Best of A Numbers Game | January 9, 2026

0:00The numbers told the story of how he's doing. Swindles 80 to believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Kill I like Xander gone. V sent our number three of a numbers game at V sent these sports betting network. V sent dot com game plus. I heart radio YouTube TV series XM channel 158. Every taking a sit we appreciate it's Kill I like Xander Kelly's behind the glass. Cause Fest is going to join us here momentarily. So I read some of the tweets. A lot of love for buckies from earlier in the show. And boy, Bucky's basically a roadside super Walmart. He chimed in on that. Martel J can confirm that buckies is superior to Wawa. Wawa has great sandwiches and build your own options. Every Christmas includes buckies though. He says you can't Christmas shop at Wawa. Maybe I'll send numbers game jerky sampler box. Expect power ratings though. Thank you appreciate that. Slick Nick 312 listening on delay but to go back to West's first time at buckies. I hope he indulged in the delicacies of the brisket sandwich and the beaver nuggets. If you know, you know, wow, I don't love for it. And then Jason McKinney.

1:01I've never been to Wawa's with buckies around 74,000 square feet barbecue and all the snacks you can imagine, including fresh baked pastries. I hate seeing them because if I stop with my will hill size family, I know I'm going to spend well over $200 before I get gas. My goodness, all those all those tweets about that one thing. And I owe you a 69 moving on now. I was concerned about the charges offensive line. However, I'll trust in Harbaugh. I just have more rushing yards than Bo Jackson. Yes, that is the trivia question to answer. And Jason Stark Oregon is a classic bully team. They'll lose tonight. That is Bob's Dr. Bob's phrase bullies. Teams that beat up on the week. But get beat by the strong. So that's how Jason Stark characterizes Oregon without further ado. It's time for Physic Fridays. Let's do it. Whether it's at the sports book or anywhere else in the casino, he's always helping us find an edge. It's time for Physic Fridays. He is the only. Two-time winner back to back winner of the Hilton Super Contest back of the day. Coming off yet another contest win, which we'll talk about here.

2:02But first before we talk about his cons, first of all, hello, good morning, Steve Fesick. Happy to be here, Gilly. You can follow him at Fesick Sports at your own peril, though. He's not very nice on Twitter. Before we get into your contest stuff, because congratulations are coming to you. You came in here with shorts. It's like 43 degrees outside. What's the story? I like to wear cargo pants, because it gives me the option to be able to go to the Caesar's gym and work out. And they're normal looking pants. So I can multitask with them. However, there's a flaw. There's like six pockets in cargo pants. And I tend to be carrying a lot of pants. Sometimes markers and such. And my wife let me know if there was one more instance of the markers and the pens finding them way. They're way into the dryer and they're resulting horrific mess disaster. The cargo pants would be no more. And we had one more slip up. And thus it was like China syndrome out, went the cargo pants. You threw them all out?

3:02Yeah. Your wife has two children. Your actual son and you. Oh, there's no question. Yeah. Hey, how good was crack yesterday? The crack man. Of course it was. What it was. Will Hill said throw 102 on the corners yesterday? Crack. He was on fire. Oh, absolutely. And how about that will hill family single-handedly crashed the Cromwell VIP snack area, which is for adults only two weeks later, they ceased operations based upon all the pretzels and trail mix and beverages that were consumed or carted out that afternoon. All right, Steve. As a congratulations are in order. You've done it again. You'll be back at Circa. This is your first of two appearances at Circa tonight. Yes. I'm on that show at six tonight. Yeah. So the check the check ceremony. And then I'll go to the check ceremony. Oh, you're doing the human Friday football invitation. Right. So if you don't like Fezick, you don't have to listen to Matt show. So you're all with humans tonight to do football Friday invitation. You finished ninth at tie for ninth place in Circa

4:02million seven. Is this your first cashing in Circa millions? I was twenty first two years ago. Twenty first two years ago. How much are you getting tonight? Seven thousand. Seventy thousand. Yes. And then you won outright. Well, explain how your season went. Charles Dickens was the best of times. Was the worst of times. So I sucked the entire first half of the year. And then in the four mentioned visa. The visa invitational. I was in last place. And then I went one and six like week five or six. All right. So I'm like, I don't know 12 games below 500. And I'm a joke. The internet is exploding. Everyone's coming out. Stevie is washed up. He's done so. He beat three of his friends and his mom's attic. You have 30 years ago to win a contest or two. And it's like he's completely washed up. And so you're scared and you're thinking that maybe you're not that young anymore. But show a little faith. There's magic in the night.

5:02I'm not the best. But I'm all right. You're like Michael Myers sitting up and turning. And that's all right tonight. Thunder road. So I go on the run. And I shout out Scotty Pritchard. Jim Fice guys that I didn't get to know early in my career. Just recently, both great guys. And both of them like came to me and said, Steve, you're really good at what you're doing. Keep your head up. Don't listen to what anyone else says. Just keep doing. You know, keep working hard. And everything will be all right. And then I hit the run. And so the rest of the run is what a bunch of five and those and a bunch of four and ones. Yeah. So the Westgate Super Contest. Exactly. And then I'm 17 and 28. I'm like in like the bottom 25th percent out easily. I'm sure I should be going for the booby prize. If there is one, I go 34, 10 and one to end the second. So when the second half contest. So think about that. That's like going four and one on eight weeks and breaking even one week. It's impossible.

