Bitcoin, Inflation and the Fed: Bianco's Bets for 2025

Show from 01/17/25 Host Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Siegel open this week’s episode by discussing recent market trends, focusing on strong economic data, positive retail sales, and moderating inflation. The Professor emphasizes that bond yields are likely to climb above 5%, while highlighting Bitcoin’s current momentum and potential developments in the broader crypto market. He concludes with comments on valuations and long-term market expectations. (12:10) Jeremy then welcomes guest Jim Bianco from Bianco Research, who provides insights into the bond market. Bianco agrees with Professor Siegel on rising bond yields and discusses how higher yields may affect stocks. He also explores the implications of a strong U.S. dollar, sticky inflation, and global economic dynamics, including challenges in China and Japan’s monetary policy. Bianco shares his views on managing credit risks, favoring bank loans over corporate bonds, and discusses the potential for perpetual bonds from the U.S. Treasury. The conversation wraps up with a look at opportunities in European equities and crypto’s evolving role in financial systems. Guest: Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. Since 1990 Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades-long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking. In nearly 20 years at Bianco Research, Jim’s wide ranging commentaries have addressed monetary policy, the intersection of markets and politics, the role of government in the economy, fund flows and positioning in financial markets. Learn more about Jim at: https://www.biancoresearch.com/about-us/ Follow Jim on (X)Twitter: @biancoresearch