

13:21they see that you're physically trying to move to take possession of something that would then block something that it benefits them economically or that they rely on is in the case of China listen I folks people in the administration I've been saying this since we've had this channel and since I've been writing and going on television before the channel happened there are actions reactions to your actions there are consequences to your actions we don't want that to happen we want to whatever we say just happens we don't want there to be any results from supporting the Mujahideen in the 1980s in the Soviet afghan war but that's where al-Qaeda started that's where some have been lawden started so that was the consequence of our action then and then we just walked away and then left all kinds of problems that was the genesis genuinely the genesis of al-Qaeda which then later on according to whatever we've been told it was led to 9-11 and everything that happened after that led to

14:21ISIS we all of those things keep having consequences here and and all of our actions in the Russia Ukraine war are gonna have consequences and we're seeing that we many people were amazed and angered that reports that Russia was helping Iran target American bases throughout the region well what a shock because our actions of helping Ukraine destroy and kill Russians within targeting intelligence for four years so far in that war that's come home to roost here we were moving in from NATO to expand a NATO up all the time ignoring everything Russia says not caring anything even when they said there are red lines and when they said no this Georgia and Ukraine are red lines and they took military action in both it was as predictable as the sun coming up in the morning but we didn't want that and so we're acting shock and amazing it's like what's wrong with these people I said it's defensive even though we're advancing up to their border see we want to say whatever we want we want to do whatever we want and we don't want any consequences only that's not how the

15:25world actually works and now a lot of these chickens are coming back home to roost and it's a problem and we're already seeing that here Chip Roy is talking about hey we're taking we took the Venezuelan we now you know being the process of trying to take the Iranian oil it's still an open question whether any that's going to work but that seems to be the objective and what has been the results so far let's take a look at the Russians first care if you can put that next full screen up there this is from I think yesterday to where you're they're taking a look at so far after I think two weeks of war here since so very concretely the outcome of the war so far is that Iran controls the world's most critical energy choke point and Russia can now sail their oil freely and at a premium I can't think of another US war that's been such an obvious strategic disaster so quickly normally take a couple of years to do that and say he sees referring to the breaking news on March the 12th the Treasury Secretary said they'll authorize the sale of crude oil from Russia to other people bypassing sanctions and that's on top of the price of oil going from

16:29$67 to presently 101 and that's almost only certainly gonna continue to go up and a president Trump makes good on the rest of his threat there over that you see that's that's the current price there $101 as of the chart that I'm made here if he actually goes through and if the Iranians don't surrender and he ends up attacking the mill the oil facilities on there that's only almost certainly gonna cause that spike to go up because right now the the the issue is a political decision to block the straight-of-formers which can be unblocked just based on another political decision and then everything can can can just continue to roll through there in fact here if you can put that full screen up of the the current position in this situation the straight-of-formers you can see that it's blocked here these are actually not that one here I'm gonna come back to that one in a second that was these right here all these little dots are ships that are just anchored in either in the Gulf of Oman or in the Persian Gulf all those on the left side of that land

17:33that's jutting out in the middle there those are full tankers that have that full of fuel and oil but they can't get out all those on the right are empty waiting to get in so that they can fill up and then head out but nobody's going anywhere right now so that's all a political decision and if and if we can come to some sort of negotiated settlement on all parties to get this thing over with it can just go back on but if you strike that or the cargo oil field and you you destroy the oil facilities that's gonna take many months to get done and now then even if there is a political settlement you open up the the the the Gulf a substantial portion of the oil won't be able to come out because it's it's already it'll have been destroyed the facilities you can't even get it out it's gonna be much much difficult which is going to keep the oil pressed up higher and keep it up higher for longer so that doesn't help the United States and even though President Trump says oh yeah well we make money on that so it's good for us well that may be good for the old companies it's terrible for the American people yeah they may love getting a lot of cash I'm