6:02That's amazing. It's like you plug it into a binomial distribution. It's like over the rest of my lifetime. binomial distribution radio everybody. Even if I hit 55% I would never be able to go 34, 10 and one. That's insane. And so you won the Westgate second half contest outright. Right. But it's a mini contest. So I don't even count that as a contest. How much do you win for that? 50,000 plus I get a 7,500 bonus because I finished third and the last third contest also. Okay. So I placed in that 50,000 plus 7,500. Yes. Yes. So 57,5 and this one you won, how much? 70. 70. All right. 127,500. Yeah. I lost some hedges the last week. Okay. That's fine. Yeah. How many contests over the years now have you won outright? You don't want to count that one, but I'll count it for you. How many of you won? So I won the Westgate twice. Yeah. The main event. I won the Southpoint twice. I won the Leroy Money Talk. I won the Leroy College football contest one year.

7:04Yeah. I beat Trisk. I tied for first and we chopped it. Okay. All right. All right. And I've had some notable failures. The Star Disinvitational lost in the finals, not once but twice, Mark Lawrence beat me in the finals one year and I lost two and I'm known as a Monster Favorite one year. So I haven't always gotten to the finish line. I've strong record if I get even late in the contest. Yeah. If I'm leaving, if I'm even, I'm leaving, I'm leaving with the title. And so I did have the chip lead, if you will, in that, in that Westgate second half contest, there's this guy, Grummy's. He's like a game behind me. He goes four and one the last three weeks. I need to go 12 and three to beat him. Crazy. And you did go 12 and three? I did. Wow. You're like the Jaguars and the Texans. You're being the Jaguars in this case, in the AFC South. So wait a minute. So, okay. Clearly, you are a contest maven. You distinguish this, though. You're very clear to distinguish this from week to week actual

8:09betting. Explain that. 100%. This is critical. And people like, Fez, you went 34, 10 and one. Clearly, you can pick lots of NFL winners. Ah, not so fast, my friend. There's a big difference between playing contest and playing against contest lines. And I do, what is that in the movie Rounders? Like Ed Norton's talk. And he's like, oh, we do it all. You know, we do chip signaling. You know, we do. There's no nobody's watching us. So we can do, we can get away with anything. And so I'm, I mean, I'm not angle shooting because the rules are the same for everyone. But like, I've got other people like, they're submitting their, like on Thursday, they'll submit one play on Thursday. And then they have to lock in their other four plays. And I've made, you don't do that. And I've been a strong advocate that it's almost always, you never say never, but it's almost always incorrect to do that. And also the later you can play the better. So, but you don't want to play five minutes before the deadline has perfect information as you can get right. But you want to miss a deadline. So like an hour before is good. And I'm, I'm

9:10adamant about this. Making a play in the contest is like making an implied bet on the game. So if you love a game and the lines three everywhere and they put three and a half on the contest line, you cannot play in the contest of my three. And I've just go bet it my three. You know, put it, put your bet in that way. Don't bet it with your contest on the line laying the three. Don't bet your handicap. Yeah. Exactly. So, and so can it be distilled to all that? It's, it's, you just, you are loyal or you are, you are beholden to getting the best of the con. So you get the best of the stale line as almost as often as you possibly get almost a hundred percent of the time. I try to assess every game. Like people say, do you know what you're playing in circumstances? I'm no idea. I mean, I'm looked at the spreadsheet. How can I know what I know what I'm going to play without the information and what they're dealing? But I, one, I tried to just say, hey, at Pittsburgh plus three and a half has a 58% chance to cover.

10:11It's a great bet. Pittsburgh plus three. It's probably like 52.8% chance to cover as an example. This is, this is the, the mathematical someone's a mechanical way of doing this. Now, it doesn't work every year, right? And it's gotten so much harder. Here's why back 20 years ago when I was winning all these contests, I was like one of the, not many people were duplying the way I'm playing, right? Now with CLV closing line value, so important people know it. A whole lot more people play like I do. So obviously that makes it much harder for me to win and back like in our group text. I went ahead and texted everyone late in September. He said, hey, if any of us can get a good record this year, we're going to do great and millions because everyone who's in the top 50 is a dumbbell because none of this was working at all, you know, and I, I, I still go back if anyone who had been, if you were in the top 100 in millions, yeah, and you had just called me up and say, Stevie, can you help me out with your picks? You would have won. Yeah. But what, and what you mean by dumbbell is they don't apply these, this strategy, they're still betting their handicap. They're just

11:16playing their favorite games without any, pretty much willy-nilly not paying any attention to what the spreads were. Exactly. The only time you will deviate is if you are like trailing by a few points late in the season, you'll deviate? Yes, I'm going to pull back the curtain real quickly, so the deviation doesn't work usually week 18 because the line moves tend to be deadly. Yeah. So you don't want to wait to the very last week to go contrarian, you want to go contrarian really week 16 at the very latest week 17. Steve Fesick, everybody, solid segment there. Multiple contests, winnings once again, coming back with Fesick. Numbers being faces, these sports betting that work. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners, but let's be real mindset alone doesn't get bets home pros win because they've got the tools, the data and the discipline. And now so can you. Vincent Pro gives you access to the same real time insights, the sharps use, no secrets, no fluff, just actionable info that moves markets, tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with Vs. in pro.

