Crypto Options & Perps Enter America, Bitcoin Breaks Down, and Higher-for-Longer Inflation

We discuss why oil remains the key macro pressure point for crypto as Iran-conflict escalation keeps inflation risk, the dollar, and higher-for-longer Fed expectations in focus. We cover why bitcoin’s setup has weakened below $70K, with ETF outflows, weak trend signals, softer holder profitability, and exchange inflows all pointing to a more fragile market. We also discuss Coinbase bringing regulated access to crypto options and perpetual futures to the US, why that could be a major institutional market structure unlock, and why AI continues to support equities even as crypto lags.

Main sections:

• (01:20 - 08:51) Oil, Iran, and stagflation risk
• (08:51 - 14:21) Bitcoin’s weaker setup
• (14:21 - 22:18) Crypto options and perps come to the US!
• (22:18 - 27:37) AI and equity leadership

Colin Basco - Quantitative Strategist, Coinbase (X: https://x.com/colin_basco)
Josh Pack - Senior Prime Trader, Coinbase

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