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Carlos Alcaraz vs Wu Yibing - Preview & Prediction - 2026 US Open

About this episode

Carlos Alcaraz vs Wu Yibing — full preview, head-to-head breakdown and prediction for their THIRD ROUND clash at the 2026 US Open at Flushing Meadows, New York. The defending champion, still shaking off four months of rust, against a Chinese player quietly having the cleanest week in the bottom half.


Carlos Alcaraz is finding his way back. The second seed returned to competitive singles here for the first time since a wrist injury at the Barcelona Open in mid-April, and the rust has been visible — he dropped the opening set to Jaime Faria before running away with it 4-6, 6-0, 6-3, 6-2, conceding just five games across the final three sets. That is the pattern so far: slow starts, then a level nobody in the draw can live with. He landed in what Spanish media called a "death draw," with Alexander Bublik potentially in round four and Ben Shelton or Arthur Fils in the quarterfinals, so building rhythm now matters.


Wu Yibing is a better opponent than his ranking suggests. The Chinese player sits around World No. 113 after years disrupted by injury — he missed nearly three full seasons with elbow, back, shoulder and wrist problems before a rapid climb to a career-high No. 54 in 2023 — and he won the Sarasota Open title this year. Most importantly, he has NOT DROPPED A SET in two rounds in New York, coming through James Duckworth in straights.


Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 1-0, from their only previous meeting in Shanghai in 2024. He is a heavy favourite. But a fresh opponent with nothing to lose against a champion still finding his timing is exactly the kind of match that gets interesting for a set.


🎾 IN THIS VIDEO

- How much rust is actually left in Alcaraz's game

- Why Wu's clean two rounds matter more than his ranking

- The "death draw" ahead: Bublik, Shelton, Fils

- Prediction, scoreline, and the path to the second week


📊 MATCH INFO

Tournament: 2026 US Open (Grand Slam)

Round: Third Round — Men's Singles

Players: Carlos Alcaraz (ESP, 2nd seed, defending champion) vs Wu Yibing (CHN, No. 113)

Head-to-head: Alcaraz leads 1-0 (Shanghai 2024)

Date: Friday, September 4, 2026

Surface: Outdoor Hard

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York


💬 Straight sets or does Wu take one? Predicted scoreline in the comments.

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Copyright Disclaimer: Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for "fair use" for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, and research. Fair use is a use permitted by copyright statute that might otherwise be infringing. Non-profit, educational or personal use tips the balance in favor of fair use and no copyright infringement is intended. No match footage is shown in these videos.


⚠️ Independent tennis analysis and commentary. Predictions are opinion only and not betting advice. Not affiliated with the USTA, the ATP or the US Open.


#Alcaraz #USOpen #Tennis

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Wu Yibing - Preview & Prediction - 2026 US Open

QualityShot Tennis Podcast

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QualityShot Tennis PodcastCarlos Alcaraz vs Wu Yibing - Preview & Prediction - 2026 US Open. Machine-transcribed; use the interactive transcript above to jump the player to any line.

Hey guys and welcome back to the channel. We have Carlos Alcarez versus Will You Being for round three of the US Open. Very much looking forward to getting stuck into this one. Carlos of course is back from his long layoff having not played any tennis since April. Now he's come back of the US Open and he's looked pretty good. I think he's fair to say. I wouldn't say incredible, but probably to be expected given the lack of match practice, but I think he's actually played better than maybe a lot of people would have thought, maybe even including myself. And he's only dropped the one set across two rounds so far. For Will You Being, he's faced two Australians in his first two matches and has yet to drop a set. We'll get into the detail of this matchup, but before we do, please, if you do like this video, hit that like button and also comment below who you think's going to win and why always interested to hear your guys' thoughts. On top of that, please share it with anyone

that you think might find this of interest. And if you're listening to podcast platform, please leave a rating review that will read us help us out. Okay, so, and of course subscribe if you need. Lots of US Open content coming away. Al Kras. 23 years of age and he, I think the layoff in a way was a good thing because it meant that he came back refreshed and he did say they're really highlighted to him how much he's been missing tennis. But in a way, his body, I know of course the wrist was the biggest issue but the rest of his body would have got a bit of a rest which is probably good given the hectic schedule. And he looks pretty free out there playing. Looks pretty carefree, which is a positive thing. And for Will You Being, who's 26 years of age, he beat Adam Walton and James Duckworth in his first two rounds. Al Kras beat Safioulin I the first round which I thought was going to be a really tough match.

And even though Carlos won a straight set, 6464, 6464, it wasn't straight forward. And Carlos did well to win some of the crucial, let's say clutch points that he needed to. Against Jaime Ferrier, he actually dropped the first set, 6464 then went on to win, 6362 from there in four sets. These two have played each other before, once in Shanghai in 2024. Carlos won that one, 7663. Will You Being is an interesting player. He has had some good results in his career. But currently he's actually ranked 113. He's definitely struggled with injuries. However, he's now in a position to play the, you could argue as Sin and No in the draw, the favourite, if you exclude Zverev, who had a pretty wobbly first round, of course. But I think from my perspective,

this will just really highlight how solid Al Kras is playing right now. Because Will You Being is a type of player who is a counter-puncher, he has pretty good shot tolerance. He's good at boggling, his backhand is actually very good, very, very good as to Hander. The full hand, he's not necessarily going to hurt you with it, but it's server-support, it's got good depth, good good spin. The backhand, he can change direction at will. I feel like that's where he might have some success in the backhand, the backhand exchange. He's a very good returner. So if Al Kras is not serving his best, that's where, sorry, Will You Being could have a very good chance and opportunity to get into some of those Carlos service games. And on top of that, the serve is okay from Will You Being, but it's definitely not the best. And I think that's something that he's going to have to be very crafty and clever about when it comes to,

I think, spot-serving, making sure that he hits his serves with variety. And I think that's really important when it comes to this matchup if you want to have any chance of beating Carlos. My overarching feeling is that Carlos is going to have too much fire power in the locker for Will You Being? Will You Being extremely athletic as well? And so you might see some very athletic points in and around the net, which is always great to see those card mouse points drop shot, then reverse drop shot, then lob, then you know, passing shot, then volley, and those types of points are incredible to see and I'm sure we'll see some because Carlos's matches tend to be a highlight reel. But I think Carlos will get this one done in straight sets. I think, it's a tough one because I could see him struggling, but I think, given he's now played two matches, he hasn't looked incredible, but I think he's good enough for me to say that I think he should power past Will You Being with his serve.

I think he's going to dominate the serve, return on I make from the baseline, he should dominate it with his power and precision and spin in depth. And then he's also got the variety, the drop shot, the volleys, et cetera, transition game. I think defending wise as well, I think he actually is just a little bit better than Will You Being in every category. Let me know the comments what you guys think and why. Thanks very much guys, stay safe from heart and we'll see you next video.

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