12:25A numbers game on Fesick, these sports betting network. You want a bet smarter, start with smarter insights. Right now you can check out Greg Peterson's college basketball best bets, Zach Cohen's Oregon, Indiana preview and Dave Tuli's takes and best NFL bets and later today you can check out Zach Cohen's NBA best bets. Zach Cohen doing it all. Jonathan Davis's NHL picks a props daily race of daily racing form weekend handicaps as well by the way. And you get full Vs. pro access for as little as 999 for your first 30 days see all of the options at vsyn.com slash subscribe. We have some GM news in the in the NFL, sir. We do. We have a hire by the Miami dolphins is finalizing a deal. John Eric Sullivan. What do you feel about a man named John Eric with a hyphen in between? Do you like he has a good NFL GMing potential? Uh, yeah. Uh, he's they're finalizing a deal. The dolphins are with a former Packers VP of player personnel John Eric Sullivan as their GM per sources. Uh, John Eric Sullivan came up through the Packers organization has done pretty much

13:27everything in that front office. Yeah, it's wild. I just pulled up his wick of 20 plus years 2003 started as a training camp intern and then for him from tabat 2008 to 2015. He was the central Plains region scout in the southeast region scout. You got you know what? You got to love those stories. Oh, you do. It's uh, Eric's poster story. We're just talking off air with Danny Higgins about DeCosta who's the Ravens GM same story, right? Like 20 plus years in the Ravens organization started at the lowest level possible. Now he's the GM of the Baltimore Ravens. I am a little good good on the dolphins for getting their guy for GM John Eric Sullivan, former Packers VP of player personal and now John Eric Sullivan and the Packers, excuse me, and the dolphins look for their head coach. Maybe they already have their head coach in mind. I don't know. I'm still I'm still perplexed by the name a little bit like this is like Carl Anthony Towns, right? Like where did I get the hyphen with last names? Well, why for first tapes? I don't know. I don't know where that comes from. Maybe you should maybe you should spend a segment deep diving. Or is it just like the little they

14:31give it? They combine them. Kelly's like a squirrel. He hears something. He's like, wait, I got that stuff intrigues me. Should I just be Kelly Dash Michael? Start doing that again. Kelly Michael Biddler. Yeah. Uh, we get tweets being in the book. Yeah, they're awesome. Mike P. Oh, because I was saying yesterday or sometime this week, I was saying if if October is the best sports month with with playoff baseball midweek, football on the weekends, if March Madness is first two to four days is the greatest thing. These are the greatest five days, right? In terms of anything in terms of the college football semis. While Carl weekend in the NFL, well, he adds Mike P does at 15 royal 15 royals 15 chiefs. I like to add some other sports calendar days masters week with the semis and championship Monday of college hoops Stanley Cup playoffs. He's a big fan. Two weeks from the end of August through Labor Day Monday with that following Thursday week zero weeks one in college in the NFL. Those are good. Quite as good as the ones I think we would we bet you but those are good. Everybody's got their favorite Anthony Bianco. My survivor pool resets for the playoffs. What's a good strategy? I don't have any great strategy other than just try to pick the team you

15:35think that's going to eke by this week that has no shot of advancing further. Bears Packers, Jags. Maybe you think it is. Maybe you think it's the bills. By the way, just putting that Miami game in context one more time. This is Optistats from yesterday. Miami, the only FBS or NFL team in the last 20 years. This is FBS or NFL. They went through the only FBS or NFL team in the last 20 years to hold the ball for 40 plus minutes. A mass 400 plus yards of offense convert 10 plus third downs. Convert multiple fourth downs have four drives of 13 plus plays all in the same game regular season or postseason and oh, by the way, not added to this tweet and they barely won. What is the in they barely won and they barely I actually don't even know like if you like like just sitting here and listening to you recap everything. I'm like, I don't even know how long this Ole Miss was in this game. And like you look at those stats and it's like, what's the craziest one on there to you? Convert 10 plus third downs. That one jumped out to me as well. But have four drives of 13 plus

16:38plays is up there. That's right there too. I mean, maybe that's it. That's the big one. Jesus, Stark tweeted tweeted in. This is what I was talking about, although I think he's I don't know. He's arguing or confused with me. There was over six minutes left. They were at the 35 already. They could have run the ball every time and use three downs each time. They still would have two minutes left on the clock. You want to score quick so you have a two for one. This was when Miami had the ball after that Ole Miss field goal to put a ball right and it was like, there's like five six minutes left of their driving. It like fell inside a couple times. You don't want to leave them too much time here. I'm like, is the end of the first half you're talking? No, no, no, the end of the game. There was like five minutes left. Miami had the balls. The Malachi Tony touched down on that one. But it was like right before Tony scores that time. I'm like, you have plenty of time to go two for one. You're like, it's score. And then Ole Miss can get the ball. Then you're going to get it back. I guess I understood when he was getting that there. I understand what you're saying, but that one didn't bother me in the moment. The other ones I was like, is he okay tonight? He was just not having this best night. Yeah. To Malachi Tony. Like Malachi Tony. And yes. Yes, I'll be the guy.