18:37sure they do a lot of the president's buddies are just reveling this they're cool with it no question about that but the American people like the hundreds of millions of us and that goes for hundreds of millions in Europe actually all over the world the consumer because global oil is a global commodity so the price goes up it's global it's not just one place but all the regular people billions of us will pay that price so it's a odd thing for president what maybe it's not hard it's odd that he admitted it because it's good only for some people not good for the people who are gonna be voting in the admit term elections later this year which is something he probably cares about but listen if if it's odd for Americans and they're making weird statements like this that are disconnected from reality or just work counter to our purposes unfortunately it's not limited to the Americans and I'm gonna show you one sample here from Europe which has multiple ramifications here and here is Friedrich Merz oh boy he's gonna be sitting here what in this clip I'm about to

19:37show you he says listen we want this war to come to negotiate a settlement but look where he puts the pressure have a gemeinsame clear opinion to the war that the time to get the Iran is going to be carried out and our secure things to all the first to the Iran and his mullah regime the war ends they have it in the hand quickly to a solution to this war to come especially the mullah regime is in the hand not other countries in the region to attack like some of the gold states and the whole region to destabilize the responsibility for light to all the first at the regime in terror so whoever wrote the talking points for American representative chip Roy apparently gave a copy to the chancellor of Germany Friedrich Merz because all this is everything is Iran's fault they they are the the the protagonist they're the bad guy they're the ones who started this so that's who needs to end it now isn't that interesting so he's saying with a straight face with some

20:41conviction that there's only one side that can end this war and that is Iran and they're doing all this nefarious things and all these people they're attacking throughout the region well they're the bad guys and so that shows you how how destabilizing and how awful they are and that they need to bring this to an end not one word about Israel not one word about the United States that started this war and is ruthlessly attacking Iran left and right now let that sink in for a second the side that started the war and is daily attacking ruthlessly blowing up stuff all over the place in bragging about it you know Secretary Hicks at yesterday's bragging about no quarter will be given no mercy no stupid rules of engagement all this stuff right that's what we're saying to doing to them and then now here's Friedrich Merz saying that the side on the receiving end of all that aggression is the one responsible for ending it

21:41what he's asking for is unconditional surrender that's what president Trump wanted in a sense that's what he's defining there he's saying listen you should just surrender and it's your responsibility to do so because you're the bad guy here you should just surrender and I'm thinking now what kind of weird world is this when we're taking what is the country that had never attacked anyone and then this small country and then all of a sudden we go in there because who knows filling the blank there's a ton of different reasons why we did it some were claiming some were real we attacked this country and you're saying that the victim should be the one to submit to the bigger one and somehow that's the right way meanwhile that same chancellor looking in his back yard sees that a war that was started on February 22nd 2020 I'm sorry 24th 2022 when Russian forces crossed the border into Ukraine now Russia feels like that it was something that they had to do that's neither here nor there the fact is Russia invaded into Ukraine and that that was the country that was the

22:46aggrieved Russia invaded Russia attacked and they're still fighting to this day now in that case you have Friedrich Merz saying that the aggressor country the one that started that war they're the ones that should stop it they're the ones that should pay reparations they're the ones that should help bear the responsibility for it and everybody should do everything they can to the poor country that's on the receiving end of this aggressor should not be rewarded now what he says all the time all the time aggression should not be rewarded unless it's up to our preference and if it's our aggression then it should definitely be rewarded you see how stupid that is and and it's more than stupid that's probably not the right word it's dangerous it's alarming what that tells you is and by the way it tells everybody in the world people are kind of neutral people who are adversaries they all hear this message and see it loud and clear and in fact to them there's not a double standard it's actually not it's one standard and it is whatever we want we get and if we want to be the aggressor we can

23:51and if we don't like it when somebody else is in the aggressor we don't but all cases the definition lies with us we decide what's right we decide what needs to happen and everybody else needs to submit to our desires there is no morality in that what used to be called the western values and the rules based order the rule of law all of these things people will talking about their their national constitutions and how the the Judeo Christian morality was supposed to be the one that the world would envy and would bring peace and stability and prosperity to everyone that Ronald Reagan used to talk about that that kind of mentality being a city on a hill and now then we have bulldoze that city off and now we don't even pretend anything else it's now brute force it's all about power you give me what I want and that's it you either submit to what I tell you to do or you die that's that's what we offer the world right now I could go through