17:39I'll be the guy who raises in and says, I don't watch that much college football. I've only seen a few games with this kid. But man, is he something special? Oh, but this is not news. Yeah. He's been unbelievable since the moment you laid eyes on him. Mike Alvarez, yes, don't ever make that mistake again. He said, why you hurt me so bad? Name of the song is why you treat me so bad by club Nouveau. That's just a little thing between us. Mortal capper. Mortal capper. Gill, any thoughts on the ESPN parting, parting ways with Pam Schreiver and Brad Gilbert, new Australian open host with Malika Andrews and Katie George while Chris McKendry heads to play by play. I'm a little sad, but Brad Gilbert, who's been on this show many times, by the way, he's come on the show a lot multiple times. I shouldn't say many, but multiple times he's been on the show. We would talk French open and warriors. He's a big dubs fan. Love Brad Gilbert. Sad to see him go because I always thought he was a fun listen. But yeah, they want to go younger with tennis. I guess it's really the story. And so they're pushing McKendry to the booth or I

18:40don't know. Maybe that's a move she likes. But Malika doing the second week of the Australian open is the most interesting move of that because I honestly think her career is now we can see the trajectory of her career. Like the NBA will no longer. I don't think she'll be doing NBA five years. Yeah, I think you're probably right. I think she's going to be doing good morning America and tennis is what I think she'll be doing internationally. I think it's a surprise. I didn't, you and I were talking a little bit about this yesterday. I didn't know. I knew the Malika part from you. I didn't know those other names. McKendry's awesome. I don't really have a problem with that. What a great life she has. All she does is tennis. It's fantastic. I think she's extremely talented when she's on there. So I mean, losing Brad Gilbert that you think that was that a partially with him with the coaching too. It is they stress that this is a tournament by tournament thing. So I guess they're leaving room for the daring K-hills and the Brad Gilberts of the world to come back to be able to come back. We're coaching Eddie Pronella who you most excited bet on this year in the WTA beside Ziga. I want all the Eva Yovic stock. Yeah. I mean, the tennis

19:44heart. I was no very very well about Eva Yovic probably a year away, but she's great. Chad last of the amazing catch my Tony at the end was huge for me. Catched one handed on the what will the announcer say market. Although I took a bad beat on what a catch because they said what a great catch. Yes, I'm a degenerate, but it was such a fun sweat. Shout out Calci. There you go. Oh, that was like the will that be mentioned during the game. I want to catch or something. They had those markers. I didn't even notice. They do poke therapy to let it ride or not to let it ride. His hedging for gardeners as a canes fan this past month and a half has been a roller coaster. What a ride. Let Kelly. No FSU sucks. Bring it on. Let's go. He's got it. I think he's got a 50 to one. He's showing me here on the canes to win it all. I had to be that guy that's all happy with two beds in a row of Iambia that whoever wins this game tonight. Wes make room. Make room on the Indian a bandwagon and Harold Irving. I was talking about Eric to cost of the GM of the Ravens said proud Colby College alumni. Shout out Colby College. Wes is going to come on from from the peach bowl or like in the locker room, we like to say. He's somewhere in Georgia right now.

20:46Great job on you, by the way, for remembering every one of these bowl games. Well, I could be the other day. I flustered on it the other day. I could be watching that game last night. I'm like, I don't even know where they're playing. I'm generally the same way. And like sorry, Bulls. It doesn't matter anymore. When it's quarter final, semi-finals. Honestly, if we weren't doing a show, I probably wouldn't care to know either. But Indiana and Oregon tonight, just a couple of, you know, I'm on Indiana. I'm on the minus four. Then I've been up again, minus three. I happen to win the title of 10 to one. Coming on the heels of the Miami ATS win last night. I'll make the case for Oregon. They rank fifth nationally in yards per play allowed. Third in yards per pass allowed. Their eighth and opponent drop-back EPA ninth and opponent drop-back success rate allowed just 5.3 yards per pass attempt. Third lowest in college football. Ducks a third in the country in adjusted net EPA per play. One spot above Indiana, which comes in fourth. And when Indiana beat Georgia 30 to 20 earlier this year, Indiana generated a 50 percent pressure rate against the ducks. But remember Stephen Daly played in that game. So did Kellen Wyatt. Indiana doesn't have either of those

21:50two guys on defense in this one. So like there are there's a case obviously to be made for Oregon. They lose that first game in Eugene by 10. Some people have set on our air on guests on this show better to be the team that lost within the team that won. Okay. But Indiana coming off a game where they outgained Alabama 408 to 193 against its top opponents this year. Bama Ohio State and Oregon in week seven. Let's throw Illinois in there as well week four. Indiana allowed three combined offensive touchdowns. Oregon without running back Jordan Davis into night. He's got a broken clavicle. That's huge. The account of for 15 rushing touchdowns this season averaged 7.4 yards per carry in that game against Indiana earlier this year. Noah Wittington still of course in the line up. Don't want to lose him though because you only got three backs Oregon period. And who's your defense leads the nation in red zone touchdown rate allowed 26 percent. Oregon's offense very middleing in that category. And the biggest thing I will say about this and the reason that I'm just