24:53a whole long list of that but it is all on display right now both in the United States and Europe and it is a sickness that we better find a way too and we the people who still have morality and believe me there are hundreds of millions of people in in the western world the United States Europe that's still and even even in Israel too there are still large numbers numbers of people that care very much about morality about the rule of law about following constitutions and about bringing peace and stability where everybody gets a chance to survive but right now those in power don't and we may all pay the price for that now I'm real quickly I'm going to give you kind of an update of what's going on here in the war and kind of where we are tactically you're if you can go ahead and bring up that full screen of the vessels that have been stuck because everything's still centers on the on the the poor goal of the straight of fore moves in the Gulf of Persian Gulf where all the oil is coming through that is still the central terrain where

25:56all this war is being fought and where it's going to be won or lost so far the Iranian side has the ability to keep that that straight shut as long as they do they have the leverage they have the the substantial position here where they can call the shots and by the way they are I'll get to that in just a second but what they here's here's how they've done it so you see that there's not a huge number of strikes in this this is the the vessels that have been struck and you see that the most of them are around the the straight itself there's a few that are further up in there not far from Carg Island in that top one there's even a couple on the right set or actually a few on the right side of it but what they're doing is they're hitting just enough to keep everybody else paralyzed in fear again now Gary if you could show me the current picture here not that one the the current picture of the of the straight in the Persian Gulf that one that's what you see right now that's paralyzed though those are all just anchored they're all just sitting there or else they're kind of uh uh patrolling in circles but if you see the active the live version of it but no one's

26:58passing through the empty ones aren't going in the full ones aren't coming out and that's what's going on right now so that's what President Trump's trying to finish to figure out how to solve and it's just not working up very well now all of this has oil as we set up to $101 barrel right now and it's been slowly economic member it went down for a little while early in the week when President Trump said oh well you know what the war is about over um you know it's going to be over soon and it had that dip but then people realized uh you know in the oil industry uh he actually didn't mean that those were just words because nothing changed and and now then the process went back up and now then I suspect uh it's probably going to continue to slowly rise unless something major happens pro or con I imagine it'll just continue eating forward because people are really nervous uh nobody wants to process well said nobody not many people want the process of will to go up yeah that's the one that's the the live one there thanks Gary uh except for the oil companies but even they're not so much because they still have to get their product out and they can't sell it they're not making any money so even they have an incentive for this to go over

27:59uh to to be over with very soon but so far it's not and uh now then to put pressure on Iran then we continue the war outside of the Gulf and then let's take a look at that here are some of the hits from the region now if you put the regional one up here so this is what the two sides are doing so you see everything in the gray area in Iran that's what we're striking against Iran and everything that's in that tan color that's what Iran is doing to us and so you see uh there's a lot of blows being struck I mean that I I think uh if you can put it in sports terminology we went in thinking we were going to get a first round knockout we thought that the opening rounds two or three days of shock and all uh would just shock these people we'd get an assassination of the the itola and like with Maduro when we took him out everybody else would just submit to us to end the the fighting right there and that didn't happen so now then you're like oh snap now we have to get into an actual 15 round bout you know a prize fight and you see that both sides are landing blows on the other and we showed you that one of buff rain and we've been hit in buff rain many times

29:01that's continuing on over and over well I want to zero in on the Iranian side of that so you see in a Tehran has been struck you see a bunch of red dots in the middle let me zoom in on that one a little bit because they are being hit hard now this is what Tehran is being received for up so you see that there's lots and lots of targets uh in that region not just the city of Tehran but also in the cunts area in the uh Loma Bad area etc uh some miscellaneous you see so we're hitting a lot of targets here but this also illustrates one of our problems what are you shooting at here and what is the intent you should not use force unless it is going down a process it's going to lead to a political outcome of your preference you want to be able to put pressure on somebody and hurt somebody in the in the purpose of causing them to want to uh or to require them to submit to whatever you want them to do so for example if they if they're center of gravity the thing that they have to have the most uh is there is there ground forces then you want to have shots that go in