22:52so completely on Indiana's back bandwagon. I think when they beat Oregon the first time that's what I made the bet for them to win it off. I think they can beat anybody. But it's the fact that in Mike Shanahan's offense they just get the ball out so quickly with Mendoza 47 percent of their plays are RPO. And that's the nation's 20th highest rate so it really doesn't mitigate the Oregon pass rush. West Reynolds is thoughts on this next on a numbers game. A numbers game on fee said these sports betting network. Head into the new year with a smarter betting strategy powered by Veson Pro join Veson Pro get instant access to everything you need to make informed bets every day. Sign up now and get daily best bets from Veson hosting guests. Real-time draft Kings the circuit betting splits. AI powered prop tools and matchup analysis. 24-7 video and full show replays on the Veson watch app plus expert picks and prop data throughout the NFL and college football playoffs get started in averages 999 or say 50 percent with an annual

23:54plan. Start betting smarter today. Veson.com slash subscribe. That's V S I N dot com slash subscribe. We at tweets be to the book. I was appreciated DJ James. Let's see what he's saying here. That old miss one minute and 51 second drive at the end was too fast and left too much time for Miami to come back and score. Joe Judge's worst time manager ever and old miss was robbed in the end in the end zone. The defender blatantly pulled the receiver down PI. Okay DJ James. The thing is they never call that though. Never. Never. I'm very glad you and I are on the same page with this this morning. I'm shocked that it was such a big deal to people. I'm like I'm seeing tweets this morning. I'm seeing everything. P.I. P.I. you got to call that guy. If there was no P.I. the chances of catching that ball in the corner of the end zone like like it was just such a small percentage play. Also I think about a son of Texas this early right. It's like this. This is not the NFL either. It's like the game's decided on that on that call because it's not like you're getting the ball at the one yard line. Why should you get bailed out on on a corner of the end?

24:57Stop it. Poke therapy. Mike Tomlin has never lost a Monday night football game at home. Proceed with caution. Um saw it was it was Drew and Andy talking about this stat. He's at Monday night full. I think it goes back. He even further than that. Like it might be an ever have we ever mentioned Mike Tomlin stats on this show before I'm curious. It might be an ever thing. The other thing that's important though is apparently there was a Monday night game. They played which I don't remember this Monday night football game. They played in. It was a playoff game, but it was moved to Tuesday or Wednesday during the pandemic. Oh, there was a when there are skins game. They played also. They got moved and then the skins like were like two touchdown dogs and beat them. I remember doing that. I remember doing that in the regular season. Remember that in the playoffs. That was a regular. Yeah. David Dwyer Gill could not agree more outdoor football cold weather destinations. This year we have Denver, Seattle, New England, Chicago. Awesome. Love the show. Thank you, David. It's a very anti Kelly tweet, which I really prove really prove about that tweet as well on that subject.

25:57Billy Charlotte bought the three dome teams of the playoffs were three and eight on the road versus playoff teams a little worried about my faith in those three teams now. And Ray in Texas. I live 30 miles from a massive buckies clothing store brisket breakfast tacos convenience store 150 gas pumps, 100 bathroom stall store managers make more than 225 K. Whoa, whoa. What a go. I guess here's the question I have when I was leaving Florida. Yeah. Wawa's was just was just coming into Florida. And everybody in Florida made a huge deal about like, wow, wow, like this is great. And like, yeah, they're nice. So like, what's the is that is that the equivalent or is buckies way better? You know what the one was when my mom's last year. So, uh, Wegmans came to DC. Wegmans is where she Gillie should really go to Wegmans like over and over. That's like, okay, I'm going to Wegmans for God's sake. I'm a 7-11 lifer. Okay. Too many 7-11. Sir, I'm a circle K guy myself. Ladies and gentlemen, Zach Cohen joins us now courtesy of the progressive guest line. You can follow him on Twitter and betting on X part of the whole glue that holds this whole operation together. Let's talk some tennis. Let's talk some college football. Let's talk some NBA. Zach, good morning to you.

27:03Good morning. How you guys doing? Doing very well. You have a tennis play to start for us. I like this. Yeah, I've won play for tonight. It's Marta Kostrick plus 112 against Jessica Pagula. Pagula is just kind of in the same situation she was in towards the end of last year where she just keeps playing like grueling matches and it is very early in the season, but there really is no off season to tennis. So I had to fatigue is always fatigue in this sport. And I do think she'll be a little bit tired here. And I think that Kostrick has looked as good as anyone's start of the year. I mean, it's been a week. Has it been long, but like for what I've watched so far, she looks like a top five player in the world. And this is a player that's always been really talented. So I guess it'll be a really good match. Marta Kostia, cool. If I'm not mistaken, as beating has beaten both Amanda and Nissa Mova and Mira Andreva here back to back. Wow. Yep. Back to back. I did the impossible. Zach and I were talking about this off air. I did the impossible last night at two tennis plays both ending in retirements and walk over in your favor. Yes, both in my favor, because I didn't look in one of them. I was six points away from a loss. I was just talking about

28:06Zach with Zach about this off air. We did a deep dive on because of this last night, how have the withdrawals gone over the years for me since the beginning of, you know, we went back to 2024. And you can you can't really do it precisely, but you can see what the score was at the time of the draw. I got destroyed on them in 2024. I made about half back in 2025. And then this year has started with like two ridiculous. Oh, real quick. Sorry, Zach, because I'm actually beyond fascinated in this. How many matches total did you have? Oh, great question. It was, I would say about as many ten, it was about 30 total since the beginning of 2024. I was going to guess like 30 a year, but yeah, this is total. I think it's there. House rules, by the way. House rules. House rules are more important tennis, like that anything else, because you want to know if a match gets graded after one set or in the first set, just everything. So always be looking up what your house rules are. MGM and circa only one set needs to be done before it's graded, whereas, you know, bookmaker, I think draft Kings is also one set shop, but like bookmaker,