30:02on on making their army stronger that's what the Russians are doing they're they're they're focused on destroying the Ukrainian army so most most of their targets go into uh all the front line stuff where they physically destroy the Ukrainian army man by man on the front lines and then they secondary target is to go deeper where they're going to hit the ability to sustain the war at the front with energy electricity uh making life miserable for the people etc making it hard for them to produce anything else so that they continue to beat you a week at the point of contact and they're going to so that's the Russian plan so it's taken a long time but they actually have a coherent plan what we have here though appears to just be a bunch of targets that we're striking we're hitting buildings uh we're hitting sometimes we hit all facilities sometimes we don't and what's that supposed to accomplish what is the intent of those because it's there since there's no field army involved here it's not to to like the Russians are doing with their strikes against energy infrastructure in order to make them weaker and if the idea is well you're

31:05going to have to we're hitting these oil infrastructure whatever to make it laugh miserable on the people well they're certainly doing that but if that's if we think that is going to cause the people to turn against their government or put pressure on the government to submit to us dude you better be locked in for a long time look at look at the hoothies about 15 years and they to this day are still not submitting to anything look at hummus after two and a half years of war and of course going back to when they first came into power in 2005 they have not submitted to this day uh hezbollah even though you absolutely destroyed their senior leadership remember last year um and we assassinated uh Hassan Nasrallah their their leader and almost all of their senior generals and then they had that pager of it remember that we're i think over a thousand people were either killed or seriously wounded where are they doing today there was a big barrage of the day they are still viable they're still fighting even though Israel has been doing

32:08even more stuff even in the weeks and months heading into this and throughout this were they're still firing a lot into Beirut into southern Lebanon and it hasn't brought them to their knees look at the Ukrainian people they have not they're four years and have just been pulverized by the Russians on the front in the rear areas all the way through all these facilities and yet they have not broken why do you think that Iran is going to cement a couple weeks and that now we're surprised if you're not ready to go up to this for a number of years if you're not resourced to this and all those shots i showed you on the capital a second ago that needs to be like every month and you better be resourced for that and you better be prepared and i don't i'm pretty sure we're not because look unlike the Russian side the Russian side is on the border all of their facilities right there they can load it to stuff on trains and move it back and forth all they want put it on some trucks drive it up to the front drive it to their bases where they then gets on the aircraft they fly and everything is in range right there we on the other hand

33:11have to transport over thousands of miles in the air and on the sea and that is going to wear out our air fleet it's going to wear out our our navy our actual ships and it's going to wear out the people because right now i know for certain because i've got some contacts uh who are on the ground in the region and they say that morale is already starting to suffer uh because they're just getting worn out i mean consider the the Gerald R Ford by itself it already was three months over its deployment time to go back after conducting the operation of Venezuela and now then here they are and who knows when they're going to go home so they're already way over apparently there's another aircraft carrier coming maybe they're going to replace them maybe they're going to add to it that we don't know about that that's to be determined but no matter which way it is that is going to continue to keep pressure on the second week of war so if you think that you're going to compel the Iranian side into submission we are desperately wrong. Well let's let's take a look at some other really important things we learned this week because

34:12these all tale uh dovetail it together to give you a picture of just how difficult this is going to be. First of all we had Alistair Kuk on this week uh who reveals what Iran's actual strategy is and they have one. Iran is unfolding that capabilities incrementally they have only getting started now it will gradually move and we'll see some of their newer missiles they're husbanding their missiles they're playing for the long war not the short war so they're not going to far at all off with ones that Israel in a big split no they have they have their target bank too they're following the target bank and they're taking it one by one and they have more modern more sophisticated missiles we haven't seen yet but i've i know that they have even newer ones in the stock pile and their stock piles are full i mean have no illusions you know all the Iranians have run out because they're firing fewer missiles this is nonsense i mean the Iranians

35:18are doing this very carefully why far lots of missiles will try and draw out and to complete the intercept base when you don't have to one missile a day if it's a hypersonic or one with multiple warheads some of them have 80 sub munition warheads i'm landings with a 20 kilo warhead in each so when they land it's like an artillery barrage of 80 guns firing all at once with 20 kilo armaments i mean it's devastating and seeing that that really illustrates the the difference between the Iranian side and the Israeli-slash American side because we have to we're wearing out our crews we're wearing out our air crews we're wearing out the navy obviously our bases are being hit all over the place but for for Iran they merely have to survive they have to be able to maintain solvency as an effective government that got to maintain control of their