29:11Caesars got, got to get to the end of it. Otherwise, it's a refund. Fandall moved to, Fandall was anything's official in the first set last year. Yeah. Okay. College football playoff tonight, Indiana, three and a half point favorites against Oregon. Zach, where do you stand on this? I'm really like Indiana minus three and a half. I know that there's a lot of like revenge talk for Oregon. I know that it looks like the sucker side, Indiana, but man, if you could win by 10 in Austin and you now play on a neutral site, I really think that the Hoosiers should find a way to get this done. I feel like all the numbers, how do I look at like situational football favor, Indiana, like third down percentage, they are the much better team field position, like to start drives and, you know, to put pin deepences back, like they've been a lot better than Oregon has this year. And I do kind of think that I just, I just don't want to go against Signetti again. Last week I had Alabama plus seven and a half. I cited the talent mismatch there and it ended up being an absolute blowout. And I think this could be very similar. I think landing for as good as he's been with Oregon, not a great big game coach. Signetti seems to be like a special, you know,

30:15coach in terms of preparation and motivation. Like I need to India is going to be ready to go here. From your lips to God, let's make it happen. Let's go Hoosiers, Zach on the Hoosiers, giving up the points, giving up the three and a half tonight against Oregon. The winner faces Miami in the national championship 10 days from now, 10 days from now. All right, NBA. Did I see this correct? Was a game canceled because of what was a condensation on the court? Are we still having that problem? I don't have that problem. Last night condensation on the court. It was, it was a, it was like a white slate too. So there was already fewer games. It was terrible. It reduced it from four games to three games, I believe. All right, you have a pair of games you like tonight. Yeah, I mean, I have some player props up. Not up yet on visa.com. I'll write them up right after this, but Harvard head decapers will have some more player props, but two of my plays for tonight are 76ers, money lining against the magic at minus 145. I'll start with that one. Like, I just think that this magic team is kind of really right now. If you look at the last 15 games, this team has a minus 3.9 net rating in that same span. Philly is nine and six with a plus 3.1

31:19net rating. And I just think that these absences that Orlando is dealing with right now are absolutely huge. When you talk about Franz Wagner and Jalen Suggs, you're talking about two of the better defenders on a defensive minded team. And I think that in this specific matchup, not having Suggs is going to be absolutely terrible because he's one of the better point of attack defenders in the league. He's strong. He's physical. He's like, he's just very physical with, you know, these smaller guards like the ones that the sixers have, like Maxi and Edgecomb. And I do think that if those guys just kind of get going, it's going to be really tough for the magic to win this game. I also think if indeed plays, he's questionable. This will be a game that he dominates as well because Orlando is pretty weak at the center spot. All right. And then you have a play in the Rocket's Blazers game tonight. Yeah, I took the Blazers. I bought it to seven and a half because I was able to get that at minus 126. And I do like seven and a half as a key number in the NBA. And I just didn't surprise that this is the spread for this game. I would have taken it at a plus six and a half if I didn't find the price that I found. But I just, we just saw these teams play the other night. The Rockets are not playing with Alfred Shenguin right now. He's injured. And that

32:23just puts a lot on Kevin Durant against the defensive minded Portland team where I think that the Blazers are going to do a little bit of a better job of slowing down Durant that they did the other night. Durant had a big game. But that was still a game that the Blazers won outright. And I don't think it's crazy to think that they can win this game outright as well. I just think this team's playing really well. Over the last seven games, there's six and one both straight up and against the spread. The Rockets have been pretty bad under E-Mail Udoca's favorites in the six and a half to 12 range. And I just think that Portland at home has been always a tough team to play against. And I do think, like I said, like Tumani Kamara can do a decent job on Durant. And I'm not sure the Rockets have much of an answer for Danny Avdia who kind of hurting our Kianta George bet in most approved player. It's incredible. Danny Avdia's last four games. 41, 6, and 2. Talk about points rebounds at assists. 33, 8, 9, 29, 10, and 10, 34, 7, and 11. Yeah, I was going to bring it up. I'm like, hey, Zach, don't the Rockets have one of the best perimeter defenders in

33:23the NBA? What's going on? Can't stop Danny Avdia though. You can't stop him. Can only hope to contain him. That's right. Patrick used to. I was two comments quick for sixers. I have nothing in the NBA tonight. Sixers was the closest I was to anything. Zach said, I agree with you there. Blazers Rockets. I played that under the other day that got home. I think it's still kind of the same type of rock fight. So like the dog, like the under in that game. I know we were going to do tennis college football in NBA, but real quick in 20 seconds. What's your favorite wild card weekend play, Zach? I think it's the Eagles minus four and a half. I just, I've seen enough of the 49ers. Like I think a lot of people like to paint like the Patriots and the Bears as the frauds of this season. I really think it's the 49ers when they've had to play good teams. They've looked terrible. Zach Cohen, everybody. Zach, enjoy the weekend. Appreciate it as always. You too. Betting on X is where you can find them courtesy the progressive guest line. Speaking of that, Dr. Bob on the other side is playing the wake next on a numbers game.