36:22people but that's a pretty low bar because the people themselves are in line here even i've heard recent reports about even those who hated the regime and who were protesting against it now have gone to ground or they're just saying hey we'll get back to our internal differences later but first of all we have to stop this murderous attack from all these different sources externally because it's against our nation not just against the regime we're all here we're all getting hit so that's that's that's the lowest bar that you can cross and up to this point there's been no evidence whatsoever that they're going to do anything different that other nations have that i mentioned a minute ago when attacked by an external power they're rallying around the flag but they also all they've got to do is remain militarily solvent too and have some minimal level of sustain rate of fire of drones and missiles that can extend over some period of months maybe even a couple of years apparently but certainly over many months and they have definitely prepared for this their resource for it because they have long foreseen this and so if they're successful

37:27and just continuing to hit Israel and by the way just minutes ago I get an update from a source that has access to what's going on they say that Israel is really starting to feel the pain and there are portions of Tel Aviv that's starting to look like Gaza still a lot of that's not getting out on Western media but it is getting out on social media I've seen the videos seen the photographs it's not a joke how long can they go before this one these gleaming cities that they've had which has just been gorgeous are turned into Gaza I mean how long can you go on that I don't know how long can we go on on on those same patterns wearing out our crews and at what point are you going to have to say all right we're going to have to mobilize reserves we're going to have to mobilize National Guard Air National Guard others to sustain this operation that's what happened by the way in the 2005 well these the insurgent war that we had it started in about 2004 2005 in Iraq we were originally equipped for this 300,000 force I think it was that went on operation Iraqi freedom in 2003 in March of 2003 the idea being we're going to conquer them there was

38:32roses and everybody was going to come out and thank you so we were going to go home but when that didn't happen because it turned into an insurgent war and now they said oh snap we had to expand the size of the force we had to grow it tens of thousands more bring in some reserves mobilize National Guard entire organizations to be able to have the rotations because you can't wear people out some of them win his money when a deployment went 15 months there was serious strain on the force and those were it because normally it was going to be a 12-month deployment then some got extended to 15 while they're trying to get the the pattern the pop line for the person out pop line that could sustain this over time we're really close to having to execute something like that right now because it's self-evident after now we're heading into the third week this is not going to be over with any time quick because Iran can endure as Aleister Krug described there well one of the other things that we don't we didn't understand which is really impacting where this is going to go here and I think that we still don't based on comments from

39:32President Trump last night what they think hegseth said yesterday what they think is going to bring them to their knees is an understanding of the Iranian people we don't know the Middle East we cannot understand the rational of the people we don't understand the mentalities we don't understand the culture it's also surprising to see how poorly the Israeli understand their own political and geostrategic environment they don't understand the way the Arab think the way they understand war the way they understand the the idea of conflict the Middle East culture have another kind of logic than we have as an example the idea of victory you are a military I'm a military we have learned in our military schools that to achieve victory you have to destroy the enemy for a Muslim victory is not related to the destruction of the enemy victory is a victory on yourself the victory

40:34is not to abandon the conflict not to not to give up that's the victory and that's the essence the word jihad for instance that we tend to translate as holy war is not it's a it's a wrong translation the word jihad come from the verb jihadda that means to resist to struggle you cannot expect someone to win over a more powerful enemy but what you can expect from your combatant is that he doesn't give up see and I think that we are so guilty of doing this so oftentimes in the West we project our mentality on to someone else so we imagine that if someone was bombing us and someone was threatening us we'd surrender we'd give in we would rather say all right let's stop the pain because I want to get back to some kind of normal life and as long as they'll allow it I'll have now we wouldn't actually do that in fact our history is filled with examples where our own culture would be dramatically against that see the battle of the bulge in war were two is just

41:38one example we don't do that we don't actually give in like that I mean look at the civil war we we just it took all those years of fighting because nobody wanted to give up until the the north eventually just just absolutely destroyed the south physically by going on this route to the sea where they just destroyed everything farm cities burned everything to the ground Atlantic up burned etc that's the only thing that called to them but people it wouldn't want to give up even then so I don't know if we're projecting somehow we want to project that we're tough but those guys they're weak and they'll give in because all we got to do is pressure because that's what you want to happen not what will happen but if you're so reminded as Jacques Bois and you say what is their character and what is their nature then you realized that a bunch of shock and awe and a bunch of bombs and blowing things up it's not going to bring them to their knees because their character in their nature is to suffer and to endure to be long suffering and to just keep going and to