34:31A numbers game on Fiesen. These sports betting network football meets flavor with visa and Omaha steaks. The official sponsor of tailgating and right now when you spend $129 you can score two pounds of fully cooked chicken wings plus 50% off side wide and Omaha steaks.com slash VS I end. Don't wait. Spend $129 get two pounds of wings and say 50% side wide on steaks and more at Omaha steaks.com slash VS I end. That's Omaha steaks.com slash VS in minimum purchase required C site for details. I thought crack was going to jump through the screen and eat those wings yesterday. He would love to look delicious. And once again, grilled wings over fried every time. You got a lot of support on that. I did. Yes. Now what were you just telling me off air? Well, I got that we have a special video for you. Yes. Well, you always say I'm so much more than a producer. That's correct. So I decided to boot out Larry and Darnell out of the director chair and director one of the physics segments. Oh, no. So I think there I think there's some video of it. I'm ready to go. Felt. Stand on standby. Let's have a picture of 50. Yes. So I'm standing by yelling out nonsense. You have no idea what you're saying.

35:36You're like, you'll tight shot up. What's the problem? See, you'll tight shots up. Graphic number 237 on standby. We're going to live. Two shot up. Look at you live. Look at the visa and control room. Kelly, right? Kelly, Bidlett does it all. I have no idea if he's actually doing anything right there. I changed the cameras. I actually changed the cameras. They allowed me to do that. You look like you know what you're doing at all. I mean, I've been around enough professional directors, like Larry, me or Darnell Glenn back there. What did Larry and what did Larry do while you were doing that? Larry was out of the room. When he entered the room, I think he was terrified at whatever was going on. And then I got a big bravo because he was dying laughing about me. See me and him or what were old dudes in the business, right? So he was dying laughing about how I kept using old TV terms that like nobody, we definitely don't use her out here at least. I don't know if anybody uses a period anymore. Period. I said, I don't know any of this. The maze that we stayed on air, give Kelly a round of applause everybody. Just me. No, I'll see you. Lance Schaefer, a little listener on listener

36:40conversation. He goes, I'm a diehardy bears fan responding to the other guy with a 20-to-1 shot on the bears, but they need a dominant pass rusher, an additional D-line help to be a true contender to win at all. 20-to-1 is throwing money away. He says, all right. Smutkilla said, I was on the fence about smoking dope all week, but based on physics advice, I've jumped the shark. What was physics advice? Oh, what was it that, how did that come up again? Oh, I was like, oh, we're talking about, oh, doing the exercise of playing both sides of the line. Oh, okay. I think I think that's what it was about, but I'm not mistaken. Okay, here are the bets made this week, or at least today and this week, depending on who we're talking about. You're a mine. I was on Miami last night. That's the old winner. To Ching. Miami minus two and a half is what I bought it down to versus old missing. Somehow Miami dominates the box score and barely gets home. Tonight, I bet Indiana at the worst of it earlier in the week. I also bet I'm again at minus three. So minus four and minus three extra juice

37:42on the Hoosiers tonight versus Oregon and college football. Pros, man, I'm betting a lot. Bears minus one versus the Packers. More of just a hunch. I just feel like the Bears Magic Carpet Ride continues for one more week in that weather. Mononguy, big game for the Bears. I'm on the Jags versus the Bills. That was the most surprising line on Monday morning. Immediately bet the Jaguars minus one. Oh, wait, that's where it is right now. Nine or plus three and a half. I got the worst of that at the Eagles and the one that I'm looking forward to the most. Chargers plus three and a half of the Patriots and sprinkle me back and the Chargers plus one 61 at the Patriots as well in a national football league. Plus, I have the Hoosiers tend to one to win at all. Do not forget. Yes, you do. Yes, sir. All right, for me, nothing tonight. It was a good NBA stretch this week, man. It was really good until last night. Maverick's lost. That sucked. But it was a good five and no on the show this week. They're a frustrating team. Are they maps? Do really frustrating. I've stayed away from them. We had we had drew in a couple guys. What on Tuesday? There were better than Sacramento. I

38:44stayed away. I'm like, I don't know. And they didn't cover and I got got pulled in by that spot. That old spot last night against the Jazz didn't work out. All right, NFL formed me this week. Packers Jags into teaser and Bears Jags into teaser. I expect the Packers Bears game to be close. So hopefully those both get home and the Jack take care of business. Be price sensitive on the teasers. When we talk about teasers, a lot of us have outs that have minus 120. Still, I even have one out that's still minus 110 on me. That's awesome. Yeah. But don't go crazy. If you're betting at a shop that's charging way more than this. Yeah, 40. I got a text from from Lou Finicaro. But he saw these on the site and he's like, where are you getting 125s? So Caesars in town is the only one they even 125 these days here in Vegas. Like you said, well, I got another out of get 120, but he doesn't have the lines up as quick. So Caesars were having jump into you quickly with the teasers on opens. Jags money line even money. Eagles laid three. All of these were on open 115 on the Eagles

39:44there. Jalen hurts. I did. They brought this up earlier. Did just bet this this morning hurts over his rushing yards of 31 and a half. And Texans laid three with them on Monday night. I guess, guess I'm up against some of the best around on that one kill. Oppo Bob. Oppo Rufus. Oppo Bob. Rufus is on Steelers too. Oh, yeah, they said that's right. They both said the same thing. They made Pittsburgh one point foam favorite. That's right. Wes Reynolds following in the end around the country. He's got the Hoosiers on the money line tonight for Zorgan. Try to get his Hoosiers to the national championship game. Chargers plus three and a half of the Patriots. Wes and I are some potty going that one. And he's on the under in the Rams Panthers game under 46 and a half. The one that kicks it all off in wild car weekend tomorrow morning and tomorrow after noonish. Shouldn't say morning. First in the two. Zach Cohen three sports. Mark Marta Kostiak plus 112 versus Jesse Pagula. Kostiak coming off wins against both Anissa Mova and Drava. She's on fire early in the season. Take it on Jesse Pagula. College football. He's on Indiana laying the points

40:46tonight. He's right between me with the minus three and a half versus Oregon. And then the NBA tonight is on the Sixers money line versus the Magic and the Blazers. Denny Avdia and the Blazers plus seven and a half versus the Rockets. That's from Zach. Dr. Bob, as we mentioned, Steelers plus three versus the Texans. That was his play of the week, even impassioned Daya tribe about that one. And then Fezick moments ago, Stevie Coast and Lovelin four plus receptions in the Bears game. Jags to score first versus the Bills also in the Jags game. Jags kick the longest field goal. Even money versus the Bills. That's a good bad man. Cam little versus the Prater right combo whoever's whoever's going to kick for the Bills. He's on the Steelers plus three versus the Texans. His aggregation play of the week. And then he's on the Texans Steelers over three and a half made field goals talking about fair bearing and Boswell and that one. I saw a Prater probable earlier, but like I don't know know. I don't know if that means the same thing with kickers as it does with like a linemen, you know, it's sort of a you can or you can't. Right, right. Exactly.

41:47Yeah. There you go. All the bets on today's show and throughout the week right here on the numbers game. Can we close out by? Can I ask you a, you know, we've been talking betting all a week as we always do. Guys who has sports talk radio question for a while. Which I don't even know how to phrase it if I should say team or or coach or player. I'll leave that open ended. Who's got the most to lose this weekend? Let me just give you an example. Sean McDermott's probably just a good move to that. I was going to the bills lose. The Sean McDermott have the most to lose as a person as a as a coach. Yeah, I think, unfortunately, I think it's unfortunate because I don't think it's very fair. I think Josh Allen will catch a lot of criticism if he loses that game, but in the in the Lamar Jackson category of never getting to the promised land. And look, I would have said probably the same thing two months ago, right? If you told me the playoffs were starting, the bills were in it and there was no chiefs, bangles or Ravens. You don't have them a home's barrier. Yeah, Josh Allen. You don't have an excuse. Unfortunately, I think he has an excuse. Like his foot, I think

42:50his foot's messed up. I think his defense sucks. And I think you're running into the jaguars in a real, real bad time. But guess what? It's not like Josh Allen's going to lose this job. He's going to he might catch a lot of heat for it on shows like this, but he's not losing his job. Sean McDermott could. Yeah, Sean McDermott could. The outcome of that game no matter what it is is going to result in either common. It's going to be like bills can never get to the can never get to the big one or the Jags up. There they are. There's the Jags. I'll give you two others. Okay. That I think I think this one would be next. Eagles lose. Jalen Hertz. Jalen Hertz has a bad game in the Eagles loss. Oh, man, does that situation get a lot worse from some of the stuff we saw through that throughout the season, meaning what that they will say what about it? Now, there's a lot of questions about what was going on in locker rooms, conversations, and there were just reports about there being division in the locker room and kind of everybody up against Hertz and everything. So it's amazing. It's amazing though, because you're only one year away from winning it all. It's wild. It's why that's how quick things change in professional sports,

43:51right? And then, you know, I'll be the guy who keeps saying it. Maybe I'll be the only guy. I know what's coming just in her. You're going to lose another playoff game. You're going to do anything ever. Oh, man, because I know I'm going to see on ESPN for hours over the offseason about Dak Prescott. What could he do with these cowboys? Justin Herbert always escapes all the criticism. Remember rookie quarterbacks or not rookie quarterbacks, but first time playoff quarterbacks against guys who have played in the playoffs, seven, 20 and one against the spread. So that applies to Drake May. That applies to Caleb Williams in these matches for what it's worth. Again, we're not really a trend show, but just throw that out the end. Because I do think that's also a thing, right? Yeah. If Caleb Williams loses, if Drake, particularly if Drake May and the Patriots lose, immediately it's going to be people are going to view schedules, right? Sacredly moving forward. Like, oh, turns out they really do mean something once you actually get popped into mouth by somebody. Anyway, just an interesting, we're going to ask the same question

44:55next week about the Broncos and the Seahawks and Sam Darnell and all that stuff. But I think you're right. Buffalo and Sean McDermott's top of that answer. Yeah. Yeah. I think so. For the neck. We've done all we can do. Kelly Binlin doing it all day. Multidimensional. Prop points with John Hansen is next. Enjoy from Vison V. Sports betting hour.