42:38not give in and are you resource for that we get back to that same issue there was that your plan going in or did you gamble everything on first this the collapse of the government because of one guy gets killed in the first hour one run round knockout and if it doesn't get a knockout are you prepared to go 15 rounds that the jury still out on that one one of the other problems that was exposed this week is from our side not just our mentality about lack of strategic understanding or lack of understanding of the enemy or their strategy but it's a problem of our own I mentioned that kind of alluded to this earlier about how we seem to not be focused anymore or we're not animated by morality about justice about logic about the rule of law and we had Dr. Pape on who said one of his concerns is that based on some of the comments from some of our senior leaders and what we're doing as a nation is that we have the normalization of violence to achieve our ends

43:40Barack Obama and Joe Biden were fools when it comes to run what did Donald Trump do he spoke to him out they want a bomb to purify Islam destroy the state of Israel and come after us their religious Nazis and Donald Trump proved that point what you're really seeing with Senator Graham there is you're not seeing strategy at all this isn't a strategy discussion of means and what's the story how you get to the end point doesn't have any of that what this is is rhetoric to normalize political violence in the body politic in America so we become used to political violence and used to what may happen killing lots of civilians in Iran this is the normalization of political violence he's made it's like turning it's like the frog in the bot that what we increased the the boiling water and you don't really notice it because it's becoming normal we're crossing thresholds

44:42here that are trip wires and we're just not even noticing and we kill what 175 kids at the school we burn them to death here with this tomahawk good chance we don't know for sure the good chance this is AI gone amok and and we just kind of brush this off yeah if we do we just kind of brush this off and look because we we rarely look beyond the end of our nose or past one election cycle we're not stopping to consider the ramifications that we're not even looking behind us and seeing where we've been and how far we have fallen down in what used to be the morality at least that we put on the surface I mean we've we've always had this dark underside that even when we were saying stuff like Reagan's you know want to be a city on a hill we had the Iran contra thing in the background of that and plenty of other things and going back I don't need to recite all those everybody's aware of that but and in the main and at least the majority of our public and of our

45:43politicians at least sought to attain and to apply some level of morality and and definitely in the in the concourse in the conduct of of our affairs both at home and abroad but now then you're seeing especially now it's been going on for a while really I think that President Bush started the downward trend with all of these wars that he started and all the things that he wanted to do and you you may recall and we're probably going to highlight that again here this coming week that I think it was the 2007 revelation by General West Clark on democracy now where he said that in the first few days following 9-11 there was a plan to to conduct seven wars and I think it was five years if I'm not mistaken something but there were seven of them there were all these super countries Iran was the last one and now here we are so you've got delayed from what it was but that apparently was the plan of some for a long time and that we went after that so we have gone from that's where we started this downward slide and then even though Obama was

46:48you know on the surface was really cool he did a lot of things that were illegal and unethical behind the scenes has killed this using military force in small scale but in a lot of places then of course President Trump in his first term continued on with that didn't get out of Afghanistan didn't get out of Syria decided to keep the oil whatever and then Biden comes in of course he just goes full hog on Russia with the Ukraine war and does some other things also behind the scenes but also continued on down the the list of breaking the law just executive orders bypassing Congress etc not even worrying about the Constitution about the war powers actor any of that stuff and now then here comes Trump it's just taking it like two levels deeper because the guard rails had been coming off bit by bit since 2001 and then now Trump has just knocked them off their hinges there's not any guard rails at all it's just an edge and there's no there's no outward requirement to stop and that is going to be a real problem with this we keep going to the sped

47:49history shows that that people and people groups will eventually get tired of that and band together and then come against our interest in ways that could be decidedly in convenient painful and possibly even bloody and we could be planting the seeds for that right now before any of that happens we still have a shot however unlocksly to reverse course and do something different but according to our last guest that we wanted to show you this week Robert Barnes not a lot of option not a lot of hope that we're moving down that path I wonder how long and this would be a question for you at some point don't don't some of these military officials have to resign rather than continuing to participate in this that's a question that I have as well that you know where where are the resignations because where is all that the the morality of war and the honor that we have I was taught my entire career and was told by the highest levels you have to do the right thing even when it's unpopular you have to say no to illegal orders you have to say we're going to do the right thing no matter what kind of pressure

48:54I get from above they taught those classes they it's they demanded that we learn them where are they now when it comes to when it matters the most this is when it matters not when you're doing some damn class somewhere and I don't see any of it so far yeah I agree but I think the I think we will see the first set of impediments using war crimes in American history over this combined with Venice especially because you have the president running around saying I don't have to be held accountable it's only my own soul my own conscience that I have to listen to that's it that's my only guidepost I mean look at what the White House is doing it right we bonded little girl school and what are we doing we're putting out you know the little memes and videos like it's a football game like it's a game of golf like it's an arcade video game this is horrific this is morally horrendous behavior this is everything that the people that were critics of Trump and critics of America claimed about us on full display that we are literally team America world police south park film

49:56and we think that's a script to use to celebrate this kind of conflict in the childish way I mean pegs that always sounds like he's reading off of a script the you know oh yeah I can sound macho here and I sound real tough over here I'm like yeah I'm in an action film like Dan Bonzino like Dan ballast Bonzino oh yeah I'll do my karate on these people are disgrace disgrace to the American military disgrace to the American founders disgrace to the American people now I'm grateful for people like Robert Barnes and there are many of us like I said earlier there are millions of Americans that still have a moral code that are anguished over what we see here but you see that we're not in power and those that are in power are continuing to do stuff like he was talking about and I want to end the show here today and and Robert Barnes mentioned there about some comic things that we were doing and Gary has something that we want to show you here all you can do is shake your head

50:56at this Gary what do you got to show for us well you know you know Danny exactly what the Robert was referring to when I first came across this I see that the video starts to unfold and you know I thought well this must be a parody account because there's no way the White House put this out this is on the White House ex account and they they even title it you know officially the official release they call this video undefeated and this is I wonder who they think the audience or who in their minds when they sat down and created this who they thought they're going to be attracting now they're not going after kids but look at what we hope with well right you've got to hope they're not going after kids with this but yeah is this not it's just a bad taste is an understatement yeah it is I mean it's it's not comical other than in the sense that you can't be serious the White House what used to be the symbol of the American people and the symbol of American power even more

51:57than the Pentagon or more than the Capitol building it was the White House that was the symbol of American power and prestige and now that it's doing stuff like what you're seeing on this previous second one they didn't want they like it so much it did it again it's bad comic I mean it's bad artwork even it's not good you know it reminds me about you remember a month or two ago when they put out a video I don't know what it was and what what the message of the video was but they ended up portraying both Michelle and Barack Obama oh yeah yeah part two and it's right and you know it was basically ended up well it was a racist video that they put out they ended up taking that down but they're so they're so proud of this they did it twice and this is how they portray the ongoing conflict with Iran right now yeah and to your point there what is the intent of this do you think that as the White House whatever their production staff that put this in and whoever authorized it to go out on the official ex account yeah what do you think this

53:02is going to do to do you think that this is going to go out to the American people because obviously that's that was a primary target that they're going to say oh okay I see yeah that's cool man yeah kill some more Iranians I mean I don't know I'm asking you this because you spent a lot more time in mainstream media than I did like 17 years at a network before you came here what do you think was the intent behind this what is what is there an objective Dan I think they're in their own world right you know often people people that are in Washington the ones that are the ones that are familiar with the culture there say how how they're in Wisconsin they're their own world and their own bubble and I think that's what's going on in the White House that they think oh this is so clever this will be really attractive it'll be attention getting you know it's interesting though you didn't see Fox News playing this you don't even see them talking about it I think even someone like that who advocate for the president as far as they can as often as they can wouldn't dare touch this this is like a straw that broke the Campbell's back didn't see it once on Fox

54:07well I'm not sure it broke the Campbell's back but at least the camel kind of moved it over to the exactly off the off the screen but yeah I mean it's again it's it's so embarrassing and it but it's in such bad taste oh my gosh anyway yeah and especially when when you see that this is coming literally days after we apparently anyway through mistargeting killed a hundred and something kids and teachers it has been profoundly bad tasting by the way on that to date other than President Trump trying to say it was actually Ron blowing up their own people I haven't to this date seen any even even expression of human compassion and dignity the says you look we're doing some investigations whatever actually happened our hearts are broken for those poor families for the survivors the brothers the sisters the parents we can only imagine I mean at least show some humanity yeah no it's almost like it's a technicality yeah well we'll get to the bottom of that we

55:08didn't do it but we'll get to the bottom of it right yeah you mean and I remember that that scene where we're president Trump on the on Air Force one was blaming it on the Iranians themselves yes what I think they did and then you had a secretary hex at the over his shoulders and say yeah who's the one that did targets children it's only one person and it's not us it's the Iranians they target children you know and I'm like and now then New York Times Washington Post I don't know if it's been officially admitted by the Pentagon but now it's like oh yeah it kind of was us it turns out because we took credit for all the other buildings in that compound that were hit so I don't know how we claim that one building was actually argued about somebody else in the same salvo but that that makes that that's not playing well no my gosh you know and getting back to the heartlessness you were mentioned before Robert Robert Barnes who was on yesterday you know he was he was a self-proclaimed you know a MAGA follower you know for sure for years you know defending your Trump he said he's been a Trump follower for the whole time and just in the last few months

56:09even he says it doesn't even recognize this guy the heartlessness of it the way he talked about the soldiers that we have lost well you know that's that's that's how war is that you know we got to expect that there was there was no compassionate on he says he doesn't even recognize the man that he'd been very closely following for years and I would say I'm in that camp also I'm horrified at the way he is at the callousness of what now is transpiring and they're they're trucking it off to statistics it's what's happened we had to expect it of course there's going to be more too by the way but you know that that's what it takes and there was there was no there was no heartbrokenness yeah and that's and that's what and I think we even talked about this a little bit with Barnes on the show is that that's one of the things that got him elected the first time is because he had compassion for our losses the the the family members of the people who were casualties in the some of the key swing states in 2016 went to Trump over what they the polls said they would have done for Hillary Clinton but because of his stance on that one issue that pushed

57:13him over the top it was a little bit but it was enough because the strength of people believing that he cared about the the troops and that you know he cared about the veterans and stuff and now now here we are and in the last few minutes here I mean what what do you think this is going to be the result of this whatever the war almost does here I mean the strength of the people behind him is I mean you and Robert Barnes can't be the only ones who were starting to waver and going hang on this is not the guy that I followed oh no hard you know I tell you now I'm like I'm looking for stuff because it's really bothering me and when he when he when he they were receiving a this the less or the me yeah the less time they were receiving soldiers back in the fact that you're yeah and he he wore a he wore a campaign hat and he's there in a campaign hat receiving our dead soldiers back oh I just I can't tell you how how aggravated how maddening that was felt sigma stomach how dare he right but you you also I'm certain you weren't in the least

58:15surprised you may have been disappointed but you you couldn't have been surprised at all I wasn't Hey you know how much you know you think how much lower can he step always steps there well he's not going to step any lower any steps there there's there's there's always another Roger trajectory is is horrifying yeah yeah I don't see any evidence that he's reached the bottom of the stairs so we'll have to keep watching now I'm glad we're here and I'm glad you're here Danny we love we love you guys that you know we're in this together you know when Danny and I first started the channel we were saying to us we and I said to Danny you know we don't have the answers you don't have the answers but we wanted to at least bring some illumination to what we see going on and try to make sense of it all and that's why we have some answers if whether anybody's going to listen that's a separate issue but we do have some of the answers here but which we share but yeah one day who knows maybe someone will listen but all we can do is hope and and be unintimidated and compromised no matter what the truth is to bring it to you because that's what you guys deserve and that's what Gary and I will continue to bring to you thank you very much folks

59:19we look forward to seeing you Monday on the Daniel Davis deep dive unless something else happens in between now and then we'll see you on Monday amen see you at Verbo we understand that even the best of plans sometimes need a little support so we've planned for the plot twists every booking is automatically backed by our Verbo care guarantee giving you confidence from the very start whenever you need help it's ready before you stay through the moments in between and after your trip because a great trip starts with peace of mind and maybe a good playlist but we've got the peace of mind part covered